Thursday 9-26-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 26


Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

Game 901-902
September 26, 2019 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 17.969
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 14.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-150); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 913-914
September 26, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(TBD) 15.810
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 12.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-200); Over

Boston @ Texas

Game 915-916
September 26, 2019 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Lakins) 14.077
Texas
(Minor) 15.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-130
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+110); Over

LA Dodgers @ San Diego

Game 903-904
September 26, 2019 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 14.665
San Diego
(Lucchesi) 15.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-220
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+190); Under

Colorado @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
September 26, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Freeland) 15.879
San Francisco
(Beede) 14.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+110); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 907-908
September 26, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Vargas) 14.505
Washington
(Strasburg) 17.921
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-240
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-240); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 909-910
September 26, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Quintana) 14.050
Pittsburgh
(Musgrove) 15.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-175
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+155); Under

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 911-912
September 26, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Yamamoto) 14.942
NY Mets
(Wheeler) 17.497
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-295
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-295); Under

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 917-918
September 26, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Civale) 14.456
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 15.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-210
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+175); Over

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 919-920
September 26, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Miley) 17.881
LA Angels
(Barria) 14.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-220
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-220); Under

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 921-922
September 26, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 16.352
Seattle
(Hernandez) 13.699
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-240
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-240); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 5	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 5-6) * PICK 3 (50 CENT MINIMUM: RACES 5-6-7) * PICK 4 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 5-6-7-8)
Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 2:58P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * OK HONEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SISTER ALEXA: Horse has run a Good Race within the l ast 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FILLY RIDE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	OK HONEY	6/5	3/1
2	SISTER ALEXA	5/2	4/1
3	FILLY RIDE	6/1	7/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	OK HONEY	6	6/5	Alternator/Stalker	68	72	60.6	63.0	61.0
3	FILLY RIDE	3	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	54	58.1	46.8	39.8
2	SISTER ALEXA	2	5/2	Trailer	68	63	42.0	62.2	57.7
1	STEADY ROCK	1	9/2	Trailer	62	62	39.8	38.2	29.2
4	MAIZELOVESBROWNIES	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	46	63.2	31.2	21.7
5	HOT POSSEBILITY	5	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	54	42	41.6	37.6	28.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 9:55P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 26, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HOLIDAY MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. COOKIES ARE GOOD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MIDAS CAT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. INTIMIDATING: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). KING PTOLEMY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3	HOLIDAY MAN	15/1	5/1
5	COOKIES ARE GOOD	3/1	5/1
8	MIDAS CAT	12/1	9/1
4	INTIMIDATING	12/1	9/1
12	KING PTOLEMY	9/2	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	WAR EAGLE'S RETURN	9	8/1	Front-runner	85	81	73.6	69.8	56.3
3	HOLIDAY MAN	3	15/1	Alternator/Front-runner	88	79	76.0	71.4	66.9
4	INTIMIDATING	4	12/1	Alternator/Front-runner	90	83	58.4	77.0	60.0
12	KING PTOLEMY	12	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	83	76	59.2	75.4	64.4
6	ZILKER	6	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	88	72	40.2	71.8	55.3
8	MIDAS CAT	8	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	80	33.8	65.6	58.1
2	LEFT COAST DREAMS	2	4/1	Trailer	87	77	57.4	71.8	57.3
5	COOKIES ARE GOOD	5	3/1	Trailer	92	89	55.4	78.8	74.8
1	SPRINGTIME MOJO	1	6/1	Trailer	86	83	51.6	72.0	62.0
10	KILLER PARTY	10	30/1	Trailer	0	0	35.8	65.0	46.0
11	CASH KITTEN	11	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	94	74	69.7	70.2	56.7
7	SUPERSTYLE	7	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	65	58.6	70.8	49.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 85

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 UNDAUNTED 8/1
# 7 HIP HIP JORGE 2/1
# 6 DANZAR 4/1

UNDAUNTED is the top bet in this contest and is a decent value bet given the line at 8/1. Has to be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. This colt has some longshot angles I like to wager on. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the group of horses recently. HIP HIP JORGE - Ought to compete soundly in the early speed contest which bodes well with this field. Earned a reliable Equibase speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. DANZAR - This colt should be given consideration just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. Keep this colt in your exotics as Zayas has given backers some double digit profits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:33pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#1 INALIENABLE RIGHTS (ML=8/5)


INALIENABLE RIGHTS - The ROI when Carmouche and Englehart get together is outstanding. This horse brings in a lot of dough per start. Tops in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 LAURA'S POSSE (ML=9/5), #5 GYOZA (ML=3/1), #3 ALL CLEAR (ML=6/1),

LAURA'S POSSE - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint races in order to back him. GYOZA - In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in short distance affairs recently. ALL CLEAR - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint contests in order to support him.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #1 INALIENABLE RIGHTS to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 JOHN'S PROMISE 5/2
# 1 ELIAV 4/1
# 6 MEETMEATTHEWIRE 15/1

I think JOHN'S PROMISE is a strong choice. Marin will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this race. Gorham has a formidable 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. ELIAV - Lately Lake has provided gamblers with a decent winning percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,100 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#4 LIGHTHOUSE POINT (ML=2/1)


LIGHTHOUSE POINT - I am keen on that latest contest on September 2nd at Belterra Park where he ran second. Sophisticated selectors will tell you that this thoroughbred has strong speed. Just look at his last rating, 70. That one looks good in this field. Last raced at Belterra Park with a poor post position. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CAUSEWAY CANDY (ML=6/5), #3 NAUTICAL LEGACY (ML=7/2),

CAUSEWAY CANDY - A thoroughbred that breaks his maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next time out. Finished first in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. NAUTICAL LEGACY - Registered a mediocre speed rating last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on September 16th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LIGHTHOUSE POINT - Put a prime wager on this gelding. Number one in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #4 LIGHTHOUSE POINT on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

09/26/19, CD, Race 5, 6.56 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $102,000.
Claiming Price $80,000 (Races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $8,995 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) - Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	2	Rare Form	8-1	Chuan M	Romans Dale L.	JFEW
098.3422	4	Secretary At War	4-1	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	T
098.2949	12	Parlor	3-1	Lanerie C J	Kenneally Eddie	S
097.5072	13	Multiplier	5-1	Graham J	Mott William I.
096.8611	1	Marzo	5-1	Gaffalione T	Maker Michael J.	L
095.7506	3	Longden (GB)	15-1	Castanon J L	Harty Eoin G.
095.4557	9	Ezmosh(b+)	10-1	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe
095.1537	8	Cowboy Culture	8-1	Leparoux J R	Casse Norm W.	C
094.9739	10	Souter (GB)	10-1	Baze T	Glatt Mark
093.3094	5	Afleet Ascent	20-1	Lezcano A	Hernandez Rey
093.2116	11	Minecraft Maniac	20-1	Canchari A L	Anderson Doug L.
093.0380	6	Holiday Stone	10-1	Cannon D	Kenneally Eddie
091.4393	7	Coal Truth	30-1	Morales E	Anderson Doug L.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.

2	46.60	1.71	30.30	10	33	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Finish
4	40.60	1.68	20.00	6	30	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
12	14.80	1.19	17.95	7	39	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
13	14.80	1.19	17.95	7	39	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
1	56.60	1.66	27.91	12	43	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
3	28.60	1.10	15.71	22	140	[All Surfaces] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m
9	40.60	1.68	20.00	6	30	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
8	28.60	1.10	15.71	22	140	[All Surfaces] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m
10	40.60	1.68	20.00	6	30	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
5	32.80	1.59	17.86	5	28	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
11	14.80	1.19	17.95	7	39	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
6	32.80	1.59	17.86	5	28	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
7	40.60	1.68	20.00	6	30	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	2	Rare Form	8-1	Chuan M	Romans Dale L.	JEW
099.6599	12	Parlor	3-1	Lanerie C J	Kenneally Eddie
099.4820	4	Secretary At War	4-1	Geroux F	Cox Brad H.	T
098.6909	13	Multiplier	5-1	Graham J	Mott William I.
098.3261	8	Cowboy Culture	8-1	Leparoux J R	Casse Norm W.	C
098.3151	1	Marzo	5-1	Gaffalione T	Maker Michael J.	L
097.5704	9	Ezmosh(b+)	10-1	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe
097.4956	10	Souter (GB)	10-1	Baze T	Glatt Mark	F
096.8761	6	Holiday Stone	10-1	Cannon D	Kenneally Eddie	S
096.3363	3	Longden (GB)	15-1	Castanon J L	Harty Eoin G.
095.5681	5	Afleet Ascent	20-1	Lezcano A	Hernandez Rey
094.3858	11	Minecraft Maniac	20-1	Canchari A L	Anderson Doug L.
093.5913	7	Coal Truth	30-1	Morales E	Anderson Doug L.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.

8	34.20	1.19	34.78	32	92	[All Dirt] Best Closer
1	56.60	1.66	27.91	12	43	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
9	14.20	1.65	45.45	5	11	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Blinkers On From Off

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/26/19, GP, Race 6, 3.46 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $47,000.
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	6	Danzar	4-1	Zayas E J	Casse Mark E.	FEWL
098.3436	8	Parkland Strong	3-1	Lopez P	Abreu Fernando	J
095.3973	7	Hip Hip Jorge	2-1	Torres C A	Casse Mark E.	S
095.0726	3	Churchills Victory	6-1	Vasquez M A	Alter Happy
094.9788	1	Undaunted	8-1	Reyes L	Lichoa Alfredo	C
091.8387	2	Diamond Chalice	10-1	Panici L	Gabriel. Jr. Leo G.
091.7715	4	Mr Dave	12-1	Lugo C D	Penna. Jr. Angel A.
090.6048	5	War Act	20-1	Gomez D F	Cioffi Antonio

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

6	88.60	1.32	39.86	55	138	[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
8	49.00	1.17	37.16	55	148	[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today
7	64.40	1.13	36.80	92	250	[All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
3	40.20	1.14	35.25	49	139	[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
1	88.60	1.32	39.86	55	138	[All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
2	40.20	1.14	35.25	49	139	[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
4	40.20	1.14	35.25	49	139	[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
5	40.20	1.14	35.25	49	139	[Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

NFL & MLB Picks 9/26

100* Packers -4.5
100* Giants -125
100* Over 9 Indians/White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Play: Cleveland w/Civale -195 Over Chicago Wsox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: CLEVELAND/CHICAGO WHITE SOX OVER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

Thursday's Free Selection: Oakland Athletics/Seattle Mariners over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins

Roz's THURSDAY, Septmeber 26, 2019 Free Pick
MLB
9/26 12:45 PM MLB(905) COLORADO ROCKIES (K FREELAND - L)VS(906) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (T BEEDE - R)
Take : Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports

Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Oakland Athletics - 230