Thursday 11-14-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NCAAF

Week 12



Thursday’s games
Buffalo won its last three games by combined score of 107-34, need one more win to be eligible for a bowl; they were held to 20 or less points in all four losses. Under Leipold, Bulls are 7-5 ATS as road favorites, 2-2 TY- four of their last six games went over the total. Buffalo won last two games with Kent State, 48-14/27-13; favorites covered four of last five series games. Kent gave up 103 points in losing its last three games while allowing 507 TY/game, 269 of it on ground; under Lewis, they’re 3-1 ATS as a home underdog, 0-0 TY.

North Carolina won its last six games with Pittsburgh, winning last three by total of 7 points; they were underdogs in last two. Tar Heels won their last four visits to the Steel City. UNC is 4-5; eight of there nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points- they need two wins to go bowling, but play a I-AA team next week. Tar Heels are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog, 0-1 TY; three of their last four games went over. Pitt won five of its last six games; they’re 4-3-1 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite- four of Panthers’ last five games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 12


Thursday November 14

Buffalo @ Kent State

Game 311-312
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
78.368
Kent State
75.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6
56
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+6); Over

North Carolina @ Pittsburgh

Game 313-314
November 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
88.633
Pittsburgh
88.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
Even
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 14

Matchup Skinny
Edge

BUFFALO at KENT STATE...Buffalo surging with four spread Ws in a row and has won and covered last two in series.
Buffalo, based on team trends.


NORTH CAROLINA at PITT...Mack Brown 3-1 as dog TY, Heels 12-4-1 as dog since late 2017. Pitt 2-3 vs. spread at Heinz Field TY, Narduzzi 12-18-1 vs. spread as host since 2015. Heels 6-0 SU, 5-1 vs. line last six meetings.
UNC, based on team and series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Joe Nelson

A key ACC Coastal contest is lined up for the ESPN game Thursday night with a tight division battle ahead for the right to face Clemson in December.

Here is a look at North Carolina and Pittsburgh, a series with a run of eight consecutive meetings decided by seven or fewer points.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers
Venue: Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Time/TV: Thursday, November 14, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
Line: Pittsburgh -4½, Over/Under 50½
Last Meeting: 2018 at North Carolina (+3) 38, Pittsburgh 35

North Carolina only won once in ACC play last season and oddly enough that victory came vs. Pittsburgh, the 2018 ACC Coastal champion. Mack Brown has brought some life back to the football program in Chapel Hill but ultimately the Tar Heels are just 4-5 with Brown, taking over for Larry Fedora who had a 45-43 record over seven seasons with the program.

The Tar Heels won the ACC Coastal in an 11-3 2015 season, going 8-0 in ACC play before giving Clemson a tough game in the conference championship. Back-to-back 1-7 ACC campaigns the last two years sparked the change however and the 68-year old Brown was a great fit to bring some enthusiasm back to the program. Despite leading the great 2005 national championship team ,his 158-58 run at Texas had grown stale and after being off the sidelines for five seasons and doing TV work, Brown returns to the school that he took from 1-10 to 10-1 in his ten seasons at North Carolina from 1988 to 1997.

Brown’s stature helped the cause in the Tar Heels landing highly regarded freshman quarterback Sam Howell who had originally committed for Florida State. Howell has shown his youth at times this season and is completing just 58 percent of his passes, but with 26 touchdowns and only five interceptions while also providing a flare for the dramatic on the big stage, leading comeback wins in his first two games.

While only 4-5 overall, the Tar Heels have three ACC wins and split a pair of difficult non-conference games. They also had to play Clemson unlike most Coastal teams, and didn’t just play the defending national champions, they put a big scare into the national playoff race by falling a two-point conversion short of the upset. All five losses for North Carolina have come by seven or fewer points including a six-OT loss to Virginia Tech but three of the four wins have come by four or fewer points.

Pittsburgh is 3-2 in the ACC but like North Carolina, one of those losses is to Virginia, who at worst will finish 5-3. Multi-team tiebreaker scenarios are possible if Virginia Tech winds up beating Virginia and the Panthers have a shot to win the division outright in that scenario if they can win out, drawing the Hokies next week. Pittsburgh was a surprise Coastal champion despite being 3-4 in mid-October last season having lost three non-conference games. A 1-2 start this season has also been erased as Pittsburgh will be back in the postseason.

Pat Narduzzi has gone 34-27 in now his fifth season at Pittsburgh, coming from several years as a defensive assistant at Michigan State. The Panthers might have trouble filling the seats Thursday night despite having another successful season as the shared tenant at Heinz Field has a national TV game as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns.

Only Clemson has allowed fewer points than Pittsburgh in ACC play this season with just 106 surrendered but that is also the exact amount the Panthers have scored. North Carolina, with one additional game under its belt, has scored 178 points but has allowed 166. North Carolina ranks 29th nationally posting 446 yards per game while gaining a full yard more per play than Pittsburgh.

Neither team has rushed the ball very effectively this season but the Panthers stand out on run defense, eighth nationally allowing just over 91 yards per game, while sixth nationally allowing just 2.8 yards per rush for a dramatic improvement compared to last season. Even as the rushing ability of the offense has declined, Pittsburgh has out-gained six different foes by at least 70 rushing yards including three straight ACC foes. The Panthers are also third nationally behind Wisconsin and Clemson in holding opposing quarterbacks to just over 48 percent completions.

The Pittsburgh offense is led by junior Kenny Pickett who has modest numbers in managing this offense. In ACC play he has thrown eight interceptions in five games but ultimately has been a winner for the program and he sat out the FCS win over Delaware to miss an opportunity to improve his totals. Pittsburgh has lost twice at home this season however and in four of five Heinz field games the Panthers haven’t even topped 20 points.

Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in FBS games this season and despite the modest offensive numbers they Panthers haven’t lost the yardage battle in any game since the season opening loss to Virginia in August. North Carolina will still be favored to get to 6-6 and a bowl bid even with a loss this week as they face FCS Mercer next before a winnable rivalry game down the road at NC State. Neither team played last week as both teams should have good preparation in order for this showcase opportunity.

Series History:

North Carolina is 8-2 S/U & ATS in this series going back to 1982 and is 6-0 S/U and 5-1 ATS in the six consecutive meetings as ACC division foes. All six of those games and eight consecutive games between these teams including a 2009 bowl game have been decided by seven or fewer points.

Last Season:

This game occurred in late September and was the first home game for North Carolina, who started 0-2 last season. The Tar Heels were supposed to host UCF the previous week but that game was cancelled due to the storm. Pittsburgh won its ACC opener the previous week over Georgia Tech to shake off a 51-6 loss to Penn State and the trip to Chapel Hill was the team’s first road game of the season. The Panthers led 28-21 at halftime but North Carolina scored 17 points in the third quarter to take control. Pittsburgh climbed within three with a late touchdown but never got the ball back as the slight home underdog got the win. Pittsburgh had a rushing edge in the game but the Tar Heels gained 10.1 yards per pass attempt behind Nathan Elliott.

North Carolina Trends:

The October win at Georgia Tech is the only road win for North Carolina the past two years with the previous win at Pittsburgh in 2017, 34-31. North Carolina is 3-11 S/U and 6-7-1 ATS on the road since the start of the 2017 season, going 1-2 S/U and ATS this season. North Carolina is on an 11-4-1 ATS run in the past 16 games as an underdog including going 3-1 getting points this season.

Pittsburgh Trends:

Pittsburgh is 21-10 S/U at home under Narduzzi since 2015 but just 12-18-1 ATS including a 4-12-1 ATS record as a home favorite. The Panthers are 2-3-1 ATS as a favorite of seven or fewer points at home under Narduzzi as this is a surprisingly unusual price in recent years at Heinz Field, with Pittsburgh an underdog in nearly half of its home games the past four seasons. Since last November Pittsburgh is on a 5-2 ATS run as a favorite however to break a losing run for much of the previous few years.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TNF - Steelers at Browns
Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

Following an 0-3 start and a season that looked like it was going nowhere, the Steelers (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS) have fought back to get back into the AFC Wild Card race. Pittsburgh is doing all of this after getting rid of Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown in the offseason, while franchise cornerstone Ben Roethlisberger sustained a season-ending elbow injury in Week 2. The Steelers finished off a three-game homestand a perfect 3-0 with an impressive underdog win over the defending NFC champions Rams, 17-12.

Not only did Pittsburgh cash outright as four-point underdogs, but the Steelers limited their fourth opponent in the last six games to 17 points or fewer. The 17 points the Steelers scored last Sunday were their fewest since the Week 1 blowout loss to New England, but quarterback Mason Rudolph connected with former Oklahoma State teammate James Washington on a three-yard score late in the first quarter. The go-ahead touchdown came from September acquisition Minkah Fitzpatrick, as the ex-Dolphins’ safety recovered a Jared Goff fumble and returned it for a score to help Pittsburgh win its fourth home game of the season.

The expectations in Cleveland were sky-high at least for the Browns (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) when the season began as being the 2019 AFC North champions. The Browns have a long way to go to catch the division-leading Ravens and are on the outside of the Wild Card race following a 2-6 start, but Cleveland ended its four-game skid in a not-so-pretty 19-16 home victory over Buffalo on Sunday. Cleveland pushed as three-point favorites, but the Browns finally picked up their first win at FirstEnergy Stadium since Week 16 of 2018 against Cincinnati.

In spite of getting stopped six times (SIX TIMES!) from the two-yard line on one drive in the first half, the Browns rallied from a 16-12 deficit thanks to a Baker Mayfield touchdown strike to Rashard Higgins with under two minutes remaining. It was the only catch of the day for Higgins, a fifth round pick out of Colorado State in 2016, but it marked the first time this season Mayfield threw multiple touchdown passes in a game. Running back Nick Chubb eclipsed the 100-yard mark for the third time in four weeks with 116 yards, while Kareem Hunt posted 30 rushing yards in his Cleveland debut following an eight-game suspension.

DOG DAYS

The Steelers head into the Dawg Pound as one of the better underdog teams in the NFL by owning a 4-1 ATS mark when receiving points this season. Rewinding back to the start of the 2018 campaign, Mike Tomlin’s squad has put together an impressive 10-1 ATS record in the ‘dog role, including six outright wins. Pittsburgh hasn’t hit the highway in over a month as the Steelers tripped up the Chargers with third-string quarterback Devlin Hodges, 24-17 as six-point ‘dogs in Week 6.

UNDER THE LIGHTS

Amazingly, the Steelers are on in primetime for the fifth time this season and have won in the past three appearances. Dating back to 2016, Pittsburgh has posted a 6-1 record in its last seven road primetime contests with the only defeat coming at New England in Week 1 this season on a Sunday night. Cleveland is making its fourth appearance in primetime this season as the Browns routed the Jets in Week 2 before losing to the Rams and 49ers as an underdog.

TAKE THE THURSDAY NIGHT POINTS AND RUN

Underdogs through the first 10 Thursday night contests this season own a magnificent 8-2 ATS mark, capped off by the Raiders (+1 ½) edging the Chargers last week, 26-24. Amazingly, not one single-digit home favorite on Thursday night has covered the spread (0-4 ATS), as the last home chalk to cash on a Thursday was the Patriots back in Week 6 against the Giants as 17-point favorites in a 35-14 blowout.

SERIES HISTORY

The Browns last defeated the Steelers in Week 6 of the 2014 season, 31-10 as 2 ½-point home favorites. Pittsburgh has put together a 7-0-1 record the last eight matchups with Cleveland, as the two AFC North rivals finished in a 21-21 tie in the 2018 season opener. The Browns rallied from a 21-7 fourth quarter deficit to force overtime, but neither team could take the final lead in the extra 10 minutes, as Cleveland cashed in the role of a home underdog.

Tyrod Taylor started the opener against Pittsburgh, but Mayfield faced the Steelers the second time around at Heinz Field in Week 8 as the Steelers routed the Browns, 33-18 as 8 ½-point favorites. Steelers’ running back James Conner ran all over the Browns in both meetings, which included a 135-yard effort at Cleveland and 146 yards in the home matchup, while finding the end zone twice in each game.

TOTAL TALK

The Steelers have watched the ‘under’ go 6-3 this season and that includes a 3-0 mark on the road. Cleveland has slightly leaned to the low side this season, producing a 5-4 mark through nine games. As of Wednesday, the total on this game is hovering between 40 and 41 points at most betting shops.

Chris David offered up his thoughts on the total for this primetime matchup and bettors should be aware that the ‘over’ has now cashed in the last six games played in that nationally televised spots under the lights.

He said, “This isn’t an easy total to handicap and you could certainly argue both ways. For starters, this series has watched the ‘over’ go 4-2 over the last three seasons and that includes a run of three straight tickets to the high side. The one consistent factor during this run has been Pittsburgh, who averaged 25.6 PPG. With that being said, this isn’t the same the Steelers offense that we’re used to and you could toss out the aforementioned numbers.”

“From a current form standpoint, neither team has been a juggernaut this season. The Steelers have been held under 300 yards of total offense in four of their last five games and the one outlier was against the Dolphins. Meanwhile, the Browns have averaged 343 YPG in their last three games but the offense has only mustered up 17 PPG. Cleveland is one of four teams in the league that has more field goals (16) than touchdowns (13) and all of those clubs boast a losing record,” added David.

David noted in last week’s Total Talk segment how divisional games produced a 19-10 (66%) record through the first six weeks of the season but the pendulum was swinging back. In the last four weeks, the ‘over’ has gone 10-5 in these games and that includes a 3-2 record in Week 10.

Despite the uptick in ‘over’ bets, he isn’t buying the high side in this divisional matchup. He explained, “While it wouldn’t be my strongest lean, it’s hard not to play the ‘under’ in this game especially if the Steelers don’t have Conner available. Both teams are ranked in the bottom third in offensive efficiency and the Steelers have created plenty of turnovers, it’s impossible to handicap those. I believe we’ll see a tight game, something in the neighborhood of 20-17.”

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson points out that in spite of Cleveland’s disappointing start, there is still light at the end of the tunnel, “The remaining schedule is relatively promising with two games with the Steelers in the next three weeks plus two games with the Bengals and games with the Dolphins and Cardinals. Baltimore remains in Week 16 at home, but a strong finish to get to 9-7 and a possible Wild Card spot isn’t impossible as the stakes are high this week after the Browns finally finished off a close game for a win last week.”

The quarterback matchup pits a pair of players who shined in the Big 12, but Nelson notes things have changed for Mayfield and Rudolph on this level, “Only Sam Darnold has a worse QB Rating than Mayfield among qualified starters this season but he actually has a slightly higher QBR than Rudolph. The quarterbacks faced off in the Big 12 as rivals with Mayfield’s Oklahoma team winning all three meetings vs. Rudolph and Oklahoma State. The 2017 meeting was a shootout with Oklahoma winning 62-52 in Stillwater, but they now lead two of the lower scoring teams in the NFL with the Steelers averaging 21.4 points per game and the Browns 26th in the league at 19.0 points per game.”

PLAYER PROPS – According to Westgate Superbook

Total Completions – Mason Rudolph (PIT)
Over 20 ½ (-110)
Under 20 ½ (-110)

Total Touchdown Passes – Mason Rudolph (PIT)
Over 1 ½ (+140)
Under 1 ½ (-160)

Total Receiving Yards – Juju Smith-Schuster (PIT)
Over 54 ½ (-110)
Under 54 ½ (-110)

Total Gross Passing Yards – Baker Mayfield (CLE)
Over 245 ½ (-110)
Under 245 ½ (-110)

Total Rushing Yards – Nick Chubb (CLE)
Over 85 ½ (-110)
Under 85 ½ (-110)

Total Receiving Yards – Odell Beckham, Jr. (CLE)
Over 70 ½ (-110)
Under 70 ½ (-110)

LINE MOVEMENT

There hasn’t been much movement in terms of the side on this game, which opened with Cleveland at -2 ½ (-120) at Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas. The Westgate pushed the Browns up to -3 (EVEN), while other books have remained with the Browns at -2 ½ (-120).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501MIAMI -502 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

503CHICAGO -504 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

505DALLAS -506 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.

507LA CLIPPERS -508 NEW ORLEANS
LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons.

509ATLANTA -510 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 18-40 ATS (-26 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

511BROOKLYN -512 DENVER
DENVER is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, November 14

Trend Report

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Heat
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

New York Knicks
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 10 games
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing Dallas
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing New York
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Milwaukee is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Chicago is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chicago is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
New Orleans is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home
New Orleans is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
New Orleans is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
New Orleans is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
LA Clippers is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
LA Clippers is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
LA Clippers is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Atlanta is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Denver's last 25 games at home
Denver is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
Denver is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Denver is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Brooklyn is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Brooklyn is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Brooklyn is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, November 14

Heat-Cavaliers
Miami won five of its last seven games; they’re 3-3 SU on road, 3-2-1 ATS. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Cleveland lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-2 SU/ATS at home. Cavaliers’ last three games went over total.

Heat won its last five games with the Cavaliers; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five trips to Cleveland. Three of last four series games went over.

Clippers-Pelicans
Clippers won four of their last six games, but lost three in row on road- they’re 1-1 ATS as a road favorite. Seven of their last eight games went under total. New Orleans lost 8 of its first 10 games; they’re 1-4 SU at home, 1-2 ATS as a home underdog. Four of their five home games went over.

Road team won five of last six Clipper-Pelican games; LA is 3-3 ATS in its last six visits to Bourbon Street. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Bulls-Bucks
Chicago split its last six games; they’re 2-4 SU on road, 0-1 ATS as a road underdog. Four of their last five road games went under. Milwaukee won five of its last six games; they’re 2-1 ATS as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went over.

Bulls lost their last six games with Milwaukee (1-5 ATS); they covered four of last five visits to Wisconsin. Last three series games stayed under the total.

Mavericks-Knicks
Dallas is 4-1 SU/ATS on road; visitors covered nine of their ten games. All five Maverick road games went over the total. Knicks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 1-3 SU at home, 1-1 ATS as a home underdog. All four of their home games stayed under.

Road team won last five Dallas-New York games; Mavericks covered four of last five visits to Manhattan. Knicks (+11) won 106-102 in Dallas 6 days ago. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Hawks-Suns
Atlanta lost six of its last eight games; they’re 2-2 ATS as a road underdog. Hawks’ last three games went over the total. Phoenix won four of its last six games; they’re 5-2 ATS at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Under is 5-4-1 in their games.

Hawks won their last three games with Phoenix, by 1-6-8 points; they’re 2-2-1 ATS in their last five visits to the desert. Nine of last ten series games stayed under.

Nets-Nuggets
Brooklyn lost four of its five road games; they’re 2-1 ATS as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over. Denver won four of its last five games; they’re 1-4 ATS as a home favorite. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Nets won seven of last ten games with the Nuggets; they covered four of last five visits to Denver. Over is 7-1 in last eight series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, November 14


Miami @ Cleveland

Game 501-502
November 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
121.387
Cleveland
114.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-3 1/2); N/A

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

Game 507-508
November 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.177
New Orleans
116.397
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 6
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+6); N/A

Dallas @ New York

Game 505-506
November 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
112.563
New York
108.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+7 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Milwaukee

Game 503-504
November 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
112.858
Milwaukee
127.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 15
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 11 1/2
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-11 1/2); Under

Atlanta @ Phoenix

Game 509-510
November 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.637
Phoenix
122.737
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 11
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 7
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-7); Under

Brooklyn @ Denver

Game 511-512
November 14, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
109.499
Denver
123.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 14 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 7 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-7 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (7 - 3) at CLEVELAND (4 - 6) - 11/14/2019, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 133-173 ATS (-57.3 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 235-186 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
MIAMI is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 84-106 ATS (-32.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 38-57 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (4 - 7) at MILWAUKEE (7 - 3) - 11/14/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-42 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 4) at NEW YORK (2 - 9) - 11/14/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 529-443 ATS (+41.7 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 179-141 ATS (+23.9 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 197-145 ATS (+37.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 223-176 ATS (+29.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 38-53 ATS (-20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (7 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 8) - 11/14/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (4 - 6) at PHOENIX (6 - 4) - 11/14/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (4 - 6) at DENVER (7 - 3) - 11/14/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

655PENN ST -656 GEORGETOWN
PENN ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

657LA-MONROE -658 MISSISSIPPI ST
MISSISSIPPI ST is 89-60 ATS (23 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game since 1997.

659TOWSON ST -660 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

661VANDERBILT -662 RICHMOND
VANDERBILT is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

663SIENA -664 HARVARD
HARVARD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

665SAN JOSE ST -666 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

667MICHIGAN ST -668 SETON HALL
MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

669SAN DIEGO -670 WEBER ST
WEBER ST is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

671LONG BEACH ST -672 ST MARYS-CA
LONG BEACH ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

673CAL DAVIS -674 IDAHO
IDAHO is 44-13 ATS (29.7 Units) in road games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997.

675VMI -676 ARKANSAS ST
ARKANSAS ST is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

1381ALABAMA A&M -1382 CINCINNATI
ALABAMA A&M is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the last 3 seasons.

1383WINTHROP -1384 E TENN ST
WINTHROP is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

1385MOREHEAD ST -1386 PRESBYTERIAN
MOREHEAD ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a game where their opponent was called for 10 or less fouls since 1997.

1389SOUTHERN MISS -1390 N FLORIDA
SOUTHERN MISS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.

1391SOUTHERN U -1392 NEW MEXICO ST
SOUTHERN U is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997.

1391SOUTHERN U -1392 NEW MEXICO ST
Sean Woods is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse (All games)

1393C CONN ST -1394 ARIZONA ST
C CONN ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, November 14

Cal-Davis lost its opener by 34 at Loyola, then beat a stiff by 46; this is their first game n a week. Davis starts three seniors, has a freshman PG- they’ve got three starters back from LY’s 11-20 team that was 7-9 in Big West. Idaho beat world-famous Evergreen State by 6, then lost by 7 at Cal-Riverside, when they were 3-16 on arc, 12-23 on line; Vandals start four juniors, one senior, have two starters back from LY’s 5-27 team that went 2-18 in Big Sky. Big West road teams are 4-9 ATS so far this year.

Georgetown beat a couple stiffs by 13-11 points to start their season; Hoyas played pace #29 so far- they start two sophs, two seniors, have four starters back from LY’s 19-14 team that went 9-9 in Big East, then lost in first round of NIT. Penn State beat couple of bottom 20 teams by 38-27 points; Nittany Lions forced turnovers on 24.9% of possessions (#37)- they start three sophs, two seniors, have four starters back from LY’s 14-18 team that went 7-13 in Big 14.

Florida beat North Florida by 15, then lost by 12 at home to Florida State, going 4-22 on arc- it was their 6th straight loss to FSU. Gators played a bottom 10 pace in country s0 far- they start three sophs and a frosh, have three starters back from LY’s 20-16 team that went 9-9 in SEC, then won a game in NCAA’s. Towson beat GW by 14, then lost to Kent State in OT, they start two sophs, two seniors, have all five starters back from LY’s 10-22 team that went 6-12 in CAA. CAA underdogs are 6-2 ATS so far this season.

Harvard lost 67-64 at Siena LY, despite shooting 56.2% inside arc; Crimson split its first two D-I games- they lost by 5 at Northeastern, then beat Maine by 21. Harvard starts three seniors, has four starters back from LY’s 19-12 team that went 10-4 in Ivy, then beat Georgetown in the NIT. Siena beat St Bonaventure at home Tuesday; they’re 2-1 so far, with loss by 18 at Xavier, in their only road game. Saints have a new coach and two starters back from LY’s 17-16 team that went 11-7 in MAAC.

Mississippi State won its first two games by 8-9 points; Bulldogs have a 7-man rotation, start only one senior, who played whole 40:00 in their 67-58 win over Sam Houston State in their last game. State has four starters back from LY’s 23-11 team that went 10-8 in SEC, then was upset by Liberty in NCAAs. UL-Monroe split its first two D-I games, beating Alcorn in OT, then losing by 6 at Texas A&M, after they led by 10 in 2nd half. ULM starts three seniors, two juniors; their guards both played whole 40:00 in the A&M game.

Richmond nipped St Francis PA in OT in its opener Friday, after being down 12 with 3:04 left; they were 13-29 on arc. Spiders start five juniors, have all five starters back from LY’s 13-20 team that went 6-12 in A-14. Vanderbilt beat couple of stiffs by 18-5 points in Stackhouse’s first two games as coach; Commodores made 39.3% of their 3’s so far- they start two frosh and a soph, including Scottie Pippen’s son. Vandy has four starters back from LY’s 9-23 team that went 0-18 in SEC- the one starter who left was Garland, who plays in NBA now.

Arizona scored 91-90 points in winning their first two games by 39-21 points; Wildcats made 41% of their 3’s so far- they start three frosh, two seniors, have two starters back from LY’s 17-15 team that went 8-10 in a weak Pac-12. Frosh PG Mannion has already been called best PG of Miller era in Tucson. San Jose State upset Hofstra on Long Island, then lost at home to Portland; Spartans start two seniors, two sophs, have two starters back from LY’s 4-27 team that went 1-17 in Mountain West.

Michigan State split its first two games, losing to Kentucky in NYC, then beating a stiff by 53; Spartans start two sophs and a frosh, have two starters back from LY’s 32-7 team that went 16-4 in Big 14 and made Final Four. Seton Hall beat couple of stiffs by 34-17 points, shooting 59.8% inside arc- they start three seniors, two juniors, have four starters back from LY’s 20-14 team that went 9-9 in Big East. pirates forced turnovers 24.4% of time so far this year (#47) but they are stepping way up in class here.

Arkansas State beat a stiff by 16, then lost by 28 at Ole Miss, when they turned ball over 23 times in a 69-possession game; Red Wolves start three seniors, two juniors, lost four starters from LY’s 13-19 team that went 7-11 in Sun Belt. VMI lost its first three games, by 12-3-2 points, while shooting only 43.3% inside arc. Keydets lost their last game in OT to Presbyterian; they start two juniors and a senior, have three starters back from LY’s 11-21 team that went 4-14 in SoCon.

Weber State lost 83-66 at San Diego LY after leading by 9 at half; Toreros started four seniors in that game. Weber lost its opener 89-34 at a Utah State team that had already played a game; Wildcats start two sophs, two juniors, have three starters back from LY’s 18-15 team that went 11-9 in Big Sky. San Diego beat Fresno State in OT in its last game after losing to couple of Big West squads; Toreros start two seniors- their bench has played #326 minutes so far- they’re thin. USD has has one starter back from LY’s 21-15 team that went 7-9 in WCC and made NIT.

Saint Mary’s got upset by Winthrop at home Monday, after beating Wisconsin in OT in their opener; Gaels are playing bottom 10 pace so far- they start two seniors, two sophs, have four starters back from LY’s 22-12 team that went 11-5 in WCC and made NCAA’s. Long Beach State lost by 4 at UCLA, by 28 at Stanford, but beat San Diego in between; 49ers have turned ball over 23.6% of time while playing #59 pace- they start two dopes, two juniors, have two starters back from LY’s 15-19 team that went 8-8 in Big West.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, November 14


Cal Davis @ Idaho

Game 673-674
November 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Davis
42.168
Idaho
40.060
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cal Davis
by 2
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cal Davis
by 4
134
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(+4); Under

St. Francis-NY @ Longwood

Game 1387-1388
November 14, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Francis-NY
45.820
Longwood
49.030
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Longwood
by 3
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Longwood
by 4 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Francis-NY
(+4 1/2); Under

Penn State @ Georgetown

Game 655-656
November 14, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
61.402
Georgetown
64.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgetown
by 3 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgetown
Pick
149
Dunkel Pick:
Georgetown
Over

LA-Monroe @ Mississippi State

Game 657-658
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
49.569
Mississippi State
68.768
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi State
by 19
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi State
by 15 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi State
(-15 1/2); Under

Towson @ Florida

Game 659-660
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Towson
48.873
Florida
65.530
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 16 1/2
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 18
130
Dunkel Pick:
Towson
(+18); Under

Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati

Game 1381-1382
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama A&M
29.312
Cincinnati
67.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 38
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 34 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-34 1/2); Under

Southern Miss @ North Florida

Game 1389-1390
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
53.618
North Florida
52.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 1
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Florida
by 6
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+6); Under

Vanderbilt @ Richmond

Game 661-662
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
52.747
Richmond
52.911
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
Even
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vanderbilt
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
N/A

Morehead State @ Presbyterian

Game 1385-1386
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
46.937
Presbyterian
50.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Presbyterian
by 4
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Presbyterian
by 2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Presbyterian
(-2); Under

Winthrop @ E Tenn State

Game 1383-1384
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winthrop
48.262
E Tenn State
62.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State
by 14
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State
by 12 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
(-12 1/2); Over

Siena @ Harvard

Game 663-664
November 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Siena
52.816
Harvard
57.113
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Harvard
by 4 1/2
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Harvard
by 12 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Siena
(+12 1/2); Over

San Jose St @ Arizona

Game 665-666
November 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
38.727
Arizona
61.727
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 23
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 30
142
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+30); Over

VMI @ Arkansas St

Game 675-676
November 14, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
41.560
Arkansas St
51.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 9 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 6
142
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-6); Under

Michigan State @ Seton Hall

Game 667-668
November 14, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
78.030
Seton Hall
67.007
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 11
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 6
142
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-6); Under

Southern @ New Mexico St

Game 1391-1392
November 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern
40.618
New Mexico St
61.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico St
by 21
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico St
by 23 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Southern
(+23 1/2); Over

San Diego @ Weber State

Game 669-670
November 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
59.246
Weber State
44.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 14 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
N/A

Long Beach St @ St Mary's

Game 671-672
November 14, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Long Beach St
53.006
St Mary's
65.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 12 1/2
122
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 21
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Long Beach St
(+21); Under

Central Conn St @ Arizona State

Game 1393-1394
November 14, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Conn St
37.830
Arizona State
60.426
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 22 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 27 1/2
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Conn St
(+27 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PENN ST (2 - 0) at GEORGETOWN (2 - 0) - 11/14/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA-MONROE (2 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 0) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA-MONROE is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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TOWSON ST (2 - 1) at FLORIDA (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOWSON ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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VANDERBILT (2 - 0) at RICHMOND (1 - 0) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
RICHMOND is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
RICHMOND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games in November games since 1997.
RICHMOND is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
RICHMOND is 34-63 ATS (-35.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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SIENA (2 - 1) at HARVARD (2 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 1-0 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 1-0 straight up against HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SAN JOSE ST (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (2 - 0) - 11/14/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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MICHIGAN ST (1 - 1) at SETON HALL (2 - 0) - 11/14/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 103-66 ATS (+30.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) at WEBER ST (0 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
WEBER ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 184-147 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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LONG BEACH ST (1 - 2) at ST MARYS-CA (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG BEACH ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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CAL DAVIS (1 - 1) vs. IDAHO (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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VMI (0 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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ALABAMA A&M (0 - 2) at CINCINNATI (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA A&M is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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WINTHROP (2 - 1) at E TENN ST (2 - 0) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WINTHROP is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
WINTHROP is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WINTHROP over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 1-0 straight up against WINTHROP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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MOREHEAD ST (2 - 0) at PRESBYTERIAN (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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ST FRANCIS-NY (1 - 1) at LONGWOOD (2 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) at N FLORIDA (2 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
N FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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SOUTHERN U (1 - 1) at NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 1) - 11/14/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN U is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
NEW MEXICO ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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C CONN ST (0 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (0 - 2) - 11/14/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C CONN ST is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
C CONN ST is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
C CONN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

47CAROLINA -48 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 25-45 ATS (-20.1 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

49NY RANGERS -50 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 33-9 ATS (20.9 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

51WINNIPEG -52 FLORIDA
WINNIPEG is 0-5 ATS (-6.4 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

53ARIZONA -54 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

55COLORADO -56 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

57DALLAS -58 VANCOUVER
DALLAS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

59SAN JOSE -60 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 3-16 ATS (-18.6 Units) against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

61DETROIT -62 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored in the last 3 seasons.