Saturday 11-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Nov 16 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Iowa
Play on: Iowa -3 -103 at betonline

Big game. The #7 Gophers bring their perfect 9-0 record to town. Yet, the Hawkeyes are favored. What gives? I believe its for good reason. Minnesota has had a fairly fortunate schedule and it got to face Penn State at home. Road games have been at Fresno State, Purdue and Rutgers and the Gophers barely survived the first two. The Hawkeyes are hungry to knock off a top 10 team and they're confident they can do it. They hammered the Gophers at Minnesota last year after beating them by seven here at Iowa the previous season. Gophers just 2-4-1 ATS last seven times they were road dogs of a touchdown or less. Consider Iowa.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Josephs

Nov 16 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Incarnate Word vs New Mexico State
Play on: Incarnate Word +7½ -110 at 5Dimes

New Mexico State is looking for their first win of the season as the FCS' Incarnate Word comes to town. The Cardinals are 5-5 on the season and lost 35-7 to UTSA way back in week one. The team is on a three game losing streak, but each of them are by single digits including falling 27-23 to Nicholls State who was nationally ranked. Jon Copeland is UIW's quarterback and he's completing 60% of his passes with 19 touchdowns to just seven interceptions. They average 4.1 yards per carry with six different players getting rushing touchdowns. There's a lot of balance in terms of weapons at wide receiver as well. It's been a horrendous season for the Aggies who have lost by 51, 52, 21, 3, 13, 7, 14, 34 and 38 points so far. They don't have much of an offense and the defense is very vulnerable too. Last year, NM State won their lone FCS game 52-42 vs. Alcorn State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Nov 16 '19, 4:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs Washington State
Play on: Stanford +11 -109 at GTBets

Play - Stanford (Game 403).
Edges - Cardinal: Head coach David Shaw is 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS in his career when coming off a SU favorite loss … Cougars: 9-18 SU and 10-17 ATS in this series, including 0-4 ATS in when coming off a SU favorite loss … With Washington State having been the underdog the last 12 games in this series, we recommend a 1* play on Stanford. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Nov 16 '19, 4:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs Washington State
Play on: Washington State -10 -109 at GTBets

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Washington State minus the points over Stanford at 4:30 pm et on Saturday.
Both of these Pac-12 teams have endured somewhat disappointing seasons but I'll give the considerable edge to Mike Leach's Cougars as they host the Cardinal on Saturday afternoon in Pullman. Stanford had an opportunity to build some positive momentum last week in Boulder, but ended up scoring just 13 points in a narrow loss to Colorado. That dropped the Cardinal to 3-5 over their last eight contests. Their lone road win this season came at Oregon State back in late September, and that was in a favored role. As a road underdog they've lost by 25 points at USC and 18 points at UCF this season. Washington State has put up at least 41 points in all four home games this season. In fact, the Cougars last home win, coming by a 41-10 score against Colorado, ended a string of three straight home games in which they put up 58 points or more. Their defense has been wildly inconsistent but I'm not convinced the Cardinal can give them a major push in that regard today. Take Washington State (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Nov 16 '19, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor +10½ -105 at YouWager

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Baylor +10.5
The Key: The Baylor Bears are 9-0 this season. That’s significant since the Bears are double-digit home underdogs. It’s only the second time in the last 40 years that a 9-0 or better team has been a 7-plus point home underdog. The last one was Notre Dame (+7) back in 1993 when they beat Florida State outright. Four of the last six 9-0 or better home underdogs have won outright. And the two that lost the game straight up only lost by 3 and 10 points, respectively. So Oklahoma will be trying to do something that hasn’t happened in 40 years Saturday. They would have to beat Baylor by more than 10 points to cover this spread and make history. I don’t see it happening. Oklahoma has a leaky defense that has given up 41 and 48 points to mediocre Iowa State and Kansas State offenses, respectively, the last 2 weeks. It’s starting to feel like the last few years when the Sooners win close games but don’t cover because while their offense is elite, their defense can’t stop anyone. Baylor has the much better defense. The Bears have allowed 27 or fewer points at the end of regulation in all 9 games this season, and 21 or fewer in 8 of those. They are giving up just 16.3 PPG at the end of regulation this year, which makes them far and away the best defense in the Big 12, and thus the best defense that Oklahoma has faced yet. The Bears will finally get the credit they deserve for their 9-0 record with a gutsy performance against Oklahoma. You know Matt Rhule is playing the disrespect card as hard as he can letting players know they’re double-digit dogs. Finally, Baylor is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog with 5 outright wins. Take Baylor.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Nov 16 '19, 7:35 PM in 6h
NBA | Hornets vs Knicks
Play on: UNDER 212 -104

MIKE LUNDIN'S HORNETS @ KNICKS FREE PICK
**HOT PREMIUM PICK RUNS: 10-5 L15 NHL, 6-2 L8 CBB, 35-21 L56 NBA TOTALS**
The New York Knicks are averaging just 100.0 ppg on the season and nine of their 12 games have gone under the total.
Their scoring has been particularly poor home at Madison Square Garden where they score just 97.8 ppg and the under is a perfect 5-0. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair when they host the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday.
The visiting Charlotte is averaging 102.8 ppg on the road and the Hornets will most likely try and slow down the tempo as they'll be playing on no rest after defeating Detroit Friday night. Only three teams have fewer possessions per game than the Knicks, so I doubt they're even capable of making the visitors run up and down the floor with them.
Free pick on UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Nov 16 '19, 8:35 PM in 7h
NBA | Blazers vs Spurs
Play on: Blazers +2 -104 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Blazers +2 -104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez

Nov 16 '19, 9:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Oregon State vs Wyoming
Play on: OVER 125 -109

COLLEGE HOOPS 100 DIME GAME
125 OVER
After opening with home wins over CSU Northridge (87-67) and Iowa State (80-74), the Beavers shot a season-low 40.9 percent from the field Tuesday night in falling to Oklahoma, 77-69, in the Phil Knight Invitational in Portland, Ore. Aside from Tinkle, guard Ethan Thompson (13.3 points), forward Kylor Kelley (12.7) and guard Zach Reichle (11.3) also are averaging double digits. Thompson and Reichle have hit six 3-pointers apiece for Oregon State, which ranks among the nation's top 20 with a 44.3 team accuracy percentage beyond the arc.
The Cowboys and fourth-year coach Allen Edwards are coming off the program's worst season (8-24) in 46 years and were picked 10th in the 11-team Mountain West Conference preseason media poll. Wyoming is shooting 37.7 percent from the field and averaging only 46.3 points, with 6-7 guard Hunter Maldonado accounting for 41 percent of the team's scoring with his average of 19 points per outing. Hunter Thompson, a 6-10 forward, matches Maldonado with a team-most 5.3 rebounds per contest while guard Jake Hendricks is the team's top 3-point threat, hitting 4-of-12 attempts.
This game will be a shoot out, and it will be close. The total is value in this game, and we are laying the Over. Oregon St wins this game 72-62.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Wilson

Nov 16 '19, 10:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Arizona vs Oregon
Play on: OVER 67½ -109

Free Play on Arizona vs Oregon over67½ -109
In a Pac-12 matchup, the Arizona Wildcats (4-5) take on the Oregon Ducks (8-1). Arizona has had an up and down season. Their offense is potent at 41st in points scored per game thanks to their 18th ranked pass attack and 37th ranked rush offense. They are a big-play offense that ranks 21st in yards per play. As good as Oregon's offense is, 12th in points scored, Arizona is actually better on the ground (44th) and through the air (33rd). Oregon is also a big-play team that ranks 25th in yards per play. The Arizona defense is atrocious. They allow the fifth-most points per game and have the second-worst pass defense in the country. They are also 112th in yards per play allowed. Oregon has a solid defense but Arizona should find plenty of scoring opportunities against the Ducks' 52nd-ranked pass defense. This should be another high-scoring Pac-12 matchup that sees the total cruise past 67.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Nov 16 '19, 10:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Hawks vs Clippers
Play on: Hawks +13 -115 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Hawks +13 -115
The final game on the NBA’s Saturday slate is a matchup between the Hawks (4-7) and Clippers (7-5) in Los Angeles. Atlanta comes in as a huge, 13-point road dog.
The Hawks most recently lost a 128-112 contest against the Suns, but won the previous game with a 125-121 performance against the Nuggets. Before Thursday’s loss, Trae Young put up 30, 35, and 42 points in three-straight games.
On average, the Hawks are scoring 107 points and allowing 111.7 points per game while shooting 46% from the field.
As you’d expect, Young is leading scorer for this Atlanta squad by a fairly wide margin. Thus far, Young is averaging 27.3 points and 9.1 assists per game. Jabari Parker has led the Hawks in scoring on a few occasions, and is averaging 18.4 points per game.
Much of the reason for the 13-point line in this contest is the arrival of the Kawhi Leonard-Paul George partnership in L.A. If the Clippers are to rebound from two-straight losses to the Rockets and Pelicans, they’ll need their star duo to click right away.
On average, the Clippers are scoring 111.6 points and allowing 108.6 points per game while shooting 45.8% from the field.
Leonard has been the best player on the Clippers in the games he’s played, scoring 26.8 points in addition to his 8.9 rebounds and six assists per contest.