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8:07 PM EST(Bob Balfe) VIP
Rotation #903-904
Nationals +160 over Astros
Nationals/Astros Over 7 runs
Strasburg/Verlander
There are people that just don’t want to believe the Nationals are capable of winning a World Series. This team is getting timely hitting with 2 outs in innings and can hit the long ball. There is no pitcher in the playoffs that gives up the long ball more than Verlander. I think taking this game with the over makes it a safe bet. The Nationals Bullpen is their weakest link and the Astros almost busted out of the hole they were in as they missed a game tying homerun by inches. I think Washington has a little magic and very well could get another win tonight. Take the Nationals +160 and Over 7 runs.
Game: (509) Chicago Bulls at (510) Charlotte Hornets Date/Time: Oct 23 2019 7:05 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Westgate Play Rating: 4% Play: Total Under 217.0 (-110)
This total is fine and I'm sure the bookmaker who first came up with the number crunching to post this, before copycatting took place, wasn't trying to make an Ooops...but 217 for these 2 teams sure is confusing. Who of the 10 main players starting this game will be the go to scorer beside maybe Lavine?
This number with its tight spread implies one of these teams is going to need to be north of 110 and this is where I find this the best spot for the totals on the slate tonight.
Gauging how a team will play in certain places and how the pace and shooting and defense will all coalesce is a learning experience...and scoring goes up and up and up and Overs are HUGE to start a season...even more reason I think this total is the most bloate possibly of the night from a Vegas standpoint.
Any further proof needed...this opened at 218 has received more than half the bets on the Over yet is dropping below 217 as we speak...not only is the money going oppo this Over play...but it is the smart money as well! This includes US
Game: (523) Sacramento Kings at (524) Phoenix Suns Date/Time: Oct 23 2019 10:05 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: William Hill Play Rating: 4% Play: Phoenix Suns 2.0 (-110)
So the Suns have been quite bad for a while now...despite the picks and rosters they've put together they continue to drop further in an increasingly difficult Western Conference. The Kings, on the other hand, are remembered from last season as being a fringe playoff team in the West and shocking many many pundits and fans. Lo and behold it was not meant to be, but on the heels of a solid, almost there season, they added Luke Walton as their head coach and Dedmon to be the big man in the middle and a healthy Bagley and Giles for hopefully most of the season. They signed Barnes long-term and continue to have a very exciting and dynamic back court consisting of both speed and shooting prowess.
Meanwhile the Suns went out and got themselves the PG they have needed to pair with stud scoring monster Devin Booker, and with Rubio running the point for the Suns, even with the West getting EVEN tougher, I expect the Suns to be able to add wins to the tally from last season. Ayton will now be in his second year, they held onto Oubre and combine him with Mikal Bridges will be an excellent 6th man option. Dario Saric is a very underrated 4 in this offense and is dangerous inside and out of the paint, and additions of bigs Kaminsky and Baynes will help spell Ayton, who together with Saric and Baynes, likely dominates the paint in a matchup with Dewayne Dedmon and Marvin Bagley down low.
This line is certainly a measure of how folks will look to last season to place their wagers when nothing is "known" yet regarding the 2020 season version of each team. Both squads have somewhat of a new look and are headed by a new coach on the floor. The home team getting a bucket in this matchup of 2 teams where I actually favor the home team's roster and outlook to have been the chalk in this matchup is too good to pass up...and were this a 3 point spread it would absolutely be a 5% PLAY!
Game: (61) Detroit Red Wings at (62) Ottawa Senators Date/Time: Oct 23 2019 7:35 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Westgate Play Rating: 4% Play: Total Under 6.5 (-120)
Red Wings on no rest and travel and off a TERRIBLE 3rd period allowing the Canucks to throw up 5 goals just in the final 20 minute frame! The Red Wings had a nice hot start to the season and Mantha was going OFF early, but has completely cooled off from the hot start and the Sens are also on rest despite a poor showing in a 2-1 loss to the Stars.
It is likely going to be Nilsson for the home Ottawa squad in the crease tonight and is the better option, as well as a solid option to stop a struggling offense...and with the Wings on a back to back it should be Bernier for them in the crease...also a slightly better option than Jimmy Howard.
The Senators are just as weak with regard to the power play units as are the Wings...but Ottawa is even better with penalty killing than they are with the power play and same for the Red Wings. Ottawa has the second lowest xGF% at just 43% and the Wings are not a whole lot better still below the 50% mark, while each also having a well below 99 PDO rating.
3-2 feels like the ceiling for this game, and maybe even in OT tonight...but this will also likely be at 6 before you know it!
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