Tuesday 10-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 Star NHL Free Pick

Washington vs. Toronto, 10/29/2019 19:00 EDT

Total: -121/+6½ Over

Sportsbook:
SportsBetting


Fp: 50 goals on the season no team has scored more than the capitals . The Toronto roster has stars from top to bottom and can score at will . 7 goals to win should be a breeze making the over my NHL free pick.

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Damian Sosh

NBA FREE PLAY TOTAL

Dallas vs. Denver, 10/29/2019 21:00 EDT

Total: -110/+215½ Under

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Play under 215.5

Dallas travels to Denver for this game. Dallas has been able to score this season putting up over 116 ppg but this is a stingy Denver defense allowing opponents just over 100 ppg. Couple that with the fact that Dallas will be playing at altitude, something they are not accustomed to, we will see more substituting as guys will be more gassed and need rest. Denver played in Sacramento last night and will be a little fatigued. I don't expect them to fully have their shooting legs with them for this match up. Also, Denver plays at a slower pace. You won't see as much get out and run with the Nuggets as other NBA teams. Look for this to go under the total.

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Cole Faxon

Oct 29 '19, 7:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Capitals vs Maple Leafs
Play on: Maple Leafs -125 at sportsbook

FREE PLAY on Maple Leafs -125

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Larry Ness

Oct 29 '19, 7:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Flyers vs Penguins
Play on: Penguins -155 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Pit Penguins at 7:05 ET. The Philadelphia Flyers had a fairly easy schedule early on, opening with seven games over an 18-day span. The Flyers only started 3-3-1 and now a face a stretch in which they will play FOUR games over a six-day span. Philly (5-4-1) wraps that four-game stretch in six days when they travel cross-state to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins. Pittsburgh is 7-5-0 and will be well-rested, taking the ice for the first time since the Pens snapped a three-game losing skid with a 3-0 victory over Dallas on Saturday. Philadelphia had won THREE in a row before losing 5-3 to the New York Islanders in the second half of a back-to-back on Sunday. Travis Konecny continues to pay dividends on the six-year, $33 million contract he signed last month, scoring in both contests to give him at least one point in five straight games (three goals, three assists) and in nine of 10 contests this season. He leads the team with 13 points (6 G / 7 A). Hart and Elliott have shared goaltending duties, although the promising Carter Hart has yet to locate his game during the early stages of the campaign (2-3-1, 3.33 GAA & .862 SP). As for Elliott, he's 3-1-0 with a a 2.28 GGA and .926 SP.. The Penguins weren't fully disappointed in their 1-2 road trip as they head into a stretch of just two games, both at home, in seven days. Bryan Rust made his season debut at Dallas, returning from a hand injury sustained while blocking a shot in the preseason, to score in the third period against the Stars. It's no surprise that Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 14 points (4 G / 10 A) and fellow center Jack Guentzel has six goals and six assists. Matt Murray made 25 saves to record his 11th career shutout on Saturday and come sin 6-3-0 with a 2.33 GAA and .918 SP on the season. The Flyers are in a tough spot here, playing their fifth game in nine days. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh hasn't played since Saturday and this contest will be one of just two games in SEVEN days. Crosby has tormented Philadelphia throughout his career, recording 99 points (41 goals, 58 assists) in 67 contests. Expect Crosby and Murray (.944 SP in three games against Philly last season) to lead the Pens to a win in this one. Good luck...Larry

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Kenny Walker

Oct 29 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Oilers vs Red Wings
Play on: Red Wings +115 at Bovada

Free Pick on Red Wings

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Bobby Conn

Oct 29 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Oilers vs Red Wings
Play on: Oilers -130 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Oilers -130
The Oilers (8-3-1, 17 points) and Red Wings (3-8-1, 7 points) have gotten off to two very different starts to the 2019-20 season. Tonight, we’ll get to see these teams go head to head in Detroit.
Although Edmonton sits atop the Pacific Division, they don’t have any time to stop and enjoy their strong start. A host of teams sits right behind the Oilers, including 16-point Vegas and the Coyotes and Canucks, who both have 15 points. The Oilers are now aiming to rediscover their good form after dropping three of four.
On average, the Oilers are scoring 3.00 goals per game (tied for 17th) while allowing 2.67 goals per game (9th).
Left winger James Neal has been a weapon on the power play, scoring seven of his team-leading 10 goals with a man-advantage. Connor McDavid leads the team with 15 assists and Leon Draisaitl has a monstrous 21 points on nine goals and 12 assists.
While the Oilers haven’t been at their best lately, the Red Wings have struggled even more. Detroit has lost eight straight games, including a 5-4 overtime loss to St. Louis two nights ago. Detroit is now tied with Ottawa for last place in the Atlantic Division.
On average, the Red Wings are scoring 2.25 goals per game (30th) while allowing 3.75 goals per game (tied for 27th).
With a record like Detroit’s, it’s clear that there’s trouble between the pipes. Although Jonathan Bernier has won two games as goaltender, he’s allowing 3.51 goals per game and has a save percentage of .885.

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Mike Lundin

Oct 29 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Oilers vs Red Wings
Play on: Red Wings +115 at Bovada

MIKE LUNDIN'S OILERS @ RED WINGS FREE PICK
The Detroit Red Wings have dropped eight in a row but must smell blood in the water from their opponent here as well with the visiting Edmonton Oilers coming into town as losers as three of their last four.
The Oilers have scored two goals or fewer in four of their last five games and here they'll face a Red Wings team that put up four goals in an unfortunate 5-4 OT loss to St. Louis last time out. "We all believe in each other," center Dylan Larkin told media after the setback. "The talk in the room in the past little bit is it's gotta be the guys in here to turn this around and to get that win out of the way."
The Wings can't feel too bad about themselves after out-shooting the defending Stanley Cup champs by 13 shots, and I think they'll end their ugly skid with a win tonight.
Free pick on Detroit Red Wings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Oct 29 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Oilers vs Red Wings
Play on: Red Wings +115 at Bovada

1* on Red Wings +115

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Hunter Price

Oct 29 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Oilers vs Red Wings
Play on: Oilers -130 at YouWager

1* Free Pick on Oilers -130

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Jimmy Boyd

Oct 29 '19, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Mavs vs Nuggets
Play on: Mavs +5½ -105 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Free Pick on Dallas Mavericks +5.5
The Mavericks are definitely worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Nuggets on Tuesday. Denver comes in at 3-0 and are considered one of the top teams in the Western Conference, but I don't think they are exactly playing great to start out the season. They have shot 42%, 39% and 37% from the field in their first 3 games and that's against the Blazers, Suns and Kings.
Mavs are a team on the rise with their young dynamic duo of Donic and Porzingis and have one of the more underrated coaches in the league in Rick Carlisle. This team is a 2-point loss at home from being 3-0.
With the Nuggets playing in the second game of a back-to-back after last night's hard fought win at Sacramento, I wouldn't be shocked if Dallas won this game outright. Mavs are a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record and the Nuggets are just 5-11 ATS last 16 off a cover. Take Dallas!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Oct 29 '19, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Lakers
Play on: Grizzlies +12 -110 at Bovada

10* FREE NBA PICK (Grizzlies +12)
Few teams are going to come with a higher tax from the books than the Lakers and I think we are seeing a ton of value here with Memphis with LA coming off a couple of impressive wins. Grizzlies aren't the caliber a team to demand the full respect of opponents, as most view them as a bottom feeder. I look for Memphis to want it a little more and that should be enough for them to keep this within the double-digit spread. Lakers are 12-23 ATS last 2 seasons when playing against a team with a losing record and 4-16 ATS last 20 vs teams that are getting outscored by 3+ points/game. Give me the Grizzlies +12!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Monique Vág



THE HOT HAND

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Miami to take on the Heat as 8-point underdogs. Atlanta has been a profitable team to back on the road, covering the spread in 10 of its last 12 games away from home, going back to the 2018-19 season.

Both teams have been shooting the ball exceptionally well this year, specifically Atlanta which is averaging the second-highest shooting percentage at 48.4 percent. The Hawks are particularly good in the first half, putting up an average of 59 points in the opening 24 minutes. We like them to keep things close early on and are betting them +4.5 in the first half.


THE BUTLER DID IT

The Hawks have been the best team defending opposing power forwards, holding them to 26.7 percent shooting from the floor, 0.8 made 3-point shots per game, and 9.3 points an outing.

Miami's Justise Winslow has logged two games already with 20 or more points, but his career average is still 9.1 a game. With Jimmy Butler set to make his debut for the Heat tonight, expect even less of an opportunity for Winslow to find the basket and bet Under his points total of 15.5.


ALL THE COMFORTS OF HOME

The Denver Nuggets host the Dallas Mavericks as 5-point favorites with the total set at 213 points. Dating back to last season, the Nuggets have won 13 of the previous 17 games on their home court, and have won eight of the last 10 meetings in the head-to-head versus Dallas.

Dallas is surrendering an average of 30.3 first-quarter points and 57 first-half points per game. In one home date this season, Denver held the Phoenix Suns to 45 points in the first half. Last season, the Nuggets posted an average of 58.1 first-half points inside the Pepsi Center. Expect their success to continue and bet the Nuggets on the first-half spread of -2.5.


GLASS CLEANER

The Mavericks have surrendered a league-high 20.1 average rebounds per game to opposing centers to start 2019-20. If Dallas continues to shoot around the 39.4 percent clip it did versus the Trail Blazers in its last outing, then expect a huge night out of Denver's Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets’ big man is averaging 13.3 boards a game despite foul trouble limiting minutes. Bet Over Jokic’s rebounding total of 11.5.


LONG RANGE LAKERS

The Lakers are 11.5-point home favorites as they host the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies’ opponents are attempting 35 shots from beyond the arc per game to start the season, with Memphis surrendering 11.3 makes on those looks from distance. Throughout the first three games this season for the Lakers, Danny Green has attempted no less than five 3-point shots an outing and is averaging 52.6 percent from deep this season. His success will continue and we’re betting Over 1.5 made 3-point shots from Green tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

by: Monty Andrews


LEAFS NOT STRIKING FIRST

While we're on the topic of first goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs could use a lesson from their Tuesday night opponent in that regard as they host the Washington Capitals. The Leafs have been the worst team in the NHL when it comes to getting on the scoreboard first, having done so in just three of their first 13 games this season.

Strangely, however, that hasn't carried over into their first-period goal output, as they still rank third overall with 14 goals in the opening 20 minutes. Washington has scored the first goal on nine occasions this season, and has 11 first-period tallies.


WORTH A SHOT

Looking for a player prop? We'd like to draw your attention to Tuesday's encounter between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers. Lightning center Steven Stamkos has made life miserable for the Rangers' back end in recent meetings, having racked up four goals and two assists in the last three encounters between the teams.

The Broadway Blueshirts come into this one in a defensive tailspin, having allowed the second-most goals per game in the NHL (3.78). Stamkos remains one of the most lethal scorers in the league, and is a good bet to pay off on a goal or point prop in this one.


A TALE OF TWO POWERPLAYS

A decided edge with the man advantage could make the Edmonton Oilers a savvy road play Wednesday night as they visit the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Oilers have fallen on hard times following a sizzling start to the season, but they still own the NHL's most potent power play at 33.3 percent and have converted 6-of-17 man-advantage chances on the road so far in 2019-20.

The Blue Jackets PP unit that always seems to get off to a slow start to the season. Columbus comes into the new week ranked 25th in power-play proficiency, converting just 11.4 percent of the time.


GOALIE PROFILE: PEKKA RINNE, NASHVILLE PREDATORS

It's always nice to see an elite goaltender age gracefully – and that's exactly what's happening with Rinne, who looks like he hasn't lost a step even at age 36. Rinne enters the week with a sparkling 6-0-1 record to go along with a 1.98 goals-against average (tied for third among league netminders) and a .931 save percentage (tied for sixth).

His incredible start to the campaign has played a major part in the Predators (+1.57 units won) sitting second in the Central Division and riding a three-game winning streak going into Tuesday's home encounter with the Chicago Blackhawks.


INJURY UPDATE: F F VLADIMIR TARASENKO, ST. LOUIS BLUES

The Blues' chances of repeating as Stanley Cup champs have taken a significant hit with word that Tarasenko, their star winger, will miss at least the next five months with a shoulder injury. Tarasenko, who will undergo surgery Tuesday and suffered the injury in the first period of the Blues' Oct. 24 game against the Los Angeles Kings.

It's a major blow to the Blues' offensive attack, with Tarasenko having recorded three goals and seven assists through his first 10 games this season. Look to the Under as a strong play, with the Blues likely to focus more on defense until they address the offensive void.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• The goals piled up over the previous seven days worth of NHL games, resulting in a sizeable edge for Over bettors. There were 27 Over results in the past week compared to just 20 Unders in that same span; extra-time games went 7-4 O/U. That makes the Over a slightly superior play for the season, with 90 occurrences compared with 75 Unders.

• Visiting teams aren't fans of Dean Morton early in the 2019-20 campaign. The veteran official has provided the most profit for home-team bettors, with the hosts boasting a +6.00-unit gain through his first 10 games. The home team has averaged 3.7 goals per game over that span, with the visitors coming in at 2.3 goals per contest.

• If you're betting on the Washington Capitals, you're much safer doing so when they're playing on the road – at least, based on what we've seen from them so far. The Capitals enter the new week as the most profitable road team in the league at +4.14 units won – and 25th-best at home (-1.76). Washington visits Toronto on Tuesday before returning home for a two-game set.