Friday 11-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 73

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 OK BRED CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 YAK 9/5
# 7 MIGHTY BUGSY 6/1
# 4 OH LARRY 15/1

I think YAK is a very good choice. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most respectable class figs of this group of horses in this race. Has recorded strong Equibase Speed Figs in turf sprint races in the past. Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 71 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the most favorable in this field. MIGHTY BUGSY - Has been running soundly lately and should be close to the front end early on. Garnered a solid speed figure last time out. OH LARRY - Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in turf sprint races make this animal a definite contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 3:34pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating:

#4 HOPEFUL TREASURE (ML=7/2)
#3 GOLDEN GARY (ML=9/2)


HOPEFUL TREASURE - Mangalee was aboard this colt in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I like that last race on October 5th at Delaware Park where he ran first. This horse wins a lot of cash per race around the track. At the top in this affair. GOLDEN GARY - The September 20th race at Laurel was at a class level of (86). Dropping to a lower class rank drastically, so he should be in a good spot. Sanchez and Ness perform well when they work together. It's hard to beat a +27 ROI for a rider and trainer. This colt has been posting some excellent workout times.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 AIN'T WASTING TIME (ML=1/1), #5 CLASSY SOLUTION (ML=6/1),

AIN'T WASTING TIME - The pace situation just isn't too promising for this speedball. Many other thoroughbreds would have to scratch to help his chances. He only beat a maiden claiming field in the last affair. Have to pass on this thoroughbred versus winners for now. CLASSY SOLUTION - Last raced on October 13th at Laurel, finishing third. Not likely to advance off of that try in today's event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HOPEFUL TREASURE - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this colt. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 85 on Oct 5th.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 HOPEFUL TREASURE to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #2 - Post: 2:29pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $95,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#2 LADY JENNEVIERE (ML=2/1)


LADY JENNEVIERE - Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a very valuable factor. This thoroughbred is ranked number 1 in this field. This filly ran versus the males last time. In with her own gender today. You have to really like that recent race speed fig, 80, which is the best latest race speed rating of this field. The outside post position didn't help this horse's chances last time around the track at Churchill Downs. Today's inside draw should be just fine. Has a good opportunity in this race to break maiden changing to the main track right here in this race. Horse has improved at least two speed fig points in last two races. I look for that positive trend to continue in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MISS IMPORTANT (ML=7/2), #6 LADY MCKENZIE (ML=7/2), #3 MERITATEN (ML=4/1),

MISS IMPORTANT - Tough to play at 7/2 odds after the most recent showings. Run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race at Keeneland at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this racer will improve too much in today's event. LADY MCKENZIE - Tough to bet on any entrant to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the chance. Unlikely that the speed rating she registered on Oct 4th will be good enough in this race. MERITATEN - The speed figs are going downward. I'm not betting on this entrant off of that trend. 4/1 is just too low of a reward to take on most any thoroughbred that has run poorly in back to back races.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - LADY JENNEVIERE - Bettors may say this horse can't control the pace. While this may be true, she is the sole solid stalker in this field. Won't be too far back when it counts - At the finish line.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #2 LADY JENNEVIERE to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

11/01/19, SA, Race 9, 4.03 PT
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.39.01 STAKES. Purse $2,000,000.
Grade 1
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta - Daily Double / Special Daily Double - Jackpot Super Hi-5 / Head2Head
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	1	Dennis' Moment	8/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Romans Dale L.	SW
099.8864	6	Eight Rings	2-1	Velazquez J R	Baffert Bob	TL
098.0045	7	Anneau d'Or	15-1	Hernandez J J	Wright Blaine D.
097.8261	5	Scabbard	8-1	Smith M E	Kenneally Eddie
097.6963	9	Maxfield	3-1	Ortiz J L	Walsh Brendan P.	FEC
097.6152	4	Storm the Court(b+)	20-1	Prat F	Eurton Peter
096.8527	2	Wrecking Crew	20-1	Lopez P	Miller Peter	J
095.5386	8	(F)Full Flat	30-1	Take Y	Mori Hideyuki
094.9221	3	Shoplifted	20-1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.

1	74.30	1.09	31.55	130	412	[All Categories] Race Distance Route
6	121.20	1.11	34.18	188	550	[All Categories] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
7	74.30	1.09	31.55	130	412	[All Categories] Race Distance Route
5	74.30	1.09	31.55	130	412	[All Categories] Race Distance Route
9	74.30	1.09	31.55	130	412	[All Categories] Race Distance Route
4	121.20	1.11	34.18	188	550	[All Categories] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
2	74.30	1.09	31.55	130	412	[All Categories] Race Distance Route
8	74.30	1.09	31.55	130	412	[All Categories] Race Distance Route
3	121.20	1.11	34.18	188	550	[All Categories] Last Race Is Same Track As Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

11/01/19, AQU, Race 8, 3.44 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.40.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $66,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	Kerry's Ring	9/2	Alvarado J	Clement Christophe	FE
099.1415	3	Myhartblongstodady	7/2	Carmouche K	Brown Chad C.	C
098.4547	4	Awesome Alana	6-1	Cancel E	Brown Chad C.
098.0769	10	Tempers Way	6-1	Bravo J	Englehart Jeremiah C.	L
097.4245	1	Barrel of Destiny	6-1	Saez L	Weaver George	J
096.7205	5	Paved With Gold(b-)	12-1	Carroll D	Pletcher Todd A.	W
095.9821	2	Pioneerof New York	10-1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Casse Mark E.
095.3297	11	Sterling Beauty	12-1	Davis D	Donk David G.	S
094.7974	9	Ideational	10-1	Maragh R	Brown Bruce R.
094.0419	12	Big Expense	20-1	Hernandez B	Schettino Domenick L.
093.6985	13	Miss Jen	12-1	Bravo J	Ryerson James T.
092.6168	8	Love and Love	20-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Miceli Michael	T
090.9169	6	Puparee	30-1	Martinez J R	Pringle Edmund

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to AQU.

7	28.30	1.71	45.00	9	20	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Favorite(not entry)
3	28.30	1.71	45.00	9	20	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Was Favorite(not entry)
4	24.10	1.50	41.67	10	24	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today
10	19.40	1.46	38.10	8	21	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today
1	24.10	1.50	41.67	10	24	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today
5	37.10	3.32	62.50	5	8	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Second Race After 45 Days Off
2	24.10	1.50	41.67	10	24	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Higher Than Today
11	20.30	1.56	44.44	8	18	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Best Speed
9	19.40	1.46	38.10	8	21	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today
12	19.40	1.46	38.10	8	21	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today
13	19.40	1.46	38.10	8	21	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today
8	19.40	1.46	38.10	8	21	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today
6	19.40	1.46	38.10	8	21	[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today

If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	1	Barrel of Destiny	6-1	Saez L	Weaver George	J
099.9059	4	Awesome Alana	6-1	Cancel E	Brown Chad C.	S
099.6800	7	Kerry's Ring	9/2	Alvarado J	Clement Christophe	FE
099.3411	3	Myhartblongstodady	7/2	Carmouche K	Brown Chad C.	C
098.2869	10	Tempers Way	6-1	Bravo J	Englehart Jeremiah C.	L
097.9669	2	Pioneerof New York	10-1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Casse Mark E.
096.6867	8	Love and Love	20-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Miceli Michael	T
095.8773	5	Paved With Gold(b-)	12-1	Carroll D	Pletcher Todd A.
095.8020	12	Big Expense	20-1	Hernandez B	Schettino Domenick L.
095.2560	11	Sterling Beauty	12-1	Davis D	Donk David G.
094.7289	9	Ideational	10-1	Maragh R	Brown Bruce R.
094.4465	6	Puparee	30-1	Martinez J R	Pringle Edmund	W
094.1265	13	Miss Jen	12-1	Bravo J	Ryerson James T.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to AQU.

6	18.80	1.09	41.35	43	104	[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Route Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Pistons +3.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Mavericks under 217
3. VegasSI.com NBA – Kings +5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NHL – Lightning -115
5. Sports Action 365 NHL – Blue Jackets over 5.5
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Celtics -10.5
7. Lou Panelli NBA – Kings under 213.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino NHL – Stars +120
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Warriors +7
10. William E. Stockton NHL – Sharks -155
11. Vincent Pioli NHL – Ducks over 5.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Bucks -4.5
13. SCORE NBA – Rockets -4.5
14. East Coast Line Movers NHL – Canucks over 5.5
15. Tony Campone NBA – Bucks -4.5
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Mavericks under 217
17. Hollywood Sportsline NHL – Capitals -1.5
18. VIP Action NBA – Celtics -10.5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Kings +5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission NHL – Lightning -115
21. NY Players Club NBA – Rockets -4.5
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Celtics over 211.5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NHL – Red Wings under 6
24. Michigan Sports NBA – Bucks -4.5
25. National Consensus Report NHL – Flyers +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free play for Friday night is on Vancouver Canucks on the road at the Anaheim Ducks. This wouldn't have seemed likely at the start of the season, and I don't ever imagine putting my money on a team like Vancouver.

But the Canucks are in on win streaks of 4-0-1 and 8-1-1 since losing their first two games of the season. They've been in Southern California, so they'll have fresh legs after taking a night off after defeating the Kings 5-3 in Los Angeles on Wednesday.

Vancouver is currently in the midst of an offensive hot streak, with at least five goals scored in each of their last four games. This is a team that has also been good defensively, with a top 10 ranking in both shot attempts allowed and goals allowed at even strength.

None of this bodes well for an inconsistent Ducks team that can't seem to find any consistency on 5v5 or with a man advantage.

That's trouble, because Vancouver has the fifth-best power play unit and fourth-best penalty kill. Anaheim ranks 29th in power play and 19th on the power kill.

Fact is, Vancouver doesn't give teams a lot of chances to score early on, and it allows the Canucks to pick up momentum. Vancouver has outscored the competition 16-9 in the first period. In fact, the Canucks have outscored their opponents in every period, with a 14-10 edge in the second and 15-10 in the third.

Vancouver is going to continue to roll here, so I'll play the road team.

5* CANUCKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

After a tough outing in Anaheim, the Winnipeg Jets head north to San Jose to face the dangerous Sharks, who have had rough first month of the season, but will be looking to turn things around in November.

Both of these teams are certainly in a strange world right now, as the Jets have to be wondering what the hell Dustin Byfuglien is going to do with his career, while their fans have to be wondering what the hell the team is doing without Patrik Laine.

San Jose is 2-6-1 on the road, but it has played just four home games in its first 13 this season. On a Friday night, in front of a raucous crowd, I expect this team to respond.

This is the first game of a six-game homestand, the second-longest homestand for the Sharks this season. Tonight's game is also one of 11 home games in the month of November, the most home games the team has ever had in November.

Last season against Winnipeg, the Sharks went 2-1-0, taking both games on the road. So there might be added motivation in getting revenge for last season's home loss. Over the last 10 meetings, San Jose is 6-3-1, while all-time against the franchise, the team is 20-7-2-3.

The Sharks also have one of the best special teams units in hockey, ranking ninth on the power play and 1st on a penalty kill.

Add in the fact Brent Burns is on a four-game point streak (1 goal, 4 assist) and I think San Jose can win this game big.

Take the home team here.

4* SHARKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Friday night comp play on Houston and Brooklyn to land Over the total.

One thing for sure with this re-teaming up of James Harden and Russell Westbrook and that is the points are flowing freely in Houston for sure!

The Rockets have played 4 games so far this season, and each of their last 3 have landed Over the total. On Wednesday night they played a game in Washington that saw a combined 317 points - 159-158 Rockets win over the Wizards!

I don't expect that many points tonight in Brooklyn, but with the Nets also coming off a Wednesday night Over at home against Indiana, and Overs played in 3 of the 4 Brooklyn games thus far this year, it sure seems likely that the Rockets and the Nets will be putting that round ball through that hoop more times than not this Friday night.

Both series meetings last year between the teams landed Over the total, as the Over when Houston and Brooklyn face one another has not banked in each of the last 3 showdowns, and is 6-1 the last 7 times they have played one another.

Harden, Westbrook and Company to light it up while Irving continues to pour in his buckets and Joe Harris who is scoring at over 50% from distance early this season helps to ring up the high total.

Houston-Brooklyn run up the points and land Over on Friday night!

4* HOUSTON-BROOKLYN OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Connors

Friday night in Storrs and the Huskies of UConn are fired up after stopping a 6 game losing streak last weekend when they were out and posted 56 big points in their 56-35 road win at UMass.


Before you get all excited about grabbing the near 4 touchdowns that the oddsmakers are begging you to take, let me remind you that the Minutemen BLOW. All UMass does is allow points, so pump the brakes on your big home dog here on Friday night!


Navy was enjoying a homecoming rout last Saturday, as they led Tulane by a 24-0 margin, but things got a little hairy against the dangerous Green Wave as the Middies had to hold on for dear life in their 41-38 last seconds win as the -4 point chalk to become bowl-eligible at 6-1 for the year.


The Midshipmen do have their annual date with Notre Dame in South Bend next on their schedule, but that is not until the 16th, so I would think there would be no let up tonight after last week's close call.


The Huskies allow close to 38 points per game to be scored on them, so this should shape up as a big night for the Naval Academy who have a few weapons that can find pay-dirt. Malcolm Perry is under center, and Nelson Smith and Jamale Carothers carry the bulk of the load in the triple-option attack that will make hay all night long.


As for Connecticut their main threat Kevin Mensah at RB should be neutralized by the stingy Navy defense that ranks in the Top-20 in the nation in stopping the run.


Navy is 5-2 against the spread this season, and 9-2 against the spread dating back to last season.


Yes, this is a ton of points to lay on the road, but I am going to lay them, as playing UConn just to play the home dog under the lights is like playing with fire.


Navy might score on every possession tonight.


Take the Middies minus the points.

2* NAVY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Nov 01 '19, 7:05 PM in 47m
NBA | Cavs vs Pacers
Play on: Pacers -7 -105 at BMaker

10* FREE NBA PICK (Pacers -7)
I'll take my chances with the Pacers covering the 7 at home against the Cavs on Friday night. I could see some being on Cleveland here with the Pacers likely without big man Myles Turner, the Cavs off an upset win and the fact that Cleveland already beat Indiana 110-99 as a 5-point home dog earlier this season.
I would much rather be on Indiana in this spot. Pacers will definitely want their revenge and I like the fact that they come in off a 118-108 win at Brooklyn. Losing Turner sucks, but he went down early against the Nets and Indiana's offense was much better without the two bigs on the floor.
Cavs are 3-1 ATS to start the season, but are also a mere 2-11 ATS last 13 when coming into a game having covered 3 of their last 4. Indiana is a solid 108-69 (61%) in their last 176 home games when entering having lost 3 of 4. Pacers are also a strong 33-18 ATS last 51 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Give me Indiana -7!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Nov 01 '19, 7:05 PM in 47m
NBA | Cavs vs Pacers
Play on: Cavs +7½ -110 at Mirage

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5
The Key: The Indiana Pacers are just 1-3 despite playing a very soft schedule. They have lost twice to the Pistons with their only win coming against the Nets. They also lost 99-110 at Cleveland. Now they are 7.5-point favorites over the Cavaliers in the rematch and they shouldn’t be this heavily favored. Not only have the Pacers been without their best player in Victor Oladipo, but now they are without Myles Turner due to an ankle injury as well. I would argue that the Cavaliers are the way more talented team in this matchup. Cleveland is 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS with its only non-cover coming by 1.5 points against the Bucks. I just think the Cavaliers are grossly underrated to start the season and that will play out again tonight as they get the cover against the Pacers. Take Cleveland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Nov 01 '19, 7:05 PM in 47m
NHL | Sabres vs Capitals
Play on: Sabres +160 at Buckeye

1* on Sabres +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 01 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Knicks vs Celtics
Play on: Knicks +10½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: New York Knicks +10.5
I like the spot for the New York Knicks tonight. They will be highly motivated for revenge from a 95-118 home loss to the Boston Celtics on October 26th. Now they get to face the Celtics again less than a week later and I like their chances of staying within this 10.5-point spread.
The Celtics are in a huge letdown spot here following their 116-105 upset home win over the Milwaukee Bucks on National TV Wednesday. And they will have a hard time getting motivated to face a Knicks team again that they just beat by 23 points. That’s going to make it hard for them to cover this inflated 10.5-point spread tonight.
The Knicks have played their best basketball on the road this season. They only lost by 9 at San Antonio as 10.5-point dogs and by 4 at Brooklyn as 8-point dogs in a game they led most the way. They did lose by 12 at Orlando as 9.5-point dogs, but as you can see they have been competitive in every road game thus far.
Plays on road underdogs (New York) - off a road loss if they had a losing record last season are 39-13 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays against home favorites of 10 or more points (Boston) - a team that made 76% or more of their free throws last season after two straight games making nine or more 3-point shots are 24-5 (82.8%) ATS since 1996.
The Celtics are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. Boston is 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record. New York is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. Bet the Knicks Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Nov 01 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Knicks vs Celtics
Play on: OVER 211½ -110

1 Dimer on Knicks vs Celtics over 211½ -110