Saturday 9-21-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 08:33 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 15
David Schwab

There were just three games in the CFL this past weekend starting with British Columbia’s 29-5 romp over Ottawa on Friday night as a 5 ½-point home favorite.

Saturday’s CFL doubleheader got underway with Calgary squeezing past Hamilton 19-18 while failing to cover as a 6 ½-point favorite at home. In the nightcap, Saskatchewan kept things perfect for the home team with a 27-25 victory against Montreal. However, the Roughriders could not cover the closing 6 ½-point spread in the third Week 14 inter-division matchup.

Saturday, Sept. 21

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -2
Total: 47

Game Overview

Ahead of last week’s bye, Winnipeg won four of its previous five games SU and it has covered ATS in its last four outings. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. The Blue Bombers are 4-2 ATS on the road this season. They are still missing Matt Nichols at quarterback with a bad shoulder, but he is listed as questionable on the latest injury report. In his place, Chris Streveler has thrown for 518 yards and four touchdowns in his last three starts. The offense averaged 28.7 points in those three games.

Saturday’s loss snapped a SU three-game winning streak that started with a stunning road win against Calgary. Montreal is just 2-4 ATS over its last six games and it is 2-3 ATS in five previous home games. Vernon Adams Jr. completed 22-of-36 passing attempts for 344 yards and one score his last time out with Eugene Lewis hauling in eight catches for 130 yards and that lone passing touchdown. The Alouettes ran the ball 18 times for 74 yards against Saskatchewan.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg brings a SU five-game winning streak into this inter-division tilt while going 4-1 ATS in its last five games against Montreal. The total went OVER in four of those last five matchups.

British Columbia (2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -3
Total: 47 ½

Friday’s win was the Lions’ first SU victory since July 6. It was also their fourth cover in their last five contests. The total stayed UNDER 49 points against Ottawa and it has stayed UNDER in BC’s last four games. In this home-and-home series opener, BC opened up a 21-0 lead at halftime and cruised to the win behind a stellar effort on defense. This was also one of Mike Reilly’s better efforts of the season with 286 yards passing and two touchdown throws against a pair of interceptions. He has thrown for 12 touchdowns and 13 interceptions on the year.

Ottawa has just one SU win in its last 10 games while going 3-7 ATS during that same span. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games. The RedBlacks are 1-5 ATS at home this season. Jonathon Jennings continues to get the call at quarterback. He completed 19-of-31 passes for 239 yards and zero scores verse a pair of picks in Friday’s loss. He was the team’s leading rusher with 37 yards on eight attempts. Mossis Madu added another 28 yards rushing on eight carries.

Betting Trends:

-- With Friday’s win, BC is now 14-5 SU in its last 19 games against Ottawa. The Lions have a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of the last five matchups in this inter-division clash.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 08:35 AM

CFL

Week 15

Trend Report

Saturday, September 21

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Montreal is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Montreal is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing British Columbia
Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 08:36 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Saturday, September 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (9 - 3) at MONTREAL (6 - 5) - 9/21/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 10) at OTTAWA (3 - 9) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 08:36 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 15

Saturday, September 21

Winnipeg @ Montreal

Game 685-686
September 21, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
117.159
Montreal
118.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 2 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+2 1/2); Over

BC Lions @ Ottawa

Game 687-688
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
102.074
Ottawa
102.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+3); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:27 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, September 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 1) at IOWA ST (1 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (1 - 2) at OHIO ST (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 192-148 ATS (+29.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 192-148 ATS (+29.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 174-133 ATS (+27.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (2 - 1) at CLEMSON (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (3 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (2 - 1) at OHIO U (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (2 - 1) at ILLINOIS (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 133-175 ATS (-59.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 133-175 ATS (-59.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 105-137 ATS (-45.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 90-135 ATS (-58.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.
TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (2 - 1) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 1) at MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 3) - 9/21/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (2 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (1 - 1) at AKRON (0 - 3) - 9/21/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
AKRON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 1) at RUTGERS (1 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (2 - 1) at SYRACUSE (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (1 - 2) at NC STATE (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (2 - 0) at WISCONSIN (2 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (1 - 1) at COLORADO ST (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 10:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 3) at NEW MEXICO (1 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at BYU (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (2 - 1) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 86-50 ATS (+31.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (3 - 0) at OLE MISS (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 21-45 ATS (-28.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
OLE MISS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (1 - 2) at FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (2 - 1) at TEXAS ST (0 - 3) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 1) at ALABAMA (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (2 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (3 - 0) at VANDERBILT (0 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (2 - 0) at N CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (3 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (3 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (1 - 2) at MISSOURI (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (2 - 1) at KANSAS (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 133-169 ATS (-52.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 133-169 ATS (-52.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 84-118 ATS (-45.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 0) at TEXAS (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (1 - 2) at KENT ST (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (3 - 0) at TCU (2 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 100-131 ATS (-44.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (1 - 1) at ARKANSAS (2 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (1 - 2) at UAB (2 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
UAB is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UAB is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
UAB is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (2 - 1) at STANFORD (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (2 - 0) at RICE (0 - 3) - 9/21/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (1 - 2) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) at GEORGIA (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (2 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (1 - 2) - 9/21/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (2 - 1) at UTEP (1 - 1) - 9/21/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (0 - 3) at WASHINGTON ST (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (1 - 1) at SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 0) - 9/21/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:28 AM

NCAAF

Week 4

Trend Report

Saturday, September 21

Southern Miss @ Alabama
Southern Miss
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Miss
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Miss

Tennessee @ Florida
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

Louisiana State @ Vanderbilt
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games

California @ Mississippi
California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games
Mississippi is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

Boston College @ Rutgers
Boston College
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Boston College is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Rutgers
Rutgers
Rutgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Western Michigan @ Syracuse
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 8 games
Syracuse
Syracuse is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Syracuse's last 17 games at home

Elon @ Wake Forest
Elon
Elon is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Elon is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wake Forest is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games

Morgan State @ Army
Morgan State
Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

Louisiana-Monroe @ Iowa State
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games
Iowa State
Iowa State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Iowa State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

Connecticut @ Indiana
Connecticut
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games

Michigan State @ Northwestern
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Michigan State's last 11 games
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State

Michigan @ Wisconsin
Michigan
Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan
Wisconsin is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

Coastal Carolina @ Massachusetts
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Coastal Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Massachusetts's last 16 games
Massachusetts is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Ohio
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Troy @ Akron
Troy
Troy is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Troy is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Akron
Akron is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Akron is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Central Connecticut State @ Eastern Michigan
Central Connecticut State
Central Connecticut State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Central Connecticut State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Auburn @ Texas A&M
Auburn
Auburn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Washington @ Brigham Young
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games at home

Louisville @ Florida State
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games on the road
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida State's last 8 games

Appalachian State @ North Carolina
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
North Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Central Florida @ Pittsburgh
Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

Southern Methodist @ Texas Christian
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Christian
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Miami-OH @ Ohio State
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Miami-OH is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Wyoming @ Tulsa
Wyoming
Wyoming is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games

South Alabama @ Alabama-Birmingham
South Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of South Alabama's last 15 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

Temple @ Buffalo
Temple
Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Temple is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home

Bowling Green @ Kent State
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Bowling Green is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Kent State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green

Kentucky @ Mississippi State
Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games

South Carolina @ Missouri
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Carolina's last 7 games when playing Missouri
South Carolina is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 7 games when playing South Carolina

Central Michigan @ Miami-FL
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Central Michigan's last 11 games on the road
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 10 games

New Mexico State @ New Mexico
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Mexico State

West Virginia @ Kansas
West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
West Virginia is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Kansas
Kansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games at home

Hampton @ Liberty
Hampton
Hampton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Hampton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Liberty
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Liberty's last 6 games
Liberty is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Wagner @ Florida Atlantic
Wagner
Wagner is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Wagner is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

William & Mary @ East Carolina
William & Mary
William & Mary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
William & Mary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
East Carolina
East Carolina is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Oregon @ Stanford
Oregon
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games
Stanford
Stanford is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games when playing Oregon

Baylor @ Rice
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rice
Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Rice
Rice
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Rice's last 17 games at home
Rice is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Ball State @ North Carolina State
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 7 games on the road
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
North Carolina State is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

Old Dominion @ Virginia
Old Dominion
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 10 games on the road
Virginia
Virginia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Southern Illinois @ Arkansas State
Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas State's last 8 games
Arkansas State is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

Georgia State @ Texas State
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games when playing Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 7 games on the road
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 6 games

San Jose State @ Arkansas
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 6 games
Arkansas
Arkansas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 6 games

Charlotte @ Clemson
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Oklahoma State @ Texas
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Texas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Texas-San Antonio @ North Texas
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 6 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games
North Texas
North Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games when playing Texas-San Antonio

Notre Dame @ Georgia
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Georgia
Georgia is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
Georgia is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

Nebraska @ Illinois
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nebraska's last 8 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois
Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games at home

Nevada @ Texas El Paso
Nevada
Nevada is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Nevada's last 25 games on the road
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Colorado @ Arizona State
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona State
Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

Sacramento State @ Fresno State
Sacramento State
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Fresno State
Fresno State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Fresno State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

Toledo @ Colorado State
Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 7 games on the road
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games

California-Los Angeles @ Washington State
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
California-Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington State
Washington State
Washington State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Washington State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Utah State @ San Diego State
Utah State
Utah State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Utah State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games
San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games at home

Central Arkansas @ Hawaii
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hawaii's last 8 games at home
Hawaii is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:30 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4

Saturday, September 21

LSU @ Vanderbilt

Game 363-364
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
105.224
Vanderbilt
84.615
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 20 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 24
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+24); Under

LA-Monroe @ Iowa State

Game 311-312
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
73.141
Iowa State
94.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 22
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 18 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-18 1/2); Over

California @ Mississippi

Game 353-354
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
92.103
Mississippi
81.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
California
by 10 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by 2 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
California
(+2 1/2); Under

Tennessee @ Florida

Game 355-356
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
79.198
Florida
103.960
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 25
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 14
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-14); Over

Western Michigan @ Syracuse

Game 339-340
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
81.255
Syracuse
89.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 8 1/2
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 5 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(-5 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Indiana

Game 317-318
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
55.341
Indiana
86.124
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 31
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 27
58
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-27); Under

Michigan State @ Northwestern

Game 333-334
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
90.641
Northwestern
92.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 1 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 10
39
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(+10); Over

Michigan @ Wisconsin

Game 343-344
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
97.096
Wisconsin
103.484
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 6 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 3
43
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-3); Under

Boston College @ Rutgers

Game 337-338
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
77.093
Rutgers
79.020
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rutgers
by 2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 7 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+7 1/2); Over

Southern Miss @ Alabama

Game 359-360
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
82.729
Alabama
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 33 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 39
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+39); Under

Elon @ Wake Forest

Game 401-402
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Elon
68.666
Wake Forest
91.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 23 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 27 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Elon
(+27 1/2); Under

Morgan St @ Army

Game 403-404
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morgan St
41.815
Army
87.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 45 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 49 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Morgan St
(+49 1/2); Over

Coastal Carolina @ Massachusetts

Game 331-332
September 21, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
70.040
Massachusetts
57.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 13
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 17
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+17); Over

LA-Lafayette @ Ohio

Game 321-322
September 21, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
84.249
Ohio
84.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
Even
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 4
66
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+4); Over

Central Connecticut @ Eastern Michigan

Game 405-406
September 21, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Connectic
48.644
Eastern Michigan
77.574
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 29
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 32 1/2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Central Connectic
(+32 1/2); Over

Troy @ Akron

Game 335-336
September 21, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
75.241
Akron
60.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 14 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 17
56
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+17); Under

South Alabama @ UAB

Game 383-384
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
62.412
UAB
74.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 12 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 9 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-9 1/2); Under

Washington @ Brigham Young

Game 349-350
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
101.543
Brigham Young
90.254
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5 1/2); Over

Miami of Ohio @ Ohio State

Game 313-314
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
77.573
Ohio State
118.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 41
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 39
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-39); Over

SMU @ TCU

Game 379-380
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
88.035
TCU
94.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 6 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 9 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(+9 1/2); Over

Central Florida @ Pittsburgh

Game 319-320
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Florida
103.513
Pittsburgh
94.475
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 9
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 12
58
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+12); Over

Bowling Green @ Kent State

Game 377-378
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
57.989
Kent State
71.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 13 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 9 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(-9 1/2); Over

Louisville @ Florida State

Game 393-394
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
75.183
Florida State
84.042
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 9
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 6 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(-6 1/2); Over

Appalachian St @ North Carolina

Game 365-366
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
92.532
North Carolina
87.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 4 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 3 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(+3 1/2); Over

Auburn @ Texas A&M

Game 367-368
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Auburn
103.668
Texas A&M
104.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 1
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 4
48
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(+4); Under

Wyoming @ Tulsa

Game 369-370
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
81.400
Tulsa
77.345
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 4
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(+3 1/2); Under

Temple @ Buffalo

Game 325-326
September 21, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
91.095
Buffalo
69.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 22
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 13 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(-13 1/2); Under

Central Michigan @ Miami-FL

Game 327-328
September 21, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
66.038
Miami-FL
93.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 27 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 30 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(+30 1/2); Under

Kentucky @ Mississippi St

Game 361-362
September 21, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
97.398
Mississippi St
98.967
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 1 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 7 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+7 1/2); Under

South Carolina @ Missouri

Game 371-372
September 21, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
90.274
Missouri
105.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 15
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 9 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-9 1/2); Over

New Mexico St @ New Mexico

Game 347-348
September 21, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
57.730
New Mexico
66.263
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico
by 8 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico
by 4 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(-4 1/2); Over

West Virginia @ Kansas

Game 373-374
September 21, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
95.775
Kansas
87.134
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 8 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 4 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-4 1/2); Under

William & Mary @ East Carolina

Game 409-410
September 21, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
William & Mary
65.151
East Carolina
66.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Carolina
by 1 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Carolina
by 11 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
William & Mary
(+11 1/2); Under

Wagner @ Florida Atlantic

Game 407-408
September 21, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wagner
47.317
Florida Atlantic
76.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 29 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 35
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(+35); N/A

Baylor @ Rice

Game 387-388
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
93.334
Rice
70.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 22 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 27 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Rice
(+27 1/2); Under

Oregon @ Stanford

Game 385-386
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
106.049
Stanford
89.433
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 16 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 10 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(-10 1/2); Over

Ball State @ NC State

Game 341-342
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
66.292
NC State
88.345
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 22
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 19
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-19); Under

Southern Illinois @ Arkansas St

Game 411-412
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Illinois
61.148
Arkansas St
88.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 27
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 21 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-21 1/2); Over

Georgia State @ Texas State

Game 357-358
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
60.295
Texas State
66.173
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 6
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 3
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(-3); Over

Old Dominion @ Virginia

Game 329-330
September 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Old Dominion
67.481
Virginia
94.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 26 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 30 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Old Dominion
(+30 1/2); Under

San Jose St @ Arkansas

Game 381-382
September 21, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
67.329
Arkansas
77.087
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 10
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 21
61
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+21); Over

Charlotte @ Clemson

Game 315-316
September 21, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
75.599
Clemson
123.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 48
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 41
61
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-41); Over

Oklahoma State @ Texas

Game 375-376
September 21, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
95.836
Texas
104.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 8 1/2
78
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 5
74
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-5); Over

TX-San Antonio @ North Texas

Game 389-390
September 21, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
62.607
North Texas
75.396
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
by 13
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 19 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+19 1/2); Over

Notre Dame @ Georgia

Game 391-392
September 21, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
96.650
Georgia
117.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 20 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 14
56
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-14); Over

Nevada @ UTEP

Game 395-396
September 21, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nevada
75.970
UTEP
53.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 22
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 14
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(-14); Under

Nebraska @ Illinois

Game 323-324
September 21, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
91.865
Illinois
76.342
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 15 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 12 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(-12 1/2); Over

Sacramento St @ Fresno State

Game 413-414
September 21, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
63.666
Fresno State
93.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 29 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 25 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(-25 1/2); Under

Colorado @ Arizona State

Game 351-352
September 21, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
84.491
Arizona State
88.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 3 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 8
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+8); Over

Toledo @ Colorado State

Game 345-346
September 21, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
85.606
Colorado State
68.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 17
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 9
67
Dunkel Pick:
Toledo
(-9); Over

UCLA @ Washington St

Game 397-398
September 21, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
76.643
Washington St
98.638
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 22
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 18 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-18 1/2); Under

Utah State @ San Diego St

Game 399-400
September 21, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
91.419
San Diego St
90.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 1
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 4 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(+4 1/2); Under

Central Arkansas @ Hawaii

Game 415-416
September 21, 2019 @ 12:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
63.200
Hawaii
74.391
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hawaii
by 11
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hawaii
by 14 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(+14 1/2); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:31 AM

Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams

College Football Week 3 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 56-12
Against the Spread 39-28-1

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 44-24
Against the Spread 32-35-1

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 32-36

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 203-28
Against the Spread 116-109-6

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 172-55
Against the Spread 106-115-6

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 109-121-3

The largest underdogs to win straight up
The Citadel (+27.5, ML +1500) at Georgia Tech, 27-24 (OT)
Kansas (+20.5, ML +800) at Boston College, 48-24
Arizona State (+15.5, ML +550) at Michigan State, 10-7
Eastern Michigan (+7.5, ML +230) at Illinois, 34-31
Kansas State (+7, ML +220) at Mississippi State, 31-24
West Virginia (+7, ML +220) vs. N.C. State, 44-27

The largest favorites to cover
Louisiana-Lafayette (-47) vs. Texas Southern, 77-6
Texas A&M (-45.5) vs. Lamar, 62-3
Miami-Florida (-41) vs. Bethune-Cookman, 63-0
Missouri (-35) vs. SE Missouri State, 50-0
Notre Dame (-34.5) vs. New Mexico, 66-14
Georgia (-33) vs. Arkansas State, 55-0

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- Cincinnati bounced back from a shellacking from Ohio State last week, topping Miami-Ohio for the cover as 17-point favorites in their rivalry game. 'Under' bettors lucked out a bit (see below in bad beats). The Bearcats are 2-0 SU/ATS at home, while the 'under' has connected in all three of their outings. ... Temple pulled the mild upset over Maryland, 20-17, cashing +180 on the moneyline. UMD opened as high as an eight-point favorite, falling to 5.5 by gametime. The Owls are now 2-0 SU/ATS through two outings with a trip to Buffalo on deck next week. ... Houston fell to Washington State in NRG Stadium on Friday night in a neutral-site battle, 31-24. It was expected to be a high-scoring game with a line of 74, but a scoreless first quarter helped the total go well under. Houston is 0-2 SU vs. Power 5 teams so far, but 2-0 ATS. The 'under' is 2-0-1 for the Cougars in three games overall. ... Navy roughed up East Carolina in the conference opener for both. The Middies won 42-10, easily covering for the second time in as many games as they improved to 2-0 SU/ATS with the 'under' 2-0.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- Wake Forest outlasted North Carolina 24-18 on Friday night in what was actually not a league game despite both being ACC members. Due to the cross-division scheduling in the ACC, these teams were scheduled to meet once every few years, and the schools wanted to ignite the rivalry on a more regular basis. Wake is now 3-0 SU, but this was their first cover (1-1-1 ATS). ... Georgia Tech wasn't as fortunate, falling to FCS The Citadel in overtime in Atlanta, 27-24. The Bulldogs weren't exactly a powerhouse in the FCS, well out of the Top 25 rankings, and receiving just three votes in the past FCS poll. Embarrassing loss for the Ramblin' Wreck. ... Virginia Tech nearly met the same fate, edging Furman 24-17. To be fair, the Paladins were at least ranked No. 13 in the FCS rankings this past week. That's three games and three non-covers for the Hokies, and the 'under' has hit in each of their two home outings. ... Virginia moved to 3-0 SU with a comeback win against Florida State, 31-24. The Seminoles took the 24-17 lead 11:42 to go, but the Hoos rallied with a touchdown at 6:02. However, they misfired on the extra point and were still down 24-23. With 2:34 to go, UVA scored a touchdown with a two-point conversion, causing the line to push at most shops. The two-point conversion also pushed the total 'over' (54).

BIG TEN

-- Ohio State went on the road for the first time this season and throttled Indiana, 51-10. The Buckeyes have scored at least 42 points in each of their three game, but this was their first 'over' result - barely. The game closed at 60.5 at most shops. ... Illinois suffered its first setback of the season against visiting Eastern Michigan, 34-31. It was also the first 'over' result after two unders for the Illini. Illinois tied the game 31-31 with 1:44 to push the total over, but EMU booted a 24-yard field goal with no time left to win it outright. ... Penn State was favored by 17 points against rival Pittsburgh, and if that seemed rather high it's because it was. The Nittany Lions won their rivalry game by a 17-10 count as the 'under' comfortably cashed. It was a departure from the first two games when the Lions posted 79 and 45 against Idaho and Buffalo. It was also PSU's first non-cover in three tries. ... Minnesota avoided the upset bug against Georgia Southern, hanging 35-32. The Golden Gophers are 3-0 SU, but 0-2-1 ATS with a pair of 'over' results in the past two games.

BIG 12

-- Kansas opened the week with a win at Boston College, snapping a 48-game road losing streak against Power 5 teams. Les Miles has the Jayhawks sitting at 2-1 SU, but this was their first win over an FBS team and it was the first cover for Kansas in three games. ... Kansas State also took care of business on the road against a Power 5 team, edging Mississippi State, 31-24. The Wildcats have fired out of the box at 3-0 SU/ATS. ... West Virginia upended N.C. State in Morgantown by a 44-27 count. The matchup in 2018 was wiped out in Raleigh by Hurricane Florence, and the Wolfpack likely wish a storm struck before this one, too. The Mountaineers earned their first win against an FBS team, their first cover and first 'over' in three tries. ... Oklahoma State had their hands full at Tulsa, but they eventually pulled away 40-21. The Cowboys actually trailed 21-20 at half. The Golden Hurricane were blanked in the second half helping the 'under' (64) connected. ... Oklahoma routed UCLA behind QB Jalen Hurts, who ran for 99 yards on the team's first drive. The Sooner ended up with the 48-14 win, improving to 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS ahead of their conference opener with Texas Tech. ... Speaking of the Red Raiders, they were topped 28-14 at Arizona, 28-14. The 'under' has cashed in three straight for the Red Raiders. ... Texas dropped Rice 48-13 in a game featuring some craziness at the end to affect the line and total (see below).

CONFERENCE USA

-- Florida Atlantic stepped out of conference at Ball State for the 41-31 road victory. They're 2-0 SU/ATS on the road so far this season, averaging 31.0 PPG while allowing 38.0 PPG. The total is 1-1-1 with FAU so far through three games. ... Western Kentucky put a late scare into Louisville side bettors, but the Cards held on for the cover at both 10 and 10.5, depending on when you bet. The Cards had a 31-7 lead at half, and appeared well on the way to an easy cover, but Western fought back to close to 17 with 12:50 to go, but that was the last score of the day. ... North Texas also gave it a nice run at California, but came up short in a 23-17 loss. The Mean Green fell behind 20-0, much to the dismay of UNT side bettors and 'under' (50.5) bettors, but North Texas held Cal to just three points in the final three quarters for the cover and under. It was UNT's first cover in three games, and their first under result.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- Central Michigan bounced back from a 61-point drumming at Wisconsin last week, topping Akron 45-24 in the MAC opener for both sides. The 'over' has connected in all three games for the Chippewas so far this season. The over has hit in each of the past two for the Zips, too. Akron slipped to 0-3 SU/ATS overall. ...

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- Air Force scored one for the Mountain West, following in the footsteps of Boise State earlier this season. The Falcons picked up a road win against a Power 5 team, besting Colorado in overtime, 30-23. Despite the extra session, 'over' (58.5) bettors were still left with a losing ticket. The Falcons are 2-0 SU/Ats heading into their MWC opener against the aforementioned Broncos on the Smurf Turf next Friday. ... New Mexico was unable to pull the stunner in South Bend, as they were blasted by Notre Dame, 66-14. The Lobos have hit the 'over' in each of their two outings, allowing 97 points in two games. ... Colorado State was also unable to join the group, as they were slapped down at Arkansas by a 55-34 count. This game was actually tied 34-34, but the Rams were blanked 21-0 in the final quarter by Chad Morris' group.

PAC-12

-- Oregon State comfortably passed FCS Cal Poly by a 45-7 score, picking up their second straight cover and 'under' result. ... USC was tripped up in overtime by a 30-27 score at Brigham Young, as the Cougars won in overtime for the second consecutive weekend. Freshman QB Kedon Slovis did all right in his first collegiate road outing, but a tipped pass in OT doomed him. ... Another Pac-12 team took it on the chin in a non-conference road outing, as Stanford was unable to slow UCF. The Knights came away with the 45-27 victory, and over (58.5) bettors were aided by a 28-point first quarter by the Knights, and 35 total points after 15 minutes. ... Arizona State scored a touchdown with :50 left in East Lansing, pulling the 10-7 upset at Michigan State. It's the second consecutive season the Sun Devils topped the Spartans by three points, as they upended Sparty in Tempe by a 16-13 count on Sept. 8, 2018. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for AZ State. MSU appeared to have the game-tying field goal to force OT, but they were whistled for 12 men on the field. The next field, five yards back, was no good. ... Utah belted FCS Idaho State by a 31-0 score, failing to cover the 37.5-number. The Utes moved to 3-0 SU, but they're just 1-2 ATS with the 'under' 2-1.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- Tennessee finally found someone they could beat - FCS Chattanooga. The Mocs were the sacrificial lamb on Saturday, falling 45-0 to the Volts, who win for the first time in 2019. It was their first cover of the season, too, and first 'under' result thanks to the defensive effort. ... Georgia wasn't caught looking ahead to Notre Dame, spanking a pretty good Arkansas State team by a 55-0 mark. The UGA offense has piled up 49.3 PPG through three outings, and they're allowed just 7.7 PPG. ... Alabama was able to ease past South Carolina, 47-23. The Gamecocks hung with the Tide through one quarter, trailing 14-10, but the Tide posted at least 10 points in every quarter and the Cocks could not come close to matching that production. ... Mississippi had their hands full with FCS Southeastern Louisiana, but they were able to get the 40-29 win as the 'over' (53) comfortably cashed. The Rebels led just 34-29 after three quarters.

SUN BELT

-- Georgia State moved to 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS with a narrow 48-42 win over FCS Furman, a Top 10 team in the FCS rankings. Their unblemished record will be put to the test again next week at Western Michigan of the MAC. ... Georgia Southern picked up a 26-18 win over FCS Maine, bouncing back from a thrashing at the hands of LSU last week. The Eagles are 0-2 ATS so far, though. ... Arkansas State were very rude guests at UNLV, winning 43-17 to bounce back from a loss to SMU last week. The Red Wolves offense is clicking, averaging 36.5 PPG while allowed 27.0 PPG. Next up is a trip to Georgia. Ouch. ... Coastal Carolina dumped FCS Norfolk State by a 46-7 score, moving to 2-1 SU/ATS. The defense has allowed just 7.0 PPG in the past two games, both covers.

Bad Beats

-- In that Miami (Ohio)-Cincinnati game, bettors holding over tickets probably thought they were on easy street after a 24-point third quarter gave the game 48 total points on the board through 45 minutes. That's how the game ended after a scoreless final 15.

-- The same situation happened in another game featuring a MAC club. Western Michigan led Georgia State 57-10 after three quarters with a total of 69.5 on the board. After a scoreless fourth quarter, over bettors were left shaking their heads.

-- Alabama was hammering South Carolina by a 47-16 count with a 1-yard touchdown run from RB Mac Jones with 2:04 to go. However, the Gamecocks kept playing to the end, scoring a touchdown with :11 left on a QB Ryan Hilinski touchdown pass, crushing those who laid the 26 1/2. To be fair, the Tide were covering for a total of just 1:53. South Carolina's drive was aided by a targeting call, too, which plenty in the Twitterverse were unhappy about.

-- In the Texas-Rice game, the Longhorns were favored by 32 with a total of 57. With 7:50 remaining in the game, Texas took a 38-6 lead. The Longhorns kicked a field goal with 3:29 to take a 41-6 lead. With 1:07 to go, Rice appeared to secure the backdoor cover, 41-13. However, the Longhorns ripped off a 98-yard kickoff return for touchdown to not only cover, 48-13, but flip the total from under to over. Ouch.

-- Clemson was leading 34-6 in the final minute at Syracuse. They emptied the bench and a true freshman took it to the house to flip a push at most shops into a cover for the Tigers. You'll definitely see this one on SVP.

-- Moneyline bettors were feeling it in Lexington, as Kentucky, a 10-point 'dog, led 21-10 after three quarters with Florida down to a backup QB after losing Feleipe Franks to a leg injury. Backup Kyle Trask helped the Gators to a go-ahead touchdown with 4:11 to go, making it 22-21. Kentucky misfired on a field goal, and Josh Hammond rubbed salt in the wound with a 78-yard touchdown run to make it 29-21. The TD run with :33 left flipped the under to an over result.

-- Under (63) bettors were feeling good with Texas A&M leading FCS Lamar 55-3 with under two to go. However, the Aggies ripped off a 13-yard touchdown with 1:51 to go, flipping the total to an over result, 62-3.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:31 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 3
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the third big weekend of the college football season. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Wake Forest (-3) 24, North Carolina 18: The Demon Deacons led 21-0 just a few minutes into the second quarter as little went right for the Tar Heels. North Carolina did get a 4th-and-1 stop inside the 10-yard-line to keep the margin at 21 into halftime however. Defense carried the third quarter as there were no points added until North Carolina hit a 49-yard field goal with 41 seconds remaining. After comeback wins in the first two games the Tar Heels made a great run at it again, getting to 21-10 and then 21-18 with about six minutes remaining after going 80 yards in five plays and hitting the two-point conversion. Wake Forest was able to pick up several first downs to exhaust North Carolina’s timeouts but the Deacons kept the game in play by settling for a field goal with a minute to go. North Carolina moved 33 yards before time ran out with officials later admitting one second should have been given to the Heels for a final play after picking up a late first down and getting out of bounds. It would have been a Hail Mary from there but the Tar Heels weren’t given a shot at a miracle finish as Wake Forest held on.

Washington State (-8) 31, Houston 24: Houston kept the prolific Washington State offense in check in the first half with a 14-7 lead at the break as those playing the mid-70s ‘over’ found trouble early with a scoreless first quarter. Washington State scored two touchdowns in the third quarter to get back in front and held Houston to a field goal early in the fourth quarter after a penalty handed off good field position. That four-point edge allowed Washington State to get past the favorite number with the following touchdown drive, leading 28-17 with fewer than seven minutes remaining. Washington State backers got a big break as Houston fumbled on its next offensive play but Washington State only got three points despite reaching 1st-and-goal from the 3-yard-line. A roughing the passer penalty got Houston’s final drive off to a promising start and with just over two minutes remaining a touchdown run from D’Eriq King put Houston within seven, where the final held for the narrow underdog cover.

Kansas State (+7) 31, Mississippi State 24: Kansas State was in control in the first quarter but a costly personal foul penalty allowed Mississippi State to extend a late drive and get to halftime down 17-14 instead of 17-7. The Bulldogs controlled the third quarter and took the lead with a touchdown, sitting even with the closing spread after an early fourth quarter field goal made it 24-17. The kickoff was returned 100 yards by Malik Knowles for a tying score for the Wildcats to shift the momentum back. The defenses held from there until a marginal punt put Kansas State in favorable field position and the Wildcats hit a pair of big passes on the way to the end zone for a seven-point advantage with about five minutes to go. Mississippi State would reach inside the Kansas State 30 on the next drive but went backwards and on 4th-and-16 wound up just a yard short.

Air Force (+3) 30, Colorado 23: The first meeting between these nearby schools featured some big swings as Colorado jumped out to a 10-0 lead and then trailed 20-10 by halftime. Neither team scored in the third quarter and Air Forced extended its lead with a field goal in the fourth while posting a big rushing edge as expected. Colorado would answer about four minutes later but the PAT was blocked as Air Force maintained a seven-point edge. Air Force had a pair of penalties on its next drive and had to punt quickly as Colorado had the ball back with a chance to tie. It took 13 plays but the Buffaloes were able get a touchdown in the final minute and the PAT was good to force overtime. Colorado didn’t keep the momentum long as in overtime Kadin Remsberg went 25 yards for the score on 1st down and Air Force then stopped the Buffaloes for the upset win.

Alabama (-27) 47, South Carolina 23: The box score reveals plenty of concerns for Alabama and South Carolina answered the early punches trailing only 14-10 after the first quarter. Alabama missed a field goal late in the second quarter after being handed good field position as the lead was just 24-10. South Carolina’s chance to truly get back in the game came up empty as in the final seconds before the break the Gamecocks couldn’t get into the end zone after reaching the 1-yard-line, eventually failing going for it on 4th-and-3. Alabama would pull away in the third quarter with a 21-point advantage, one touchdown short of covering the heavy road favorite spread. South Carolina would add a field goal in the fourth but Alabama quickly answered to lead by 24. A promising South Carolina drive ended in a Ryan Hilinski interception and despite limited rushing success the entire game, the Tide eventually worked its way into the end zone, converting on 4th-and-1. That appeared to be the spread-saving score for flocks of Tide backers but Will Muschamp and the Gamecocks had the last laugh, converting a 4th down with 15 seconds to go and hitting the end zone on the next play to narrowly take the underdog cover back.

Army (-14½) 31, Texas San Antonio 13: Army had a 17-7 lead through three quarters but extended the advantage to 24-7 early in the fourth. Following a nice kickoff return, the Roadrunners would add six but not the conversion to climb within the spread down 11. Army intended to run out the clock but they ran out of field and UTSA opted to use its timeouts. Army eventually rushed in from three yards out on 1st down with just over a minute remaining to get past the favorite spread despite being close to the range for taking a knee. UTSA was still a threat to steal the cover back late in the game reaching the Army 21 before an interception.

BYU (+5) 30, USC 27: These teams were knotted at 17-17 at halftime before the scoring went blank in the third quarter. BYU had a fumble and then failed to add points after a long drive trying to go for it on 4th-and-3 inside the 10. A 92-play USC touchdown drive followed to put the Trojans in front but BYU got back within the number with a field goal with about eight minutes remaining. BYU held the USC offense to a 3-and-out and the Cougars answered quickly with a three-play touchdown drive to take the lead. An 11-play USC drive followed but it stalled in deep field goal range. Chase McGrath would hit from 52 to tie the game with just under two minutes remaining. In overtime USC picked up a sack and forced BYU to kick a field goal but USC freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis was intercepted to end the game. The overtime points also were enough to push the total ‘over’ for many as BYU ‘under’ backers were burned for a second straight week by the extra-session, though this week’s total did climb to close at 57½ at many outlets for mixed possible results.

Oklahoma State (-12½) 40, Tulsa 21: Tulsa played a great first half to lead 21-20 in a huge home game for the program. That score held in the first 10 minutes of the third quarter before Oklahoma State put two quick touchdowns together, the second coming on a 90-yard pass play as the Cowboys suddenly led by 12. Oklahoma State went for two and came up empty in a critical spread result play heading into the fourth quarter. Tulsa was stopped on downs twice in the fourth quarter including inside the Oklahoma State 10-yard-line. The Cowboys hadn’t been past the favorite spread in the entire game but on 4th-and-1 with just over two minutes remaining Chuba Hubbard rushed for 33 yards to put the Cowboys up 19.

Arkansas (-9½) 55, Colorado State 34: After losing to Colorado State last season, Arkansas was again caught in a tough battle with the Rams, this season at home. Arkansas led 27-24 at halftime and the game was tied 34-34 through three quarters. Big plays followed for Arkansas with a 62-yard pass play for a second touchdown in the fourth quarter that put Arkansas past the favorite spread and a fumble return touchdown led to a lopsided final margin that the Razorbacks didn’t necessarily deserve.

Louisville (-10½) 38, Western Kentucky 21: Louisville quarterback Jawon Pass was a late scratch for this game but Louisville took a commanding 31-7 lead at halftime, helped by a defensive score just before the break. Both teams scored in the third as the 24-point edge held but Western Kentucky found the end zone early in the fourth to sit down 17 and one score away from the underdog cover. The Hilltoppers recovered the onside kick but failed going for it on 4th-and-15 just past midfield. Louisville helped the cause for the Hilltoppers by also going for it on 4th down near midfield instead of punting as Western Kentucky got the ball back in great field position. On the next drive the Hilltoppers reached the Louisville 6-yard-line but couldn’t get in and they also failed near midfield again on a late drive as Louisville held on for the favorite cover in Nashville.

Iowa (-1½) 18, Iowa State 17: This anticipated rivalry game had a nearly three-hour delay early in the game with lightning before the contest lived up to its billing with an exciting finish. Iowa State took a 14-6 lead on just two plays out of halftime after a fumble led to Iowa getting three points just before the break. Iowa added three more in the third quarter and then struck early in the fourth quarter with a seven-play touchdown drive to take the lead. Up one Iowa would miss on a critical two-point conversion try on a spread that was steady at -1½ with brief wavering up to -2 at times. Iowa State responded with a long drive but also settled for just a short field goal to lead by two halfway through the fourth quarter. Iowa again would lean on kicker Keith Duncan who a few minutes later struck from 39 to put the Hawkeyes back in front by one. Iowa State’s final drive was not without drama as Iowa declined an offensive penalty on 3rd-and-13 to force 4th down just outside of field goal range. On the first attempt of that play Iowa was called for clear pass interference but a second unseen flag whistled Iowa State for holding to offset the huge call that would have given the Cyclones a new set of downs. Iowa State was unable to convert the re-do but managed to force Iowa to a punt with the Hawkeyes surprisingly opting to pass on third down and getting out of bounds to keep well over a minute on the clock. On the punt disaster struck with a Cyclones blocker running into the returner with a slight push from an Iowa player on a short kick, ultimately contacting the ball and allowing Iowa to re-gain possession, where they took a knee to seal the narrow win but left the Cyclones with the cover.

Florida (-8½) 29, Kentucky 21: Kentucky snapped a long losing streak in this series last season but they didn’t seem ready to give the series right back to the favored Gators. Sawyer Smith led the Wildcats in his first start to a 14-7 halftime lead with the Gators having two turnovers and a missed field goal in the first half. Florida added a field goal in the third quarter after a long Kentucky drive ended in an interception but the Wildcats put the margin back to two scores quickly with a touchdown. Both teams were stopped on downs on the following possessions and with Kyle Trask replacing an injured Feleipe Franks the Gators had a quick touchdown drive in six plays to climb within five, missing on the two-point conversion. Later in the fourth Smith was intercepted near midfield but an unsportsmanlike penalty after the play pushed Florida into lesser field position. Florida was aided by two 15-yard penalties and managed to score in just four plays, taking a 22-21 lead after again failing going for the two-point conversion. The Wildcats were in position to answer but were seemingly more concerned with burning clock than getting the lead back and they wound up burned as Chance Poore narrowly missed a 35-yard kick for the lead. Looking for a first down to end the game Josh Hammond broke free and raced 76 yards for a touchdown in the final seconds and the extra-point put Florida up by eight to match the common spread on the game ahead of the weekend, though those that jumped on the Gators on Saturday mostly fell just short.

Washington (-22) 52, Hawai’i 20: Hopes for three Pac-12 wins for the Warriors went out the window quickly as Washington raced out to a 38-0 lead before Hawai’i managed a touchdown right before halftime. The Warriors didn’t fold in the second half however netting two touchdowns to climb within 18 and in position to cover the hefty underdog number. Washington would get back in front of the number early in the fourth and then added another score after an interception to seal the win and cover in a bounce back from last week’s loss to Cal.

San Diego State (-17) 31, New Mexico State 10: The Aggies made a late play to cover with 10 points in a five-minute span late in the third quarter after falling behind 24-0. San Diego State scored to get back past the number early in the fourth quarter and on the responding drive New Mexico State couldn’t convert after reaching the Aztecs 17-yard-line. New Mexico State also reached San Diego State territory late in the fourth but on 1st down a fumble handed the ball back to San Diego State.

Clemson (-27½) 41, Syracuse 6: Clemson led just 17-6 at halftime and was short of the favorite spread with a 27-6 edge through three quarters. Trevor Lawrence turned in a fourth-quarter touchdown drive as the Tigers led by 28 to slip by the spread and a late Syracuse threat was turned away in Clemson territory. For good measure Chez Mellusi broke a 57-yard rush in the final minute to pad the final score for the top ranked Tigers.

Virginia (-7) 31, Florida State 24: The Cavaliers were a -7½-point favorite much of the week but that didn’t seem relevant as Florida State led most of this game, up by seven through three quarter and well into the fourth quarter after answering an early fourth quarter tying score from Virginia. The Cavaliers looked set to tie the game with about six minutes to go with an efficient Bryce Perkins drive finding the end zone but a missed PAT left the Seminoles in front by one. The Virginia defense delivered the 3-and-out however and it took just five plays with the help of a penalty for Virginia to find the end zone again. Down five Perkins converted the two-point try and the Cavaliers led by seven to hit the number for some. James Blackman had a chance to deliver the tying score with a personal foul converting a late 4th down incompletion while pass interference added more yards for the Seminoles who received four 15-yard penalties on the drive. Florida State reached the Virginia 4-yard-line scrambling without timeouts and ran a final play that left Cam Akers just short of the end zone.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:31 AM

College football Week 4: Early bettors pound Georgia odds for showdown vs. Notre Dame
Patrick Everson

A big clash of top-10 programs highlights Week 4 on the college football schedule. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBetUSA in New Jersey.

No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (-12)

Georgia reached the College Football Playoff title game two years ago and is trying to burnish its credentials for this year’s CFP. The Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) have played three lightweights so far, including in Week 3, when they thumped Arkansas State 55-0 as 32.5-point home favorites.

Notre Dame landed a spot in last season’s CFP semifinals, where it got completely outclassed by Clemson in a 30-3 loss. The Fighting Irish (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) punished hapless New Mexico 66-14 as 34.5-point home faves Saturday.

Bulldogs backers didn’t wait long to get out of the gate, moving the line 2 points to -14 by Monday night.

“Huge early-season game with major playoff implications,” Chaprales said. “A loss effectively kills Notre Dame’s chances, while Georgia would face a significant uphill climb. We took some Georgia action at the opener of 12, moved quickly to 12.5 and then straight through 13 to 13.5. Despite both teams being ranked in the top 10, this number – along with the direction it’s moved – underscores just how far apart the market thinks they are.”

No. 10 Michigan Wolverines at No. 14 Wisconsin Badgers (-3)

Michigan had a Week 3 bye and probably needed it after surviving a major home upset bid in Week 2. The Wolverines (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) went off as 21.5-point favorites against Army and never led until overtime, coming away with a 24-21 victory.

Wisconsin also comes into this noon ET Saturday clash well-rested off a Week 3 bye. The Badgers (2-0 SU and ATS) won their first two games by a combined 110-0, including a 61-0 Week 2 victory over Central Michigan laying 34 points at home.

“On one side, you have a public team in Michigan that hasn’t looked great – 0-2 ATS, nearly lost outright at home to Army – and on the other, a Wisconsin squad that’s tossed a pair of perfect games against minnows so far,” Chaprales said. “Recreational bettors will nonetheless likely be interested in the Wolverines at plus money.”

Early bettors apparently like the host Badgers, though, with the line moving to -3.5, back to -3, then returning to -3.5.

No. 9 Auburn Tigers at No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies (-3.5)

Auburn got a resume-building win over Oregon in Week 1, then moved to 3-0 SU and ATS with wins over a couple of lesser lights. In Week 3, the Tigers crunched Kent State 55-16, cashing as hefty 36-point faves.

Texas A&M (2-1 SU) has also been good to bettors so far, cashing in all three of its outings, including a 24-10 Week 2 loss catching 16.5 points at No. 1 Clemson. The Aggies faced FCS foe Lamar in Week 3 and ran it up 62-3 giving 45 points at home.

The line ticked up a half-point to A&M -4 for this Southeastern Conference showdown, set for 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday.

“Key conference opener that could determine the direction each of these programs is headed,” Chaprales said. “Auburn and true freshman quarterback Bo Nix passed their first test of season by sliding past Oregon, while A&M didn’t put up much resistance against Clemson a few weeks ago, needing a last-second touchdown to get the backdoor cover. Slight adjustment off the opener of 3.5, but minimal activity since.”

No. 11 Utah Utes at No. 24 Southern California Trojans (+3.5)

Southern Cal lost starting quarterback JT Daniels (ACL) in Week 1, and while true freshman Kedon Slovis looked superb in Week 2 against Stanford, he looked his age in Week 3. Slovis threw three interceptions at Brigham Young, and the Trojans (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) fell just short 30-27 laying 5 points.

Utah rolled over that same BYU team in Week 1, on the road no less, with a 30-12 victory as a 5-point chalk. The Utes (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) blanked Idaho State 31-0 giving 36.5 points at home Saturday.

This line bounced between Utah -3.5 and -4, sitting at the latter Monday night, for a Pac-12 After Dark clash at 9 p.m. ET Friday.

“This game was shaping up as Utah’s coming-out party, but USC’s loss to BYU put a damper on that,” Chaprales said. “The Pac-12 South figures to be Utah’s to lose this season, but needless to say, a slip-up in a high-profile prime-time spot would be very detrimental.”

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:32 AM

Tech Trends - Week 4
September 17, 2019
By Bruce Marshall

SATURDAY, SEPT. 21

Matchup Skinny Edge

ULM at IOWA STATE...ULM was on 7-4 DD dog run into last season when dropping pair, but recovered at FSU on Sept. 7. Warhawks still just 5-11 last 16 on board. ISU 1-5 spread skid as home chalk, though is 5-0-1 vs. line last six years after facing Iowa.
Slight to Iowa State, based on team trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at OHIO STATE...RedHawks 1-10 vs. line last 11 outside of MAC. Buckeyes 4-1 vs. points last five non-Big Ten at big Horseshoe, 8-5 last 13 laying 20 or more.
Ohio State, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at CLEMSON...49ers have covered 4 of last 5 as DD dog (1-0 for Will Healy). Dabo no covers last four vs. non-ACC at Death Valley.
Charlotte, based on team trends.

UCONN at INDIANA...Edsall 1-1 vs. line TY but just 1-5 last six as away dog. Hoosiers 1-3 last four laying DD vs. FBS-level foes though Tom Allen is above water at 8-6 as chalk since 2017.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.

UCF at PITT...Narduzzi 5-2-1 vs. line at home since LY but still just 10-16-1 vs. spread at Heinz Field since arriving in 2015. Also just 2-8-1 as non-ACC host vs. line since 2015. UCF 7-2 vs. spread last nine as visitor (all visiting chalk), 18-8-1 vs. line since 2017.
UCF, based on team trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at OHIO...Cajuns 4-1-1 vs. spread as visitor for Billy Napier LY, also 4-1-1 as DD dog since 2018. Solich, however, 7-2 vs. line at home vs. FBS-level foes since 2017 and 5-2 vs. spread last seven vs. non-MAC FBS-level foes.
Ohio, based on Solich trends.

NEBRASKA at ILLINOIS...Huskers have won SU last three meetings and covered big last two. Frost covered last four on Big Ten road in 2018 and also covered last seven Big Ten games. Lovie only 4-10 as home dog with Illini and 6-15 last 21 vs. line in Big Ten.
Nebraska, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at BUFFALO...Buff 8-1-1 vs. line at home vs. BCS-level teams past two seasons. Leipold 17-8-1 vs. spread since 2017 vs. FBS-level foes. Rod Carey’s NIU teams, however, were 11-5 as road dog past five years.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MIAMI-FLA...McElwain 4-8 vs. spread last 12 vs. FBS-level teams (at Fla and CMU). Chips were 4-1 as DD dog LY for Bonamego but 0-1 for McElwain TY. Canes were only 5-7 as DD chalk for Richt past two seasons, though Diaz covered last week vs. BCU.
Slight to Miami, Fl., based on team trends.

OLD DOMINION at VIRGINIA...ODU 10-17-1 last 28 on board since late 2016 but Monarchs 3-1 last four as DD dog and covered Sept. 7 at VPI. Cavs 11-4-1 last 16 vs. line since LY and 6-1 last 7 vs. line non-ACC.
Virginia, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at UMASS...Walt Bell 0-3 vs. line with UMass, Minutemen now on 5-11 spread skid. Coastal has won and covered last two in series, and Chants 6-2-1 last nine vs. line away.
Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at NORTHWESTERN...Cats have won last three in series, all as dog. If favored, note Dantonio just 3-10 as visiting chalk since 2015. Pat Fitz 14-5-1 as dog since 2016.
Northwestern, especially if dog, based on team and series trends.

TROY at AKRON...Troy was 6-2 as chalk away from home past two years. Trojans 12-5 vs. spread away since 2016. Zips 0-3 vs. line for Arth, 3-11-1 last 15 vs. points as host.
Troy, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at RUTGERS...BC 8-3 vs. spread last 11 as visitor. Rutgers had covered 6 in a row before Iowa loss, and has covered last four at New Brunswick. Ash 7-4 last 11 as home dog.
Slight to Boston College, based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at SYRACUSE...WMU just 4-11 vs. spread last 15 vs. FBS-level foes. Also no covers last four as DD dog. Babers 7-2 last nine as chalk.
Syracuse based on team trends.

BALL STATE at NC STATE...Ball 3-9 last 12 as visiting dog and just 3-10 as DD dog since 2017 (though 1-0 TY). NCS 5-1 last six as home chalk vs. FBS-level foes (2-0 TY).
NC State, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at WISCONSIN...Harbaugh just 1-7 vs. line last 8 away from Ann Arbor. Mich no covers last six since late 2018. If dog Harbaugh only 2-3 in role with Wolverines. Badgers however just 1-6 as Madison chalk LY, though did rout CMU on Sept. 7.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.

TOLEDO at COLORADO STATE...Rockets 9-3 as visiting chalk since 2015, though just 3-7 last ten vs. spread non-MAC. Rams have covered just 3 of last 11 in Fort Collins, and Bobo just 4-8 last 12 as dog after covering 6 of previous 7 in role.
Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Lobos had failed to cover four straight in series prior to 42-35 win LY. UNM 0-8 as home chalk since late 2016, just 8-19 last 27 overall vs. spread. Ags however just 2-7 last nine as road dog.
Slight to New Mexico State, based on extended series trends.

WASHINGTON at BYU...Huskies just 3-7 last 10 as chalk away from Seattle. Also just 4-7 last 11 vs. line non-Pac 12. Sitake on 15-6 spread run since late 2017.
BYU, based on team trends.

COLORADO at ARIZONA STATE...Buffs entered 2018 on 4-11-1 spread run in Pac 12. Home team has won last four and covered last six in series.
Arizona State, based on series trends.

CAL at OLE MISS...Bears have covered last four as visiting dog and are 7-2 last nine getting points. Cal has covered last three as non-Pac visitor. Rebs on 1-8 spread skid since mid 2018 but did cover last game against FBS foe (vs. Ark). If Rebs a dog note 0-5 mark in role at home under Matt Luke.
Cal, based on team trends.

TENNESSEE at FLORIDA...Vols actually 3-1 as road dog LY, though UT on 6-12 spread skid since late 2017 (6-9 Pruitt). Gators have long held upper hand in series and have covered 7 of last 9 meetings. Dan Mullen on 9-5 spread run since early 2018.
Florida, based on series trends.

GEORGIA STATE at TEXAS STATE...GS no covers last six (0-5-1) on Sun Belt road. Bobcats have covered last two in series though 0-3 vs. line for Spavital in early going.
Slight to Texas State, based on series trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at ALABAMA...Saban 4-11 vs. spread last 15 hosting non-SEC foes. Also 1-7 vs. line last 8 in final non-SEC game. USM 8-4 as dog for Jay Hopson since 2017.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.

KENTUCKY at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Home side has won and covered last four in series. Stoops 14-8 as dog however since 2016. Moorhead 6-1 as Starkville chalk since LY.
Slight to Mississippi State, based on series home trends.

LSU at VANDERBILT...Derek Mason 1-6 as home dog since 2017, 5-12 overall last 17 as dog. LSU four straight covers vs. FBS-level foes since late 2018.
LSU, based on team trends.

APP STATE at NORTH CAROLINA...App State 8-1 vs. spread last nine away from Boone, 6-1 last seven vs. number non-Sun Belt.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.

AUBURN at TEXAS A&M...Malzahn 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 vs. line at College Station, and road team 6-0-1 vs. points last seven meetings. Jimbo however on 13-3 spread run with Ags and is 8-1 vs. spread at Kyle Field.
Slight to Auburn, based on series trends.

WYOMING at TULSA...Bohl is hot, has covered 7 of last 8 on board since late 2018. Bohl has also covered last four as a dog.
Wyoming, based on recent trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at MISSOURI...Muschamp 12-3 last 15 as dog, is also 3-0 SU and vs. line against Barry Odom. Tigers 9-2 vs. line last 11 at home.
Slight to South Carolina, based on Muschamp trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS...Curious series trend with road team covering last five. Neal Brown was 6-2 as road chalk the past two years at Troy.
Slight to West Virginia, based on series trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS...Tom Herman only 4-7 as home chalk since 2017 with Horns. Gundy has won last 4 SU vs. Texas and was 4-0 LY as a dog.
Oklahoma State, based on team and series trends.

BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE...BGSU just 6-16 last 22 as dog (0-2 for Loeffler). Falcs 12-27 vs. points since 2016.
Slight to Kent State, based on BG negatives.

SMU at TCU...Metroplex war! Frogs have won SU last seven meetings and 2-0-1 vs. line last three. But Patterson just 4-15-1 vs. spread at Fort Worth since 2016. SMU 3-0 SU and vs. line in 2019
Slight to SMU, based on team trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at ARKANSAS...Ark just 5-9 as chalk since 2016 (3-3 for Chad Morris), also just 4-14 SU last 18 since late 2017. SJSU 8-3 last 11 as DD dog and has covered 5 of last 7 on road.
San Jose State, based on team trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at UAB...UAB 19-9-1 vs. spread since returning in 2017, 5-2 as DD chalk since LY. Blazers also 10-2-1 vs. spread at Legion Field since 2017.
UAB, based on team trends.

OREGON at STANFORD...Tree has won and covered last three in series, as home dog note Stanford 5-0 in role since 2009. Ducks 4-14-1 vs. spread last 18 away from Eugene.
Stanford, based on team and series trends.

BAYLOR at RICE...Old rivals from SWC days. Getting 20 or more, Bloomgren 6-2 vs. line since taking over Rice in 2017. Under 20 points, just 2-4. Rice just 2-7 vs. points last 9 as home dog. Matt Rhule has covered both as road chalk since taking over Bears in 2017, though only 2-4 laying DD.
Slight to Baylor, based on team trends.

UTSA at NORTH TEXAS...Home team has covered last five in series. Roadrunners just 3-8 last 11 as DD chalk (0-2 TY). UNT however on 1-8 spread skid, 2-10 last 12.
Slight to North Texas, based on series home trends.

NOTRE DAME at GEORGIA...Brian Kelly 3-3 as dog since 2016, but 0-2 as DD dog since 2015. Georgia 22-9 vs. spread last 31 vs. FBS foes.
Georgia, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at FLORIDA STATE...Satterfield on 16-3-1 spread uptick at App State and ‘Ville (2-0 with Cards). FSU 8-17-3 vs. spread since 2017, 4-10-1 for Taggart.
Louisville, based on team trends.

NEVADA at UTEP...Pack just 4-9 last 13 vs. line as visitor, no covers last three as road chalk. But Pack on mild 7-4 spread uptick. Miners 1-6 vs. spread at Sun Bowl for Dimel, 2-10 last 12 vs. spread as host.
Nevada, based on UTEP negatives.

UCLA at WASHINGTON STATE...Bruins now on 23-42 spread skid since 2014 (5-10 for Chip). Leach on 11-5 spread uptick.
Washington State, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Utags on 11-3-1 spread uptick (2-0 for Andersen), Rocky 1-7 vs. line last eight as host!
Utah State, based on team trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:32 AM

By: Monty Andrews

TROUBLE FOR SPARTANS?

The Michigan State Spartans will have to do without one of their standout offensive linemen until November. Kevin Jarvis suffered a knee injury in last week's stunning loss to Arizona State and is expected to be out for six or seven weeks, according to Spartans head coach Mark Dantonio.

Jarvis and the rest of the Spartans' offensive line had their hands full in last week's loss, with Michigan State producing just 3.2 yards per carry while having five passes broken up and allowing a sack. Tyler Higby will take over for Jarvis at left tackle going into this weekend's encounter with host Northwestern.

And while the Wildcats were torched 30-14 by UNLV last time out, they ranked 26th in run defense a season ago and held the Spartans to just 19 points in last year's meeting at Spartan Stadium. We like MSU to come in below its team total of 24.5.

NOT SO FAST!

Don't get too excited, Dillon Gabriel fans. Central Florida head coach Josh Huepel isn't ready to name the sensational freshman as the starting quarterback for Saturday's visit to Pittsburgh. This despite Gabriel going off in last week's statement victory over visiting Stanford, throwing for 347 yards and four touchdowns.

Gabriel has the hot hand ahead of season-opening No. 1 Brandon Wimbush and the recently-returned-from-injury Darriel Mack, both of whom were expected to see action against the Cardinal. In the end, Wimbush saw just one snap while Mack didn't play.

It would be foolhardy for UCF to pivot away from Gabriel, whose advanced level of play should allow the Knights to dominate the time of possession. That, combined with Pitt's ugly offensive numbers (14.7 PPG, 2.8 YPC), make UCF a great pick ATS.

DOWN FOR THE COUNT

Collin Hill has suffered yet another devastating knee injury. The Colorado State quarterback suffered a torn left ACL in last week's loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks and will miss the remainder of the season.

That could be it for Hill's football career, as this is the third time he has torn the ACL in his left knee. Hill was enjoying a terrific season for the Rams, having completed better than two-thirds of his pass attempts for 840 yards with eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Patrick O'Brien will take over the starting role beginning with Saturday's game against visiting Toledo.

This line has shifted three points in the Rockets’ favor since opening at -6.5, and that might be too much movement. O'Brien was impressive in relief last time out, while CSU went 2-0 ATS as home underdogs of 7-plus points in 2018. We like the home side here.

A GREAT UNKNOWN

Saturday's tall task might have become a whole lot tougher for the Auburn Tigers as they prepare to open their SEC schedule against No. 17 Texas A&M at Kyle Field.

Senior defensive tackle Derrick Brown is considered questionable for the game after suffering an upper-body injury early in last week's victory over Kent State. Tigers head coach Gus Malzahn considers Brown "day-to-day". The projected first-round pick in next year's NFL draft has seven tackles (one for loss) in three games, and has 22.5 tackles for loss and 8.5 sacks in his three-plus years at Auburn.

Brown's absence would be a devastating one for the Tigers' defense – and a major boost to a Texas A&M rush attack averaging a robust 5.4 yards per carry. Look to either the Aggies ATS or the Over on their team total if Brown is ruled out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2019, 09:33 AM

Week 4 - Upset Alerts
September 18, 2019
By Matt Blunt

No complaints about bad numbers in terms of last week's plays, as they were more about backing bad teams that simply got overwhelmed by superior talent. Indiana and New Mexico just couldn't keep Ohio State and Notre Dame off the scoreboard to fall well short of even sniffing a cover as big underdogs.

The news wasn't all bad though as Air Force managed to take full advantage of the brutal situational spot Colorado found themselves in. The Falcons nearly coughed up the game (and cover) after having lead for the bulk of that contest, but they managed to hold on long enough to get the outright win in OT, to have the selections avoid it's second consecutive 0-3 ATS week.

A 1-2 ATS record last week with the lone cover winning outright as well is the step in the right direction, and while I may have wasted most of my luck with the huge 20+ underdogs last year, I'm confident that things will turn around here soon for all the underdogs in this weekly piece.

So while it's highly understandable that backing these plays this week may be tough to do given recent results, that narrative actually ties in quite well with the specific teams involved in this week's plays. We've got a few teams that the general betting market wants little to do with after what they've seen from them in the first few weeks of the season. There has generally been nothing but criticism, ridicule and laughter for how some of these teams have performed so far this year, and in terms of the perception vs reality notion, that actually does present some inherent value in their point spreads. Now it's just up to these teams (and myself with the selections) to get the job done.

Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to + 9 range
YTD: 1-2 SU; 2-1 ATS

Michigan (+3.5) vs Wisconsin

Back in the summer when I penned this piece for the site, I did so always having this game in mind and circled on the calendar for a spot to back the Wolverines. Even with Michigan narrowly beating Army last time out, and Jim Harbaugh's team on a 0-6 ATS run dating back to the end of last year, I think this is just the spot, opponent, and time for Michigan to get their 2019 season rolling on the right foot.

The betting market has been quick to get on Harbaugh and the Wolverines this season, talking about how it's the same old, outdated Harbaugh offense that's holding the Wolverines from reaching their full potential yet again this year, and it seems inevitable to most that Michigan will find new and interesting ways to blow it in the biggest games of the year like they have in the past. Going up against a Wisconsin team that's yet to allow a single point this season is a situation that looks like a great spot to further those beliefs as Michigan is a team that very little want anything to do with right now, other then to fade them. Given how well the Badgers have looked so far, it's no surprise that the bulk of the action (70%+) has already come Wisconsin's way.

But being 'tested' early on in a season is something I prefer to look at as a positive for a team like Michigan, because it gets those competitive juices flowing, allows them to know how they'll react when facing adversity, and the more they come out on the positive end of those contests – like they did vs Army – the confidence only grows.

Conversely, Wisconsin has gone up against two cupcakes so far and have yet to had their feet to the fire. There is plenty of confidence having outscored opponents 110-0 through two games, but the Badgers have yet to see any sort of adversity and therefore, we've yet to see how they react when they do so. Sure, they could pass that first test with flying colors, but I'm not sure that will be the case against a team that's as highly ranked or as talented as the Wolverines are. You'd always prefer some early season struggles to come up against a much lesser team where the likelihood of overcoming it is much greater – say like a team like Army, or Illinois, Indiana etc – and I'm not sure this Wisconsin team has what it takes to take the heat when it comes down to it. Yes, Wisconsin could have 'revenge' on their mind after last year's 38-13 loss to Harbaugh's squad, but that score was telling the other way as well in that Harbaugh and Michigan understand how to move the ball against a tough defense like Wisconsin's and will be able to do so again.

The “Redemption Tour” for Michigan might have ended in disappointment for the Wolverines last year with their performance against the Buckeyes at the end of the campaign, but it will be that take no prisoners attitude that serves Michigan well in this game with many doubters lurking out there. With the market's perception already highly negative on Harbaugh yet again, he and his team knows that there aren't many greater feelings then proving the majority wrong, and I expect them to do exactly that in Madison, Wisconsin on Saturday.

Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range
0-3 SU; 0-3 ATS

Tennessee (+14) vs Florida

Speaking of teams that continually get ridiculed and laughed at in the betting market, we've got the Tennessee Volunteers catching double-digits in the Swamp this weekend. It's definitely hard to defend what we've seen from the Volunteers so far in 2019 having dropped game easily winnable games to Georgia State and BYU, as this is a program that not only can't shake the choke job persona in the market, but sees that notion grow seemingly every week.

Yet, sometimes all it takes for a program in the midst of getting crapped on is to go out and beat up on a little brother so to speak. Tennessee did that last week with a 45-0 win (ATS cover as well) vs Chattanooga, and any internal doubts/issues with confidence inside that locker room had to get a boost. There is no redoing those losses to Georgia State and BYU, especially how they happened, but with those still so fresh in the minds of many bettors, the general market wants absolutely nothing to do with the Volunteers. But any athlete will tell you, being counted out and endlessly ridiculed and doubted, only makes the redemption that much sweeter when it comes around.

On the other side of the coin, we've got a Gators team who is turning to QB Kyle Trask this week after Feleipe Franks went down for the year. Bettors saw Trask step in and lead the Gators to a comeback against Kentucky last week, so there is plenty of positive reinforcement there to further get units down against Tennessee in this game. Yet, it's still Trask's first career collegiate start under center, and that has to bring some concerns in its own right, never mind the fact that he's expected to lead his team to a two-TD victory.

Perception and reality just don't appear to be close to meeting in my eyes for this game, and that's probably why this point spread is a little higher then it should be in my view. Yes, we've seen Trask perform well in limited action this year, but what did he have to lose in that scenario? Had he not gone out and led the Gators to a comeback last week it would have essentially been a free pass for him given the situation he stepped into, and leading the comeback like he did only inflated the general perception about his talent.

But the fact that he had nothing to lose in terms of perception from stepping into that scenario allowed him to play free and easy on those final drives, and relaxed athletes with nothing to lose tend to always perform at their best. This week, the pressure amps up quite a bit as there is much more on his shoulders in terms of potentially suffering a loss here, and it will be interesting to see how he and the Gators react.

Besides, wouldn't it be a complete Tennessee thing to do to lose their first two games of the year in the fashion that they did, and then turn around and go into the Swamp and get an outright upset victory? I'm not sure that will end up being the case, but the Volunteers will put their best foot forward in trying to do so, and keep this game much closer then a number like this suggests.

Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range
YTD: 0-3 SU; 0-3 ATS

Miami OH (+39) at Ohio State

As has been the case with my handicapping in other sports this year, there are plenty of times where plays of mine end up being losses as they come a game/week too early. Fading Ohio State on the road last week in their Big 10 opener proved to be a wrong cap by far, but I'm hoping that I was just a week too early on fading this Buckeyes team that's still getting talked up too much in my opinion this year.

This also isn't the greatest spot for the Buckeyes to cover a huge number like this, facing a weak non-conference foe at home, sandwiched between two Big 10 road tilts. Indiana proved to be no match for the Buckeyes, but a trip to Nebraska next week should be much tougher. This week's game against the Redhawks has all the makings of a “get in, get out” type game for Ohio State, as they'll establish a comfortable lead early and then sit on the ball after that. There is no need to send a message to say, the rest of the Big 10, like they did last week against Indiana, so they aren't likely to keep their foot on the gas late like they did last week, and to win, stay healthy, and give some 2nd and 3rd stringers meaningful reps has to be the goal.

Finally, Ohio State comes into this game with a 2-0 ATS record, and during the regular season, the Buckeyes have only covered the number three straight times on one occasion dating back to October 2016. Put it all together and I believe we see this Miami (Ohio) team that's already 1-0 ATS this year as a 20+ underdog get the ATS cash again.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-21-2019, 08:05 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, September 21

Saturday 9-21-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 9-21-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment