Thursday 10-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359695

    #31
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 72

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 1 WELL MAID 10/1
    # 3 ALMAFUERTE 5/1
    # 12 AMERICAN BIZ 9/2
    WELL MAID has a quite good shot to take this contest and could score at a price in here. Ran a strong last race. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this contest. Trainers don't bring ponies back this soon just for fun. ALMAFUERTE - Her 69 average has this filly with among the strongest speed figures for this race. Looks very strong to be up on the front end at the first call. AMERICAN BIZ - Posted a competitive speed figure last time out.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359695

      #32
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Belmont Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:49pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $62,000 Class Rating: 78

      Rating:

      #4 JAZZY LADY (ML=4/1)
      #9 MORALITY CLAUSE (ML=8/1)
      #10 KEMBA (ML=5/1)


      JAZZY LADY - It looks like Saez had to learn about this filly on Sep 19th when riding her for the first time. Back aboard again today. This filly is in fine form. Finished second on Sep 19th. Earnings per start is something that I feel can be a crucial factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this field. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the second time. This one fits the bill. Had a dominant closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar race today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. MORALITY CLAUSE - Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a sharp contest last time out within the last month. The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Handal. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fifth). Should rebound in this event, with some decent odds. KEMBA - Good return on investment for this jockey and conditioner duet. Rosario is up for another event today after getting on board this animal for the initial time on September 26th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SENGEKONTACKET (ML=3/1), #7 TRICKLE IN (ML=9/2), #3 BARISTA VIXEN (ML=6/1),

      SENGEKONTACKET - Would have to get more than the morning line of 3/1 to wager on this entrant. TRICKLE IN - If she goes off near the oddsmaker's morning line of 9/2, I'll have to pass. BARISTA VIXEN - Would have to get more than the morning line odds of 6/1 to play this thoroughbred.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 JAZZY LADY is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,9,10]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Box [4,9,10] Total Cost: $6
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359695

        #33
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 74

        Rating:

        #3 PRORIKA (ML=3/1)


        PRORIKA - I expect this mount to shock some railbirds this time out.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PERLA ROSE (ML=9/5), #5 UNION SMARTIE (ML=5/2), #1 HOPSCOTCHY (ML=4/1),

        PERLA ROSE - 9/5 is too short of a value to take on most any entrant that has run poorly in back to back races. UNION SMARTIE - This questionable contender gave a less than rousing performance last time out finishing fifth. Don't expect a reversal of fortune in today's race. The speed figure last race out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced contender. HOPSCOTCHY - Finished fourth last time. Would have to improve to be there at the wire in today's event.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 PRORIKA to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359695

          #34
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 5 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 75

          FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 6 PERSIAN QUEEN 7/2
          # 3 LITTLE RED FROG 7/2
          # 5 STREET FLYER 10/1
          PERSIAN QUEEN is the strongest bet in this race. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. The drastic drop in company can only help out this one today. LITTLE RED FROG - This filly must be given a chance just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. She has put up decent numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group of horses in this race. STREET FLYER - Is tough not to examine given the company run in as of late. Chapman has a sharp winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359695

            #35
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



            10/17/19, GPW, Race 2, 1.29 ET
            5F [Turf] 00.54.04 CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
            Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
            $1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela/ $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $1 Super Hi 5
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            100.0000 6 Anjali 9/2 Zayas E J Sano Antonio JW
            097.8539 4 First Time Proud 12-1 Gutierrez R Braddy J. David E
            096.5497 1 True Heiress 9/5 Martinez G A Cartagena Julio R. S
            094.7308 3 Cat's Astray 2-1 Panici L Arias Juan D. L
            094.0988 7 Concertos Appeal 20-1 Mitchell R Durr Zollie
            093.5362 5 Deer Island Diva 10-1 Sanchez J Catanese. III Joseph C
            093.3038 2 Enduros Tigress 10-1 Reyes L Delgado Alexis TFC
            092.1665 8 Dark Tricks 15-1 Donis A Jehaludi Amzadali
            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
            6 40.00 1.15 36.84 49 133 [All Surfaces] Best Workouts
            4 39.80 1.09 32.02 73 228 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
            1 30.40 1.05 32.38 102 315 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Not OddsOn Favorite(not entry)
            3 37.00 1.08 35.75 79 221 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Track As Today
            7 39.80 1.09 32.02 73 228 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
            5 37.00 1.08 35.75 79 221 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Track As Today
            2 39.80 1.09 32.02 73 228 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today
            8 37.00 1.08 35.75 79 221 [All Surfaces] Last Race Is Not Same Track As Today
            If Race Is Off Turf

            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            100.0000 6 Anjali 9/2 Zayas E J Sano Antonio JF
            098.4821 2 Enduros Tigress 10-1 Reyes L Delgado Alexis TC
            097.7217 4 First Time Proud 12-1 Gutierrez R Braddy J. David W
            096.1548 3 Cat's Astray 2-1 Panici L Arias Juan D. L
            095.4911 1 True Heiress 9/5 Martinez G A Cartagena Julio R. S
            094.3726 5 Deer Island Diva 10-1 Sanchez J Catanese. III Joseph C
            094.0438 8 Dark Tricks 15-1 Donis A Jehaludi Amzadali E
            091.9498 7 Concertos Appeal 20-1 Mitchell R Durr Zollie
            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPW.
            6 63.60 1.24 38.64 51 132 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
            2 34.20 1.33 44.23 23 52 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
            4 63.60 1.24 38.64 51 132 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
            3 34.20 1.33 44.23 23 52 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
            1 63.60 1.24 38.64 51 132 [All Surfaces] Last Race Weight Is Less Than Today
            5 34.20 1.33 44.23 23 52 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
            8 34.20 1.33 44.23 23 52 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
            7 34.20 1.33 44.23 23 52 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Sex Females
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359695

              #36
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



              10/17/19, BEL, Race 4, 2.57 ET
              1 1/8M [Inner Turf] 1.45.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
              INNER TURF (UP TO $13,050 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
              Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Grand Slam (4-7), Late Pick 5 (.50) Races (4-8), Double
              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              100.0000 8 Coilean Bawn 3-1 Alvarado J Clement Christophe FE
              098.9372 6 In Front 5/2 Davis D McGaughey III Claude R
              098.7342 9 Miss You Blues 9/2 Rider TBA Baker Charlton S
              098.6727 1 Bacchanalia 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. JC
              098.6105 4 Ava Malone 9/2 Rosario J Brown Chad C.
              098.0800 2 Andi's Kitten 8-1 Franco M Gargan Danny L
              097.4686 5 Razeena 5/2 Rider TBA McLaughlin Kiaran P.
              097.0773 3 Estill 5-1 Velazquez J R Mott William I.
              095.7418 7 Funny Flowers 15-1 Saez L Tagg Barclay W
              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
              Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
              8 53.70 1.13 36.15 77 213 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
              6 7.40 1.07 28.85 15 52 [Turf MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
              9 11.20 1.13 26.19 11 42 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Main With Turf Today
              1 53.70 1.13 36.15 77 213 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
              4 2.60 1.01 12.09 11 91 [Turf MdnMClm] No 5f Workout Since Last Race
              2 53.70 1.13 36.15 77 213 [All Surfaces] Last Race Distance Is Greater Than Today
              5 11.20 1.13 26.19 11 42 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Main With Turf Today
              3 7.40 1.07 28.85 15 52 [Turf MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
              7 11.20 1.13 26.19 11 42 [All Surfaces] Last Race Was Main With Turf Today
              If Race Is Off Turf

              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              100.0000 4 Ava Malone 9/2 Rosario J Brown Chad C. J
              099.4600 1 Bacchanalia 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Brown Chad C. FC
              099.2795 8 Coilean Bawn 3-1 Alvarado J Clement Christophe E
              099.2303 2 Andi's Kitten 8-1 Franco M Gargan Danny L
              098.7567 6 In Front 5/2 Davis D McGaughey III Claude R
              098.1762 5 Razeena 5/2 Rider TBA McLaughlin Kiaran P.
              097.9749 9 Miss You Blues 9/2 Rider TBA Baker Charlton
              097.7049 3 Estill 5-1 Velazquez J R Mott William I.
              096.1322 7 Funny Flowers 15-1 Saez L Tagg Barclay W
              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
              Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.
              4 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              1 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              8 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              2 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              6 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              5 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              9 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              3 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
              7 91.90 1.13 38.12 138 362 [All Surfaces] Race Distance Route
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359695

                #37
                Mike Wynn

                Free Winner: NHL Detroit/Calgary Over 6 Goals
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359695

                  #38
                  Razor Sharp

                  YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: VANCOUVER/ST LOUIS UNDER the total of 5½ goals
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359695

                    #39
                    Totals4U

                    Thursday's Free Selection: Vancouver/St Louis under 5 1/2 goals
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359695

                      #40
                      Atlantic Sports

                      Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: NY Islanders + 110
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359695

                        #41
                        #1 Sports

                        Thursday's Free Selection: New Jersey Devils - 120
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359695

                          #42
                          Platinum Plays

                          Your Free Platinum Play: NHL the Boston Bruin -115 over Tampa Bay
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359695

                            #43
                            Nevada Sharpshooter

                            Your free winner for Thursday : NY YANKEES/HOUSTON OVER the total of 8 runs
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359695

                              #44
                              Golden Dragon

                              FREE WINNER for Thursday

                              Louisiana/Arkansas State over 68
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 359695

                                #45
                                Hawkeye Sports

                                Thursday's Free Pick: St Louis Blues - 185
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