Friday 10-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:36 AM

Jimmy Boyd

Oct 18 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
NHL | Rangers vs Capitals
Play on: Rangers +180 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Rangers +180

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:36 AM

Larry Ness

Oct 18 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
NHL | Avalanche vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers -126 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Fla Panthers at 7:05 ET. The Colorado Avalanche jumped out to a 5-0-0 start and had scored at least three goals in each game, but the Avs became the last team in the NHL to lose a game when they lost a 3-2 overtime decision at Pittsburgh on Wednesday. "A couple games ago, we weren't playing great and found a way to get two points," Avalanche goalie Philipp Grubauer said. "Maybe this was a little bit of a reality check." The 2-2-2 Panthers return home after earning points in three straight road games, following a pair of shootout losses by scoring five unanswered goals in a 6-4 win at New Jersey. "I've seen so much character from this team the past few games," Florida defenseman Aaron Ekblad said. "We're resilient, and we fight to the end." Nathan MacKinnon amassed a career-high 99 points in 2018-19 and is off to another strong start with at least one point in each of Colorado's six games (three goals / six assists). Linemate Mikko Rantanen collected an assist at Pittsburgh and matches MacKinnon's point streak while taking over the team lead with 10 points (4 G / 6 A). Rookie defenseman Cale Makar (0 G / 6 A) was finally held off the scoresheet in Pittsburgh, denying his bid to join Marek Zidlicky as the only blue-liner to open his career with a six-game point streak. Florida head coach Joel Quenneville moved defenseman MacKenzie Weegar alongside Ekblad at the start of the three-game trip. The switch paid off for the team and both players, who were each a plus-3 and combined for a goal and four assists in the last three games. The Panthers are led by team captain Aleksander Barkov and goalie Sergei Bobrovsky. Barkov became an NHL All-Star last season, getting career highs in goals (35) and assists (61). Bobrovsky was in the net when the Columbus Blue Jackets engineered a stunning four-game sweep of the reigning Presidents' Trophy-winning Tampa Bay Lightning in the first round of the playoffs. However, Bobrovsky said "Goodbye, Columbus" and signed a seven-year, $70 million contract with Florida. Barkov has yet to tally but has five assists, while Bobrovsky is just 2-2-1 with a poor 3.90 GAA and an even worse SP of .870. Colorado won't be in a good mood when they arrive for Friday's game in Sunrise, Fl but this marks the third contest of a six-game, 12-day road trip for the Avs. They were just 17-16-8 on the road last season and I'm looking for Bobrovsky to be the difference tonight, as he's 7-2-1 with a 2.40 GAA in his career vs Colorado. Good luck...Larry

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:36 AM

Bobby Conn

Oct 18 '19, 8:35 PM in 12h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blue Jackets +125 at sportsbook

1* Free Play on Blue Jackets +125

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:36 AM

Hunter Price

Oct 18 '19, 8:35 PM in 12h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blue Jackets +125 at GTBets

1* Free Pick on Blue Jackets +125

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:39 AM

Betting Recap - Week 7
Joe Williams

College Football Week 7 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 38-15
Against the Spread 28-22-3

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 33-20
Against the Spread 27-23-3

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 23-28-2

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 365-80
Against the Spread 223-212-10

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 305-136
Against the Spread 211-220-10

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 206-237-8

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Bowling Green (+26.5, ML +1300) vs. Toledo, 20-7
South Carolina (+21, ML +1000) at Georgia, 20-17 (2OT)
UNLV (+15.5, ML +475) at Vanderbilt, 34-10
Louisville (+7, ML +220) at Wake Forest, 62-59

The largest favorites to cover
Tulane (-34) vs. Connecticut, 49-7
Louisiana Tech (-31.5) vs. Massachusetts, 69-21
Indiana (-27.5) vs. Rutgers, 35-0
Clemson (-26) vs. Florida State, 45-14

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- Temple pulled off the minor upset of Memphis, 30-28. While the Owls are 0-2 ATS in two road games, they're a perfect 4-0 ATS at home. ... South Florida pulled off another minor upset in the AAC, topping independent BYU by a 27-23 margin as 4.5-point underdogs. The Bulls evened their record at 3-3 SU, and more importantly they're 4-1 ATS over the past five. The total pushed in this one, and the 'over' is 3-0-1 across the past four for the Bulls. ... Tulsa gave SMU (on a bye this week) a scare in Dallas last week, but that near-miss most have taken a lot of out of them. Navy rolled the Golden Hurricanes by a 45-17 margin. ... Tulane roughed up Connecticut by a 49-7 score, as the Green Wave won and covered their fourth consecutive outing.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- Virginia took a loss at Miami-Florida by a 17-9 score, underdogs despite holding a ranking. The Hurricanes are now 3-3 SU/ATS with the total 3-3, which is about as inconsistent and hard to figure as it gets. ... Rumors of the death of Clemson was greatly exaggerated, or something like that. They waffled Florida State by a 45-14 score as 26.5-point favorites. The total (61) was a push. It appears that two-week rest thanks to a bye paid off. For the Seminoles, they're 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS with the 'under' cashing in each of their past three outings. ... Duke rebounded against ACC punching bag Georgia Tech, 41-23. The Blue Devils are now 4-1 SU/ATS across the past five outings while the 'over' has hit in each game. ... Hopefully you didn't hold an 'under' ticket in Louisville-Wake Forest. That was a wild one, ending with the Cardinals dealing the Demon Deacons their first loss, 62-59. The 'under' was 3-0 in the past three for Wake before this crazy game.

BIG TEN

-- Michigan fired out to a big lead at Illinois, leading 28-7 at halftime. However, the Illini put up a fight to close to within 35-25 with 8:57 to go in regulation before the Wolverines notched a touchdown for the final score. ... Indiana smacked Rutgers around by a 35-0 score, covering a 27.5-point number as the 'under' cashed. The Hoosiers have now covered three in a row, and they're a respectable 3-1 SU/ATS in four games at 'The Rock'. ... Minnesota welcomed Nebraska in raw, chilly conditions with a rain/snow mix in the Twin Cities. QB Adrian Martinez (knee) was out for the Cornhuskers, too, while the Gophers ran all over. The Huskers slipped to 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS, with the 'under' hitting in three in a row, and five of seven. For Minnesota, they're now bowl eligible already, going 6-0 SU. After opening 0-2-1 ATS, they have rattled off three straight covers, too. ... Wisconsin posted their fourth shutout of the season, topping Michigan State 38-0. The Badgers are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS with the 'under' hitting in each of the past three for the Badgers.

BIG 12

-- There were just three games in the conference, including the neutral-site Red River rivalry game between Oklahoma-Texas. As usual this rivalry game didn't disappoint, as the Sooners held off the Longhorns 34-27. Texas has covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season, slipping to 4-2 SU/ATS with the 'over' also 4-2 after this under result. ... Baylor held off Texas Tech 33-30 in overtime. The Bears are a surprising 6-0 SU, but 3-3 ATS, with the over/under splitting 3-3 as well. The 'over' is 3-0 in the past three for the Red Raiders. ... Iowa State went to West Virginia and hammered the Mountaineers, 38-14. The Cyclones improved to 4-1 ATS across the past five outings.

CONFERENCE USA

-- Florida Atlantic won a lower-scoring 28-13 game against Middle Tennessee, 28-13, exacting a little revenge after a loss in Murfreesboro last season. The Owls have rattled off four straight wins, and they're also 4-2 ATS, too. ... Western Kentucky surprised Army 17-8, and the Hilltoppers have now won and covered three in a row with the 'under' hitting in each contest. They have averaged just 19.0 PPG while allowing 8.0 PPG during the three-game span. ... Louisiana Tech stepped out of conference and clubbed Massachusetts, 69-21. The Bulldogs have rattled off five consecutive victories since losing at Texas to open the season, and they have covered three of the past four. ... UAB routed Texas-San Antonio by a 33-13 count, picking up their fifth win in six tries while improving to 4-1 ATS over the past five. They have scored 31 or more points in four of the past five, too.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- Toledo was supposed to mow over rival Bowling Green, but a funny thing happened at Doyt Perry Stadium. The 26.5-point underdog Falcons rolled to a 20-7 victory over the Rockets, picking up just their second win in six tries, and their first against an FBS opponent. The 'under' is 5-1 in six outings for the Falcons this season. ... Kent State won the 'Wagon Wheel' rivalry game against Akron, 26-3. The Golden Flashes are 3-3 SU/ATS, but this was their first road victory and cover in four road tries. Of course, this was their first non-Power 5 opponent away from home, too. The Zips, meanwhile, are a dismal 0-6 SU/ATS. ... Ball State left Rynearson Stadium at Eastern Michigan with a 29-23 victory in tow. EMU slipped to 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS, and they have failed to cover in three in a row. ... Western Michigan romped Miami-Ohio by a 38-16 score as the 'under' just came in. The Broncos have alternated wins and losses in each of their seven games so far, and they have also alternated covers and non-covers. If the pattern continues, a loss and non-cover is coming at EMU next week.

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- Boise State lost freshman QB Hank Bachmeier (lower body) against Hawaii, but they continued to roll along as the Group of Five favorite. They topped the Rainbow Warriors, 59-37. Boise State is now 6-0 SU and 4-1-1 ATS with the over/under splitting 3-3. They'll head to BYU next week. ... UNLV surprised Vanderbilt by a 34-10 score, covering as 15 1/2-point favorites. The Rebels snapped a four-game losing streak while picking up their first win against an FBS opponent this season, and they're now 2-1 ATS in three road outings. The 'under' is 4-1 across the past five for UNLV, too. ... San Jose State slipped 41-38 at Nevada, as they're now 3-3 SU while going 3-0-1 ATS across thye past four. ... San Diego State moved to 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS with a 26-22 slugfest against Wyoming. The Aztecs have covered four of the past five. The 'over' in their game on Saturday snapped a 5-0 'under' streak to start the season.

PAC-12

-- USC put up a good fight on the road against Notre Dame, falling 30-27 but covering the 10.5-point number. The Trojans have dropped three of the past four, and they have alternated covers and non-covers in all six outings. The 'under' is also 4-0 in the past four games heading into next week's game at home against Arizona. ... As far as the Wildcats are concerned, they were roughed up 51-27 by Washington. Arizona had their four-game win streak snapped while slipping to 2-3-1 ATS. The Huskies improved to 5-2 SU/ATS, rebounding after their loss at Stanford last week. ... Oregon spanked Colorado 45-3, as Buffaloes QB Steven Montez tossed four interceptions to help out the Ducks. UO has won five in a row since losing to Auburn in the opener, and they're the only hope of the Pac-12. The 'under' has cashed in four in a row. ... Washington State dropped a 38-34 game at Arizona State, and the Cougars have dropped three in a row. That 67-63 loss to UCLA has really taken a lot out of the Cougs. They are now 0-3 SU in the conference, and they have failed to cover five in a row.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- Florida went toe-to-toe with LSU into the second half, tied 28-28. However, the Bayou Bengals pulled away late for the 42-28 win and push at most shops. The 'over' is now 5-1 in the six games for LSU. ... The other big game of the day was in Athens, as South Carolina shocked the world with a 20-17 win in double-overtime against Georgia. The Bulldogs went from national title contenders to facing Florida on Nov. 2 in Jacksonville in an elimination game in the SEC East race. This loss might still not quite eliminate them from the playoffs, but it was a tough blow. ... Tennessee won at home, topping MississippiState, 20-10 as the 'under' easily hit. It was their first win in four tries at home against an FBS opponent, and just their second cover in six outings. ... Missouri topped Mississippi in a surprisingly high-scoring battle, as the Tigers have won five in a row. They just missed the cover, snapping a 4-0 ATS run.

SUN BELT

-- Georgia State went on the road and topped Coastal Carolina 31-21. as slight underdogs. The Panthers are 4-2 SU and 3-1-2 ATS overall, as they inch closer to bowl eligibility. ... Appalachian State won 17-7 in a surprisingly low-scoring game at Louisiana-Lafayette, covering for the third straight game while staying a perfect 5-0 SU and keeping their Group of Five hopes alive.
Bad Beats
-- The worst bad beat of the weekend happened with the total in Waco. Texas Tech scored a touchdown to go ahead 20-17 with 1:37 to go, with a total of 59. Baylor forced overtime with a field goal with no time remaining in regulation. Overtime was a killer, as both teams exchanged touchdowns in the first OT to make it 27-27. The Red Raiders booted a field goal to make it 30-27. The under could still come through with a defensive stop, but...well, you know. Baylor scored the game-winning TD, making it 33-30, flipping the 'under' to an undeserved 'over'.

-- It might have been a bit early for a bad beat at 5:43, but if you have Florida you were on the right side most of the evening. Most shops closed this game at 14, so it ended a push. LSU scored a 54-yard TD pass with 5:43 to go up 42-28 after a seesaw battle most of the night. To be honest, there weren't a ton of bad beat situations in this week, which is nice for a change.

-- Marshall scored a touchdown with 3:55 to go, flipping an under to an over against Old Dominion. Again, it was just an unfortunate loss, but not a textbook bad beat, but it still stings nonetheless.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:41 AM

309MARSHALL -310 FLA ATLANTIC
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

311PITTSBURGH -312 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

313OHIO ST -314 NORTHWESTERN
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game over the last 2 seasons.

315UNLV -316 FRESNO ST
UNLV is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:41 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (3 - 3) at FLA ATLANTIC (4 - 2) - 10/18/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (4 - 2) at SYRACUSE (3 - 3) - 10/18/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (6 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 4) - 10/18/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 195-148 ATS (+32.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 195-148 ATS (+32.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 164-129 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 120-88 ATS (+23.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (2 - 4) at FRESNO ST (2 - 3) - 10/18/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:43 AM

NCAAF

Week 8

Trend Report

Friday, October 18

Marshall @ Florida Atlantic
Marshall
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games when playing Marshall

Pittsburgh @ Syracuse
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games

Nevada-Las Vegas @ Fresno State
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Fresno State
Fresno State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Fresno State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:45 AM

NCAAF

Week 8

Friday’s games
Florida Atlantic scored 39 ppg in winning its last four games, after an 0-2 start; Owls ran ball for 439 yards the last two weeks- under Kiffin, they’re 8-5-1 ATS as a home favorite. Underdogs covered five of last six Marshall-FAU games, with Thundering Herd winning five of them- Herd won two of three visits to FAU, losing 30-25 here in ’17. Marshall covered eight of last ten games as a road underdog; Herd scored total of only 20 points in losing both their road games, 14-7 at Boise, 24-13 at Middle Tennessee. C-USA home favorites are 7-4 ATS this season.

Pittsburgh won 12 of its last 14 games with Syracuse, winning five of last seven visits to the Carrier Dome. Underdogs covered four series games. Panthers won their last three games by a total of seven points after a 1-2 start; one of those wins was over a I-AA team. Pitt scored 35-33 points in its last two I-A games. Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite. Syracuse is 1-3 vs I-A teams wth two I-AA wins; they were held to 20-6-10 points in their three losses. Under Babers, Orangemen are 4-6 ATS when getting points at home.

Ohio State won its last seven games with Northwestern (6-1 ATS); they won five of last six trips to Evanston, covering last three, winning by 10-35-44 points. Buckeyes are 6-0 TY with no win by less than 24 points; they won their two road games by combined score of 99-17. OSU is 11-9 ATS in its last 20 games as road favorites. Northwestern lost its last three games, scoring total of 35 points; Wildcats are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog. Big 14 home underdogs are 3-7 ATS this season.

UNLV won as a 16-point dog LW at Vanderbilt, their first I-A win in five tries; all four of their losses are by 16+ points. Rebels allowed 441+ TY in all their losses; under Sanchez, they’re 15-8 ATS as a road underdog. UNLV won three of last five games with Fresno State but lost 48-3 at home to the Bulldogs LY; underdogs covered last three series games played here. Young Fresno team is 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 31-38-43 points in the losses; under Tedford, Bulldogs are 7-4 ATS when giving points at home, 0-0 TY.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:45 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

Friday, October 18

Marshall @ Florida Atlantic

Game 309-310
October 18, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
74.624
Florida Atlantic
82.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 8
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 5 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-5 1/2); Under

Pittsburgh @ Syracuse

Game 311-312
October 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
93.843
Syracuse
86.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-3 1/2); Under

Ohio State @ Northwestern

Game 313-314
October 18, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
123.014
Northwestern
86.852
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 36
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 28
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-28); Over

UNLV @ Fresno State

Game 315-316
October 18, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UNLV
73.812
Fresno State
82.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 9
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 16
53
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(+16); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:47 AM

Hot & Not Report - Week 8
Matt Blunt

Week of October 14th

There were some strong results if you followed last week's piece that touched on NFL divisional games, as the majority of those trends held true in Week 6.

Road teams managed to sweep the board against the spread with Carolina, Cincinnati and San Francisco all cashing tickets on Sunday, with the Lions the only remaining team in that spot tonight on MNF. Carolina dominated Tampa Bay from start to finish, the Bengals were able to sneak through the back door against Baltimore, and San Francisco brought their best stuff to LA in beating the Rams in a game that many viewed as a measuring stick for the now 5-0 SU 49ers.

At the same time, NFL division games staying 'under' the number posted a 2-1 record as well on Sunday, with only the Panthers/Bucs game over in London sailing 'over' the number. Given the different circumstances of that game with no true home field – and London games tendency to go over as the NFL wants to make sure they put on a show over there – on paper that was the easiest division game to avoid going 'under' on the Week 6 card, especially with it being the first divisional rematch game of the year and the flip-flop theory seemingly alive and well in that regard again. Hindsight is always 20-20 though, but the good news is that had you played all three of those games you'd still have come out on top.

This week I'm taking a break from the pro game as there is one specific conference in college football that deserves noting. So I'd like to wish a happy Columbus Day to everyone - and a happy Thanksgiving to all you Canadians out there – as Columbus (the place), has a tie to this week's piece as we look at what's been going on in the Big 10.

Who's Hot

Home teams in Big 10 games are 11-2 SU the past two weeks – 9-4 ATS in that span

It's been quite the 14 days for Big 10 teams that play in front of their adoring fans, as that SU run is pretty impressive. Home sides went 5-1 SU in conference play this past week, after going 6-1 SU in Week 6. And the 9-4 ATS record could have been a little better considering Penn State's 35-7 win over Purdue in Week 6 missed out on cashing an ATS ticket by the hook.

What makes a run like this intriguing from a betting perspective is the six Big 10 games we've got on the schedule this upcoming week. It all starts with those boys from Columbus, Ohio – the Ohio State Buckeyes – heading out on the road on Friday night to face a Northwestern team as heavy, heavy chalk. Ohio State is currently laying 27.5 points on the road for that game, and that's a lofty number for any road team to cover in today's game, let alone one going up against quite a run for home teams within the conference right now.

The Buckeyes aren't the only Big 10 team laying heavy chalk on the road either this week, as Wisconsin's spread is even bigger (-30.5) for their road trip to Illinois, and Minnesota is laying about four TD's for their contest at Rutgers. Given that the outright record of those three road teams – Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Minnesota – is 18-0 SU and their opponents sit at 2-13 SU, the numbers are somewhat warranted, but don't be surprise to see at least one of those heavy chalk visitors fail to cover their lofty spread.

On the flip side of that equation we've got two other Big 10 games where the home team is laying chalk, the most notable being Penn State has they host Michigan under the lights. The “September Warriors” in the Iowa Hawkeyes – every year Iowa beats up on cupcakes and Iowa State in September to earn a Top 25 ranking and promptly loses it in October when the competition level rises – are the other team laying chalk with Purdue coming to town. Indiana/Maryland is yet to have a line as of this writing but that's the other Big 10 game on the board this week.

But it's the Michigan/Penn State game that becomes highly intriguing given this run for Big 10 home teams, because Michigan is already a program that's been labelled as chokers once again this year. There is never any love for Harbaugh's squad in these type of big games, and with the number on Penn State currently climbing to approach double digits, it will be very interesting to see how this game shakes out. My initial reaction is that if there ever was a game to go against a run by the home teams like this, this would be it, but you can't deny there are plenty of good things (revenge, being undefeated, being at home) working for the Nittany Lions here as well.

Penn State backers will assuredly use this great run by Big 10 home teams as an additional layer of support for why the Nittany Lions are getting their support, but whether that ends up being the right side, we've got six days to debate it and then find out.

Who's Not

Backing 'Overs' in Big 10 games the past two weeks – 2-11 O/U run against closing number

Similar to the great 'under' run in division games in the NFL that was touched on last week, this Big 10 conference games have been an 'under' bettors haven the past 14 days.

A run like that on low-scoring games is a combination of superior teams blowing out inferior teams, keeping those weaker foes off the scoreboard and then running out the clock with reserves, but also quality foes – especially on defense – doing battle with one another as well.

This week's card has a bit of both in that regard as we've got all those huge road favorites that were already discussed likely to fall on the former side of things if things go according to plan for them. However, if those home teams like Northwestern, Illinois, and Rutgers do end up keeping that trend going for home sides, you've got to figure they'd do so by putting up a few scores to put a scare in their opponent. It's what we saw from Illinois this past week when they hosted Michigan, and I wouldn't put it past them or Northwestern to have a similar type of effort this week.

Then again, Ohio State and Wisconsin could put the clamps down on defense rather early and cruise to blowout wins (as expected) that fail to see enough total points be put up to break this great run of 'unders.'

The Michigan/Penn State game is likely to see some initial 'under' love when totals come out as they fit the style of two elite defenses squaring off with points being at a premium. Both of those teams were on the right side of that style of game against Iowa the past two weeks, but the series history between the two schools is also on a 4-0 O/U run the past four years, and that includes the loser scoring 13 or fewer points in each of the past three meetings.

Yet, just like the initial feel of going against the home team trend for this game that I talked about earlier, this would be the one game where I'd strongly consider going against this 'under' trend as well. Obviously we've got to wait to see what number gets posted for this total, but it's definitely something to consider.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:48 AM

Tech Trends - Week 8
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Oct. 18

Matchup Skinny
Edge

MARSHALL at FAU...Herd is not-so-thundering 1-5 vs. line TY, now 1-8 last 9 reg season games. Also 2-5 vs. spread last 7 as visitor. Lane Kiffin 3-1 as chalk TY.
FAU, based on recent trends.

PITT at SYRACUSE...Narduzzi 2-0 as road dog TY, 14-6 in role since 2015. Babers 2-1 as chalk TY, 8-3 in role since 2018. Dog team has covered last 4 in series.
Pitt, based on series and team trends.

OHIO STATE at NORTHWESTERN...Buckeyes have covered last 5 TY and seven straight reg season games (counting Big Ten title game LY). Ryan Day 7-2 vs. line counting interim games LY. Cats have covered last two as dog, Pat Fitz 16-6-1 as dog since 2016.
Slight to NU, based on extended trends.

UNLV at FRESNO STATE...Sanchez okay as road dog, 16-8 during career in role, though just 1-5 last 6 as MW road dog. Sanchez has won 2 of last 3 SU vs Fresno but was blasted 48-3 LY. Tedford 21-9-3 vs. spread with Fresno since 2017 but only 7-5 as home chalk.
Slight to Fresno, based on team trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:50 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
David Schwab

Friday’s betting action in the CFL kicked things off in Week 18 of the regular season with Toronto getting past Ottawa 28-21 to cover as a 2 ½-point home favorite. Later that night, Calgary outlasted Saskatchewan 30-28 but the Stampeders failed to cover as 3 ½-point favorites at home.

In the second half of games on Saturday, Winnipeg upended Montreal 35 to 24 as a four-point home favorite and Edmonton secured the final CFL playoff spot with its 19-6 victory at home against British Columbia closing as a 2 ½-point underdog.

Friday, Oct. 18

Toronto Argonauts (3-12 SU, 6-7-2 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (8-7 SU, 9-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -10 ½
Total: 53

Game Overview

Toronto’s tight victory against Ottawa snapped a straight-up three-game losing streak. The Argonauts are an even 2-2-2 against the spread in their last six games. The total went OVER 48 points in Friday’s win and it has gone OVER in seven of their last nine contests. They are 2-4-1 ATS this season in seven previous road games. McLeod Bethel-Thompson connected with SJ Green 12 times in Friday’s win for 170 yards and he tossed two touchdown throws to Armanti Edwards in the winning effort.

The Alouettes beat Toronto on the road 28-22 in late August, but they could not cover as seven-point favorites. Saturday’s loss to Winnipeg dropped Montreal to 2-3 SU in its last five games but it is 4-1 ATS during that same span. The total has gone OVER in three of the five games. This weekend’s highlights include Mario Alford’s punt return for a touchdown but quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. had one of his errant passes returned for a score. He ended the day with two touchdown throws and four interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- The Alouettes have won five of their last six games against Toronto at home both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 18 of the last 23 meetings in this East Division rivalry and it has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 13 meetings in Montreal.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS) at British Columbia (5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2
Total: 47

Game Overview

Friday’s loss dropped Saskatchewan into a tie for first in the West Division standings. This was just its second SU loss in its last 11 games. The Roughriders have been able to cover in their last three games and the total has gone OVER in three of their last four outings. They have a 5-2 record ATS on the road their season. Cody Fajardo went 20-for-32 with 209 yards passing and one touchdown but he was burned on an interception for a score in Friday’s crucial loss. He also led the team in rushing with 67 yards on 10 carries.

The Lions will be trying to avoid the season sweep after losing a home-and-home series against Saskatchewan both SU and ATS in late July. The total went OVER in each of those games. BC was eliminated from the postseason with Saturday’s lost and adding injury to insult is the loss of quarterback Mike Reilly with an apparent broken wrist. Danny O’Brien took his place and completed just 12 of his 23 passes for 103 yards and an interception. John White rushed for 84 yards on 11 carries in the losing effort.

Betting Trends

-- The Roughriders bring a five-game winning streak over the Lions both SU and ATS into Friday’s matchup. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings at BC Place but overall it has stayed UNDER in 17 of the last 25 matchups.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2019, 07:51 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 18

Friday, October 18

Toronto @ Montreal

Game 681-682
October 18, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
103.816
Montreal
111.047
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 7
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 10 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+10 1/2); Over

Saskatchewan @ BC Lions

Game 683-684
October 18, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
118.156
BC Lions
114.563
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 7
47
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7); Over

Friday 10-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 10-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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