Service Plays Thursday 10/31/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc
5 Unit Lac -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
3 Unit SA +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4 Unit over 227.5 sa/lac

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eastman
3 Unit Atl +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* Over 57 Baylor/West Virginia
100* Clippers -5
100* Nuggets -4
100* Over 43 Cards/Niners

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


BASKETBALL PLAYS

• Game: (565) San Antonio Spurs at (566) Los Angeles Clippers
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2019 10:35 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 226.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Spurs open this season at 3-0 and with that came a 3-0 record to the Over....with an average game total over 233 points. In this spot, the trend for the home team on no rest back at home for a game against a team with rest...with a total 220 or higher, the Over is 10-5 with an average of about 227 per game in this trend.
  The Clippers played in Utah last night and gave Kawhi the night off...and much like will occur on a regular basis, when he sits and PG is injured the team is largely going to be overmatched against playoff type teams such as Utah...and on the road. When at full strength, though, no team really is even in the realm of how good the Clips have been on the offensive end. The EFG% on the young season is currently 58.4, and almost 3 full points higher than the next closest competitor. The Warriors finished the '18-19 season with a 56%, also the league leader from last season. This stat for Doc's team also includes the mere 52% they put up against the Jazz just last night!
  Neither team has been really amped up on the defensive end, and the def.efficiency rating shows this, with the Clippers near the bottom of the league through 5 games, and with the Spurs only playing 3 home games thus far, are just right in the middle at 15th on the defensive end. Flipping over to the offensive end however, we have the #2 and #5 ranked offensive efficiency squads in the NBA. Additionally on the front of the Clippers just flat out slaughtering when they possess the ball...they also have a 123% true shooting rating, 6 full points higher than the next closest team, and again the Warriors finished last season with the best rating at 118% true shooting percentage.
  As far as further securing an Over play, neither team is particularly turnover prone on offense nor are they particularly great at forcing opponents to waste possessions. In fact, the Spurs (who have only played in the friendly confines thus far!) are the worst team so far this season at forcing opponents to turnover their possessions...merely a 10% rate of turnovers per offensive play for the opponent thus far. The Spurs do avoid fouling on defense and actually have the lowest rate in the NBA so far at just 16% fouls per defensive play, however the Clippers are the opposite in this regard, fouling nearly 23% of the defensive plays on their end.
  All this in addition to the low number and the reverse movement makes this quite a bargain of a price at 226!
  If this line has already moved a good deal I would play it maybe slightly differently...
  4% at 226 to 228
  3% at 228.5 to 229
  2% at 230 to 231
  I would not recommend playing this above these numbers....

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


HOCKEY PLAYS

• Game: (14) Nashville Predators In Regulation
  Date/Time: Oct 31 2019 8:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Nashville Predators In Regulation +107
  
  View Analysis
  
  **This play is on the Preds to win in regulation tonight at home to the Calgary Flames. This play may be shown as "in regulation" or "no OT" or maybe even -0.5 goals....all should be right around this plus line!**
  
  Pekka Rinne is as good as they come...he is undefeated on the season at 7-0-1 in his 8 starts, is off 2 straight shut outs, and has allowed 1 less goal on the season than the 8 starts in goal he has this year. He leads the league in our top used goalie anayltic of dSV% with 2.56 (an excellent number only topping his NHL best SV% period). He also has a nearly 5 GSAA with 4.84 on the season. Rittich for the Flames comes in with a -1 dSV% and -2.42 GSAA on the year in addition to being on the road and his offense is poor on the power play, poor at getting power play, and are on a 13-28 trend following their recent losses. Additional trends used for this play include a 6-14 and 18-37 for the Flames.
  The Flames are the 5th worst overall team with regard to PDO on the power play, and while Rinne's one weakness is the power play for opponents and drops both his analytics to the negative side, but the Flames are not the side that's going to affect Rinne in that way....and if the goalie wasn't enough...Roman Josi and Ryan Ellis are close to the best defensive pairing in the league....leading most in Corsi for and C+/- on the season and provide an excellent duo in front of Rinne making it even harder for poor offensive sides to get into the net.
  The Flames will be playing their 3rd consecutive road game and 7th on the season. In the previous 6 road games they have scored 8 total goals, are 1-5 on the road and are off 2 straight 2-1 losses with meager offense

[dawggy]

HUDDLE UP

Guaranteed 500,000*Lock:
San Francisco -10

High Roller Total:
West Virginia/Baylor over 56

Best Bets:
West Virginia +18'
San Francisco/Arizona over 42'
Appalachian State -15
Miami -6 NBA

San Francisco covers or Friday Night is free

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan
500♦
NFL Winner # 4 in a Row
Niners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brayman
100 Dime
Winner # 7 in a Row

NFC West Game of the Year
Niners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Release
miami heat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tri Lambda Sports
7* Ga Southern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* Denver/New Orleans under 225.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

3* Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

36-17 ATS NCAA THURSDAY NIGHT ELITE SYSTEM PLAY
Appalachian State

11-0 ATS NFL THURSDAY NIGHT GOLDEN INVESTMENT
Cardinals