Wednesday 10-9-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 04:51 AM

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Preview and Predictions 10-09-2019

The Atlanta Braves host the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday in Game 5 of the National League Division Series, a fitting winner-take-all matchup after the teams split the opening four games in wild, dramatic fashion. The finale features a rematch of Game 2 starters Jack Flaherty for St. Louis and Mike Foltynewicz for Atlanta, and the Braves will look to jump-start an offense that squandered numerous chances to clinch the series in a 5-4, 10-inning loss in Game 4.

Atlanta's middle of the lineup quintet of Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Nick Markakis, Matt Joyce and Brian McCann are a combined 10-for-70 in the series with one homer, three RBIs and 16 strikeouts. The Braves have survived offensively thanks in large part to three players: 21-year-old Ronald Acuna Jr. (8-for-16, three doubles and a 1.579 OPS), Dansby Swanson (7-for-14 with three doubles in his postseason debut) and Adam Duvall (five RBIs in seven at-bats after spending most of the season in the minors). The Cardinals have been outscored 16-13 in the series and have leaned heavily on Marcell Ozuna (two homers in Game 4, 8-for-17 in the series with four RBIs) and Paul Goldschmidt (1.563 OPS in the series with seven hits, four doubles and two homers). Among the Cardinals looking to break out in the series finale are Dexter Fowler (one hit in 17 at-bats), All-Star Paul DeJong (two hits with six strikeouts in 14 at-bats) and Kolten Wong, who is healed from a hamstring injury but is 3-for-17.

TV: 5:02 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Jack Flaherty (0-1, 3.86 ERA) vs. Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (1-0, 0.00)

Flaherty was outstanding despite taking the loss in Game 2, giving up a first-inning run and a two-run homer to Duvall in the seventh while finishing with eight hits allowed, one walk and eight strikeouts in his postseason debut. It marked only the second time the 23-year-old has surrendered more than two earned runs in his past 17 starts, with 58 hits, 25 walks and 138 strikeouts in 113 1/3 innings in that span. Flaherty, whose 117 pitches in Game 2 were the most by a St. Louis hurler in his playoff debut since 2001 (Woody Williams, 133), is 1-2 in three career starts at SunTrust Park (including Game 2) with 11 runs allowed in 17 2/3 innings.

Foltynewicz dominated the Cardinals in Game 2, striking out seven with no walks and three hits allowed in seven scoreless innings to earn his first career postseason victory and continue his revival since returning from a mid-summer trip to the minors. The 28-year-old is 5-1 with a 1.69 ERA in his past nine starts dating to Aug. 17, giving up 10 earned runs (11 total) on 35 hits in 53 1/3 innings with 13 walks and 48 strikeouts in that stretch. Foltynewicz, who went 0-1 with five runs allowed in six innings in two starts against the Dodgers in last year's NLDS, has surrendered eight hits with four walks and 16 strikeouts across 20 shutout innings in his past three home outings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Atlanta is 4-for-34 with runners in scoring position in the series and has left 30 runners on base, while St. Louis has stranded 27 runners while hitting 4-for-31 with runners on second and/or third.

2. Goldschmidt and Ozuna have combined for 11 of the Cardinals 16 extra-base hits in the series.

3. The Braves have not won a playoff series since the 2001 NLDS.

PREDICTION: Braves 3, Cardinals 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 04:51 AM

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Predictions 10-09-2019

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Washington Nationals on Wednesday in the Game 5 of their National League Division Series with Nationals first baseman Ryan Zimmerman summing the situation up best. "Walker Buehler versus Stephen Strasburg, with Kershaw probably available in the 'pen," Zimmerman told reporters after belting a three-run homer Monday to help force a deciding game. "This is why you play the game. This is what we live for."

Buehler, the Game 1 winner, hasn't yielded a run in his last 16 2/3 postseason innings for the Dodgers while Strasburg won Game 2 and has permitted one run in nine playoff frames this season. Kershaw, who lost Game 2 on Friday, pitched a scoreless inning of relief on the final day of the regular season and will be available Wednesday on full rest. Los Angeles, which has lost the last two World Series, exploded for a 10-4 victory in Game 3 before being shut down by Max Scherzer in Monday's 6-1 setback. Washington is 0-4 in their NL Division Series history, losing to the Dodgers in Game 5 at Nationals Park in 2016.

TV: 8:37 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (2-0, 1.00 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Walker Buehler (1-0, 0.00)

Strasburg performs well under a microscope with a 0.64 postseason ERA - the lowest in playoff history with a minimum of four starts - after allowing one run and three hits with 10 strikeouts over six innings of a 4-2 victory at Los Angeles on Friday. "I just learned over the years that pressure's a funny thing," the 31-year-old San Diego native told reporters. "I think it's something you have complete control over." This could be the final appearance in a Washington uniform for Strasburg, who could opt out of his contract after the season.

Buehler yielded one hit and three walks while striking out eight across six innings of a 6-0 victory in Game 1 on Thursday and offered a simple perspective for Game 5. "There's not a lot to it," the 25-year-old Kentucky native told reporters. "We've got to win a game, and if we don't, we go home." Buehler is 7-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 15 starts at Dodger Stadium this season and 11-5, 2.52 at home in 33 career games (29 starts) - playoffs included.

WALK-OFFS

1. Nationals CF Victor Robles has missed the last two contests after straining his right hamstring in Game 2.

2. Los Angeles 3B Justin Turner belted his second home run of the series Monday and had a sacrifice fly against Strasburg in Game 2.

3. The road team is 19-13 in Game 5s in division series history.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 3, Nationals 2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:48 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:48 AM

913ST LOUIS -914 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 47-22 SU (22.8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

915WASHINGTON -916 LA DODGERS
WASHINGTON is 77-47 SU (26.7 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:48 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 9

St. Louis @ Atlanta

Game 913-914
October 9, 2019 @ 5:02 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 16.957
Atlanta
(Fltynwcz) 15.553
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-105); Over

Washington @ LA Dodgers

Game 915-916
October 9, 2019 @ 8:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Strasburg) 18.554
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 17.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+130); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:48 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (93 - 73) at ATLANTA (99 - 67) - 5:02 PM
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 8-14 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
FLAHERTY is 28-34 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLAHERTY is 13-21 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLAHERTY is 14-19 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLAHERTY is 16-23 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 99-67 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 76-53 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 47-35 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-73 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-22 (+7.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 37-23 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ST LOUIS is 73-57 (+3.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 33-46 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 (+2.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JACK FLAHERTY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
FLAHERTY is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
FOLTYNEWICZ is 4-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.525.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (96 - 71) at LA DODGERS (108 - 58) - 8:37 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 178-151 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-14 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
WASHINGTON is 109-96 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 93-85 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-23 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 77-36 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
STRASBURG is 32-13 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 36-19 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 186-202 (-68.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 147-107 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 6-5 (-0.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
STRASBURG is 4-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.896.
His team's record is 4-8 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.0 units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BUEHLER is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.96 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:49 AM

MLB

Wednesday, October 9

National League
Cardinals @ Braves (2-2)
Flaherty is 3-1, 0.82 in his last six starts; he is 1-1, 4.32 in three starts vs Atlanta- he is 0-1, 3.86 in one playoff start.

Foltynewicz is 4-1, 1.50 in his last five starts; he is 3-4, 7.64 in seven starts vs St Louis, and is 1-1, 3.46 in three playoff starts.

St Louis is in the playoffs for first time in four years, after making it every year from 2011-15. Cardinals are 5-5 in ten games with Atlanta this year, 3-2 in this ballpark- they scored only five runs in innings 1-7 in first four games of this series.

Atlanta is in playoffs for 2nd year in a row after a 4-year absence; they lost their last seven appearances in the NLDS, dating back to 2002. Both teams blew a late inning lead in last two series games.

Nationals @ Dodgers (2-2)
Strasburg is 2-0, 1.88 in his last four starts, and is 3-5, 2.54 in 11 starts vs LA. He is 3-2, 0.64 in five career playoff games (4 starts).

Buehler is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts and is 0-1, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington- he is 1-1, 3.03 in five playoff starts.

Washington won the Wild Card game Tuesday, then scored only four runs when they split the first two games in LA; they’re in playoffs for fifth time in eight years. Nationals lost in NLDS last four times they were in playoffs, three times in a 5th game.

Dodgers are 6-5 vs Washington this year, 3-3 in games games played here. LA is in playoffs for 7th year in a row, losing the World Series the last two years. Under is 3-1 in this series.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:49 AM

MLB

Wednesday, October 9

Trend Report

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Atlanta's last 24 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Atlanta is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Atlanta is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games
St. Louis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 16 of St. Louis's last 24 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of St. Louis's last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Dodgers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
LA Dodgers is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Dodgers's last 23 games when playing Washington
LA Dodgers is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Washington is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games when playing LA Dodgers
Washington is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:49 AM

By: Rohit Ponnaiya

POSTSEASON STARTER STAT OF THE DAY

Jack Flaherty, St. Louis Cardinals (11-8, 2.75 ERA, $-665): There has been no better pitcher on the planet over the last three months than Flaherty. Over his last 17 starts he has a staggering 1.11 ERA with a WHIP of 0.73.

Despite such great individual numbers however the Cardinals are just 10-7 in those starts. The main reason for that: terrible run support. St. Louis is plating just 3.23 runs per game in those 17 contests.

3 STRIKES

BUY LOW, MARCELL ON A HIGH

The Cardinals have scored a modest 13 runs through the first four games of their series with the Braves but don't blame that lack of scoring on Marcell Ozuna. Ozuna has two hits in every game of this series, going an outstanding 8 for 17 at the plate with three doubles and two homers. He ended the regular season with two hits against the Cubs as well, which makes five consecutive multi-hit games for the Cards outfielder.

When the individual player props on this game drop, consider betting on for Ozuna to go Over on his hits and total bases.

WELCOME TO ATLANTA

The Cardinals might be just 1-7 over their last eight playoff games on the road, but their recent play suggests they might be able to reverse that trend in Game 5.

St. Louis is 7-3 in their previous 10 road games overall, and are 10-4 in their last 14 contests in Atlanta.

TO LIVE AND DIE IN L.A.

If history is any indication, home field advantage could play a big factor for the Dodgers in Game 5. The Dodgers are 55-19 in their last 74 home games, that includes going 28-11 in their previous 39 home tilts against teams with a winning record on the road.

When it comes to the head-to-head trends, the Nationals have gone 17-36 in their previous 53 road contests with the Dodgers. Washington is also just 1-4 in Strasburg's last five starts in L.A.

And for bettors looking to bet on a team total, consider this: The Nationals have been shut out in three of their last five games at Dodgers Stadium. The O/U on Washington's total is 3.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:50 AM

NLDS Game 5 Essentials
Tony Mejia

St. Louis (-112/8) at Atlanta, 5:02 pm ET, TBS

2019 Head-to-Head Matchups (Atlanta 6-4, Under 6-4)

NLDS
Oct. 3 – Cardinals 7, Braves 6 (Over 9)
Oct. 4 – Braves 3, Cardinals 0 (Under 8.5)
Oct. 6 – Braves 3, Cardinals 1 (Under 8.5)
Oct. 7 – Cardinals 5, Braves 4 (Over 8)

St. Louis vs. Atlanta (SunTrust Park)
May 14 – Cardinals 14, Braves 3 (Over 9)
May 15 – Braves 4, Cardinals 0 (Under 10)
May 16 – Braves 10, Cardinals 2 (Over 10)

Atlanta vs. St. Louis (Busch Stadium)
May 24 – Braves 5, Cardinals 2 (Under 10)
May 25 – Cardinals 6, Braves 3 (Under 9 ½)
May 26 – Braves 4, Cardinals 3 (Under 9)

The Braves are hoping their 2019 season contains a 100th win. The NL East champs blew a Game 4 lead in St. Louis on Monday night, allowing the NL Central champion Cardinals at least one more game in a season where they’ve overcome numerous injuries and a slow start from top offseason acquisition Paul Goldschmidt. Facing a 4-3 deficit in the eighth, the Cards got an RBI single from Yadier Molina, who won it with a sacrifice fly in the 10th.

Despite being on the road for the deciding game, St. Louis enters as a slight favorite due to Jack Flaherty’s presence on the mound. The Cards’ 23-year-old ace has been named NL Pitcher of the Month for both August and September after going 7-2 with an 0.78 ERA to close the season and allowed less than a run per game since the All-Star break, joining Cards legend Bob Gibson and Chicago’s Jake Arrieta as the only pitchers ever to do that.

Home teams are just 13-19 in Game 5s in the divisional series round, which is an ominous stat for a Braves team that went 50-31 in Atlanta this season.

Flaherty lost Game 2 but pitched effectively, working seven innings in the 3-0 loss. He allowed a two-run homer to Adam Duvall in the seventh to spoil an otherwise excellent start, but the eight hits he surrendered were the second-most he’s given up this season. Flaherty was 1-0 in two regular-season starts against the Braves, working 12 innings of three-run ball. He’s had his issues at SunTrust Park, walking a season-high five batters in a 14-3 win on May 14. Freddie Freeman has gone 3-for-8 against the Cy Young candidate with a home run.

Mike Foltynewicz was the surprise winner when these teams played last Friday, winning the duel with Flaherty by pitching seven shutout innings of three-hit ball on an economical 81 pitches. The 28-year-old was demoted to the minors in June but was tremendous upon returning, winning six straight decisions before losing his final regular-season start. He was 2-5 with a 6.37 ERA before being sent down after struggling to find his form due to an injury in spring training. He worked on spotting his fastball in the minors and ended up 5-1 at Gwinnett before returning, so he’s been in an excellent groove and will look to pick up where he left off last week against the Redbirds.

Kolten Wong is almost certain to be in St. Louis’ lineup since he’s 5-for-11 against Foltynewicz with a homer and three doubles. Marcell Ozuna has a pair of homers against him while Molina, Dexter Fowler, Paul DeJong and Matt Carpenter have all gone deep once. Goldschmidt is batting just .190 against him (4-for-21) with no extra-base hits and 10 strikeouts.

Nearly everyone is expected to be available for this elimination game, so it will be interesting to see how quick the hook is for both starters as managers Mike Shildt and Brian Snitker look to manage their teams into the NLCS.

Miles Mikolas pitched the 10th to end up with the save and started Game 1 of this series, so he’s clearly someone Shildt trusts. Adam Wainwright pitched incredibly well early in his start, so the veteran Georgia native could get work. Closer Carlos Martinez threw a scoreless ninth in bouncing back from blowing a lead earlier in the series. The Braves have used lefty Max Fried out of the bullpen and saw ace Mike Soroka work seven innings of two-hit, one-run ball in his postseason debut, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see him if Snitker feels he can work after a great Game 3 start.

The Braves are looking to end an NLCS drought that dates back to 2001, having lost seven straight NLDS matchups. The Cardinals are looking to make their first NLCS since 2014.

Washington at L.A. Dodgers (-163/7), 8:37 pm ET, TBS

2019 Head-to-Head Matchups (Los Angeles 6-5, Under 7-3-1)

NLDS
Oct. 3 – Dodgers 6, Nationals 0 (Under 7.5)
Oct. 4 – Nationals 4, Dodgers 2 (Under 7.5)
Oct. 6 – Dodgers 10, Nationals 4 (Over 9)
Oct. 7 – Nationals 6, Dodgers 1 (Under 8)

Washington vs. Los Angeles (Dodger Stadium)
May 9 – Nationals 6, Dodgers 0 (Under 7)
May 10 – Dodgers 5, Nationals 0 (Under 8 ½)
May 11 – Nationals 5, Dodgers 2 (Push 7)
May 12 – Dodgers 6, Nationals 0 (Under 7 ½)

Los Angeles vs. Washington (Nationals Park)
July 26 – Dodgers 4, Nationals 2 (Under 9 ½)
July 27 – Dodgers 9, Nationals 3 (Over 10 ½)
July 28 – Nationals 11, Dodgers 4 (Over 8 ½)

The Dodgers are hoping their run to a third straight World Series doesn’t end prematurely but face quite the challenge in even getting back to the NLCS. After struggling against Max Scherzer clear across the country in D.C. on Monday night, they’ll now have to deal with Stephen Strasburg back in L.A.

Walker Buehler, who is pitching on regular rest after throwing six shutout innings of one-hit ball in a 6-0 win in Game 1, will have Clayton Kershaw waiting in the wings if he struggles after working six frames in a Game 2 upset loss. Patrick Corbin is available to work a few innings if Strasburg struggles, but the plan is to have the Cy Young favorite work as long as he can go. Strasburg won the wild card game over the Brewers with three frames of scoreless relief and bounced back on a couple days rest to throw 85 pitches in last Friday’s win over Kershaw and the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine.

The Dodgers led the National League in runs scored (886) and posted 59 home victories, one behind Houston for most in all of baseball. Despite a magical year, it can all end prematurely if Strasburg has it going again. Only A.J. Pollock (7-for-14) and Justin Turner (4-for-14) have strong numbers against the San Diego native, with Pollock owning a homer, a triple, and two doubles against him. Kike Hernandez has two homers against Strasburg while Joc Pederson and Corey Seager have each gone deep once against him, but that trio is collectively 4-for-32 when facing the Nats’ star, with all the hits leaving the yard.

The Nationals wouldn’t have even made it this far had they not gotten a two-out hit from Juan Soto against Brewers’ closer Josh Hader in a 4-3 wild card win in which they capitalized on a costly error by Milwaukee rookie RF Trent Grisham. They cruised into the postseason as the top wild card after Atlanta ran away with the NL East and finished with the second-highest run differential in the National League (+149) behind Los Angeles, setting the stage for this winner-take-all game.

Strasburg is hoping his finest season doesn’t end prematurely as Washington is 23-12 in games he’s appeared in. In his three starts against the Dodgers this season, Strasburg gave up just four earned runs over 19 innings, striking out 26 and walking two.

The Dodgers lost both starts Buehler made against the Nats during the regular season but manager Dave Roberts still picked him over Kershaw to start L.A.’s postseason opener and had his faith rewarded through a dominant Game 1 performance. If he fails in this spot, that decision will undoubtedly be second-guessed, although Kershaw’s availability to work here could temper criticism. Nats star Anthony Rendon is 3-for-6 with two doubles against Buehler, while Brian Dozier and Victor Robles have each gone 3-for-5 with a homer and triple between them. Gerardo Parra also has a homer against him and is 13-for-41 with a homer against Kershaw, so there’s a chance we’ll see the 32-year-old lefty at some point.

Washington is looking for revenge for a 2016 NLDS loss that the Dodgers claimed in five games. The Nats haven’t reached an NLCS since moving to D.C. from Montreal in 2005 and have repeatedly come up short in this critical fifth game. If Strasburg has a gem in him, the Nats could end L.A.’s National League reign and pay off handsomely since their an underdog in the +160 range despite the presence of one of the game’s top pitchers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:50 AM

17MONTREAL -18 BUFFALO
MONTREAL is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

19NEW JERSEY -20 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 14-25 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

21LOS ANGELES -22 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 185-196 ATS (-30.6 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days since 1996.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:51 AM

NHL

Wednesday, October 9

Trend Report

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Jersey
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Philadelphia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 16 games when playing at home against New Jersey
New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road
New Jersey is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
New Jersey is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Jersey's last 16 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home
Vancouver is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Los Angeles's last 20 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Vancouver
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:51 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 9

Montreal @ Buffalo

Game 17-18
October 9, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
12.749
Buffalo
11.795
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+100); Over

New Jersey @ Philadelphia

Game 19-20
October 9, 2019 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
10.942
Philadelphia
9.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+115); Under

Los Angeles @ Vancouver

Game 21-22
October 9, 2019 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
11.001
Vancouver
9.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+135); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-09-2019, 07:52 AM

101APPALACHIAN ST -102 LA LAFAYETTE
APPALACHIAN ST is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992.

Wednesday 10-9-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 10-9-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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