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Saturday 9-7-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Sep 07 '19, 7:30 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | LSU vs Texas
Play on: Texas +7 -113 at BMaker
MIKE LUNDIN'S LSU @ TEXAS FREE PICK
Both teams covered the spread in wipeout wins in Week 1.
The No. 9 Texas Longhorns jumped out to a 24-0 lead at halftime against Louisiana Tech and also won the second half despite resting starters. QB Sam Ehlinger had four touchdowns but coach Tom Herman was still not pleased. "We were rusty," Herman told reporters. "Sam missing throws; dropped the ball; we had six penalties. You know, that happens in first games. But I thought we started really, really fast, and that's what helped us overcome some of those miscues."
The No. 6 LSU Tigers entered halftime of their season opener against Georgia Southern with an even bigger lead of 39 points! They held their opponent to just 98 yards of total offense, but will no doubt face a tougher challenge here.
My strongest angle for this pick is Texas coach Tom Herman who is 8-2 ATS as an underdog with the Longhorns (13-2-1 going back to his time with Houston). Texas' last time out as an underdog it defeated Georgia outright as an 11-point dog in the Sugar Bowl.
Additionally, we can note that the Tigers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in September. Free pick on Texas Longhorns.
Sep 07 '19, 7:30 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon -24 -109 at GTBets
The College Football comp play for Saturday is on Oregon at 7:30 eastern. The Ducks opened at 21 earlier in the week and are now up to 24. They should still get the job done here tonight as they will be motivated coming off a tough blown loss lead to Auburn last week. Nevada pulled a big upset home dog win over Purdue and that win sets them up in a long term and profitable system that plays against road dogs of 17 or more that scored 31 or more points and allowed 21 or more in a home dog win. These large road dogs fall flat the next week. Nevada has failed to cover the last 3 vs PAC 12 Schools, 5 of 7 as a dog of 17 or more, 7 of 8 in September and 4 of 5 after allowing 100 or less yards rushing. Oregon has covered 5 of 6 at home vs teams with a winning record. Based on the system, angles and overall talent level we will back Oregon to cover in this one. For the College free Play. Go with Oregon.. Rob V- GC Sports
Sep 07 '19, 10:30 PM in 23h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs USC
Play on: UNDER 43½ -108
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Stanford/USC UNDER 43.5
USC was dealt a big blow when JT Daniels went out with a season-ending injury in Week 1 against Fresno State. He was expected to make a big leap from his freshman season. But the USC offense faltered after he went out, and Fresno State was able to make a comeback.
The new starter for USC this week and likely for the remainder of the season will be Kedon Slovis, who hadn’t even attempted a pass before last week. Slovis went 6-of-8 for 57 yards with an interception while stepping in for Daniels in the second half last week. Don’t expect him to be hitting on all cylinders this week in his first career start.
Stanford lost junior QB K.J. Costello to a concussion against Northwestern last week. He is one of the best quarterbacks in program history and will be missed this week. Sophomore Davis Mills has been named the starter, and the game plan will certainly be a conservative one for him as well. Mills went 7-of-14 for 81 yards in Costello’s absence last week.
I was very impressed with Stanford’s defense last week as they allowed just seven points and 210 total yards and forced four turnovers against Northwestern. They will certainly try to shorten this game with their running game and rely on their defense to try and beat USC this week.
Last year Stanford beat USC 17-3 at home for just 20 combined points. I know this is a very low total of 43.5, but it’s not low enough given the injuries to both starting quarterbacks. I’d be surprised if either team exceeded 20 points in this rematch.
Stanford is 14-3 to the UNDER in its last 17 games after a game where 29 total points or less were scored. David Shaw is 30-14 UNDER in all road games as the coach of Stanford. The UNDER is 5-1 in USC’s last six games following a win. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, September 7, 2019
9/07 07:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM ET
CF (343) ARKANSAS STATE VS (344) UNLV
Take: (343) ARKANSAS STATE
Reason: Another late evening PC play comes up on Arkansas State tonight. UNLV playing its second consecutive home game, but this is not Southern Utah like they played last week. The PC has been hot, hitting 14-4 with all football combined (NFL,NFLX,CFB) thus far. My 1-unit PC play for this evening is on Arkansas State.
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