Jack Jones
Nov 23 '19, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Texas vs Baylor
Play on: Texas +6 -110 at Pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Texas +6
The Baylor Bears were 9-0 and leading Oklahoma 28-3 last week. It looked like they were well on their way to 10-0 and possibly a trip to the four-team playoff if they were able to win out. Instead, it all fell apart. The Bears were outscored 24-0 in the second half and lost 31-34.
Now, I don’t see how Baylor gets back up off the mat after having its dreams crushed with that loss to Oklahoma. The Bears won’t be going to the four-team playoff now. And they will be going to the Big 12 title game for a rematch with Oklahoma regardless of what happens this week. That’s because they have a game on deck against conference bottom feeder Kansas that they can win and still get in the Big 12 title game even if they lose this game to Texas.
Yes, the Longhorns are coming off a tough loss of their own. They came back from a 7-20 deficit to take a 21-20 lead in the 4th quarter, only to lose in on a last-second field goal by Iowa State. But it’s much easier to come back from a loss where you had to come from behind than it is from a loss like Baylor where you controlled the game but just choked in the end. Texas will show up this week.
Tom Herman is 16-3 ATS as an underdog in all games as a head coach with 11 outright upsets. He is 26-4 ATS as an underdog dating back to his time as a coordinator with Ohio State and Iowa State. Herman is also 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss as the coach of Texas. He thrives in this underdog role and getting his teams to respond following a loss.
Texas has played the 7th-toughest schedule in the country according to Sagarin. Baylor has played the 41st-toughest schedule, which is 34 spots lower than Texas. A big knock on Baylor has been their weak schedule this season, and it’s warranted. Plus the fact that they were getting lucky in close games, only beating Rice by 8, Iowa State by 1, Texas Tech by 3, WVU by 3 and TCU by 6 in overtime. They finally lost a close game to Oklahoma, and now the air has been let out of the balloon this week. Bet Texas Saturday.
Nov 23 '19, 3:30 PM in 14h
NCAA-F | Texas vs Baylor
Play on: Texas +6 -110 at Pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Texas +6
The Baylor Bears were 9-0 and leading Oklahoma 28-3 last week. It looked like they were well on their way to 10-0 and possibly a trip to the four-team playoff if they were able to win out. Instead, it all fell apart. The Bears were outscored 24-0 in the second half and lost 31-34.
Now, I don’t see how Baylor gets back up off the mat after having its dreams crushed with that loss to Oklahoma. The Bears won’t be going to the four-team playoff now. And they will be going to the Big 12 title game for a rematch with Oklahoma regardless of what happens this week. That’s because they have a game on deck against conference bottom feeder Kansas that they can win and still get in the Big 12 title game even if they lose this game to Texas.
Yes, the Longhorns are coming off a tough loss of their own. They came back from a 7-20 deficit to take a 21-20 lead in the 4th quarter, only to lose in on a last-second field goal by Iowa State. But it’s much easier to come back from a loss where you had to come from behind than it is from a loss like Baylor where you controlled the game but just choked in the end. Texas will show up this week.
Tom Herman is 16-3 ATS as an underdog in all games as a head coach with 11 outright upsets. He is 26-4 ATS as an underdog dating back to his time as a coordinator with Ohio State and Iowa State. Herman is also 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss as the coach of Texas. He thrives in this underdog role and getting his teams to respond following a loss.
Texas has played the 7th-toughest schedule in the country according to Sagarin. Baylor has played the 41st-toughest schedule, which is 34 spots lower than Texas. A big knock on Baylor has been their weak schedule this season, and it’s warranted. Plus the fact that they were getting lucky in close games, only beating Rice by 8, Iowa State by 1, Texas Tech by 3, WVU by 3 and TCU by 6 in overtime. They finally lost a close game to Oklahoma, and now the air has been let out of the balloon this week. Bet Texas Saturday.

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