Saturday 11-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:36 AM

Betting Recap - Week 11
Joe Williams

College Football Week 11 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 31-18
Against the Spread 17-32

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 31-18
Against the Spread 20-29

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 25-23-1

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 521-142
Against the Spread 332-320-11

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 429-230
Against the Spread 318-330-11

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 317-340-12

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Nevada (+17, ML +700) at San Diego State, 17-13
Tulsa (+16, ML +575) vs. UCF, 34-31
Illinois (+15.5, ML +550) at Michigan State, 37-34
California (+9, ML +275) vs. Washington State, 23-20
Miami-Ohio (+7, ML +230) at Ohio, 24-21
Minnesota (+6.5, ML +210) vs. Penn State, 31-26
Appalachian State (+6, ML +200) at South Carolina, 20-15

The largest favorites to cover
Ohio State (-42.5) vs. Maryland, 73-14
Clemson (-35) at N.C. State, 55-10
Army (-34.5) vs. Massachusetts, 63-7
Cincinnati (-34) vs. Connecticut, 48-3
Mississippi (-28) vs. New Mexico State, 41-3
Florida (-27) vs. Vanderbilt, 56-0

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)
-- Cincinnati entered the weekend as the highest ranked team among the Group of Five candidates, and they did nothing to hurt their chances with a 48-3 whitewashing of Connecticut. The Bearcats covered the 34-point number, their first cover outings after opening the season 5-1 ATS. ... SMU was involved in another shootout, as they held off East Carolina by a 59-51 count in Dallas. The 'over' is now 9-0-1 in 10 games for the Mustangs this season. After opening the season 5-0 ATS, they're just 1-4 ATS across the past five, including non-covers in the past three. ... Tulsa entered Friday's game against UCF with nothing to play for but pride, as they have been eliminated from bowl contention. They showed tremendous pride in dealing the Golden Knights a 34-31 loss. While the Golden Hurricane entered on a five-game losing streak, they're now 3-1 ATS across the four outings. Looks like there will be no national championship claims this season in Orlando.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)
-- Miami dumped Louisville by a 52-27 score, perhaps their most impressive showing of the season. The Hurricanes have won and covered a season-best three in a row after opening 3-4 SU/ATS, and they're now bowl eligible. ... Duke opened the season with a 4-2 SU/ATS mark, but they're on a three-game skid after falling at home to Notre Dame by a 38-7 count. They're also 0-3 ATS during the slid, and their offense has dried up. They're averaging just 12.7 PPG across the past three after opening with 40.4 PPG in a five-game span from Sept. 7-Oct. 12. ... Virginia held off Georgia Tech by a 33-28 score, as the Cavaliers moved to 7-3 SU. However, after opening 2-0 ATS, they're just 2-5-1 ATS across the past eight. The Yellow Jackets opened 0-6 ATS, but they're not quitting down the stretch, going 2-1 ATS across the past three. They're a friend to total bettors, too, as the 'over' is 4-1 in the past five contests. ... N.C. State has given Clemson some trouble in the past, including a straight-up victory at Carter-Finley Stadium back on Nov. 19, 2011, a game which I attended. The Pack won 37-13 that night as 7 1/2-point underdogs. There was no such trouble on Saturday. The Tigers mowed down the Pack 55-10 in chilly Raleigh. Remember when everyone was writing off the Tigers after their near-miss at UNC? Yeah, they're not going anywhere anytime soon.

BIG TEN
-- Illinois looked like the same old Illini on Saturday - for three quarters. They entered the fourth quarter down 31-10 at Michigan State, but this installment of the Illini is different. They really do fight. They outscored Sparty 27-3 in the final quarter, earning bowl eligibility in style with a 37-34 win. Remember all of those calls for Lovie Smith's job the past couple of seasons. He is safe now, and the calls are for Mark Dantonio's job in East Lansing these days. ... The big news in the Big Ten was the eligibility issue and suspension of DE Chase Young, the Heisman Trophy candidate. He reportedly took a small loan from a close family friend to fly his girlfriend out to the Rose Bowl to see him play. He paid the load back in the spring. Sounds harmless enough, but this is the archaic and selective punishing NCAA we're talking about here. Was Ohio State distracted? Nah. They embarrassed Maryland by a 73-14 score, their second time hitting the 70-point plateau this season. They were ranked No. 1 in the first official College Football Playoff rankings released this past Tuesday, but likely will slip due to LSU's win over Alabama in the SEC. ... Another playoff hopeful likely to tumble is Penn State, as they were ranked No. 4. They went to Minnesota, a team which received knocks because they "haven't played anybody", and lost to the Golden Gophers by a 31-26 score in an entertaining game. P.J. Fleck's rowed the boat at Western Michigan, and now he's rowing it in the Twin Cities. The Gophers are 6-0 ATS across the past six.

BIG 12
-- Iowa State gave Oklahoma all they could handle in a 42-41 loss in Norman. Inside the final minute HC Matt Campbell elected to go for two and the win after a late touchdown, but the attempt was picked off to avert disaster for the Sooners. The Cyclones have lost to both Oklahoma schools in the past two games, and they're still not yet eligible for a bowl at 5-4 SU with three to play. ... Texas held off Kansas State by a 27-24 score, although the Wildcats grabbed the cover. It was a rather curious line with K-State catching more than a touchdown against the skidding Longhorns. The Wildcats have covered four in a row, and the 'under' is 5-1 across their past six, as they have been a friend to bettors. Overall they're 7-2 ATS in nine outings. ... Baylor won a crazy game in TCU, 29-23 in overtime. This was not just a bad beat, but perhaps the worst one of the 2019 season (see below). The Bears improved to 9-0 SU, but they're just 5-4 ATS, while the 'over' is 3-1 across the past four. The over is 6-1 in TCU's past seven, too, although it probably shouldn't have hit. Again, see below.

CONFERENCE USA
-- Florida Atlantic won the Shula Bowl, which is the annual meeting with South Florida rival Florida International. The Owls won 37-7, topping FIU for the 13th time in 17 meetings. More importantly to bettors, Lane Kiffin's Owls are 7-3 SU heading into a bye, temporarily in sole possession of first place in the East Division of C-USA. They're 7-1 SU across the past eight, and 5-1 ATS over the past six. They're still the only team to cover the spread against No. 1 Ohio State, too, and only team to score more than twice against the Buckeyes in a game this season. ... UAB is suddenly in freefall, as they were blasted 37-2 by Southern Miss. The Blazers opened 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS, but they're 0-2 SU/ATS over the past two with the 'under' hitting in both since they're averaging 4.5 PPG during the skid. ... Texas-San Antonio stole one at Old Dominion, winning 24-23. The Roadrunners are now 3-0 ATS and they have hit the 'over' in three straight, too. ... Louisiana Tech spanked North Texas, 52-17, as the Mean Green slipped to 4-6 SU, needing to win both of their final games to become bowl eligible. They're just 1-5 ATS in the past six, too.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)
-- All three mid-week MAC games saw the underdog go 3-0 ATS, with Miami-Ohio winning outright at Ohio, 24-21. The 'over' covered in the pair of Tuesday battles, too, while Wednesday's Miami-Ohio contest hit the under thanks to a scoreless first quarter. ... If you had an 'under' ticket in the Ball State-Western Michigan game (myself included), you elected to receive your bad beat a few days early. See below.

MOUNTAIN WEST
-- There were four games in the Mountain West, and all four were decided by four or fewer points, with the Wyoming-Boise State game going to overtime. The Cowboys were using a backup quarterback, as were the Broncos, so that explained the low-scoring affair. Even overtime wasn't enough to bail out 'over' bettors in this one. ... Nevada pulled off a surprising 17-13 road win against San Diego State, who, honestly, have been living rather dangerously. The Aztecs slipped to 1-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite, and perhaps a 17-point spread was a gift to bettors since the Aztecs have failed to scored more than 27 points in every game except at New Mexico State back on Sept. 14. The 'under' is 3-0 in the past three, and 8-1 in their nine games overall. For the Wolf Pack, they attained bowl eligibility with the win, and they're now 6-4 SU while winning outright twice as double-digit 'dogs this season. ... San Jose State headed to the islands and lost an entertaining 42-40 game at Hawaii. The Spartans have dropped two in a row despite averaging 41.0 PPG, and they're 3-0 ATS in the past three, while going 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight overall.

PAC-12
-- There were just four total games in the Pac-12, with three games on Saturday. USC-Arizona State was an entertaining battle, as the Trojans won 31-26 in Tempe, just narrowly missing a 5.5-point cover. After opening 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS on the road, the Trojans are 2-0 SU/0-1-1 ATS in the past two away from home. The 'over' is also 3-0 in the past three games following a 5-0 'under' run for the Men of Troy. ... Colorado snapped a five-game losing skid, rallying for a gutsy 17-13 win over Stanford. The Buffaloes still need to win their final two for bowl eligibility, and they have Washington and Utah remaining. Good luck with that! Speaking of Washington, they won 19-7 on Friday night against Oregon State, nearly shutting them out. In fact, the defense did not allow any points, as the Beavers scored their only TD on a pick-six.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)
-- Arkansas ended up closely as short 'dogs at home against a Conference USA team, Western Kentucky. It gets worse. The Hogs were thrashed by the Hilltoppers by a 45-19 score, and the QB for WKU was a former Arkansas signal caller. It doesn't appear head coach Chad Morris is going to be employed much longer in Fayetteville, if he even lasts the week. ... Of course, the most highly-anticipated game of the season was LSU-Alabama. A lot of talk about Minnesota was "they haven't played anybody", but really, who has 'Bama played? Duke? New Mexico State? Ole Miss? A&M? None of the teams they played previously were in the rankings this week. LSU was ranked No. 2 in the College Playoff rankings, and they opened a 33-13 lead at halftime before hanging on for the 46-41 victory in Tuscaloosa. Alabama is 4-5 ATS this season, and they have yet to cover in consecutive games this season. ... Tennessee went up to Kentucky and it seemed like old times. They rallied for a 17-13 win after falling behind 13-0 after one quarter, and the Vols have now won three in a row and moved within one game of bowl eligibility. More importantly they're 5-0 ATS across the past five after going 1-4 ATS to start.

SUN BELT
-- South Carolina paid Appalachian State to come to Columbia to play. They didn't know they'd be getting an angry Mountaineers side after losing at home to Georgia Southern last week. App State pulled off a road win for the second time against a Power 5 team, just the seventh team to do that since 2001. ... Spreaking of Southern, they failed to cover over the momentum from their big win. They went to Troy and were handled, 49-28 as field-goal favorites. The Eagles slipped to 5-4 SU, and still need a win to attain bowl eligibility. The 'over' is 5-2 across the past seven outings. ... Georgia State was another field-goal favorite on the road to struggle, falling at Louisiana-Monroe by a 45-31 count, snapping a four-game winning streak. It was a rare non-cover for the Panthers, too, as they entered 5-1-2 ATS in the first eight outings.

Bad Beats

-- Perhaps the most raw beat of the season happened on the Baylor-TCU total. If you had an 'under' (48) ticket, you were on the right side. In fact, there were no touchdowns at all in regulation. The game went to overtime, and should have still cashed the under with just 18 total points on the board. However, the teams exchanged touchdowns in the first overtime, they extended touchdowns in the second OT, too, and you were already done with 46 on the board, regardless of what happened in triple. Baylor ended up winning 29-23, adding salt to the wound of anyone hold a TCU side ticket. The Horned Frogs probably should have covered in regulation, 9-6, but the Bears hit a clutch 51-yard field goal with :36 left to force OT.

-- As mentioned, the mid-week MAC game between Ball State and Western Michigan was a tough pill to swallow for 'under' bettors. The total was 64.5, and entering the fourth there were just 38 points on the board. Western Michigan took a 28-24 lead with 5:21 to go, and you were still in good shape. Ball State replied quickly re-taking a 31-28 lead with 3:24 to go. With just 1:05 remaining in regulation, the Broncos struck for a touchdown to win 35-31, flipping the total to 'over'.

-- The Florida State-Boston College (64.5) game was a rough one for 'under' bettors, too. Aren't they all? BC tied it up 24-24 with 2:33 to go. FSU answered with a 60-yard touchdown to re-take the lead, 31-24. This game did NOT go to overtime, yet under bettors still lost. Yes, a touchdown was scored by FSU with 1:03 to go, and then BC had a touchdown with just 14 seconds left to flip the total over. There were 41 points on the board with 2:34 to play. There were 28 points scored in the final 2:33. Ouch.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:36 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 11
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the 11th weekend of the college football.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Toledo (-3) 35, Kent State 33: The line on this game crashed from -7½ to just -3 but Toledo led 14-0 nine minutes into the game and maintained a 28-17 edge at halftime. Kent State climbed back in the game and after a late third quarter touchdown the Flashes kicked the PAT to trail by just one. Toledo would answer less than five minutes later to go up by eight but Kent State completed a 15-play drive to find the end zone with just over five minutes remaining. That score put the Flashes in position to cover but the two-point conversion attempt to make things even more interesting came up short.

Miami, OH (+7) 24, Ohio 21: The Bobcats never led in this game but the scoring traded off throughout the game and was tied twice in the fourth quarter as overtime was realistic to keep all spread outcomes in play. With about four minutes remaining Miami connected on Sam Sloman’s 53-yard field goal to take a 3-point lead and Ohio mangled its possession, winding up needing to go for it on 4th-and-23 while having a costly penalty and burning two timeouts.

Illinois (+16) 37, Michigan State 34: The Spartans seemed to be in complete control leading 28-3 early and still 31-10 through three quarters. Illinois would score a pair of touchdowns early in the fourth quarter to get back in the game and then got a 76-yard interception return touchdown. The PAT was missed as the Illini weren’t able to tie the game. Michigan State had to settle for a field goal however and the Illini put together a 13-play drive to go 75 yards in the final three minutes for the upset.

Purdue (-1) 24, Northwestern 22: The dormant Northwestern offense exploded for two first quarter touchdowns but Purdue would take a 21-16 lead by the end of the third quarter. Northwestern went back in front in the fourth but up by one, failed on the two-point try in what lurked as potentially big play relative to the spread with the Wildcats a slight favorite much of the week. Northwestern missed a field goal with 2:30 remaining in the game to leave the door open for Purdue to steal the win late. With about a minute remaining Aidan O’Connell was intercepted in Northwestern territory on 4th down but the play was wiped out with a pass interference call, handing Purdue a new set of downs 15 yards closer. The Boilermakers only gained two more yards and J.D. Dellinger connected from 39 yards for the Purdue win.

Texas San Antonio (+3) 24, Old Dominion 23: The Monarchs had a 23-10 lead through three quarters at home but allowed an 85-yard touchdown drive early in the fourth quarter to wind up in a one-score game. The Roadrunners forced a punt and then put together perhaps their best drive of the season with a 14-play drive that included three 3rd down conversions. The touchdown with fewer than three minutes remaining tied the game and the PAT was good for the lead. Old Dominion approached midfield on its final drive but wound up fumbling on a sack as UTSA got the win.

USC (-5½) 31, Arizona State 26: This line climbed as it became clear that Arizona State quarterback Jayden Daniels wouldn’t play. USC scored four touchdowns in the first quarter but Arizona State would battle back, climbing within eight in the third quarter before a USC field goal made it an 11-point margin heading into the fourth quarter. The Sun Devils struck early in the fourth to trail by five with a two-point conversion try coming up short in a key play relative to the number. USC continued to fail to pick up first downs managing only three points in the final three quarters but the defense got an interception in the final minute to thwart a promising late drive from the Sun Devils. The fourth quarter touchdown from Arizona State put the scoring at 57, even with a common number during the week but past the late week total that fell to as low as 54½ with the quarterback change.

Mississippi (-28) 41, New Mexico State 3: The Rebels led just 17-3 before getting a touchdown in the final minute before halftime. Adding just seven in the third quarter the margin was right near the spread with a 31-3 edge into the fourth quarter. Mississippi completed a 98-yard drive to slip past the number early in the fourth and then added a late field goal for good measure.

Texas (-7) 27, Kansas State 24: A 14-0 Wildcats lead made the favorite cover for the Longhorns unlikely but Texas scored the next 24 points to lead by 10 early in the fourth quarter. After that short field touchdown drive Kansas State returned the kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown to get back within three however. Texas was held to a 3-and-out and Kansas State got a huge 3rd-and-long unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on its drive. That gain put Kansas State in field goal range and the game was tied at the 6:45 mark. Texas quickly approached the edge of field goal range and then found itself with 1st-and-goal from the Kansas State 2-yard line with a minute and a half to go. Texas did its best to burn the entire remaining clock instead of trying to score a touchdown but on 3rd and goal Sam Ehlinger had enough space to scamper into the end zone but an illegal formation play erased it. Texas eventually kicked a 26-yard field goal that was good and Kansas State didn’t get the ball again. Those laying points on the Longhorns with a spread that jumped from -5½ to -7 didn’t see Tom Herman’s late-game logic quite the same way.

UL-Monroe (+2½) 45, Georgia State 31: This game was tied 24-24 at halftime without consecutive scores for either team. UL-Monroe would take over with a 3-play 82-yard drive to lead by seven but Georgia State answered to leave the game knotted 31-31 through three quarters. A fumble, and two fourth down failures filled the next three Panthers possessions as the Warhawaks would add two touchdowns to pull away.

Wisconsin (-7½) 24, Iowa 22: The Badgers scored a touchdown just before halftime and then again late in the third quarter to emerge with a 21-6 edge. Iowa would put up a great late fight however with 10 points in the first six minutes of the fourth quarter around a Jack Coan interception as some familiarities to the Illinois collapse for Wisconsin emerged. On its field goal Iowa’s kicker was run into but the Hawkeyes opted to keep the points and stay down five rather than going for it on 4th-and-short down eight. The Badgers would burn a big chunk of clock but ultimately couldn’t put the game away, settling for a 29-yard field goal that was barely good. Iowa connected for a 75-yard touchdown pass on its first play and lined up for the tying two-point conversion. Quarterback Nate Stanley ran up the middle and was stopped just short. Wisconsin would reach the Iowa 11-yard-line before ultimately taking a knee in the final minute without adding points.

Baylor (-1½) 29, TCU 23: TCU led 9-0 at halftime looking to end Baylor’s undefeated run but the Bears would hit two field goals to trail 9-6 early in the fourth quarter, the second of which came on a 1-yard drive after inheriting great field position with an interception. Five straight punts followed before Baylor put together a late drive aided by a pass interference call, while also having an interception called off with a false start. The Bears went backwards from the TCU 22 and had to make a 51-yard field goal to force overtime as regulation didn’t feature a touchdown. Overtime would feature five straight touchdowns with Baylor going up by six leading the third session but unable to get the required two-point conversion. That score sealed an unfortunate ‘over’ despite 18 points in regulation. Max Duggan seemed to rush into the end zone to tie the game but on review he was ruled out at the 3-yard-line. TCU went backwards from there and eventually on 4th-and-goal the Baylor defense secured the win with an interception, getting the favorite cover as well while remaining at the front of the Big XII race.

Oklahoma (-14½) 42, Iowa State 41: Oklahoma led 35-14 at halftime and still led by 21 through three quarters. Iowa State got back within the number with a touchdown on the first play of the fourth quarter. Oklahoma fumbled to give the ball right back but Iowa State was unable to score from 1st-and-goal. The defense forced a quick punt and went 80 yards in four plays to suddenly put the game back in play. Facing 3rd-and-7 Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts seemed to be trying to throw the ball away but wound up intercepted in bounds to give the Cyclones great field position. Brock Purdy led a touchdown drive and Matt Campbell made the call to go for the win with 24 seconds to go. Pressure came and Purdy made a throw on the money but egregious pass interference was ignored by the officials as the Sooners escaped.

Hawai’i (-9½) 42, San Jose State 40: The line on the late night game had a late jump to as high as -9½ from -7 to -8 most of the week. That appeared to matter with Hawai’i up nine early in the fourth quarter. San Jose State connected for a 40-yard touchdown pass to get within two but the Warriors burned more than five minutes for a 12-play touchdown drive to go back up by nine. The Warriors had a chance to hold that margin but on 4th-and-7 San Jose State converted in its own territory and a few plays later struck the end zone again with fewer than two minutes on the clock to confirm the underdog cover.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:39 AM

319W VIRGINIA -320 KANSAS ST
W VIRGINIA is 53-75 ATS (-29.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.

321VIRGINIA TECH -322 GEORGIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 29-12 ATS (15.8 Units) as a road fav. of <=7 since 1992.

323TULANE -324 TEMPLE
TULANE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

325INDIANA -326 PENN ST
INDIANA is 10-41 ATS (-35.1 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

327CINCINNATI -328 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

329SYRACUSE -330 DUKE
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

331OHIO ST -332 RUTGERS
OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite in the current season.

333LOUISVILLE -334 NC STATE
NC STATE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

335MINNESOTA -336 IOWA
IOWA is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992.

337WAKE FOREST -338 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

339C MICHIGAN -340 BALL ST
BALL ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

341LA MONROE -342 GA SOUTHERN
LA MONROE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

343MASSACHUSETTS -344 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in home games vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game since 1992.

345TROY -346 TEXAS ST
TROY is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992.

347NEW MEXICO -348 BOISE ST
NEW MEXICO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up losses in the last 3 seasons.

349UCLA -350 UTAH
UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

351AIR FORCE -352 COLORADO ST
AIR FORCE is 31-12 ATS (17.8 Units) in road games after allowing <=14 pts. since 1992.

355APPALACHIAN ST -356 GEORGIA ST
GEORGIA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 in the last 3 seasons.

357NAVY -358 NOTRE DAME
NOTRE DAME is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

359ARIZONA ST -360 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 41-23 ATS (15.7 Units) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

361USC -362 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in November games in the last 3 seasons.

363ARIZONA -364 OREGON
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after 2 conference games in the last 3 seasons.

365COASTAL CAROLINA -366 ARKANSAS ST
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

367UTEP -368 UAB
UAB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

369S CAROLINA -370 TEXAS A&M
S CAROLINA is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game since 1992.

371GEORGIA -372 AUBURN
AUBURN is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game since 1992.

373LA LAFAYETTE -374 S ALABAMA
LA LAFAYETTE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

373LA LAFAYETTE -374 S ALABAMA
Billy Napier is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers (Coach of LA LAFAYETTE)

377TEXAS -378 IOWA ST
TEXAS are 48-28 ATS (17.2 Units) in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

379TCU -380 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers since 1992.

381OKLAHOMA -382 BAYLOR
OKLAHOMA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992.

383MEMPHIS -384 HOUSTON
MEMPHIS are 22-4 Under (17.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

387MICHIGAN ST -388 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN ST is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games off a loss vs. the conference since 1992.

389FLORIDA -390 MISSOURI
MISSOURI is 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) after a blowout loss (>17 pts) since 1992.

391HAWAII -392 UNLV
HAWAII is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

393RICE -394 MIDDLE TENN ST
RICE is 64-34 ATS (26.6 Units) vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.

397ALABAMA -398 MISSISSIPPI ST
ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry in the last 3 seasons.

399WISCONSIN -400 NEBRASKA
WISCONSIN is 32-14 ATS (16.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

401LSU -402 OLE MISS
OLE MISS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

403STANFORD -404 WASHINGTON ST
STANFORD is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:41 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (3 - 6) at KANSAS ST (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 176-140 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 176-140 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 164-123 ATS (+28.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 129-91 ATS (+28.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 96-68 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (6 - 3) at TEMPLE (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TULANE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (7 - 2) at PENN ST (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 83-113 ATS (-41.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PENN ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (8 - 1) at S FLORIDA (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (3 - 6) at DUKE (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (9 - 0) at RUTGERS (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OHIO ST is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OHIO ST is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
RUTGERS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
RUTGERS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (5 - 4) at NC STATE (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (9 - 0) at IOWA (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (7 - 2) at CLEMSON (10 - 0) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (6 - 4) at BALL ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (4 - 5) at GA SOUTHERN (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
LA MONROE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 9) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 8) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (4 - 5) at TEXAS ST (3 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (2 - 7) at BOISE ST (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 151-111 ATS (+28.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 85-54 ATS (+25.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (4 - 5) at UTAH (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UCLA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
UTAH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (7 - 2) at COLORADO ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (6 - 3) at UTAH ST (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 1) at GEORGIA ST (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (7 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (7 - 2) - 11/16/2019, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 179-133 ATS (+32.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 179-133 ATS (+32.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 101-61 ATS (+33.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 85-46 ATS (+34.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 85-46 ATS (+34.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-45 ATS (+31.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (5 - 4) at OREGON ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (6 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (4 - 5) at OREGON (8 - 1) - 11/16/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 141-180 ATS (-57.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 141-180 ATS (-57.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 118-156 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
OREGON is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL CAROLINA (4 - 5) at ARKANSAS ST (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (1 - 8) at UAB (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA (4 - 6) at TEXAS A&M (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (8 - 1) at AUBURN (7 - 2) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 2) at S ALABAMA (1 - 8) - 11/16/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (3 - 6) at OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 3) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 136-172 ATS (-53.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 136-172 ATS (-53.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 52-84 ATS (-40.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 52-84 ATS (-40.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 97-127 ATS (-42.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 89-122 ATS (-45.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (6 - 3) at IOWA ST (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (4 - 5) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (8 - 1) at BAYLOR (9 - 0) - 11/16/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
BAYLOR is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (8 - 1) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (4 - 5) at VANDERBILT (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (4 - 5) at MICHIGAN (7 - 2) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (8 - 2) at MISSOURI (5 - 4) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (6 - 4) at UNLV (2 - 7) - 11/16/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 95-133 ATS (-51.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (0 - 9) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 3) at UTSA (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (8 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (7 - 2) at NEBRASKA (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (9 - 0) at OLE MISS (4 - 6) - 11/16/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (4 - 5) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 5) - 11/16/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
STANFORD is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:43 AM

NCAAF

Week 12

Trend Report

Saturday, November 16

Alabama @ Mississippi State
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Mississippi State's last 12 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 10 games

Florida @ Missouri
Florida
Florida is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Florida is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Missouri's last 8 games
Missouri is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida

Alabama State @ Florida State
Alabama State
Alabama State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida State's last 7 games
Florida State is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games

VMI @ Army
VMI
VMI is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Army
Army is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Army is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Massachusetts @ Northwestern
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 8 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Kansas @ Oklahoma State
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas

Texas Christian @ Texas Tech
Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Christian's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 6 games when playing Texas Tech
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games

Indiana @ Penn State
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Michigan State @ Michigan
Michigan State
Michigan State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Michigan State's last 17 games
Michigan
Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Wisconsin @ Nebraska
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 8 games when playing Wisconsin
Nebraska is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Tulane @ Temple
Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tulane's last 7 games
Temple
Temple is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

Texas El Paso @ Alabama-Birmingham
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games when playing Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas El Paso
Alabama-Birmingham is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

Navy @ Notre Dame
Navy
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Navy
Notre Dame is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games

Idaho State @ Brigham Young
Idaho State
Idaho State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Idaho State is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games
Brigham Young
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 6 games
Brigham Young is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games
Coastal Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 6 games

Louisiana-Monroe @ Georgia Southern
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 7 games

Troy @ Texas State
Troy
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Troy's last 10 games
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games
Texas State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

Georgia @ Auburn
Georgia
Georgia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games
Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games when playing Georgia
Auburn is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

Kentucky @ Vanderbilt
Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 7 games when playing Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games when playing Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games

Wake Forest @ Clemson
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
Wake Forest is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech

Texas @ Iowa State
Texas
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Texas

West Virginia @ Kansas State
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games when playing Kansas State
West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games

Ohio State @ Rutgers
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Rutgers's last 15 games
Rutgers is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis

Central Michigan @ Ball State
Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Ball State
Ball State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Ball State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan

Syracuse @ Duke
Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games
Syracuse is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Duke's last 8 games
Duke is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Iowa
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa
Iowa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games

Wyoming @ Utah State
Wyoming
Wyoming is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming's last 8 games
Utah State
Utah State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Utah State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wyoming

Hawaii @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hawaii's last 10 games when playing Nevada-Las Vegas
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii

Incarnate Word @ New Mexico State
Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Stanford @ Washington State
Stanford
Stanford is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington State
Stanford is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington State
Washington State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Washington State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

Rice @ Middle Tennessee
Rice
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games
Rice is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

Louisiana-Lafayette @ South Alabama
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 7 games
South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Southern Miss @ Texas-San Antonio
Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 6 games
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

Louisiana State @ Mississippi
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi
Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games

Air Force @ Colorado State
Air Force
Air Force is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Colorado State
Air Force is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Colorado State's last 12 games when playing Air Force
Colorado State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Cincinnati @ South Florida
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
South Florida
South Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 7 games

South Carolina @ Texas A&M
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games
South Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Arizona State @ Oregon State
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona State's last 12 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Oregon State
Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona State

Oklahoma @ Baylor
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Oklahoma is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Baylor
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma

Louisville @ North Carolina State
Louisville
Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State
Louisville is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games

Appalachian State @ Georgia State
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia State
Appalachian State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Georgia State
Georgia State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

California-Los Angeles @ Utah
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California-Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Utah
California-Los Angeles is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

New Mexico @ Boise State
New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games
New Mexico is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
Boise State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Mexico
Boise State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Arizona @ Oregon
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Southern California @ California
Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing California
Southern California is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing California
California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games when playing Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of California's last 18 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:48 AM

Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Saturday, Nov. 16

Matchup Skinny
Edge

WEST VIRGINIA at KANSAS STATE...K-State 7-2 vs. line TY for Klieman, Cats 9-2 vs. spread since late 2018. Mounties 3-7-2 vs. points since late 2018.
Kansas State, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA TECH...Hokies stirring a bit with covers in four of last five TY. Jackets 2-6-1 vs. line in debut for Collins, 0-4 at home. Paul Johnson had covered last three in series for GT, however.
Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.

TULANE at TEMPLE...Wave on 6-1 spread uptick, 8-2 vs. points last 10 since late 2018. Though Owls 4-1 vs. spread at home TY.
Slight to Tulane, based on team trends.

INDIANA at PENN STATE...Hoosiers on 5-1 SU and spread uptick TY, covered last 4 as Big Ten road 'dog. James Franklin no covers last 3 at Happy Valley TY.
Indiana, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bearcats 3-1 as visiting chalk since LY, though USF has covered last four in series. USF just 3-9 vs. spread last 12 at Tampa after Temple loss.
Slight to Cincinnati, based on team trends.

SYRACUSE at DUKE...Cuse has sagged TY, no covers last five or 7 of last 8 in 2019. Though Cutcliffe just 7-9-1 as chalk since 2017.
Duke, based on recent ‘Cuse woes.

OHIO STATE at RUTGERS...Buckeyes on 8-game cover streak, ‘Gers 0-6 vs. spread in Big Ten TY. Bucks have won and covered all five in series since Scarlet Knights joined Big Ten, no margin less than 32. Last three years combined score 166-3! Last four years 215-10!
Ohio State, based on team and series trends.

LOUISVILLE at NC STATE...’Ville only 2-4 vs. spread last six TY but Satterfield teams still 18-7-1 vs. line at App & with Cards since late 2017. Wolfpack on 1-7 spread skid TY.
Louisville, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at IOWA...Floyd of Rosedale! Gophers on quite a roll, 11-0 SU since late 2018, covered last six in a row. Iowa however has won last four Floyds and 2-0-1 vs. line in those. Ferentz 7-4 as home chalk since LY and has won SU in last 8 Floyd fights at Iowa City.

Iowa, based on series trends.
vs.

WAKE FOREST at CLEMSON...Clawson 10-3 as road dog since 2016, 15-8-1 overall as dog since 2016. Wake has covered 4 of last 5 meetings (though Clemson won 63-3 LY). Dabo 6-1 vs. spread in ACC TY, 12-1-1 vs. line last 14 league games!
Slight to Wake Forest, based on extended series trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...McElwain 7-1 vs. spread last eight TY. Ball has covered 5 of last 6 after WMU result. But Cards just 3-6 vs. spread last nine at Muncie.
Central Michigan, based on team trends.

UL MONROE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...ULM on 3-8 spread skid since late 2018 but has covered last three vs. Eagles (dating to 2014). Warhawks better lately on road however where they are 4-3 vs. line last seven. Eagles no covers last three Sun Belt games at home.
Slight to ULM, based on team and series trends.

UMASS at NORTHWESTERN...UMass 1-9 vs. line TY and no covers five on road. Cats however no covers last six at Evanston and Pat Fitz no covers last eight as chalk.
Slight to Northwestern, based on UMass woes.

TROY at TEXAS STATE...Chip Lindsey just 3-6 vs. spread in Troy debut, though Spavital just 1-7-1 vs. spread in his TSU debut. Trojans have covered 3 of last 4 meetings (though not LY). Bobcats 1-5-1 vs. spread last seven as Belt host.
Slight to Troy, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO at BOISE STATE...Davie has had some success vs. Boise, covering 5 of last 7 meetings including last three on blue carpet. Though Lobos only 10-24 last 34 vs. line since late 2016. Broncos 19-37 as blue carpet chalk since late 2010.
Slight to New Mexico, based on extended series trends.

UCLA at UTAH...Bruins rallying with wins and covers in last three TY. Utes however have won and covered last five in 2019 and have won and covered last three in series.
Slight to Utah, based on recent series trends.

AIR FORCE at COLORADO STATE...Rams rallying with covers last three and five of last six TY. Dog team has covered last five meetings.
Slight to Colorado State, based on recent trends.

WYOMING at UTAH STATE...Bohl on 11-3 spread uptick, 5-1 last six vs. line away. Wyo has covered last three in series. Utags 2-4 vs. spread last six TY.
Wyoming, based on team and series trends.

APP STATE at GEORGIA STATE...App 6-3 vs. line TY and 19-6-1 since late 2017 vs. spread. App 5-2 vs. spread last 7 on Belt road. GSU 3-0-1 as dog TY. Road team 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.

NAVY at NOTRE DAME...Navy on 10-2 spread uptick, still an outside shot at New Year’s Six. Mids 4-1 last five as dog and 6-3-1 in role since LY. Navy has covered last three in series and have covered 12 of last 14 at South Bend.
Navy, based on team and series trends.

ARIZONA STATE at OREGON STATE...Herm only 3-8 vs. spread last 11 since late 2018. Though Sun Devils have won and covered last two meetings. Beavs 6-2 vs. spread last 8 TY after U-Dub loss.
Slight to Oregon State, based on recent trends.

USC at CAL...Bears snapped 14-game SU losing streak to SC in LY’s 15-14 win at Coliseum. Underdog team 8-1 vs. line in Cal games TY, 12-2-1 last 15 since late LY.
Slight to California, based on recent trends.

ARIZONA at OREGON...Cats 3-1 SU and vs. line last four reg season meetings (though Ducks won 2014 Pac-12 title game). But Sumlin no covers last four and 7 of 9 TY (2-3 as dog). Webfoots only 2-3 vs. spread at Autzen TY and 5-7 last 12 vs. spread at home.
Slight to Oregon, based on recent trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at ARKANSAS STATE...Coastal 3-1 vs. line away TY though just 5-4 vs. spread. ASU 4-1 vs. points last five as Belt host. Red Wolves big wins and covers vs. Chants past two years.
Arkansas State, based on series trends.

UTEP at UAB...UTEP 6-3 vs. spread last 9 on road. Blazers 11-1-1 vs. points at Legion Field vs. FBS foes since returning in 2017.
UAB, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at AUBURN...Kirby Smart 3-0 vs. line away TY, 6-0 last six vs. spread reg season away from Athens (counts LY’s SEC title game). Kirby has also won and covered last two vs. Malzahn and Dawgs 5-1 SU and vs. line last six meetings. Malzahn however is 8-2 vs. line last 10 since late 2018 and has covered both as a dog TY.
Slight to Georgia, based on series trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at SOUTH ALABAMA...Ragin’ Cajuns keep rollin’, now 8-1 vs. line TY after Coastal romp, 16-2-2 vs. spread last 20 reg season games for Billy Napier. USA a bit better lately with covers in 4 of last 5.
ULL, based on recent trends.

KANSAS at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy had crucified KU three meetings previous to LY when OSU did not cover huge price in 55-40 win. Les Miles 2-1 as road dog Ty and 3-1 last four vs. spread. Gundy on 8-2 spread uptick since late LY and 10-4-1 last 15 as DD chalk.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.

TEXAS at IOWA STATE... Tom Herman 14-4 as dog since 2015 at Houston & UT. ISU only 3-6 as home chalk since LY, and Matt Campbell 0-3 vs. line against Horns.
Texas, based on team trends.

TCU at TEXAS TECH...Tech has covered 3 of last 4 meetings, and Red Raiders 7-3 vs. spread last 10 at Lubbock (3-1 TY). Patterson 0-3 vs. line on Big 12 road TY, 1-6 last seven in role.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA at BAYLOR...OU 0-3-1 vs. spread last four as Big 12 visitor. Sooners have covered 3 of last 4 meetings vs. Bears, though Rhule 9-2 last 11 as dog.
Slight to Baylor, based on team trends.

MEMPHIS at HOUSTON...Memphis 1-3 vs. line last four TY, no covers last three on American road. UH has covers as DD dog its last two TY but Tigers have covered last four meetings.
Slight to Memphis, based on series trends.

KENTUCKY at VANDERBILT...Derek Mason on 1-9 spread skid since late 2018, 3-8 vs. line last 11 as SEC host. Stoops has won last thee SU vs. Dores and 7-4 vs. line last eleven since late LY.
Kentucky, based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...Dantonio no covers last five or 6 of last 7 TY, 2-10 last 12 vs. spread in reg season. MSU 0-3 as dog TY and just 4-7 in formerly-good role since 2017, but Dantonio 10-1 vs. spread last 11 in series. Harbaugh has covered 5 of last 6 TY.
Slight to Michigan State, based on extended series trends.

FLORIDA at MISSOURI...Dan Mullen on 9-4 spread uptick since late 2018. He’s 15-8 vs. spread with Gators since LY, 4-2 vs. spread as SEC visitor. Mizzou no covers last four TY but has won and covered big last two in series.
Slight to Florida, based on recent trends.

HAWAII at UNLV...Sanchez 6-11 vs. spread since late 2016 at Sam Boyd. Rolovich has covered 3 of last 4 as MW visitor.
Hawaii, based on recent trends.

RICE at MTSU... Owls no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 TY. Rice was 6-2 as road dog for Bloomgren before dropping last two in role. MTSU 7-2 last 9 as C-USA host.
Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at UTSA...Roadrunners 2-11 vs. line last 13 at Alamodome vs. FBS foes.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Moorhead 3-7 vs. line since late 2018. MSU 0-3 as dog TY and 1-6 in role since Moorhead arrived LY. Saban 4-1 last 5 vs. line as SEC visitor, 1-3 vs. line after last 4 SU losses.
Alabama, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at NEBRASKA...Huskers no covers last six TY, 1-8 overall vs. line. Paul Chryst 12-4 as visiting chalk with Badgers since '15, and Badgers have beaten Huskers 6 in a row SU (4-2 vs. line).
Wisconsin, based on recent and series trends.

LSU at OLE MISS...Tigers have covered 2 of last 3 after facing Bama. LSU has covered last five away from Baton Rouge and Coach O 3-0 SU and vs. line against Rebs. Ole Miss 5-1 vs. line L6 TY.
Slight to LSU, based on series trends.

STANFORD at WASHINGTON STATE... Tree no covers last five away from Farm, and 2-3 as dog since LY after Shaw 12-4-1 previously in role. Leach has won last 3 and covered last 4 meetings.
Washington State, based on team and series trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2019, 07:48 AM

by: Monty Andrews

ROOM TO ROAM

The Toledo Rockets might be only slight favorites for Wednesday night's MAC tilt with visiting Northern Illinois, but they have a significant advantage in at least one area – and it could turn this one into a bit of a laugher. The Rockets come into the game with the nation's No. 12 rushing offense, averaging nearly 251 yards per game on the ground – and they've been especially dominant over their previous two games, racking up a combined 664 rushing yards in narrow victories over Eastern Michigan and Kent State. The Huskies, meanwhile, are coming off getting routed 48-10 to Central Michigan in which the Chippewas posted 327 rushing yards.

An edge like this makes Toledo a terrific option in a variety of different bet scenarios; we recommend buying a few points in their favor and taking an alternate line of -6.5.

MIAMI (OH) FOR 3

The Miami (OH) Redhawks should have little trouble filling the board Wednesday night as they host a Bowling Green defense that ranks among the worst in the nation in points allowed. But while the Falcons have surrendered a mind-boggling 33.8 points per game so far this season, the Redhawks might not necessarily be headed for a parade to the end zone. Miami (Ohio) has one of the worst touchdown-to-field-goal ratios in the country coming into Week 12, having scored 22 TDs compared with 16 FGs – six of those coming over the course of their current three-game winning streak.

Miami (Ohio) is a big-time favorite here, and is a good bet to open the scoring given BGSU's 2.5 first-half-points-per-game average on the road this season. We like the Redhawks FG to kick off the point parade.

GILBERT GETTING BACK

Kansas State's premier rushing threat might be back on the field this weekend. Wildcats senior James Gilbert practiced on Tuesday and is trending in the right direction as he recovers from an undisclosed ailment that kept him out of last week's 27-24 loss to the Texas Longhorns. It was originally thought that Gilbert would be in the lineup vs. Texas, but he was a late exclusion – and Kansas State struggled in his absence, finishing with a paltry 51 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Gilbert ranks ninth in the Big 12 Conference in rushing yards (558) while adding five touchdowns on the ground.

Gilbert's return would invigorate a Kansas State rush attack that has a favorable matchup against a West Virginia defense allowing 173 rushing yards per game. We recommend the hosts ATS if Gilbert is deemed fit to return.

WAKING NIGHTMARE

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have seen their season take a terrible turn with word that standout wide receiver Sage Surratt will miss the remainder of 2019 with an undisclosed injury. Wake Forest head coach Dave Clawson confirmed Tuesday that Surratt, who wasn't featured on the team's depth chart ahead of its Week 12 encounter with Clemson, would be out for the rest of the season – though he wouldn't specify what was wrong with the star wideout. Surratt finishes the year with 1,001 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on 66 receptions as the premier target for quarterback Jamie Newman.

The absence of Surratt should give bettors even less of a reason to bank on Wake Forest, which has seen the line shift as far as four points in Clemson's favor. Look for the Tigers to keep the undermanned Deacons below their team total.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 06:48 AM

Paul Leiner

Three CFB Picks 11/16

100* Over 57 Arizona State/Oregon State
100* Navy +7
100* Michigan -13.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 08:41 AM

Tony Weston

I've yet to hear one analyst say the Minnesota Golden Gophers will extend their season to 10-0 after last week's win over Penn State. But I like the Maroon and Gold to go into Iowa and steal this one from the 23rd-ranked Hawkeyes, as I've been saying Minnesota is real since the start of the season.

The Golden Gophers are desperately trying to make their point, that they too belong in the discussion for the College Football Playoff. They'd need to get through Ohio State, of course, but first they need to roll through the regular season.

And why not motivation in playing at a place they haven’t won at in 20 years.

Iowa has suffered three losses to ranked teams by 14 combined points and have turned the Hawkeyes into a spoiler toward Minnesota's perfect season. And sure, Iowa has won 14 of its last 18 games against Minnesota and eight in a row at Kinnick Stadium dating back to 1999, but I believe Minnesota will come in clear-headed after one of the biggest wins in school history.

Minnesota quarterback Tanner Morgan should have plenty of confidence against Iowa’s secondary, after throwing for 339 yards and three touchdowns against Penn State last week. He was 18 for 20 and is just the second FBS quarterback in 20 years with two 90 percent completion rate games in the same season.

He'll need to bring his best game, as the Hawkeyes are 10th nationally in passing defense at just 177.6 yards allowed per game.

The way the Gophers play, though, it's hard to imagine them being intimidated.

It should be Iowa that is intimidated, against guys like Minnesota defensive back Antoine Winfield Jr., who leads the Gophers with 57 total tackles and ranks second in the country with seven interceptions.

Take the Gophers here, as the magical season continues.

Like with all football plays in this point-spread range, I want you active in buying the half point. Anytime there is an underdog catching between +2.5 and +4, you are to buy the half point up.

5* MINNESOTA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 08:42 AM

Mitchell Newman

What a difference a week makes, as last week when the first college football playoff rankings were revealed the defending National Champion Clemson Tigers were on the outside looking in.

This week? The defending National Champion Clemson Tigers are up to # 3 and very much on the inside track towards defending their title.

This weekend Clemson plays at home against a Wake Forest team that got caught looking ahead to this meeting with the Tigers when the Demon Deacons got spanked at Virginia Tech, 36-17 as the field goal road favorite. Wake is getting a freight-train load of points today, but I am not going to touch them as I have a feeling Dabo Swinney is not going to take his foot off the gas pedal with this being the last of 2 regular season meetings left before the conference championship in December.

Last season Clemson walloped Wake Forest, 63-3, and they come into this game cooking big-time as their last 5 wins on the year after their near loss to North Carolina have come by just about 42 points per game. Trevor Lawrence is fresh off throwing for 4 touchdowns in last week's 55-10 "ho-hummer" over N.C. State, and with the Tigers not wanting to leave any doubt in the playoff committee's minds (the ACC being in a down year this season) that Clemson is worthy of Final Four material, I don't think there is a snowballs chance in hell the Demon Deacons do not get run over in this spot.

The Tigers are 12-1-1 their last 14 against the spread in ACC action, and today they push that record to 13-1-1 with the blowout of the Deacons.

Clemson BIG.

5* CLEMSON

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 08:42 AM

Chris Jordan

My free college football winner is on the Clemson Tigers, laying a big number against ACC-foe Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are lame ducks here, as the Tigers have to be looking to enhance their BCS resume, now that Alabama has been dumped to fourth. Clemson is sitting third, behind LSU and Ohio State.

Clemson is looking to make the College Football Playoff for a fifth straight season, and the last thing the defending champs need is a slip up in this game. I don't see that happening, but they'll also want to win like they're supposed to, and that is in dominating fashion.

Wake Forest quarterback Jamie Newman is a strong-armed, multi-talented player, but the Tigers' secondary is far too overpowering. Sure, Wake Forest leads the ACC in pass offense at 314 yards a game, but Clemson leads the league in pass defense, allowing just 137 yards a game..

That will be trouble for Wake Forest wideout Sage Surratt, who leads the ACC with 111 yards receiving per game, but hasn't seen a defense like this all season.

Clemson, which has won 10 straight in the series, will be paced on offense by running back Travis Etienne, the defending ACC player of the year who leads every conference runner with a nearly nine-yard per carry average. Etienne's 13 rushing touchdowns are tied for first in the league.

Clemson will honor 19 seniors playing for a final time at Death Valley, and make note its 66 wins over Wake Forest are second in program history to the 70 wins the Tigers have against in-state rival South Carolina. The gas pedal will hit the floor, and the Tigers will roar to a five-touchdown winner - at least.

5* CLEMSON

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 08:43 AM

Jack Brayman

My free winner for Saturday is on the UCLA Bruins against the Utah Utes. This is an awfully big number to lay to a team still alive for the Pac 12 South title, and with a quarterback what has had a bye week to heal up, and with a coach that has the experience and wherewithal to suprise some folks this late in the season.

Sure, the Utes are ranked eighth in the current AP poll, but in their most recent game they had to rally for a 33-28 victory after trailing Washington for three quarters. I don't necessarily trust Utah's defense against a rested and rejuvenated UCLA offense, especially if the Utes can't keep the Bruins to less than 30 points.

If Utah overlook the Bruins' offense led by quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson and running back Joshua Kelley, it's going to lose this game outright.

Don't let the probable tag fool you on DTR, as he's been wearing a knee brace since injuring it almost a month ago, and he'll wear one through the end of the campaign. But this is a tough kid who can manage, and has the type of arm that will frustrate Utah's secondary.

And if UCLA can get frustrate the Utes, the mistakes will mount. Utah ranks 93rd in the country with 7.0 penalties per game and 85th with 60.67 penalty yards per contest.

Playing with bowl eligibility on the brain, and the outside shot at a Pac 12 South title, I think UCLA keeps this close.

4* UCLA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 08:43 AM

Bob Valentino

My free play for Saturday is Navy plus the points in their game at Notre Dame.

The Irish may have quieted things down for a week after they put the hammer down on Duke last weekend, 38-7 as the -7 1/2 point road favorites. That win came after a last minute escape at home against Virginia Tech. Not so sure Brian Kelly's team will be able to duplicate last week's results today against a pretty good Navy team that has had plenty of past success in this series to hang their hat on - more on that in a moment though!

The Midshipmen have been idle since the start of the month when they administered a 56-10 pounding of Connecticut on the road to improve to 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread. Quarterback Malcolm Perry has run for over 100 yards in each of Navy's last 5 games - all wins! - and he did score twice in the rout of the Huskies. The Naval Academy defense is ranked 15th overall in the nation in total defense as they allow just over 18 points per game to be scored on them, and they also come in at 17th overall in total yards allowed. Bottom line, this Navy team plus the points is a very live dog in South Bend on Saturday afternoon.

Notre Dame did dump Navy 44-22 last season but did not cover as the -23 1/2 point favorites in that game. That cover puts the Middies at 5-1 against the spread the last 6 series meetings, and it should be pointed out that prior to last year's 22 point win, 4 of the previous 5 had been decided by 10 points or less.

Navy has also gone 12-2 against the spread the last 14 times these storied programs have played under Touchdown Jesus, and I don't see any reason why the ball control, triple-option attack that QB Perry is operating to perfection won't be able to take large chunks of time off the clock and keep the Irish offense off the field.

This one goes exactly as you think it will go. Navy hangs around all afternoon and keeps this one close with the points.

Play on Navy plus the points.

4* NAVY

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2019, 08:44 AM

Stephen DeAngelo

Misfired on Fresno State at San Diego State on Friday, but still a solid 6-3 with comp plays since joining this site. For Saturday’s freebie, we’ll lay the big points with Cincinnati in its American Athletic Conference road game at South Florida.

One of the things you learn the longer you’re in this business is not to be stubborn and hold firm to a position when you know that position is wrong. I bring this up because last week I lost a play on South Florida over Temple, with the Bulls getting buried 17-7 at home in a virtual pick-em spot. I thought South Florida not only was every bit Temple’s equal, but that the Bulls were in a great spot. And I was flat-out wrong, as South Florida’s offense was stuck in neutral all night against a decent defense.

So while some hard-headed handicappers might double-down on a team after that team laid an egg and cost them a winner, I’m more inclined to take the knowledge I gained from a loss—in this case, South Florida’s offense is no match for good defenses—and use it when the situation calls for it. And that’s precisely what I’m doing here by backing Cincinnati (and fading South Florida).

Cincinnati has ripped off seven straight wins (5-2 ATS) since getting spanked 42-0 at Ohio State in Week 2, and overall the 17th-ranked Bearcats are 8-1 and in prime position to snag a New Year’s Day bowl berth. During its seven-game winning streak, Cincy has defeated quality foes like Marshall (52-14) and Central Florida (27-24) and demolished most of their inferior opponents, including Miami (Ohio) (35-13), Houston (38-23), Tulsa (24-13) and UConn (48-3).

On the other hand, every time South Florida has stepped up in class this season, it has gotten steamrolled: 49-0 home loss to Wisconsin, 48-21 home loss to SMU, 35-3 road loss at Navy, 17-7 home loss to Temple. Throw in a 14-10 loss at Georgia Tech, and the Bulls have produced an average of 8.2 points in its five biggest games. If you want to include a 27-23 victory over BYU (a victory that’s proving to be an outlier), that average goes up to a measly 11.3 ppg.

Tonight, South Florida’s plodding offense goes up against a Cincy D that has had just two clunkers this season, allowing the 42 points at Ohio State (which, in retrospect, wasn’t all that bad) and 43 to East Carolina (in a 46-43 win). Other than that, the Bearcats have surrendered 3, 13, 23, 24, 14, 13 and 14 points—that’s a per-game average of 14.9 points. So that D is more than capable of clamping down on an anemic South Florida offense, helping the Bearcats to their fifth win by more than two TDs in their last eight games.

4* CINCINNATI

Saturday 11-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 11-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment