Thursday 9-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 Star MLB Free Pick

Washington vs. Minnesota, 09/12/2019 19:40 EDT

Total: -110/+9½ Over

Sportsbook:
TopBet

Fp: Both teams have power lineups and can put up runs in a hurry especially Minnesota who leads the mlb In runs and home runs . I expect to see scoring early and often making the over my MLB free Pick !

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 9/12

100* Redsox -135
100* Nationals -120
100* Over 8.5 Royals/White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Pirates over 8.5
2. Gameday Network MLB – Yankees GM1 -1.5
3. VegasSI.com MLB – White Sox -1.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Red Sox -150
5. Sports Action 365 MLB – Twins +120
6. Point Spread Report MLB – Phillies +110
7. Lou Panelli MLB – Dodgers -1.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – Mets -150
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Cardinals under 12.5
10. William E. Stockton MLB – Rays under 10.5
11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Reds -110
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Red Sox -150
13. SCORE MLB – Dodgers -1.5
14. East Coast Line Movers MLB – Twins +120
15. Tony Campone MLB – Astros -1.5
16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Phillies under 10
17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – White Sox -1.5
18. VIP Action MLB – Dodgers -1.5
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Cardinals -160
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Yankees GM1 -1.5
21. NY Players Club MLB – Marlins +120
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Phillies under 10
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Rays -150
24. Michigan Sports MLB – Padres over 8
25. National Consensus Report MLB – Astros -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, September 12, 2019


9/12 04:40 PM PT / 7:40 PM ET

MLB (925) WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS (926) MINNESOTA TWINS

Take: (925) WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Reason: Your free play for Thursday, September 12, 2019 is in the MLB scheduled contest between the Washington Nationals and the Minnesota Twins. Your free play is on the NATIONALS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 9/12 COLORADO +152

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Inglis


RINGING THE BELL

Heading into Week 1, there were questions on Le’Veon Bell’s workload after not being tackled since January of 2018. Bell didn’t explode on the stat sheet but for a per-touch basis, he was dominant. The 27-year-old led all running backs in avoided tackles on the ground with nine — three more than the next back — while getting 23 touches and a score. With his workload set to increase, look for the New York Jets to lean on him heavily at home versus the Cleveland Browns.

The Browns gave up some big yards to Tennessee Titans RBs last week allowing Derrick Henry to rip off a 75-yard catch and run and while managing 84 yards on 19 carries. Look for the Jets to use a lot of screens to offset that dominant Browns pass-rush, playing right into Bell’s strength.

We are hitting the Over total rushing and receiving yards on anything under 125 yards.


ALLEN AIRS IT OUT

Last week we hit our Josh Allen Over 219 passing yards as the Buffalo Bills came out throwing versus the Jets. Allen was playing quite loose as he turned the ball over four times, but the Bills look committed into turning him into a passer.

Up next for the 2-point-road-favorite Bills are the New York Giants who allowed 400-plus yards in the air last week versus Dallas. The Giants secondary gave up a pair of 100-yard receivers and let Michael Gallop go for 158 yards.

We like both these offenses as Saquon Barkley and, to a lesser degree, Devin Singletary can bust big plays with any touch. However, Allen’s turnovers and the Bills defense scare me on the Over 43.5. So we are going back-to-back with Allen’s passing yard total and grabbing the Over 216 yards.


THE BIG BEN THEORY

After scoring just three points in New England, look for Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to bounce back versus the Seattle Seahawks who are fresh off allowing 418 passing yards to Andy Dalton. The Hawks have allowed an average of 28 points over their last four road games (1-3 SU) and are 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS on the road in September over their last nine.

The Steelers’ team total sits at 26.5 which we feel is a little high so we will be taking the Steelers -4. The Steelers to need to rebound after an ugly loss and beat an average road team travelling from west to east for a 1 pm game.


CHRISTIAN THE PANTHER

If bettors thought they could get an easy line on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing, receiving or total yards, guess again. With the soft Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense on deck for Sunday, CMC’s rushing and receiving yardage total sits at 139.5 — a number he has hit five times in his last 17 games.

We understand if you can’t pull the trigger with better value plays out there in your quest for some Thursday night action. How about the anytime score prop? That’s out of the question for most as it sits a ridiculous -277. We are zeroing in on the first TD of the game prop where McCaffrey is a much more reasonable +350.

If CMC is expected to rack up yards and score, as the lines predict, then we are going to put our money on him being the first to cross the goalline. There is a good chance he could lead his team in targets and carries, just as he did in Week 1. Take CMC to score the first TD at +350 and enjoy the bounty.


SHADY GAGA

With the news of Kansas City Chiefs Tyreke Hill hitting the shelf for 4-6 weeks, most will be looking at Sammy Watkins to fill that role. That’s great news for us as we don’t mind looking for scraps at the table if there is value.

LeSean McCoy, outplayed fellow RB Damien Williams on the ground versus the Jaguars and we are expecting the former Bill to cut into Williams' passing work this week against the Oakland Raiders. McCoy is still learning his pass protection but with another week under his belt, the back who averaged nearly four receptions under Reid as an Eagle will be more involved.

McCoy already has a major role on this team and it will only grow as he familiarizes himself with the playbook. We are taking the Over on a reception total of anything under 3.5. If you can’t find that market, we fully support the Over on 41 rushing yards as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Sep 12 '19, 1:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Mets
Play on: Diamondbacks +142 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Diamondbacks +142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Sep 12 '19, 3:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Cardinals vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +157 at 5Dimes

Free Pick on Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Sep 12 '19, 3:40 PM in 3h
MLB | Cubs vs Padres
Play on: Cubs -140 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Play on Cubs -140
After two straight losses, the Cubs (77-68) need a win this afternoon in San Diego in order to split a four-game series with the Padres (68-77). Another loss today could put the Cardinals, who own a four-game lead in the NL Central, out of reach for Chicago.
Starting for the Cubs will be Yu Darvish (5-6, 4.12 ERA). In his last 11 outings, the Chicago right-hander has issued just four walks while striking out 85 and posting an ERA of 2.96. In his last start, Darvish gave up a walk and struck out seven batters in five scoreless innings.
Right-hander Dinelson Lamet (2-4, 3.95 ERA) will start for San Diego. Coming back from Tommy John surgery, Lamet had a tough July in which he posted a 5.09 ERA. Since then, Lamet has been better, earning 44 strikeouts in his last 34 innings.
While current Padres hitters are batting just .143 against Darvish, current Cubs hitters are batting .227 against Lamet.
Out of Lamet’s last eight starts coming off five days of rest, the Padres are just 2-6. Against teams under .500, the Cubs are 6-2 in their last eight opportunities.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Sep 12 '19, 7:07 PM in 7h
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays +141 at GTBets

10* FREE MLB PICK (Blue Jays +141)
I'll take my chances here with Toronto finishing off the 3-game sweep of the Red Sox Thursday night. Blue Jays won in blowout fashion 8-0 on Wednesday and I think Boston will be a good team to fade the rest of the way. Red Sox have lost 5 straight and are now 10-games out of the Wild Card spot. Going to be really tough for the defending champs to find motivation over these last few weeks of the regular-season.
Toronto also has the edge on the mound here with former Red Sox starter Clay Buchholz taking the mound for the first time against his old team. Buchholz has looked good of late with a 3.57 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Boston counters with Jhoulys Chacin, who is 1-9 with a 7.25 ERA in 10 road starts this season and owns a 11.05 ERA and 2.046 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the Blue Jays +141!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Sep 12 '19, 7:15 PM in 7h
MLB | Braves vs Phillies
Play on: Braves -120 at GTBets

FREE PLAY on Braves -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Sep 12 '19, 7:15 PM in 7h
MLB | Braves vs Phillies
Play on: Braves -120 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Atlanta Braves -120
The Atlanta Braves are closing in on the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed in the National League. They are just 3 games back for the top spot and are finishing the season as strong as anyone. The Braves are 19-4 in their last 23 games overall.
The Braves have the clear edge on the mound over the Phillies tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result. Julio Teheran is 10-8 with a 3.31 ERA in 30 starts this season, and 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last three starts. He is also 9-7 with a 3.73 ERA in 23 career starts against the Phillies.
Drew Smyly has not been reliable at all for the Phillies. He is 4-5 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.541 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 7.03 ERA and 1.582 WHIP in 11 home starts.
The Braves are 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter. Atlanta is 58-27 in its last 85 games overall. The Braves are 6-2 in the last eight meetings. Bet the Braves Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Sep 12 '19, 8:05 PM in 8h
MLB | TAM vs TEX
Play on: OVER 10½ -105

MIKE LUNDIN'S RAYS @ RANGERS FREE PICK
**8-1-1 FREE PICK RUN SINCE AUGUST 26**
The Tampa Bay Rays had won six straight games before suffering a wild 10-9 setback to the Texas Rangers on Wednesday.
These are two teams in completely different spots as the Rays are trying to hang on to the top wild-card in the American League while the Texas Rangers are nowhere near the postseason, but that has not stopped the Rangers from winning five of their last six games and scoring 9+ runs three times during that stretch.
Rays left-hander Brendan McKay (2-3, 5.03 ERA) is coming off a solid outing against Toronto, but it lasted only 3 2/3 innings and he was smacked around in several consecutive starts before getting shut down for 10 days at the end of August with fatigue in his throwing shoulder.
As for Texas starter Kolby Allard (4-0, 3.78 ERA), the 22-year-old left-hander held Baltimore to one run through 6 1/3 innings of a 3-1 win last Thursday. He has however allowed 35 hits and 11 walks over 33 1/3 innings of work for a 1.38 WHIP this season, and it's also worth pointing out his 6.75 ERA in his two starts at Globe Life Park.
Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 road games and 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.
Free pick on OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Sep 12 '19, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | OAK vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 9 -105

Free Total Annihilator On A's vs Astros under 9 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Sep 12 '19, 8:20 PM in 8h
NFL | Bucs vs Panthers
Play on: UNDER 49½ -113

1* Free NFL Pick on Bucs/Panthers UNDER 49½
I don't see these two division rivals hanging 50 points on the board tonight. While both gave up 30+ points in Week 1, I liked what I saw from both defenses.
Carolina gave up 30 points at home to the Rams, but actually held LA to just 349 yards and a mere 4.8 yards/play. Bucs are also not anything close offensively to what the Rams bring to the table.
Bucs allowed 31 points at home to the 49ers, but 14 of those came on interceptions by the offense that were returned for touchdowns. San Francisco's offense only had a mere 256 yards and 4.3 yards/play.
There's also an interesting twist here that I think will have both defenses playing with a little extra fire. Former Bucs defensive tackle Gerald McCoy was released by TB in the offseason and basically told he'd lost a step. They replaced him with Suh and gave Suh his old number. There's definitely bad blood on McCoy's side.
It's also worth noting that the UNDER has cashed in 5 of the last 6 meetings and has gone 12-4 in the Bucs last 16 off a double-digit loss at home. Take the UNDER!