Friday 10-11-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #16
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
    David Schwab

    Last weekend’s betting action in the CFL started on Friday night with Hamilton rolling over Edmonton 42-12 closing as a seven-point favorite at home.

    Saturday’s triple-header of games got underway in Montreal with the Alouettes stunning Calgary 21-17 as three-point underdogs. Saskatchewan went on to beat Winnipeg 21-6 as a 3 ½-point home favorite in a crucial West Division battle and British Columbia kept its playoff hopes alive with a 55-8 pasting of Toronto closing as an 8 ½-point favorite at home.

    Friday, Oct. 11

    Ottawa RedBlacks (3-11 SU, 5-9 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (2-12 SU, 5-7-2 ATS)
    Point-spread: Toronto -2
    Total: 48


    Game Overview

    Ottawa comes off a bye in the midst of a straight-up seven-game losing streak that includes a 46-17 loss to Toronto on Sept. 7 as a five-point home underdog. It did manage to cover against Edmonton in a 21-16 Week 16 loss as a seven-point underdog at home. The RedBlacks failed to cover against the spread in their previous five games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Quarterback Dominique Davis was injured in the recent loss to the Eskimos but he is not listed on the team’s current injury report. Jonathan Jennings actually got the start at QB in that game.

    Saturday’s loss was Toronto’s sixth straight-up setback in its last seven games while going 2-3-2 against the spread in that same span. The total went OVER 51 points against BC and it has gone OVER in in six of the Argonauts’ last seven contests. This offense is averaging just 19.9 points per game and Toronto is ranked last in the CFL in average points allowed (35.8). It allowed 48 points in the first three quarters of Saturday’s loss. The offense was held to 126 yards passing and 41 yards running the ball in that game.

    Betting Trends

    -- Toronto has a SU 4-1 record against the RedBlacks in the last five meetings overall and it has won 10 of its last 11 home games against its East Division foe. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings.

    Saskatchewan (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (9-5 SU, 5-8-1 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -3
    Total: 47 ½


    Game Overview

    The Roughriders moved into sole possession of first place in the West Division with their win over Winnipeg combined with Calgary’s loss. They have now won nine of their last 10 games SU while going 7-3 ATS. They did lose to the Stampeders 37-10 back on July 6 as five-point home favorites. Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS on the road this season and the total has stayed UNDER in two of its last three road games. The Stampeders used three key turnovers to get past the Blue Bombers on Saturday. They also got another strong effort from Cody Fajardo at quarterback. He threw for 299 yards and a score while also leading the team in rushing (47 yards).

    Saturday’s loss snapped a SU four-game winning streak with Calgary going 2-2-1 ATS in its last five games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the five outings. The Stampeders are 1-7-1 ATS this season when closing as favorites and they are 2-5 ATS in seven previous home games. Three lost fumbles and an interception did not help the losing cause against Montreal. Bo Levi Mitchell ended that game with 464 yards passing while completing 31 of his 43 passing attempts.

    Betting Trends

    -- Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games against Saskatchewan and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine matchups in this bitter West Division rivalry.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #17
      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 18


      Friday, October 11

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OTTAWA (3 - 11) at TORONTO (2 - 12) - 10/11/2019, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OTTAWA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.
      OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      TORONTO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in October games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 4) at CALGARY (9 - 5) - 10/11/2019, 9:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALGARY is 139-106 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 131-96 ATS (+25.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
      CALGARY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #18
        CFL

        Week 18


        Trend Report

        Friday, October 11

        Toronto Argonauts
        Toronto is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games
        Toronto is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
        Toronto is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
        Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
        Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
        Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Ottawa
        Ottawa RedBlacks
        Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games
        Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
        Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Toronto
        Ottawa is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto

        Calgary Stampeders
        Calgary is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
        Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
        Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
        Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
        Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Saskatchewan
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
        Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
        Calgary is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
        Saskatchewan Roughriders
        Saskatchewan is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
        Saskatchewan is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Saskatchewan is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
        Saskatchewan is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
        Saskatchewan is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Calgary
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing Calgary
        Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
        Saskatchewan is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Calgary
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #19
          CFL
          Dunkel

          Week 18



          Friday, October 11

          Ottawa @ Toronto


          Game 689-690
          October 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ottawa
          100.146
          Toronto
          97.550
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ottawa
          by 2 1/2
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Toronto
          by 1 1/2
          48
          Dunkel Pick:
          Ottawa
          (+1 1/2); Under

          Saskatchewan @ Calgary


          Game 691-692
          October 11, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Saskatchewan
          121.830
          Calgary
          116.296
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Saskatchewan
          by 5 1/2
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Calgary
          by 3
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          Saskatchewan
          (+3); Over

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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #20
            Jimmy Boyd

            Oct 11 '19, 7:05 PM in 9h
            NHL | Panthers vs Sabres
            Play on: Panthers +100 at 5Dimes

            1* Free Pick on Panthers +100
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #21
              Ray Monohan

              Oct 11 '19, 7:35 PM in 10h
              NHL | Islanders vs Hurricanes
              Play on: UNDER 6 -110

              UNDER 6
              On Friday at 7:30pm ET at the PNC Arena in Raleigh, North Carolina we get the (1-2) New York Islanders facing off against the (4-0) Carolina Hurricanes and the UNDER (6) in this matchup holds the value. The line sees the Hurricanes being a huge favorite at -176. The Islanders odds are +156. The total is holding steady at 6. The likely starting goaltenders are Semyon Varlamov (.411 GAA and a .872 Save%) for the Islanders. He desperately needs a bounce back game after serving up 4 goals on just 19 shots Tuesday vs. Edmonton. Petr Mrazek will be in between the pipes for the Hurricanes. (2.84 GAA and a .878 Save%). James Reimer is the backup goalie in Carolina, and Thomas Greiss is the backup goalie for New York.
              The Canes have a chance to get out to their best start in franchise history with another win in a matchup of Metropolitan Division rivals. They've scored 16 goals so far and have 11 goals against. Despite their undefeated record, the Hurricanes are anything but a sure thing here however. Three of their wins have come in OT or a Shootout. With a different bounce of a puck here or there, this could easily be a 1-0-3 team. What I do expect is some defense to be played. Carolina held the Lightning without a shot for an entire period, and a total of two shots through two periods and an overtime. I expect some defense to be played in this one by the Islanders too. New York will not only want to erase the memory of being swept by the Panthers last year, but also to erase the thought of Tuesday's 5-2 loss to Edmonton. The Islanders have 7 goals for and 8 against so far this year. Hardly earth shattering numbers.
              Some trends to consider. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Islanders' last 14 games, and the total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Islanders' last 20 games against an opponent in the Metropolitan division. Under is 6-0-2 in Islanders last 8 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Under is 16-6 in Hurricanes last 22 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
              I can see this one ending 3-2 in a shootout. You can pick the winner!
              Play the UNDER.
              Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #22
                Paul Leiner

                MLB & CFB Picks 10/11

                100* Cardinals -125
                100* New Mexico +3.5
                100* Miami -2
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #23
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne

                  Hawthorne - Race 6
                  $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) / $1 Daily Double
                  Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 77 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 5:30P
                  FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. CONSTANCIA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CONSTANCIA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the hig hest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                  8
                  CONSTANCIA
                  7/2
                  2/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  8
                  CONSTANCIA
                  8
                  7/2
                  Front-runner
                  82
                  83
                  83.4
                  76.8
                  71.3
                  3
                  I'M NASTY TOO
                  3
                  15/1
                  Front-runner
                  66
                  60
                  66.6
                  62.4
                  46.9
                  6
                  W W PUT AND TAKE
                  6
                  9/2
                  Front-runner
                  78
                  71
                  62.6
                  59.2
                  49.7
                  7
                  PURE SUGAR
                  7
                  5/2
                  Stalker
                  76
                  77
                  58.8
                  50.4
                  42.4
                  10
                  SUPERSTAR DIVA
                  10
                  5/1
                  Stalker
                  85
                  72
                  43.0
                  62.0
                  56.0
                  2
                  WELL MAID
                  2
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  72
                  68
                  76.4
                  65.4
                  55.4
                  1
                  ROMANTIC ATTACK
                  1
                  12/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  68
                  74
                  58.2
                  57.8
                  41.8
                  4
                  TUMULTUOUS GAL
                  4
                  10/1
                  Alternator/Trailer
                  74
                  76
                  56.6
                  60.4
                  53.4
                  5
                  LOGI
                  5
                  30/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  74
                  63
                  56.2
                  58.0
                  45.5
                  9
                  BAYLOR
                  9
                  30/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  77
                  67
                  43.4
                  40.6
                  23.1
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #24
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs



                    Indiana Downs - Race 5
                    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
                    Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 82 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 4:07P
                    (PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $8,000 1 LB. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SAPPHIRE JUBILEE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. KUPURI: Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CAREER GIRL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY LEAH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                    3
                    SAPPHIRE JUBILEE
                    5/1
                    5/1
                    5
                    KUPURI
                    6/1
                    7/1
                    13
                    LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG)
                    15/1
                    7/1
                    4
                    CAREER GIRL
                    15/1
                    8/1
                    2
                    LADY LEAH
                    6/1
                    9/1

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    10
                    FUN SUCKER
                    10
                    4/1
                    Front-runner
                    84
                    76
                    85.8
                    70.2
                    57.7
                    7
                    AMERIBELLE
                    7
                    10/1
                    Front-runner
                    70
                    70
                    64.4
                    66.8
                    47.8
                    2
                    LADY LEAH
                    2
                    6/1
                    Alternator/Front-runner
                    79
                    79
                    69.0
                    75.6
                    66.6
                    3
                    SAPPHIRE JUBILEE
                    3
                    5/1
                    Stalker
                    88
                    75
                    59.0
                    72.2
                    68.2
                    1
                    BEHOLD
                    1
                    8/1
                    Stalker
                    74
                    70
                    53.1
                    69.2
                    49.7
                    11
                    SPOOFY DOO
                    11
                    30/1
                    Stalker
                    71
                    57
                    41.7
                    54.0
                    27.5
                    13
                    LORAN HOLIDAY (ARG)
                    13
                    15/1
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    82
                    77
                    75.6
                    74.2
                    67.2
                    4
                    CAREER GIRL
                    4
                    15/1
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    82
                    81
                    56.0
                    75.4
                    63.9
                    8
                    NORTHERN FERN
                    8
                    15/1
                    Trailer
                    78
                    60
                    61.4
                    69.4
                    53.9
                    14
                    HOLY COOKIE
                    14
                    12/1
                    Trailer
                    82
                    67
                    53.0
                    68.0
                    52.5
                    6
                    MAJESTIC MYSTERY
                    6
                    12/1
                    Trailer
                    68
                    66
                    50.5
                    66.3
                    46.8
                    5
                    KUPURI
                    5
                    6/1
                    Alternator/Trailer
                    83
                    75
                    43.6
                    71.1
                    62.1
                    9
                    SHEESA PONTIAC
                    9
                    12/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    75
                    72
                    65.3
                    62.6
                    47.6
                    12
                    QUEEN MAXINE
                    12
                    8/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    69
                    60
                    57.0
                    59.6
                    37.1
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #25
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Stronach 5 - Race #2 - Post: 4:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 64

                      Rating:

                      #4 NA NA DUDE (ML=3/1)


                      NA NA DUDE - This filly is in excellent condition right now. Ended up third last time around the track and comes back soon. This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should run well today.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ITSENOUGH (ML=5/2), #6 NOT ANOTHER (ML=4/1), #7 PAOLA'S TEAM (ML=6/1),

                      ITSENOUGH - Oddsmaker's morning line of 5/2 make this horse a pass by my approach. NOT ANOTHER - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint affair in the last couple months. Not the best of signals. The fourth place result in the last race was not the greatest. When checking today's class rating, she will have to register a better speed fig than last race out to battle in this dirt sprint. PAOLA'S TEAM - Had to give me much more last time out. Never made much of an impact. 6/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race lately. The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this animal as a questionable contender.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 NA NA DUDE to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #26
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 9 - Allowance - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 66

                        FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 SARAH'S PASSION 2/1
                        # 2 MOLLY GOLIGHTLY 3/1
                        # 5 OUR LOST LOVE 7/2
                        SARAH'S PASSION is the top bet in this race. Has to be considered - I like the figures from the last affair. Has been running in the most competitive company of the field lately. Has been racing admirably and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. MOLLY GOLIGHTLY - Overall the speed figures of this equine look strong in this competition. Might wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. OUR LOST LOVE - Has to be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #27
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                          Penn National - Race #4 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 75

                          Rating:

                          #1 SARGENT SUDS (ML=2/1)
                          #2 BABY BREZ (ML=5/2)


                          SARGENT SUDS - Miller drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to figure that this animal has a darn good chance at this level. I know he'll be way back, but he's got a wonderful kick at the top of the stretch. This gelding registered a good fig of 75 in his last contest. That fig should be lofty enough to triumph today. BABY BREZ - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a sharp contest last time out within the last 30 days.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 UP TO ELEVEN (ML=3/1), #5 GRAN FORTRESS (ML=5/1),

                          UP TO ELEVEN - The very long layoff since Jul 4th is somewhat troubling. Quite unimpressive speed rating last time around the track at Monmouth Park at 1 1/16 miles. Don't feel this horse will improve too much today. GRAN FORTRESS - Tough to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse.

                          GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SARGENT SUDS - Posting three superb speed figs in the last three contests. This noble animal is primed to beat these horses today.




                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 SARGENT SUDS to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          Pass
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #28
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 6 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 95

                            FOR RESTRICTED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED OR STATE SIRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 3 ODDS ON 15/1
                            # 2 SKY MAGICIAN 2/1
                            # 1 HAZ A NOTION 20/1
                            ODDS ON has a formidable shot to take this race especially at a such a nice price. Ought to go to the lead and might never look back. With a quite good 95 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this affair. He has decent class ratings, averaging 95, and has to be given a shot in this race. SKY MAGICIAN - Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of competitive win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. He has recorded solid figs under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this group. HAZ A NOTION - His earnings per start in turf sprint races alone makes you take a look at him.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #29
                              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



                              10/11/19, GPW, Race 5, 3.04 ET
                              7 1/2F [Turf About] 1.29.00 CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
                              Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
                              $1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8) / $1 Super Hi 5
                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              100.0000 5 Venezuelan Forever 7/2 Lopez P Delgado Jorge JW
                              098.5584 11 Rapid Transit 3-1 Vasquez M A Delgado Jorge FC
                              094.4502 1 Samurai'sfirstlady 12-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Falcone. Jr. Robert N. SL
                              093.9598 4 Swayed 8-1 Panici L Biancone Patrick L. E
                              093.3328 3 Thanks Mom 12-1 Gutierrez R Eppler Mary E.
                              093.2943 13 Galileo's Affair 7/2 Sanchez J Klesaris Steve
                              093.2422 6 Sunshine Treasure 15-1 Rendon J Orseno Joseph F.
                              092.5463 8 Hannah Catherine 12-1 Prado E S Broome Edwin T.
                              092.1574 9 Beach Dreaming 12-1 Batista J A Rose Barry R.
                              092.0423 12 Faithful Sue 9/2 Sanchez J Klesaris Steve
                              091.4362 2 Freckles Kan 15-1 Reyes L Pompay Teresa M.
                              089.6558 10 Nikki Bella 15-1 Martinez G A Arriagada Juan
                              089.6109 7 Madison Blues 20-1 Torres C A Quiroz Angel
                              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                              Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
                              5 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              11 41.80 1.17 37.10 46 124 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Favorite(not entry)
                              1 38.80 1.47 41.46 17 41 [All Surfaces] *Actual Post 1
                              4 29.60 1.42 37.14 13 35 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] First Race After 45 Days Off
                              3 17.60 1.18 30.61 15 49 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
                              13 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              6 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              8 36.20 1.58 32.26 10 31 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Not Higher Than Today
                              9 36.20 1.58 32.26 10 31 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Not Higher Than Today
                              12 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              2 17.60 1.18 30.61 15 49 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
                              10 39.20 1.61 37.50 12 32 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
                              7 36.20 1.58 32.26 10 31 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Not Higher Than Today
                              * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
                              If Race Is Off Turf

                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              100.0000 5 Venezuelan Forever 7/2 Lopez P Delgado Jorge JW
                              099.1357 11 Rapid Transit 3-1 Vasquez M A Delgado Jorge FEC
                              094.5919 1 Samurai'sfirstlady 12-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Falcone. Jr. Robert N. SL
                              093.7071 4 Swayed 8-1 Panici L Biancone Patrick L.
                              093.4495 3 Thanks Mom 12-1 Gutierrez R Eppler Mary E.
                              093.4143 6 Sunshine Treasure 15-1 Rendon J Orseno Joseph F.
                              093.3582 13 Galileo's Affair 7/2 Sanchez J Klesaris Steve
                              092.5169 12 Faithful Sue 9/2 Sanchez J Klesaris Steve
                              092.3447 8 Hannah Catherine 12-1 Prado E S Broome Edwin T.
                              092.2590 9 Beach Dreaming 12-1 Batista J A Rose Barry R.
                              091.5786 2 Freckles Kan 15-1 Reyes L Pompay Teresa M.
                              090.1249 7 Madison Blues 20-1 Torres C A Quiroz Angel
                              090.0428 10 Nikki Bella 15-1 Martinez G A Arriagada Juan
                              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                              Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
                              5 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              11 41.80 1.17 37.10 46 124 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Favorite(not entry)
                              1 10.20 1.16 48.39 15 31 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best LeadPack
                              4 23.60 1.12 33.68 32 95 [All Surfaces] First Race After 45 Days Off
                              3 22.00 1.13 37.35 31 83 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
                              6 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              13 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              12 76.00 1.47 40.74 33 81 [All Surfaces] Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                              8 9.00 1.21 42.86 9 21 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Second Race After 45 Days Off
                              9 7.80 1.05 36.00 27 75 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Not Same Track As Today
                              2 22.00 1.13 37.35 31 83 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
                              7 7.80 1.05 36.00 27 75 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Is Not Same Track As Today
                              10 22.00 1.13 37.35 31 83 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #30
                                Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park


                                PURCHASE

                                10/11/19, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
                                6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
                                Claiming Price $50,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
                                $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 1-2-3) - $0.50 Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $0.50 Jackpot Super Hi 5
                                Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                                100.0000 6 You'reright Again 7/2 Garcia M Wicker Lloyd C. SFEL
                                099.4308 7 Mahi Mahi 2-1 Cedillo A Wong Jonathan JT
                                098.2616 2 Brickyard Ride(b+) 5/2 Velez J I Lewis Craig Anthony
                                096.3550 3 Carnelian Hero 5-1 Bejarano R Bonde Jeff
                                095.7024 1 El Chapin 30-1 Sanchez D Rivera Sally W
                                095.6790 5 Govenor Cinch 4-1 Fuentes R Yakteen Tim C
                                095.4397 8 Sweet Boy 15-1 Baze T Miyadi Steven
                                000.0000 4 Baltimore Beecho 1/5 No Rider Yet
                                After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                                Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
                                6 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
                                7 77.80 1.11 38.81 137 353 [All Dirt] Not First Race After 45 Days Off
                                2 41.80 1.06 35.93 129 359 [All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $50K
                                3 41.80 1.06 35.93 129 359 [All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $50K
                                1 107.40 1.36 41.72 63 151 [All Dirt] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
                                5 77.80 1.11 38.81 137 353 [All Dirt] Not First Race After 45 Days Off
                                8 41.80 1.06 35.93 129 359 [All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $50K
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