Tuesday 9-3-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Sep 03 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
MLB | NYM vs WAS
Play on: UNDER 7½ -103

The set-up: Two competent hurlers square off in this National League contest on Tuesday night and in my opinion, runs are DEFINITELY going to be at a premium. The visitors hand the ball to ace Jacob deGrom, while the home side goes with Max Scherzer.
The pitchers: deGrom (8-8, 2.66 ERA) comes in off a rare poor effort, allowing four runs over seven innings in a 4-1 loss to the Cubs. Overall though he’s 8-4 with a tiny 2.33 ERA in 18 career starts vs. Washington.
Scherzer (9-5, 2.46) is 10-5 with a 2.47 ERA in 20 games vs. New York lifetime.
The pick: The Mets won 7-3 in last night’s opener, but I think the stage is set for a classic “duel” with these two stud starters facing off. Consider the “under” in this one.
New York Mets/Washington Nationals UNDER 1* FREE play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Sep 03 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
MLB | Mets vs Nationals
Play on: Mets +125 at pinnacle

The MLB Comp play for Tuesday is on the NY. Mets at 7:05 eastern. The Mets are a live dog tonight and are 7-0 of late vs a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The Mets fit a nice 75% dog system that pertains to their win on Monday ands they have won 20 of 26 vs rightys and 6 of 8 on Tuesdays. Washington has lost 6 of the last in the series. Scherzer has lost 5 of 6 at home vs the Mets and 5 of 7 at home vs a winning team. Degrom is on the mound for NY and they have won his last 7 starts here in Washington and 5 of 6 in his September road starts. Look for the Mets to take this one. For the MLB free pick. Make it the Mets. Rob V- GC Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Sep 03 '19, 7:10 PM in 10h
MLB | White Sox vs Indians
Play on: White Sox +305 at YouWager

1* Free Pick on White Sox +305

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson

Sep 03 '19, 7:40 PM in 11h
MLB | Astros vs Brewers
Play on: Astros -140 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Astros -140
The A.L. West leading Houston Astros take on Wild Card hopeful Milwaukee Brewers. On the mound for the Astros will be Zack Greinke (14-4 2.99 ERA) while the Brewers send out Jordan Lyles (9-8 4.55 ERA). Greinke has yet to lose a game since coming to Houston (4-0 3.45 ERA). Greinke only allowed two earned runs and struck out nine batters in seven innings in his only start against the Brewers this season. Lyles has allowed five or more earned runs in four of his last 10 starts. Houston is ranked in the top five in nearly every major offenses and defensive category this season and Greinke will continue his winning streak as an Astro tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Sep 03 '19, 10:07 PM in 13h
MLB | Angels vs A's
Play on: A's -159 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on A's -159

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Sep 03 '19, 10:07 PM in 13h
MLB | Angels vs A's
Play on: A's -159 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on A's -159

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs

Presque Isle Downs - Race 3	$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 3-4-5) Jackpot Pick 6 (min .20 cent) (Races 3-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 6:15P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Class. DON'T BE SO SALTY is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DON'T BE SO SALTY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	DON'T BE SO SALTY	9/5	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	K'S LITTLE BILL	3	5/1	Front-runner	85	81	90.2	77.0	68.0
1	AMIGO'S AFFAIR	1	8/1	Front-runner	81	74	87.8	74.8	66.3
6	MY TOMMY BOY	6	6/1	Front-runner	74	69	63.4	71.0	60.0
4	DON'T BE SO SALTY	4	9/5	Stalker	108	102	95.6	97.6	95.6
2	BLUEGRASS BALL	2	4/1	Stalker	89	88	82.0	87.8	83.3
5	BALK	5	5/2	Stalker	86	86	60.2	80.6	74.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 61 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 4:10P
FOR ACCREDITED OHIO FOALS MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * DR. ZARNETT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ONE CRAZY RID E: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MOBIL MAGIC: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2B	DR. ZARNETT	7/2	5/2
6	ONE CRAZY RIDE	10/1	8/1
3	MOBIL MAGIC	3/1	9/1
8	CONGLOMERATOR	5/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	MOBIL MAGIC	2	3/1	Stalker	61	33	24.6	31.3	23.3
8	CONGLOMERATOR	9	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	65	39	24.5	25.0	15.5
2B	DR. ZARNETT	6	7/2	Trailer	79	58	22.6	48.5	44.5
6	ONE CRAZY RIDE	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	0.0	51.2	47.7
1	LETSGETITSEVENTEEN	1	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	0.0	37.0	29.5
2	SKYTOWN CAT	5	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	17.8	21.6	11.6
7	TROPICAL VAQAY	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: BELLS LAST STRIKE (8/1) [Jockey: Feliciano Ricardo - Trainer: Rini Anthony F], EL TIO SAM (8/1) [Jockey: Haldar David J - Trainer: McDonald James H], OLE WATASHI (6/1) [Jockey: Mendez Maximo - Trainer: Langley Joshua].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #11 - Post: 5:18pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#4 ARK IN THE DARK (ML=8/1)
#7 STEAM ENGINE (ML=3/1)
#8 STRONG BREEZE (ML=15/1)
#5 FOREST RIVER (ML=20/1)


ARK IN THE DARK - That last workout tells me this colt is set for a top performance. This thoroughbred coming off a solid effort in the last thirty days is a contender in my book. STEAM ENGINE - Colt has shown some pace. This shorter trip should be better for him. Ranked number one in earnings per start. Another sign that this equine is the class of the field. STRONG BREEZE - Look for this gelding to run lots better in this event. Last race at Monmouth Park finishing sixth on the soft turf is no indication of his true ability. FOREST RIVER - This speedy sort is running a shorter distance today. Should promote his chances to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ADMIRAL LYNCH (ML=9/5), #10 SPLICETHEMAINBRACE (ML=5/1),

ADMIRAL LYNCH - This chalk horse may be out of condition without any recent works. SPLICETHEMAINBRACE - Don't think this questionable contender is worth 5/1 in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 ARK IN THE DARK to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with [5,7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	4 with [5,7,8] with [5,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	4 with [5,7,8] with [5,7,8] with [5,7,8] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Super Tuesday Pick 4

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 52

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SOUTHERN GALAXY 6/1
# 7 ROYAL DANZA 10/1
# 4 RUN NOW ESTELLA 10/1

I've got to go with SOUTHERN GALAXY. With McMahon on top her, this filly ought to be able to break out early for this event. ROYAL DANZA - Reeves has well above average profits at this distance/surface. RUN NOW ESTELLA - This filly could improve with second time Lasix.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - SO - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $13600 Class Rating: 87

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (PREFERENCE TO HIGHEST EARNINGS IN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 PRIDE OF WILKO 8/5
# 5 MISTIE ROYALE 15/1
# 8 J Z'S DIVA 4/1

PRIDE OF WILKO is my choice. Her 77 average has this mare with among the top Equibase speed figs in this event. Quite good pick to take this race going in a turf sprint. Has to be given a shot in this race if only for the strong Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. MISTIE ROYALE - Recent figures for the jockey - 19 win percent - make this mare stand out in this group. Strong selection to take this race going in a turf sprint. J Z'S DIVA - Looks like a reliable candidate for the exotics. She has recorded very good figs under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs

09/03/19, LAD, Race 7, 6.05 CT
5F [Turf About] 00.55.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $18,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	5	Knights Ransom	6-1	Magnon D H	Brinkman Brett A.	SFC
097.9492	4	Zipitupmysister	7/2	Lozada C	Neatherlin Mike R.	E
096.8851	8	Fiancee	3-1	Dominguez J	Asmussen Steven M.
096.5373	7	Accustomed to Hope	4-1	Rosier C R	Courville Ricky	W
096.4303	6	Half Heroine	8-1	McMahon C	Westlye Kenneth	J
094.7155	3	Hard Trier	6-1	Nieves E	Mendez Jose R.
094.5483	2	Pepper Blossom	10-1	Guerrero J A	Bourgeois Keith G.
092.9512	9	Hallmark Girl	12-1	Del-Cid H	Neatherlin Mike R.
092.0046	1	Soco Unbridled	15-1	Castillo A	Gomez Jorge	L

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.

5	13.80	1.17	36.59	15	41	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
4	31.10	1.08	34.31	70	204	[All Turf] Horse Age 4UP
8	13.80	1.17	36.59	15	41	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
7	13.80	1.17	36.59	15	41	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
6	44.70	1.19	37.93	44	116	[All Turf] Best Jockey
3	23.60	1.09	35.04	48	137	[All Turf] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
2	13.80	1.17	36.59	15	41	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
9	13.80	1.17	36.59	15	41	[Turf MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
1	38.60	1.10	33.50	68	203	[All Surfaces] Last Race Purse Lower Than Today

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	5	Knights Ransom	6-1	Magnon D H	Brinkman Brett A.	SFEC
099.0746	4	Zipitupmysister	7/2	Lozada C	Neatherlin Mike R.
098.0434	7	Accustomed to Hope	4-1	Rosier C R	Courville Ricky	W
097.8007	8	Fiancee	3-1	Dominguez J	Asmussen Steven M.
097.7577	6	Half Heroine	8-1	McMahon C	Westlye Kenneth	J
096.2101	3	Hard Trier	6-1	Nieves E	Mendez Jose R.
095.6650	2	Pepper Blossom	10-1	Guerrero J A	Bourgeois Keith G.
093.2923	9	Hallmark Girl	12-1	Del-Cid H	Neatherlin Mike R.
092.6693	1	Soco Unbridled	15-1	Castillo A	Gomez Jorge	L

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.

5	42.20	1.12	21.11	38	180	[Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
4	42.20	1.12	21.11	38	180	[Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
7	42.20	1.12	21.11	38	180	[Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
6	42.20	1.12	21.11	38	180	[Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
3	42.20	1.12	21.11	38	180	[Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
2	54.30	1.19	39.44	56	142	[All Surfaces] Third Race After 45 Days Off
1	42.20	1.12	21.11	38	180	[Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Prairie Meadows - Race #5 - Post: 7:52pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#1 ALPHA TO OMEGA (ML=8/5)


ALPHA TO OMEGA - Moves back to a trip at which he ran a speed rating good enough to make him a contender today. This colt is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ran second last time out and comes back soon. He finished in the place spot Aug 10th, but was well clear of the 3rd horse. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race. Another indicator that this horse has class. This colt should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN (ML=6/5),

AFFLUENT GENTLEMAN - Hasn't been on the Prairie Meadows oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 ALPHA TO OMEGA to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Play: Kansas City w/Montgomery -130 Over Detroit