Service Plays Tuesday 11/5/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George
4 Unit Lak -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris
4 Unit under 203.5 orl/okc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman
2 Unit bos -6
3 Unit Ind -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy
7 Unit under 216 Bos/Clev

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBASELECTION

Charlotte Hornets , money line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

CBB
2* Siena -2.5
2* Idaho St Under 141

CFB
2* Ball St +6.5
2* Toledo -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Aquino

NHL (totals): avalanche/stars under 5.5, coyotes/flames over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham

NHL
NY Islanders -250 @BetOnline
Calgary -153 @5dimes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lem Banker

---

Lakers

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (307017) William & Mary at (307018) High Point
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: William & Mary -1.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Wrong team favored- simple as that!
  
• Game: (307015) Northeastern at (307016) Boston University
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Boston University 3.0 (-120)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Wrong team favored- bought the hook...hey it's the beginning of the season...being careful as all hell!
  
• Game: (307023) Yale at (307024) Stony Brook Seawolves
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Stony Brook Seawolves 1.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Wrong team favored yet again....theme here....early season mistakes...not really even Vegas' fault...but our power rankings are nailing several of these close toss up type lines!
  
• Game: (611) VMI at (612) East Carolina
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: VMI 8.5 (-105)
  
  View Analysis
  
  This pick is all about VALUE!!!
  I am not even quite certain that East Carolina is the absolute winner of this game...and I will gladly fade the ECU squad laying this many points! I think VMI is as live a dog as we have on our card with the 1 or 2 point dogs honestly.....military night for us!
  
• Game: (307039) NC Asheville at (307040) Tennessee
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 141.5 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
• Game: (307061) Nicholls State at (307062) Illinois
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 8:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Over 150 (-120)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Bought the half point....this is a bargain price.....points galore!
  
• Game: (307073) Army at (307074) Villanova
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 8:30 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Army 23.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Almost 2 dozen points eh? For Nova? Well I agree Nova will figure it out like they almost always do of late, but Army sure as hell is the right side here and the side with the pride.....might even be single digits well into the second half!
  
• Game: (671) Saint Mary\'s CA at (672) Wisconsin
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 9:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 130.0 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  2 of the more plodding, but effective, teams match up tonight in the Dakotas for a great opening night showdown that can rival the Kansas/Duke and MSU/UK matchups, especially for college hoops junkies. These 2 teams both ranked in the bottom 10 last season with regard to possessions per game, but also have a defensive efficiency that excels near the top of the country as well. This is pretty much a standard, blah total to throw up there...and one that is definitely too high for these 2 teams to play each other...if they can avoid an extra frame of OT.
  Once you are delving down near the 120s and even lower you are in danger of free throws late and the whatnot, but this should be the slugfest of slugfests tonight and every single possession well thought out and developed...using up a large portion of each team's offensive shot clock on each possession. In addition they both have an excellent TO rate on offense as well as defense, so this is between a rock and a hard place.
  I like the first team to 60 to prevail with this victory...so let's hope neither team gets themselves into a mojo on the offensive end.

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


HOCKEY PLAYS

• Game: (9) Boston Bruins at (10) Montreal Canadiens
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:35 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 6.0 (-104)
  
  View Analysis
  
  17-10 last 27 and 10 of last 11 hitting this trend based upon the Bruins on no rest and travel tonight. Both goalies that Boston can send out there are incredibly +EV and we don't mind backing Rask or Halak. We should get Carey Price on the Habs end and this makes the play a full 4% as he is a boon over Kinkaid.
  
• Game: (13) Colorado Avalanche at (14) Dallas Stars
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 8:35 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Total Under 5.5 (-115)
  
  View Analysis
  
  Grubauer v. Bishop
  A little of the luster has come off the crazy hot start and the Stars have turned it around from the wicked rough start early in October. The Stars have Bishop going and period at home they are 7-1 to the Under and the Avs on the road just 3 times this season intra-conference are 2-1 Under...and Grubauer is still worth backing with a solid number like 5.5...as this game screams out 2-1 or 3-1...and I would lean toward the Stars...but ceiling here certainly in my esimation is 3-2
  
• Game: (19) St. Louis Blues at (20) Vancouver Canucks
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 10:05 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: St. Louis Blues +110
  
  View Analysis
  
  The champs as a dog with Binnington tonight facing Markstrom?? Over compensation for the poor early start? The Blues have won 4 in a row and 6 of 7 overall...and are in no different spot travel wise as both were away winners last time out. St. Louis is hot and there is no sense at not jumping at them as a dog period!

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


Game:(101) KENT STATE at (102) TOLEDO
Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 62.5 (-110)

View Analysis

[dawggy]

ANDREW MCINNIS


BASKETBALL PLAYS

• Game: (551) Miami Heat at (552) Denver Nuggets
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 9:05 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Miami Heat 4.5 (-108)

Miami Heat @ Denver Nuggets - Miami +4.5 (4%)

What a surprise the Miami heat have been this season, I really have to give it up to coach Erik Spolestra and to Pat Riley for drafting some great under the radar players the last few years. The Nuggets look pathetic to start the season. This team will only go as far as Jokic takes them and something seems wrong with him. I dont know if hes out of shape or just doesnt want to be aggressive, either way they look TERRIBLE on the offensive side of the ball as they average 103 PPG to Miami's 115. I love this Matchup for the Heat. Miami, who plays at the fastest pace in the league will be going against the slowest pace in the league vs the Nuggets. I watched the Nuggets last three games and they look LOST on offense, this is going to be tough for them as Miami is not a very forgiving defense themselves, allowing 107 PPG which is good for 12th in the league. I am very impressed with rookie Tyler Herro and this deep Miami bench. Comparing both teams starts to the season, it would be extremely ballsy backing Denver here, take the +4.5 points with Miami, theyll get the win here.

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS



BASKETBALL PLAYS

• Game: (621) George Washington at (622) Towson
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: George Washington 6.0 (-107)
  
  View Analysis
  
  #621 4* George Washington +6 Towson 7 PM
  Two teams that finished last season even and I have George Washington as the better team to start this year. GW returns 7 of their top 9 scorers including 3 starters (compared to 2 for Towson) and gets back a 27-game starter from 2017-18 who only played the first 7 games LY before getting injured. I like new HC Christian who took a Siena team that was picked for last finished second in the NEC LY.

Game:(643) San Antonio Roadrunners at (644) Oklahoma
Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Antonio Roadrunners 13.5 (-108)

View Analysis

The remaining 4 plays for a total of 5 will be posted by 1 PM ET/ 10 AM PT
#643 3% UTSA + 13.5 Oklahoma 8 PM -
Going into Oklahoma is tough but UTSA has the guards to do it. The Sooners are a young team as they have only one senior, who avg’d 11 PPG and he is out with a one-game suspension. UTSA has both guards back as returning starters and both made the All-CUSA team and are the highest scoring backcourt duo in the country. UTSA coach Steve Henson played for Kruger at Kansas St and was an assistant under him from 2011-2016 so I don’t see an embarrassing blowout in the offing,

• Game: (631) UT Rio Grande Valley at (632) South Dakota State
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 8:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: UT Rio Grande Valley 5.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  
  #631 4* UT Rio Grande Valley (UTRGV) +5 South Dakota St 8 PM
  The WAC can play basketball and this RGV squad has gone from 10 to 15 to 20 wins LY under HC Hill including going 8-7 SU on the road and 11-2 ATS as an AD. The Vaqueros play a pressing D and were 4th in the NCAA in turnovers forced per game. Javon Levi is the glue and he was a finalist or defensive player of the year. South Dakota St lost 3x Summit League POY in Mike Daum, lost their HC to UNLV and returns only 1 starter and 30% of minutes played.
• Game: (647) North Dakota St at (648) Kansas State
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 8:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: North Dakota St 12.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  #647 3* North Dakota St +12 Kansas St 8 PM
  Losing players like Brown, Stokes, and Wade is tough on a program and even tougher on KSt who was third last in recruiting in the conference. The Wildcats are also missing some depth with one back-up suspended and two injured meaning frosh will see plenty of time. North Dakota St only returned 2 starters last season yet won the conference tourney giving this year’s 5 returners confidence. The Bison got valuable experience playing at New Mexico St, at Iowa St, at #1 Gonzaga and against Duke in March Madness.
• Game: (683) Utah U at (684) Nevada
  Date/Time: Nov 5 2019 10:30 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Total Under 149.5 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  #683/#684 3* UNDER 149.5 Utah Nevada 10:30 PM
  Scoring WILL be down moving the 3-point line back from 20’ 9” to 22’ 1 ¾” but I’m not going to have many totals until we get a clear pace projection. In this game, we have a Nevada team that lost all 5 starters and I think the line is too high because of HC Alford, Yes, Afford ran fast-paced offenses at UCLA but he had Ball at PG. Utah will slow the pace and are clearly the better team here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

NBA

10* LA Lakers/Chicago over 215
10* Boston/Cleveland under 216

CBB

10* 607 Appalachian State/Michigan over 144