Saturday 11-2-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    #61
    501NEW ORLEANS -502 OKLAHOMA CITY
    NEW ORLEANS are 36-22 ATS (11.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

    505DENVER -506 ORLANDO
    ORLANDO is 170-218 ATS (-69.8 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game since 1996.

    509MINNESOTA -510 WASHINGTON
    WASHINGTON is 70-104 ATS (-44.4 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts since 1996.

    511TORONTO -512 MILWAUKEE
    TORONTO is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) when the total is 22-229.5 since 1996.

    513CHARLOTTE -514 GOLDEN STATE
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

    515PHILADELPHIA -516 PORTLAND
    PORTLAND is 40-22 ATS (15.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358318

      #62
      NBA


      Saturday, November 2



      Saturday’s NBA games
      Pelicans- Thunder

      New Orleans lost four of first five games. losing both road games, by 8-3 points (1-1 ATS); ;all five of their games went over the total. Thunder lost four of first five games, with three losses by 5 or fewer points (under 4-1). OKC lost two of three home games (0-1 HF).

      Home side won last four series games; Pelicans covered five of last seven, with over 7-3 in last ten series games. NO lost three of last four trips to Oklahoma (2-2 ATS).

      Nets-Pistons
      Brooklyn beat the Rockets at home last nite; they lost their only road game 134-133 in Memphis- three of their five games went over. Detroit lost four of its last five games, losing in Chicago Friday; three of their last four games went over. Pistons lost two of three home tilts (1-2 HU).

      Teams split last ten series games with Nets winning last two; seven of last nine series games stayed under. Brooklyn covered its last four visits to the Motor City.

      Nuggets-Magic
      Nuggets lost last two games after a 3-0 start (under 3-0 in their wins, 0-2 in losses); they won two of three road games (1-1 AF). Orlando lost to the Bucks by 32 Friday; they lost three of last four games, are 2-1 at home (0-1 as HU).

      Denver won/covered last six series games; over is 5-2 in last seven. Nuggets won/covered four of last five visits to the Magic Kingdom.

      Suns-Grizzlies
      Phoenix is 3-2 so far (5-0 ATS); both their losses are by one point. Suns split two road games (2-0 as AU, over 1-1). Memphis lost three of first four games, with favorites covering all four- they split their two home games (over 1-1).

      Home side won seven of last nine series games; Suns lost four of last five visits to Memphis (over 3-1 last four).

      Timberwolves-Wizards
      No Towns for 3-1 Minnesota, which won two of three road games (under 2-1). Washington is 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS (over 2-2); they lost last two games by total of three points- they lost their only home game 159-158 to Houston.

      Teams split their last ten meetings; six of last seven series games went over. Wolves are 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Washington.

      Raptors-Bucks
      Toronto won four of its five games; favorites covered all five (over 3-2). Raptors split their two road games. Milwaukee won by 32 in Orlando last nite; they’re 3-2 so far, 1-1 at home- both their home games went over.

      Toronto beat Bucks in six games in LY’s playoffs, after falling behind 2-0; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Wisconsin. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

      Hornets-Warriors
      Charlotte lost three of last four games; they’re 2-1 as a road underdog, losing away games by 19-15 points (over 2-1). Golden State lost at home to the Spurs last nite; they’re 1-4, 0-3 in their new arena, 0-1 as a HF. Four of there five games went over.

      Steph Curry’s dad is a Charlotte TV analyst, but Steph (broken hand) is out; Golden State won nine of last ten series games. Hornets are 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Oakland.

      76ers-Trailblazers
      No Embiid for Philly here; 76ers are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, with road wins by 6 at Detroit, 2 in Atlanta. Three of their four games stayed under. Portland won three of last four games, all on road; they lost their only home game. Three of their last four games went over.

      Home side won eight of last nine series games, with Portland winning last three; four of last five series games went over. Philly is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oregon.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358318

        #63
        NBA

        Saturday, November 2


        Trend Report

        Oklahoma City Thunder
        Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Oklahoma City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
        Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
        Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
        Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
        New Orleans Pelicans
        New Orleans is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
        New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
        New Orleans is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
        New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
        New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
        New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
        New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City

        Orlando Magic
        Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        Orlando is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games
        Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
        Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Denver
        Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
        Orlando is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Denver
        Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
        Denver Nuggets
        Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
        Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games on the road
        Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
        Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Orlando
        Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
        Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
        Denver is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Orlando
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando

        Detroit Pistons
        Detroit is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games
        Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
        Detroit is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
        Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
        Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
        Brooklyn Nets
        Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
        Brooklyn is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
        Brooklyn is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Detroit
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 9 games when playing Detroit
        Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Brooklyn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit

        Milwaukee Bucks
        Milwaukee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
        Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
        Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
        Milwaukee is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
        Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
        Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
        Milwaukee is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Toronto
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto
        Toronto Raptors
        Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
        Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
        Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
        Toronto is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

        Memphis Grizzlies
        Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 18 games
        Memphis is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
        Memphis is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Phoenix
        Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
        Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis's last 13 games when playing at home against Phoenix
        Phoenix Suns
        Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        Phoenix is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
        Phoenix is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Phoenix is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Memphis
        Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
        Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing on the road against Memphis

        Washington Wizards
        Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
        Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
        Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
        Washington is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota
        Washington is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
        Minnesota Timberwolves
        Minnesota is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
        Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Minnesota is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
        Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Washington
        Minnesota is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Washington
        Minnesota is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington

        Golden State Warriors
        Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
        Golden State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
        Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Golden State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
        Golden State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
        Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
        Golden State is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte
        Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
        Charlotte Hornets
        Charlotte is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
        Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games
        Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
        Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
        Charlotte is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing Golden State
        Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State

        Portland Trail Blazers
        Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
        Portland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
        Portland is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
        Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 19 of Portland's last 25 games at home
        Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
        Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        Philadelphia 76ers
        Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
        Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358318

          #64
          NBA
          Dunkel

          Saturday, November 2



          New Orleans @ Oklahoma City

          Game 501-502
          November 2, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Orleans
          115.409
          Oklahoma City
          120.999
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oklahoma City
          by 5 1/2
          242
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oklahoma City
          by 3
          228 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oklahoma City
          (-3); Over

          Brooklyn @ Detroit


          Game 503-504
          November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Brooklyn
          114.858
          Detroit
          110.926
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Brooklyn
          by 4
          237
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Brooklyn
          by 1 1/2
          224
          Dunkel Pick:
          Brooklyn
          (-1 1/2); Over

          Denver @ Orlando


          Game 505-506
          November 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Denver
          116.579
          Orlando
          115.102
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Denver
          by 1 1/2
          200
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Denver
          by 4 1/2
          204 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Orlando
          (+4 1/2); Under

          Minnesota @ Washington


          Game 509-510
          November 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Minnesota
          118.304
          Washington
          115.520
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 3
          224
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          by 2 1/2
          226 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (+2 1/2); Under

          Phoenix @ Memphis


          Game 507-508
          November 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Phoenix
          114.420
          Memphis
          115.727
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Memphis
          by 1 1/2
          218
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Phoenix
          by 2
          221
          Dunkel Pick:
          Memphis
          (+2); Under

          Toronto @ Milwaukee


          Game 511-512
          November 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Toronto
          127.733
          Milwaukee
          126.507
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Toronto
          by 1
          217
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Milwaukee
          by 5
          226 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Toronto
          (+5); Under

          Charlotte @ Golden State


          Game 513-514
          November 2, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charlotte
          111.970
          Golden State
          115.161
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Golden State
          by 3
          232
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Golden State
          Pick
          222 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Golden State
          Under

          Philadelphia @ Portland


          Game 515-516
          November 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          122.413
          Portland
          126.592
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Portland
          by 4
          221
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Portland
          by 1 1/2
          219
          Dunkel Pick:
          Portland
          (-1 1/2); Over
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358318

            #65
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Saturday, November 2


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW ORLEANS (1 - 4) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 5:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ORLEANS is 48-74 ATS (-33.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
            OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-78 ATS (-27.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BROOKLYN (2 - 3) at DETROIT (2 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BROOKLYN is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            BROOKLYN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            BROOKLYN is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
            BROOKLYN is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            DETROIT is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
            DETROIT is 227-276 ATS (-76.6 Units) after a division game since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DENVER (3 - 2) at ORLANDO (2 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            DENVER is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHOENIX (3 - 2) at MEMPHIS (1 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHOENIX is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
            MEMPHIS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            PHOENIX is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MINNESOTA (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MINNESOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
            WASHINGTON is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
            WASHINGTON is 119-164 ATS (-61.4 Units) in November games since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
            WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TORONTO (4 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (3 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MILWAUKEE is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MILWAUKEE is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
            MILWAUKEE is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            MILWAUKEE is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            MILWAUKEE is 159-203 ATS (-64.3 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
            MILWAUKEE is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MILWAUKEE is 7-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            TORONTO is 7-6 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
            8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (1 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHARLOTTE is 190-239 ATS (-72.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
            GOLDEN STATE is 45-62 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
            GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (4 - 0) at PORTLAND (3 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 10:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
            PORTLAND is 101-80 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            PORTLAND is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
            PORTLAND is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 164-125 ATS (+26.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358318

              #66
              Hoop Trends - Saturday
              Vince Akins

              ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
              -- The Suns are 10-0 ATS (7.60 ppg) as a favorite with more than one day of rest after they scored more than 50 points in the paint last game.

              ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
              -- The Pelicans are 0-14 ATS (-9.29 ppg) as a road dog with rest off a 10+ point win as a dog last game.

              OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
              -- The Grizzlies are 13-0-1 OU (15.93 ppg) as a home dog after they had a shooting percentage 10+ percent below their season-to-date average last game.

              OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
              -- The Bucks are 0-14-1 OU (-10.90 ppg) at home off a 10+ point win as a road favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358318

                #67
                Georgia vs. Florida
                Brian Edwards

                No. 8 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 6 Florida Gators
                Venue/Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
                Time/TV: Saturday, Nov. 2, 3:30 p.m. ET
                Line: Georgia -6, Total 45.5


                All that’s at stake in Jacksonville for Florida and Georgia on Saturday is an inside track to winning the SEC East, staying alive in hopes of making the College Football Playoff, denying the right for the other to enjoy the aforementioned fruits and – of course – 365 days of bragging rights with a bitter, border rival.

                As of late Friday afternoon, most books had the Bulldogs installed as six-point favorites with a total of 45.5. The Gators were +190 on the money line.

                Georgia (6-1 straight up, 3-4 against the spread) is off a 21-0 win over Kentucky as a 23.5-point home favorite. The 21 combined points ducked ‘under’ the 46-point total in a game that was played in wet and rainy conditions. In fact, the game remained scoreless until UGA drew first blood on a D’Andre Swift 39-yard touchdown run with 6:20 left in the third quarter.

                Brian Herrien added an eight-yard TD scamper for a 14-0 lead with 1:54 remaining in the third. Swift’s three-yard TD run with 6:24 left provided the final scoring.

                Georgia had advantages of 14-9 in first downs and 279-180 in total offense. Junior quarterback Jake Fromm completed 9-of-12 passes for a career-low 35 yards, while Swift ran 21 times for 179 yards and a pair of TDs. Herrien produced 60 rushing yards and one TD on 13 carries.

                Kirby Smart’s team started the year with wins at Vanderbilt (30-6), vs. Murray St. (63-17), vs. Arkansas St. (55-0), vs. Notre Dame (23-17) and at Tennessee (43-14). However, in a Week 7 home game vs. South Carolina, the Gamecocks came into Athens and captured a 20-17 win in double overtime as 21-point road underdogs.

                Fromm entered the game without an interception, but he was picked off three times by South Carolina sophomore CB Israel Mukuamu. South Carolina could’ve won in the first overtime after Mukuamu intercepted Fromm for a third time on the first possession, but Parker White pushed a potential game-winning field goal wide right.

                In the second extra session, however, White buried a 24-yard field goal. Rodrigo Blankenship, who might be the second-best kicker in UGA history behind Kevin Butler, had a chance to answer but hooked his FGA from more than 40 yards out.

                South Carolina lost starting QB Ryan Hilinski to a knee injury in the second quarter, forcing Will Muschamp to turn to a third-string QB (considering how Week 1 starter Jake Bentley is out with a season-ending injury). Hilinski was hot, too, completing 15-of-20 passes for 116 yards and one TD without an interception. His 46-yard TD pass to Bryan Edwards put the Gamecocks ahead 7-3 late in the opening stanza.

                With the score knotted at 10-10, the game turned on Mukuamu’s 53-yard pick-six with 1:00 left until halftime. Georgia got a six-yard TD run from Demetris Robertson with 1:48 remaining to force overtime.

                Fromm has connected on 123-of-174 passes (70.7%) for 1,406 yards with a 9/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. True freshman WR George Pickens has a team-best 23 catches for 318 yards and two TDs, while Lawrence Cager has 19 receptions for 245 yards and three TDs.

                Cager, who missed the win over Kentucky with an injured shoulder, is listed as ‘questionable.’ Herrien is also a question mark with a back injury, in addition to CB Tyson Campbell, CB Mark Webb and DE Jordan Davis.

                UGA has two other notable threats in its WR group, Demetris Robertson and Dominick Blaylock. Robertson, who was a five-star recruit out of Savannah, GA., that started his career at California, has 18 catches for 205 yards and three TDs.

                Junior RB D’Andre Swift leads the SEC in both rushing yards (752) and TDs (seven). Swift is averaging 6.8 yards per carry. Herrien has run for 311 yards and five TDs, averaging 5.9 YPC. Redshirt freshman Zamir White has 245 rushing yards, two TDs and a 6.3 YPC average.

                Kirby Smart’s team is ranked No. 15 in the country in rushing yards and No. 24 in scoring with its 36.0 points-per-game average. Fromm has been sacked only four times this year, with three of those coming in the loss to South Carolina.

                UGA is seventh in the nation in total defense, fifth in run defense and fifth in scoring ‘D’ (10.6 points per game). The Bulldogs’ stop unit is led by junior LB Monty Rice, who has a team-high 41 tackles to go with three QB hurries and one pass broken up. Freshman LB Azeez Ojulari has a team-high 3.5 sacks and 14 QB hurries.

                Florida (7-1 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) owns wins vs. Miami (24-20 in Orlando), vs. UT-Martin (45-0), at Kentucky (29-21), vs. Tennessee (34-3), vs. Towson (38-0), vs. Auburn (24-13) and at South Carolina (38-27). The UF defense came up large late in the fourth quarter against the Hurricanes in an Aug. 24 season opener.

                After fourth-year junior QB Feleipe Franks went down with a season-ending injury in the third quarter at Kentucky, Kyle Trask rallied Florida from a 21-10 fourth-quarter deficit to win a 29-21 decision as a 9.5-point road favorite. Trask, another fourth-year junior signal caller, had not started a game since his freshman year of high school (when he was the back-up to Houston star QB D’Eriq King), but he has been outstanding since taking over for Franks.

                Trask completed 19-of-31 throws for 234 yards and two TDs without an interception against Auburn. He was sharp in UF’s only defeat as well, throwing for 310 yards and three TDs compared to one interception in a 42-28 loss at LSU that was a much closer game than the final score indicated.

                Dan Mullen’s squad came up empty on a pair of fourth-and-goal attempts in the fourth quarter against the Tigers, who were aided by injuries to UF’s two best pass rushers, preseason All-American DE Jabari Zuniga and DE Jonathan Greenard. Zuniga didn’t play against Tennessee or Auburn after spraining his ankle in the third quarter of the victory at Kentucky. He tried to give it a go against LSU but clearly wasn’t 100 percent and eventually left the game.

                Greenard injured his ankle the week before LSU against Auburn. He left the game after the first series in Baton Rouge. Zuniga and Greenard both sat out in the win over the Gamecocks. Both edge rushers have been listed as ‘probable’ since Monday.

                Greenard, a junior who transferred to UF from Louisville, has played like an All-American since donning the orange and blue colors. He has recorded 28 tackles, seven QB hurries, four sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, three PBU, one forced fumble and one interception. Zuniga has been limited to just four games, producing 11 tackles, three sacks, 2.5 TFL’s and one QB hurry.

                UF will also welcome the return of explosive WR Kadarius Toney, who hasn’t played since sustaining a wrist injury in the Week 2 win over UT-Martin. Toney, who is listed as ‘probable,’ turned a receiver screen into a 66-yard TD catch in the opener against Miami. The junior wideout produced 10.9 yards on 46 touches in 2018, including the-game winning TD pass in a 13-6 victory at Mississippi St. Toney played QB in high school and is sometimes featured in the Wildcat formation.

                Florida went into the fourth quarter trailing South Carolina, 20-17, only to explode for 21 points in the final stanza. Trask found Freddie Swain for a 25-yard TD pass to put the Gators up 24-20 with 9:54 remaining. Next, Trask hit TE Kyle Pitts with a five-yard scoring strike. Finally, a five-yard TD toss to Trevon Grimes made it 38-20 with 4:02 left.

                Trask threw for 200 yards and four TDs with one interception at South Carolina. Dameon Pierce produced 87 rushing yards and one TD on seven carries, while LaMical Perine had 68 rushing yards on 14 totes. Redshirt freshman WR Jacob Copeland had three receptions for 89 yards and one TD.

                For the season, Trask has completed 67.5 percent of his throws for 1,391 yards with a 14/4 TD-INT ratio. Emory Jones, the redshirt freshman QB who saw significant playing time against Auburn and LSU, has connected on 17-of-28 (60.7%) passes for 125 yards and two TDs without an interception. Jones has run for 116 yards and one TD, averaging 6.1 YPC.

                Pitts is enjoying a breakout campaign as a true sophomore, hauling in a team-high 35 receptions for 391 yards and four TDs. Swain has 21 catches for 339 yards and four TDs, while Van Jefferson has 21 grabs for 331 yards and three TDs.

                Perine has 461 rushing yards and four TDs, averaging 4.7 YPC. Peirce has 248 rushing yards and three TDs on 35 attempts for a 7.1 YPC average.

                Florida is ranked 25th in the nation in total defense and 12 in scoring ‘D’ (15.8 PPG). Senior LB David Reese is second in the SEC in tackles with 66. He has one TFL and one sack. Junior cornerback CJ Henderson, who was a second-team All-SEC selection last season, paces the SEC in PBU with nine even though he’s played in only five games. Henderson was injured against UT-Martin and missed the next three contests.

                The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for UGA, cashing at a 4-1 clip in its past five contests. The Bulldogs have seen their games average combined scores of 46.6 PPG.

                The ‘under’ is 5-3 overall for the Gators, who have seen their games average combined scores of 48.2 PPG. However, UF has seen back-to-back games ‘over’ the total with combined scores of 65 and 70 points.

                UF has won 21 of 29 head-to-head meetings over UGA since 1990, but the Bulldogs have prevailed in the last two meetings. They ran the Gators out of town in a 42-7 triumph two seasons ago.

                Georgia pulled away from UF in the fourth quarter to win by a 36-17 count as a seven-point ‘chalk’ last year. Fromm was the catalyst, hitting 17-of-24 passes for 240 yards and three TDs without an interception. Swift had 104 rushing yards and one TD on 12 carries.

                Friday’s weather forecast in Jacksonville was for late showers, but the chances of rain on Saturday afternoon are only 20 percent. The conditions are expected to be cloudy with a high temperature of 68 degrees.

                Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.

                **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

                -- The ‘under’ is 5-2-1 in the past nine UF-UGA games in Jacksonville.

                -- Best ATS teams: Ohio State (7-1), Auburn (7-1), Louisiana (6-1), Clemson (6-2), SMU (6-2), Georgia State (5-1-2), Oklahoma State (6-2), Tulane (6-2) and Kentucky (6-2).

                -- Worst ATS squads: Akron (0-8), UMass (1-7), Nebraska (1-7), Vanderbilt (1-6), Ga. Tech (1-6), Texas State (1-5-1), Rutgers (2-6), Bowling Green (2-6), Arkansas (2-6), Mississippi State (2-6), Syracuse (2-6), FIU (2-6), North Texas (2-6), Michigan State (2-6), Ohio (2-6), Army (2-6) and Marshall (2-6).

                -- Oklahoma State won’t have star WR Tylan Wallace for the rest of the season due to a torn ACL. Wallace had 53 receptions for 903 yards and eight TDs in eight games for the Cowboys, who are 2.5-point home favorites Saturday vs. TCU.

                -- Michigan State senior LB Joe Bachie saw his collegiate career come to a premature end Thursday when the NCAA suspended him for testing positive for a banned performance-enhancing drug. Bachie was a second-team All-Big-Ten selection in 2017 and a fourth-team All-American for the Spartans last year. He had 71 tackles, five TFL’s, four PBU, 3.5 sacks, three QB hurries and one interception in 2019.

                -- The ‘under’ has cashed in five straight Utah State games. The Aggies host BYU on Saturday at 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. As of late Friday afternoon, most books had Gary Andersen’s team listed as a three-point home favorite vs. the Cougars, who will be without a pair of starters on the offensive line (Tristen Hoge and Kieffer Longson). The total was 50.5 points.

                -- Indiana LB Thomas Allen is out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Allen, a sophomore who had 28 tackles, two TFL’s, one sack and one interception in 2018, had recorded 17 tackles and 0.5 TFL’s before going down. IU quarterback Michael Penix is ‘questionable’ Saturday vs. Northwestern, so Payton Ramsey will likely get the starting nod. Ramsey has completed 72.1 percent of his passes with an 8/3 TD-INT ratio.

                -- Northwestern DE Ernest Brown is out at IU with an undisclosed season-ending injury. Brown had 22 tackles, four sacks, 3.5 TFL’s, four QB hurries and three PBU for the Wildcats last year. In 2019, he produced 15 tackles, two sacks, 0.5 TFL’s and two PBU in six games. Don’t blame Northwestern’s issues on senior DE Joe Gaziano, who was a second-team All-Big-Ten selection in 2018. Gaziano has 31 tackles, 5.5 sacks, three TFL’s, three forced fumbles, one QB hurry and one PBU. Pat Fitzgerald’s team is one of the nation’s biggest disappointments, and it’s all on the offense. The Wildcats are last in the nation, No. 130 out of 130 FBS team, in scoring with their 10.6 PPG average. They’ve scored more than 15 points only once this year, a 30-spot in a home win over UNLV. Northwestern is an 11-point underdog at IU. The Hoosiers are 7-2 ATS in nine games as a double-digit favorite on Tom Allen’s watch.

                -- Northwestern RB Isaiah Bowser and WR JJ Jefferson have both ruled ‘out’ at IU.

                -- Three QBs were upgraded to ‘probable’ earlier this week: FAU’s Chris Robison, UCLA’s Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez.

                -- Wake Forest QB Jamie Newman remains ‘questionable’ vs. North Carolina St. The Demon Deacons, who have had two weeks to prep for the Wolfpack, are favored by 7.5 points.

                -- Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier is ‘questionable’ at San Jose St. The Spartans are 17-point home underdogs.

                -- South Carolina RB Rico Dowdle is ‘out’ vs. Vanderbilt.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358318

                  #68
                  by: Monty Andrews


                  NARROW WINS ARE THEIR FORTE

                  Wake Forest has looked impressive this season – but a deeper look reveals a run of good fortune, as well, as the Demon Deacons host the NC State Wolfpack on Saturday. The Demon Deacons are 6-1 SU but just 3-3-1 ATS, with four of their victories coming by six or fewer points. And they face two major question marks this weekend against the Wolfpack, with starting quarterback Jamie Newman's status for this weekend's game still in doubt and the Demon Deacons set to be without leading tackler Justin Strnad, who underwent season-ending biceps surgery last week.

                  With the Demon Deacons just 8-14-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite of 7+ points and NC State moving forward with a new starting QB in Devin Leary (who threw for three TDs in relief last week), we like the Wolfpack and the points.


                  A WHOLE LOTTA RUNNING

                  Pass attempts will be few and far between Saturday at Falcon Stadium as Air Force and Army tangle in an all-Armed Forces encounter. The host Falcons and Black Knights rank second and fifth, respectively, in rushing yards per game coming into the weekend. But while Air Force has also been proficient in stopping the run (limiting opponents to 92.9 yards per game on the ground), Army ranks outside the top 50 in rushing defense and has allowed 28+ points in three of its previous four games. It has also gone five consecutive games without a cover, while Air Force has covered five straight.

                  Air Force is averaging 40.8 points at home this season while winning all four games at Falcon Stadium by an average of 25.3 points. Look for the home side to cover despite being a sizeable favorite.


                  NOT GIVING AN INCH

                  Georgia and Florida will put their respective elite defenses on display this Saturday in Gainesville, and that could mean a major lack of scoring – especially in the early going. Not only do the Bulldogs and Gators rank first and third, respectively, in red-zone defense for the season, they've also done a terrific job at forcing teams to go for three points, allowing just 23 touchdowns against 13 field goals. Georgia ranks 11th in the country in fewest first-quarter points allowed to FBS teams (2.3), while Florida isn't far behind in 27th spot (3.8) – and that average shrinks to just 3.0 at home.

                  Bettors could go one of two ways here; the field goal as the first scoring play is a decent option at +200, as is the Under on the overall first-half total.


                  WHO'S LEFT?

                  You could hardly blame Colorado Buffaloes fans for being a little perplexed at the player exodus the team has endured this season. But it's back to on-field business Saturday as the Buffaloes visit UCLA. Three players (DB Aaron Maddox, TE Darrion Jones and LB Jacob Callier) have bolted from the team since the middle of the month, bringing the number of departures under new head coach Mel Tucker to more than a dozen. And that has played a major role in Colorado ranking 125th in the nation in total defense heading into Saturday's encounter with a Bruins team that has gone 3-1-1 ATS in its last five.

                  With the Bruins' offense humming (35.7 ppg over the past three games) and Colorado merely concerned with fielding a team amid a litany of departures, it's hard to go against the home team on what looks like a reasonable spread.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358318

                    #69
                    Saturday's Essentials
                    Tony Mejia

                    Here’s a look at what must be considered before wagering on Saturday's slate in select FBS vs. FBS matchups:

                    Early Starts

                    NC State at Wake Forest (-7.5/60.5), 12 p.m. ET, ESPN:
                    After bouncing back from a tough 62-59 loss to Louisville by edging Florida State, the Demon Deacons hit November with national championship aspirations. No, seriously. They’ll just have to hold serve here and pull off road upsets of Clemson and Virginia before two more wins over Duke and Syracuse in order to reach the ACC title game ahead of the defending champion Tigers. Possible but not probable, the Deacs will have to avoid an upset here to get the ball rolling and must potentially overcome the absence of senior QB Jamie Newman, who is questionable with a shoulder injury. The very capable Sam Hartman would start if Newman can’t go.

                    The Wolfpack are looking to get back to .500 behind new starting QB Devin Leary, who did the bulk of the work before last week’s bye in a loss at Boston College. N.C. State had a pair of October bye weeks, one to start the month and one to end it, which gives them an opporutinity to legitimately surprise Wake Forest with things they haven’t seen on film. Leary, a redshirt freshman who was third on the depth chart most of the season, will need to put up points since Wake should put up points no matter who is under center since WRs Sage Surratt and Scotty Washington are likely to have their way with N.C. State’s undersized, inexperienced corners.

                    Nebraska (-4/58) at Purdue, 12 p.m. ET, FOX:
                    These teams were expecting this opening game of November to be enormous in fueling their West Division title hopes. Instead, the ‘Huskers are just hoping to avoid slipping under .500 and the Boilers are looking to begin a run of four straight wins just to finish 6-6 and move their streak of bowl bids to three. Considering they’ve still got to win at Wisconsin, that’s unlikely. Jeff Brohm’s team has had terrible luck with injuries but has also underachieved. They beat Nebraska in Lincoln for the first time ever last year but have been without standout WR Rondale Moore and probably won’t have him back from a leg injury suffered in late September.

                    Nebraska will finally get QB Adrian Martinez back after a two-week absence. He looked like he was going to play in last week’s loss to Indiana but was ultimately held out due to a fear that he wouldn’t be able to protect himself due to a balky left knee. That fear no longer exists. Maurice Washington remains out, but Martinez’s return means Purdue’s defense will have to be locked in against the most capable offensive theam they’ve seen since opening October at Penn State. Boilers’ redshirt freshman QB Jack Plummer was benched during last week’s 24-6 turnover-prone loss at Illinois but will start again.

                    Houston at UCF (-21.5/72), 12 p.m ET, ESPN2:
                    Houston QB D’Eriq King redshirting to return next season means this won’t be the formidable duel that was expected when the schedule was released. After nearly taking down SMU last week, the Cougs are nevertheless dangerous despite coming in with a losing record. RBs Kyle Porter and Patrick Carr have been cleared to play and WR Marquez Stevenson comes off a 10-catch, 211-yard effort against the Mustangs, so there is a lot of talent at the skill positions for Clayton Tune to continue working with. This will be Dana Holgorsen’s first look at UCF and Orlando’s “Bounce Hounce” since coming over from the Big 12. U of H has won the last two meetings between the schools, which includes a 59-10 road win in 2015.

                    The Knights come off a 63-21 win at Temple and will be favored in their final three regular-season games but won’t get back to a conference championship game unless Cincinnati is beaten twice. That’s unlikely. UCF has scored 104 points in its two games since suffering a 27-24 setback at the Bearcats to open October. RB Adrian Killins will be back from an arm injury, restoring the team’s quality depth at tailback despite the absence of Greg McRae (knee). Freshman QB Dillon Gabriel and backup Darriel Mack, Jr. lead an offense averaging 46.6 points per game. The Knights won’t play at home again until closing the regular season with their annual post-Thanksgiving clash with rival South Florida.

                    Michigan (-21.5/58) at Maryland, 12 p.m. ET, ABC:
                    The Wolverines were able to flex some muscle in rainy conditions last Saturday night, running up the score in a 45-14 win against overwhelmed Notre Dame. Jim Harbaugh’s team will have a bye on deck before tackling their final stretch of games against rival Michigan State, upstart Indiana and mighty Ohio State, so we’ll see how they approach this road game considering their 2-8 ATS over their last 10 trips outside Ann Arbor. Michigan is relatively healthy outside of top receiver Ronnie Bell, who tweaked a knee and left the field against the Irish.

                    Maryland got some bodies back for Minnesota last week but were never given a chance to knock off any of the rust in getting overwhelmed 52-10. The Terps have dropped five of six and have given up over 46 points per game in their last four losses. They’re unlikely to gain bowl eligibility in Mike Locksley’s first season since this one will be followed by a visit to Columbus next week, but getting QB Josh Jackson back where he needs to be to lead the program will be a priority. Tyrrell Pigrome should also get snaps after getting his knee back up to speed after leaving the field in Minneapolis. Maryland has a number of injury-related issues up front that won’t help its cause.

                    Afternoon Delights

                    Virginia Tech at Notre Dame (-17.5/58.5), 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC:
                    Brian Kelly had an awful birthday in Ann Arbor after suffering a blowout loss that ended all hopes of another championship chase but needs to pick up the pieces and has a manageable slate that should allow them to win 10 games for a third straight season. The Irish haven’t lost in South Bend since falling to Georgia to open 2017, a span of 15 games. They’re heavily favored against the Hokies. They nearly had their streak of home wins end against USC in a 30-27 win on Oct. 12 but are 3-1 ATS at Notre Dame Stadium. Notre Dame has won seven consecutive games following Michigan week.

                    Justin Fuente went 3-0 in October to help take some of the heat off, notching upsets over Miami and North Carolina and finding himself a QB in sophomore Hendon Hooker, who has thrown seven TD passes and ran for another score. RB DeShawn McClease has gained 253 yards during their winning streak to key a balanced rushing attack that has helped defenses from coming after Hooker. The Hokies are 11-6 on the road under Fuente and are embarking on the final month of legendary defensive coordinator Bud Foster’s career. DT DaShawn Crawford is expected back from a high-ankle sprain.

                    Georgia (-6.5/45.5) vs. Florida, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS:
                    Saturday’s top matchup is an elimination game as far as the national title race is concerned since the loser here will absorb a second loss and watch the other just about reserve a spot in the SEC Championship. The teams are meeting as Top-10 dwellers for the second straight season and have signed on to keep their series in Jacksonville. The Dawgs have had the tougher schedule thus far and still have to deal with Auburn and Texas A&M but come in relatively healthy. WR Lawrence Cager and corner Tyson Campbell have been cleared to play after injuries, while Florida is also good to go here with DL Jabari Zuniga and LB Jonathan Greenard both set to play after sitting due to ankle injuries.

                    Since Jake Fromm struggled so much in the loss to South Carolina, he’s under the most pressure to perform at TIAA Bank Field, especially with the Gators back at full strength defensively. He’s 30-6 in Athens and has led the offense to 36 points per game this season but will need to make plays downfield since Georgia’s defense will have to deal with WR Kadarius Toney, who returns to bolster an attack that Kyle Trask has had success sparking over the past few weeks. The Gators have outscored opponents 147-55 in the second half of games. Georgia has scored only one first-quarter touchdown over its last four games and isn’t likely to catch Florida by surprise early, so backing a first-quarter or even a first-half under may be worth a play. Georgia won three straight from ’11-’13, lost three in a row from ’14-’16 and are again looking for a three-game win streak after taking the last two meetings by a combined margin of 88-24.

                    Miami (FL) at Florida State (-3/49), 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC:
                    This used to be the game of the year in college football in the 1990s and has had a few important chapters written over the past decade-plus, but it has stopped being must-watch over the past few years with both programs sliding. Manny Diaz has coached in a few of these but this will be his first one in the head seat, while FSU’s Willie Taggart lost his first one of these 28-27 as the ‘Noles blew a 20-point lead as a 14-point underdog in South Florida.

                    Both teams have had incredibly disappointing seasons but can improve to 5-4 with a win, while the loser will slip under .500. The road team is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings but there’s only been one upset over the last eight contests. Fifteen of the last 17 games have been decided by seven points or fewer. Miami will have RB DeeJay Dallas and linebacker Michael Pinckney back after they missed the win over Pitt last week and have Tate Martell available to backup starter Jarren Williams, who fueled last week’s comeback victory with a great final drive. He’ll have WR Jeff Thomas available too. QB N’Kosi Perry is questionable. FSU will have top RB Cam Akers and tackle Dontae Lucas available. If this game comes down to a field goal, the ‘Noles will have senior Ricky Aguayo available after he missed last week’s win due to an illness.

                    Utah (-3/47.5) at Washington, 4 p.m. ET, FOX:
                    The Huskies are stuck in a spoiler role after suffering losses to Cal, Stanford and most recently, Oregon, which narrowly escaped Husky Stadium two weeks ago. Chris Petersen had gone 20-1 in his last 21 home games entering the season but has already dropped a pair of tight games and still has to deal with Washington State just after Thanksgiving to end the regular season. The Utes come into town intent on revenge after falling in last year’s Pac-12 title game 10-3 to drop a third straight heartbreaker in this series. Despite all the success Kyle Whittingham has had in Salt Lake City, Utah has lost 12 of 13 against U-Dub, winning 34-23 in Seattle in ’15. They lost 33-30 as a 17-point underdog the last time they came through town, so it’s clear the gap has shrunk considering they’re in a road favorite role here.

                    The Utes will have Tyler Huntley at the controls after he sat with a leg injury, allowing sophomore Jason Shelley a little shine to show that the future at the position is bright. RB Zack Moss was terrific in a demolition of Cal and also looks healthy. Washington is concerned with the availability of WRs Will Fuller, Puka Naca and Chico McClatcher, so Jacob Eason could be down a number of quality targets as he looks to solve another stingy defense after an excellent performance against the Ducks.

                    Primetime Matchups

                    Oregon (-4/62) at USC, 8 p.m. ET, FOX:
                    A win at the Coliseum would send the Ducks into a bye week with their national title hopes intact despite that season-opening loss to Auburn. Although the Pac-12 is down, Oregon has a chance to enhance its national profile with a strong finish by holding serve here, sweeping the Arizona schools and then claiming the Civil War prior to a conference title win against either the Utes or these Trojans. Despite all their attrition, USC’s recruiting success has allowed it to survive a myriad of injuries that would have decimated most other programs. There’s buzz that Urban Meyer will eventually be the school’s next coach, but there’s still plenty that can be accomplished this season as the team has picked itself up after suffering road losses to BYU, Washington and Notre Dame.

                    Kedon Slovis threw for over 400 yards against Colorado and has been excellent, especially since he’s a true freshman. Kurt Warner’s protégé has been particularly strong in the fourth quarter, racking up five touchdown throws and 449 yards on 35-for-45 passing. He’ll be running into the best defense he’s seen to date since facing Utah in a game in which he left with a concussion in addition to the 30-23 win currently making the difference in the South Division. The Ducks will have RB Travis Dye in the fold and have found ways to win tight games that eluded them in Mario Cristobal’s first season. They’ve won two of the last three in L.A. and have picked up victories in four of six.
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