Friday 10-4-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:21pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating:

#1 BIG DELILAH (ML=10/1)
#6 TOP PICK (ML=6/1)


BIG DELILAH - On September 26th this filly shipped in to win and looks good right back. I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly. This horse probably isn't going to sit off the pace. She should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for her in the stretch. TOP PICK - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first ride on Sep 14th. Should be in touch with the horse even better today. Jockey and trainer do well when they partner up. Delgado and Grams have been reliable together. Just missed hitting the board on September 14th at Charles Town. With decent morning odds in this event, she has my interest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 AZZURRA (ML=6/5), #7 LOVE HAPPY (ML=5/2), #3 MESMERIZINGPEGASUS (ML=8/1),

AZZURRA - This filly is always in the mix, but just doesn't finish on top. Tough to wager on her on the win end. All kinds of crazy zip on board for this contest. No chance for this early speedball. LOVE HAPPY - This horse ran a quite unimpressive speed fig last out. She shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that figure. MESMERIZINGPEGASUS - If today's contest shapes up right, all the front runners will force a pretty mean speed duel early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 BIG DELILAH is the play if we get odds of 9/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Allowance - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $77000 Class Rating: 102

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NOT WON A GRADED SWEEPSTAKE IN 2019. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $58,000 TWICE IN 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $60,000 IN 2019 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 POLE SETTER 4/1
# 1 KNICKS GO 4/1
# 3 REGALLY IRISH 10/1

I have to consider POLE SETTER here. Has been moving strongly and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. Will likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the midpoint of the contest. Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been solid - 88 avg - of late. KNICKS GO - Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Very solid returns have been scored by bettors using this jockey and trainer duo as of late.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 76

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 SPEEDY RIDE 12/1
# 1 CHANGING IMAGE 5/1
# 4 SHINER'S CODE 8/1

SPEEDY RIDE is the best wager in this contest and could score at a price in here. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good handicapping angle. This horse ranks at the top in this field of horses. Has to be given a shot versus this field displaying decent figures recently and an average Equibase speed fig of 64 under similar conditions. Monroy has recent ROI figures which make this entrant a very good wager. CHANGING IMAGE - Might best this group here, showing very good figures of late. Has quite good early lick and should fare soundly against this group of animals. SHINER'S CODE - He looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Looks decent for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

10/04/19, SA, Race 2, 1.30 PT
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Claiming Price $32,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 2-3-4) - $0.50 Early Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $0.50 Jackpot Super Hi 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	5	Winning Element	4-1	Bejarano R	O'Neill Doug F.	FW
098.6769	6	Caymans Cobra	5-1	Meche D J	Baltas Richard	EL
097.0745	7	Van Cortlandt	6-1	Arroyo. Jr. N	Miyadi Steven
096.3654	4	Very Very Stella	5/2	Garcia M	Truman Eddie
096.3373	3	Eldritch (IRE)	10-1	Espinoza A	Glatt Mark
096.2861	1	Tizzarunner	5-1	Fuentes R	McCarthy Michael W.	S
096.2247	8	Buckstopper Kit	2-1	Cedillo A	D'Amato Philip	JC
095.8684	2	Lifeline	12-1	Velez J I	Sadler John W.	T

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.

5	77.80	1.25	33.97	53	156	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
6	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
7	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
4	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
3	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
1	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
8	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
2	76.20	1.42	34.44	31	90	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	5	Winning Element	4-1	Bejarano R	O'Neill Doug F.	W
098.8795	6	Caymans Cobra	5-1	Meche D J	Baltas Richard	EL
097.9706	7	Van Cortlandt	6-1	Arroyo. Jr. N	Miyadi Steven
097.7847	3	Eldritch (IRE)	10-1	Espinoza A	Glatt Mark	S
097.3330	4	Very Very Stella	5/2	Garcia M	Truman Eddie	F
096.8371	1	Tizzarunner	5-1	Fuentes R	McCarthy Michael W.
096.6738	2	Lifeline	12-1	Velez J I	Sadler John W.	T
096.4282	8	Buckstopper Kit	2-1	Cedillo A	D'Amato Philip	JC

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.

5	55.20	1.18	20.13	31	154	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey
6	103.00	1.28	21.43	39	182	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
7	95.20	1.32	40.82	60	147	[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
3	103.00	1.28	21.43	39	182	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
4	95.20	1.32	40.82	60	147	[All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
1	55.20	1.18	20.13	31	154	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Different Jockey
2	103.00	1.28	21.43	39	182	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent
8	103.00	1.28	21.43	39	182	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Worse Win Percent

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#7 MINE THE COIN (ML=2/1)
#6 IMPUNITY (ML=9/5)


MINE THE COIN - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This speed freak should benefit from this shorter trip. This beautiful animal is in great demand coming off two claims in his last two starts. Don't overlook this gelding in your speculating today. IMPUNITY - Note that although this gelding finished second in his last race, he was well ahead of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. This gelding's last fig is lofty enough to score here, I'll bet on him right back this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CAVARADOSSI (ML=7/2), #2 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK (ML=6/1), #5 PISTOLEIRO (ML=8/1),

CAVARADOSSI - Improbable for this horse to do much running with no recent success in a sprint event. Didn't show much last time. Probably won't do much running in today's event. STRATEGIC OUTLOOK - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance contests. Not easy to bet on him in this race. PISTOLEIRO - Too far back on February 24th for me to back at the probable odds in today's sprint race. Not normally the kind of horse one plays off of any type of very long layoff.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MINE THE COIN - Finished a disappointing sixth at Saratoga on Sep 2nd. But that was in the slop. Expect much better in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 MINE THE COIN is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Paul Leiner

MLB & CFB picks 10/4

100* Over 8.5 Yanks/Twins
100* Dodgers -155
100* New Mexico +7

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, October 4, 2019


10/04 06:37 PM PT / 9:37 PM ET

MLB (921) WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS (922) LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Take: (922) LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Reason: Your free play for Friday, October 4, 2019 is in the MLB playoff contest between the Washington Nationals and the LA Dodgers. Your free play is on the Dodgers.

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: TAMPA BAY/HOUSTON OVER the total of 7 runs

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Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: Toronto/Columbus under 6 1/2 goals

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Roz Wins

Roz's FRIDAY, October 4, 2019 Free Pick
10/04 06:37 PM MLB(921) WASHINGTON NATIONALS (S STRASBURG - R)VS(922) LOS ANGELES DODGERS (C KERSHAW - L)
Take : Dodgers

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Atlantic Sports

Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Washington Capitols + 110

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#1 Sports

Friday's Free Selection: Philadelphia Flyers - 120

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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: the Minnesota/NY Yankees Game OVER 8½ Runs

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play Friday, October 4, 2019
10/04 04:07 PM MLB(923) MINNESOTA TWINS (J BERRIOS - R)VS(924) NEW YORK YANKEES (J PAXTON - L)
Take : Yankees

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Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Friday : ST LOUIS/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 8½ runs