Sunday 9-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Century Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:45pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#1 BREAK THE LINE (ML=5/1)
#7 MOMTHINKSIMCUTE (ML=15/1)
#4 LORD OF THE NORTH (ML=3/1)
#3 RAIDEN (ML=7/5)


BREAK THE LINE - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This gelding is in excellent condition right now. Ran second last time out and comes back soon. MOMTHINKSIMCUTE - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. LORD OF THE NORTH - Shipped in on September 21st to win here. Take right back again. Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a solid effort on September 21st. Lead at every call in last race at Century Downs. Pretty good opportunity to repeat that effort in this field. Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This horse has the top in the group. I think he'll be close at the end. RAIDEN - This race horse should be thundering in the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DUDLEY DO (ML=8/1),

DUDLEY DO - This lower class level horse may have a tough time rebounding off of two hard stretch runs.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BREAK THE LINE - Dropped in class last time around the track at Century Downs. Stays at the same level today. Look for a strong effort.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 BREAK THE LINE on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $7200 Class Rating: 54

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 HEIZENBERG 5/2
# 6 CATCHTHISROYALSTAR 4/1
# 2 THE LOUISIANA FIRE 8/1

HEIZENBERG looks to be a decent contender. Will make a strong outing versus this group. CATCHTHISROYALSTAR - A solid 75 avg class fig may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group of horses. Opposing a much softer lot than last time out. THE LOUISIANA FIRE - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of horses. Should go off at a nice number and has some positive attributes going for him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $17400 Class Rating: 87

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OPTIONAL, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OVER A MILE SINCE JULY 17, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 14 BONITA SPRINGS 5/1
# 10 HEAVEN ESCAPE 4/1
# 1 NOVELLA 10/1

My pick for this event is BONITA SPRINGS. This equine is in the upper half of this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this field. HEAVEN ESCAPE - Overall the speed figs of this horse look decent in this contest. Recently Machado has been sizzling which may give the edge to this filly. NOVELLA - With a strong 88 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 3:40pm - Allowance - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#1 MARSHALL LAW (IRE) (ML=8/1)
#7 BOBBY G (ML=5/2)
#9 MOKHEEF (ML=3/1)


MARSHALL LAW (IRE) - When McCarthy and Stidham unite on animals the win pct has been tremendous at 35. Jockey hops up aboard after getting to know the race horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a great angle. Have to make this colt a contender; he comes off a good outing on Aug 31st. BOBBY G - Took a class drop last time out at Laurel. Corrales keeps him at the same level in this field. I think that's a good move. Average class figure is tops in this bunch. I think that is a big advantage for a grass race. Ran a nice speed rating of 97 on Aug 30th. Followed it up with another speed rating of 94. Either effort is good enough to win easy. The most recent rating of 94 is the best last race speed fig in the bunch. MOKHEEF - This horse has recorded the best recent turf Equibase speed figure at the dist-surf.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MR. DISCRETIONARY (ML=5/1), #2 MR. D'ANGELO (ML=6/1),

MR. DISCRETIONARY - Tough to like the downward spiraling flow (87/81/78) of speed figs. I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the job completed now and then. Will be hard for this animal to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list. MR. D'ANGELO - Don't figure that this steed has what it takes to win in today's event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BOBBY G - This horse is a top contender against these ponies. This gelding has been victorious many a time at Laurel.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 MARSHALL LAW (IRE) on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7] Box [1,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,7,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,7,9] with [1,7,9] with [1,7,8,9,10] with [1,7,8,9,10] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/29/19, GP, Race 9, 5.33 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 9-10-11)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	Could Be	9/2	Rendon J	David Carlos A.	F
099.7881	12	Power Walker	6-1	Jaramillo E	Baxter Georgina	T
098.9840	14	Big Boy Bruno	6-1	Torres C A	Walder Peter R.
098.2532	8	Til the End	5-1	Zayas E J	Dobles Elizabeth L.	JW
097.8869	1	Philo	8-1	Sanchez H	Dobles Elizabeth L.	C
095.8498	3	Remember the Maine	12-1	Reyes L	Perez. Jr. Juan Carlos
095.5354	5	King Orb	8-1	Vasquez M A	Crichton Rohan	E
094.4943	4	Discreet Heat	12-1	Jimenez A	Levy Tamara L.
094.4929	13	Unlockthepotential	12-1	Panici L	Abreu Fernando
093.2982	10	Crown to the Gold	12-1	Camacho S	Nagle Sarah	S
093.0151	9	So Long Chuck	15-1	Torres C A	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	L
092.0716	2	My Point Exactly	12-1	Batista J A	Quiroz Angel
091.8094	11	Strike Midnight	8-1	Meneses M	Belsoeur Yvon
089.5350	6	Break in the Storm	30-1	Santos A	Dominguez Luis R.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

7	42.20	1.16	41.22	54	131	[All Surfaces] Last Race Was Claimed
1	11.40	1.14	35.71	15	42	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Closer

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	14	Big Boy Bruno	6-1	Torres C A	Walder Peter R.	TW
098.4047	12	Power Walker	6-1	Jaramillo E	Baxter Georgina	J
098.1568	7	Could Be	9/2	Rendon J	David Carlos A.	F
097.5451	1	Philo	8-1	Sanchez H	Dobles Elizabeth L.	C
097.2262	5	King Orb	8-1	Vasquez M A	Crichton Rohan	E
097.1647	8	Til the End	5-1	Zayas E J	Dobles Elizabeth L.
094.9329	3	Remember the Maine	12-1	Reyes L	Perez. Jr. Juan Carlos
094.4831	13	Unlockthepotential	12-1	Panici L	Abreu Fernando
093.6814	4	Discreet Heat	12-1	Jimenez A	Levy Tamara L.
093.6708	2	My Point Exactly	12-1	Batista J A	Quiroz Angel
093.1953	10	Crown to the Gold	12-1	Camacho S	Nagle Sarah	S
092.8405	11	Strike Midnight	8-1	Meneses M	Belsoeur Yvon
092.8177	9	So Long Chuck	15-1	Torres C A	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	L
090.8795	6	Break in the Storm	30-1	Santos A	Dominguez Luis R.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

14	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
12	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
7	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
1	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
5	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
8	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
3	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
13	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
4	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
2	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
10	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
11	99.60	1.61	46.34	38	82	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today
9	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route
6	81.20	1.20	37.19	74	199	[All Dirt] Race Distance Route

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