Saturday 8-31-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    Saturday 8-31-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #2
    NCAAF
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, August 31

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) at OHIO ST (13 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 172-132 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S ALABAMA (3 - 9) at NEBRASKA (3 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E CAROLINA (3 - 9) at NC STATE (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AKRON (4 - 8) at ILLINOIS (4 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 89-134 ATS (-58.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALL ST (4 - 8) vs. INDIANA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TOLEDO (7 - 6) at KENTUCKY (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KENTUCKY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 5) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OLE MISS (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (8 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OLE MISS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GEORGIA ST (2 - 10) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGIA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E MICHIGAN (7 - 6) at COASTAL CAROLINA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S CAROLINA (7 - 6) vs. N CAROLINA (2 - 9) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DUKE (8 - 5) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ALABAMA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NORTHWESTERN (9 - 5) at STANFORD (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NORTHWESTERN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    NORTHWESTERN is 115-86 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
    NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SYRACUSE (10 - 3) at LIBERTY (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOISE ST (10 - 3) vs. FLORIDA ST (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SMU (5 - 7) at ARKANSAS ST (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
    SMU is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 6) at MICHIGAN (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI OHIO (6 - 6) at IOWA (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GA SOUTHERN (10 - 3) at LSU (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LSU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GEORGIA (11 - 3) at VANDERBILT (6 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VIRGINIA (8 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSOURI (8 - 5) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
    MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OREGON (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OREGON is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 5) at TEXAS (10 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at WASHINGTON ST (11 - 2) - 8/31/2019, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FRESNO ST (12 - 2) at USC (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #3
      NCAAF

      Week 1


      Trend Report

      Saturday, August 31

      Toledo @ Kentucky
      Toledo
      Toledo is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
      Toledo is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
      Kentucky
      Kentucky is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games

      Mississippi State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
      Mississippi State
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 10 games
      Mississippi State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      Louisiana-Lafayette
      Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games

      Mississippi @ Memphis
      Mississippi
      Mississippi is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
      Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
      Memphis
      Memphis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
      Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

      East Carolina @ North Carolina State
      East Carolina
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 10 games on the road
      East Carolina is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
      North Carolina State
      North Carolina State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
      North Carolina State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

      Northern Iowa @ Iowa State
      Northern Iowa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
      Iowa State
      Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Northern Iowa

      Indiana State @ Kansas
      Indiana State
      Indiana State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
      Indiana State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
      Kansas
      Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Kansas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

      Akron @ Illinois
      Akron
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 8 games
      Illinois
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Illinois's last 15 games at home

      Ball State @ Indiana
      Ball State
      Ball State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games
      Indiana
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Ball State

      Howard @ Maryland
      Howard
      Howard is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Howard is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Maryland
      Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Maryland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

      South Alabama @ Nebraska
      South Alabama
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Alabama's last 12 games
      Nebraska
      Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
      Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

      Florida Atlantic @ Ohio State
      Florida Atlantic
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida Atlantic's last 11 games on the road
      Florida Atlantic is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
      Ohio State
      Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      James Madison @ West Virginia
      James Madison
      James Madison is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      James Madison is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      West Virginia
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
      West Virginia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

      Rhode Island @ Ohio
      Rhode Island
      Rhode Island is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Rhode Island is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Ohio
      Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

      Eastern Washington @ Washington
      Eastern Washington
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games on the road
      Washington
      Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

      Bucknell @ Temple
      Bucknell
      No trends to report
      Temple
      Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Temple is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

      Duke @ Alabama
      Duke
      Duke is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 6 games
      Alabama
      Alabama is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games

      South Carolina @ North Carolina
      South Carolina
      South Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games
      North Carolina
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Carolina's last 10 games
      North Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

      Georgia State @ Tennessee
      Georgia State
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 7 games
      Tennessee
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
      Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

      Idaho @ Penn State
      Idaho
      Idaho is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
      Idaho is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games
      Penn State
      Penn State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games

      Colgate @ Air Force
      Colgate
      Colgate is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Colgate is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Air Force
      Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 6 games

      Eastern Michigan @ Coastal Carolina
      Eastern Michigan
      Eastern Michigan is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
      Coastal Carolina
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games at home
      Coastal Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

      Holy Cross @ Navy
      Holy Cross
      Holy Cross is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
      Holy Cross is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Navy
      Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games at home

      East Tennessee State @ Appalachian State

      East Tennessee State
      East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Appalachian State
      Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

      Portland State @ Arkansas
      Portland State
      Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Arkansas
      Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Arkansas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

      Northwestern @ Stanford

      Northwestern
      Northwestern is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
      Northwestern is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
      Stanford
      Stanford is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
      Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

      Virginia Tech @ Boston College
      Virginia Tech
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
      Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
      Boston College
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games
      Boston College is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Virginia Tech

      Montana State @ Texas Tech
      Montana State
      Montana State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montana State's last 5 games on the road
      Texas Tech
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games

      Syracuse @ Liberty
      Syracuse
      Syracuse is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
      Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Liberty
      Liberty is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 6 games

      Sam Houston State @ New Mexico
      Sam Houston State
      Sam Houston State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Sam Houston State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      New Mexico
      New Mexico is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
      New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

      Incarnate Word @ Texas-San Antonio
      Incarnate Word
      Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Texas-San Antonio
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 9 games at home

      Campbell @ Troy
      Campbell
      No trends to report
      Troy
      Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Troy is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games

      UC Davis @ California
      UC Davis
      UC Davis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      UC Davis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      California
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of California's last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 5 games at home

      VMI @ Marshall
      VMI
      VMI is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
      VMI is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
      Marshall
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
      Marshall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

      Stephen F. Austin @ Baylor
      Stephen F. Austin
      Stephen F. Austin is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      Stephen F. Austin is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
      Baylor
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
      Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

      Boise State @ Florida State
      Boise State
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games
      Boise State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
      Florida State
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
      Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

      Nicholls State @ Kansas State
      Nicholls State
      Nicholls State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Nicholls State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Kansas State
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games at home
      Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

      Norfolk State @ Old Dominion
      Norfolk State
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 6 games on the road
      Old Dominion
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 10 games

      Alcorn State @ Southern Miss
      Alcorn State
      Alcorn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Alcorn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Southern Miss
      Southern Miss is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      Southern Miss is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

      Southern Methodist @ Arkansas State
      Southern Methodist
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games on the road
      Arkansas State
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
      Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

      Monmouth-New Jersey @ Western Michigan
      Monmouth-New Jersey
      Monmouth-New Jersey is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      Monmouth-New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
      Western Michigan
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
      Western Michigan is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

      Illinois State @ Northern Illinois
      Illinois State
      Illinois State is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games on the road
      Illinois State is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
      Northern Illinois
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games at home
      Northern Illinois is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

      Oregon @ Auburn
      Oregon
      Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon's last 8 games
      Auburn
      Auburn is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
      Auburn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

      Georgia @ Vanderbilt
      Georgia
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games on the road
      Georgia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
      Vanderbilt
      Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 13 games

      Georgia Southern @ Louisiana State
      Georgia Southern
      Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Georgia Southern is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
      Louisiana State
      Louisiana State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
      Louisiana State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

      Missouri @ Wyoming
      Missouri
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games
      Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Wyoming
      Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

      Virginia @ Pittsburgh
      Virginia
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 7 games on the road
      Virginia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
      Pittsburgh
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
      Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Virginia

      Miami-OH @ Iowa
      Miami-OH
      Miami-OH is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
      Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Iowa
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games
      Iowa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

      Middle Tennessee @ Michigan
      Middle Tennessee
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games
      Michigan
      Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
      Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

      Abilene Christian @ North Texas
      Abilene Christian
      Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      North Texas
      North Texas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Texas's last 11 games

      Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Christian
      Arkansas-Pine Bluff
      Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Texas Christian
      Texas Christian is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Texas Christian is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

      Louisiana Tech @ Texas
      Louisiana Tech
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games on the road
      Texas
      Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
      Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

      Houston Baptist @ Texas El Paso
      Houston Baptist
      No trends to report
      Texas El Paso
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
      Texas El Paso is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

      Grambling State @ Louisiana-Monroe
      Grambling State
      Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Louisiana-Monroe
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games
      Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

      Weber State @ San Diego State
      Weber State
      Weber State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Weber State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      San Diego State
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games at home
      San Diego State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

      New Mexico State @ Washington State
      New Mexico State
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Mexico State's last 12 games on the road
      Washington State
      Washington State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
      Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

      Southern Utah @ Nevada-Las Vegas
      Southern Utah
      Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Nevada-Las Vegas
      The total has gone OVER in 17 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 23 games at home
      Nevada-Las Vegas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

      Fresno State @ Southern California
      Fresno State
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
      Southern California
      Southern California is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
      Southern California is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #4
        NCAAF

        Week 1


        Labor Day weekend’s top 13 games

        UCLA has 19 starters back from LY’s 3-9 team that allowed 38+ points six times; Bruins have 65 starts back on OL. Cincinnati has seven starters back on both sides of ball, but has only 31 returning starts on the OL. Under Fickell, Cincy is 4-5 ATS as a home favorite; since 2013, Bearcats are 10-18 vs spread in non-conference games. Since ’14, UCLA is 6-8 ATS as a road underdog; they’re 4-13-1 ATS in last 18 games outside Pac-12. Both teams figure to start a sophomore QB. Last five years, AAC teams covered five of six games vs Pac-12 squads.

        Utah won its last three games with BYU by 1-6-8 points, winning last visit to Provo 19-13 (-3); Utes are 6-4-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite. Utah has a senior QB (19 starts); its OL has 49 returning starts- they’ve got seven starters back on both sides of the ball. BYU’s OL has 74 returning starts, despite having no senior starters on OL; their soph QB has seven starts. Under Sitake, Cougars are 0-3-1 ATS as a home underdog. BYU has 17 starters back overall.

        Under Chryst, Wisconsin is 11-3 ATS as a road favorite; they’re 10-7 ATS in last 17 non-league games. Badgers have six starters back on both sides of ball; they’ll probably start a freshman QB, but their OL, normally a strength, has only 34 returning starts. South Florida has 91 starts back on its OL: they’ve got nine starters back on offense, have a senior QB- they’re 9-14-1 ATS as a home underdog (1-3 under Strong). Last three years, AAC teams are 8-4 vs spread when playing a Big 14 team.

        Colorado won its last four games with Colorado State, last three by 14+ points; Buffs have a new coach, a senior QB (27 starts) and an OL with 63 career starts (2 senior starters)- they’re 11-9 vs spread in last 20 games as a favorite, 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 non-league games. State’s OL has only 26 returning starts; their junior QB has 8 starts. Rams covered 10 of last 14 games as an underdog; last three years, they’re 5-9 ATS outside the Mountain West. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 36-33-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams.

        Home side won last three Ole Miss-Memphis games; under Luke, Rebels are 3-4 ATS as a road underdog. Last three years, Ole Miss is 5-7 ATS outside the SEC. Rebels have a new QB, an OL with only 36 retuning starts- they’v got 10 starters back on defense, but only three on offense. Under Norvell, Memphis is 16-12 ATS as a favorite; Tigers have a junior QB (15 starts), an OL with 52 returning starts. Memphis is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games outside AAC. Last three years, SEC teams covered five of six games vs AAC opponents.

        South Carolina (-2) edged North Carolina 17-13 in last meeting in 2015; both teams changed coaches since then. UNC has Mack Brown back on sidelines; he has a new QB, an OL with 48 career starts but very little depth. USC has a senior QB (32 starts), an OL with 51 starts; under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 7-8 ATS outside SEC; they’re 2-5-1 in last eight games as a road favorite. Tar Heels covered six of last nine tries as an underdog; last five years, they’re 0-5-1 ATS on neutral fields. Last year, SEC teams were 8-1 ATS vs ACC foes (44-34-1 since ’11).

        Over last decade, Northwestern is 24-9 ATS as a road underdog; they upset Stanford 16-6 (+10) in last meeting in 2015. Since ’14, Wildcats are 8-12-1 vs spread outside Big 14. Northwestern has a new QB, an OL with 48 starts (1 senior, 3 junior starters). Stanford has only nine starters back; their junior QB has 20 starts, their OL only 39 starts. Last three years, Cardinal is 6-10 ATS as a home favorite; they’re 10-13-1 ATS in last 24 non-league games. Stanford opens Pac-12 play with USC next week. Last four years, Big 14 teams are 16-8 ATS when playing a Pac-12 opponent.

        Road team won four of last five Virginia Tech-Boston College games; Hokies won 23-10/26-10 in last two visits to Beantown. Favorites covered last four series games. Tech has 10 starters back on defense, a junior QB (20 starts), an OL with 51 starts- since 2012, they’re 6-16 ATS as a road favorite. BC has a junior QB (22 starts), an OL with 65 starts, but has only 3 starters back on defense. Last two years, Eagles are 4-1-1 vs spread as a home underdog.

        Florida State is only 12-13 the last two years, with a -17 turnover ratio; Boise is +24 in turnovers the last two years. Seminoles have a soph QB (12 starts), an OL wth 58 career starts- FSU does have eight starters back on both sides of ball. Last three years, Seminoles are 9-13-2 ATS as a favorite; they’re 12-8 ATS in last 20 tilts outside the ACC. Boise State has new QB but an OL with 106 career starts (3 senior starters); over last decade, Broncos are 5-3 ATS as an underdog; under Harsin, they’re 14-10 ATS outside MW. Last four years, ACC teams are 5-3 vs spread when playing a Mountain West team.

        Pittsburgh won its last four games with Virginia, winning 31-14/26-19 in last two played here; Panthers have a junior QB (15 starts), an OL with 37 starts- they’ve got only 11 of 22 starters back from LY. Virginia has a senior QB (13 starts), an OL with 46 starts; over last nine years, Cavaliers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite. Last three years, Pitt is 5-3 vs spread as a home underdog. Overall under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-11 ATS as an underdog.

        Oregon has 153 returning starts on its offensive line, Auburn 104; nine of 10 starters are seniors. Oregon has 17 starters back, a senior QB (28 starts) and for first time in three years, they’ve got same coach as the year before. Last three years, Oregon is 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog; they’re 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 non-league games. Auburn has seven starters back on both sides of ball; they’ll have a new QB. Last five years, Tigers are 8-16-1 ATS outside the SEC; they’re 3-5 ATS in last eight neutral field games. Since 2011, SEC teams are 9-3 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.

        Last nine years, USC is 11-24 vs spread outside Pac-12; last two years, Trojans are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite. USC has a soph QB (11 starts); their OL has 63 starts- they lost half their 22 starters from LY. Fresno lost 13 starters from LY, has only three back on offense; Bulldogs have a new QB- their OL has only 31 starts, but they’ve covered eight of last 10 non-MW games, and are 22-6 SU last two years. USC (-20) hammered Fresno 52-13 in last meeting five years ago; both teams changed coaches since then. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 36-33-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams. USC opens Pac-12 play with Stanford next week.

        Houston has a senior QB (18 starts), an OL with 101 starts and Holgorsen is new coach; he was 0-6 vs Oklahoma in his last job (WVU), allowing 44+ points in each of last five meetings. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog- they’ve got only four starters back on defense. Sooners’ new QB is Alabama transfer Hurts (26-2 as starter); their OL has only 36 starts. Under Riley, Oklahoma is 8-5 ATS as a home favorite, 5-3 ATS outside Big X. Houston (+12) upset Oklahoma 33-23 in last meeting 33-23 in 2016; both teams changed coaches since then. Last two years, Big X teams are 7-3 ATS when playing an AAC team.

        Louisville went 2-10 LY after going 57-21 the previous six years, so they changed coaches; Cardinals have 10 starters back on defense, a junior QB (9 starts), an OL with 57 starts- they covered once in last five tries as a home underdog. Last three years, Louisville is 3-11 ATS outside the ACC. Notre Dame has a junior QB (10 starts), an OL with 60 starts. Irish is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite. Louisville (+3) won last meeting 31-28, five years ago.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #5
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 1

          Saturday, August 31

          South Alabama @ Nebraska

          Game 163-164
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          South Alabama
          58.177
          Nebraska
          98.318
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Nebraska
          by 40
          68
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Nebraska
          by 36
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Nebraska
          (-36); Over

          Florida Atlantic @ Ohio State


          Game 161-162
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida Atlantic
          76.921
          Ohio State
          108.920
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ohio State
          by 32
          68
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Ohio State
          by 27
          63 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Ohio State
          (-27); Over

          Akron @ Illinois


          Game 167-168
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Akron
          67.025
          Illinois
          73.258
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Illinois
          by 6
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Illinois
          by 16 1/2
          56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Akron
          (+16 1/2); Over

          Indiana @ Ball State


          Game 169-170
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Indiana
          87.243
          Ball State
          64.989
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Indiana
          by 22 1/2
          55
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Indiana
          by 16 1/2
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Indiana
          (-16 1/2); Under

          Toledo @ Kentucky


          Game 171-172
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Toledo
          73.887
          Kentucky
          97.717
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kentucky
          by 24
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Kentucky
          by 12
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kentucky
          (-12); Under

          Mississippi @ Memphis


          Game 175-176
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mississippi
          82.776
          Memphis
          91.693
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Memphis
          by 9
          77
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Memphis
          by 6
          68
          Dunkel Pick:
          Memphis
          (-6); Over

          Mississippi St @ LA-Lafayette


          Game 173-174
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mississippi St
          102.505
          LA-Lafayette
          71.278
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 31
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi St
          by 22 1/2
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi St
          (-22 1/2); Over

          East Carolina @ NC State


          Game 165-166
          August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          East Carolina
          72.848
          NC State
          88.201
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          NC State
          by 15 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NC State
          by 17 1/2
          55 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          East Carolina
          (+17 1/2); Over

          Eastern Michigan @ Coastal Carolina


          Game 179-180
          August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Eastern Michigan
          74.775
          Coastal Carolina
          72.143
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Eastern Michigan
          by 2 1/2
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Eastern Michigan
          by 5 1/2
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Coastal Carolina
          (+5 1/2); Under

          Duke @ Alabama


          Game 183-184
          August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Duke
          84.896
          Alabama
          122.054
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Alabama
          by 37
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Alabama
          by 34
          58
          Dunkel Pick:
          Alabama
          (-34); Over

          South Carolina @ North Carolina


          Game 181-182
          August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          South Carolina
          95.042
          North Carolina
          84.613
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          South Carolina
          by 10 1/2
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          South Carolina
          by 7 1/2
          63
          Dunkel Pick:
          South Carolina
          (-7 1/2); Over

          Georgia State @ Tennessee


          Game 177-178
          August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia State
          63.089
          Tennessee
          84.443
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tennessee
          by 21 1/2
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tennessee
          by 26
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia State
          (+26); Under

          Northwestern @ Stanford


          Game 185-186
          August 31, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Northwestern
          95.624
          Stanford
          95.927
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Northwestern
          Even
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Stanford
          by 6 1/2
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Northwestern
          (+6 1/2); Under

          Virginia Tech @ Boston College


          Game 187-188
          August 31, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Virginia Tech
          87.114
          Boston College
          89.288
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boston College
          by 2
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 3
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          Boston College
          (+3); Under

          SMU @ Arkansas St


          Game 193-194
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          SMU
          77.086
          Arkansas St
          76.994
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          SMU
          Even
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 3
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          SMU
          (+3); Over

          Boise State @ Florida State


          Game 191-192
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Boise State
          90.204
          Florida State
          98.748
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida State
          by 8 1/2
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida State
          by 5
          53 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida State
          (-5); Under

          Georgia Southern @ LSU


          Game 199-200
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia Southern
          75.620
          LSU
          107.308
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LSU
          by 31 1/2
          75
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LSU
          by 27
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          LSU
          (-27); Over

          Miami of Ohio @ Iowa


          Game 197-198
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami of Ohio
          78.347
          Iowa
          101.820
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Iowa
          by 23 1/2
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Iowa
          by 21 1/2
          49 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Iowa
          (-21 1/2); Over

          Virginia @ Pittsburgh


          Game 203-204
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Virginia
          93.958
          Pittsburgh
          94.695
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 1
          46
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia
          by 3
          47 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (+3); Under

          Oregon @ Auburn


          Game 207-208
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Oregon
          95.714
          Auburn
          96.345
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Auburn
          by 1
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Auburn
          by 3 1/2
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oregon
          (+3 1/2); Over

          Middle Tennessee St @ Michigan


          Game 195-196
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Middle Tennessee
          80.415
          Michigan
          98.126
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Michigan
          by 17
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Michigan
          by 33 1/2
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Middle Tennessee
          (+33 1/2); Over

          Georgia @ Vanderbilt


          Game 201-202
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia
          107.532
          Vanderbilt
          89.968
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia
          by 17 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia
          by 21
          57 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Vanderbilt
          (+21); Under

          Missouri @ Wyoming


          Game 205-206
          August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Missouri
          89.726
          Wyoming
          85.340
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Missouri
          by 4 1/2
          56
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Missouri
          by 18
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Wyoming
          (+18); Over

          New Mexico St @ Washington St


          Game 211-212
          August 31, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Mexico St
          59.399
          Washington St
          100.074
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington St
          by 40 1/2
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington St
          by 32
          64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington St
          (-32); Under

          Fresno State @ USC


          Game 213-214
          August 31, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Fresno State
          97.589
          USC
          88.902
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Fresno State
          by 8 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          USC
          by 13 1/2
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          Fresno State
          (+13 1/2); Over
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #6
            Analysis: Arizona State, Auburn, UNC to rely on frosh QBs
            August 21, 2019
            By The Associated Press


            There is a trickle-down effect from having true freshman quarterbacks star in the last two national championship games.

            Clemson's Trevor Lawrence capped his freshman season by leading the Tigers to a blowout of Alabama in last season's College Football Playoff title game. One year earlier, it was Alabama freshman Tua Tagovailoa coming off the sideline to rally the Crimson Tide to an overtime victory over Georgia.

            After seeing true freshmen shine in the postseason, coaches aren't so hesitant about seeing what quarterbacks just out of high school can do at the start of a season.

            At least three Power Five programs plan to open the season with a true freshman starting quarterback. Arizona State is going with Jayden Daniels, No. 16 Auburn has selected Bo Nix and Sam Howell is getting the majority of the first-team reps at North Carolina.

            Those teams have decided a newcomer has enough potential to make up for any freshman mistakes.

            ''He's not the savior, OK,'' Arizona State coach Herm Edwards said after announcing Daniels as the starter. ''I don't want anyone to think that. He's a freshman quarterback, like all freshmen are, and he's going to do a lot of good things and sometimes he's going to make some errors.''

            Not all the notable freshmen across college football play quarterback, of course. Here's a rundown of some freshmen who should make an immediate impact.

            ARIZONA STATE QB JAYDEN DANIELS

            Daniels will become the first Arizona State true freshman quarterback to start a season opener for the Sun Devils, as he won a four-man competition for the job. The 6-foot-3 Daniels was rated as the nation's No. 2 dual-threat quarterback and No. 35 overall prospect in his class according to composite rankings of recruiting sites compiled by 247Sports. He enrolled at Arizona State early enough to participate in spring practice. Arizona State is doubling down on youth at the quarterback position, as true freshman Joey Yellen opens the season as Daniels' top backup.

            NORTH CAROLINA QB SAM HOWELL

            This former top-100 prospect verbally committed to Florida State in April 2018 but selected North Carolina during the December signing period after former Seminoles offensive coordinator Walt Bell left to take over Massachusetts' program. North Carolina coach Mack Brown announced Sunday that Howell would get most of the first-team reps for the rest of preseason practices. Brown said the 6-foot-1 freshman's consistency gave him an edge over redshirt freshmen Cade Fortin and Jace Ruder, who also have been competing for the starting quarterback job.

            SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA DE DRAKE JACKSON

            Jackson enrolled at USC early and made a highlight-worthy play in the Trojans' spring showcase by making a one-handed interception and scoring on the play. USC coach Clay Helton said afterward that the 6-4 freshman reminded him of New York Jets defensive lineman and former Trojans star Leonard Williams. Jackson was rated as the No. 56 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite.

            AUBURN QB BO NIX

            Nix is the son of Patrick Nix, who played for Auburn from 1992-95 and was the Tigers' starting quarterback when they went unbeaten in 1993. He's the nation's No. 1 dual-threat quarterback and No. 33 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite. He gained over 12,000 career yards and accounted for 161 touchdowns (127 passing, 34 rushing) at Pinson Valley High School to set Alabama state records in both categories. Nix, who is 6-2, beat out redshirt freshman Joey Gatewood for the right to start Auburn's Aug. 31 season opener with No. 11 Oregon at Arlington, Texas.

            LSU CB DEREK STINGLEY JR.

            Stingley was the nation's No. 1 prospect in his class according to Rivals and was rated third according to the 247Sports Composite. He covered LSU's top receivers and recorded an interception in the spring game. He likely will open the season as a starter and also could contribute as a kick returner. During spring practice, LSU defensive back Kary Vincent called Stingley ''a once-in-a-lifetime player to play with and a once-in-a-lifetime player to see.'' Stingley is the grandson of former New England Patriots receiver Darryl Stingley, whose NFL career ended after a head-on collision in a preseason game left him paralyzed. Stingley's father played minor league baseball and Arena Football.

            TEXAS RB JORDAN WHITTINGTON

            Whittington played wide receiver at Cuero (Texas) High School but moved to running back during spring practice and immediately won praise from coaches and teammates. Texas coach Tom Herman said it's ''one of the most amazing things I've seen in my 20-something years coaching is how a guy that's never played a position before in his life took to it that naturally.'' With incumbent starter Keaontay Ingram nursing a bruised knee during training camp, Whittington has had even more of an opportunity to make an impression. He's the nation's No. 34 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite.

            OTHER FRESHMEN TO WATCH

            Notre Dame defensive back Kyle Hamilton, Alabama linebacker Christian Harris, Georgia wide receiver George Pickens, Nebraska running back/receiver Wan'Dale Robinson, Oregon defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux, Tennessee linebacker Jordan To'o To'o, Ohio State receiver Garrett Wilson.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #7
              Reality Check: Why your Top 25 team could tank in 2019
              August 20, 2019
              By The Associated Press


              Sorry to be a bummer at a time of the year usually reserved for hope and optimism, but there is a decent chance your favorite college team is going to be a big disappointment this season.

              The preseason AP Top 25 presented by Regions Bank is out. There were no real surprises at the top. Defending champion Clemson is No. 1 and Alabama is No. 2. The Tigers and Crimson Tide have alternated winning the last four national championships.

              Georgia, which has had its national championship hopes dashed by `Bama the past two seasons, is No. 3. Oklahoma, working on a string of four straight Big 12 championships, is No. 4. Ohio State, with three Big Ten titles and a national championship in the last five years, landed at No. 5.

              Over the last 10 years, about 40 percent of the teams that have started the season ranked end it unranked. Obviously, the better the start the more likely it is a team stays in the rankings, but 19 preseason top-10 teams have finished the season unranked in that span. And seven of those were in the top five. Three times in the last 10 seasons, including last year, three top-10 teams finished unranked. The last time all the preseason top-10 teams managed to finish the season in the Top 25 was 2006.

              So give a look at that top 10, rounded out by No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Michigan, No. 8 Florida, No. 9 Notre Dame and No. 10 Texas. At least one of them is fixin' to break some hearts.

              The first Reality Check of the season assesses the chances for each Top 25 team to tank.

              No. 1 Clemson (15-0)

              Opener: vs. Georgia Tech.

              Reality check: The preseason poll started in 1950. Only two preseason No. 1 teams have failed to be in the final rankings (USC in 2012 was the last). The Tigers have history and, more importantly, Trevor Lawrence on their side.

              No. 2 Alabama (14-1)

              Opener: vs. Duke in Atlanta.

              Reality check: The Crimson Tide have not finished outside the top 10 since Nick Saban's first season. And he's still the coach.

              No. 3 Georgia (11-3)

              Opener: at Vanderbilt.

              Reality check: In 2013 and '15, Mark Richt's Georgia teams were preseason top 10 and finished unranked. Kirby Smart was brought in to stop that nonsense.

              No. 4 Oklahoma (12-2)

              Opener: vs. Houston.

              Reality check: The Sooners' path to ruin: The offense regresses from historically great to merely good with Jalen Hurts and the defense remains bad.

              No. 5 Ohio State (13-1)

              Opener: vs. FAU.

              Reality check: If Georgia transfer QB Justin Fields is a bust the Buckeyes aren't in position to bail him out.

              No. 6 LSU (10-3)

              Opener: vs. Georgia Southern.

              Reality check: OK, THIS is the year the Tigers open up the offense. What if that's a bad idea?

              No. 7 Michigan (10-3)

              Opener: vs. Middle Tennessee.

              Reality check: The optimism about the Wolverines has a lot to do with the uncertainty at Ohio State.

              No. 8 Florida (10-3)

              Opener: vs. Miami in Orlando, Florida.

              Reality check: The Gators' surge last season was inflated by a bowl victory against a Michigan team that sort of checked out.

              No. 9 Notre Dame (12-1)

              Opener: at Louisville.

              Reality check: The Irish expect offensive improvement to compensate for some defensive regression. Or, it doesn't and some of last season's one-score victories against so-so opposition go the other way this year.

              No. 10 Texas (10-4)

              Opener: vs. Louisiana Tech.

              Reality check: It wouldn't be the first time ''Texas is Back!'' went bad.

              No. 11 Oregon (9-4)

              Opener: vs. No. 16 Auburn in Arlington, Texas.

              Reality check: High expectations for a team that scored seven points in the RedBox Bowl and went 2-3 on the road last year.

              No. 12 Texas A&M (9-4)

              Opener: vs Texas State.

              Reality check: The Aggies, along with South Carolina, are the first team in 44 years to have preseason Nos. 1-3 on the schedule. They are a little bad luck away from a 6-6 season.

              No. 13 Washington (10-4)

              Opener: vs Eastern Washington.

              Reality check: New QB Jacob Eason has not played in a game in two years. He was a five-star recruit. But is he still?

              No. 14 Utah (9-5)

              Opener: at BYU.

              Reality check: The Utes have been great at exceeding modest expectations. Meeting high ones can be a different deal.

              No. 15 Penn State (9-4)


              Opener: vs. Idaho.

              Reality check: The Nittany Lions need lots of relatively inexperienced players, including at quarterback, to become stars and leaders.

              No. 16 Auburn (8-5)

              Opener: vs. No. 11 Oregon.

              Reality check: Failing to meet expectations is pretty much Auburn being Auburn. Then again, so is exceeding them.

              No. 17 UCF (12-1)

              Opener: vs. Florida A&M.

              Reality check: Two years removed from Scott Frost and without QB McKenzie Milton, a new era begins for college football's brash interlopers. Sustaining it is the toughest part.

              No. 18 Michigan State (7-6)

              Opener: vs. Tulsa.

              Reality check: The Spartans scored 32 points in their final four games last season. Coach Mark Dantonio is banking on a shuffled, though not new, offensive staff and better health at quarterback and receiver to fix it. Good luck.

              No. 19 Wisconsin (8-5)

              Opener: at USF.

              Reality check: The Badgers were last season's big bust, going from preseason No. 4 to unranked. Maybe it wasn't a fluke?

              No. 20 Iowa (9-4)

              Opener: vs. Miami (Ohio).

              Reality check: So two-year starting QB Nate Stanley is going to get BETTER after losing two first-round draft pick tight ends. Really?

              No. 21 Iowa State (8-5)

              Opener: vs. Northern Iowa.

              Reality check: There's a reason the Cyclones are in the preseason rankings for the first time since 1978. Winning in Ames is hard and doesn't happen very often.

              No. 22 Syracuse (10-3)


              Opener: at Liberty.

              Reality check: The Orange rode 31 takeaways, third-best in the nation, and a plus-13 margin (fifth best) to 10 victories last season. Regression is an uninvited and often unpleasant visitor.

              No. 23 Washington State (11-2)

              Opener: vs. New Mexico State.

              Reality check: Can coach Mike Leach find Minshew Magic with another new quarterback?

              No. 24 Nebraska (4-8)

              Opener: vs. South Alabama.

              Reality check: The last team to start a season ranked after a having record as bad or worse than the Cornhuskers was Alabama in 2001. The Tide was 25th after going 3-8 in 2000 and finished 7-5.

              No. 25 Stanford (9-4)

              Opener: vs. Northwestern.

              Reality check: After two straight nine-win season, the Cardinal have to prove they can get back the physical formula that helped them win at least 11 games five times from 2010-15.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #8
                Hot & Not Report - Week 1
                Matt Blunt

                Week of August 26th

                With last week's piece focusing on what's now come and gone for Week of the NFL preseason, I'd like to bid adieu to the NFL for just a week. The first full opening week of college football is upon us this week, and Week 4 of the NFL preseason is just a week that's best to take off unless you are really into researching and reading up the bottom halves of every NFL team's potential depth chart. Instead, it's on to the collegiate world this week with the emphasis being on two specific conferences: the Pac-12 and the SEC.

                These are two conferences that have been on opposite ends of the spectrum for the most part when in comes to discussing college football on the national stage the past few years, as the SEC is still the flag bearer for this sport in terms of overall depth, talent and churning out NFL-caliber players.

                But chaos can be beautiful too, and while the Pac-12 gets called out for its parity and how they never have one/two really elite teams, once conference play gets going, Pac-12 games can be some of the most entertaining out there because of that same parity in regards to it being up in the air as to who will win.

                Either way, there are some specific football programs from both conferences that have had good/bad runs in season openers the past few years, and they've drawn my eye for this week. And while trends are just simply a small piece of the entire picture, they can serve as a solid place to start in terms of game selection, so here are a few SEC/Pac-12 schools to hone in on as play on or against programs for this first game of the year.

                Who's Hot

                They'd better be wearing RED
                Alabama (4-0 ATS)
                Texas A&M (5-0 ATS)
                Georgia (4-1 ATS)
                Stanford (4-1 ATS)


                Right off the bat I've probably got to make the distinction that Texas A&M actually wears maroon as to not upset Aggies fans, but that's a close enough shade to red for me to include them in this group. Besides, with a 5-0 ATS run going in season opener's the past five years, and a home game on Thursday coming up for Texas A&M as massive -33.5 point favorites vs Texas State, there is a Day 1 game for bettors to sink their teeth into further.

                Furthermore, 'maroon' can be defined as a “brownish crimson” color which brings me to one of the other teams on this list in the Alabama Crimson Tide.

                Alabama has covered the number in each of their previous four season openers, and they've done so despite scheduling some 'supposed' tough opponents for themselves in that first game of a campaign. Louisville, Florida State, USC, and Wisconsin were all vanquished by Nick Saban's powerhouse program in season openers the past four years, and this week has Saban and the Tide laying 30+ against Duke. Considering Duke's in a bit of a transitional year with QB Daniel Jones moving on, bettors should probably not be afraid to lay all that chalk with Alabama this weekend. The spread has already been bumped a few points Alabama's way, and given that their average margin of victory against those quality foes in the past four season openers is still 32 points, blowing out a fresh-faced Duke team should be easily in the cards.

                Of the other teams listed above, Georgia's laying 20+ on the road in a SEC rivalry game against Vanderbilt (who are on a 4-0 ATS run in season openers themselves) in a spot that might be best to stay away from, while a ranked Stanford team hosts a ranked Northwestern team (in coaches poll) is laying about a TD (-6.5) at home.

                Stanford's going through a bit of a transitional phase this year too with Bryce Love having moved on, as it's on QB K.J Costello and a bunch of new faces to keep this proud program moving forward in the Pac-12. Given the schedule the Cardinal have – Northwestern, @ USC, vs Notre Dame only non-conference games – a SU and ATS win over the Wildcats later this week could propel Stanford on their way to one heck of a season. Recent history suggests we will get the best out of Stanford to start, and Northwestern as a fringe Top 25 team might be a little ambitious for Pat Fitzgerald's program.


                Who's Not

                The traditional 'basketball' schools
                Kentucky (0-4 ATS)
                UCLA (1-4 ATS)


                I did think about adding Missouri's 1-4 ATS run in season openers to this list as well, but then the header would have to be Wizard of Oz related (Lions, Tigers, and Bears, Oh my) and even then it's hard to truly consider 'wildcats' as 'lions'. So it's just the two traditional basketball schools from these conferences that get the spotlight this week and both better be prepared to shine brighter than they have in recent season openers if they want to gain some respect in the betting market.

                For UCLA, it's a road trip to Cincinnati as small road underdogs on Thursday, in a game that has already seen the Bruins take enough action to push them down and through that key number of +3.

                UCLA opened up in the +3.5/4 range way back when, and is currently sitting at+2.5 everywhere. It's Year 2 for Chip Kelly's team, and one that should bring plenty of improvement for this Bruins squad, but historically slow starts in openers has to give pause on jumping on board the Bruins now.

                Last year's season opener loss did come to this same Cincinnati team (26-17 loss) as double-digit home favorites for the Bruins, so the revenge angle is on their side, but having had this line move through that key number already, it's extremely hard to take the Bruins at +2.5 now based on a pure numbers perspective. With recent ATS history working against the Bruins as well, this could be one of those games that lands as a Cincinnati win by a FG in where UCLA's bad ATS run in season openers against the closing number continues. Keep an eye out for that.

                Kentucky is at home in Week 1 laying 10.5/11 points to a visiting Toledo team that won't be a push over. Toledo is expected to compete for a MAC title this year, and with nine returning starters on the defensive side of the ball, Kentucky's QB Terry Wilson better be prepared to show some growth in his passing game skills right from the outset.

                In fact, the MAC is still a conference that seemingly improves from top to bottom each year and gets treated like a doormat at times from some programs that are in bigger conferences but have suspect talent on the football field. Reputation on a name can only go so far, and Kentucky's in for a few changes this year as it is. That's not to say Toledo wins this game outright, but given the opponent, spread, and ATS historical history.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #9
                  Week 1 Upset Alerts
                  Matt Blunt

                  After these pieces became highly popular last year, we had to bring them back for the 2019 college football season, one that is about 48 hours from really getting going. Not only were these underdog pieces popular, they also ended up turning a profit in the end, going 22-18 ATS, although the bulk of that damage was done thanks to the highly successful run backing 20+ underdogs.

                  Hopefully we can find a bit more balance in terms of projecting ATS winners in the smaller underdog ranges, as chances are a 11-2 ATS run with the 20+ underdogs won't happen again. The goal is to always improve and keep producing winners, and hopefully that continues as these pieces pop up every week as the college football season goes on.

                  The first full opening week always brings a plethora of 20+ underdogs as late August-early September is still great for the cupcake business in college football for those teams that prefer to indulge in that practice still. The really good teams are realizing that they need quality non-conference wins on their resume as well, so there is some abandonment of loading up a team's early schedule with FCS and much weaker FBS teams, but non-conference time in college football brings plenty of significant chalk, and bettors better be able to back a few of these hefty underdogs because they do cover spreads.

                  So let's get right to this year's opening underdogs, as we may be a month or two away from “MACtion” but it is the MAC Conference that gets the bulk of the spotlight out of the gate this year.

                  Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

                  YTD: 0-0 SU; 0-0 ATS

                  Ole Miss (+5.5) vs Memphis

                  The Memphis Tigers should be a player again in the AAC when all is said and done, but even against an Ole Miss team that's in a bit of a transitional year with their highly talented WR core moving on and a freshman QB, this is still a step up in class in competition level for Memphis.

                  That's not to say the Tigers aren't ready for it, but this is a team that couldn't take advantage of beating UCF last year without their starting QB, and defensively there is still a lot to be desired with the Tigers. Mississippi is still an SEC team with eight returning on defense. SEC defenses are known to be stout in non-conference play no matter who the SEC team actually is, and it's that physicality that I'm not sure Memphis will be ready for out of the gates.

                  The market has already pushed this line down to +5,5 after opening at +6 and currently showing a healthy majority backing the Memphis Tigers as well. That's the first sign that this number might be too high and/or bettors are discrediting a rebuilding Mississippi team too much. As a program, Memphis is on a 1-9-1 ATS run against SEC foes which also suggests that facing any SEC opponent is a step up in class Memphis has struggled with for years now.

                  If I took away the team names and just told you that the SEC team was catching 5+ points on the road against an AAC team, chances are many would be looking to take the points with the SEC. Obviously it's not as simple as that as the individual teams do matter, but Ole Miss deserves more respect coming out of the gate, and hopefully the end result is as simple as backing the team from the much better conference.


                  Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

                  YTD: 0-0 SU; 0-0 ATS

                  Toledo +12 vs Kentucky

                  I touched on a possible reason for fading Kentucky this week given the struggles the school has had in season openers the past few years earlier in the week here, and that's always a nice piece to add to the puzzle of this play as well.

                  But similar to people potentially sleeping on Ole Miss and how good (or more specifically, won't be as bad) they are, Toledo is a team that should make plenty of noise in the MAC, and Kentucky's got their own transitional period to deal with on the team this year.

                  Kentucky QB Terry Wilson will be called upon to be a much better passer from the outset this season, as there will be no more heavy reliance on Benny Snell out of the backfield. The Wildcats defense will still be the strength of this team, but that could easily take a step back too, as it's still just Week 1 remember and it's going to take some time for this Kentucky team to develop and reach it's full potential.

                  Toledo is a team that's loaded with veteran, returning experience basically across the board on offense, as there are 7 returning starters on offense for them – including their QB Michell Guadagni returning from injury – and all of them are seniors. That type of experience will serve Toledo well in going into Kentucky on Saturday, and with the market move already on Toledo in a similar fashion to what we've seen on Ole Miss – majority backing Kentucky, spread moved Toledo's way from +13.5 to +12 – this is another underdog move worth following.


                  Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

                  YTD: 0-0 ATS

                  Miami (Ohio) +21.5 vs Iowa

                  The theme basically remains the same here, as I'm not ready to believe in an Iowa team to win by more than 3 TD's out of the gate, as this is a program that doesn't seemingly blowout anyone.

                  Iowa enters the year ranked in the Top 25, and as part of the highly intriguing Big 10 conference, it will be interesting to see where Iowa's season ultimately shakes out. But I'd venture a guess that they won't end up ranked when all is said and done, even if they do avoid some potential powerhouses in Michigan State and Ohio State on the season.

                  But this game against Miami (Ohio) is one right before Big 10 play essentially begins for the Hawkeyes with Rutgers coming to town next week. There really is no looking past Miami Ohio in terms of looking ahead to Rutgers, but every conference game is going to be critical in the Big 10 for programs that believe they've got a shot at winning the conference, so there is always the notion that Iowa could build a big lead early here and then put things on cruise control to stay healthy going into next week. Covering through that backdoor is a big part of these 20+ underdogs hitting, and I expect that door to be open through the entirety of this one.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #10
                    Paul Leiner

                    CFB & MLB Picks 8/31

                    100* Toledo +11
                    100* Florida State -6.5
                    100* Phillies -110
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #11
                      Falcon Sports


                      Boise St (+210) CFB

                      Boston College (+160) CFB
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358349

                        #12
                        John Martin

                        Aug 31 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
                        NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Memphis
                        Play on: Ole Miss +5 -105 at 5Dimes

                        1 Unit FREE PLAY on Ole Miss +5
                        I have to side with the SEC team as an underdog to the AAC team in Memphis here. Head coach Matt Luke has all his players in place now as he enters his third year with the Rebels. And he brought in two former head coaches in Rich Rodriquez to coach the offense and Mike MacIntyre to coach the defense. These were two of the best coordinator hires of the offseason. The defense will be greatly improved with 10 returning starters on that side of the ball. The offense is inexperienced, but loaded with talent thanks to the job Luke has done in recruiting. This is an offense that put up 511 yards per game last year and will be one of the top offenses in the country again. Ole Miss will have the talent edge at almost every position on the field in this game. Give me Ole Miss.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358349

                          #13
                          Andre Ramirez

                          Aug 31 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
                          NCAA-F | South Alabama vs Nebraska
                          Play on: UNDER 67 -110

                          CFB 100 DIME OFFSHORE GOY
                          67 UNDER
                          Nebraska will give South Alabama a beating of its life time. I like Nebraska to put up 45 points on the board. According to algorithm 1, I have South Alabama putting up no more than 17 points. The over has cashed in 7 of 10 games, but they where real schools that had offense. Last year Nebraska beat Bethune-Cookman 45-9, which is a nobody school just like South Alabama.
                          Nebraska wins 45-17
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358349

                            #14
                            Jack Jones

                            Aug 31 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
                            NCAA-F | Toledo vs Kentucky
                            Play on: Toledo +12 -110 at Mirage

                            Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Toledo +12
                            The upset-minded Toledo Rockets hit the road for their season opener to take on the Kentucky Wildcats. They have had great preparation leading up to this game all offseason knowing that they’d be facing an SEC team to start their season. The Rockets are relishing this opportunity.
                            Toledo certainly has the makings of one of the best teams in the MAC this year. They return 11 starters from a team that went 7-6 last year. Their offense will be explosive after putting up 40.4 points per game a season ago. They bring back QB Mitchell Guadagni and their top two rushers from last season. They also have their most experienced offensive line in years and should control the line of scrimmage in most games.
                            The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off one of their best seasons in program history with a 10-3 record last year. That team was loaded with 15 returning starters, but this looks to be a rebuilding year with only eight starters back. The Wildcats rank 105th in the country in terms of returning experience.
                            The losses are huge on defense from a unit that only gave up 16.8 points per game last year. They lose Josh Allen, who was a Top 5 pick last year after registering a whopping 17 sacks. They lost four of their top five tacklers on defense and only bring back four starters on that side of the ball. Kentucky also loses all-everything RB Benny Snell, who rushed for 1,449 yards and 16 TD. Those two are irreplaceable for a team like Kentucky.
                            Kentucky is 1-9 ATS as a home favorite over the last three seasons. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in non-conference home games over the last three years. The Rockets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. The Wildcats are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 home games. Bet Toledo Saturday.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358349

                              #15
                              Rob Vinciletti

                              Aug 31 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
                              NCAA-F | Akron vs Illinois
                              Play on: Akron +19 -110 at Mirage

                              The College Football Comp Play is on Akron plus the 19 points at noon eastern. In this game we have a nice system that has hit 30 of 38 times long term by playing against game 1 favorites of 10 or more that won 5 or less last season vs a team that won 4 or more. Which play against Illinois here today. Illinois has failed to cover 4 straight as a favorite and barely beat MAC Conference Kent last season in their opener as an 18 point favorite as they have now failed to cover 10 of 13 vs MAC teams and the last 5 in August games. Akron has covered the last 2 as a road dog of 17 to 21 so we will play on them to keep it closer than expected. . For the Free play take Akron plus the 19. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
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