Saturday 9-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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The Last Call

Saturday's Early Free Play: SMU Mustangs - 7 1/2

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Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 9/28 EARLY CFB BUFFALO -2 1/2

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Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Saturday: UL-LAFAYETTE -3 over Georgia Southern

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Indiana Hoosiers + 14

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Kenny Towers

Your Free Pick for Saturday: East Carolina +3

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 7	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double (Races 7-8)
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $75,000 • Post: 3:20P
CATLAUNCH S. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD ACCREDITED OHIO FOALS (WHICH REFLECTS $26,250 FROM THE OHIO THOROUGHBRED FUND). FOALED IN THE STATE OF OHIO AS PER REQUIREMENTS SET FORTH BY THE OHIO STATE RACING COMMISSION. NOMINATION FEE IS $50; $262 TO ENTER WITH AN ADDITIONAL $488 TO START, WITH A PURSE OF $75,000, OF WHICH 60% TO THE WINNER; 20% TO SECOND; 10% TO THIRD; 5% TO FOURTH; 3% TO FIFTH AND 2% TO SIXTH. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS. OLDER 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $30,000 AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2019 ALLOWED2 LBS; $30,000 AT ANY DISTANCE IN 2019 ALLOWED 4 LBS; OF TWO RACES AT ONE MILE OR OVER OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OPTIONAL OR STARTER IN 2019 ALLOWED 6 LBS. NOMINATIONS CLOSED WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2019 WITH 15 NOMINATIONS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUUGH THE ENTRY BOX MONDAY SEPTEMBER 23, 2019. A TROPHY TO THE WINNING OWNER. THIS STAKE WILL NOT SPLIT. IN THE EVENT MORE THAN FOURTEEN (14) HORSES PASS THE ENTRY BOX AT THE TIME OF CLOSING OF ENTRIES, PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO THOSE HORSES HAVING

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * MOBIL SOLUTION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EIGHTTHEHARDWAY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SAMMY DA BULL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MIDNIGHT MIKEY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VERISSIMO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	MOBIL SOLUTION	3/1	9/2
3	EIGHTTHEHARDWAY	6/1	6/1
2	SAMMY DA BULL	7/2	8/1
7	MIDNIGHT MIKEY	10/1	9/1
1	VERISSIMO	9/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	MIDNIGHT MIKEY	7	10/1	Stalker	93	91	75.8	54.0	47.5
1	VERISSIMO	1	9/2	Stalker	92	92	75.3	74.0	66.5
5	MOBIL SOLUTION	5	3/1	Stalker	95	94	69.8	91.4	88.4
4	PAT'S KARMA	4	6/1	Stalker	77	69	51.4	44.7	30.7
8	DIRECT DECEIT	8	12/1	Stalker	95	75	48.1	68.7	58.7
3	EIGHTTHEHARDWAY	3	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	88	65.8	84.0	77.5
2	SAMMY DA BULL	2	7/2	Trailer	91	90	59.4	85.4	77.4
6	GRAND KITTEN	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	66	32.8	44.1	28.1

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 12	Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Second Half of Late Double
Claiming $10,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $10,500 • Post: 4:35P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * APOLLITICALVALENTINE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. VALIANTS LIL PRINCE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break S tyle designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THIS SILKS DASHING: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PRIOR CONSENT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
9	APOLLITICALVALENTINE	3/1	4/1
8	VALIANTS LIL PRINCE	6/1	7/1
5	THIS SILKS DASHING	8/1	8/1
6	PRIOR CONSENT	10/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ANCESTRALL	1	6/1	Slow	66	62	8.6	0.0	0.0
2	TORRETTO	2	8/1	Average	68	64	3.7	0.0	0.0
3	TELLEM STELLA	3	15/1	Average	62	62	5.7	0.0	0.0
4	FIRST LOTA PYC	4	12/1	Slow	72	63	6.5	0.0	0.0
5	THIS SILKS DASHING	5	8/1	Fast	70	66	3.4	0.0	0.0
6	PRIOR CONSENT	6	10/1	Fast	71	67	3.5	0.0	0.0
7	PROWLSKEEPINGSECRETS	7	12/1	Average	76	58	5.5	0.0	0.0
8	VALIANTS LIL PRINCE	8	6/1	Fast	68	67	2.8	0.0	0.0
9	APOLLITICALVALENTINE	9	3/1	Average	71	81	3.6	0.0	0.0
10	JM MAKIN YOU FAMOUS	10	4/1	Average	69	66	5.2	0.0	0.0

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Monmouth Park - Race #10 - Post: 5:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#7 GIRL POWDER (ML=3/1)


GIRL POWDER - Based on morning drills, I look for this mare to run a big race. Ran last out against better company at Monmouth Park. The move to a lower level should suit her well. Ran on the wrong surface in her last affair. The speed rating of 64 on July 19th at Monmouth Park two races back is good enough to win this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 ROSIE P (ML=5/2), #9 AXE CAPITAL (ML=4/1), #1 AGELESS TALES (ML=6/1),

ROSIE P - Awfully hard to invest in this mount when she hasn't been showing any fighting spirit lately. AXE CAPITAL - This horse likes to finish in the money, but doesn't usually finish first. Don't play in the top spot. AGELESS TALES - This vulnerable equine hasn't won at this track. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a better speed fig than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #7 GIRL POWDER on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	7 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 90

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 JET BLACK DESIGN 3/1
# 7 EMBRUJO MOUNTAIN 10/1
# 1 HEZ SIZZLING 4/1

JET BLACK DESIGN is the best bet in this race. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong speed figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface lately. EMBRUJO MOUNTAIN - The average class fig alone makes this one a key contender. HEZ SIZZLING - Could best this group based on the speed figure - 83 - of his last contest.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#1 SHANGHAI MISTRESS (ML=5/1)
#6 WINNING TOUGH (ML=15/1)


SHANGHAI MISTRESS - This filly is in fine physical condition, having run a good race on September 7th, finishing second. Is ranked at the top in (EPS) earnings per start. A dominant effort in this field can augment the lifetime bankroll. WINNING TOUGH - Demasi brings this filly back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his filly is on top of her game. This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's event is a shorter trip and should help her winning probability. Demasi drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more information to think this horse has a good chance at this level. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track last time around the track. On a non-sloppy track, has a good shot right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HAPPY HOME (ML=1/2), #7 GEEWHATSINURWALLET (ML=8/1),

HAPPY HOME - Tough to wager on this steed this time. Make her show you something in a short distance contest before you play her in a race of 5 furlongs. No value in investing on this racer. Probably won't improve off that September 8th race. GEEWHATSINURWALLET - Last performed on Jan 5th at Parx Racing, finishing seventh. Unlikely to get better off of that effort in today's event. Will be hard for this racer to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #1 SHANGHAI MISTRESS on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 72

INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 ORBORTUNISTIC 5/2
# 8 NOT ORBINARY 3/1
# 6 HANCHY 7/2

ORBORTUNISTIC looks to be a very strong contender. She has been racing strongly as of late while recording strong Speed Figures. Put up a reliable speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. A solid 82 avg Equibase class rating may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group. NOT ORBINARY - Has strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. Shows strong speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. HANCHY - Has been running strongly lately and ought to be close to the lead early on. Should be given consideration for this race if only for the formidable speed figure put up in the last affair.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

09/28/19, CD, Race 2, 6.28 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $38,000.
Claiming Price $30,000, if for $25,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) - Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	6	Allgrit(b+)	9/2	Carroll D	Wohlers Laura	EW
097.8195	12	Move It	6-1	Lanerie C J	Kenneally Eddie
097.1129	4	Gaspergou	6-1	Saez G	Calhoun W. Bret
095.9757	8	Boston Light	8-1	Graham J	Stewart Dallas
095.6953	11	Davidic Line	7/2	Albarado R	Calhoun W. Bret
095.0737	9	Boatswain	10-1	Beschizza A	Tomlinson Michael A.
094.6639	10	Cane Break	12-1	Mena M	Lukas D. Wayne
094.4886	3	Edzo	10-1	Rocco. Jr. J	Holsapple Hutch	FL
094.4139	7	Mr. Sarinana	12-1	Court J K	Michael Brian
094.1404	1	Florida Flash	12-1	Hill C	Romans Dale L.	S
093.8787	2	Rocky John	20-1	Landeros C	Dickey Charles L.
092.3925	5	Anywhere Road	15-1	Murrill M	Hartman Chris A.	J

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to CD.

6	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
12	37.20	1.89	47.62	10	21	[Dirt MdnMClm] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
4	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
8	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
11	37.20	1.89	47.62	10	21	[Dirt MdnMClm] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
9	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
10	37.20	1.89	47.62	10	21	[Dirt MdnMClm] *Actual Post Greater Than 9
3	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
7	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
1	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
2	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
5	32.00	1.08	22.80	44	193	[All Dirt] *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/28/19, GP, Race 2, 12.28 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $19,000.
Claiming Price $6,250 (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	6	Chirping	9/2	Olsson F	Delgado Jorge	JW
098.9507	4	Love Tree	8/5	Gaffalione T	Walder Peter R.	TS
097.6758	3	Nightstrings	7/2	Sanchez J	Nicks Ralph E.	FE
094.3835	5	Dr Harlan	6-1	Martinez G A	Delgado Gustavo
093.6020	1	Art's Table	20-1	Henry W	Ralph Richard	L
093.3153	2	Nominal Dollars	3-1	Meneses M	Hurtak Daniel C.	C
092.0253	7	Mr. Macfadden	20-1	Torres C A	Collazo Henry

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

6	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
4	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
3	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
5	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
1	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
2	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
7	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route

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1. NSA(The Legend) CFB – Purdue +1.5
2. Gameday Network CFB – Florida Atlantic +1
3. VegasSI.com CFB – Temple -8.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers CFB – Marshall +4
5. Sports Action 365 CFB – Stanford -3
6. Point Spread Report CFB – Western Kentucky +3
7. Lou Panelli CFB – Houston U under 59
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CFB – UCLA +6.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CFB – NC St +7
10. William E. Stockton CFB – Utah -6
11. Vincent Pioli CFB – Southern Miss -27
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CFB – Central Florida -43.5
13. SCORE CFB – Marshall over 47.5
14. East Coast Line Movers CFB – Florida -39
15. Tony Campone CFB – SMU -7.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CFB – North Carolina over 60
17. Hollywood Sportsline CFB – Toledo +2.5
18. VIP Action CFB – Oklahoma -27
19. South Beach Sports CFB – No Illinois +7
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CFB – Northwestern +23.5
21. NY Players Club CFB – Michigan -28
22. Fred Callahan CFB – Kansas +15
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CFB – Wake Forest -5.5
24. Michigan Sports CFB – Temple -8.5
25. National Consensus Report CFB – Southern Miss -27