Service Plays Sunday 10/27/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAY:
Indianapolis -6

SINGLE PLAYS:
Chicago -4
New Orleans -9.5
Carolina +5.5
Carolina-San Francisco under 41
Kansas City +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports

Week 8: 10/27:

IND -4.5 (-110)
SEA -8 (-114)
ARI +12.5 (-111)
LAR -11.5 (-110)

10/28
MIA +14 (-104)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

5* Detroit Over 49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
12:52 AM
SAN FRANCISCO -4.5
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
This line has dropped and now there's value on the undefeated 49ers, who have allowed a total of 10 points over their last three games. Kyle Allen has been terrific but he'll be frustrated by San Francisco's defense. And Christian McCaffrey won't run wild against that unit. Lay the points.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL PICKS | +269
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 CAR ATS PICKS | +200


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 10:02 PM
UNDER 41
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
These are two elite defenses, and the stakes are extremely high. I expect both offenses to try to avoid mistakes. Go Under.

30-17 IN LAST 47 NFL PICKS | +1107
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF O/U PICKS | +90


Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 11:13 AM
CAROLINA +5.5
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Panthers have a chance to win this game outright let alone cover the number. Carolina QB Kyle Allen is playing exceptional football and taking care of the ball as well, with seven touchdowns and zero interceptions. Running back Christian McCaffrey is doing it all, and I like the way the Panthers match up against the 49ers defense. The Carolina defense has been tough as well, and the Panthers sack the QB among the best in the NFL. San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo does not like pressure, period. He has just seven touchdown passes and six interceptions on the season. Take the points with the Panthers.


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 10/25
CAROLINA +5.5
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
I like fading the undefeated 49ers in this spot, where I think their middle-of-the-road offense will have issues against a Carolina defense that has been stellar all year. It's a bad spot for the 49ers with a road Thursday game up next, while the Panthers are in a great spot as an away team coming off a bye, a trend that has cashed 59.7% of the time since 2011. Christian McCaffrey should have some success against a 49ers defense that's better against the pass than the run, and that'll help them stay in a close game and cover the number.

49-38 IN LAST 87 NFL PICKS | +669
9-6 IN LAST 15 SF ATS PICKS | +240

7-5 IN LAST 12 CAR ATS PICKS | +153


Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
THU 10/24
SAN FRANCISCO -5.5
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
I don't think there's a defense in the NFL that can stop Christian McCaffrey for a full 60 minutes. However, there are a few defenses capable of slowing him down, and the 49ers are one of them. San Francisco is going to force Kyle Allen to beat them with weapons other than Run CMC, and he can't.

5-4 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +55
4-0 IN LAST 4 SF ATS PICKS | +400

2-1 IN LAST 3 CAR ATS PICKS | +93


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
WED 10/23
CAROLINA +5.5
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
The Niners' defense is really good, but Kyle Allen has been playing really well. And Carolina has the No. 2 defense in the league. Jimmy Garoppolo doesn't impress me that much. This is a game where the 49ers are really going to be challenged. Take the points.

8-3 IN LAST 11 NFL ATS PICKS | +474
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +89

2-1 IN LAST 3 CAR ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

Larry's
Picks
FEATURED PICK
MIAMI +14.5
MIAMI @ PITTSBURGH | 10/28 | 8:15 PM EDT
TUE 10/22
The Dolphins have covered two straight behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, and this Steelers' offense is anything but explosive. Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games off a bye. Grab the points

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
5-1 IN LAST 6 MIA ATS PICKS | +386

3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ATS PICKS | +189

ARIZONA +12
ARIZONA @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:07 PM
With Drew Brees' return and the Saints having covered five straight, this line has gotten out of control. Arizona has been a dog the past three weeks and won outright each time. Last week's return of eight-time Pro Bowler Patrick Peterson made the Cards' defense a lot more respectable. Grab the points.

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
23-13 IN LAST 36 NO ATS PICKS | +878

UNDER 41
CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10/27 | 4:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:02 PM
These are two elite defenses, and the stakes are extremely high. I expect both offenses to try to avoid mistakes. Go Under.

30-17 IN LAST 47 NFL PICKS | +1107
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF O/U PICKS | +90

TAMPA BAY +2.5
TAMPA BAY @ TENNESSEE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 10/25
The Titans should have lost last week except the Chargers bungled the final sequence. And while Ryan Tannehill is an upgrade over Marcus Mariota, the Bucs are rested and focused following their bye. Tampa coach Bruce Arians went 4-1 off a bye in his tenure with Arizona. The Bucs should slow Tennessee's ground game and force Tannehill to win it. Grab the points.

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 TEN ATS PICKS | +390

5-3-1 IN LAST 9 TB ATS PICKS | +158

CHICAGO -3.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ CHICAGO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 10/25
This should be the Bears' breakout game, and a good one for Mitchell Trubisky. The Chargers have allowed opposing QBs to complete 74.6 percent of their throws. Look for Chicago's defensive front to harass Philip Rivers into mistakes, and lay it.

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
4-0 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory's
Picks
N.Y. JETS +6
N.Y. JETS @ JACKSONVILLE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
A lot has been made about the "seeing ghosts" comment by Jets QB Sam Darnold last Monday night against the Patriots. But I thought it was an honest moment. The Jets have heard about this statement all week, so look for a fired-up offense to come out and find its rhythm and have a much better plan against the Jags' pressure. The Jacksonville defense is good, but the offense can't make teams pay like New England's can. This one will be very close.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
2-1 IN LAST 3 JAC ATS PICKS | +90

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYJ ATS PICKS | +89

INDIANAPOLIS -5.5
DENVER @ INDIANAPOLIS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
What a game last week by Colts QB Jacoby Brissett. Because of his play, the Colts now sit atop the AFC South and look like a serious contender in the AFC. The Broncos just traded WR Emmanuel Sanders to the 49ers, giving them one less playmaker on the perimeter. This is a tough matchup for the Broncos offense, and it's hard to envision Joe Flacco having any success.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
8-6 IN LAST 14 DEN ATS PICKS | +146

2-1 IN LAST 3 IND ATS PICKS | +98

L.A. RAMS -13
CINCINNATI @ L.A. RAMS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
Cincinnati has played tough in the majority of its games. The major problem is on offense, as the Bengals have struggled to find consistency. What an addition Jalen Ramsey was for the Rams last week, and he did a great job against the Falcons' Julio Jones. Look for him to mirror Tyler Boyd as the Rams continue to make things difficult for the Bengals offensively.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
13-8-2 IN LAST 23 LAR ATS PICKS | +406

3-0 IN LAST 3 CIN ATS PICKS | +300

PHILADELPHIA +1.5
PHILADELPHIA @ BUFFALO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
This is a must-win game for the Eagles and a statement game for the Bills. Both teams have a lot riding on this contest, but when you look at the offense of Buffalo, it gives cause for pause. The Bills do a great job hanging around in games offensively, but they are not the most consistent bunch. Their defense is excellent, but they'll need to score in order to beat Philly.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
20-13-1 IN LAST 34 PHI ATS PICKS | +559

SEATTLE -3.5
SEATTLE @ ATLANTA | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
Seattle is looking to get back on the right track defensively, and there's no better opponent to do so against than the Atlanta Falcons and their offensive line. And there shouldn't be much resistance for the Seahawks offense, as the Falcons defense struggles to pressure the QB and has issues in the red zone. Look for a big day for Russell Wilson.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
8-0 IN LAST 8 ATL ATS PICKS | +800

8-4 IN LAST 12 SEA ATS PICKS | +346

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling

5-4 yest.

35 PHILLY
30 SEA
25 NYG, CAR

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* LA Chargers +5.5
10* Tampa Bay +2.5
10* Tampa Bay/Tennessee over 46
10* Denver +6.5
10* Cleveland/New England under 45
10* Kansas City +4

[FATMANWINS]

ats
9 seattle
9 carolina
8 colts
8 tampa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL's NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK (86-49 RUN) -- Sunday

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Atlanta Falcons/Seattle Seahawks game. The defenses for both of these teams have been a sieve. Atlanta's allowed 53, 34 and 37 points in its last three games, while Seattle's given up 29, 28 and 30 points over its last three. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game here. But consider that, over the past 40 years, NFL games have gone 'under' the total 62% of the time when each team had given up more than 24 points in each of their three previous games. We saw this same situation a couple of weeks ago in the Giants/Redskins game. New York had given up 31, 28 and 35 points in its three previous games, while Washington's defense had allowed 31, 31 and 32 points. The O/U line in that game was 48 points, but it easily sailed under the total in a 24-3 New York win. I look for a similar outcome in this game on Sunday. Take the Falcons/Seahawks 'under' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

Emory's
Picks
N.Y. JETS +6
N.Y. JETS @ JACKSONVILLE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
A lot has been made about the "seeing ghosts" comment by Jets QB Sam Darnold last Monday night against the Patriots. But I thought it was an honest moment. The Jets have heard about this statement all week, so look for a fired-up offense to come out and find its rhythm and have a much better plan against the Jags' pressure. The Jacksonville defense is good, but the offense can't make teams pay like New England's can. This one will be very close.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
2-1 IN LAST 3 JAC ATS PICKS | +90

2-1 IN LAST 3 NYJ ATS PICKS | +89

INDIANAPOLIS -5.5
DENVER @ INDIANAPOLIS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
What a game last week by Colts QB Jacoby Brissett. Because of his play, the Colts now sit atop the AFC South and look like a serious contender in the AFC. The Broncos just traded WR Emmanuel Sanders to the 49ers, giving them one less playmaker on the perimeter. This is a tough matchup for the Broncos offense, and it's hard to envision Joe Flacco having any success.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
8-6 IN LAST 14 DEN ATS PICKS | +146

2-1 IN LAST 3 IND ATS PICKS | +98

L.A. RAMS -13
CINCINNATI @ L.A. RAMS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
Cincinnati has played tough in the majority of its games. The major problem is on offense, as the Bengals have struggled to find consistency. What an addition Jalen Ramsey was for the Rams last week, and he did a great job against the Falcons' Julio Jones. Look for him to mirror Tyler Boyd as the Rams continue to make things difficult for the Bengals offensively.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
13-8-2 IN LAST 23 LAR ATS PICKS | +406

3-0 IN LAST 3 CIN ATS PICKS | +300

PHILADELPHIA +1.5
PHILADELPHIA @ BUFFALO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
This is a must-win game for the Eagles and a statement game for the Bills. Both teams have a lot riding on this contest, but when you look at the offense of Buffalo, it gives cause for pause. The Bills do a great job hanging around in games offensively, but they are not the most consistent bunch. Their defense is excellent, but they'll need to score in order to beat Philly.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
20-13-1 IN LAST 34 PHI ATS PICKS | +559

SEATTLE -3.5
SEATTLE @ ATLANTA | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 10/24
Seattle is looking to get back on the right track defensively, and there's no better opponent to do so against than the Atlanta Falcons and their offensive line. And there shouldn't be much resistance for the Seahawks offense, as the Falcons defense struggles to pressure the QB and has issues in the red zone. Look for a big day for Russell Wilson.

15-4 IN LAST 19 NFL ATS PICKS | +1053
8-0 IN LAST 8 ATL ATS PICKS | +800

8-4 IN LAST 12 SEA ATS PICKS | +346

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks For 10/27/19

4 Unit --> N.Y. Jets +6.5 over Jacksonville (NFL)

3 Unit --> Carolina +5.5 over San Francisco (NFL)

3 Unit --> New England -10 over Cleveland (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
12:05 AM
ARIZONA +12
ARIZONA @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
Drew Brees is back, but the Saints looked really good with Teddy Bridgewater, winning and covering his five starts. The cohesion factor for the Saints is the first reason I bet the Cardinals. The second reason is the Cards have won and covered three straight. The rookie head coach and QB have their system down after a sluggish start and they give so many different looks for their opponents to prepare for. The Cards also have covered all three of their road games.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +181
6-1 IN LAST 7 NO ATS PICKS | +491


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 10:07 PM
ARIZONA +12
ARIZONA @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
With Drew Brees' return and the Saints having covered five straight, this line has gotten out of control. Arizona has been a dog the past three weeks and won outright each time. Last week's return of eight-time Pro Bowler Patrick Peterson made the Cards' defense a lot more respectable. Grab the points.

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
23-13 IN LAST 36 NO ATS PICKS | +878


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
THU 10/24
ARIZONA +10
ARIZONA @ NEW ORLEANS | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
The possible return of New Orleans QB Drew Brees has pushed the line into double figures. However, Brees has been inactive since after Week 2 and could show some rust even if he returns. More importantly, Arizona has swept its last three outings straight-up and has covered in all three road games. The public has overestimated the Saints’ home-field muscle of late. N’Awlins is on a 2-5 ATS slide in its dome.

5-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +393
2-1 IN LAST 3 NO ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White
WIZARD OF ODDS
9:42 AM
OVER 45.5
TAMPA BAY @ TENNESSEE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
With the change at QB for Tennessee from Marcus Mariota to Ryan Tannehill comes a renewed emphasis on the offense. The Titans scored 23 points last week against a Chargers defense that is ranked 10th in points allowed. Tampa Bay is 31st in yards per point allowed at just 12.1. The Bucs have also gone over the total in their last four games. The weather will be perfect, and scoring will come in bunches.

3-1-1 IN LAST 5 NFL O/U PICKS | +190

Brett Anderson
THE DOG WHISPERER
YESTERDAY 2:01 PM
TAMPA BAY +2.5
TAMPA BAY @ TENNESSEE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
The last time we saw Jameis Winston he was throwing five INTs in London, but with two weeks to think about that performance, Winston and Bruce Arians are set up nicely to rebound. The Bucs have the top rushing defense, allowing just 2.9 YPC, so it’ll likely be up to Ryan Tannehill to beat them, and that won’t be enough. Take the points.

16-10-1 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS | +500
4-1 IN LAST 5 TEN ATS PICKS | +290


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 10/25
TAMPA BAY +2.5
TAMPA BAY @ TENNESSEE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
This line says that these teams are even, but I think the Bucs are clearly better. They have an elite rush defense that ranks first in yards per carry allowed, and their ability to slow down Derrick Henry will put the game on Ryan Tannehill's shoulders, which is a plus. The Titans defense has been great but has faced a lot of limited offenses this year, while Jameis Winston and the Bucs have been excellent after a bye over the last four years (averaging 500 yards of offense when you throw out fake Week 1 bye in 2017). The Bucs have played a lot of good teams this year, and they'll win on the road against a mediocre Titans team.

49-38 IN LAST 87 NFL PICKS | +669
18-5-3 IN LAST 26 TB ATS PICKS | +1232

21-12 IN LAST 33 TEN ATS PICKS | +763


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
FRI 10/25
TAMPA BAY +2.5
TAMPA BAY @ TENNESSEE | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Titans should have lost last week except the Chargers bungled the final sequence. And while Ryan Tannehill is an upgrade over Marcus Mariota, the Bucs are rested and focused following their bye. Tampa coach Bruce Arians went 4-1 off a bye in his tenure with Arizona. The Bucs should slow Tennessee's ground game and force Tannehill to win it. Grab the points.

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 TEN ATS PICKS | +390

5-3-1 IN LAST 9 TB ATS PICKS | +158

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 11:20 AM
UNDER 41
L.A. CHARGERS @ CHICAGO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
This game has all the makings of a low-scoring defensive struggle. The Bears are having serious issues with QB Mitchell Trubisky and an offense that ranks 26th in the NFL, averaging just 18.7 points a game. The Chargers haven't been much better, averaging 16.7 points during their three-game slide. And both teams are dealing with several key injuries. Under is the play.


Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
FRI 10/25
L.A. CHARGERS +3.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ CHICAGO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Chargers come limping into Chicago on a 1-5-2 ATS run in their last eight games. Their brand of ball hasn’t been horrendous and they have been on the short end of many close games I think the Bears might be in trouble here. Take the points with the Chargers.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +181
10-7 IN LAST 17 LAC ATS PICKS | +215

3-2 IN LAST 5 CHI ATS PICKS | +73


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
FRI 10/25
CHICAGO -3.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ CHICAGO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
This should be the Bears' breakout game, and a good one for Mitchell Trubisky. The Chargers have allowed opposing QBs to complete 74.6 percent of their throws. Look for Chicago's defensive front to harass Philip Rivers into mistakes, and lay it.

28-14 IN LAST 42 NFL ATS PICKS | +1238
4-0 IN LAST 4 LAC ATS PICKS | +400


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
THU 10/24
CHICAGO -3.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ CHICAGO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
This is a get-right spot for a mostly healthy Bears team playing against a beat-up Chargers squad. L.A. doesn't have the rush attack (30th in DVOA) to win against the Bears front seven, and I definitely like the passing matchup for Chicago's defense as well. The Bears should be able to run the ball against a banged-up Chargers front that's just 24th in DVOA against the rush. And that means Mitchell Trubisky can manage the game, not have to throw it 50 times and keep his team in front with a positive game script. The Chargers have lost three straight to teams under .500, and they led for just 3:16 in those games combined.

49-38 IN LAST 87 NFL PICKS | +669
23-10-1 IN LAST 34 CHI ATS PICKS | +1217


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
TUE 10/22
L.A. CHARGERS +4
L.A. CHARGERS @ CHICAGO | 10/27 | 1:00 PM EDT
The Bears have no business laying four points to a decent opponent. Their offense ranks 30th in average yards per game and, more importantly, per play. QB Mitch Trubisky is taking the heat, but he’s had little help. While L.A. is 2-5 straight-up, every defeat has been by one possession. The Chargers could be demoralized by last Sunday’s loss in which they appeared to have scored the winning TD -- twice. Here is guessing the bizarre ending will make this talented but injury-decimated team hungrier.

5-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS | +393
10-5-1 IN LAST 16 LAC ATS PICKS | +450