Saturday 10-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jesse Schule

Oct 12 '19, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | BYU vs South Florida
Play on: BYU -6 -115 at 1BetVegas

This is a Free NCAAF play on BYU.
The Cougars have a losing record after five games, but don't let that deceive you. Three of their first four games came against Top 25 teams, and they won ouright as an underdog on the road at Tennessee and at home versus USC. They lost their last game on the road in a close game in Toledo, and have had a week off to regroup. This is a team that is certainly worthy of going to a bowl game, and in order to get there they need to take care of business in the games they are supposed to win. This South Florida team is bad, with it's two wins coming against woeful opposition (UCONN and SCST). Their last home game was a 27 point loss to SMU. The Mustangs totaled 497 yards of offense in the victory.
Take BYU.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Rob Vinciletti

Oct 12 '19, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Houston
Play on: Houston +7½ -115 at YouWager

The College football comp Play is on Houston plus the 7 to 8 points here today at 3:30 eastern. Houston has covered the last 3 as a home dog and has rest in this game after blowing out North Texas on the road 2 weeks ago. The Cougars have covered 6 straight off a dog win and have won the last 2 in the series. Cincinnati is off a big upset win over Central Florida and from the database we see that conference road favorites off a home dog win and cover by more than 6 are 2-17 to the spread long term vs an opponent off a dog win in game 9 or earlier of the season. That big win for the Bearcats catapulted them into the top 25 and teams who enter the top 25 are on a 1-9 spread run. Cincy has failed to cover 3 of 4 on the road if the total is 49 to 52 and 4 of the last 5 if they won 4 of the last 5, as well as 4 of the last 5 off a dog win. Take the points with Houston. . For the College Football free play. Take Houston plus the 7-8 points. Rob V- GC Sports

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Joseph D'Amico

Oct 12 '19, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Alabama vs Texas A&M
Play on: Alabama -17 +102 at pinnacle

This Saturday we are going to CRUSH THE BOOKS as I have my 11-0 SKY'S THE LIMIT, 7-2 ACC GAME OF THE MONTH, and my 43-14 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE. Get them all, go 3-0, and get rich.
Take Alabama.
Game 183.
12:30 pm pst

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Ben Burns

Oct 12 '19, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Wisconsin
Play on: Michigan State +10½ -115 at Bovada

If it seems like the Badgers are always playing at home, its because this marks their fifth straight game here. They'll finally hit the road for a couple, after this one. While I do respect them, I believe that all the home games have people thinking that the Badgers are a little better than they really are. In turn, that has provided us with a generously high (double-digit) pointspread. I believe it'll prove to be too high, as I expect the Badgers to receive their first real test of the season this afternoon. Remember, the O/U line is only 40.5 or so. With not many points expected to be scored, it makes it tougher to win by double-digits. On that note, its worth mentioning that the Spartans are 10-4 ATS the past 14 times that they played a road game with an O/U line in the 35.5 to 42 range. With the Badgers just 1-4 ATS the past five times that they were off a home win of 28 or more, consider grabbing the points.

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Mark Wilson

Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Texas Tech vs Baylor
Play on: Texas Tech +10½ -109 at GTBets

Free Play on Texas Tech +10½ -109
The 3-2 Texas Tech Red Raiders take on the 22nd-ranked Baylor Bears who are 5-0. Texas Tech opened their season with two blow out wins against weak teams (UTEP and Montana State). A rough loss to Arizona and an understandable loss to Oklahoma are their only blemishes this season. The Red Raiders are coming off of an upset of the 21st-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys. Baylor has three wins against weak teams in Rice, SFA, and UTSA. Their solid wins are against Iowa State (23-21) and Kansas State (31-12). Texas Tech backup quarterback Jett Duffey has looked great in his two games against Oklahoma and Oklahoma State (544 passing yards and five total touchdowns). The Red Raiders have played plenty of good teams this season and won't be intimidated by a 5-0 Baylor team. Texas Tech could be in for another upset this weekend but covering 10.5 points should be no issue for this explosive team.

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John Ryan

Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Iowa State vs West Virginia
Play on: UNDER 54½ -108

Iowa State vs West Virginia
4:00 PM EST, Oct 12, 2019
5-Star Bet UNDER the total

A pair of 3-2 Big-12 teams square off and neither of them can afford a third loss this early in their seasons. ISU is coming off a dominating performance defeating TCU 49-24 and covered the spread by 22 points and easily when over the 45 point total. ISU start quarterback Brock Purdy showed off his dual-threat capabilities passing for 247 yards with 2 TD’s and rushing for 102 yards and two rushing TD’s. ISU had 436 total yards and outgained TCU by 107 yards.
West Virginia is coming off a home 42-31 loss to a very good Texas Longhorn team and failed to cover the spread by the hook. WVU actually outgained the Longhorns 463-427, but made too many mistakes and had a -3 turnover margin. Moreover, WVU could not stop the Longhorn ground attack and allowed 216 rushing yards while they gained just 96.
This situational query has earned an outstanding 25-11 UNDER record over the last 5 seasons for 70% winning bets. The query instructs us to bet UNDER the total with any team facing a conference foe and both teams have win percentages between 51 and 60% on the season. Simple and profitable
The machine learning summary projects that WVU will score 21 or fewer points. ISU has earned a 42-2-2 UNDER record good for 91% winning bets when allowing an opponent 21 or fewer points. WVU is 15-1 UNDER in home games in which they scored 21 or fewer points.
Take the UNDER

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Marc Lawrence

Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Texas Tech vs Baylor
Play on: Texas Tech +11½ -111 at BMaker

Play - Texas Tech (Game 165).
Edges - Red Raiders: 8-2 ATS as road dogs of 12 or fewer points… Bears: 0-7 ATS at home in this series … With Baylor still celebrating its first appearance in the AP Top 25 poll under head coach Matt Rhule, we recommend a 1* play on Texas Tech. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Jack Jones

Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Iowa State vs West Virginia
Play on: Iowa State -10 -110 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Iowa State -10
The Iowa State Cyclones should be 5-0. But since they are not, I believe they remain undervalued. They blew late 4th quarter leads to both Iowa and Baylor and lost those games by a combined 3 points. If they hold both of those leads, they are 5-0 and getting a lot more national attention, and thus more respect from the betting public.
I was on Iowa State last week for many of the same reasons. They delivered in one of the most impressive performances of the entire college football season. They beat TCU 49-24 as 3-point home favorites. That’s a TCU team that has an elite defense year in and year out, and scoring 49 points against a Gary Patterson-coached defense is no small feat.
The Cyclones have posted elite numbers this year. They are averaging 37.6 points, 487 yards per game and 7.1 yards per play. They are only giving up 22.2 points, 348 yards per game and 4.7 yards per play. They are outscoring their opponents by 15.6 points per game, and outgaining them by 139 yards per game and 2.4 yards per play. That’s one of the best yards per play differentials in the entire country, and it’s one of the most important stats in handicapping any football team.
West Virginia is in a rebuilding year under first-year head coach Neal Brown. They only returned nine starters this year and lost a couple starters prior to the season. They have done a good job of getting to 3-2, winning close games over James Madison (20-13) and Kansas (29-24), as well as their most impressive win over NC State (44-27).
However, when the Mountaineers have stepped up in class against teams of Iowa State’s caliber, they have been blown out. They lost at Missouri (7-38) and at home to Texas (31-42) last week. I think it will be tough for them to get back up off the mat after that loss to Texas, a Longhorns team that was clearly looking ahead to the Red River Rivalry against Oklahoma. Iowa State won’t be overlooking WVU, not with two losses already this season.
West Virginia didn’t come out of that game against Texas unscathed, either. They lost two of their top three receivers in Sean Ryan and Sam James to injury. Ryan had five receptions for 70 yards while James had six receptions for 66 yards and a score against Texas before exiting. James leads the team with 32 receptions for 329 yards and two touchdowns this season, while Ryan has 15 receptions for 168 yards on the year. Losing two of their biggest playmakers will make it very difficult for the Mountaineers to move the football against one of the best defenses in the Big 12 in Iowa State. They won’t have the firepower to keep up on the scoreboard.
We saw last year Iowa State shutting down a much more potent WVU offense in a 30-14 home victory. That game was an even bigger blowout than the final scored showed. The Cyclones had 498 yards of total offense in the win, and they held Will Grier and company to just 152 yards and nine first downs. They outgained the Mountaineers by 346 yards and obviously should have won by even more than they did. This 2019 version of WVU is nowhere near as good as that one, while the Cyclones are even stronger than they were last year with 16 returning starters.
Iowa State is 10-1 ATS after covering the spread in three of its last four games over the last three seasons. Matt Campbell is 11-1 ATS in October games as the coach of the Cyclones, and they are hitting their stride this month once again. Iowa State is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 conference games. The Mountaineers are 7-23-2 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

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Mike Williams

Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Texas Tech vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor -10 -110 at 1BetVegas

1* on Baylor -10 -110

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Dustin Hawkins

Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Nevada
Play on: San Jose State +1 -105 at Bovada

1 Dimer on San Jose State +1 -105

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Sean Murphy

Oct 12 '19, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | UAB vs UTSA
Play on: UAB -12 -108 at pinnacle

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on UAB minus the points over UTSA at 6 pm et on Saturday.
UAB didn’t have to be great to earn a win last week as it hosted one of the nation’s weakest teams in Rice. The Blazers essentially sleepwalked through the first quarter of that game before turning on the jets and brushing aside the Owls by a 35-20 score. Now the Blazers know they’ll need to be sharper as they hit the road to face 2-3 Texas-San Antonio on Saturday. The Roadrunners two previous wins have come against FCS squad Incarnate Word and most recently against 1-4 UTEP last week. The win against UTEP came on the strength of a 189-yard rushing day from RB Sincere McCormick but don’t count on a repeat performance here as he had gained just around 250 yards through the first four games. There’s no real look-ahead at play for UAB here as it will host lowly Old Dominion next week. A win here would give the Blazers a nice opportunity to become Bowl eligible well before the end of October. Note that UAB rolled past UTSA by a 52-3 score in last year’s meeting. Take UAB (10*).

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Bryan Leonard

Oct 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -11½ -110 at jazz

154 Mississippi at Missouri
While the Rebels have played a 9 point tougher FBS schedule, we find value on the host. From a game score perspective Missouri is 14 points better than Ole Miss. The Tigers have a 2.32 yards per play advantage as opposed to the 0.36 advatage for the visitor. The Missouri defense has been very good against the pass, and we have major concerns about this Mississippi passing game.
PLAY MISSOURI

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Info Plays

Oct 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Missouri
Play on: UNDER 57 -105

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Ole Miss vs Missouri under 57 -105

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Totals Guru

Oct 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Missouri
Play on: OVER 56 -109

Free Total Annihilator On Ole Miss vs Missouri over 56 -109

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Alex Smart

Oct 12 '19, 7:30 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa +1 -109 at pinnacle

Last week Navy was in a war with Air Force and after a building a DD lead, and had to eventually come from behind with a late score to win it 34-25, and will now be in a huge emotional let down spot vs a Tulsa team that is up trending. Meanwhile, HC Montgomery had his team up 30-9 last week on the road before losing in OT to a high powered SMU side. Instead of being downtrodden Im expecting this to buoy the confidence of the Canes and for them to come out here and finish the job here this week vs a viable but vulnerable opponent.
Midshipmen are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Midshipmen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Midshipmen are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Golden Hurricane are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Golden Hurricane are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Golden Hurricane are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Play on Tulsa to cover