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| Mikey Sports | NCAA Football | KANSAS STATE WILDCATS +7.5 ‑130 |
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Tony Weston
COMPLIMENTARY WINNER
Can Arkansas State beat Georgia? I highly doubt it. I mean, we're talking about a respectable Sun Belt team, sure, but we're talking about an SEC powerhouse that annually vies for a spot in the college playoffs.
But what the Red Wolves have is inspiration, after going to Las Vegas and blasting UNLV in coach Blake Anderson's return to the sidelines for the first time since losing his wife to cancer last month. Anderson showed up at the team's hotel before the game and surprised the Red Wolves, who promptly went out and crushed the Rebels.
Now the Red Wolves bring a wealth of emotion and motivation to Athens, where the Bulldogs await, but who also have Notre Dame on deck next week.
Georgia may not be as concerned about domination - as it was in last week's 63-17 demolition of Murray State - as much as it is escaping healthy and with a dub before the Fighting Irish arrive.
Arkansas State has a balanced offense, and will do a good job of keeping the clock moving with a power rushing game, while using its timely passing game at the right moments.
Again, I don't think the Red Wolves win this game, but they're playing with a wealth of emotion and will do everything they can to keep this one close.
Take the underdog.
1* ARKANSAS STATEComment
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Jack Brayman
All indicators are that UNLV should get its clock cleaned Saturday afternoon in Evansville, against Northwestern. The Rebels looked terrible last weekend against Arkansas State, and now travel to face a Big 10 team. But news flash to those unaware, the Rebels are 4-0 ATS against Power 5 teams under coach Tony Sanchez - including 2-0 against the Big 10.
And last week could've been a slight overhype, after the Rebels demoralized Southern Utah the week prior. Also, Arkansas State was surprised by coach Blake Anderson, as he appeared at a team meeting and, in the process, signaled his return. His wife had been battling cancer before succumbing just a few weeks prior. There was a lot of motivation for the Red Wolves.
Now there is a lot of motivation for the Rebels, who are 1-1 and need five wins to get to a bowl game, save Sanchez's job and ultimately send the team to the new Allegiant Stadium on a positive note.
UNLV has two legitimate quarterback threats in Armani Rogers, who can kill you with the run, and Kenyon Oblad, who has the best arm on the team. If Sanchez wanted to implement a two-quarterback system to counter different defensive sets, it could very well work to confuse a superior unit expecting to dominate just one offensive system.
UNLV's strength is with the rushing game, led by Charles Williams, who after two games has 311 yards on just 34 carries to go with four touchdowns. If the Rebels choose to run the ball a lot, Williams and Rogers will keep the ball away from Northwestern's offense. If they choose to pass against the Wildcats, Oblad would be a viable option.
Northwestern didn't look too impressive in its season-opener at Stanford, but has had a week off to shore up the 129th-ranked offense and 68th-ranked defene.
I'm sure the Wildcats will pull away for a win, but it won't be easy.
Take the Rebels.
3* UNLVComment
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Bob Valentino
Heading to Music City for this game between in-state rivals Western Kentucky and Louisville.
Even though the schools are about 110 miles apart, they are playing this one in Nashville, and I will be taking the "live dog" Hilltoppers plus the points, as they look to payback last season's loss at Louisville in a game they actually led 14-0 midway through the 4th quarter before bowing 20-17 as the +23 1/2 point road dog.
Price this time around at this neutral site is significantly lower, and with good reason. I am not exactly sold on Louisville's bounce-back 42-0 win over lowly Eastern Kentucky just 5 days after opening the season with a home loss to Notre Dame. Yes, new coach Scott Satterfield will get the job down in the 'Ville, but Western Kentucky showed in their bounce-back win at Florida International last week that first year coach Tyson Helton also has a team to be reckoned with.
Western has Gaej Walker who is up to 11th in the land in FBS rushing and brings in 3 rushing scores, and 252 yards to go along with those TD's. The 'Toppers play solid ball control football, and that is always something that interests me when getting near double-digits.
Last week's cover - outright win! - marked the 5th time in the last 6 games that Western Kentucky covered in the "road" dog role. Louisville is just 4-6-1 when favored on the "road", and I don't think they cover in this spot!
Take the 'Toppers plus the points.
5* WESTERN KENTUCKYComment
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Dwayne Connors
Last season was one of the "special seasons" that simply do not come around all that often, as Mark Stoops' Wildcats finished off a 10-3 season with a win over Penn State in their bowl game, and also bested the Florida Gators for the first time in the past 31 meetings, 27-16, and they got the win at The Swamp in Gainesville no less!!!!
Things will revert back to form this season, as UK's victories over MAC entries, Toledo and Eastern Michigan have them off to a 2-0 start, but in the win over Eastern Michigan, Kentucky lost their starting quarterback Terry Wilson for the season with a knee injury. It will be the Sawyer Smith show now for the Wildcats, and while the transfer Troy signal-caller is decent, he is going to be in big trouble against this ready to chomp Gators defense that is allowing a tiny 2.2 yards per carry through their 2 games played thus far.
The Gators followed their sloppy win - no cover - over Miami of Florida with a 45-0 "tune up" of Tennessee Martin in which quarterback Feleipe Franks connected on 25 of his 27 pass attempts. Major quarterback advantage tonight to Franks and the Gators in this year's revenge meeting.
Florida did cover all 3 of their road games last season in which they were favored, and they have also covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 visits to Lexington against the Wildcats.
Franks will get to pick apart a Kentucky defense that allowed Eastern Michigan to throw for over 300 yards passing last week at Kroger Field.
Throw in a pass rush that will wear down the Wildcats the longer this game goes on, and this one looks like a solid double-digit road revenge romp by Florida.
Gators big.
2* FLORIDAComment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cross Country Pick Four
Cross Country Pick Four - Race 1 Leg A of the Cross Country Pick 5Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 103 • Purse: $250,000 • Post: 4:30P CANADIAN S. PRESENTED BY THE JAPAN RACING ASSOCIATION - GRADE 2 FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. ContendersRace AnalysisP#Horse Morn
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Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * STARSHIP JUBILEE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COMPETITIONOFIDEAS: Horse has the hig hest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HOLY HELENA: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. 6STARSHIP JUBILEE 7/29/25COMPETITIONOFIDEAS 8/56/12HOLY HELENA 5/27/1
Unknown Running Style: MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) (8/1) [Jockey: Kimura Kazushi - Trainer: Haggas William J].P#Horse (In Running Style Order)PostMorn
LineRunning StyleGood
ClassGood
SpeedEarly FigureFinish FigurePlatinum
Figure6STARSHIP JUBILEE 67/2Stalker 10410187.4101.898.31TOURIGA (BRZ) 16/1Alternator/Stalker 989031.372.060.02HOLY HELENA 25/2Trailer 10210384.296.691.67GIOVANNA BLUES 712/1Trailer 989364.488.879.35COMPETITIONOFIDEAS 58/5Trailer 1059258.094.089.04DIXIE MOON 420/1Alternator/Non-contender 968799.885.872.3Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows
Prairie Meadows - Race 7 Win, Place, Show (17% Takeout), Exacta, Quinella, .10 Superfecta Daily Double (20% Takeout), .50 Trifecta (23% Takeout)Stakes • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $60,682 • Post: 3:36P QUARTER HORSE 440Y, BANK OF AMERICA PRAIRIE MEADOWS CHAMPIONSHIP CHALLENGE S. - GRADE 2 FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. WHICH ARE BANK OF AMERICA RACING CHALLENGE ENROLLED, WERE NOMINATED, REMAINED ELIGIBLE AND QUALIFIED FOR THE 2019 BANK OF AMERICA PRAIRIE MEADOWS CHAMPIONSHIP CHALLENGE (GII). WEIGHTS: THREE-YEAR-OLDS - 125 LBS.; OLDER - 127 LBS. TRIALS DATE: SATURDAY, AUGUST 31, 2019. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR TO MAKE PAYMENTS, CONTACT AQHA / RACING CHALLENGE AT (877) 222-7223. NOTE: THIS STAKE RACE COULD BE SELECTED FOR PRE-STAKES RACE HAIR TESTING. ContendersRace AnalysisP#Horse Morn
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Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DAMN STRAIT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. PYC JESS BITE MYDUST: Quarter horse has the highest las t race Equibase Speed Rating. PAINT MY PILOT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MARFILMIO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. 6DAMN STRAIT 9/29/27PYC JESS BITE MYDUST 7/27/11PAINT MY PILOT 4/17/19FASTER THAN HASTA 6/18/18MARFILMIO 10/19/1
P#Horse (In Running Style Order)PostMorn
LineRunning StyleGood
ClassGood
SpeedEarly FigureFinish FigurePlatinum
Figure1PAINT MY PILOT 14/1Fast 98882.00.00.02POLITICAL CANDY 215/1Average 85785.60.00.03ANOTHER SHOT 310/1Average 89875.10.00.04DYNASTY ICE 123 412/1Fast 91742.60.00.05THREE OLIVES N SMOKE 55/1Slow 97776.90.00.06DAMN STRAIT 69/2Fast 97973.30.00.07PYC JESS BITE MYDUST 77/2Average/Trouble-prone 97915.10.00.08MARFILMIO 810/1Fast 92883.50.00.09FASTER THAN HASTA 96/1Average 93935.80.00.0Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 72
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
ASTEROYD is my choice. Should best this group here, showing competitive numbers of late. Raudales will most likely be able to get this gelding to break out early in this race. Must be given consideration here if only for the very good Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last race. SNOW PRIZE - Very strong profits over time for this jock and conditioner combo. With a very strong 64 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this competition. CY NEARLY FAMOUS - Has to be given a shot versus this field displaying formidable figs lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 64 under similar conditions. She has been racing solidly lately while recording strong Equibase Speed Figs.RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 3 ASTEROYD 2/1
# 5 SNOW PRIZE 6/1
# 7 CY NEARLY FAMOUS 3/1
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 64
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 14 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $6,000 3 LBS.
PROUD CAUSE looks competitive to best this field especially at a such a nice price. Has very strong Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Put up a reliable speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. In fine fettle, and coming back quickly again this time out. G M T BABY - Will probably be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the midpoint of the contest. Recorded a competitive speed figure last time out. BLONDIE - Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. One of the most favorable win percentages between this jockey and conditioner make this filly dangerous.RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 6 PROUD CAUSE 8/1
# 2 G M T BABY 2/1
# 3 BLONDIE 4/1
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Emerald Downs - Race #3 - Post: 6:08pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,400 Class Rating: 61
Rating:
#5 HOT AND SASSY (ML=3/1)
#6 DARK DAMSEL (ML=6/1)
HOT AND SASSY - This filly ran versus the males last time. In with her own gender today. I look for this pony to sit off the pace and make a big move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. Last race July 12th was pretty strong for a Maiden Special race so this filly's effort wasn't all that bad. DARK DAMSEL - My handicapping know-how tells me to watch out for this animal in this event
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SOPHIE'S DREAM (ML=9/5), #1 CLASS DEFINED (ML=9/2), #2 REGAL JAZZ (ML=5/1),
SOPHIE'S DREAM - Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the possibly overvalued equines list. CLASS DEFINED - Common speed fig last race out at Emerald Downs at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's event. REGAL JAZZ - Not likely for this horse to make an impact with no success lately in a sprint event. Difficult to invest in any horse to turn things around if there is no large gain to taking the chance.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - HOT AND SASSY - Reviewing the PP data, this horse last raced on Jul 12th at Crooked River Roundup. Wasn't good enough for the win, but a solid 2nd place finish. Was well clear of the rest of the field. Should improve right here in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 HOT AND SASSY to win at post-time odds of 6/5 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Skip SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None Comment
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