Service Plays Friday 9/27/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369822

    #1

    Service Plays Friday 9/27/19

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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    Twitter@cpawsports


  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369822

    #2
    +EV: CFB 2u: 106 Duke/Virginia Tech un52 -105 (Friday, September 27th)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369822

      #3
      Doug Kezirian
      Cal -4.5 and Arizona State team total under 18 points
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369822

        #4
        NHL Teacher

        Detroit Red Wings-Toronto Maple Leafs : Over 6
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        • WeWantMoehr
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2018
          • 352

          #5
          Alan Harris - CFB

          4 Unit Play. Take #105 Duke +3 over Virginia Tech (7:00 PM, Friday, September 27, ESPN)



          3 Unit Play. Take #107/108 Penn St vs Maryland Over 61.5 (8:00 PM, Friday, September 27, FS1)


          5 Unit Play. Take #111 Arizona St +4.5 over California (10:30 PM, Friday, September 27, ESPN)

          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369822

            #6
            Doc's Sports Consensus Picks

            CONS:9/27/19

            CFB
            6 #105 take Duke +3 ov VaTech
            7 #111 Take AZST +4 ov Cal
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369822

              #7
              INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

              4* Reds-145
              3* Rays Under 9.5
              3* Maryland+6.5
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369822

                #8
                ELITE SPORTS PICKS

                D-Backs-135
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369822

                  #9
                  NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

                  4* Phillies-1.5 RL +110

                  3* AirForce-18.5

                  3* Twins Over 10 Runs
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369822

                    #10
                    Below are today's Pythagorean picks:

                    Pick #1 for premium members: 1* Star pick: Rockies {A** Bet - This is the 1st {A** bet in a potential 3-game A-B-C chase series. If it loses, then double up on the same team again for the B bet tomorrow, and so forth.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369822

                      #11
                      Marco D'Angelo

                      3% California -4
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369822

                        #12
                        From Northcoast group of handicappers:

                        ------------------------------------
                        3 Rivers Sports

                        MLB
                        3* #964 San Francisco +165
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369822

                          #13
                          +EV: MLB 4u: 959 Chicago Cubs +1.5 +110 (A Mills | D Hudson) (Friday, September 27th)
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                          • dawggy
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2017
                            • 1770

                            #14
                            DR. CHUCK

                            BASEBALL PLAYS

                            Game: (981) Detroit Tigers at (982) Chicago White Sox
                            Date/Time: Sep 27 2019 4:10 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Total Under 9.5 (-110)

                            View Analysis

                            Action v. Action

                            Here we have nasty weather...a likely rain situation...crazy cross wind coming from right to left field at damn near 20mph and a spot where 2 of the better pitchers for each squad going late in this season. Nova has had a solid second half of the season and Tyler Alexander (who we've faded) has topped Nova in most aspects, especially lately.

                            Detroit facing RHP lately are at the bottom of the league, including metrics that rank, over the past 2 weeks:

                            5 wRC

                            -8.1 wRAA

                            .228 wOBA

                            35 wRC+

                            ChiSox facing LHP over the same period of time has been much more effective, but with very few PAs and NONE at home.

                            The umpire today is Jerry Meals who is an Under specialist with 19 Unders and 9 Overs in his 28 HPU jobs. In the AL the record for Unders is 9-4. A rain delay if this occurs only aids in my liking of an Under, ESPECIALLY if it occurs before any pitching changes or delays causing pitching issues occurs. Hitters are a routine beast and if Alexander and Nova get to still pitch but the offense has a delay I always enjoy this route for an Under play.

                            Game: (953) Cincinnati Reds at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
                            Date/Time: Sep 27 2019 7:05 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Pittsburgh Pirates 1.5 (-133)

                            View Analysis

                            Desclafani v. Brault

                            The Pirates just swept the Cubbies in a series that would have offered ENORMOUS gains in a rollling parlay situation where they were 2 dollar dogs for games 1 and 2 then Vegas righted the ship for game 3 but couldn't stop the dog from winning and now the Reds travel to Pittsburgh where they can't seem to sniff a win for a season ending road series a day after Marty Brennamen retired, a pillar of the Cincy community and 46 years on the job. Bad blood between these 2 teams and just far far too much value on the +1.5 on Pittsburgh when they have the momentum and desire and home field and extra at bat and all the signs pointing toward them tonight!

                            Game: (965) Tampa Bay Rays at (966) Toronto Blue Jays
                            Date/Time: Sep 27 2019 7:07 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-145)

                            View Analysis

                            Glasnow v. Action

                            This is the kind of value you cannot always be certain you will be offered...and we get it in the form of a Run line on a team that needs all 3 of these games like blood...can still potentially HOST a 1 game playoff for themselves and have gone through a battering ram of teams to get to this opportunity. They are on the road, the hotter team and to get a 2 run win we just have to lay -140ish of juice.

                            The Blue Jays have really surprised in the second half and put together quite an exciting team many will look forward to following intensely. Now it comes down to the final weekend and they are at home and can feel the banana boat coming. Bichette and Gurriel are out and Zeuch on the mound does not inspire confidence against the potential ace of the Rays staff. The Rays took 1 from the Dodgers before reeling off 3 of 4 from the BoSox hungry to spoil, then swept a quick 2 gamer with the Yanks...they sure as hell ain't gonna stop now against injured and ready to be done Jays. The Jays have been able to beat the O's and the like down the stretch, but this is a huge step up.

                            The Rays can smell the blood in the water with Oakland...they have won 6 of 8 games, but in the same stretch, they score 3 or less runs in 6 of the last 8 games as well. While the A's do get the even worse M's to finish off...without being able to score could spell doom for hosting the game...Tampa sure hopes so and will get the job done today!

                            Game: (973) Minnesota Twins at (974) Kansas City Royals
                            Date/Time: Sep 27 2019 8:15 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Total Over 10.0 (-110)

                            View Analysis

                            Berrios v. Skoglund

                            1) Wind blowing straight out 11+mph

                            2) This number rapidly heading toward 10.5

                            3) Twins have clinched the division and can do no better than 3rd overall record....but the offense does not seem to have sputtered even a little bit in the fade the champagne type spots...it is just so consistently excellent no matter the lineups, it is hard to back anything but an Over with wind out in the division. The Twins in the division as 2 dollar or bigger favorites this season are 19 Over-11 Under with an average of 11.5 runs total per game.

                            4) They just finished a 4 games series where 13, 17, and 20 runs were scored in 3 of the 4 games...and at home with much less wind as a factor and winning 3 of 4 of the games, thus eliminating an entire at bat for the Over play.

                            5) Berrios faced this team just last week and was beat around for 6IP, 8 hits, 5ER, and 5Ks in a game that was important enough to still be fighting for the division and avoidance of a wild card playoff game.

                            6) Twins facing LHP over the past few weeks are dominant with a near 10% BB rate, 17% K rate, .238 ISO, 25 wRC, 4.3 wRAA, .345 wOBA, and 119 wRC+

                            7) piece de resistance - Carlos Torres behind the plate has a 21-8 Over record on the season...allowing over 12 runs per contest, gone Over 8 of his last 10 , and with a heavy road favorite we should be afforded all 18 total at bats!

                            Game: (975) Houston Astros at (976) Los Angeles Angels
                            Date/Time: Sep 27 2019 10:07 PM EDT
                            Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                            Play Rating: 4%
                            Play: Los Angeles Angels 1.5 (+122)

                            View Analysis

                            Urquidy v. Sandoval

                            This VALUE is insane...we played it last night and hard to imagine we come off for no reason other than Vegas is super lazy and allows us this opportunity. LAA is trying and proving something without Trout down the stretch and playing a bit of spoiler. On the run line last night we got an outright win and with the better pitcher again tonight hard to imagine that isn't again a possibility....but we get plus money AND. run and hook!

                            stupid dumb

                            Comment

                            • dawggy
                              Senior Member
                              • Dec 2017
                              • 1770

                              #15
                              Teyas Sports

                              9/27/2019

                              GUARANTEE CFB ARIZONA ST. OVER 42 1/2 MUST WIN OR ALL SATURDAYS CFB EARLY PLAYS ARE FREE

                              BONUS PLAYS CFB ARIZONA ST. +4 VIRGINIA TECH -2 1/2 PENN ST. -6 1/2 & UNDER 60 1/2




                              9/27/2019

                              GUARANTEE MLB MILWAUKEE -156 MUST WIN OR ALL SATURDAYS MLB PLAYS ARE FREE

                              BONUS PLAYS MLB MILWAUKEE UNDER 13 1/2 ATLANTA +122 ARIZONA -133 CLEVELAND +132

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