Wednesday 10-2-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, October 2


    Ottawa @ Toronto

    Game 1-2
    October 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    9.099
    Toronto
    10.564
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 1 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -290
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-290); Under

    Washington @ St. Louis


    Game 5-6
    October 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    10.762
    St. Louis
    14.467
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 3 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-140); Over

    Vancouver @ Edmonton


    Game 5-6
    October 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vancouver
    11.652
    Edmonton
    10.575
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vancouver
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vancouver
    (+115); Under

    San Jose @ Vegas


    Game 7-8
    October 2, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    11.276
    Vegas
    9.659
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -165
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (+145); Under
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, October 2


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OTTAWA (29-47-0-6, 64 pts.) at TORONTO (49-32-0-8, 106 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 5-3 (+6.4 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 5-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.1 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WASHINGTON (51-30-0-8, 110 pts.) at ST LOUIS (61-36-0-11, 133 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ST LOUIS is 283-201 ATS (+37.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      WASHINGTON is 117-79 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 26-16 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST LOUIS is 2-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      VANCOUVER (35-36-0-11, 81 pts.) at EDMONTON (35-38-0-9, 79 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 10:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      VANCOUVER is 4-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      EDMONTON is 4-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN JOSE (56-36-0-10, 122 pts.) at VEGAS (46-34-0-9, 101 pts.) - 10/2/2019, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      VEGAS is 49-30 ATS (-2.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      VEGAS is 46-43 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      VEGAS is 12-9 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      VEGAS is 12-9-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      14 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.4 Units)
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        NHL

        Wednesday, October 2


        Trend Report

        Carolina Hurricanes
        Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
        Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Montreal
        Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
        Montreal Canadiens
        Montreal is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
        Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 13 games
        Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
        Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Carolina
        Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina

        New York Rangers
        NY Rangers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        NY Rangers is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
        NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
        NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
        Winnipeg Jets
        Winnipeg is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
        Winnipeg is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
        Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
        Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

        Pittsburgh Penguins
        Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games
        Pittsburgh is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Buffalo
        Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
        Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
        Buffalo Sabres
        Buffalo is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
        Buffalo is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
        Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        Buffalo is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
        Buffalo is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Pittsburgh
        Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
        Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

        Tampa Bay Lightning
        Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games
        Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Florida
        Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
        Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
        The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games when playing at home against Florida
        Florida Panthers
        Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 10 games
        Florida is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
        Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
        Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
        Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
        Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
        The total has gone OVER in 15 of Florida's last 20 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          by: Monte Andrews


          MAPLE LEAFS FOREVER

          For a team that still hasn't won a first-round playoff series since 2004, the Toronto Maple Leafs sure do get favorable treatment in the futures odds department. Toronto, which kicks off the season Wednesday against visiting Ottawa, is the No. 2 favorite to win the Stanley Cup at +900, behind only Tampa Bay (+750) – and while there's plenty of reason to optimism behind the high-powered (and high-priced) trio of John Tavares, Mitch Marner and Auston Matthews, bettors might be skittish to invest in a team that has lost in the first round three straight times. Better value: the Over on Toronto's regular-season point total, set at 102.5 (-115).


          TIME FOR AN ENCORE

          How do the Lightning follow up on an NHL record-tying 62-win season? Past history suggests that Tampa Bay is in for another successful season, at least from a points perspective. Fans would love to see the team overcome its stunning first-round knockout at the hands of the Columbus Blue Jackets, but bettors will be focused on a futures point total that sits at 108.5, the highest of any team in the league. Nine teams recorded 120+ points in a season prior to Tampa racking up 128 a season ago – and those teams averaged 114 points the following season. The Over (-115) looks like a strong option.


          OUTLOOK: NOT SO GOOD

          The Anaheim Ducks enter the season with high hopes and low expectations – but can they reach their Vegas point total of 80.5? In addition to boasting one of the least impressive offensive attacks in the league going into the season, the Ducks will need to find a way to stay healthier this season after seeing just three players appear in more than 70 games in 2018-19. And then there's this: Anaheim finished with 20 one-goal victories (out of 35 total), tied for the third-most in the NHL. If their one-goal success rate of .541 normalizes even slightly, the Ducks will be hard-pressed to avoid going Under their point threshold (-115).


          READY TO GO

          Patrik Laine will be in the Winnipeg Jets lineup for their season opener against the host New York Rangers – and he's ready to fill the net with pucks. Laine, who signed a two-year bridge deal with the team late last week, has put together back-to-back 30-goal seasons to open his NHL career but went through a dreadful slump last season in which he scored just two goals in a 28-game span from mid-December to late February. But Laine will be the most dangerous goal-scorer on either end of the ice against the Rangers, and is a great prop play to score a goal anytime.


          GOALIE PROFILE: BEN BISHOP, DALLAS STARS

          It still seems like Bishop doesn't get the credit he deserves, even after what was arguably the best season of his career. Bishop is coming off a sensational campaign in which he led all qualified netminders in save percentage (.934) while finishing second in goals-against average (1.98) – and yet he still finished a distant second in the Vezina Trophy voting to Tampa Andrei Vasilevskiy, who no doubt benefited from the Lightning's record-breaking season. Bishop is a great value play as the No. 3 favorite to win this year's top goaltender award (+750), provided he can stay healthy.


          INJURY UPDATE: CONNOR MCDAVID, EDMONTON OILERS

          McDavid will start the season, but it might take a while for him to return to peak game form. He suffered a serious leg injury in late March and is only now returning to action, scoring one goal in two preseason games while showing plenty of rust in the process. And while you probably aren't going to fade his Hart Trophy odds any more than if he were completely healthy to open the season – he's the +350 favorite despite playing on an Oilers team that managed just 74 points last season – it might be worth betting against Edmonton in the early going, beginning with Wednesday's encounter with visiting Vancouver (+120).


          HAT TRICK TRENDS

          • Looking for a fun opening night prop play? Consider that the San Jose Sharks led the NHL with 102 first-period goals last season, while the rival Vegas Golden Knights had just 74. We like the Sharks to lead after 20 minutes in Vegas.

          • The Bruins (35-44-3 O/U) and Stars (24-50-8) were two of the top Under options last season. They tangle Wednesday in their season opener in Texas, and with little changing from a personnel perspective on either side, we like the Under play here.

          • The Washington Capitals have one of the more challenging schedules to open the year, with nine of their first 14 games coming on the road. It might be worth waiting on their Stanley Cup futures – currently at +1800 – until after this stretch.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park

            Delaware Park - Race 7
            Daily Double (Races 7-8) / Exacta / Trifecta (50-cent min.) Superfecta (10-cent min)/ Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9, 50-cent min.)
            Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 63 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 4:15P
            (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CENTSLESS DRAMA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WILLED: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MISS PATRIOT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SWEET SANIBEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating. CENTSLESS DRAMA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
            7
            WILLED
            7/2
            5/1
            2
            MISS PATRIOT
            9/2
            6/1
            6
            SWEET SANIBEL
            5/2
            7/1
            3
            CENTSLESS DRAMA
            6/1
            8/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            3
            CENTSLESS DRAMA
            3
            6/1
            Front-runner
            0
            0
            68.3
            59.7
            48.7
            7
            WILLED
            7
            7/2
            Stalker
            59
            58
            62.9
            60.5
            56.5
            6
            SWEET SANIBEL
            6
            5/2
            Stalker
            59
            58
            54.3
            55.7
            47.2
            8
            QUEENS WORLD
            8
            10/1
            Stalker
            59
            55
            40.8
            36.0
            25.0
            2
            MISS PATRIOT
            2
            9/2
            Alternator/Stalker
            60
            56
            64.4
            59.1
            50.6
            4
            SPEEDYGALEE
            4
            10/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            0
            0
            36.5
            53.8
            46.3
            5
            I AM A. LURING
            5
            10/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            62.8
            40.4
            27.9
            1
            WEE BONNIE LASS
            1
            6/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            65
            56
            49.0
            52.0
            43.5
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs



              Indiana Downs - Race 5
              Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
              Optional Claiming $25,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 93 • Purse: $32,500 • Post: 4:07P
              (PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR INDIANA BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 1/16 ON THE MAIN TRACK.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Dominant Trailer. SUN LOVER (GB) is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUN LOVER (GB): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MR. GARY D: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CALIFORNIA SWING: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). AND WON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
              1
              SUN LOVER (GB)
              8/1
              9/2
              2
              MR. GARY D
              15/1
              7/1
              12
              CALIFORNIA SWING
              2/1
              7/1
              5
              AND WON
              8/1
              7/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              7
              CREATIVE COURAGE
              7
              12/1
              Front-runner
              91
              84
              86.8
              92.2
              81.7
              3
              EL RUBIO
              3
              10/1
              Front-runner
              85
              84
              82.2
              83.6
              66.6
              13
              GOTHAM STEEL
              13
              20/1
              Front-runner
              88
              75
              79.4
              75.7
              48.7
              8
              BRITISH HUMOR
              8
              6/1
              Stalker
              97
              93
              67.9
              85.7
              70.2
              4
              ROMAN CREED
              4
              15/1
              Stalker
              86
              81
              64.6
              79.0
              62.0
              10
              DETERMINANT
              10
              8/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              101
              94
              75.9
              82.6
              73.1
              1
              SUN LOVER (GB)
              1
              8/1
              Trailer
              94
              93
              86.8
              94.0
              87.0
              12
              CALIFORNIA SWING
              12
              2/1
              Trailer
              92
              85
              84.2
              90.2
              82.2
              11
              SHARED VALUE
              11
              8/1
              Trailer
              90
              81
              76.5
              84.6
              67.6
              2
              MR. GARY D
              2
              15/1
              Trailer
              97
              90
              75.2
              87.8
              79.3
              5
              AND WON
              5
              8/1
              Trailer
              97
              90
              58.0
              84.8
              76.8
              6
              WILDCARD PRADO
              6
              20/1
              Trailer
              83
              79
              55.6
              73.0
              54.0
              14
              FINGLAS
              14
              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              100
              96
              79.6
              66.4
              47.9
              9
              SLICKLY DONE
              9
              30/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              56.5
              77.8
              54.8
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 6 - SO - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 105

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 6 CASH CALL KITTEN 9/5
                # 2 GRAND NENUCO 7/2
                # 8 DEXTER ROAD 15/1
                I've got to go with CASH CALL KITTEN. He has been moving soundly as of late while recording very strong speed figures. This horse has a very good win percent in turf routes. With a solid 109 speed rating last time out, will surely be a factor in this outing. GRAND NENUCO - Posted a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. Overall, this conditioner has been lucrative at this distance/surface. DEXTER ROAD - Ought to be considered based on the solid Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last race. Has been racing quite well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 2:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 76

                  Rating:

                  #2 TRAUMARAMA (ML=7/2)
                  #7 PATSY EM (ML=10/1)


                  TRAUMARAMA - Mare's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +326. This mare is in top condition right now. Ran first last time out and comes back soon. I like the fact that this mare's last speed rating, 69, is tops in this bunch. PATSY EM - Should do well today. Weight shift of -6 from September 10th race at Fairmount Park.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY (ML=5/2), #5 CRITICAL HUMOR (ML=3/1), #6 DAME AMOUR (ML=6/1),

                  TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY - You should normally wager against chalks that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. Finished first in her most recent race with a most unsatisfactory fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group. CRITICAL HUMOR - That was merely not a very good showing in the last race. Quite unimpressive speed figure last time around the track at Mountaineer Park at 1 mile. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's race. DAME AMOUR - In the last race this runner finished third. Doesn't look promising for her chances this time. Unlikely that the rating she recorded on Sep 23rd will be good enough in this race.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #2 TRAUMARAMA to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/2 or better though
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Pass
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 6:45pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,500 Class Rating: 92

                    Rating:

                    #1 MEET CUTE (ML=8/1)
                    #2 NESTLETON HUSH (ML=4/1)
                    #3 LUCAS N' LORI (ML=2/1)


                    MEET CUTE - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. I just may give this one a good shot. Should rebound off last race where he did run off the board, but was within 5 lengths at the finish line. Chircop gets a break on this thoroughbred carrying 7 lbs less than last out. Should help today. Entered a $25,000 Claiming race at Woodbine in the last race and raced on the soft turf finishing fifth. Will most certainly do better in this race. NESTLETON HUSH - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a nice outing on September 8th. Rider jumped on this gelding's back for the 1st attempt on September 8th. Should know the horse even better this time. Went a route in a $40,000 Optional Claiming race at Woodbine last out from an outside post. Moving to the inside at a similar distance should benefit this gelding. LUCAS N' LORI - Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid contest on September 7th.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KING CAUSEWAY (ML=9/5), #5 SEEMEE (ML=6/1),

                    KING CAUSEWAY - Oddsmaker's morning line of 9/5 make this entrant a pass by my standards. SEEMEE - Finished fifth last time out. Would have to move up to land in the top three in today's race. This gelding registered a fig in his last event which probably isn't good enough today.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #1 MEET CUTE on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,3] with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 6 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 80

                      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 2, 2018 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2018 - 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 7 U CALL ME ALEX 9/5
                      # 1 SMART THINKING 7/2
                      # 6 SIX SIDED BLING 5/2
                      U CALL ME ALEX has a decent shot to take this race. Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 81 speed figure which is one of the most favorable in this field. Players should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Has to be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last race. SMART THINKING - Has been running soundly lately and will almost certainly be up on the front end early on. Ran a strong last race. SIX SIDED BLING - Looks quite good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt route races as of late. Investors should probably take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



                        10/02/19, BEL, Race 5, 3.32 ET
                        6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
                        Claiming Price $40,000. (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000
                        Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (5-8), Double
                        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                        100.0000 2 Shock Therapy 12-1 Rosario J Baker Charlton WC
                        099.9247 1 Dark Money 2/5 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R. SFE
                        097.0863 4 Bears Mafia 8-1 Saez L Terranova II John P.
                        096.9385 5 Brush Country 6-1 Castellano J Morley Thomas J
                        096.5684 6 Chuckles 30-1 Alvarado J Englehart Chris J.
                        096.5517 3 Hardcore Folklore 6-1 Maragh R Kantarmaci Mertkan
                        096.3247 1A Clench 2/5 Lezcano J Servis Jason TL
                        094.8055 7 Analyzethisandthat 15-1 Davis D Cash Russell J.
                        After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                        Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
                        2 17.30 1.14 31.25 20 64 [All Surfaces] Race Age 3
                        1 28.10 1.10 48.20 67 139 [All Dirt] Best Earnings
                        4 17.30 1.14 31.25 20 64 [All Surfaces] Race Age 3
                        5 17.30 1.14 31.25 20 64 [All Surfaces] Race Age 3
                        6 17.30 1.14 31.25 20 64 [All Surfaces] Race Age 3
                        3 17.30 1.14 31.25 20 64 [All Surfaces] Race Age 3
                        1A 17.30 1.14 31.25 20 64 [All Surfaces] Race Age 3
                        7 31.20 1.25 41.27 26 63 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West


                          10/02/19, GPW, Race 2, 1.30 ET
                          7 1/2F [Turf About] 1.29.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
                          Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
                          $1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $1 Super Hi 5
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          100.0000 9 Adios(b-) 9/2 Batista J A Laurin Roger TSEWC
                          099.0704 8 Go to War 7/2 Lopez P Fawkes David J
                          098.1093 4 Rosa Star 8/5 Arrieta R Irion Heather FL
                          096.5227 3 Lady Noela 12-1 Torres C A O'Connell Kathleen
                          095.8540 6 Sassy Justice 8-1 Rendon J Wolfson Milton W.
                          095.5153 1 Legendinthemaking 12-1 Camacho S Garoffalo Jose
                          094.6155 2 Tizbud She Wants 20-1 Vasquez M A Camano Alexis
                          093.6542 7 La Chalupa(b+) 30-1 Cardenas D Ramirez Luis M.
                          093.2335 5 Mi Corita 30-1 Reyes L Burns Patty A.
                          090.9643 11 Machita 15-1 Meneses M Lichoa Alfredo
                          090.7744 10 Princess Juliet 30-1 Lugo C D D'Angelo Francisco
                          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
                          9 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          8 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          4 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          3 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          6 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          1 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          2 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          7 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          5 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          11 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          10 43.00 1.13 33.73 56 166 [All Surfaces] Race Sex Females
                          If Race Is Off Turf

                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          100.0000 8 Go to War 7/2 Lopez P Fawkes David J
                          099.9024 9 Adios(b-) 9/2 Batista J A Laurin Roger TSEC
                          098.4659 6 Sassy Justice 8-1 Rendon J Wolfson Milton W.
                          097.9645 4 Rosa Star 8/5 Arrieta R Irion Heather FL
                          095.5177 7 La Chalupa(b+) 30-1 Cardenas D Ramirez Luis M. W
                          094.7850 3 Lady Noela 12-1 Torres C A O'Connell Kathleen
                          094.3460 1 Legendinthemaking 12-1 Camacho S Garoffalo Jose
                          093.6603 2 Tizbud She Wants 20-1 Vasquez M A Camano Alexis
                          092.6564 10 Princess Juliet 30-1 Lugo C D D'Angelo Francisco
                          092.1137 11 Machita 15-1 Meneses M Lichoa Alfredo
                          090.4975 5 Mi Corita 30-1 Reyes L Burns Patty A.
                          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
                          8 33.20 1.21 36.25 29 80 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                          9 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          6 11.80 1.22 33.33 9 27 [All Surfaces] Third Start
                          4 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          7 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          3 34.00 1.07 32.79 81 247 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today
                          1 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          2 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          10 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          11 43.40 1.26 40.24 33 82 [All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
                          5 5.00 1.50 60.00 3 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
                          * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Mike Williams

                            Oct 02 '19, 8:09 PM in 2h
                            MLB | Rays vs A's
                            Play on: Rays +124 at sportsbook

                            1* on Rays +124
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Jimmy Boyd

                              Oct 02 '19, 10:35 PM in 4h
                              NHL | Sharks vs Golden Knights
                              Play on: Sharks +160 at Mirage

                              1* Free Pick on Sharks +160
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Cole Faxon

                                Oct 02 '19, 10:35 PM in 4h
                                NHL | Sharks vs Golden Knights
                                Play on: Sharks +160 at Mirage

                                FREE PLAY on Sharks +160
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                                Comment

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