Service Plays Saturday 11/9/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAY:
So. Carolina -5.5
LSU +6 Alabama

SINGLE PLAYS:
Virginia -16.5
Ohio St -43.5
Minn +6.5
Florida -26.5
E. Carolina +21.5
Miss -28.5
Ok -14.5
Georgia -16.5
Georgia St -2.5
Wash St -7.5
SJ State +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline football
3:30
CFB
400%
Texas -7
over Kansas St

3:30
CFB
400%
So.Miss -7
over Uab
..
12:00
CFB
300%
Texas Tech -2'
over W.Virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Computer

NBA PREDICTIONS

ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS

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SPURS -3* 66%

DALLAS -3* 68%

BULLS -2* 57%
















NFL PREDICTIONS

ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS

-

n/a












OVER/UNDERS



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n/a
MONEYLINES


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n/a







CFB PREDICTIONS

ATS STRAIGHT PLAYS

-

PENN ST -3* 69%

NORTHWESTERN -4* 76%

WESTERN KENTUCKY -3* 66%

ALABAMA -5* 81%

OKLAHOMA ST -3* 68%

LOUISVILLE -2* 56%

TCU -4* 71%

WAKE FOREST -3* 65%



OVER/UNDERS



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OVER USC/ARIZONA STATE -4* 72%
OVER IOWA/WISCONSIN -3* 66%
UNDER NEW MEXICO STATE/OLE MISS -2* 59%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports

Marquee Picks For 11/09/19

4★ South Carolina -5.5 over Appalachian St. (NCAAF)

3★ Florida International +10.5 over Florida Atlantic (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports

NCAAF
Northwestern -1.5
Western Kentucky +1
Texas State -7.5
Southern Miss -7
Michigan State -14.5
North Texas +4.5
Liberty +17
Boise State -15

NBA
Grizzlies +3

NCAAB
Boise State +12

NHL
Lightning ML (-180)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham

NHL
Tampa Bay -180
Washington -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports
CBB
4*-air.force-1
3*-fullerton+13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo CBB

Yest: -7.6 units
YTD: -47.9 (yikes)

2-Unit Play. Take #606 Western Kentucky (-11.5) over Austin Peay (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Austin Peay is a solid team. But they are a rebuilding one. They lost five seniors (four starters) from last year's squad. And coach Matt Figger is replacing them with freshmen to work around explosive Terry Taylor. Western Kentucky wasn't great against Tennessee Tech in their opener. But they should play with a bit more confidence and consistency in this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #612 Charleston (-5.5) over Georgia State (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Georgia State has had a bit of a chaotic offseason and this is a team that is going to struggle in the Sun Belt this season after being in the top tier of that conference for the better part of a decade. Charleston still has Grant Riler and a solid defensive foundation in place. That should be enough to fend off a Sun Belt team still looking for an identity.

2-Unit Play. Take #625 Northern Iowa (+1.5) over Northern Illinois (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Northern Illinois is a one-man gang, with point guard Eugene German doing pretty much everything. I don't think that's going to be enough against a deep, experienced Northern Iowa team that is very good defensively. Northern Iowa should've covered for me for a big win in their first game, beating Old Dominion in a game that UNI really controlled from start to finish. Northern Illinois hasn't had a chance to play yet and it might take them a minute to get used to playing without their No. 2 and No. 3 scorers, who graduated. I think that the wrong team is favored.

2-Unit Play. Take #629 Iona (Pk) over LaSalle (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
LaSalle's program is kind of a mess. Iona can be up and down in the nonconference due to the noncommittal nature of their defense. But they have four starters back from last year's NCAA Tournament team. And they added Minnesota transfer Isaiah Washington and high-scoring JUCO transfer A.J. McNeil. LaSalle is rebuilding. Again. And I don't know that Ashley Howard has shown me anything to give me confidence in him. I'll go with Iona.

3-Unit Play. Take #631 Oklahoma (-4) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
I think that Dickie Pitino is a loser. And this very well could end up being his last year in Minnesota. His team is not good. They are young, yes. But they weren't that good the last two years with plenty of experience at his disposal. Oklahoma is a bit of a work in progress. But they have Brady Manek, who can do it all, and they are getting Kristian Doolittle back from a one-game suspension. They also have a coach that I have more trust in and I think he'll have his team ready here for this neutral court tilt.

1-Unit Play. Take #634 Chattanooga (-3) over Tennessee State (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Better team, better conference. Neither of these teams are anything to write home about. But Tennessee State is just outright bad. They brought back zero starters from last year's 9-21 team and they are still obviously rebuilding. Basically, TSU is where Chattanooga was last year. The Mocs have stabilized, though, and they have six players back from last year's team that should be ready to compete. I'll go with the home team against the short number here.

2-Unit Play. Take #649 Texas (+8) over Purdue (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Purdue is really, really tough at home. However, I don't know that they are this much better than Texas. Maybe if the Boilermakers get rolling they can get a blowout here. Shaka Smart is not a good coach at all. And he has a really young team. But he has some talent. And with Andrew Jones back in the fold this team's ceiling has risen. Purdue still has Matt Haarms, who is excellent. But they don't have a lot of experience and they are replacing a lot of firepower off the teams from the last two years. I think Purdue wins, but it will be close.

3-Unit Play. Take #654 Bradley (-12) over IUPUI (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Bradley got upset at St. Joseph's - admittedly a tough place to play - in their opening game. I think that they will rebound here in their own house. IUPUI wasn't even competitive against Butler and this team is replacing a slew of production from last year, as well as adjusting to a new coach after theirs was forced to resign at the end of August. This IUPUI team is basically a mess. They are physically overmatched in this game. Their tallest player is just 6-9 and they only have two other guys taller than 6-3. It's going to be a long year for them and I think they will get stomped again here.

1-Unit Play. Take #681 UT-San Antonio (-4.5) over Oakland (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
UTSA got hit by a truck in their last game, suffering an obvious letdown after they wound up and took a shot at Oklahoma in their opener. I think UT-SA will rebound here and they should shoot the ball much better. I like Oakland's program. But they are just replacing too much from last year to be counted on this early in the season.
Note: The following games may be found in College Extra or Added Games.

1-Unit Play. Take #7166 Georgetown (-21) over Central Arkansas (Noon)
The Hoyas looked shaky and barely escaped Mt. St. Mary's. I know the final score was a 13-point margin, but that game was a hell of a lot closer than that. I think Georgetown will jump on Central Arkansas early here. This Central Arkansas team lost by 44 points to Baylor and the Hoyas are too big and too strong for them.

2-Unit Play. Take #7168 Notre Dame (-20.5) over Robert Morris (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 9)
It is ridiculous that Notre Dame didn't cover at North Carolina and that is going to be one of our worst beats of the season. I think that they will be able to hammer Robert Morris in this one, as Bob Morris won't be able to slow the game down enough to keep this one competitive.

1-Unit Play. Take #7187 Prairie View (+17) over Central Florida (3 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
I think that Central Florida, which is replacing a ton of talent and experience, is looking ahead to its big game with Miami on Tuesday.

1-Unit Play. Take #7204 Providence (-16) over NJIT (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Providence looked great in its first start and they could be one of the more underrated teams in the country right now. Let's see if they can get another blowout to start the season.

1-Unit Play. Take #7217 Bethune Cookman (+28.5) over Texas Tech (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 9)
Texas Tech is not as good as last year. I know they are not. They had a big party in their opener and celebrated the Final Four run. Then they went out and beat Eastern Illinois by 25. Now I think that they are going to have a bit of a letdown and 'only' win this one by 25 or 26 points. I will be surprised if the Red Raiders shoot nearly 60 percent from 3-point range again and I think that hey will just coast in this one.

Note: These are 5-point teasers.
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #651 East Tennessee State (-5) over UT-Martin (8 p.m.) AND Take #606 Western Kentucky (-6.5) over Austin Peay (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #664 Maryland (-6.5) over Rhode Island (9 p.m.) AND Take #654 Bradley (-7) over IUPUI (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #676 Stanford (-8) over Cal-Fullerton (11 p.m.) AND Take #625 Northern Iowa (+6.5) over Northern Illinois (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #606 Western Kentucky (-6.5) over Austin Peay (4 p.m.) AND Take #654 Bradley (-7) over IUPUI (8 p.m.)

[dawggy]

Dr. Chuck


Game: (161) BAYLOR at (162) TCU
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: BAYLOR -2.5 (-108)

View Analysis

I just love love this price for the Bears, on extra rest, off a very subpar (but surviving) performance over the Mountaineers to stay undefeated and 8-0! They flat out are exemplary on defense...especially Big 12-wise...the way Gary Patterson has made his hay in recent seaons in a league very difficult to make your name with defense! Matt Rhule is an up and coming coach, and if he stays put the Bears will be a force to be reckoned with for a while. Baylor has a top 10 yards per play defense on the road, a top 15 defense in BOTH yards per rush and yards per pass attempt...but where they actually seem to fit in with the more common undefeated teams is they do have a 6.8 yards per play season average good for 11th in the country. TCU got us a very solid SU win over Texas a couple weeks ago, and we're grateful, but I just don't see the Frogs keeping this all that close, being unable almost completely to get going with the ball in hand!

Game: (153) USC at (154) ARIZONA STATE
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 56 (-108)

View Analysis

Defense, defense, and more defense. I trust both of these teams on defense to the point where I think this will be a trench slug fest of the day very possibly. USC is healthy and Herm's boys are always focused on offense...and while the Sun Devils are off a bye week, both teams are off an absolute debacle of defensive proportions...allowing 98 points to UCLA and Oregon, respectively.

Each coach will have spent the off time tightening the bolts of the defense and come out swinging, each offense will take some time to get used to the prowess, and with each team healthier and/or not facing suspensions from previous weeks...this feels like a 7-6 or so halftime score and hopefully we cruise from there. This spot following 2 conference teams being run up on the previous game is on a 24-14 Under run...making this spot even more contrarian and beneficial!

Game: (177) Georgia Southern at (178) TROY
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: TROY 3.0 (-105)

View Analysis

Feels like the easiest bet of the week in my humble opinion! I've been pumped for this since GASO held on to beat App State last Thursday and end their undefeated and ranked run. Georgia Southern played their asses off and it was no fluke, if anything the fluke was the game looks close on the scoreboard. Troy ain't App State and they excel through the air on offense...it hasn't been the year Chip Lindsey had hoped for to open his new reign, but this is certainly a game they have circled that is very winnable and at home!

No team really does less overall passing that Southern, and thus they are one dimensional, but against teams who focus on passing, and especially who can effectively move passing the ball like Troy...plus this is a very public move of course eager to back a team off a huge upset! This is basically fade time 101

BASKETBALL PLAYS


Game: (307173) Gardner Webb at (307174) Western Carolina
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Western Carolina -1.5 (-103)

View Analysis

MISMATCH....easy choice here and a great fade the terrible hung line spot!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Unlimited

UNDER Clemson/NCSt.
OVER T.Tech/W. vir

[TAWJR]

udog tia

[dawggy]

Cal sport


Game: (627) Monmouth at (628) Hofstra
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Monmouth 7.5 (-110)

View Analysis

#627 3* Monmouth +7.5 Hofstra 4 PM

Monmouth lost their first 12 games last season but went14-9 down the stretch and this year opened up with a win at Lehigh. Hofstra meanwhile opened up with a home loss to San Jose St. IN game 2 of the CBB season teams off a loss a Fav in game #1 facing a team off an upset win on games #2 are 1-15 ATS since 2010. I was SHCOKED at this record as I was originally while the play is not based on that record it helps. Monmouth is a defensive team and held Lehigh to 37% shooting wile Hofstra struggles on defense and allowed San Jose St to shoot 55%.

Game: (645) Ball State at (646) Evansville
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Evansville -1.5 (-111)

View Analysis



#646 3* Evansville -1.5 Ball St 7 PM

Ball St returns 3 starters and had an easy time of Defiance beating them 87-43. Now after a non-contest they have to travel to play a ‘real’ foe. Evansville is playing their first game of the season but got a wake-up call needing OT tO beat DII S Indians in a scrimmage. The Aces are also return 3 starters but add in a transfers who were here LY but had to sit out. Those transfers came from Coastal Carolina (started 17 games) and Kansas ( played 15 games in their 2018 Final Four run).



Game: (661) CS Northridge at (662) New Mexico
Date/Time: Nov 9 2019 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New Mexico -13.5 (-110)

View Analysis





#662 3* New Mexico -13.5 Cal St Northridge 9 PM

New Mexico won their opener in a walk-over and didn’t show any of their new full court press they will be using this season. We now have a Northridge team that saw 4 players top 30 minutes played on Tuesday having to deal with the altitude as well. Northridge is without last year’s Conf POY, Fr of Year & Newcomer of the Yr as well as the pre-season conf POY as Lamine Diane is dealing with eligibility issues.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass first report :
300 Florida ,
300 penn state under 1st half

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The Delawarian (VIP Card)

$500 Minnesota +7
$400 Alabama -6
$300 Baylor -2
$300 Michigan State -14.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bow Knows Spreads (3 of his 6 VIP plays)

Florida State +2.5
Stanford-3
Troy +3