Sunday 10-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 07:34 AM

Paul Leiner

Three NFL picks 10/20

100* Saints +4
100* Seahawks -3
100* Dolphins +17

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:04 AM

JOE D'AMICO
San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Redskins (NFL) - Oct 20, 2019 1:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -9.5/-110 San Francisco 49ers Rating: 7* Joe D's FREE NFL WINNER
Last Sunday, I went 5-1 (6-1 w/ PKGS) and got everyone RICH! This Sunday, I DO IT AGAIN as I have this FREE WINNER, my AFC SOUTH GAME OF THE MONTH and my NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. We don't need tons of games, just 3 BIG WINNERS. I am 5-2 this NFL campaign with my GAMES OF THE MONTH. Follow the best big game hunter in the business, all the way to the bank. Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: San Francisco 49ers. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Can you say, "Let Down?" This is a tough spot for Washington, which comes in here after notching their first win of the season. But, this is still a team riding a five-game no cover streak. Granted, San Francisco is a bit banged-up, but they have won their last five outings SU and are just a FG away from covering every outing in 2019. They are money the road, going 3-0 SU and ATS, outscoring hosts, by 17.0 PPG. Their No. 2 rushing offense will steamroll the soft, front seven of the Redskins (28th vs. the rush), while the 49ers second ranked defense (12.8 PPG allowed) will completely shut down the NFL's 30th ranked offense. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five games played at Washington. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:04 AM

Betting Recap - Week 6
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 6 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-7
Against the Spread 4-9

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-7
Against the Spread 6-7

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-6

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 53-36-1
Against the Spread 36-52-2

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 40-49-1
Against the Spread 33-55-2

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 43-47

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Jets (+7, ML +280) vs. Cowboys, 24-22
Steelers (+6, ML +230) at Chargers, 24-17
Texans (+3.5, ML +170) at Chiefs, 31-24
49ers (+3, ML +145) at Rams, 20-7
Cardinals (+3, ML +140) vs. Falcons, 34-33
Saints (+2.5, ML +130) at Jaguars, 13-6

The largest favorite to cover
Patriots (-17) vs. Giants, 35-14
Vikings (-3.5) vs. Eagles, 38-20
Panthers (-2) vs. Buccaneers, 37-26

Kyle Style

-- The Carolina Panthers (-2) had to go overseas for a little revenge on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a 37-26 score behind QB Kyle Allen, who is quickly becoming a hero in Charlotte. The Panthers were 0-2 SU/ATS after a Week 2 loss against the Bucs at Bank of America Stadium, as QB Cam Newton tried to fight through a foot injury, but couldn't be very effective. After that game the braintrust elected to rest Newton in Week 3 for a game in Arizona, and the rest is history. Allen has led the team to victories in Glendale, Houston, at home in Charlotte, and now in London, going 4-0 SU/ATS since taking over under center in Week 3.

He may or may not be the future in Charlotte, but the more he wins, the more cloudy the future of Newton gets with the Panthers. Carolina now heads into a bye next week, followed by a trip to meet the unbeaten San Francisco 49ers. A win at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, and Newton might not see the field again in 2019.

Teddy Slams

-- The New Orleans Saints were expected to be in trouble after losing QB Drew Brees (thumb) in Week 2 in L.A. The timetable for Brees' return was six-to-eight weeks. Many talking heads felt that if the Saints were able to simply tread water and go 3-3 in the absence of Brees, they'd be positions well for a stretch run to the playoffs. QB Teddy Bridgewater and the defense have had other ideas.

Since losing Brees the Saints have rolled up a 4-0 SU/ATS record, winning on the road in Week 3 against the Seattle Seahawks, at home on Sunday Night Football against the Dallas Cowboys, at home in a divisional battle with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and now a grind-it-out road win against the Jacksonville Jaguars, 13-6. The Saints are allowing just 13.3 PPG over the past three games, as the defense has stepped up with the offense a bit inconsistent. They'd done more than tread water without Brees, they have parked themselves in first place atop the NFC South standings. Who would have thought Allen and Bridgewater would be the QBs of the top two teams in the NFC South?

Total Recall

-- The highest total on the board was the Houston Texans-Kansas City Chiefs (54.5) battle, one of three games with a line listed over 50. The Texans-Chiefs games was lucky to go over. With 6:17 remaining in regulation, the Texans scored a touchdown to take a 29-24 lead. They went for the two-point conversion and successfully converted, posting a win across the board for the 'over'. The Atlanta Falcons-Arizona Cardinals (52.5) battle had the most total points of any game this weekend, as the Cards won 34-33. There might have been even more points, too, if PK Matt Bryant didn't misfire on an extra point late.

The San Francisco 49ers-Los Angeles Rams (50) divisional battle never came close to threatening the 'over', however, as the 49ers defense continues to be legit. They held QB Jared Goff under 100 passing yards, and it also helped that RB Todd Gurley (thigh) was sidelined. The 49ers won 20-7, and their games are worth watching in future weeks for high lines, as Vegas doesn't seem to trust their defense yet.

-- On the flip side, the lowest total on the board was the Tennessee Titans-Denver Broncos (41) game. The Titans failed to score in the 16-0 loss, and head coach Mike Vrabel pulled QB Marcus Mariota in favor of Ryan Tannehill, but it made no difference. The three games with lines of 42.5 -- New Orleans Saints-Jacksonville Jaguars (19 total points), Washington Redskins-Miami Dolphins (33 total points) and Pittsburgh Steelers-Los Angeles Chargers (41 total points) each hit the 'under'.

-- The 'over/under' went 1-1 in the first two primetime games of Week 6, with the Monday Night Football contest between the Detroit Lions-Green Bay Packers (45.5) battle) pending. The 'over' is 5-13 (27.8%) during the early 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs. The 'under' is a perfect 7-0 for Sunday Night Football this season, and 3-1 in the past four MNF outings.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Cowboys WR Amari Cooper (quadriceps) exited early against the Jets and was unable to return. WRs Tavon Austin and Michael Gallup are tasked with picking up the slack.

-- Seahawks TE Will Dissly (Achilles) exited early against the Browns and was unable to return.

Looking Ahead

-- The Chiefs and Broncos hook up on Thursday Night Football, and Kansas City is on a two-game slide, and 0-3 ATS skid. On the flip side, the Broncos have turned things around with two straight wins and covers thanks for a suffocating defense, including a Week 6 shutout.

-- The Jaguars travel to meet the Bengals, and the shine of rookie QB Gardner Minshew has rubbed off a bit for Jacksonville. They're 0-2 SU/ATS over the past two. The Bengals, however, are 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS, and they're averaging a dismal 13.8 PPG, although they have posted 20.0 PPG in two games at home.

-- The Bills are returning from a bye, and they face the winless Dolphins. Buffalo is 4-1 SU/ATS, with their only loss to the Patriots in Week 5. Buffalo has hit the 'under' in all five outings, the only team yet to see an 'over' result. The Dolphins have hit four straight 'under' results, too.

-- The Falcons host the Rams, and Atlanta's defense is in shambles. They have allowed 20 or more points in all six of their games, and 24 or more points in four in a row, and five of six overall. In the past two games Atlanta is averaging 32.5 PPG while allowing 43.0 PPG. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in the past six, and they have failed to cover four in a row.

-- The Texans and Colts square off in Indianapolis. Houston has won four of the past five overall, and they're averaging 42.0 PPG across the past two games while allowing 28.0 PPG. The Colts will be well rested, coming off a bye following their Week 5 win in Kansas City.

-- The Eagles and Cowboys meet on Sunday Night Football, and the Cowboys are on a three-game skid. After opening 3-0 SU/ATS, the Cowboys are 0-3 SU/ATS. The combined record of their first three opponents is 3-14 SU, so perhaps their start wasn't as impressive as it appeared.

-- The Patriots and Jets meet on Monday Night Football, the second meeting of these rivals already this season. The Jets fell 30-14 at Gillette Stadium on Sept. 22 with QB Luke Falk under center. He isn't even with the team any longer, as QB Sam Darnold is back from illness. It will be interesting to see how the Jets build upon their upset of the Cowboys.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:05 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Sunday, October 20

Jacksonville @ Cincinnati

Game 461-462
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
130.558
Cincinnati
122.381
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 8
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-3); Under

Miami @ Buffalo

Game 455-456
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.878
Buffalo
135.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 22 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 16 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-16 1/2); Over

LA Rams @ Atlanta

Game 463-464
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
131.294
Atlanta
125.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-3); Under

Oakland @ Green Bay

Game 459-460
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
131.651
Green Bay
135.031
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 3 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+7); Over

Houston @ Indianapolis

Game 453-454
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
134.818
Indianapolis
138.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
48
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(-1); Over

Arizona @ NY Giants

Game 451-452
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
124.612
NY Giants
124.694
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
Even
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3
49
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3); Under

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 465-466
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
142.152
Washington
118.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 24
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 10
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-10); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 457-458
October 20, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
139.209
Detroit
133.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1
44
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+1); Over

LA Chargers @ Tennessee

Game 467-468
October 20, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
127.169
Tennessee
130.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 3
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-1); Over

Baltimore @ Seattle

Game 469-470
October 20, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.202
Seattle
132.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+3 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Chicago

Game 471-472
October 20, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
136.518
Chicago
133.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Dallas

Game 473-474
October 20, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
132.670
Dallas
128.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+3); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:05 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Sunday, October 20

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ARIZONA (2 - 3 - 1) at NY GIANTS (2 - 4) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (4 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 2) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 5) at BUFFALO (4 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (4 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 2 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (3 - 2) at GREEN BAY (5 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 111-83 ATS (+19.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 195-141 ATS (+39.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 4) at CINCINNATI (0 - 6) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (3 - 3) at ATLANTA (1 - 5) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 197-242 ATS (-69.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 197-242 ATS (-69.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 142-191 ATS (-68.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 5) - 10/20/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (2 - 4) at TENNESSEE (2 - 4) - 10/20/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 30-6 ATS (+23.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 118-157 ATS (-54.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (4 - 2) at SEATTLE (5 - 1) - 10/20/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 39-62 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 2) - 10/20/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 3) at DALLAS (3 - 3) - 10/20/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:05 AM

NFL

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report

Sunday, October 20

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Washington Redskins
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Giants is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
NY Giants is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
NY Giants is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 12 games when playing Arizona
NY Giants is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
NY Giants is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 2-7-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing NY Giants
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Arizona is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indianapolis's last 23 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Indianapolis is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Houston is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Cincinnati is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Jacksonville
Cincinnati is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 5-11-2 ATS in its last 18 games
Jacksonville is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games
Jacksonville is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Jacksonville is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 25 games at home
Buffalo is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games on the road
Miami is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing LA Rams
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Rams is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Rams is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Rams's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing LA Chargers
Tennessee is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Chargers is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
LA Chargers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Tennessee
LA Chargers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Tennessee

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 15 games
New Orleans is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:05 AM

NFL Week 7 opening odds and early moves: Who will bettors trust in Eagles-Cowboys?
Patrick Everson

The NFL steams ahead to Week 7, which features an NFC East clash among two teams trying to figure out which one wants this division. We check in on the opening odds and early action for that contest and three others, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT DALLAS COWBOYS (-3)

Dallas looked great in the first three weeks, albeit against lightweight competition, but has since dropped three in a row. In Week 6, the Cowboys (3-3 SU and ATS) faced another lightweight in the New York Jets, yet stunningly trailed 21-6 at halftime. Dak Prescott & Co. rallied before falling short 24-22 as 7-point road favorites.

Philadelphia saw its modest two-game SU and ATS win streak halted in Week 6. The Eagles (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) went to Minnesota as 3.5 point underdogs and fell behind 24-3 midway through the second quarter, rallied to within 24-20 in the third, but ultimately lost 38-20.

The line stayed at the opener of Cowboys -3 (even) through Sunday evening.

“Both teams struggled today,” Murray said late Sunday night. “Dallas is just not the same team, with the injuries on its offensive line. Action should be very split.”

And the game will have a few more hours to be bet into, as it’s the Sunday night contest.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS AT CHICAGO BEARS (-3.5)

New Orleans lost Drew Brees to a thumb injury in a Week 2 road setback to the Rams, but hasn’t lost a game since then, going 4-0 SU and ATS behind Teddy Bridgewater and a sturdy defense. The Saints (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) stumped Jacksonville 13-6 as 2.5-point road ‘dogs in Week 6.

Chicago should come in well-rested after a Week 6 bye, following a Week 5 London trip. That excursion didn’t go well at all, with the Bears (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) losing to Oakland 24-21 laying 6.5 points.

“We opened Bears -3.5, and it has since been pushed up to -4,” Murray said. “This should be highest-volume game of the week, besides the Sunday night game. The Bears are a super public team, but there will be Saints support as well.”

HOUSTON TEXANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (PICK)

It’s a battle between teams that went on the road and beat Kansas City over the past two weeks, with Houston the latest victor. The Texans (4-2 SU and ATS) went to Arrowhead Stadium as 3.5-point pups, fell behind 17-3, then came back to post a 31-24 outright win.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis got its bye week after springing a big upset at Arrowhead. The Colts (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS), who got a jolt late in preseason when Andrew Luck retired, were 10.5-point Week 5 ‘dogs against Kansas City, but stunningly notched a 19-13 victory.

“The line is now up to -1.5 on the Colts,” Murray said. “Houston has been a great road team in recent years, but the Colts are playing well and getting healthy off their bye week.”

BALTIMORE RAVENS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-4)

After an unexpected Week 3 loss to Drew Brees-less New Orleans, Seattle rebounded strong with three straight wins. In Week 6, the Seahawks (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) went off as 1-point ‘dogs at Cleveland, rallied from a 20-6 second-quarter deficit and snared a 32-28 victory.

Baltimore is 4-2 SU, but hasn’t covered the number since Week 1, dropping five in a row to stand 1-5 ATS. The Ravens gave up a late touchdown in Sunday’s 23-17 home win over Cincinnati, failing to cash as 10.5-point favorites.

“The Ravens have made a habit of beating up bad teams. And Seattle just keeps winning,” Murray said. “There should be good two-way action in this game.”

Early signs pointed to just that, as the Seahawks dipped to -3.5 a minute after the number went up, then went back to -4 a minute later.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:06 AM

Road Teams: 56-35-1 ATS
Home Teams: 35-56-1 ATS

Favorites: 35-56-1 ATS
Underdogs: 56-35-1 ATS

Home Faves: 20-41-1 ATS
Home Dogs: 15-15 ATS

Road Faves: 15-15 ATS
Road Dogs: 41-20-1 ATS

O/U: 43-49

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:06 AM

NFL's Top ATS Teams:

t1. 'Niners 4-1 ATS
t1. Bills 4-1 ATS
t1. Lions 4-1 ATS
4. Colts 3-1-1 ATS
t5. Patriots, Packers, Saints, Panthers, Texans, Vikings, Rams, Cardinals and Steelers tied at 4-2 ATS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:06 AM

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

t30. Redskins 1-5 ATS
t30. Falcons 1-5 ATS
t30. Ravens 1-5 ATS
t28. Dolphins 1-4 ATS
t28. Chargers 1-4-1 ATS
t23. Titans, Buccaneers, Giants, Browns and Eagles tied at 2-4 ATS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:07 AM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 7 odds: Play it cool and catch a better spread on the Colts
Jason Logan

With all the attention on the Houston Texans, bettors may forget the Indianapolis Colts are also coming off a win over the Kansas City Chiefs.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL board each week.

After a few weeks featuring some stranger dead numbers, the Week 7 board is littered with lines sitting around the key pointspread digits. Getting the extra half point up or down can be huge, as the numbers get tighter near the midway mark of the schedule.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (+3) AT DALLAS COWBOYS

Both the Cowboys and Eagles took “L’s” on the weekend, but Dallas dropping a game to the then-winless Jets holds a lot more swing with bettors than Philadelphia falling flat to the Vikings.

The line opened with the host as a field-goal favorite, but early money pushed that down as low as -2.5 at some books, while most just adjusted their vig on the Cowboys. Dallas -3 is floating around out there between EVEN money and +105, as bookies try to entice some action on America’s Team.

Both teams have injuries piling up, but the Cowboys have big names landing on the report this week, including top WR Amari Cooper, who joins starting lineman Tyron Smith and La’el Collins. Those bodies were missed in the loss to the Jets Sunday and their status for Week 7 will change the spread and total.

This is projected to be the most heavily-bet game of Week 7, with over 90 percent of that money coming in on Sunday. If you like the Eagles in this divisional showdown Sunday night, you may want to grab Philly as a field-goal pup now – based on what we’re seeing with the juice.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: HOUSTON TEXANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1, 47.5)

The Texans are the talk of the league after a thrilling come-from-behind win at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, beating the Chiefs 31-24. Now, Houston stays on the highway for an important AFC South showcase in Indianapolis, taking on a Colts team which also went to K.C. and stole a road win in Week 5.

Indianapolis beat the Chiefs 19-13 before enjoying a much-need bye week last Sunday. Oddsmakers sent out the Colts as high as -2 but money on the Texans has slimmed this spread to Indy -1. The time off allowed the Colts to get healthy, especially skill players WR T.Y. Hilton and RB Marlon Mack who have been battling through ailments, but also pushes them out of the goldfish-like memory of the betting public.

Houston, on the other hand, is front and center in the minds of bettors with a sexy high-powered offense totaling 84 points the past two games. If you’re leaning with Indianapolis in this divisional game, wait and see if the line keeps trending toward the Texans. You may get a pick or better with the Colts.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT DETRIOT LIONS OVER 45

The Vikings were probably the most impressive offense in Week 6, showing that they can not only run the ball down your throat, but they’ll also burn your butt with the pass game. Kirk Cousins finally earned a paycheck with 333 yards and four passing touchdowns in a 38-20 home win over Philadelphia.

Minnesota marches that momentum into Motown, where the Detroit Lions are sour off a road loss at Green Bay Monday night. While they only managed 22 points against the Cheeseheads, the Lions have put up some large scores in 2019, including a 34-30 loss in their last game inside Ford Field.

This total opened as low as 44 and is starting to climb, with some books already up to 46 points. If you expect plenty of points from these NFC North foes, get on the Over now – with most books still dealing 45 or 45.5.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS OVER 41.5

It’s a first-versus-worst battle in the NFC when the undefeated 49ers cross the country to play the 1-5 Redskins. The Niners are one of the better two-way teams in the league right now, allowing only 12.8 points per game, while Washington is trapped in QB hell and putting up just 15 points per outing.

It’s no surprise this Over/Under is sinking like a stone, falling from 42.5 to 41 points as of Tuesday morning. There’s a lot pushing the total down: it's a second straight road game for the 49ers, a 1 p.m. ET (10 a.m. PT) start time in D.C., the No. 2 ranked defense in yards and points allowed, and a home side that is dedicated to the run without a true No. 1 QB, and that managed only 17 points against a Dolphins team allowing 36 points against per game. Sprinkle in some possible rain for FedExField, and there’s no reason why this number can’t go sub-40 before Sunday.

But if you’re among the contrarians who see value in the Over for this game - I guess, putting all your faith in San Francisco to score 40-plus points - wait it out because this number should continue to crash throughout the week.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:07 AM

By Bruce Marshall

SUNDAY, OCT. 20
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at NY GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards have actually covered 3 in a row on the road since late 2018. G-Men were 1-4-1 last six as chalk entering 2019 but 1-0 in role TY (vs. Skins). NY 1-4 vs. line last five at MetLife.
Tech Edge: slight to Cards, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Indy won and covered last two vs. Texans LY including wild card, though note road team won and covered all three meetings. Texans 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 away. Colts however on 7-2 spread run last nine reg season. Houston “over” 4-1-1 last six away.
Tech Edge: Slight to Texans and “over,” based on team and “totals” trend.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MIAMI at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Matt Moore is only Dolphins QB to win or cover in Buffalo last eight years (2011, 2016); otherwise Bills have covered all six. Dolphins no covers seven of last eight on board since late 2018. Bills 6-1 last 7 vs. points since late 2018. Buffalo “under” last five and 7 of last 8 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MINNESOTA at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vikes 2-5 last 7 vs. line on road, though have won and covered last two at Ford Field and last three overall vs. Lions. Zimmer “under” 18-6-1 since late 2017 and “unders” 5-1 last six in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at GREEN BAY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gruden has now won and covered last two away after 1-8 mark previous nine away. Raiders also “over” last three after “under” 5-0-1 preceding six. Pack 4-2 vs. line TY after Monday vs. Lions.
Tech Edge: Slight to Pack, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
JACKSONVILLE at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Minshew 3-2 vs. line as Jags starter. Bengals 1-7 vs. spread last 8 at Paul Brown. Bengals “under” 6-2-2 last eleven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Jags and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
L.A. RAMS at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs 1-5 vs. line TY, 3-11 last 14 vs. spread since mid 2018. Falcs also 2-9 last 11 as dog. Rams lost last 2 TY but 6-2 vs. points last 8 reg season games.
Tech Edge: Rams, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SAN FRANCISCO at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Opposite ends of 2019 spectrum, SF 5-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line, Skins 1-5 SU and 1-5 vs. line. Skins 0-3 vs. line at home TY, no covers last five at FedEx.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
L.A. CHARGERS at TENNESSEE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Bolts 1-5 vs. line TY but they are 8-1 vs. line last nine as visitor in reg season outside LA city limits. Charger also 7-1 “under” reg season since late 2018. Titans no covers last 3 or 5 of last 7 as Nashville and "under" last 5 in 2019.
Tech Edge: Chargers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Harbaugh has covered last six as underdog and 5-1 vs. spread last six away. Carroll no covers last four at home. Ravens “over” 5-2 last seven reg season, Hawks “over” 11-3 last 14 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at CHICAGO (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Saints covers last four TY, 8-3 last eleven vs. points away. Bears 9-2 last 11 vs. spread reg season at Soldier Field. Chicago “under” 9-2 last 11 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Birds have lost and failed to cover last three in series. Philly “over” 7-3 last ten since late 2018. Dallas was on 9-1-1 spread run reg season prior to Ls last three.
Tech Edge: Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

MONDAY, OCT. 21
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ENGLAND at N.Y. JETS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Jets covered first meeting Sept. 22 and 5-1 vs. spread last six vs. Belichick at MetLife. “Unders” 6-1 last seven meetings (barely “over” Sept. 22). Belichick “under” 12-3 last 15 reg season.
Tech Edge: Jets and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:07 AM

by: Josh Inglis

DOWN JONES: STOCK SLIPPING

The Arizona Cardinals rank third-last in passing yards allowed through six weeks but will be getting some help Sunday in the form of eight-time All-Pro corner Patrick Peterson, who is finished serving his six-game suspension.

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has seen his passing yards decreased in each of his first four NFL starts as perhaps teams are adjusting to the rookie and the injuries to key skilled players take their toll.

Either way, his stock is pointing in the wrong direction. To make things worse, Jones’ No.1 receiver Sterling Shepard will likely be out after dealing with his second concussion this year and is still in the league’s protocol. Look for the Giants to work the middle of the field with Golden Tate and Evan Engram as the outside lacks talent and will see Peterson in coverage.

Engram will get his yards as the Cardinals are allowing a league-worst 99.7 yards to TEs this year. But after that, we don’t see Jones doing much damage. With Arizona being the No. 1 matchup for fantasy QBs, we may be getting an inflated number for Jones’ passing yards total. We are playing the Under on 255.5 yards.

GET OVER IT

Yesterday, we wrote about backing the Los Angeles Rams’ Jared Goff in a bounce-back spot and today we’re staying on the Rams and Atlanta Falcons game as we look at two teams that are giving up over 620 yards passing combined over the last three weeks.

With the week’s highest total at a robust 54.5 points, both teams will have to keep their punters on the sideline for this game to hit 55. The Rams defense has been doing its best to keep opponents’ drives alive, allowing third-down conversions at a 47.5-percent rate and are tied for second-to-last in penalties allowed. The Falcons have been even worse, ranked last in the league in opponents’ third-down conversion rate at 57 percent.

Pushing this lean for us is the fact that both teams have been scoring touchdowns lately when inside the 20-yard line. The Birds are getting six points on two-thirds of their red-zone trips over the last three weeks while the Rams sit at 64 percent. We are backing the Over 54.5.

THE COLEMAN RULE

The San Francisco 49ers are 5-0 thanks in part to a defense that ranks first in passing yards per game, tops in rushing TDs allowed, and second in yards per game, passer rating against, first-downs per game, and points per game. This defense has also been helped by a Niners’ rushing attack averaging 180 yards game and leads the league in rushes per game.

Kyle Shanahan’s running back committee has been a pretty even timeshare in Weeks 1 through 5, but Telvin Coleman played 55 percent of the snaps last week which was the single most snaps played by a 49ers running back this year.

Coleman managed 20 touches in his second game back from injury last week and saw all of San Francisco's red-zone looks, for five carries and one target with a score. That’s great news for Coleman backers as the 49ers are also averaging the second-most rushing TDs per game.

We are taking Coleman’s anytime TD as that 49ers defense and run game will dominate the Washington Redskins, who are probably still celebrating their Week 6 win over the Dolphins.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2019, 09:07 AM

NFL Week 7 cheat sheet: Impact injuries, weather, Pros vs Joes and more
Patrick Everson

New Orleans running back Alvin Kamara, even more important during Drew Brees' absence, won't play Sunday at Chicago. The Saints are now 4-point underdogs in a key NFC clash at Soldier Field.

NFL Week 7 has a dozen Sunday games, followed by a Monday nighter in the shadow of the Big Apple. We check in on everything from injury updates to weather to Pros vs. Joes clashes and more, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

INJURY IMPACT

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: The most noteworthy injury news emerging from Friday was that running back Alvin Kamara (knee, ankle) will not play Sunday at Chicago. “We moved a full point on this one, and dropped the total by 2 points,” Wilkinson said. The Saints opened +4, quickly tightened to +3, then rose to +4 by Friday afternoon, mostly on the Kamara update. The total moved from 39 early in the week to 37 Friday.

CHICAGO BEARS: Quarterback Mitch Trubisky missed Chicago’s Week 5 loss to Oakland, in a game played in London. But after a Week 6 bye, there’s a chance Trubisky returns Sunday from a separated shoulder/slight torn labrum. He’s listed as questionable at home against New Orleans. “It looks like he’s gonna play now,” Wilkinson said, noting that was part of the calculus – along with the Saints’ Kamara being out – in going from Bears -3.5 to -4 Friday.

GREEN BAY PACKERS: Wideout Davante Adams (toe) is out for the second straight game, as he won’t play at home Sunday against Oakland. “Green Bay picked up running back Ryan Grant recently, so we didn’t adjust the line based off the Adams injury. However, the line has dropped 2 full points this week, to Packers -4.5.” Adams’ absence didn’t impact the total, either, as it remained at 47, where it’s been since Tuesday, after opening at 46.5.

DALLAS COWBOYS: Wideout Amari Cooper (ankle, quad) is questionable for the Sunday night showdown against the visiting Eagles. But that didn’t move the needle Friday at The SuperBook, where the line remained Dallas -2.5, with a total of 49.

NEW YORK GIANTS: Running back Saquon Barkley (ankle) missed three games, but he wasn’t even on Friday’s injury report, so he is fully expected to play Sunday against the visiting Cardinals. “We moved from Giants -2.5 to -3 on the Barkley news.”

LOS ANGELES RAMS: Todd Gurley (quad) is another running back set to return, after missing last week’s home loss to the 49ers. “No move for Gurley, because we already expected it.” The Rams are 3-point favorites at Atlanta, with a total of 55.

Weather Watch

BALTIMORE AT SEATTLE: There’s a 66 percent chance of rain for this Sunday showdown. “We always keep rain in mind when there’s a game in Seattle, so this total is lower than it would be somewhere else,” Wilkinson said of a number that opened at 49.5, peaked at 50.5, then dropped 2 points to 48.5. “It would be more than 50 on a dry field.”

SAN FRANCISCO AT WASHINGTON: The D.C. area is highly likely to see Sunday showers, with an 87 percent chance of rain at FedEx Field. “The total dropped 2.5 points to 40.5 due to the weather.” The spread remained at 49ers -9.5. “It possibly could’ve been 10 in good weather.”

ARIZONA AT NEW YORK GIANTS: There’s a 51 percent chance of rain Sunday at MetLife Stadium, but The SuperBook made no adjustments. The Giants are at -3, with a total of 50.5.

Pros vs. Joes

HOUSTON AT INDIANAPOLIS: The SuperBook opened this game at pick and moved to Colts -1.5. “The pros are on the Colts, but the Joes are betting the Texans. The Texans beat the Chiefs, so the public thinks they’re great, but that was an injured Patrick Mahomes. The sharps think the Colts at home are the better team.”

NEW ENGLAND AT NEW YORK JETS: This line bounced between 9.5 and 10 a few times within the first two hours of opening on Sunday, then settled at Patriots -9.5 all week. “Pros are betting the Jets, but the Joes are always betting the Patriots. Sam Darnold has the Jets’ offense moving, and they are looking to upset their division rival at home.”

Reverse Line Moves

HOUSTON AT INDIANAPOLIS: Wilkinson said Pros vs. Joes contests often lead to reverse line moves, as well. That’s the case here, with more money on the Texans, but respected cash on the Colts leading The SuperBook to move the line from pick to Indy -1.5.

NEW ENGLAND AT NEW YORK JETS: It’s the same story here. Per usual, there’s more money on the Patriots, but respected money on the Jets at +10 has this line stuck at New England -9.5, rather than increasing beyond the key number.

NEW ORLEANS AT CHICAGO: Wilkinson said there’s a case to be made that this matchup falls into the category of reverse line move. “The straight bets are pretty even, but we do have more parlay money on the Saints, and the line has gone the opposite direction.”

Sunday 10-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 10-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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