Tuesday 11-5-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Nov 05 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Spurs vs Hawks
Play on: Hawks +5 -114 at pinnacle

10* FREE NBA PICK (Hawks +5)
I'll take my chances here with Atlanta getting a pretty decent number at home against the Spurs. I think we are seeing the Hawks undervalued because of them entering on 3 straight losses. Two of those came without their best player in Trae Young and the other he left midway thru the 2nd quarter. Spurs come in at 4-2, but have been way overvalued by the books. THey are just 1-5 ATS on the season. Spurs were not a good road team at all last year and their only road win of 2019 is against the Curry-less Warriors. Young is expected back tonight and I could easily see Atlanta winning outright. Give me the Hawks +5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 05 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Spurs vs Hawks
Play on: Hawks +6 -115 at Bovada

Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Atlanta Hawks +6
The Atlanta Hawks have lost three straight and will be highly motivated for a victory. Look for them to get a big boost with the return of Trae Young, who got hurt against Miami on October 29th. They have lost two games against Miami without Young.
It was actually good timing for an injury to Young if there is such a thing. That’s because the Hawks have had four days off in between games having last played on October 31st. They will be rested and ready to go tonight.
The San Antonio Spurs have played a home-heavy schedule and aren’t as good as their 4-2 record would indicate. Their four wins came against New York, Washington and Portland at home as well as the depleted Warriors on the road. They lost both games they stepped up in class to the Clippers and Lakers.
The Hawks are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games overall. Atlanta is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Nov 05 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Kings vs Maple Leafs
Play on: UNDER 6½ +102

1 Dimer on Kings vs Maple Leafs under 6½ +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Nov 05 '19, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Canadiens
Play on: Canadiens -105 at betonline

The Bruins are hot but the Habs have the venue and schedule working in their favor. While they come in fresh, the Bruins played last night. These longtime rivals split four meetings last season, the visiting team winning all four. I feel thats likely to change here and that the home fans will get to leave happy. Consider Montreal.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Nov 05 '19, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ball State vs Western Michigan
Play on: Ball State +7 -110 at Mirage

1* NCAAF - Free Pick on Ball State Cardinals +7 -110
Great price here on the Cardinals getting a touchdown at Western Michigan. Ball State has been one of the biggest surprises in the MAC this year. In the Cardinals first 3 years under Mike Neu they went just 10-26 with no more than 4 wins in a single season (4-8 last year).
This year's team is the best of the bunch and have started out 3-1 in league play and are in prime position to win the West division. Thing is because the Cardinals have been so bad of late, it takes a lot longer for the books to adjust and I think we are getting great value here.
No way should Western Michigan be this big of a favorite. Broncos rely a ton on the ground game and the Cardinals are pretty decent at stopping the run and even better against the pass. This is also not as good a Western Michigan team as we have seen in recent years.
Broncos are just 2-10 ATS last 12 off a cover and 1-9 ATS last 10 after playing their previous game at home. Cardinals are 21-5 ATS last 26 as a road dog of 7 or less. Take Ball State!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Nov 05 '19, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ball State vs Western Michigan
Play on: UNDER 64½ -110

Take Under the Total in the game between the Ball State Cardinals and the Western Michigan Broncos. Ball State (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 34-21 loss at home to Ohio back on October 26th. The Cardinals have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Under is also 7-1-1 in Ball State’s last 9 games on the road. Western Michigan (5-4) has won two of their last three games after their 49-10 win over Bowling Green on October 26th. The Broncos generated 574 yards in that game — but the Under is then 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after gaining at least 405 yards in their last game. Western Michigan has also played 5 straight games at home Under the Total. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Josephs

Nov 05 '19, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | UT-Rio Grande Valley vs South Dakota State
Play on: UT-Rio Grande Valley +5 -106 at pinnacle

Life is going to be so much different for South Dakota State without their coach and stars Mike Daum and David Jenkins as well Skylar Flatten and Tevin King. They replaced TJ Otzelberger with an assistant coach and only 17% of the scoring from last year is back. Alex Arians is the only returning starter with a couple of JUCO All-Americans coming over too. UTRGV won 20 games last year and are led by Javon Levi at guard and Lesley Varner II inside. The Vaqueros went 8-9 in non-conference play last year while the Jackrabbits went 9-6. UTRGV is 10-2-1 against the spread in their last 13 lined road games winning seven of them outright. I think they put a scare into the home team in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Nov 05 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Magic vs Thunder
Play on: Thunder -2½ -109 at GTBets

Oklahoma City, which swept Orlando in two games last season, and are now primed to win for the 14th time in 17 meetings against a Magic team that is averaging an NBA-worst 93.5 points per game and 39.7 percent shooting from the field entering Monday.
NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 43% or less on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season are 14-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Nov 05 '19, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Lakers vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls +7½ -110 at Bovada

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Chicago Bulls +7.5
The Key: The price is right to back the Chicago Bulls as 7.5-point home dogs to the Los Angeles Lakers tonight. It’s starting to get steep to back the Lakers after they have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games since their season opening loss to the Clippers. The Bulls are 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS this year, so bettors certainly aren’t quick to back them at this point. The Lakers are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Lakers are 5-16 ATS when playing a 3rd consecutive road game over the last 2 seasons. Los Angeles is 9-25-1 ATS in its last 35 against Eastern Conference teams. Take Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Nov 05 '19, 10:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Utah vs Nevada
Play on: UNDER 151½ -109

FREE PLAY on Utah/Nevada under 151½ -109