Thursday 8-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:16 AM

Marc Lawrence

Aug 29 '19, 7:00 PM in 10h
NFLX | Colts vs Bengals
Play on: Colts +3 -105 at pinnacle

Play - Indianapolis Colts (Game 105).
Edges - Colts: 4-0 SUATS 2nd away preseason game, 0-3 SU but 2-1 ‘In The Stats’ this preseason … Bengals: 2-13 ATS preseason versus foes coming off consecutive losses …We recommend a 1* play on Indianapolis. Thank you and good luck as always.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:17 AM

Rob Vinciletti

Aug 29 '19, 7:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Wagner vs Connecticut
Play on: Wagner +18½ -120 at 5Dimes

The College football comp play for Thursday is on Wagner plus the points at 7:05 eastern. The Seahawks have a new look offense led by Christian Alexander is a graduate transfer quarterback from Florida International University. Alexander stepped in after an injury and led FIU to a 2018 Bahamas Bowl win, passing for 209 yards and a touchdown along with 83 rushing yards. Wagner has 6 starters back on defense.The defense is led by linebacker Cam Gill, one of the top linebackers in the FCS. Connecticut should be better than last years 1 win team as they bring back 19 starters. However the line is a bit high here and the Huskies are 1-18 to the spread as a favorite since 2012. We will take the points in what could be a closer game than expected.. For the College free play. We will take a shot with Wagner plus the points. RV- GC Sports

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:17 AM

Ray Monohan

Aug 29 '19, 7:30 PM in 11h
NFLX | Ravens vs Redskins
Play on: Ravens -5½ -110 at 1BetVegas

Ravens -5.5
Thursday we get the Ravens taking on the Redskins at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland. The Ravens opened as a -2.5 pt favorite with an over/under of 34 1/2. The public is all over Baltimore in this one.
Trace McSorley pretty much played the entire game last week for the Ravens in a 26-15 win over the Eagles. He looked very sharp under center completing 19 of 28 passes for 203 yards and two TD's while adding 6 rushing yards and a TD on 4 carries in a 26-15 win.
I have a feeling with minimal game planning going into this one we’ll see McSorley rushing quite a bit. 30 rushing scores in 46 college games should give him a leg up. Not sure we see any of Case Keenum in this game so we have to assume that With Colt McCoy still recovering from a broken leg, Dwayne Haskins figures to get the majority of the playing time and an above average Baltimore 2nd and 3rd string defense should give him plenty of problems.
Haskins will be tested in the pocket. The Redskins don’t have a lot of O-line depth and the Ravens have some young guns that should see action for the Ravens D.
Some trends to consider. The favorite is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings head to head, and the Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. I like the Ravens to dominate the Skins and I have them projected to win this one by 10.
Back the Ravens ATS.
Good Luck Razor Ray
Thursday 5* NFL Free ATS Play

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:17 AM

Bobby Conn

Aug 29 '19, 8:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Clemson
Play on: Clemson -36 -110 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Clemson -36 -110
The defending champion #1 Clemson Tigers will host unranked Georgia Tech to open ACC play for both teams. As heavy favorites, Clemson will look to kick off a season that could solidify their dynasty with another championship under Dabo Swinney.
After dominating Alabama 44-15 to go a perfect 15-0 in 2018, the Tigers return a full arsenal of weapons including the team’s top three receivers, running back Travis Etienne (1,658 yards), and quarterback Trevor Lawrence (3,280 yards, 30 TDs, four INTs).
Clemson only experienced two games that finished within a touchdown last season while scoring an average of 44 points. The Tigers’ 2018 defense was the best in the country in scoring defense, giving up an average of just 13 points per game.
Long-time Georgia Tech fans will have a very different experience this year with new head coach Geoff Collins transitioning the program from the triple option to a spread offense. The Yellow Jackets are expected to start a new quarterback in Lucas Johnson, who will face a trial by fire against this Clemson defense.
While the Georgia Tech offense was good enough for 33rdin the nation with 33 points per game, the defense was average at best, allowed 29 points per game.
Clemson won seven games by 30 points or more in 2018.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:17 AM

Jimmy Boyd

Aug 29 '19, 8:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs Clemson
Play on: OVER 59½ -104

1* Free Pick on Georgia Tech/Clemson over 59½ -104

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:17 AM

Hunter Price

Aug 29 '19, 8:05 PM in 11h
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers -163 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Rangers -163

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:18 AM

Cappers Club

Aug 29 '19, 10:15 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Utah vs BYU
Play on: Utah -6½ -104 at pinnacle

Utah -6.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Utah Utes and BYU Cougars face off on Thursday night and in this game the value lies with the Utes.
The Utes have the better offense and got a big boost with the news that top running back Zack Moss and top receiver Britain Covey would be avaliable to go for this game.
The Cougars defense is going to have a hard time controlling both of those guys,and I expect the Utes offense is going to run up the score.
The Utes are 4-0 against the spread in the last four games in BYU.
Back the Utes.
5* *FREE* Cappers Club Play on Utah -6.5
Good Luck. Cappers Club.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:18 AM

Mike Williams

Aug 29 '19, 10:15 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Utah vs BYU
Play on: Utah -5½ -110 at jazz

1* on Utah -5½ -110

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:43 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 29

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UCLA (3 - 9) at CINCINNATI (11 - 2) - 8/29/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (7 - 6) at CLEMSON (15 - 0) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (9 - 4) at TULANE (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (3 - 9) at TEXAS A&M (9 - 4) - 8/29/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (2 - 10) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (9 - 5) at BYU (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 122-90 ATS (+23.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:44 AM

NCAAF

Week 1

Trend Report

Thursday, August 29

California-Los Angeles @ Cincinnati
California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

Wagner @ Connecticut
Wagner
Wagner is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Wagner is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Morgan State @ Bowling Green
Morgan State
Morgan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Morgan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Bowling Green's last 19 games

Robert Morris @ Buffalo
Robert Morris
No trends to report
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home

Albany-NY @ Central Michigan
Albany-NY
No trends to report
Central Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games at home

Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte
Gardner-Webb
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

Central Arkansas @ Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Central Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Western Kentucky's last 9 games at home
Western Kentucky is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Florida A&M @ Central Florida
Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Florida A&M is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Central Florida is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

Georgia Tech @ Clemson
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida International @ Tulane
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 5 games
Florida International is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Alabama State @ Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama State
Alabama State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Alabama State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Texas State @ Texas A&M
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games
Texas State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

South Dakota State @ Minnesota
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Kent State @ Arizona State
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona State is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games at home

Northern Colorado @ San Jose State
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home

Utah @ Brigham Young
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brigham Young
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brigham Young
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:45 AM

NCAAF

Week 1

Labor Day weekend’s top 13 games

UCLA has 19 starters back from LY’s 3-9 team that allowed 38+ points six times; Bruins have 65 starts back on OL. Cincinnati has seven starters back on both sides of ball, but has only 31 returning starts on the OL. Under Fickell, Cincy is 4-5 ATS as a home favorite; since 2013, Bearcats are 10-18 vs spread in non-conference games. Since ’14, UCLA is 6-8 ATS as a road underdog; they’re 4-13-1 ATS in last 18 games outside Pac-12. Both teams figure to start a sophomore QB. Last five years, AAC teams covered five of six games vs Pac-12 squads.

Utah won its last three games with BYU by 1-6-8 points, winning last visit to Provo 19-13 (-3); Utes are 6-4-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite. Utah has a senior QB (19 starts); its OL has 49 returning starts- they’ve got seven starters back on both sides of the ball. BYU’s OL has 74 returning starts, despite having no senior starters on OL; their soph QB has seven starts. Under Sitake, Cougars are 0-3-1 ATS as a home underdog. BYU has 17 starters back overall.

Under Chryst, Wisconsin is 11-3 ATS as a road favorite; they’re 10-7 ATS in last 17 non-league games. Badgers have six starters back on both sides of ball; they’ll probably start a freshman QB, but their OL, normally a strength, has only 34 returning starts. South Florida has 91 starts back on its OL: they’ve got nine starters back on offense, have a senior QB- they’re 9-14-1 ATS as a home underdog (1-3 under Strong). Last three years, AAC teams are 8-4 vs spread when playing a Big 14 team.

Colorado won its last four games with Colorado State, last three by 14+ points; Buffs have a new coach, a senior QB (27 starts) and an OL with 63 career starts (2 senior starters)- they’re 11-9 vs spread in last 20 games as a favorite, 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 non-league games. State’s OL has only 26 returning starts; their junior QB has 8 starts. Rams covered 10 of last 14 games as an underdog; last three years, they’re 5-9 ATS outside the Mountain West. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 36-33-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams.

Home side won last three Ole Miss-Memphis games; under Luke, Rebels are 3-4 ATS as a road underdog. Last three years, Ole Miss is 5-7 ATS outside the SEC. Rebels have a new QB, an OL with only 36 retuning starts- they’v got 10 starters back on defense, but only three on offense. Under Norvell, Memphis is 16-12 ATS as a favorite; Tigers have a junior QB (15 starts), an OL with 52 returning starts. Memphis is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games outside AAC. Last three years, SEC teams covered five of six games vs AAC opponents.

South Carolina (-2) edged North Carolina 17-13 in last meeting in 2015; both teams changed coaches since then. UNC has Mack Brown back on sidelines; he has a new QB, an OL with 48 career starts but very little depth. USC has a senior QB (32 starts), an OL with 51 starts; under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 7-8 ATS outside SEC; they’re 2-5-1 in last eight games as a road favorite. Tar Heels covered six of last nine tries as an underdog; last five years, they’re 0-5-1 ATS on neutral fields. Last year, SEC teams were 8-1 ATS vs ACC foes (44-34-1 since ’11).

Over last decade, Northwestern is 24-9 ATS as a road underdog; they upset Stanford 16-6 (+10) in last meeting in 2015. Since ’14, Wildcats are 8-12-1 vs spread outside Big 14. Northwestern has a new QB, an OL with 48 starts (1 senior, 3 junior starters). Stanford has only nine starters back; their junior QB has 20 starts, their OL only 39 starts. Last three years, Cardinal is 6-10 ATS as a home favorite; they’re 10-13-1 ATS in last 24 non-league games. Stanford opens Pac-12 play with USC next week. Last four years, Big 14 teams are 16-8 ATS when playing a Pac-12 opponent.

Road team won four of last five Virginia Tech-Boston College games; Hokies won 23-10/26-10 in last two visits to Beantown. Favorites covered last four series games. Tech has 10 starters back on defense, a junior QB (20 starts), an OL with 51 starts- since 2012, they’re 6-16 ATS as a road favorite. BC has a junior QB (22 starts), an OL with 65 starts, but has only 3 starters back on defense. Last two years, Eagles are 4-1-1 vs spread as a home underdog.

Florida State is only 12-13 the last two years, with a -17 turnover ratio; Boise is +24 in turnovers the last two years. Seminoles have a soph QB (12 starts), an OL wth 58 career starts- FSU does have eight starters back on both sides of ball. Last three years, Seminoles are 9-13-2 ATS as a favorite; they’re 12-8 ATS in last 20 tilts outside the ACC. Boise State has new QB but an OL with 106 career starts (3 senior starters); over last decade, Broncos are 5-3 ATS as an underdog; under Harsin, they’re 14-10 ATS outside MW. Last four years, ACC teams are 5-3 vs spread when playing a Mountain West team.

Pittsburgh won its last four games with Virginia, winning 31-14/26-19 in last two played here; Panthers have a junior QB (15 starts), an OL with 37 starts- they’ve got only 11 of 22 starters back from LY. Virginia has a senior QB (13 starts), an OL with 46 starts; over last nine years, Cavaliers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite. Last three years, Pitt is 5-3 vs spread as a home underdog. Overall under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-11 ATS as an underdog.

Oregon has 153 returning starts on its offensive line, Auburn 104; nine of 10 starters are seniors. Oregon has 17 starters back, a senior QB (28 starts) and for first time in three years, they’ve got same coach as the year before. Last three years, Oregon is 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog; they’re 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 non-league games. Auburn has seven starters back on both sides of ball; they’ll have a new QB. Last five years, Tigers are 8-16-1 ATS outside the SEC; they’re 3-5 ATS in last eight neutral field games. Since 2011, SEC teams are 9-3 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.

Last nine years, USC is 11-24 vs spread outside Pac-12; last two years, Trojans are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite. USC has a soph QB (11 starts); their OL has 63 starts- they lost half their 22 starters from LY. Fresno lost 13 starters from LY, has only three back on offense; Bulldogs have a new QB- their OL has only 31 starts, but they’ve covered eight of last 10 non-MW games, and are 22-6 SU last two years. USC (-20) hammered Fresno 52-13 in last meeting five years ago; both teams changed coaches since then. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 36-33-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams. USC opens Pac-12 play with Stanford next week.

Houston has a senior QB (18 starts), an OL with 101 starts and Holgorsen is new coach; he was 0-6 vs Oklahoma in his last job (WVU), allowing 44+ points in each of last five meetings. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog- they’ve got only four starters back on defense. Sooners’ new QB is Alabama transfer Hurts (26-2 as starter); their OL has only 36 starts. Under Riley, Oklahoma is 8-5 ATS as a home favorite, 5-3 ATS outside Big X. Houston (+12) upset Oklahoma 33-23 in last meeting 33-23 in 2016; both teams changed coaches since then. Last two years, Big X teams are 7-3 ATS when playing an AAC team.

Louisville went 2-10 LY after going 57-21 the previous six years, so they changed coaches; Cardinals have 10 starters back on defense, a junior QB (9 starts), an OL with 57 starts- they covered once in last five tries as a home underdog. Last three years, Louisville is 3-11 ATS outside the ACC. Notre Dame has a junior QB (10 starts), an OL with 60 starts. Irish is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite. Louisville (+3) won last meeting 31-28, five years ago.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:46 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1

Thursday, August 29

Florida A&M @ Central Florida

Game 227-228
August 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida A&M
49.411
Central Florida
99.637
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 50
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 45 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-45 1/2); Under

Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte

Game 229-230
August 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Gardner-Webb
44.107
Charlotte
72.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 28 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 32 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Gardner-Webb
(+32 1/2); Under

Central Arkansas @ Western Kentucky

Game 231-232
August 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
62.263
Western Kentucky
68.091
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 6
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 9 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(+9 1/2); Under

Georgia Tech @ Clemson

Game 135-136
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
88.116
Clemson
126.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 38
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 35 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-35 1/2); Under

FIU @ Tulane

Game 137-138
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
80.833
Tulane
81.046
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
Even
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+2); Over

Alabama St @ UAB

Game 233-234
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama St
27.767
UAB
85.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 58
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 43 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-43 1/2); Over

Texas State @ Texas A&M

Game 139-140
August 29, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
68.310
Texas A&M
99.155
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 31
78
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 34 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+34 1/2); Over

South Dakota St @ Minnesota

Game 235-236
August 29, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
87.873
Minnesota
103.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 16
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 12 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-12 1/2); Over

Northern Colorado @ San Jose St

Game 237-238
August 29, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Colorado
52.172
San Jose St
73.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 21 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose St
by 10 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(-10 1/2); Over

Kent State @ Arizona State

Game 141-142
August 29, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
69.545
Arizona State
92.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 23
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 25
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+25); Under

Utah @ Brigham Young

Game 143-144
August 29, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
88.199
Brigham Young
85.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 5
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(+5); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:48 AM

Utah-BYU landing plenty of Week 1 college football cash, as bettors hit Utes' odds
Patrick Everson

Utah quarterback Tyler Huntley missed the last five games of the 2018-19 season with a broken collarbone. But he's healthy now, and the Utes are 6-point favorites at Brigham Young on Thursday.

Week 1 of the college football season features a big Pac-12/SEC clash, but a lower-profile Pac-12/Mountain West rivalry game is getting much more attention from bettors. Covers checks in on the opening lines and odds movement for four key contests this week, with insights from Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US.

No. 15 Utah Utes at Brigham Young Cougars (+6)

Utah went on a 7-1 SU run (6-2 ATS) to win the Pac-12 South Division and land in last season’s conference title game, then lost a grind-it-out game 10-3 to Washington as a 4.5-point neutral-site underdog. The Utes fell to Northwestern 31-20 as 6.5-point favorites in the Holiday Bowl to finish 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS.

Brigham Young was barely bowl-eligible last year, with a 6-6 SU regular-season mark, but a more-than-respectable 8-4 ATS record. The Cougars then boatraced Western Michigan 49-18 as 10-point favorites in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

These instate rivals met in the regular-season finale last year, with Utah winning 35-27 at home but BYU cashing as a 10.5-point pup. Although the line on this year’s meeting – first posted on June 8 – tightened by a point to Utah -5 in the past week, money is going against the home team for Thursday’s 10:15 p.m. ET kickoff.

“All the money is on Utah, but that’s all square action. We’ve got that book in Wendover,” Bogdanovich said, noting William Hill’s shop on the Utah/Nevada border, less than two hours from Salt Lake City. “It’s a short drive. Sixty percent of our action on that game will come from Wendover. They bet like crazy. It looks like the biggest-bet game so far. Both teams are perceived to be pretty good.”
Pac-12 2019 college football predictions and best bets: Will a CFP contender emerge?

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-29-2019, 07:48 AM

Week 1 Upset Alerts
Matt Blunt

After these pieces became highly popular last year, we had to bring them back for the 2019 college football season, one that is about 48 hours from really getting going. Not only were these underdog pieces popular, they also ended up turning a profit in the end, going 22-18 ATS, although the bulk of that damage was done thanks to the highly successful run backing 20+ underdogs.

Hopefully we can find a bit more balance in terms of projecting ATS winners in the smaller underdog ranges, as chances are a 11-2 ATS run with the 20+ underdogs won't happen again. The goal is to always improve and keep producing winners, and hopefully that continues as these pieces pop up every week as the college football season goes on.

The first full opening week always brings a plethora of 20+ underdogs as late August-early September is still great for the cupcake business in college football for those teams that prefer to indulge in that practice still. The really good teams are realizing that they need quality non-conference wins on their resume as well, so there is some abandonment of loading up a team's early schedule with FCS and much weaker FBS teams, but non-conference time in college football brings plenty of significant chalk, and bettors better be able to back a few of these hefty underdogs because they do cover spreads.

So let's get right to this year's opening underdogs, as we may be a month or two away from “MACtion” but it is the MAC Conference that gets the bulk of the spotlight out of the gate this year.

Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

YTD: 0-0 SU; 0-0 ATS

Ole Miss (+5.5) vs Memphis
The Memphis Tigers should be a player again in the AAC when all is said and done, but even against an Ole Miss team that's in a bit of a transitional year with their highly talented WR core moving on and a freshman QB, this is still a step up in class in competition level for Memphis.

That's not to say the Tigers aren't ready for it, but this is a team that couldn't take advantage of beating UCF last year without their starting QB, and defensively there is still a lot to be desired with the Tigers. Mississippi is still an SEC team with eight returning on defense. SEC defenses are known to be stout in non-conference play no matter who the SEC team actually is, and it's that physicality that I'm not sure Memphis will be ready for out of the gates.

The market has already pushed this line down to +5,5 after opening at +6 and currently showing a healthy majority backing the Memphis Tigers as well. That's the first sign that this number might be too high and/or bettors are discrediting a rebuilding Mississippi team too much. As a program, Memphis is on a 1-9-1 ATS run against SEC foes which also suggests that facing any SEC opponent is a step up in class Memphis has struggled with for years now.

If I took away the team names and just told you that the SEC team was catching 5+ points on the road against an AAC team, chances are many would be looking to take the points with the SEC. Obviously it's not as simple as that as the individual teams do matter, but Ole Miss deserves more respect coming out of the gate, and hopefully the end result is as simple as backing the team from the much better conference.

Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

YTD: 0-0 SU; 0-0 ATS

Toledo +12 vs Kentucky
I touched on a possible reason for fading Kentucky this week given the struggles the school has had in season openers the past few years earlier in the week here, and that's always a nice piece to add to the puzzle of this play as well.

But similar to people potentially sleeping on Ole Miss and how good (or more specifically, won't be as bad) they are, Toledo is a team that should make plenty of noise in the MAC, and Kentucky's got their own transitional period to deal with on the team this year.

Kentucky QB Terry Wilson will be called upon to be a much better passer from the outset this season, as there will be no more heavy reliance on Benny Snell out of the backfield. The Wildcats defense will still be the strength of this team, but that could easily take a step back too, as it's still just Week 1 remember and it's going to take some time for this Kentucky team to develop and reach it's full potential.

Toledo is a team that's loaded with veteran, returning experience basically across the board on offense, as there are 7 returning starters on offense for them – including their QB Michell Guadagni returning from injury – and all of them are seniors. That type of experience will serve Toledo well in going into Kentucky on Saturday, and with the market move already on Toledo in a similar fashion to what we've seen on Ole Miss – majority backing Kentucky, spread moved Toledo's way from +13.5 to +12 – this is another underdog move worth following.

Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

YTD: 0-0 ATS

Miami (Ohio) +21.5 vs Iowa
The theme basically remains the same here, as I'm not ready to believe in an Iowa team to win by more than 3 TD's out of the gate, as this is a program that doesn't seemingly blowout anyone.

Iowa enters the year ranked in the Top 25, and as part of the highly intriguing Big 10 conference, it will be interesting to see where Iowa's season ultimately shakes out. But I'd venture a guess that they won't end up ranked when all is said and done, even if they do avoid some potential powerhouses in Michigan State and Ohio State on the season.

But this game against Miami (Ohio) is one right before Big 10 play essentially begins for the Hawkeyes with Rutgers coming to town next week. There really is no looking past Miami Ohio in terms of looking ahead to Rutgers, but every conference game is going to be critical in the Big 10 for programs that believe they've got a shot at winning the conference, so there is always the notion that Iowa could build a big lead early here and then put things on cruise control to stay healthy going into next week. Covering through that backdoor is a big part of these 20+ underdogs hitting, and I expect that door to be open through the entirety of this one.

Thursday 8-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 8-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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