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Free Pick: The Kansas City/Oakland Game OVER 10
Free Pick: The Kansas City/Oakland Game OVER 10
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Hawkeye Sports
Monday's Free Pick: Arizona - 200Comment
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Monday: Arizona Diamondbacks - 200Comment
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MLB
Long Sheet
Monday, September 16
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SAN DIEGO (68 - 81) at MILWAUKEE (80 - 69) - 7:40 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 68-81 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 44-53 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-45 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 182-140 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 76-51 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 98-63 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 119-83 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 132-94 (+28.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 57-55 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-0 (+3.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)
GARRETT RICHARDS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.
ZACH DAVIES vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DAVIES is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
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WASHINGTON (82 - 66) at ST LOUIS (83 - 66) - 7:45 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. DAKOTA HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 164-146 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-47 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-44 (-7.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 84-80 (-28.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-66 (+2.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-9 (+11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-21 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 277-183 (+65.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
HUDSON is 20-9 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 12-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 93-82 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
STRASBURG is 30-12 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 35-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 30-37 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.6 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)
STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
STRASBURG is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)
DAKOTA HUDSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HUDSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
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CINCINNATI (70 - 80) at CHICAGO CUBS (81 - 68) - 8:05 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 70-80 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 12-28 (-15.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
CINCINNATI is 55-88 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 29-40 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GAUSMAN is 15-35 (-21.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 26-51 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 16-35 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-24 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-7 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-17 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 50-42 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1871-1900 (-269.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 412-335 (-80.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-45 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 148-125 (-25.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 236-228 (-54.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 906-824 (-151.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HAMELS is 1-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 9-7 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)
KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 12.38 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
COLE HAMELS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMELS is 12-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 1.069.
His team's record is 18-2 (+15.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.6 units)
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NY METS (77 - 72) at COLORADO (65 - 85) - 8:40 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 77-72 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 157-160 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-16 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 86-71 (+20.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 89-90 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 52-50 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SENZATELA is 20-12 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 472-494 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
COLORADO is 40-60 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+0.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
STEVEN MATZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
MATZ is 1-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.07 and a WHIP of 1.719.
His team's record is 1-5 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. NY METS since 1997
SENZATELA is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
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MIAMI (52 - 97) at ARIZONA (76 - 74) - 9:40 PM
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 1-18 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ARIZONA is 76-74 (+2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 52-47 (+4.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
RAY is 14-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 77-76 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-27 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-28 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
RAY is 29-37 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 (+3.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
PABLO LOPEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.
ROBBIE RAY vs. MIAMI since 1997
RAY is 2-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.011.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)
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BALTIMORE (49 - 100) at DETROIT (44 - 104) - 4:10 PM
JOHN MEANS (L) vs. TYLER ALEXANDER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 96-215 (-71.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-110 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-50 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-68 (-28.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 46-80 (-27.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-35 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 44-103 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 20-52 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 4-19 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
DETROIT is 20-53 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 8-23 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 9-30 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-69 (-19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 25-42 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 40-70 (-27.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-3 (-0.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)
JOHN MEANS vs. DETROIT since 1997
MEANS is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
TYLER ALEXANDER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.
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CHI WHITE SOX (65 - 83) at MINNESOTA (91 - 58) - 7:40 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 91-58 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 59-35 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 74-41 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-18 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-23 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 65-84 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 41-46 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-45 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-5 (+2.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)
REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.234.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)
JOSE BERRIOS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BERRIOS is 10-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.019.
His team's record is 11-2 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.4 units)
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KANSAS CITY (55 - 95) at OAKLAND (90 - 60) - 10:07 PM
GLENN SPARKMAN (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 55-95 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 79-144 (-37.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-58 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 89-59 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 79-50 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-25 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 43-25 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 18-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-37 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 125-89 (+34.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-35 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 93-48 (+30.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 47-14 (+25.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)
GLENN SPARKMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SPARKMAN is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 14.55 and a WHIP of 2.309.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
TANNER ROARK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ROARK is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)Comment
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902 MILWAUKEE -155
Padres are 1-7 since Aug 20, 2019 as a road dog.
Padres are 24-38 since Apr 28, 2019 on the road.
Padres are 19-39 since May 07, 2019 as a dog.
Brewers are 16-6 since Jul 24, 2019 as a favorite.
Brewers are 13-4 since Aug 28, 2019.Comment
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Chase Diamond
Chase’s 8* NFL Monday Night
Cleveland vs. NY Jets, 09/16/2019 20:15 EDT
Point Spread: -3/-105 Cleveland
Sportsbook:
Bodog
This game features the 0-1 Browns at the 0-1 Jets. Both teams off crushing losses week 1 but for the Browns who came in as super bowl contenders this week 2 game is a must win. More talent up and down the roster look for this game to get ugly early and stay ugly throughout as Browns cover the number for an 8* Winner.Comment
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Bob Valentino
Let's look Under the total in this Washington-St. Louis showdown as Stephen Strasburg and Dakota Hudson keep the lineups in check this Monday night.
Strasburg comes into this start having allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, and the Under has banked in each of his last 3 starts, and in 4 of those 5 starts overall.
Hudson has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 6 of his last 7 starts, and the Under in that span is 5-2.
This will be the second time this season Strasburg and Hudson have matched pitches, the first coming back on May 2nd in a 2-1 final won by the Nationals. That was the last series meeting of 4 in D.C., and 3 of the 4 in that series did hold Under the total.
The Nats have played 7 of their last 10 overall Under the total, while the Cards have held Under in 4 of their last 7 games overall.
I would be surprised if this game sees much more than 6 combined runs the way these pitchers have consistently dominated this season.
Go Under in Washington and St. Louis.
2* WASHINGTON-ST. LOUIS UNDERComment
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Dwayne Connors
Tough loss last night at home to the Dodgers, as the Mets postseason chances took a hit with the 3-2 loss to L.A. New York dropped 2 of the 3 to the N.L. West champs, and they will need to make up some ground over these last 13 games, as they now trail the Cubs by 4 games for the second Wild Card spot.
Even though they played last night and had to travel west, I am going to look for the Metropolitans to come up with a 2 runs or better win tonight as they play at Colorado for the last time this season.
The task will not be an easy one, as the Rockies have a little late season run brewing with wins in 3 straight and 5 of their first 6 on this home stand.
New York will send Steven Matz to the bump to face Antonio Senzatela in the series opener. Matz comes into this one having turned in 7 straight starts in which he has allowed 2 earned runs or less to cross the plate. Overall, 13 of his last 14 starts have seen just 2 or fewer score, so chances he goes out there tonight and slows down the hot-hitting Rockies appear good, especially since he earned his first career win over them earlier this season at home when he pitched 6 complete innings with 3 runs - 2 of them earned - allowed, and a season-high 10 K's.
As for Senzatela, he did record a solid win over the Cardinals in his last start, allowing only one run in 6 innings, but had lost his 4 previous starts and he had also allowed a whopping 38 runs to score in his previous 20 plus innings pitched. He does own a win this season over the Mets from back in June when he allowed just a run in his 6 innings pitched, but I believe the Mets will get to him in tonight's assignment.
New York is on a 6-2 run their last 8 on the road, and I will back them on the Run Line to up that mark to 7-2 with the victory tonight.
3* N.Y. METS -1 1/2 RUNSComment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx RacingParx Racing - Race 4 Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent SuperfectaClaiming $20,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $32,000 • Post: 2:16P (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE.). ContendersRace AnalysisP#Horse Morn
LineAccept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * RUN FOR JAMES: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. CLOONTIA: T oday is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TRILOGY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the l ast 30 days. 9RUN FOR JAMES 2/14/13CLOONTIA 7/25/12TRILOGY 3/17/1
P#Horse (In Running Style Order)PostMorn
LineRunning StyleGood
ClassGood
SpeedEarly FigureFinish FigurePlatinum
Figure2TRILOGY 23/1Front-runner 1018976.762.051.59RUN FOR JAMES 92/1Front-runner 939275.881.575.011SHOELESS 118/1Front-runner 816848.455.532.012ROYAL CRUSADER 1220/1Alternator/Stalker 938542.764.548.04BACKSTRETCH GEORGE 415/1Alternator/Stalker 788640.455.839.33CLOONTIA 37/2Alternator/Stalker 978735.680.276.713GILDED WARRIOR 1312/1Alternator/Stalker 898034.669.257.21YEAR OF THE KITTEN 16/1Alternator/Stalker 95960.00.00.08MIND MAGIC 830/1Trailer 949125.555.334.310COUNTY CORRECTIONS 105/1Trailer 88780.00.00.07CHARMING INDY 715/1Alternator/Trailer 847532.268.749.26DIAMOND SETTER 620/1Alternator/Non-contender 787325.638.925.45SECRET SECRET 510/1Alternator/Non-contender 90830.051.938.9Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park
Delaware Park - Race 6 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta / Trifecta (50-cent min.) Superfecta (10-cent min) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8, 50-cent min.)Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 3:45P (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000. ContendersRace AnalysisP#Horse Morn
LineAccept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Trailer. SIR BOND is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HURRICANE BEAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. OFF DUTY: Ho rse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SIR BOND: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint a nd the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. CONCORDIA'S WAY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. 7HURRICANE BEAR 8/15/16OFF DUTY 4/15/15SIR BOND 12/17/110CONCORDIA'S WAY 9/29/1
P#Horse (In Running Style Order)PostMorn
LineRunning StyleGood
ClassGood
SpeedEarly FigureFinish FigurePlatinum
Figure4MORE FRONT 45/2Front-runner 857469.662.449.410CONCORDIA'S WAY 109/2Alternator/Front-runner 767382.868.262.76OFF DUTY 64/1Alternator/Front-runner 877761.075.470.97HURRICANE BEAR 78/1Alternator/Stalker 927889.072.467.92TIPIT 24/1Alternator/Stalker 887150.263.252.73FORTY FATHOMS 315/1Alternator/Stalker 818746.662.449.95SIR BOND 512/1Trailer 777830.872.063.51SMALL GIANT 115/1Alternator/Non-contender 0076.651.235.79SARATOGA SHINER 920/1Alternator/Non-contender 706444.739.419.48LUNAR ROVER 820/1Alternator/Non-contender 777434.262.848.8Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ajax Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $12800 Class Rating: 65
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, A FUTURITY TRIAL FOR NOMINATED TWO YEAR OLDS, SEEKING TO QUALIFY TO THE FINAL, CONTESTED ON MON, OCT 7/19
A LONE HAND is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Is tough not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been quite good - 62 avg - of late. Has been running admirably lately and ought to be up on the front end early on. Ought to be given a shot based on the decent Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last affair. SWEET NIGHT FEVER - Strong gamble today with second time Lasix. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figs of this field in his last competition. ROWDY AND BODACIOUS - Going in a short race gives this gelding a strong shot. No strangers to the winner's circle, Reid and Jeschke should have this gelding breaking away from the field.RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 6 A LONE HAND 5/2
# 1 SWEET NIGHT FEVER 9/2
# 5 ROWDY AND BODACIOUS 7/2
Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Belterra Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:35pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,900 Class Rating: 67
Rating:
#6 SHE'S FLASHY (ML=6/1)
SHE'S FLASHY - In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that she likes the turf. Her speed figures are the highest in the field for this distance-surface. The 51 last race speed rating looks sound in black and white. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. That indicates to me she will be very competitive in this race on the turf.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MARINE CORPS (ML=3/1), #1 BEE BUG (ML=4/1), #1A GINGER KITTY (ML=4/1),
MARINE CORPS - Not the right 'placement' in this race. BEE BUG - This horse will in all probability be at the back of the pack as this group crosses the finish line. GINGER KITTY - I'm predicting a less than stellar go of it out of her this time around.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SHE'S FLASHY - This is an automatic bet for me. This filly is the top TM Power-rated thoroughbred and her rating towers over the rest.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #6 SHE'S FLASHY on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with [2,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:None SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $17800 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
TEXMAGEDDON is my selection and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. He looks decent in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Tough to pass on this gelding with Quinones in the irons. Have to sense that this entrant will run well following the quick turnaround. ATREYU - Has been racing well and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Earned a respectable speed fig last time out. INDURATE - With a nice class fig average of 79, has one of the top class advantages in this group. Profitable jockey and handler team, with a +18 return on investment.RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 2 TEXMAGEDDON 12/1
# 5 ATREYU 1/1
# 9 INDURATE 6/1
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Thistledown - Race #6 - Post: 4:10pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,200 Class Rating: 80
Rating:
#2 CAPT BILLY BUD (ML=8/1)
#5 HORSERADISH (ML=6/1)
#3 LUNAR HEAT (ML=7/2)
CAPT BILLY BUD - Stalking speed. My associates and I like this animal. HORSERADISH - This thoroughbred coming off a solid performance in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my opinion. LUNAR HEAT - Murillo Rodriguez enters this horse in a spot where he should fit well based on his last two Equibase speed figures. The jockey/trainer pair of Bracho and Murillo Rodriguez has a strong ROI together.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BIG OHIO (ML=3/1), #7 PRIVATE DRIVE (ML=7/2), #8 TYPOTHETAE (ML=6/1),
BIG OHIO - The morning-line choice is shaky here with the lack of morning blow outs. PRIVATE DRIVE - Have to put a question mark next to the recent speed figure since it was garnered in the mud. A strong entrant that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings of late. Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the likely underlays list. TYPOTHETAE - When checking today's Equibase class figure, he will have to notch a better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this dirt route. The good effort in the last race may knock this gelding off stride this time out.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HORSERADISH - Advancing each step of the way, this mount has recorded significant increases in his speed figures over his last two affairs.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #2 CAPT BILLY BUD on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip Comment
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Louisiana Downs
09/16/19, LAD, Race 7, 6.07 CT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $9,000.
Claiming Price $5,000. FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.100.0000 6 Bliss La Vie 4-1 Castillo A Gomez Rafael FEL 098.1295 7 Buy Me the Ring 5/2 Lozada C Reeves. Jr. Jeffery A. JC 097.5775 8 Little T 7/2 Martinez O Lara Jorge S 096.1998 3 Produce Princess 15-1 Murray E M Cascio Andrew J. T 096.1167 1A Whitney's Flash 8-1 Nieves E Daniels Connie L. 096.0233 4 Catbalee 6-1 Dominguez J Burress Beverly 095.9493 5 Silver Dove 4-1 Rosier C R Thomas Lee 095.0356 2 Fickle Flash 30-1 Naupac W Guilbeau Charles W 093.9868 1 Tenkaye 8-1 Del-Cid H Daniels Connie L. 093.1118 9 Sissy's Gold Song 20-1 Flores D S Melancon Donald
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to LAD.
6 40.20 1.44 47.83 22 46 [Dirt MdnMClm] Best LeadPack 7 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 8 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 3 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 1A 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 4 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 5 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 2 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race 1 17.60 1.06 37.96 52 137 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today 9 35.60 1.10 21.08 39 185 [Dirt MdnMClm] No 5f Workouts Since Last Race Comment
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