Friday 11-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | 76ers vs Thunder
Play on: 76ers -3½ -106 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia 76ers -3.5
We’re getting the Philadelphia 76ers cheap tonight as only 3.5-point favorites over the Oklahoma City Thunder because they have failed to cover three straight and have lost four of their last six coming in. But the 76ers have been battling through injuries to Ben Simmons, Joel Embiid and Al Horford. Well, all three are healthy now and playing tonight against the Thunder. The 76ers are one of the best teams in the NBA at full strength. Philadelphia is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 off a loss by 10 points or more. The 76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games off a loss. Give me the 76ers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 15 '19, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Pacers vs Rockets
Play on: Pacers +5½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Indiana Pacers +5.5
Nate McMillan is proving he’s one of the best coaches in the NBA year in and year out. He consistently gets the most out of the Indiana Pacers despite the fact that they just can’t seem to stay healthy. They have been playing without three starters in Victor Oladipo, Jeremy Lamb and Myles Turner yet they are off to a 7-4 start this season.
After a slow start, the Pacers have gone 7-1 SU & 5-1-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. Four of those wins have come by double-digits. Malcolm Brogdon, Aaron Holiday, TJ Warren and Domantas Sobonis are all playing really well for this team right now. Those are four names you aren’t going to hear a lot about, but they are four really good players.
The Houston Rockets are in a letdown spot off their huge win over the Clippers on National TV Wednesday to earn their fifth straight victory. Well, the Rockets have been hit hard by injuries here of late. They are now without Eric Gordon and Clint Capela, two players that they simply cannot replace. They are also without Gerald Green, Nene and Danuel House. Russell Westbrook is also questionable tonight due to possible rest.
Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Houston) off two consecutive covers as a favorite against an opponent that is off a home win scoring 110 points or more are 25-6 (80.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the Pacers Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Nov 15 '19, 8:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | UC-Davis vs Arkansas State
Play on: UNDER 133 -110

1 Dimer on UC-Davis vs Arkansas State under 133 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Nov 15 '19, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Gonzaga vs Texas A&M
Play on: Gonzaga -6½ -109 at GTBets

1* NCAAB Free Pick on Gonzaga -6½ -109
I got no problem laying the points with No. 8 Gonzaga on the road in College Station. Texas A&M made a great hire with Buzz Williams, but there's just not enough talent on the roster to compete with an elite team like the Bulldogs.
The Aggies are without starting point guard T.J. Starks and there's just not a good flow to the offense to start the season. In their last game against ULM they had just 9 assists to 13 turnovers.
Texas A&M did manage to beat the Warhawks 63-57 to improve to 2-0, but they trailed ULM by double-digits in the 2nd half. Keep in mind that's a team they were a 29.5-point favorite against.
Aggies were outrebounded by ULM and were even on the boards against Northwestern State in their opener. Gonzaga has outrebounded their first 3 opponents 129-75. Look for the Bulldogs to have their way on the glass against a thin Texas A&M frontcourt that doesn't have much to offer behind Josh Nebo.
Gonzaga is also great at running their offense working inside-out and they should find plenty of success doing just that against the Aggies perimeter-oriented lineup. All signs point to a blowout win by the road team. Take Gonzaga!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Nov 15 '19, 10:35 PM in 6h
NBA | Celtics vs Warriors
Play on: Celtics -7½ -109 at GTBets

Golden State is only Golden State in name now. I've never seen an NBA team that had a five-year run of making the championship series drop all the way to being in the argument for bottom team in the NBA. Golden State's 2-10 record is the worst. Boston is just the opposite. The Celtics haven't lost since opening night riding a nine-game win streak. Aside from Draymond Green and D'Angelo Russell and perhaps Eric Paschall, the Warriors' roster is littered with lottery-type personnel. Injuries and free-agent defections have gutted the Warriors to the point where they now have to adopt the rebuild and play-for-next year philosophy of so many other bottom-feeders who litter the NBA landscape these days. But I don't see the Celtics taking the Warriors lightly. This is a nationally televised game (ESPN). Boston has either covered or pushed every game but one during its nine-game victory streak. Brad Stevens is a tremendous coach. This is the start of a five-game West Coast road trip. So it's likely the Celtics' win streak ends at some point considering three of the opponents are the much-improved 7-4 Suns, 7-5 Clippers and 8-3 Nuggets. So getting off to a successful start on this road swing becomes very important for the Celtics. Boston suffered its own bad break losing Gordon Hayward with a broken hand. The Celtics, though, have excellent depth and their chemistry seems much better minus Kyrie Irving. Jayson Tatum and Jaylon Brown see the ball more without Irving and the early returns are good on Kemba Walker.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, November 15


St. Louis @ Columbus

Game 65-66
November 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
12.707
Columbus
10.134
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-125); Over

Boston @ Toronto

Game 67-68
November 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.818
Toronto
10.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+100); Under

Montreal @ Washington

Game 63-64
November 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
12.041
Washington
11.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+145); Over

Pittsburgh @ New Jersey

Game 69-70
November 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
11.691
New Jersey
9.082
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-120); Under

Philadelphia @ Ottawa

Game 71-72
November 15, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
11.228
Ottawa
10.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-140); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

by: Monty Andrews


TECH-NICAL DIFFICULTIES

Louisiana Tech is enjoying a sensational season – but a big test became massive as the Bulldogs visit the Marshall Thundering Herd in a battle of Conference USA elite on Friday night.

Senior starting quarterback J'Mar Smith, junior wide receiver Adrian Hardy and senior outside linebacker James Jackson have been suspended due to an athletic department policy violation, according to a statement the school released Thursday night and will miss the game against Marshall.

Redshirt freshman Aaron Allen will get the start at quarterback for Louisiana Tech. Allen has thrown just nine passes this season, but has completed eight of them for 114 yards with a touchdown and a pick.


TRAMPLED BY THE HERD?

Marshall boasts one of the most imposing defensive units in the country, coming into Week 12 ranked sixth in the nation in sacks per game (3.56). But while the Bulldogs have faced lesser opposition en route to an 8-1 SU mark, their offensive line has fared well, allowing just 18 sacks through their first nine games while limiting opponents to just 4.56 tackles for loss per game – the 18th-best rate in the country.

That unit will have to be at the top of their game if they want to make life easy for their redshirt freshman quarterback in this one.

Louisiana Tech was rolling, having won eight straight games while covering the previous four and averaging better than 38 points per game on the season. But it's hard to see them getting to their team total of 24.5 while missing those key pieces on offense.


TOO LOW?

The total for Friday's Mountain West encounter between Fresno State and host San Diego State looks awfully low – and that might mean profit potential for Over bettors. The Bulldogs head to SDCCU Stadium riding a five-game Over stretch during which they've seen an average of 74.6 points scored, and should make things difficult on an Aztecs defense ranked in the top-10 in total defense (277.2 yards allowed per game), run defense (65.4) and scoring defense (14.4 points per game against). Fresno State has also struggled to get to the quarterback (12 sacks in nine games), which should bolster SDSU's scoring chances.

San Diego State might be one of the top Under options in the country (1-8 O/U), but Fresno State is talented enough on offense and mediocre enough on defense to lead this one past the number.


"WAIT AND SEE" ON WAN'DALE

The Nebraska Cornhuskers might have to go into Saturday's daunting home encounter with Wisconsin without one of their top offensive options. Running back Wan'Dale Robinson suffered an undisclosed injury in the Huskers' Nov. 2 loss to Purdue, and he remains in doubt even with Nebraska coming off a bye week. Huskers offensive coordinator Troy Walters says the team is in "wait and see mode" on Robinson, and the freshman might ultimately be a game-time decision. Robinson ranks third on the team in rushing yards (326) and second in receiving yards (453) while racking up five touchdowns.

Nebraska is already in tough against one of the stoutest defenses in the nation – and with Robinson's status unclear, we're leaning even more heavily toward the Under on the Cornhuskers' team total.


TROJANS ON THE MEND

A pair of USC running backs are nearing a return to action. Both Vavae Malepeai and Stephen Carr returned to practice this week; Malepeai hasn't played since mid-October after undergoing knee surgery, while Carr has missed the previous three games while dealing with a hamstring injury. While their return to practice is a positive step, it's unclear whether either player will be in uniform for the Trojans' Saturday tilt with the host Cal Golden Bears. The Trojans have gone 2-1 SU in their past three games despite the absences of Malepeai and Carr, but are averaging just 3.46 yards per carry in that span.

The return of either Malepeai or Carr (or both) will assuredly bolster USC's sagging run game, which would coincide nicely with the Golden Bears' defense struggling to contain opposing offenses. We favor the Trojans to cover in this one.