9-4-08

[Mr. IWS]

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

1 STAR: (908) DETROIT (+$141) over LA Angels
(Listing Rogers only)
(Risking $100 to win $141)
12:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (901) PITTSBURGH (+$114) over Cincinnati
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $114)
11:35AM Central Time

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

Dunkel Index - NFL

Washington at NY Giants
Jim Zorn takes over the helm of a Washington team that upset the Giants on the road (22-10) in Week 14 of last season. The Redskins are the underdog pick (+3 1/2) in the opener according to Dunkel, which has the game even.

Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2).

Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/31)

Game 451-452: Washington at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 135.248; NY Giants 135.636
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

Ferrrringo's baseball plays

1-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (+100) over Toronto (7 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay (-160) over New York Yankees (7 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 4)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 New York Yankees at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 4)

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

Frank Rosenthal

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 04, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB
901 PIRATES OVER 9.5 SB+
907 ANGELS-150 SB
912 RAYS-165 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL - WEEK 1
452 GMEN-4 SB
UNDER 41.5 SB

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
COLLEGE FOOTBALL THURSDAY
301 SO CAROLINA-9.5 SB

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

Vegas Sports experts 3* NCAA South Carolina -10. GL

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

3Daily Winners

Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants (NFL)
Play: Point Spread: -4.5/-107 New York Giants

Its opening night of a new season and Roger the Commish and his minions give us an old-fashioned NFC East rivalry to kick-off a new 17-week regular season. The Giants start under the leadership of Eli Manning, no longer challenged if he can be The Man in New York. The Giants do have problems coming into the season with injuries, free agency and retirement taking away many of the aspects that contributed to spectacular late season run. This is not to say the cupboard is bare on defense for the G-Men, rather signals defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have to meet the challenge with new personnel. Last year the Giants were 6-0 ATS when they held teams between 15 and 21 points. Washington has given unproven Jim Zorn the keys to the Redskins present and future, with plenty of doubt surrounding the environment. While quarterback Jason Campbell strives to learn yet another offensive system, how the running game works will determine early season success or failure of Washington. The offensive line brought back a couple of old faces that were injured last season, but essentially the group is the same, meaning Clinton Portis will have to use his vision and shiftiness to find holes. The Giants will try to clog running lanes; to stifle Skins attack and make Campbell hit many of his new receivers. Washington arrives in New Jersey 13-5-1 ATS against NFC East opponents. The Giants are 10-6 and 9-7 ATS hosting Washington since 1992, with the visitor having covered three in a row. Serious football bettors will want to watch how Redskins T Stephen Heyer handles DE Justin Tuck. Heyer is descent player who gives good effort. Tuck has high motor and quickness off the ball. Whoever wins this battle will help team immeasurably. Another battle is Plaxico Burress vs. Shawn Springs. When Plax plays like he did in the postseason, he is unstoppable in all the various pass routes. Springs is intelligent defender, and will try to jam Burress to throw off timing routes of which Manning is extremely comfortable throwing. Lastly, will Manning be able to have TE Kevin Boss as reliable bailout? Boss looked uncertain in preseason. This could cause teams to double Burress if they don’t fear Boss or any other Giants tight ends. Washington is 5-5 and 2-6-2 ATS in first game of the season and 6-10 ATS on the road the last two seasons. New York is also .500 in first tilt, with exact same spread record at 5.5. Keep in mind the Super Bowl champs are 6-0-1 ATS in first game the next season. Add it up and New York is the play, unless it goes to -5 points, than pass.

Bob Harvey

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (MLB)
Play: Total: 9/105 Under

Both teams are coming off being swept. The Mets took the broom to the Brewers, while the Padres failed to win a game during their three-game set against the Dodgers. The common thread in both series was lack of offense. So who gets the advantage between two sliding team’s? In this case, I'll side with Milwaukee. The Brewers played a day-game at Shea Stadium on Wednesday and got back home in plenty of time to rest and prepare for the Padres. San Diego meanwhile had a night game in Los Angeles followed by the long trip to Wisconsin. The Padres arrived early this morning so they’ve got to be dragging. Both teams have been struggling offensively. The Brew Crew scored a total of nine runs in the New York series while the Padres have scored a total of 12 runs in their last four outings. This will be the fourth meeting of the year between these two teams with the previous three games staying well UNDER the total. Jeff Suppan goes for the Brewers while the Padres will counter with Shawn Estes. I never been a believer in what day of the week you play makes a big difference. However, for what it’s worth, the Padres are 14-3 to the UNDER on Thursday’s. Overall this year San Diego has played to low side 72-62 while the Brewers have posted a record of 59-72. Milwaukee’s totals mark is a bit misleading considering all the high numbers they’ve faced this season. The bottom line? You’ve got two tired teams that have a history of playing close, low scoring games. Look for that trend to continue tonight.

Joseph D'Amico

LAA Angels vs. Detroit Tigers (MLB) -
Play: Money Line: -155 LAA Angels

After a great openeing weekend in football,we won't rest on our laurel's. We have the winner in tonight's Giant's/redskin's matchup . We will also have up all of our weekend winner's by this afternoon. Hello my name is Joseph D'Amico. Today's Free Winner is the Los Angeles Angel's over the Detroit Tiger's. The Angel's continue to prove that they are one of the best teams in baseball at 84-54 and are literally runnung away with the division as they are 16 1/2 games ahead of the 2nd place Texas Ranger's. Los Angeles is the only team in baseball with 40+ wins on the road at 41-26 away from home. Detroit struggles at 67-72 and 11 games out of first in the A.L. Central. The Tiger's have lost 7 of their last 10 games at home. These two teams have played 8 times this season with L.A. winning 5 of those games. As a matter of fact, the Angel's own the Tiger's winning a whopping 42 of their last 56 meetings with Detroit. For Los Angeles today Santana is on the mound. he is 9-2 on the road with an ERA of 3.30. The right-hander is 2-0 against the tiger's this season in 15.1 innings pitched and an ERA of just 2.93. for Detroit ,Rogers gets the start. he is 3-5 with an ERA of 4.79 at home this season. In the left-handers last three starts ,he is 1-2 with an ERA of 7.50. Los Angeles would certainly like home field throughout the playoffs. The only way to do that is to win as many games as possible over the next month. This means beating up on lesser tems like the Tiger's.


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Today, 11:25 AM

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): WASHINGTON REDSKINS vs NY GIANTS


Play: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5 (free play)
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: WASHINGTON REDSKINS +4.5 (free play) ^^^ We're not expecting much offense from either team. Both defenses are injured but this is the black and blue division of the NFC, so don't expect a blowout. With that said, a +4.5 line is more than generous for a dog. It is the first game of the season and this is a free play so don't go overboard because it's opening day. Sunday is around the corner and there's a full card of better games to play. Play it conservative and lets start the season with a dog to bark at +4.5

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

Sports Gambling Hotline

Washington at NY GIANTS

We have a few reasons why we like the UNDER in the NFL tonight.

Let's start with the fact that both series meetings last year stayed UNDER the posted total. That makes 3 of the last 4, and 6 of the last 9 overall meetings between these division rivals having played LOW.

Then you have the fact that Washington is breaking in a new coach in Jim Zorn who is busy implimenting his new coaches, and sytems, and you kind of get the feeling that starting quarterback Jason Campbell, who is now on his third new offensive coordinator in his first four years in the league, is going to struggle getting his offense into the end zone.

The Giants finished the season last year, by playing UNDER in 6 of their final 9 games, including 3 of their 4 in the postseason.

The Giants do like to pound away with their running game, so expect the clock to keep moving in this game, and for the Redskins and Giants to hold UNDER the posted price this Thursday night.

Play the LOW.

3* UNDER

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

I have thoroughly looked over the site he is at and the cappers there (including him) look pretty awful. Last night not even one of them produced a positive result. I hope you don't get burried following these season totals from Teddy Sevransky.
Best of luck to you man.

20* NE Pats under 12.5

The following are all 10*
Ravens Under 6
Bills Over 7.5
Bears Under 8
Browns Under 8.5
Texans Over 7.5
KC Under 6
Vikings Over 8.5
Saints Over 8.5
Rams Under 6.5

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

HONDO

Hondo, who swept Tuesday night with the Yanks and Indians, stormed right back yesterday afternoon and scored with the White Sox to up the earnings to 715 stiebs.

Today, he hopes to turn a fast buck by going against Slowey - 10 units on the Blue Jays.

Giants over Redskins:
The No More Shockey Factor trumps the Super Bowl Winner Letdown Theory. Lay 'em and slay 'em.

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

THE SPORTS REPORTER

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

*NY GIANTS over WASHINGTON by 6
The Zorn-for-Gibbs move means a more efficient offense for the Redskins, even if they haven?t shown it yet. Nor would anyone be surprised to see Redskins? veteran Todd Collins come off the bench at some point of this game, to give the Washington offense a lift if Jason Campbell still can?t spark a unit filled with decent offensive talent. But that would mean that
Washington is trailing, and attempting a comeback against an opponent that has a well-balanced offense with an ability to control the clock and make coming from behind harder than it normally would be. The Giants? defense got 58 sacks when it had Omenyiora and Strahan at the ends last year. Neither is there now, but defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuola is liable to blitz from anywhere, the Giants secondary is pretty good in coverage, and
Washington?s best wide receivers won?t be out-jumping anybody. Redskins have a nice defense, too, but Jason Taylor?s absence offsets the Giants? DE woes. The Giants sobered up from a Super Bowl hangover when they watched tape of their mistake-filled, weather-blown Week 15 home loss to Washington last season. NY GIANTS, 27-21.


COLLEGE FOOTBALL

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4
SOUTH CAROLINA over *VANDERBILT by 11
Of South Carolina?s 34 points last week, 21 came in the fourth quarter against a tired defense that realized that the offense was not about to chip in. Spurrier?s offense lacks play-makers, but should find some success between the tackles and via play-action. Vandy?s resurgent QB Nickson can create problems with his legs, but his squad won?t come close to the 5.4 ypc
that they hit against Miami-OH. Both teams put up 34 points in week one, so if Vegas gets lazy, the UNDER could be a solid play. SOUTH CAROLINA, 24-13.

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NFL

Washington at N.Y. Giants
The defending Super Bowl champion Giants kick off the NFL?s 2008 season at home against the NFC East rival Redskins, who are looking for a return trip to the playoffs, this time under first-year coach Jim Zorn.
New York (10-6 SU and ATS in 2007) won three of its last five regular-season games to earn a wild-card spot, then left the Big Apple for four straight weeks en route to four straight playoff upsets. The Giants capped their stunning run with a 17-14 Super Bowl victory over previously unbeaten New England as a 12?-point underdog, the franchise?s third Super Bowl title.
Washington (9-7, 7-7-2 ATS in 2007) was a surprise guest at the 2007 playoff party, closing the season with four straight wins to steal a wild-card spot. However, the Redskins? postseason stay didn?t last long, as they went scoreless for three quarters in an opening-round game at Seattle, then gave up three fourth-quarter TDs in a 35-14 loss to the Seahawks as a three-point underdog.
Giants QB Eli Manning, who had a serviceable regular season (3,336 passing yards, 23 TDs, 20 INTs), threw just one INT in the playoffs versus six TD tosses, including the title winner to Plaxico Burress in the final minute of play. Manning and Burress return to an offense that averaged 23.3 points and 331.4 yards per game, both of which ranked in the middle of the NFL?s pack.
Defensively, New York yielded 21.9 points and 305 yards per outing, the latter ranking fifth-best in the league. However, gone are defensive line stalwarts Michael Strahan (retirement) and Osi Umenyiora (season-ending injury), who combined for 22 sacks last year.
After starting QB Jason Campbell (knee) went down late last year, journeyman Todd Collins took over the offense and helped the Redskins to their late-season flourish. Campbell, who will return to his starting role, completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,700 yards in 13 games last year, with a TD-to-INT ratio of 12-11. Washington put up 20.9 points and 333.4 yards per game in 2007, and yielded 19.4 points and 305.2 yards per outing.
Including the playoffs, the Giants were a moneymaking machine away from home last year, going 10-2 ATS in road/neutral site games. In East Rutherford, however, they were 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS, failing to cash in three of their last four home games. New York was also 6-4 ATS laying points last year and split the cash in its six division games. On the positive end, Tom Coughlin?s club enters 2008 on ATS streaks of 6-0 overall (playoffs included), 16-6 since late 2006, 5-1 in conference play and 9-4-1 inside the NFC East.
The Redskins went 4-4 SU and 4-3-1 ATS on the road last year, though they did cash in back-to-back roadies against the Giants and Vikings in December en route to making the playoffs. Washington is on a 4-1 ATS run overall but is just 9-19-4 ATS in its last 32 September games and 2-6-2 ATS in its past 10 season openers.
These two teams split last year?s season series, with the road team scoring an upset in each contest. The favorite is on a 5-2 ATS run in the last seven clashes.
Defending Super Bowl champs are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven years in these season-opening prime-time affairs.
For Washington, the under has cashed in five straight season openers and is on further runs of 6-1-1 in September and 17-8-3 against the NFC East. Meanwhile, for New York, the under is on streaks of 5-1 in division play and 5-1 inside the conference. Finally, the under has been the play in five straight series meetings at Giants Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. GIANTS and UNDER



COLLEGE FOOTBALL

(24) South Carolina (1-0 SU and ATS) at Vanderbilt (1-0 SU and ATS)
Two teams coming off impressive blowout wins open the SEC campaign against one another, as Steve Spurrier takes South Carolina to Vanderbilt for a battle with the Commodores in a nationally televised affair.
The Gamecocks looked sluggish in taking just a 3-0 first-half lead last Thursday against N.C. State, but then exploded for 31 points after the break en route to a 34-0 victory as a 14-point home favorite. South Carolina, which snapped a five-game SU and six-game ATS losing skid with the win and cover, was dominant on defense, allowing just 138 total yards (49 passing) while forcing four turnovers.
Vanderbilt went to Miami (Ohio) last Thursday as a 3?-point road underdog and rolled to a 34-13 upset victory, snapping a four-game slide (1-3 ATS) that dated to the end of the 2007 campaign. The Commodores had just a 20-yard edge in total offense (360-340), but they had 269 rushing yards, while the defense picked off three Miami (Ohio) passes.
South Carolina will have revenge in mind tonight after last season?s stunning 17-6 loss to Vandy as a 13-point home favorite ? a defeat that started the Gamecocks? season-ending five-game slide and snapped a seven-game winning streak over the Commodores. The visitor has dominated this rivalry from a pointspread perspective, going 5-0 ATS in the last five clashes, and South Carolina has won five straight at Vandy.
The Gamecocks are on ATS streaks of 9-3 against winning teams, 10-3-1 on the road, 5-1 in September and 4-0 on Thursday nights. However, they failed to cash in their last four SEC games in 2007. Meanwhile, the Commodores are 10-2 ATS in their past 12 in September, but 5-11 ATS in their last 16 at home and 3-6 ATS in the last nine as a home pup
After a shaky outing from starting QB Tommy Beecher last week (12 completions, 4 INTs), Spurrier has turned his offense over to sophomore Chris Smelley, who went 5-for-5 for 92 yards and two TD passes in relief of Beecher versus N.C. State. However, last year at Vandy, Smelley finished 14-for-24 for just 154 yards with no TDs and two INTS.
For Vanderbilt, the under is on runs of 10-3 overall, 7-1 at home, 8-1 in SEC play and 6-1 in September. Meanwhile, the under is 5-2 in South Carolina?s last seven overall and 25-9 in its last 34 on the highway.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SOUTH CAROLINA and UNDER




AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (75-64) at Tampa Bay (84-53)
The Yankees gun for an important three-game sweep of the first-place Rays, but to do so they?ll need Darrell Rasner (5-9, 5.08 ERA) to outpitch Tampa ace Scott Kazmir (10-6, 3.13).
Despite cruising to wins of 7-2 on Tuesday and 8-4 on Wednesday, New York still trails the first-place Rays by 10 games in the A.L. East and wild-card-leading Boston by 6? games. The Yankees have won six straight on the road, scoring 50 runs in the six contests. However, they?re 5-11 in Rasner?s last 16 starts overall and 2-7 in his last nine on the highway.
Tampa Bay has followed up a five-game winning streak with consecutive losses, and its A.L. East lead over Boston is down to three games. The Rays are still on impressive runs of 23-9 overall, 48-14 at home, 55-27 against right-handed starters, 36-19 against winning teams and 5-2 versus A.L. East rivals. Tampa is also 16-5 in Kazmir?s last 21 trips to the mound overall and 20-8 in his last 28 outings at home.
New York has now won nine of the last 12 meetings with the Rays, including the last four in a row.
Rasner has just one quality start in his last 10 outings, and he?s surrendered 10 runs (seven earned) in his last two outings spanning 9 1/3 innings, with the Yankees beating Baltimore 8-7 on the road and losing to Toronto 7-6 at home. The right-hander is just 2-6 with a 5.53 ERA on the road, and tonight marks his first career start against Tampa Bay.
Kazmir is 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his last three starts, allowing five runs in 17 1/3 innings, with Tampa Bay beating the Rangers (7-4 on the road), White Sox (5-3 on the road) and Orioles (14-3 at home). The Rays are 7-1 in Kazmir?s last eight trips to the hill, with the southpaw yielding two earned runs or fewer in six of those contests.
Kazmir is 6-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 11 home starts, and the Rays have won 10 of those outings. Also, even though he?s just 3-4 in 11 career games (10 starts) against the Yankees, he?s got a 2.76 ERA. In two starts versus the Bronx Bombers this season, he?s 1-1 with a 1.64 ERA.
The first two games of this series have flown over the posted total. The over is also 8-2 in New York?s last 10 games overall (5-0 last five), 6-1 in New York?s last seven on the road, 7-2 in Tampa?s last nine overall (5-0 last five, all at home) and 9-3-1 in Rasner?s last 13 trips to the bump.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

POINTWISE


THURSDAY

NEW YORK GIANTS 22 - Washington 20 - (7:00 - NBC) -- Defending champs
must go it without brilliance of both Strahan & Umenyiora on that defensive line
which dominated LY's playoffs. Manning obviously improved as the season wore
on, so that is a huge plus, but NY played its best ball on the road in '07, losing to
the 'Skins 22-10, as hosts LY (16? pt ATS loss). As a matter of fact, NY lost its
last 4 HGs SU. Jim Zorn takes over as head man for Washington, with consistency
from QB Campbell his main concern, with a bevy of quality WRs to throw
to. The 'Skins are a solid 13-5 ATS on the division road, so call this under spot.


COLLEGE

VANDERBILT 20 - South Carolina 19 - (8:30 - ESPN) -- Spurrier suddenly has
a QB controversy, with Beecher tossing 4 INTs in his debut, but Smelley filled in
nicely (5-of-5), & that "D" is solid (10 FDs). But 'Dores also impressive with their
throttling of decent Miami-O squad (269-96 RY edge), with Nickson doing it all
(166 RYs). Carolina 0-3 ATS away lately, by 1, ?, & 6? pts. It should go to wire.

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

WINNING POINTS

*New York Giants over Washington by 7 (Thursday)
The Giants may be in for a Super Bowl hangover after a banquet-filled offseason
and contract squabbles. But they still should handle Washington at
Giants Stadium, where they have beaten and covered against the Redskins
three of the past four years outscoring them, 85-39. Redskins first-year
coach Jim Zorn, like former Redskins novice coach Steve Spurrier, is going
to find out the hard way that preseason is much different than regular season.
Redskins QB Jason Campbell is learning a new offense.The Giants have
the pass rushers to hinder that development. NY GIANTS 23-16.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

**PREFERRED**

South Carolina over Vanderbilt* by 8 (Thursday)
A major revenger here for the Old Ball Coach after being embarrassed 17-6 at
home vs. the Commodores last year, and Spurrier?s defense can do their share
against that young Vandy OL. But laying points with the Gamecock offense on the
road is out of the question at this juncture. SOUTH CAROLINA 24-16.

[timbob]

Re: 9-4-08

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Thursday, September 4th, 7:10 PM ET

The Nationals open a 4-games series with the Braves in Atlanta Thursday evening when they send Jason Bergmann to the hill against Jo Jo Reyes. Bergmann's 3.99 ERA on the road is nearly a run and a half better than his 5.41 home ERA. ON the flip side, Reyes' 7.14 ERA at home is almost three and a half runs worse than his 3.74 ERA on the road this year. With Bergmann 5-1 in his last six starts in this series, look for Reyes to dip to 0-3 in his career team starts against the Nats tonight. Good luck - Marc Lawrence

Play on: Washington