Service Plays Thursday 11/14/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

Miami -2.5

My projections love the Heat as small road chalk Thursday against the Cavaliers. I've got Miami winning by at least nine points and covering the spread in nearly 70 percent of simulations. The Heat have been one of the NBA's more improved teams so far and already have three solid road wins to their credit. At 4-6, the Cavaliers have likely been better than most observers expected, but they are given a bit too much respect in this spread.

4-0 IN LAST 4 MIA ATS PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
12:28 AM
PITTSBURGH +3
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
The Steelers are hot, they have 26 takeaways this year and they're playing against a guy who can be a turnover machine. Mason Rudolph threw for 242 yards last week; everyone rips him but he's pretty good. James Conner will be back this week, boosting the offense. Cleveland should not be favored.

5-1-1 IN LAST 7 CLE ATS PICKS | +389


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 7:17 PM
PITTSBURGH +3
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
The story of this game will be takeaways, as the Steelers defense has racked up at least three takeaways in five straight games while posting the No. 1 turnover rate in the league. Baker Mayfield has the second-most interceptions in the league, and he plays behind an offensive line that should struggle to keep the Steelers pass rush at bay. The Pittsburgh O-line, which ranks No. 1 in adjusted sack rate this year, won't have similar issues against the Browns, especially with Olivier Vernon out. Pittsburgh leans on the run game and defense to pick up a road divisional win here.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS | +194
16-9 IN LAST 25 PIT ATS PICKS | +603

10-6-2 IN LAST 18 CLE ATS PICKS | +345


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 4:42 PM
OVER 40.5
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
Pittsburgh RB James Conner returns from a two-game absence due to a shoulder injury and upgrades the offense. He rushed for 145 yards in his last game and caught seven passes for 78 yards in his previous outing. The Steelers scored at least 20 points in seven straight prior to last week while Cleveland could reach that mark if QB Baker Mayfield targets WR Odell Beckham Jr. more often. Browns RB Kareem Hunt shook off the rust from his half-season suspension on Sunday and will contribute more.

8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NFL O/U PICKS | +470
9-4 IN LAST 13 PIT O/U PICKS | +468


Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 3:32 PM
PITTSBURGH +130
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
Both teams are coming off victories, but I like Pittsburgh to extend its winning streak to five games as it is winning more than 50 percent of my simulations. The Steelers will have RB James Conner back from his shoulder injury and are unbeaten in their last eight meetings with the Browns (7-0-1). Cleveland has yet to post back-to-back victories this season and will be denied again by a solid Pittsburgh defense.

8-5-1 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +249
2-1-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ML PICKS | +355


Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 12:55 PM
PITTSBURGH +3
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
With Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb in the backfield, the Browns offense figures to be a tough challenge for the Steelers. The hope is that the Cleveland defense can make things complicated for Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph. He is holding back the offense, but the Steelers defense hasn't held back since Minkah Fitzpatrick arrived.

27-16 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +932

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
MON 11/11
PITTSBURGH +2.5
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
The Browns haven't committed a turnover in two straight games -- a streak I expect will end Thursday versus Pittsburgh's ferocious defense. The Steelers should get James Conner back from his shoulder injury, which would be a huge boost to their offense. In their last six games, the Steelers are 5-1 with the only loss coming in overtime to the Ravens. The Browns were fortunate to beat Buffalo, as the Bills missed two field goals, including a 34-yarder. Grab the points with a Pittsburgh team that's 7-0-1 straight-up in the last eight meetings.

36-19-2 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +1490
5-1 IN LAST 6 PIT ATS PICKS | +389

2-0-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ATS PICKS | +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

NFL Thursday Night Never Lost Kill Play!

Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI

4.5-Star Steelers +2.5 over BROWNS The Steelers have benefitted from a positive takeaway margin in each of their last two games and the Browns are a home favorite off a game as a home favorite. This activates a nice system that states, Regular season home favorites that have averaged less than 32:50 of possession time are 0-19 ATS on grass when they are off a game as a home favorite and they are facing a team that had fewer turnovers than their opponent in each of their last two games. The SDQL text is:

HF and REG and surface=grass and p:HF and op:TOM<0 and opp:TOM<0 and tA(TOP)<1970 and date>=20081000

The Chargers were in this spot in week 6. They lost 24-17 laying 6 at home to the Steelers.

The Browns have not been able to capitalize on teams that have a sluggish offense and a ball-hawking defense. First, Cleveland is 0-14 ATS on grass when they are off a game as a home favorite and they are facing a team that has committed at least 4.6 penalties per game and has converted less than 40.5% of their third downs. The SDQL is:

team=Browns and surface=grass and p:HF and oS(100*3DM) / oS(3DA) < 40.5 and oA(o:PY)>200 and season >= 2003

Secondly, Cleveland is 0-14 ATS on grass when they are off a home game and they are facing a team that is above 500 on the season and has forced an average of more than 1.7 turnovers per game.

team=Browns and surface=grass and p:H and oA(o:TO) > 1.7 and o:WP > 50 and date>=20081200

Teams in the Steelers' spot have been underestimated by the linesmakers for some time now. Road dogs on grass that are off a game as a home dog in which they allowed a completion percentage of less than 70% are 17-0 ATS since the start of the 2015 season when facing a team that has committed an average of more than 1.7 turnovers per game. The SDQL text is:

AD and surface=grass and p:HD and oA(TO)>1.7 and po:CP<70 and season >= 2015

The Steelers themselves are a unrelenting 10-0 ATS (+9.15 ppg) as a dog off a home SU and ATS win and a very impressive 13-0 ATS (+10.65 ppg) as a dog on grass to a team that is averaging less than 5.65 rushing first downs per game. Despite being the dog in each one of the 13 games, the Steelers are 12-1 straight up, with their only loss as a 7.5 dog in the playoffs. Check it out with this SDQL:

team=Steelers and D and surface=grass and oA(RFD)<5.65

If you cant move the chains on the ground, you should not be giving points to the Steelers.

MTis FORECAST: Steelers 20 BROWNS 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------
Friends of Mike Lee

NCAA BK
3* #667 Michigan State -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports

NFL
Browns ML (-150)

NCAAF
Pittsburgh -4

NBA
Mavericks -7.5

NCAAB
Pass

NHL
Rangers ML (+220)

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB

Thursday card has the 100% AFC North Play of the Year backed with a 100% Thursday night specific NFL System. There are also a pair of 5* NBA Plays one has a 27-1 Angle and an NCAAB Play. Comp play below


The NCAAB Comp play is on North Florida at 7:00 eastern. North Florida returns 8 of their 9 top scorers from last season and have won 2 of 3 this season with the lone loss at #6 Florida in a game where they hung tough and outscored the Gators in the 2nd half. They then went on to win their next 2 including a nice win last out over GA. Southern. They have covered 13 of 16 off a win, 4 of 5 vs non conference and 7 of 9 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Southern Miss is ranked 326th in the RPI Scale and lost their lone road game. Look for North Florida ton get the win and cover. On Thursday we have our 100% AFC North Game Of The year with a perfect Thursday night specific system. We also have 2 Powerful NBA Power System play and one has a 27-1 Angle. College hoops is also on the card. See us on facebook to jump on. For the College hoops free play. Go with North Florida. RV- GC Sports

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI - CBB

7 - San Jose/Arizona 144.5o

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI - NBA

5 - Chicago/Milwaukee 229o

[WeWantMoehr]

Allen Eastman - NBA

7 Mavericks -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* Over 41 Browns/Steelers
100* North Carolina +4.5
100* Buffalo -6
100* San Diego -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports (CBB Play of the Day) - Long Beach State +21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharpshooter


7*-Dallas-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ferringo NBA

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 227.5 Atlanta at Phoenix

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc sports NBA


4-Unit Play #507 Take LA Clippers/New Orleans UNDER 235.5