Service Plays Tuesday 11/12/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #16
    Robert Ferringo CBB

    yest: +3

    ytd: -30

    ---

    2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 145.5 Auburn at South Alabama (8 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)
    Auburn is 2-0 on the season. But it is a little bit of a shaky 2-0. They couldn't put Georgia Southern away in the opener and they were really the beneficiaries of a bad shooting night by Davidson in their second game. Bruce Pearl is leaning on just six guys right now and that's not going to hold up all season long. This game is like the Final Four for South Alabama. They are a smaller, in-state school and they get a true home game against a big SEC school. I have to think the atmosphere here tonight will be a boon for the home team. USA has a really small team. But they are experienced, with five seniors in the starting lineup. They are going to be bombing from all over the place and I think USA will keep this one competitive. South Alabama managed 75 points in their game against Southern Miss, a team that plays at one of the slowest tempos in the country. I think that they will run and gun with the Tigers, who should push the tempo in this one. I can see this one somewhere around 82-76.

    1-Unit Play. Take #769 Northern Kentucky (Pk) over Coastal Carolina (7 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)

    Both teams lost their star player from last year. But Northern Kentucky brought back four other starters from the team that beat Coastal Carolina last season and they are a bit further ahead. Northern Kentucky is just the better team from the better conference. And home court won't play a big enough role. Coastal Carolina turned over the majority of its roster and brought in a bunch of JUCO guys. It takes a bit for them to learn to play together and I don't think that this team is there yet. They lost their opener against a feeble Campbell team and Coastal has been terrible on defense in both games. I'll go with NKU.

    7-Unit Play. Take #797 Miami (-2) over Central Florida (9 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)

    1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 138.0 Miami at Central Florida (9 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)

    Central Florida won't fall off the map this year. But they aren't very good and they are undergoing almost a complete rebuild. They struggled with Prairie View in the opener and I think that they are going to get hammered here. UCF lost four starters and five of its top seven players from last year's squad. They are trying to fill the gap with transfers Dazon Ingram and Matt Milon. But it's going to take some time and I don't think it will be enough here. Miami was able to rebound from a terrible 25 minutes against Louisville in its opener to beat a decent Florida Atlantic team. Miami has more size, talent and experience and I think that they will take it to the Golden Knights in this one. Playing that game against Louisville - playing a high-caliber opponent in a charged environment - will have them ready for a hostile environment here.

    6-Unit Play. Take #804 UTEP (+4) over New Mexico State (8 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)

    I know it doesn't resonate outside of this part of the country, but the Battle of I-10 is actually a pretty meaningful rivalry between UTEP and New Mexico State. And NMSU has won an amazing nine straight over UTEP. Well, I think it is time for that streak to get snapped. UTEP coach Rodney Terry isn't quite there yet. But he is turning around this Miners program and I don't think there is any doubt that he's bringing the better team into this game. It looks like Nigel Hawkins is going to play and he and Efe Odigie both averaged nearly 13 points per game for the Miners last year. Now they aren't even the two best players on this roster. Five transfers: Daryl Edwards (LSU), Bryson Williams (Fresno State), Souley Boum (San Fran), Anthony Tarke (NJIT) and Tydus Verhoeven (Duquesne) have really raised the talent level on this team. Throw in sophomore Jordan Lathon and his 11 points per game for UTEP last year and Terry has a really solid eight-man rotation. NMSU is not in as good of shape. They had four of five starters back from last year's 30-win squad. But three of those starters are now hurt and won't play. That means they will enter this game without three of their top four scorers and six of their top nine players from last year. I think that UTEP is going to snap the losing streak in this rivalry and win this one outright.

    1-Unit Play. Take #816 USC (-14.5) over South Dakota State (10 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)

    SDSU lost a massive amount of talent and experience from last year's squad. They also lost their coach. So this is a major transitional year for the Jackrabbits. They have gotten off to a nice 3-0 start an dare playing well. But this is a massive step up in class. Seven of SDSU's top nine players are freshmen and sophomores. I don't know how they are going to handle this trip. USC is pretty young as well. But their talent is on a whole other level than SDSU. I think USC will get out and run and will manage to blow out the Summit League visitors here.

    1-Unit Play. Take #7291 Air Force (+1) over Army (7 p.m., Tuesday, Nov. 12)

    Army has beaten Air Force five straight years. However, the Falcons have a decent team this year after bringing back seven of their top eight players from last year. They rebounded from a dud effort in their opening game to ring up 78 points in a win over a solid Texas State team. I just think that they are the better team from a better conference here. They are playing with a solid, six-year revenge motivation and I think that they will break through in this one.

    1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #773 Wright State (-5.5) over Tennessee Tech (8:30 p.m.) AND Take #753 Davidson (-5.5) over Charlotte (7 p.m.)

    1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #819 Memphis (+9) over Oregon (9 p.m.) AND Take #7291 Air Force (+6) over Army (7 p.m.)
    2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #781 Auburn (-2.5) over South Alabama (8 p.m.) AND Take #804 UTEP (+9) over New Mexico State (8 p.m.)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #17
      Doc Sports CBB 11-12

      4-Xavier-5.5
      4-N.Kentucky pk
      4-Auburn-5.5
      4-Arkansas-13.5
      4-Memphis+4
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #18
        Bryan Leonard

        Mac game of the week
        Ohio +1 (CFB)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #19
          Jason Sharpe NBA 11-12

          3 Unit - Lakers -2.5
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          • dawggy
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2017
            • 1770

            #20
            dr. chuck


            BASKETBALL PLAYS
            • Game: (307293) Miss Valley St at (307294) Western Michigan
              Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:00 PM EST
              Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
              Play Rating: 4%
              Play: Western Michigan -22.5 (-115)

              View Analysis

              More analysis to come.....but goodness don't tell me Johnson and Flowers et al ain't licking their CHOPS at the 387 points MVSU has given up in just three 40 minute basketball games....whew! Big fat HONDO coming for a 4th time!
            • Game: (307311) Fairfield at (307312) Holy Cross
              Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:05 PM EST
              Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
              Play Rating: 4%
              Play: Total Over 138.0 (-110)

              View Analysis

              More analysis to come....but for starters...why would we stop now...when we get a MAAC team facing new Holy Cross

            Comment

            • dawggy
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2017
              • 1770

              #21
              TEDDY COVERS


              Game:(567) New York Knicks at (568) Chicago Bulls
              Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 8:05 PM EST
              Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
              Play Rating: 4%
              Play: Chicago Bulls -6.5 (-110)

              View Analysis


              4% Take Chicago (#568) When these two teams played earlier in the season, the Bulls led by 18 in the second half before former Bull Bobby Portis went on a tear and the Knicks closed the game on a 15-0 run to steal the win. Chicago remembers that defeat. Wendall Carter: “We’re not letting that happen (again). Bobby, he wants to put on a show. I’m not going to have it.” It’s surely worth noting that Chicago got the job done SU and ATS in their only previous attempt as a favorite of -4 or higher this year. They’re coming off a particularly frustrating loss, shooting only 4-32 from beyond the arc in a blowout on this floor against the Rockets. I’m expecting a strong, focused effort from the home favorite here; bad news for the bottom feeder Knicks who have seen five of their last six defeats come in double digit fashion. Take the Bulls

              Comment

              • Davejr81
                Senior Member
                • Sep 2017
                • 119

                #22
                KARL GARRETT

                Today's Winner...

                TODAY'S WINNER
                40 Dime - Edmonton Oilers

                At 7:15 am eastern time, the Oilers are +115.

                Comment

                • Davejr81
                  Senior Member
                  • Sep 2017
                  • 119

                  #23
                  BOB VALENTINO

                  Tonight's winner...
                  100 Dimer is the Ohio University Bobcats at home against the Western Michigan Broncos. At 8:00 am eastern time, the Bobcats are -1 to -1 1/2 points in Vegas and offshore.

                  Update: As of 2:15 pm eastern time, Ohio is now the +1 point underdog.

                  Comment

                  • dawggy
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2017
                    • 1770

                    #24
                    DR. CHUCK



                    BASKETBALL PLAYS

                    • Game: (567) New York Knicks at (568) Chicago Bulls
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 8:05 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: 1H Chicago Bulls -3.0 (-110)

                      View Analysis

                    • Game: (307293) Miss Valley St at (307294) Western Michigan
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:00 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Western Michigan -22.5 (-115)

                      View Analysis

                      More analysis to come.....but goodness don't tell me Johnson and Flowers et al ain't licking their CHOPS at the 387 points MVSU has given up in just three 40 minute basketball games....whew! Big fat HONDO coming for a 4th time!
                    • Game: (307293) Miss Valley St at (307294) Western Michigan
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:00 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Total Over 159.0 (-115)

                      View Analysis

                      Just going with the flow....this sure feels easy...sadly these easy days will be curbed sooner than later!
                    • Game: (307293) Miss Valley St at (307294) Western Michigan
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:00 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: 1H Total Over 75.0 (-110)

                      View Analysis

                      Shouldn't be this easy....thanks Lindsey Hunter!
                      This goes along with our WMU and full game over side....and we will keep getting after it until Vegas fully adjusts to the market!
                    • Game: (307285) Hartford at (307286) Marist
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:00 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Marist -123

                      View Analysis

                      Back to the well with my Red Foxes....just to win...bargain time!

                      MAACtion!
                    • Game: (307311) Fairfield at (307312) Holy Cross
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:05 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Total Over 138.0 (-110)

                      View Analysis

                      More analysis to come....but for starters...why would we stop now...when we get a MAAC team facing new Holy Cross

                    HOCKEY PLAYS
                    • Game: (21) Columbus Blue Jackets at (22) Montreal Canadiens
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:05 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Total Over 6.0 (-113)

                      View Analysis

                      Elvis the pelvis visiting Montreal and squaring off against Carey Price tonight and have been extremely limping along lately barely getting themselves much lamp lighting and almost no wins the last couple week. Foligno is also suspended for his hit in the Avs game and further will make this difficult, but I like the Habs to get on the board early and often...making this 6 a push candidate at worst in my opinion.
                      Elvis has a GSAA of -1.57 on the season in 4 starts and likely only gets worse on the road tonight...while Carey Price has few competitors in this category so far this season...with a 5.06 GSAA
                    • Game: (23) Pittsburgh Penguins at (24) New York Rangers
                      Date/Time: Nov 12 2019 7:35 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Pittsburgh Penguins -140

                      View Analysis

                      Murray v. Georgiev
                      Georgiev really struggled his last time out and had been rolling up to the game against the Sens...almost taking over the Lundqvist starts he had done so well....now he is getting a go tonight in MSG with the Penguins coming to town with our Crosby and Letang. This certainly does not mean they are a shabby squad suddenly...still featuring Malkin, Guentzel, Hornqvist, and McCann in addition to Murray in net.
                      Clearly Vegas was hoping the betting public would take the bait and with no Sid the Kid bet all out on the Rangers in such a home spot...well the tickets are split right down the middle, but the $$ have moved this allllllllll the way to -140 or pricier!
                      We shall roll with the road team...better goalie...and still dangerous lines and power play combos.

                      ***BONUS play***
                      Play as solid as my Pens play and certainly at least a 4% play as well....Blues In Regulation
                      Tonight we should have a Binnington for the champs facing Kuemper for the visiting Coyotes. This spot is borderline RIDICULOUS for AZ...they traveled all the way from Phoenix to DC for a game last night against the Caps...big dogs after a nasty road trip with jet lag, lost 3 hours on the clock, then WON the game outright in OT behind Raanta!
                      The price for the Blues to eke out a W tonight at home behind the champ goalie is just about -108...amazing value and another solid winner packaged together with our Pitt winner

                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #25
                      Vernon Croy

                      4 Unit- Lakers -2.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369677

                        #26
                        Allen Eastman

                        4 Unit - Mia -7.5
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369677

                          #27
                          Indian Cowboy

                          3 Unit - NY +7
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369677

                            #28
                            Alan Harris

                            4 Unit - Under 212.5 Atl/Den
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #29
                              Tony George

                              4 Unit - Over 214 Okc/Ind

                              3 Unit - Port -2
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369677

                                #30
                                Dave Aquino

                                Nov12 - NHL (home): San Jose -135

                                Nov12 - NHL (totals): coyotes/blues over 5.5

                                Nov12 - NBA: Indiana -2.5, Portland -2

                                Nov12 - NCAAB (totals): Mississippi Valley/Western Michigan under 160.5, Citadel/Georgia under 169.5, Creighton/Michigan over 154.5, Evansville/Kentucky over 151, St. Bonaventure/Siena over 137, Valparaiso/SIU-Edwardsville under 138
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