Thursday 9-5-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 8	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $26,500 • Post: 4:19P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SHAMROCK'S RULE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHAMROCK'S RULE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TROPICAL STORM EM: H orse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VERY STABLE GENIUS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ra ting. STREET CHAMBER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	SHAMROCK'S RULE	4/1	4/1
9	TROPICAL STORM EM	3/1	6/1
6	VERY STABLE GENIUS	6/1	6/1
5	STREET CHAMBER	5/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SHAMROCK'S RULE	2	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	63	53	51.3	48.7	42.7
9	TROPICAL STORM EM	9	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	62	56	61.0	55.4	50.9
6	VERY STABLE GENIUS	6	6/1	Trailer	67	53	49.4	58.4	54.4
3	INTERSECT	3	6/1	Trailer	0	0	4.8	42.3	32.8
5	STREET CHAMBER	5	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	66	57	56.4	46.4	38.4
4	PARS PEPPERCORN	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	27.0	24.6	12.1
7	MISS GARY Z	7	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: FROSTED JULIP (15/1) [Jockey: Berrios John C - Trainer: Perdue Edward C], LUNA VALLEY (10/1) [Jockey: Navarro Kevin - Trainer: Cobb Amber].

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:52pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 51

Rating:

#3 R FOUR DREAMS (ML=4/1)
#4 TIZ PROMISING RVF (ML=3/1)


R FOUR DREAMS - This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Kravets. Trainer Kravets moves this one down in the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a sharp effort with this class drop. TIZ PROMISING RVF - The ROI when Quinones and Kravets partner up is tremendous. This filly is in excellent condition right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back quickly. Recent speed figs show dominant pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HORIZON (ML=7/2), #2 OUR CLAIRE BEAR (ML=7/2), #6 BIG SHOT POSSE (ML=9/2),

HORIZON - This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed figure last time around the track. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's event running that fig. OUR CLAIRE BEAR - You always believe this equine has a shot to win, but she just misses often. BIG SHOT POSSE - Should be difficult for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - TIZ PROMISING RVF - Horse did finish 2nd last out at Penn National, but was well ahead of the 3rd place finisher. What that tells me is she could improve today and find her way to the winner's circle for the 1st time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 R FOUR DREAMS on the nose if you can get odds of 8/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 75

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 ABJURE 9/5
# 4 TAPIZAR GIRL 15/1
# 2 ALWAYS LUCKY 5/1

I favor ABJURE here. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this racer look competitive in this contest. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. Casse has well above average gains at this distance/surface. TAPIZAR GIRL - Has to be carefully examined against this field displaying competitive figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 67 under similar conditions.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating:

#6 SNAGGLETOOTH (ML=6/1)
#5 BOWMAN (ML=5/2)
#7 NO WAY NEVER (IRE) (ML=2/1)
#1 SPINNING JOEY (ML=4/1)


SNAGGLETOOTH - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. Trainer Rice moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face a lower class field. Look for a nice effort racing against these lower level horses. Finished out of the money last out at Presque Isle Downs, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 6/1 makes me think he's got a chance. This pony coming off a strong performance in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my book. BOWMAN - This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should perform well today. NO WAY NEVER (IRE) - I am keen on that latest outing on August 18th at Presque Isle Downs where he finished second. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should perform well today. You have to really like that latest race figure, 84, which is the top last race speed figure of this field. SPINNING JOEY - This horse coming off a good contest in the last thirty days is a serious competitor in my opinion. This rider and handler have a profitable ROI when they join forces. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Expect this gelding to be far back early and come flying past them. This racer brings in a lot of cash per start. I believe he can increase the lifetime total in this event. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (72-77-80) make this animal a dominant contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CHUCKLES CANDY (ML=8/1),

CHUCKLES CANDY - Poor early position on Aug 14th for me to wager on at the probable odds in today's sprint contest. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the likely underlays list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 SNAGGLETOOTH on the win end if we get at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 61

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 ANGLE OF ATTACK 8/5
# 3 Q'S SONG 2/1
# 5 CAMPANIA 6/1

I've got to go with ANGLE OF ATTACK. Could provide positive dividends based on strong recent speed figs with an average of 65. Bocachica will most likely be able to get this filly to break out early for this event. Posted a very good speed figure last time out. Q'S SONG - Should compete admirably in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group. Should definitely be given consideration for this race if only for the solid speed figure put up in the last outing. CAMPANIA - There is a very good chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. This filly looks strong for this event since Figgins has a strong win percent with horses going this distance.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/05/19, GP, Race 7, 4.18 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.03 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	8	Gran Letizia	9/2	Zayas E J	Barboza. Jr. Victor	JTF
097.5007	7	Awsum Roar	7/5	Meneses M	Belsoeur Yvon	SE
096.6072	3	Beach Dreaming	6-1	Rendon J	Rose Barry R.	C
096.5825	10	Nothins Free	6-1	Batista J A	McGoey Monica	W
095.5682	5	Freckles Kan	8-1	Vasquez M A	Pompay Teresa M.
094.3724	11	Rethinkme	20-1	Meneses M	Marcondes Patrick K.
093.8413	4	Majestic Maiara	6-1	Gutierrez R	Braddy J. David
093.5037	1	Vitaemi	10-1	Lopez J D	Garcia Rodolfo	L
092.4986	12	Salsa Rita	20-1	Henry W	Campos Bernardo
092.3778	2	Super Witch	20-1	Martinez G A	Gracida Ruben
092.3281	9	My Little Princess	20-1	Panici L	Westlye Kenneth
091.4404	6	Magic Two	10-1	Sanchez J	Catanese Ralph J.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

8	28.60	1.07	36.36	76	209	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
7	28.60	1.07	36.36	76	209	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
3	4.80	1.05	17.02	8	47	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
10	4.80	1.05	17.02	8	47	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
5	28.60	1.07	36.36	76	209	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
4	4.80	1.05	17.02	8	47	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	8	Gran Letizia	9/2	Zayas E J	Barboza. Jr. Victor	JT
096.9617	10	Nothins Free	6-1	Batista J A	McGoey Monica	W
096.5044	7	Awsum Roar	7/5	Meneses M	Belsoeur Yvon	SFE
095.9649	5	Freckles Kan	8-1	Vasquez M A	Pompay Teresa M.
094.8687	4	Majestic Maiara	6-1	Gutierrez R	Braddy J. David
094.7395	11	Rethinkme	20-1	Meneses M	Marcondes Patrick K.
094.4705	3	Beach Dreaming	6-1	Rendon J	Rose Barry R.	C
094.0836	2	Super Witch	20-1	Martinez G A	Gracida Ruben
094.0271	1	Vitaemi	10-1	Lopez J D	Garcia Rodolfo	L
093.4645	9	My Little Princess	20-1	Panici L	Westlye Kenneth
092.8674	12	Salsa Rita	20-1	Henry W	Campos Bernardo
092.2720	6	Magic Two	10-1	Sanchez J	Catanese Ralph J.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

8	28.60	1.07	36.36	76	209	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
10	43.60	1.31	32.86	23	70	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
7	28.60	1.07	36.36	76	209	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
5	28.60	1.07	36.36	76	209	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
11	43.60	1.31	32.86	23	70	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
3	79.20	1.14	34.88	98	281	[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
1	13.80	1.04	38.64	68	176	[All Dirt] *Actual Post 1
9	79.20	1.14	34.88	98	281	[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
12	43.60	1.31	32.86	23	70	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951PHILADELPHIA -952 CINCINNATI
PHILADELPHIA is 14-27 SU (-16.5 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.


953SAN FRANCISCO -954 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 38-32 SU (12.2 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.


955MIAMI -956 PITTSBURGH
MIAMI is 75-99 SU (-33.9 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.


957CHICAGO CUBS -958 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 22-46 SU (-27.8 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.


959WASHINGTON -960 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 55-33 SU (19.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.


961CHI WHITE SOX -962 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 51-28 SU (24.1 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.


963DETROIT -964 KANSAS CITY
DETROIT is 33-57 SU (-30.2 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.


965LA ANGELS -966 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 66-41 SU (20.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.


967TEXAS -968 BALTIMORE
TEXAS are 9-21 SU (-15.5 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.


969TORONTO -970 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 4-14 SU (-12.6 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.


971MINNESOTA -972 BOSTON
BOSTON is 16-40 SU (-27.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.


973SEATTLE -974 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 29-18 SU (13.2 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB


Thursday, September 5


National League
Phillies (72-66) @ Reds (65-75)
Vargas is 0-2, 5.13 in six Phllly starts; he is 1-2, 6.30 in five starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 2-4


Gray is 4-0, 0.98 in his last six starts; he is 0-0, 4.76 in one start vs Philly. Team in his starts: 7-1 last eight
5-inning record: 16-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27 Over/under: under 3-1 last four


Phillies won five of last eight road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten games.


Cincy lost six of its last eight games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.


Giants (69-72) @ Cardinals (78-61)
Webb is 1-0, 4.40 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2


Hudson is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.52 in three games (1 start) vs SF. Team in his starts: 19-8
5-inning record: 13-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight


Giants lost seven of their last nine games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4-1 last 12 games.


St Louis won 11 of its last 14 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.


Marlins (49-89) @ Pirates (61-78)
Hernandez is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-7
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-12 Over/under: 5-6-1


Agrazal is 2-2, 7.23 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-5
5-inning record: 4-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-10 Over/under: 4-5-1


Miami lost seven of their last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-3 last nine games.


Pittsburgh won nine of its last 12 games; under is 10-8-1 in their last 19 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5-1 last 13 games.


Cubs (75-63) @ Brewers (71-67)
Quintana is 4-1, 2.52 in his last six starts; he is 2-2, 6.86 in five starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 16-10
5-inning record: 15-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: under 4-1-1 last six


Anderson is 1-2, 11.91 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 10-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22 Over/under: under 5-2 last seven


Cubs won six of last eight games; they’re 4-10 in last 14 road series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.


Milwaukee won four of last six games; they’re 4-12 in last 16 home series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.


Nationals (78-59) @ Braves (86-54)
Strasburg is 2-0, 2.02 in his last four starts; he is 3-0, 3.93 in three starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 18-10
5-inning record: 13-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-28 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine


Fried is 6-0, 4.53 in his last eight starts; he is 0-1, 5.19 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: won last eight
5-inning record: 14-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26 Over/under: 16-8-2


Washington won 10 of last 13 games; they’re 10-1 in last 11 road series openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven games.


Braves won their last six games; they’re 5-1 in last six home series openers- under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-4-1 last 17 games.


American League
White Sox (61-78) @ Indians (81-59)
Lopez is 1-3, 9.53 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.29 in two starts vs Cleveland this year. Team in his starts: 12-16
5-inning record: 12-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-28 Over/under: 15-13


Plesac is 1-2, 5.87 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 1.29 vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 12-5
5-inning record: 7-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven


White Sox lost eight of their last nine games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5 last 11 games.


Cleveland is 9-12 in its last 21 games; over is 5-0 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5-1 last 12 home games.


Tigers (40-97) @ Royals (51-89)
Boyd is 1-1, 6.16 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 6.97 in four starts vs KC this year. Team in his starts: 9-19
5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: last five over


Sparkman is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: lost last eight
5-inning record: 5-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-18 Over/under: 10-8


Tigers lost nine of last ten games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.


Kansas City is 6-4 in its last ten games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 last nine games.


Angels (65-75) @ A’s (80-58)
Suarez is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-8
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-12 Over/under: over 3-1 last four


Anderson is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13.2 IP) vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 17-10
5-inning record: 14-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: last four under


Angels lost 15 of last 18 road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.


Oakland is 12-6 in its last 18 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.


Rangers (68-72) @ Orioles (46-93)
Allard is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5 Over/under: 2-3


Means is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 12-10 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-22 Over/under: 10-12


Rangers lost three of last four games; they’re 3-7 in last 10 road series openers- under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-1 in last 11 games.


Baltimore lost four of last five games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 home series openers- over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.


Blue Jays (55-85) @ Rays (82-59)
Thornton is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 8-18
5-inning record: 15-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: over 10-3 last 13


Pruitt is 2-0, 4.78 in 11 games (1 start). Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1


Blue Jays lost five of last six games; they’re 4-12 in last 16 road series openers- under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.


Tampa Bay won six of last seven games; they’re 4-8 in last 12 home series openers- over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.


Twins (86-53) @ Red Sox (75-64)
Perez is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.68 in seven starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 14-10
5-inning record: 15-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: over 5-1 last six


Eovaldi is 0-0, 6.90 in seven starts; he is 3-3, 5.50 in six starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 6-1
5-inning record: 3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 5-1-1


Twins won nine of last 11 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.


Red Sox won seven of last ten games; under is 7-1 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.


Mariners (58-82) @ Astros (90-50)
Gonzales is 2-2, 4.94 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 7.50 in six games (5 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 15-14
5-inning record: 16-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-29 Over/under: under 5-1 last six


Miley is 2-0, 3.14 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 2.33 in five starts vs Seattle this year Team in his starts: 20-8
5-inning record: 16-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 10-18


Mariners lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 10-14 in road series openers- under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.


Houston won nine of last 12 games; they’re 19-3 in home series openers- under is 4-0 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.


%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30
Ariz 21-71……17-64……38
Atl 21-69…..21-67……42
Cubs 17-66……25-67…..42
Reds 24-65……25-68…..49
Colo 16-69……26-66……42
LA 19-66……23-70……42
Mia 11-63……20-70…..31
Milw 21-66…..24-68…..45
Mets 25-60……21-66…..46
Philly 17-62…..21-69……38
Pitt 24-70…..16-65……40
StL 17-68…..18-64…….35
SD 18-64……21-68…..39
SF 10-67……14-65……24
Wash 22-68…..20-63……42


Orioles 19-67…….23-68..….42
Boston 19-68…….23-67……42
W Sox 16-66…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-68…..18-67……..38
Det 21-68……17-63……..38
Astros 26-67…..17-68……..43
KC 19-68…..23-68……..42
Angels 24-69……15-66…….39
Twins 27-66……18-68……45
NYY 21-66……26-71……47
A’s 17-65…..18-68…….35
Sea 17-67…..17-69…….34
TB 24-70…..21-65…….45
Texas 16-69…..23-66…….39
Toronto 17-68…..19-69…….36


Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL– 64-58 NL, favorites -$1,296 over 66-54-7
Total: 139-113 NL, favorites -$2,509 Over 126-115-10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 5

Trend Report


Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati


Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Chi White Sox is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi White Sox is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland


Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games
Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City


St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis


Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Oakland is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland


Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games when playing at home against Texas
Texas Rangers
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 11 games
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Texas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore


Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh


Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay


Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston


Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 23 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee


Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 16 games
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta


Houston Astros
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, September 5


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHILADELPHIA (72 - 66) at CINCINNATI (65 - 75) - 12:35 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-85 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 9-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 13-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 65-75 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 17-37 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 27-37 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GRAY is 33-38 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VARGAS is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.651.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GRAY is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (67 - 72) at ST LOUIS (78 - 61) - 1:15 PM
LOGAN WEBB (R) vs. DAKOTA HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-24 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-61 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-26 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 64-47 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 46-21 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-9 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
HUDSON is 19-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 13-1 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-72 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-34 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 50-48 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

LOGAN WEBB vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

DAKOTA HUDSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HUDSON is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MIAMI (49 - 89) at PITTSBURGH (61 - 78) - 7:05 PM
ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DARIO AGRAZAL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-36 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-74 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 109-107 (+10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-21 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

DARIO AGRAZAL vs. MIAMI since 1997
AGRAZAL is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (75 - 63) at MILWAUKEE (71 - 67) - 7:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1865-1895 (-269.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-28 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-39 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-21 (-12.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 214-236 (-55.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-19 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-41 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1385-1411 (-202.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-123 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-11 (+8.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 113-81 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 83-71 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-17 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 71-67 (-6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 86-107 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-7 (+0.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
QUINTANA is 8-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.996.
His team's record is 11-5 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-11. (-8.2 units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ANDERSON is 4-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 6-7 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (78 - 60) at ATLANTA (86 - 54) - 7:20 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 160-140 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-88 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-43 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 86-54 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 38-21 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 65-42 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 65-44 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 54-31 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 37-24 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FRIED is 20-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 16-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 12-1 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 90-78 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
STRASBURG is 29-11 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 41-15 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 34-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-6 (+0.8 Units) against ATLANTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRASBURG is 14-11 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 17-16 (-8.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-16. (-2.3 units)

MAX FRIED vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FRIED is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.825.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (61 - 78) at CLEVELAND (81 - 59) - 1:10 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACH PLESAC (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-80 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-78 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-42 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 172-133 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-50 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-27 (-22.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 122-94 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-78 (-29.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 8-7 (+6.6 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.537.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

ZACH PLESAC vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PLESAC is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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DETROIT (40 - 97) at KANSAS CITY (51 - 89) - 1:15 PM
MATT BOYD (L) vs. GLENN SPARKMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-97 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 17-49 (-26.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 11-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-43 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 29-78 (-33.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 29-67 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 23-40 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 25-43 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-32 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-32 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 51-89 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 323-451 (-112.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 16-33 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-9 (+0.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

MATT BOYD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BOYD is 4-9 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.62 and a WHIP of 1.576.
His team's record is 8-10 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-11. (-6.2 units)

GLENN SPARKMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (65 - 75) at OAKLAND (80 - 58) - 3:37 PM
JOSE SUAREZ (L) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 65-75 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-39 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-44 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-97 (-34.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-57 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 45-24 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-44 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 47-33 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 88-47 (+28.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-13 (+23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 211-186 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 11-5 (+6.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

JOSE SUAREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS BASSITT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BASSITT is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.690.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

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TEXAS (68 - 73) at BALTIMORE (46 - 93) - 7:05 PM
KOLBY ALLARD (L) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

KOLBY ALLARD vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN MEANS vs. TEXAS since 1997
MEANS is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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TORONTO (55 - 85) at TAMPA BAY (82 - 59) - 7:10 PM
TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. AUSTIN PRUITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 35-58 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 172-131 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 106-65 (+26.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 128-120 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 39-32 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-18 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-4 (-0.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

TRENT THORNTON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
THORNTON is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 11.11 and a WHIP of 2.557.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

AUSTIN PRUITT vs. TORONTO since 1997
PRUITT is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 12.26 and a WHIP of 1.907.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (86 - 53) at BOSTON (75 - 64) - 7:10 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 86-53 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 47-24 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-32 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 69-37 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 75-64 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 35-33 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 161-145 (-50.3 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 20-24 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 41-33 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 24-35 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 9-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEREZ is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.816.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-4.1 units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
EOVALDI is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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SEATTLE (58 - 82) at HOUSTON (90 - 50) - 8:10 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-50 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 42-15 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILEY is 34-14 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 17-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 28-9 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 71-79 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-24 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 101-96 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-9 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-35 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-1 (+10.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GONZALES is 0-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.826.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

WADE MILEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MILEY is 3-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins


SU Play ON Trend of the Day:


-- The Cardinals are 16-0 SU as a 130-plus favorite when playing a team that is behind them in the standings.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:


-- The Giants are 0-17 SU in the last game of a series as a road dog after a one-run win as a road dog.


OU Trend of the Day:


-- The Blue Jays are 13-0 OU in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day:


-- The Nationals are 13-0 SU in franchise history with Stephen Strasburg on the road after August when he threw at least 75 pitches in his last start. In these thirteen starts, Strasburg has allowed an average of 1.08 runs and struck out an average of 8.23 batters in an average of 6.46 innings of work.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya


STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS


STREAKING


Sonny Gray, Cincinnati Reds (10-6, 2.80, $694): The Cincinnati starter is still Reds-hot (see what we did there?). Over Gray's last 12 games he's had 11 quality starts and last month he was practically unhittable. In August, Gray went 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA while holding opponents to a batting average of .142 through six starts.


Gray and the Reds are hosting the Phillies in afternoon action. Cincy is 7-0 in Gray's last seven starts at home and 7-1 over his previous eight starts overall. The Phillies will start Jason Vargas. Philadelphia is 2-4 in Vargas' six starts with the team, while he has has struggled with a 5.18 ERA. The Reds are -160 favorites.


SLUMPING


Matthew Boyd, Detroit Tigers (7-10, 4.58 ERA, $-945): Boyd was one of the few Tigers players that looked like he deserved to be in the big leagues, but even he is going through a rough spell lately. Over his last five starts he has an ERA of 8.00 while giving up 13 homers through 27 innings. The Tigers are just 3-13 in Boyd's last 16 starts.


Boyd and the Tigers are on the road today but are surprisingly not underdogs. They're playing another terrible team in the Kansas City Royals and another struggling starter in Glenn Sparkman. Sparkman is 3-10 with a 5.86 ERA and Kansas City is 0-8 in his last eight starts. Detroit is -124 and has been a road favorite just twice this season, losing both times.


3 STRIKES

CHASE THE ACE (AT HOME ANYWAY)


Milwaukee's Chase Anderson has been roughed up in two of his last three starts giving up five runs in four innings against the Cubs and 10 runs in under three innings versus the Nationals. That said, both of those games happened on the road where he has been atrocious all season going 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and a batting average allowed of .301 in 12 games.


At home, Chase has been much better going 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and a BAA of .206 through 15 outings.


Anderson and the Brewers are +110 underdogs at home against the Cubs today. The Cubs have been playing well recently but are still 11 games under .500 on the road this season while the Brewers are 8-3 over the last 11 meetings between the two sides in Milwaukee.


LEAVING THEIR HITTING HALOS AT HOME


Let’s start this by saying that it sucks that Mike Trout has wasted another amazing season playing for the Angels. Moving on. The Angels have really stunk on the road for most the last month or so, going just 3-15 in their last 18 road games, plating just 3.89 runs per game in the process.


The Halos continue their series in Oakland against the A’s, another place where they haven’t had much success. The Angels are 0-5 in the last five meetings in this matchup and 3-8 in the last 11 games in Oakland. Consider the A’s on the runline this afternoon.


NOT SO TROPICAL ROAD TRIP


Even though they won their last series there, the Blue Jays have been historically bad when playing at Tropicana Field. Get this. Toronto is just 36-75 in their last 111 games visiting the Rays. Just 36 of 111 games! And the Rays haven’t been that good the whole time.


Trent Thornton gets the ball for the Jays tonight as they face the Rays as +170 underdogs. Thornton's been roughed up by the Rays this season, allowing 14 runs in just 11.1 innings pitched. This feels like a Rays runline at home night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 1
September 2, 2019
By Bruce Marshall


THURSDAY, SEPT. 5
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
LaFleur Pack debut! Teams have split last 8 games since 2015. Pack only 5-010-1 as dog past two years (much of that minus Rodgers, however. Nagy 7-1 vs. line at home in reg season LY’s debut, Bears also 9-3 as chalk in 2018. Chicago closed 2018 “under” 7 in a row.
Tech Edge: Bears and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

451GREEN BAY -452 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel


Week 1


Thursday, September 5


Green Bay @ Chicago


Game 451-452
September 5, 2019 @ 8:20 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
135.600
Chicago
135.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+3); Over