Saturday 10-19-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Three CFB Picks 10/19

100* NC State -3
100* Arizona State +14
100* Over 59.5 Temple/SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA FREE PICK
SMU -9
NC -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, October 19


NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 923-924
October 19, 2019 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(TBD) 17.441
Houston
16.496
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-150
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+130); N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, October 19

American League
New York @ Astros (3-2)
Bullpen game.

Bullpen game.

New York lost the ALCS to Houston two years ago; they haven’t been in a World Series since 2009; they lost six of last nine road games overall. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Astros are in ALCS for third year in a row; they won 2017 World Series. Astros won five of their last six home games, can win the AL title tonight. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, October 19

Trend Report

Houston Astros
Houston is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Houston is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston
NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

923NY YANKEES -924 HOUSTON
NY YANKEES are 23-7 SU (18.3 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 19

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NY YANKEES (108 - 62) at HOUSTON (113 - 59) - 8:08 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. JOSE URQUIDY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-5 (+1.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAPP is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-2.6 units)

JOSE URQUIDY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, October 19


Vancouver @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
October 19, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
10.889
New Jersey
11.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(-130); Over

Montreal @ St. Louis

Game 3-4
October 19, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
11.617
St. Louis
10.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-155
6
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+135); Over

Ottawa @ Arizona

Game 11-12
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
9.198
Arizona
12.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-210
6
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-210); Over

Boston @ Toronto

Game 13-14
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.944
Toronto
11.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-120); Over

Colorado @ Tampa Bay

Game 7-8
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
11.974
Tampa Bay
13.578
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-160); Under

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 5-6
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
10.305
Philadelphia
9.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+135); Over

Vegas @ Pittsburgh

Game 9-10
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
10.071
Pittsburgh
12.768
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Under

NY Islanders @ Columbus

Game 15-16
October 19, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
12.166
Columbus
10.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+105); Under

Florida @ Nashville

Game 17-18
October 19, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.802
Nashville
10.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+130); Over

Calgary @ Los Angeles

Game 19-20
October 19, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.833
Los Angeles
9.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-140); Under

Buffalo @ San Jose

Game 21-22
October 19, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
11.836
San Jose
10.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-160
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+140); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 19

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VANCOUVER (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (1-4-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-0 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (3-2-0-2, 8 pts.) at ST LOUIS (3-1-0-3, 9 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 285-204 ATS (+19.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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DALLAS (1-6-0-1, 3 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-23 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 436-389 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (5-0-0-1, 11 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-0-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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VEGAS (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (5-2-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 54-33 ATS (+14.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-28 ATS (-22.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-2-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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OTTAWA (1-4-0-1, 3 pts.) at ARIZONA (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 13-12 ATS (+32.1 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-27 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-0 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (5-1-0-1, 11 pts.) at TORONTO (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 24-22 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-10-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) at COLUMBUS (3-3-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

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FLORIDA (2-2-0-2, 6 pts.) at NASHVILLE (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-2 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 2-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (2-5-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-5 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6-1-0-1, 13 pts.) at SAN JOSE (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/19/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-18 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 27-21 ATS (+52.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 15-18 ATS (-10.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1VANCOUVER -2 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 0-10 ATS (-10.6 Units) against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

3MONTREAL -4 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 39-22 ATS (18.3 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

5DALLAS -6 PHILADELPHIA
DALLAS are 8-18 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the last 3 seasons.

7COLORADO -8 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 40-11 ATS (20.4 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

9VEGAS -10 PITTSBURGH
VEGAS are 4-17 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

11OTTAWA -12 ARIZONA
OTTAWA is 62-57 ATS (-0.7 Units) in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games since 1996.

13BOSTON -14 TORONTO
TORONTO is 13-15 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

15NY ISLANDERS -16 COLUMBUS
NY ISLANDERS are 22-11 ATS (15 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

17FLORIDA -18 NASHVILLE
FLORIDA is 29-20 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal since 1996.

19CALGARY -20 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.

21BUFFALO -22 SAN JOSE
BUFFALO is 1-9 ATS (-8.3 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, October 19

Trend Report

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games
New Jersey is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games at home
New Jersey is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
New Jersey is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Vancouver's last 23 games
Vancouver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 9 games on the road
Vancouver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Vancouver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Vancouver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games at home
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Montreal
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 14 games
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Ottawa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Columbus is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games at home
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Columbus is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Islanders's last 18 games
NY Islanders is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of NY Islanders's last 24 games on the road
NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing Columbus
NY Islanders is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Columbus
NY Islanders is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 9 games when playing on the road against Columbus

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 3-9-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games
Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games at home
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 10 games on the road

Tampa Bay Lightning
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Nashville Predators
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Nashville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Florida
Florida Panthers
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Florida's last 17 games
Florida is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 9 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Florida is 3-8-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Nashville

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Los Angeles is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Calgary
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Los Angeles's last 20 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Calgary is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Calgary is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Calgary's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Calgary's last 20 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
San Jose is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
San Jose is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games at home
San Jose is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Jose's last 18 games at home
San Jose is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
San Jose is 7-15-1 SU in its last 23 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 6-8-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's Tip Sheet
October 18, 2019
By Brian Edwards

Without a real main event – at least under the lights – in Week 8, we’re just going to jump around the country with some nuggets on various games Saturday…

-- South Carolina QB Ryan Hilinski is ‘probable’ vs. Florida after spraining his knee and missing the second half of last week’s 20-17 double-overtime win at Georgia. The Gamecocks cashed 10/1 money-line tickets at the Westgate SuperBook, even though they had to play a third-string QB the entire second half and both extra sessions. Bryan Edwards, who ranks third in program history in career receiving yards, is ‘questionable’ against the Gators, who are 3-1 ATS as road favorites on Dan Mullen’s watch. UF’s two best pass rushers, DEs Jonathan Greenard and Jabari Zuniga, will both be game-time decisions, according to Mullen. However, VegasInsider.com sources have indicated that there isn’t much confidence that either defensive force is going to be able to go at Williams-Brice Stadium at noon Eastern on Saturday. As of Friday, most books had Florida installed as a five-point favorite with a total of 47. The Gamecocks were +175 on the money line. The weather forecast is calling for rain in Columbia. ESPN will provide television coverage.

-- Alabama will play host to Tennessee at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. As of Friday afternoon, most books had the Crimson Tide listed as a 34.5-point home ‘chalk’ with a total of 61. Playing this side is dangerous because if Nick Saban’s club gets ahead of the number, there’s a good chance junior QB and Heisman Trophy favorite Tua Tagovailoa (27/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio) will get shut down for the rest of the night. That would leave the backdoor open. I believe you look to play Alabama’s team total ‘over’ in the first half if it’s 28 points or less. I did this on the Tide last week at ‘over’ 20.5 for its first-half team total and it was an easy winner. UT improved to 2-4 with last week’s 20-10 home win over Tennessee.

-- Boston College junior QB Anthony Brown is out for the rest of the season with a knee injury.

-- Oregon TE Jacob Breeland is out for the season. Breeland was leading the Ducks in receiving yards. Washington, a 2.5-point home underdog vs. Oregon, is a home ‘dog for the first time since 2015. ABC will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

-- Eastern Michigan is an 8.5-point underdog vs. Western Michigan. The Eagles are a stellar 21-4-1 ATS in their past 26 games as underdogs. They committed a pair of red-zone turnovers and missed an extra point in last week’s 29-23 home loss to Ball State. EMU has been favored in each of its last three games, but Chris Creighton’s club is back in the ‘dog role bettors love to see it occupying.

-- Buffalo QB Matt Myers is ‘questionable’ with a neck injury that caused him to miss a 21-20 overtime loss to Ohio two weeks ago. Back-up Kyle Vantrease sustained a foot injury against the Bobcats, but he was upgraded to ‘probable’ Thursday and will likely start at Akron. The Zips, who are 0-6 ATS along with Vanderbilt and Georgia Tech, are 17.5-point home underdogs against the Bulls, who are 0-3 both SU and ATS on the road this year.

-- Wake Forest junior rover Luke Masterson is out for the season with a shoulder injury. QB Jamie Newman is ‘questionable’ vs FSU with a shoulder injury, but the Demon Deacons have one of the nation’s best back-up QBs in Sam Hartman, who nearly orchestrated a remarkable comeback win in last week’s 62-59 home loss to Louisville. Hartman, who played a lot as a true freshman in 2018 when he had a 16/8 TD-INT ratio, threw for 175 yards and two TDs without an interception. He also had a rushing TD against the Cardinals. This is the first time the Deacs have been favorites (H/T to ESPN’s ‘The Bear,’ Chris Fallica) against FSU since the Seminoles entered the ACC in 1990. In fact, they’ve only been underdogs of less than a TD twice, winning outright both times during Riley Skinner’s Era as QB under Jim Grobe. As of Friday afternoon, most spots had Wake favored by 1.5 points. Another note on Dave Clawson’s team is that starting senior OG Nathan Gilliam popped up on the injury report Thursday as ‘questionable’ with a foot injury. FSU got smashed 45-14 at Clemson last week in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. The Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in five games as road underdogs on Willie Taggart’s watch. Kickoff in Winston-Salem is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. Eastern on the ACC Network.

-- Vanderbilt star RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn and WR Kalija Lipscomb, who led the SEC in catches in 2018, are both ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s home game vs. Missouri. However, Vaughn indicated on Twitter earlier this week that he will play. The Tigers, who have beaten Vandy three times in a row but failed to cover and had to rally for a 33-28 home triumph last season, were 21-point road favorites as of late Friday afternoon. This is a 4:00 p.m. Eastern kick on the SEC Network.

-- The Westgate SuperBook updated its Games of the Year spreads earlier this week. Some notable highlights include Georgia -10 vs. Florida, Alabama -10.5 vs. LSU, Ohio State -14.5 vs. Penn State, Alabama -13.5 vs. Auburn, Florida -16.5 vs. FSU, LSU -17.5 vs. Texas A&M, Wisconsin -11.5 at Minnesota, Clemson -19.5 at South Carolina, Oklahoma -14 at Oklahoma State and Ohio State -13 at Michigan. If Zuniga and Greenard are back healthy, I like the Gators to beat UGA outright. Remember, UF might get explosive WR Kadarius Toney back from a wrist injury sustained in Week 2 in time to face the Bulldogs.

-- What are you thinking on an LSU at Alabama total with the way these offenses are humming right now? I asked a couple of sharp handicappers that question this week. Brad Powers said 71, while Christopher Smith offered 76? Me? I’m thinking closer to 80.

-- Boise State true freshman QB Hank Bachmeier is ‘questionable’ at BYU due to hip injury sustained in last week’s 59-37 home win over Hawaii. BYU is already without its starting QB Zach Wilson (thumb) until late November, and Cougars’ back-up QB Jaren Hall is going to be a game-time decision due to an undisclosed injury. The Broncos are seven-point road favorites in Provo during ‘The Feel-Good Hours,’ which is to say it’s a 10:15 p.m. ET. start on ESPN2.

-- Illinois QB Brandon Peters (10/4 TD-INT) is ‘questionable’ vs. Wisconsin due to a concussion sustained earlier this month. The Badgers, who are 31-point road favorites, have cashed tickets at an outstanding 12-3 ATS clip in their 15 games as road ‘chalk’ on Paul Chryst’s watch. This is a noon Eastern start on the Big Ten Network.

-- West Virginia QB Austin Kendall was upgraded to ‘probable’ early Friday for his team’s trip to Norman to face his former team. Oklahoma is a 33-point home favorite against the Mountaineers for a noon kick on FOX.

--Louisiana improved to 6-1 ATS with Thursday’s 37-20 win at Arkansas State as a six-point road favorite. Raymond Calais had 144 rushing yards and two TDs on just eight carries for the Ragin’ Cajuns, who have an open date on deck before hosting Texas St. Billy Napier’s team should be favored in its final five games and if it wins them all, it will be 10-2 (SU) and get a rematch with Appalachian St. in the Sun Belt Championship Game. The Mountaineers, who are 14.5-point home favorites vs. ULM on Saturday, won a 17-7 decision in Lafayette last Wednesday.

-- UTSA QB Frank Harris is out for the year with an arm injury.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in select FBS vs. FBS matchups:

Early Starts

Clemson (-24.5/62) at Louisville, 12 p.m. ET, ABC: The Cardinals ruled “Puma” Pass out for the remainder of the season after foot surgery and are hoping to get through the rest of the season with sophomore Micale Cunningham and freshman Evan Conley under center. Cunningham was banged up in the 62-59 upset at Wake, the second consecutive shootout the Cards have had go their way after edging BC 41-39. Yep, the ‘Ville is a 2-0 in ACC play this month, winning by an average score of 55-49. An upset here would give Louisville control of the ACC Atlantic, not to mention throw the national title picture into chaos since it would end the ACC’s pursuit of a third championship in four years.

Coming off its most impressive performance of the season in a 45-14 rout of FSU, Clemson wants no part of flirting with disaster like it did last time it took the field on the road at UNC, so we’ll see where Dabo Swinney’s team is as we approach the season’s halfway point. Following last season’s 5-0 start, the Tigers outscored their next four opponents by 204 points, an average margin of victory of 51 points. Clemson has defeated Louisville in all five meetings since they began ACC play in ’14, covering in the last three.

Purdue at Iowa (-4.5/50.5), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2: Redshirt freshman Jack Plummer threw for 420 yards and three scores in routing Maryland last week, so watching his growth the rest of the season should be interesting, particularly since Purdue has such little room for error if it is going to reach a third straight bowl game under Jeff Brohm. Top WR/returner Rondale More is still out and RB Richie Worship is expected to be a game-time decision, so the Boilermakers will need playmakers to step up on the road, where they’ve gone 0-2 thus far.

The Hawkeyes have scored 15 total points in their two losses against Michigan and Penn State this month and are hoping to turn things around offensively in this Homecoming game. Kirk Ferentz has lost back-to-back meetings against Brohm and the Boilers and saw his team lose a 38-36 shootout in West Lafayette last season, producing the most points they’ve managed in a loss since 2011. Iowa has lost guard Cole Banwart for the season and won’t have Kyler Schott back until November, so it will be doing some reshuffling up front. Despite sputtering offensively, count on the Hawkeyes to try establishing the run to take advantage of Purdue’s thin linebacker group.

Florida (-4.5/46) at South Carolina, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: After stunning Georgia in Athens in the upset of the season to date, the Gamecocks return home looking to pull off another upset and give themselves a shot at a trip to the SEC Championship game if it can get some help in the form of teams knocking off Mizzou. Head coach Will Muschamp is 1-2 against his former employer since taking over in Columbia, winning the only matchup at Williams-Brice Stadium. South Carolina will have watched a lot of last season’s tape by the time it takes the field, so it will have it drilled in that it collectively blew a 31-14 third-quarter lead by surrendering the game’s final three touchdowns.

Florida’s heavily hyped defense surrendered over 500 yards and six TDs without forcing a turnover in last week’s loss at LSU, so they’ll be looking to rebound after dropping the first true road game of the Dan Mullen era after opening with five straight wins. DE Jabari Zuniga and LB Jon Greenard suffered ankle injuries they’ll look to overcome in order to participate here. South Carolina should have freshman starting QB Ryan Hilinski in the mix after suffering a knee sprain in Athens, but will have redshirt freshman Dakereon Joyner prepared if necessary. Expect to see both. Senior WR Bryan Edwards, second in program history in receptions, will look to overcome an ankle injury in order to participate.

West Virginia at Oklahoma (-33/63.5), 12 p.m ET, FOX: This matchup became more compelling when former Sooners QB Austin Kendall, who served as backup to Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray, was cleared to play after taking a big hit in last week’s 24-point loss to Iowa State. The Mountaineers come into Norman 3-3 under new head coach Neal Brown, who took the job after a strong run at Troy following Dana Holgorsen’s departure for the University of Houston.

Losing your defensive leader before running into one of the country’s most prolific offensive teams is never ideal but is the situation facing West Virginia after LB VanDarius Cowan, an Alabama transfer, was lost for the rest of the season following knee surgery. Already thin at the linebacker spot, the Mountaineers have also seen safety Jamari Stewart exit the program and won’t have top corner Hakeem Bailey in the first half here after being ejected for targeting. The Sooners are relatively healthy coming of their Red River Rivalry win but will be missing standout TE Grant Calcaterra (undisclosed) for a second straight week. Oklahoma has won its last four games following the Texas showdown and has beaten West Virginia seven consecutive times.

Afternoon Delights

Duke at Virginia (-3.5/45), 3:30 p.m. ET, ACCN: The winner of this one will join Pitt atop the ACC Coastal, so even though this matchup is always more appealing on the hardwood, this matchup is definitely worth watching. Duke is the highest-scoring team in the division, ranking third behind Clemson and Louisville in ACC play in averaging 39 points per game. Bronco Mendenhall’s defense hopes to put a dent in that gaudy average by continuing a run that featured making first-round NFL draft pick Daniel Jones look terrible over the past few seasons.

Mendenhall is 3-0 against the Blue Devils, part of a four-game win streak the ‘Hoos hold as they take the field in Charlottesville. After last week’s 17-9 loss at Miami, Virginia will be looking to overcome the loss of top corner Bryce Hall while getting its inconsistent offense sparked back up behind senior QB Bryce Perkins, who is no longer wearing his cumbersome brace and will have top weapons Joe Reed and Hasise Dubois to throw to if his questionable offensive line gives him time. Duke will visit Chapel Hill next week before its bye, so it has reached a critical juncture in its season before even facing Notre Dame, ‘Cuse, Wake and Miami in November.

Oregon (-2.5/48) at Washington, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC: Chip Kelly turned the Ducks into an offensive juggernaut and Marcus Mariota and current standout QB Justin Herbert have kept the tradition going, but this year’s team is unquestionably led by the defense despite the presence of another highly-rated future first-rounder under center. Defensive coordinator Andy Avalos is climbing up those lists every athletic director keeps of up-and-coming potential coaching targets, designing a defense that has surrendered an average of five points per game over their last five wins since blowing a late lead vs. Auburn in the season opener.

Oregon safety Jevon Holland has been cleared to play, joining top linebacker Troy Dye in being up for the challenge of stopping Huskies QB Jacob Eason, who helped dominate in a 51-27 rout of Arizona. Oregon won last season’s game in OT to snap a two-game losing streak in the series. Washington will look to find top WR Aaron Fuller and speedy back Salvon Ahmed room to work with against a stingy, aggressive defense. This will be the first time the Huskies have been a home underdog since 2015. Head coach Chris Petersen has led U-Dub to victories in 22 of 24 in Seattle but may not have center Nick Harris, one of the country’s best at his position. The Ducks won’t have elite tight end Jacob Breeland. Steady rain is in the forecast.

LSU (-18.5/62) at Mississippi State, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: The Tigers have had no problems packing their prolific offense on both occasions they’ve hit the road this season, averaging 55.5 points in their wins over Texas and Vanderbilt. LSU’s next non-cover against an FBS foe will be its first since last season’s 72-70, seven-OT loss at Texas A&M, so Ed Orgeron has his group on quite the run. Joe Burrow LSU QB Joe Burrow is tied for second (+275) alongside Oklahoma’s Hurts in the latest Heisman odds update, trailing only Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa. He ranks first in the SEC in yards per game, completions and completion percentage and is on track to throw for over 4,000 yards while ranking second in rating and touchdown passes behind Tagovailoa.

Mississippi State has dropped three of four after being held to a season-low 10 points in falling at Tennessee. Kansas State has already won in Starkville this season, but Joe Moorhead is 8-2 in home games since taking over for Dan Mullen. LSU has won three of the last four in this SEC West Division series but fell 37-7 in its last trip into town. The Bulldogs are going to start freshman Garrett Shrader, who has endeared himself to the fan base with his toughness and ability to make plays with his feet and his arm. The first recruit of the Moorhead era, Shrader is expected to be the starter going forward and will look to team with RB Kylin Hill in moving the chains enough to play keepaway from powerful LSU.

Late-night Snacks

Boise State (-7/46) at BYU, 10:15 p.m. ET, ESPN: Although the Broncos haven’t made it official, the expectation is that freshman Hank Bachmeier may be too banged up to play after inuring his hip against Hawai’I last week. That sets the stage for Chase Cord to get more work after excelling in last week’s win, proving he’s back from a torn ACL. Senior Jaylon Henderson is also available to start on the road in Provo as Boise State looks to remain the top Group of Five team ahead of fellow unbeatens SMU and Appalachian State, but Cord is the most likely candidate to be out there as Boise State looks to post what would be just the third road win in 10 tries in this series. Boise won at BYU in ’17 and has won four of five, including the last three. With Zach Wilson sidelined by a thumb injury and Jaren Hall potentially not out of concussion protocol, freshman Baylor Romney or sophomore Joe Critchlow will start. The Cougars are 6-9 over their past 15 home games under head coach Kalani Sitake.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Winner: Purdue +18 Over Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, October 19, 2019


10/19 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET

CF (409) SAN DIEGO STATE VS (410) SAN JOSE STATE

Take: (409) SAN DIEGO STATE

Reason: Your free play for Saturday, October 19, 2019 is in the College football scheduled contest between San Diego State and San Jose State. Your free play is on San Diego State.