Service Plays Sunday 9/15/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JD Sports Authorities


L.A. Chargers -1.5

Kansas City Chiefs -7

Philadelphia Eagles -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BANK
LOCK
PITTSBURGH OVER

regular
giants
philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports 9/15:

Sfo +1 (-106)
buf -1 (-114)
den +2 (-10*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capper Advantage

Eagles -1

Rams -1.5

Chiefs -7

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(953) Atlanta Braves at (954) Washington Nationals
Date/Time: Sep 15 2019 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Atlanta Braves -110

View Analysis

Fried v. Sanchez
1) Vegas hung this line as a home favorite - ludicrous
2) Game 3 of this series with a total score so far of 15-1 for the road Braves - including a shut out with Max on the opposing mound
3) 14-4 run for the Braves as a road favorite and narrowed down to within 150 line the Braves are 8-1 last 9 games
4) Fried has dropped his walk rate each of the last 2 months and is below 1 BB/9 in September so far, also with an xFIP this month in 2 starts better than he'd been all season!
5) Fried's first start of the month was a 7 inning, 9 K, 1 hit performance agains these Nats
6) The Braves offense has been very solid facing RHP on the road, in fact top 5 in metrics this month MLB-wide
7) Nats have been subpar facing LHP, in fact largely due to the whooping Max gave them 2 weeks ago!
8) 1-5 spot the Nats are in overall regarding all MLB teams finishing a series today
9) since the break, Sanchez has an xFIP of 5.30 and has multiple starts since the break with an xFIP well into the 6s. He also has a higher than desired BB rate and the Braves in the same road RHP spot have a higher BB rate than any MLB team
10) The Braves against RHP on the road are at the top of the league for hard hit balls and line drive rate
11) one of the biggest X factors today....I would normally like to fade a team this fresh off a locker room celebration and clinch of a playoff spot, etc....but they have NOT clinched their division yet (like LA did), they DO NOT want to play in a 1 game playoff with how well they've played this season, they can do serious damage to the Nats playoff hopes by sweeping them AND getting their magic number down to 3 - but above all....the fateful clinching the playoffs game turned on Culberson in full bunt formation taking a Rodney heater breaking his face and all hell breaking loose.
Brian Snitker is old school and today will be interesting to say the least...but they sure as hell ain't injuring their magic number by 2 games AND letting them get a win after such a cheap ass shot pitch from 57 year old Fernando Rodney. Snitker will want to show Dave Martinez how ludicrous it is to try to compete for a division with a player like that on the team

Game:(973) Oakland Athletics at (974) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Sep 15 2019 3:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Oakland Athletics -1.5 (-135)

View Analysis

Manaea v. Hernandez
Hard for me to get down in writing all the various aspects of why this is likely to be such a disastrously easy winner! Manaea came back and this is his 3rd start since...glowing reviews thus far and against much better teams. Hernandez is the kid starting for the Rangers and his metrics without putting all in this box....are RIDICULOUSLY bad.
The A's facing RHP on the road are in the top 4 metrically over the past few weeks while the Rangers lineup still isn't what it once was...and they had a good run early on...but this isn't their season...but it sure as hell is the A's season. The Rangers facing LHP is bad...basically just as bad at home.
I would play this on the ML as well and if we just simply needed the team to win the game it would be roughly a 15% play haha....sadly that is likely useless risk. However, with the road team and a guarantee to get all 9 at bats and Manaea unlikely to give up more than a couple runs....this sure screams 9-2 or 11-3 more than any play on the board!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

8* WNBA

CHICAGO/LV UNDER 176

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exodus to Black
NFL
Saints+3 -135
WNBA
Aces over 176

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

3% Over 52.5

[TAWJR]

did not see this in write up