Saturday 10-19-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Dave Price

Oct 19 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Ball State
Play on: Ball State -1 -110 at Mirage

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Ball State -1
The Key: The Ball State Cardinals are flying under the radar as one of the best teams in the MAC this year. They are only 3-3, but their 3 losses were all impressive. They only lost by 10 at Indiana as 17.5-point dogs, by 11 at NC State as 19-point dogs, and lost 31-41 to FAU at home as 2.5-point dogs. They beat Fordham 57-29, upset Northern Illinois 27-20 as 4-point road dogs, and upset Eastern Michigan 29-23 as 1.5-point road dogs. So they’ve actually done a good job of getting to 3-3 because they have been a dog in 5 games. They opened as dogs against Toledo, but rightly so they have been bet to the favorite now. Toledo is coming off a 7-20 road loss at Bowling Green as 27-point favorites. The Rockets are one of the most overrated teams in the MAC, and that result clearly showed it because Bowling Green had been horrible previously. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take Ball State.

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Dustin Hawkins

Oct 19 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Central Michigan vs Bowling Green
Play on: Central Michigan -9½ -110 at jazz

1 Dimer on Central Michigan -9½ -110

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Stephen Nover

Oct 19 '19, 2:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | TCU vs Kansas State
Play on: TCU -3½ +100 at pinnacle

I admit that I would think twice about laying road points against Kansas State if Bill Snyder still were coaching the Wildcats. But he isn't. Chris Klieman is. It's his first season as head coach of the Wildcats. The jury remains out on Klieman, but we do know this: Kansas State has played two Big 12 games this season. The Wildcats are 0-2 losing, 26-13, to Oklahoma State as four-point road 'dogs and falling, 31-12, to Baylor as a one-point home 'dog. Both TCU and Kansas State were idle last week. I'll side with TCU's Gary Patterson. It's not just a coaching edge why I endorse the Horned Frogs. TCU has the stronger defense and far more explosive skill position players. Max Duggan has thrown nine TD passes without an interception. Darius Anderson is the second-leading rusher in the Big 12 and Jalen Reagor is one of the fastest and most talented wide receivers in the country. He is widely considered to be a top-five wide receiving pro prospect. Kansas State doesn't come close to matching that. The Wildcats run a slow-down, dink-and-dunk type offense. Their offensive line isn't good and QB Skylar Thompson is more runner than thrower with only five TD passes. The Wildcats lack speed at the skill position spots. Patterson traditionally has strong defensive teams. That's the case again this year. The Horned Frogs have the 17th-best run defense and 20th-top pass defense. Only 14 teams surrender fewer yards per game than TCU.

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Kenny Walker

Oct 19 '19, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | New Mexico vs Wyoming
Play on: New Mexico +19½ -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on New Mexico

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Steve Janus

Oct 19 '19, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | New Mexico vs Wyoming
Play on: UNDER 49½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on New Mexico vs Wyoming under 49½ -110
My money is on the UNDER 49.5, as I don't see these two MWC rivals getting to 50 points. Both of these teams are really limited offensively and like to run the football. I just don't see a lot of points being scored by either side. I think they will be lucky to get to 43. BET THE UNDER 49.5!

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Sal Michaels

Oct 19 '19, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Navy
Play on: Navy -14 -109 at GTBets

Free Play on Navy -14 -109

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John Martin

Oct 19 '19, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Cincinnati
Play on: Tulsa +17½ -109 at GTBets

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tulsa +17.5
I think it’s a good time to fade Cincinnati now that they have moved into the Top 25. They were fortunate to win each of their last two games against UCF and Houston, and I think they are feeling overconfident right about now. And they are laying a big number here to a feisty Tulsa team that has been impressive despite the 2-4 record. They played Michigan State to a 21-point game, Oklahoma State to a 19-point game and lost in overtime to SMU by 6 after blowing a 21-point lead on the road. Those three results alone against three teams that are better than Cincinnati show that Tulsa is capable of staying within this 17.5-point spread. Cincinnati was outgained by 82 yards in their 27-24 win over UCF at home. They were also outgained by 30 yards by a bad Houston team that was without two of their best players at QB and WR and fortunate to win that game last week. Houston turned the ball over 5 times, allowing the Bearcats to win 38-23 only after they tacked on a late touchdown. Philip Montgomery is 9-1 ATS in road games against a team with a winning record as the coach of the Golden Hurricane. Tulsa is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 road games. Give me Tulsa.

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Jack Jones

Oct 19 '19, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech
Play on: Southern Miss PK -110 at Mirage

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Southern Miss PK
Southern Miss was my pick to win their side of Conference USA, which is also the same side that Louisiana Tech resides in. And thus this could end up being the de facto division title game. And from what I’ve seen from both teams thus far, Southern Miss is the better team and should win this game Saturday afternoon.
Southern Miss is a veteran team that returned 16 starters this year. They have gone 4-2 against a tough schedule that ranks 104th in the country. You’d think it would rank higher than that considering they are 4-2 with their only losses coming on the road to Alabama and Mississippi State from the SEC West. They also won at Troy, and they have handled their business at home with three blowout victories.
Louisiana Tech is 5-1, but it has played the 153rd-ranked schedule in the country. The Bulldogs are way overvalued due to the ease of their schedule. They lost 14-45 to Texas is the opener, and they have won five straight against cupcakes since in Grambling, Bowling Green, FIU, Rice and UMass. And they even struggled to beat two of those teams, beating Grambling just 20-14 as 30-point home favorites, and topping Rice 23-20 as 8-point road favorites.
Southern Miss is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Louisiana Tech. I love Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham, who is completing 71.7% of his passes for 1,936 yards with a 12-to-4 TD/INT ratio on the season. He has also rushed for three touchdowns and is averaging 10.8 yards per attempt. He is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country.
Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Southern Miss) - off a home win by 17 points or more, with 4-plus more starters returning than their opponent are 35-11 (76.1%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. The Golden Eagles are the much more veteran team in this matchup and should have no problem winning their fifth straight in this series over Louisiana Tech. Bet Southern Miss Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Missouri vs Vanderbilt
Play on: OVER 55 -110

1* Free Play on Missouri/Vanderbilt over55 -110
The records of the #22 Missouri Tigers (5-1) and Vanderbilt Commodores (1-5) are perfect opposites through six games of the season. When these two squads face off on Saturday, the over/under will be set at 55 points.
Since a 37-31 loss to Wyoming to start the season, Missouri is a perfect 5-0 with wins over West Virginia, Ole Miss, and South Carolina. The Tigers have scored at least 31 in every game, and have reached a high of 50 points.
On average, the Tigers are scoring 39 points per game on 474 yards of offense while allowing 16 points per game on 262 yards.
With five pass catchers over 200 receiving yards, quarterback Kelly Bryant leads one of the better passing attacks in the nation. Completing 65% of his passes, Bryant has thrown for 1,575 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions.
Apart from a 24-18 win over Northern Illinois, Vanderbilt has gotten torched all season long. On average, Vanderbilt is scoring 18 points per game on 338 yards of offense while allowing 37 points per game on 482 yards.
Mizzou’s offense will be chomping at the bit to go up against a Vandy defense that’s given up 42 to Purdue, 66 to LSU, and 34 to UNLV.

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Mark Wilson

Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Charlotte vs Western Kentucky
Play on: Charlotte +10½ -110 at BMaker

Free Play on Charlotte +10½ -110
In a Conference-USA Matchup, Charlotte (2-4) heads on the road to take on Western Kentucky (4-2). Charlotte has the far better offense in this matchup, ranking 31st in total points, 28th in rushing, and 27th in yards per play. Western Kentucky ranks 107th, 126th, and 111th in those same categories. Five of Western Kentuckys six games have been decided by single digits. In a divisional matchup, this should be a closely contested game that sees Charlotte stay within the 10.5 point spread. The potent offense of Charlotte will keep this game close as they cover the spread.

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Rob Vinciletti

Oct 19 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Missouri vs Vanderbilt
Play on: Missouri -21 -107 at pinnacle

The College Football comp play for Saturday is on Missouri at 4;00 eastern. Missouri has a top 20 offense and a top 5 defense. They have covered 4 straight after allowing 200+ yards rushing and 9 of 12 vs losing teams. They should have no trouble with a Vanderbilt team that lost here to an inept UNLV Squad by 24 as a 16 point favorite. That loss sets up a 32-10 play against system that pertains to game 4 or later home dogs with a win percentage of .666 or less off a -3.5 or higher home favored loss by 12 or more. With Missouri coach Odom covering 7 of 9 as a favorite of 13 or more we will make it Missouri today. For the College football free play. Take the Missouri Tigers- RV- GC

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Alex Smart

Oct 19 '19, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs Utah
Play on: Utah -13½ -104 at pinnacle

The Arizona State Sun Devils upset the Utah Utes, 38-20, as 7-point dogs last season, and now Utah has revenge on board. It must be noted that HC Whittingham when seeking revenge and simultaneously getting a win, is 14-0 ATS L/14 opportunities. Meanwhile, Arizona State 5-1 on the season is off a back and forth underdog win vs Washington State last time out winning on their final drive of the game, and now will be in an emotional letdown situation vs an explosive opponent with a vendetta to achieve. Utah has out yarded their opposition by 194 Ypg and have held five teams to season low yards. More of the same over powering one way action is on tap here according to my projections.
CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UTAH) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 39-12 ATS L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Utah Utes to cover

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Totals Guru

Oct 19 '19, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Rice vs UTSA
Play on: UNDER 45 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Rice vs UTSA under 45 -110

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Andre Ramirez

Oct 19 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Army vs Georgia State
Play on: Georgia State +5 -110 at sportsbook

CFB 100 DIME GAME
GEORGIA ST +5
Georgia State's defense is not the best, but they have a really good run game, and they have looking strong in the last 2 games.
Army defense has looked unbalanced and they have struggled in stopping the run. Expect both teams to utilize the run, and put up some major points.
I like the air attack of Georgia St, and they have a big advantage of hitting side out receivers.
Georgia St. is 12-3 ATS in October, and I like Georgia St. to pull the upset here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Oct 19 '19, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -8½ -112 at BMaker

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Penn State -8.5)
I know the Wolverines have righted the ship with 3 straight wins since that ugly 35-14 loss at Wisconsin, but two of those were against the two Big 10 bottom feeders in Rutgers and Illinois. The other was a 10-3 win at home against Iowa in a game they probably lose if the Hawkeyes take better care of the ball.
We have seen Michigan go up against two really good defenses in Wisconsin and Iowa and do next to nothing. I just don’t see them scoring enough to keep this within the number. Michigan ranks 84th in the country in total offense at just 387.4 ypg. Penn State ranks 4th in the country in total defense, giving up just 259.6 ypg.
Wolverines have not shown they can pass the ball against against good teams and that’s a problem cause the Nittany Lions defensive line is the real deal. They are 3rd in the country against the run, giving up just 53.8 yards/game.
This is a night game and will be Penn State’s white out game, which they have really thrived in, especially against the number. Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 and have covered 3 straight. Give me the Nittany Lions -8.5!