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Single Plays
Toledo +11.5 over Kentucky
Georgia Southern +27.5 over LSU
Georgia -21 over Vandy
Louisiana Tech +20.5 over Texas
Northwestern--Stanford under 47.5
Saturday CFB: 3 Unit Play. Take #167 Akron +18.5 over Illinois (12:00 PM, Saturday, August 31, Big 10 Network) Illinois has posted a 1-5 ATS record in their last six games played on FieldTurf and they have failed to cover the number in each of their last five games played in the month of August. They are also just 3-10 ATS in their last thirteen games where they faced a team from the MAC and they closed out their 2018 season by going 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. Throw in the fact that the Illini gave up 39.4 PPG last season and that the Zips are returning seven starters on offense and we like Akron to be able to score enough to stay within the number in Champaign on Saturday afternoon. 7 Unit Play. Take #171 Toledo +12 over Kentucky (12:00 PM, Saturday, August 31, SEC Network) Kentucky has posted a 4-12 ATS record in their last sixteen non-conference games and they have gone an awful 8-23 ATS in their last 31 home contests. The Wildcats are also coming into the 2019 season off their best season in 40+ years and we expect there to be some sort of regression with them here, especially early on. They lost their best player on both sides of the ball and they now have to open up against a Toledo team that returns both of their QB's and that put up over 40 PPG last season. Throw in the fact that the Rockets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games along with the fact that Kentucky is an awful 0-10 ATS in their last ten at home where they were listed as the favorite and we're taking the points here with Toledo in a game that we have a bit closer than the odds makers do in 4 Unit Play. Take #175 Mississippi +5.5 over Memphis (12:00 PM, Saturday, August 31, ABC) Memphis has posted a 3-8 ATS record in their last eleven non-conference games and they have failed to cover the number in ten of their last eleven games versus a team from the SEC. Ole Miss, on the other hand, has been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference contests. Throw in the fact that the Rebels are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between the two teams and we're taking the points with them here in a game that we think they have a decent chance to win outright in Memphis on Saturday afternoon. 4 Unit Play. Take #181 South Carolina -10.5 over North Carolina (3:30 PM, Saturday, August 31, ESPN) South Carolina has posted a 6-1 ATS record in their last seven neutral site games and they have gone an excellent 12-5 ATS in their last seventeen games versus a team from the ACC. North Carolina, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five non-conference and they have failed to cover the number in five of their last six neutral site contests. Throw in the fact that the Gamecocks have won fourteen straight season openers against non-conference teams and we're laying the points with them here in a game that our numbers have them winning by 14+ in Charlotte on Saturday afternoon. 4 Unit Play. Take #187/188 Virginia Tech vs Boston College Under 58.5 (4:00 PM, Saturday, August 31, ACC Network) The Hokies closed out their 2018 season by going under the total in five of their last seven road games while the Eagles were 4-1 to the under in their last five games overall. Throw in the fact that BC is also 44-21-3 to the under in their last 68 ACC games, that they are going to try and control the clock with the running game and that the Hokies return ten on defense and we're playing the under as we don't see how this one gets close to the total in Chestnut Hill on Saturday afternoon. 6 Unit Play. Take #193 SMU +2.5 over Arkansas St (7:00 PM, Saturday, August 31) We think we have two teams going in opposite directions here when SMU hits the road to take on Arkansas St. The Red Wolves are replacing last years Sun Belt player of the year at the QB position and they come into the game on Saturday with new offensive and defensive coordinators. SMU, on the other hand, had a respectable 5-7 season last year, a year where they played four teams in the Top 20 and now they return ten of their top eleven tacklers on defense along with a group of higher end WR's that we think will click immediately with QB transfer Shane Buechele from Texas. Throw in the fact that the Red Wolves usually have a pretty strong home field advantage and that they are giving less than a FG here and we think the wrong side is the favorite here so we're taking the points with the Mustangs in a game that we have them winning outright on the road on Saturday evening. 4 Unit Play. Take #198 Iowa -21.5 over Miami (OH) (7:30 PM, Saturday, August 31, FS1) Iowa has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five non-conference games and they have gone an excellent 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games played on FieldTurf. Miami, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven versus a team from the Big 10 and they are an even worse 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference contests. Throw in the fact that Iowa is 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games and we're laying the big number with them here in a game that we think they win in blowout fashion in Iowa City on Saturday night. 3 Unit Play. Take #201 Georgia -22 over Vanderbilt (7:30 PM, Saturday, August 31, SEC Network) Georgia has posted a perfect 4-0 ATS record in their last four SEC games and they have gone an excellent 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road contests. They have also added one of the best recruiting classes in the country to a team that already had NFL caliber players at many positions. As for Vandy, they are young and undersized in this match-up with a conference big boy and when you throw in the fact that they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six at home where they were listed as an underdog, we're laying the points with Georgia in what we expect to be an early season statement game from a team that has thoughts of being the four-team playoff at the end of the season. 3 Unit Play. Take #207 Oregon +3.5 over Auburn (7:30 PM, Saturday, August 31, ABC) At first glance, this one may look easy in laying the points with an SEC team over a team from a Pac-12 Conference that hasn't looked great in recent years and lost this same game last year with Washington falling to Auburn. However, this Ducks team has a few things going for them that the Huskies just didn't have last year. Oregon brings back an offensive line that returns a total of 153 starts, making them the most experienced offensive line in the country in the last eight years. They also have a huge advantage under center with Justin Herbert, who will be making his 29th career start compared to true freshman Jacob Nix, who will be making his first start ever for the Tigers. This probably would have been a bigger play for us if the Ducks weren't 4-12 straight up away from home over the last three seasons but we think they have enough to get the win here so we're taking more than a field goal here with them in Arlington on Saturday evening. 5 Unit Play. Take #209 Louisiana Tech +20.5 over Texas (8:00 PM, Saturday, August 31, Longhorn Network) In what will probably be a reoccurring theme for us this season, we're playing against the Texas Longhorns as we think they are one of the most overrated teams in the country coming into the 2019 season. For some reason, they are listed as the #10 team in the country yet they lost all of their front seven on defense, their leading rusher and receiver and they return only eight overall starters, placing them tied for last in the country with that number. They're also getting a little push due to their bowl win over Georgia but we have a feeling that the Bulldogs just didn't want to be there after missing out on the CFB Playoff. Throw in the fact that Texas HC Tom Herman is an awful coach when listed as the favorite (14-22-2 ATS), that Texas has lost each of their last two season openers outright where they were listed as a double-digit favorite, that the Longhorns have a big match-up with LSU on deck and that LA Tech HC Skip Holtz is on a lights out 14-4-1 ATS run as an underdog and we're taking the big number here with the Bulldogs in a game that we think they keep close until the final buzzer in Austin on Saturday night. 3 Unit Play. Take #213 Fresno St +13.5 over USC (10:0 PM, Saturday, August 31, ESPN) Fresno has posted a 5-1 ATS record in their last six non-conference games and they have gone an impressive 14-3-1 ATS in their last eighteen road contests. The Trojans, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference games and they are an awful 3-9 ATS in their last twelve home games. Throw in the fact that USC is also just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall while Fresno is 27-7-1 ATS in their last 35 and we're taking the points here with the Bulldogs in a game that we have a bit closer than the odds makers do in LA on Saturday night.
Saturday card has an Executive Level TIER 1 College Football side and 3 More Best Bets including Oregon at Auburn. All from powerful week 1 systems. We also have Another big MLB Card up which swept last night. NCAAF Comp Play below
The College Football Comp Play is on Akron plus the 19 points at noon eastern. In this game we have a nice system that has hit 30 of 38 times long term by playing against game 1 favorites of 10 or more that won 5 or less last season vs a team that won 4 or more. Which play against Illinois here today. Illinois has failed to cover 4 straight as a favorite and barely beat MAC Conference Kent last season in their opener as an 18 point favorite as they have now failed to cover 10 of 13 vs MAC teams and the last 5 in August games. Akron has covered the last 2 as a road dog of 17 to 21 so we will play on them to keep it closer than expected. On Saturday we storm into labor day weekend with a Big College Football card led by an Executive level masterpiece, Oregon vs Auburn and 2 more Best bets. We also have another big MLB Card after sweeping last night. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Free play take Akron plus the 19. ROB V- Golden Contender Sports
Eastman
3-Unit Play. Take First Half #183 Duke (+21) over Alabama (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 31)
I think that Duke is going to be able to stay with the Crimson Tide in the first half of this game. Alabama is coming off another season making the college playoffs. They are working toward a national championship this year and they know that this one game won't make a difference. Nick Saban has suspended four key players for the first half of this game for missing a team meeting. That includes their top two running backs from last year, Najee Harris and Brian Robinson. The Crimson Tide were already without top freshman running back Trey Sanders. That is a big blow to an Alabama offense that likes to run the ball. I can see Saban being very conservative in the first half in this one. Duke should be able to take advantage and cover the first half line.
4-Unit Play. Take #204 Pittsburgh (+2.5) over Virginia (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 31)
I will take the home underdog in this game. This is an early season ACC matchup and I give the edge to the home team. Pittsburgh won the ACC Coastal Division last season and they have several key players back from that team. The Panthers went into Charlottesville and beat Virginia last year. That game was not close, as Pittsburgh was up 21-0 in that one. Virginia should not be favored in this game. They are just 4-22 straight up on the road over the last four years. Two of those four wins are at Duke. Last year Virginia's only road win was at Duke. This is a much tougher task. Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 ACC games. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in the last six in this series and I like them to get the outright win here.
5-Unit Play. Take #215 Houston (+23) over Oklahoma (7:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 1)
I will take the points in this game. Houston has a new coach in Dana Holgorsen. He is used to game planning for Oklahoma from his time in the Big 12 with Oklahoma State and West Virginia. Holgorsen is an offensive coach and I think that his team will be able to trade points with Oklahoma in this one. The Sooners have a new starting quarterback in Jalen Hurts and a new defensive coordinator in Alex Grinch. I think that it is going to take a little while for both of these new guys to really make an impact. And I don't think that the Sooners will get off to as fast of a start this season as they have the new QB learning the new offense and a whole defense learning a new scheme. Houston has veteran quarterback D'Eriq King back and he has been outstanding in his career. He is leading a veteran offense. Houston beat Oklahoma outright in their last meeting in the 2016 opener. I don't think that will be the case here but I can see them keeping it close. I see a 49-30 win for the home team and Houston will cover this number.
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