Sunday 11-24-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #46
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park



    Mountaineer Park - Race 8
    First Half $2 Late Daily Double (Races 8-9) $.50 Trifecta $1 Exacta Box ($.20) Superfecta
    Optional Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 89 • Purse: $17,800 • Post: 9:34P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PRIME LIME: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layof f. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPICE IT UP: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MUSAB AQA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I'M SO MUNNY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
    6
    PRIME LIME
    7/5
    4/1
    1
    SPICE IT UP
    3/1
    6/1
    2
    MUSABAQA
    5/2
    7/1
    4
    I'M SO MUNNY
    6/1
    9/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    6
    PRIME LIME
    6
    7/5
    Front-runner
    81
    81
    94.6
    71.6
    67.6
    4
    I'M SO MUNNY
    4
    6/1
    Front-runner
    83
    63
    84.6
    68.2
    60.7
    2
    MUSABAQA
    2
    5/2
    Stalker
    85
    83
    78.2
    72.4
    67.9
    1
    SPICE IT UP
    1
    3/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    86
    82
    50.6
    73.2
    66.7
    3
    TIA FLOR
    3
    12/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    92
    82
    81.4
    61.2
    53.7
    5
    GLORIOUS RIDE
    5
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    81
    78
    75.2
    66.4
    54.9
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #47
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Del Mar

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 6 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 95

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING ALLOWED 3 LBS.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 6 CAMBY 6/1
      # 8 GATE SPEED 3/1
      # 9 BABY GRONK 9/2
      CAMBY is the top wager in this race. He has been racing soundly recently while recording very solid Equibase Speed Figs. Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 95 speed fig recorded in his last outing. I would favor this gelding on the jockey and trainer numbers alone. GATE SPEED - Is a sharp contender based on numbers garnered lately under today's conditions. The Equibase Speed Figure of 94 from his last contest looks quite good in here. BABY GRONK - Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Spawr and Pereira have a very good win percentage together.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #48
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 8 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 98

        QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT: 124 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 1 CHOCOLATE DIVINITY 6/1
        # 7 BUDDERLICOUS 7/5
        # 3 YOU CAN RUN 5/2
        CHOCOLATE DIVINITY has a solid shot to take this race. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Gonzalez has this filly racing well and is a very good pick based on the very good Equibase Speed Figs put up in short races as of late. The speed figure of 83 from her most recent affair looks very good in here. BUDDERLICOUS - Odell has this gelding racing well and is a formidable selection based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figures posted in short races lately. Boasts sound Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. YOU CAN RUN - This gelding with Ayala in the irons makes him a solid contender. Will probably compete quite well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses in this race.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #49
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



          11/24/19, GPW, Race 3, 1.32 ET
          5F [Turf] 00.54.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
          Claiming Price $20,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
          $1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $1 Super Hi 5
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          100.0000 9 Youreoutofcontrol 3-1 Torres C A Zerpa Gilberto T
          099.1575 6 Chaos Kid 7/2 Camacho S Connelly Teresa SE
          097.8448 7 Lunag Ri(b-) 6-1 Lopez P Foley Thomas D. J
          097.6097 5 Congrats That 4-1 Maragh R Yates Michael
          097.3354 10 Fastdriven(b-) 8-1 Batista J A Minguet Ramon L
          096.1403 12 Maspero(b-) 8-1 Lopez C C Laurato Michael V. F
          095.3762 3 Capitan Fofo 10-1 Gonzalez S Sano Antonio W
          095.0039 4 City Cat 20-1 Maragh T Maragh Aubrey A.
          094.4357 8 Last Jet Out 12-1 Alvarez J L Collazo Henry
          093.9851 1 More Level 12-1 Henry W Mejia Jaime
          093.6324 2 Purecrazidude(b-) 20-1 Jaramillo E Antonucci Jena M.
          089.4005 11 One Crazy Ride 30-1 Tunon J Shannon Jennifer C
          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GPW.
          7 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
          10 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
          12 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
          3 2.60 5.00 1.26 60.00 3 5 Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
          4 2.60 5.00 1.26 60.00 3 5 Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
          2 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
          11 .20 4.20 1.05 50.00 1 2 *Actual Post Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f or 5 1/2f
          * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
          If Race Is Off Turf

          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          100.0000 6 Chaos Kid 7/2 Camacho S Connelly Teresa SE
          099.3984 9 Youreoutofcontrol 3-1 Torres C A Zerpa Gilberto T
          096.3904 7 Lunag Ri(b-) 6-1 Lopez P Foley Thomas D. J
          096.3904 5 Congrats That 4-1 Maragh R Yates Michael
          095.4323 12 Maspero(b-) 8-1 Lopez C C Laurato Michael V. F
          094.9643 10 Fastdriven(b-) 8-1 Batista J A Minguet Ramon L
          094.8084 3 Capitan Fofo 10-1 Gonzalez S Sano Antonio W
          094.1622 4 City Cat 20-1 Maragh T Maragh Aubrey A.
          094.0731 1 More Level 12-1 Henry W Mejia Jaime
          093.4269 8 Last Jet Out 12-1 Alvarez J L Collazo Henry
          093.2487 2 Purecrazidude(b-) 20-1 Jaramillo E Antonucci Jena M.
          090.1292 11 One Crazy Ride 30-1 Tunon J Shannon Jennifer C
          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GPW.
          9 19.60 14.20 1.35 46.43 13 28 Carries Apprentice Weight
          7 18.20 10.80 1.13 44.12 30 68 Best Jockey
          5 3.80 6.00 1.63 66.67 2 3 Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Better Win Percent
          12 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
          10 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
          3 25.60 18.40 1.19 41.18 28 68 Best Workouts
          4 1.00 8.80 1.06 44.44 4 9 Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
          2 10.60 6.60 1.76 71.43 5 7 Blinkers Off From On
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #50
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 87

            Rating:

            #6 REY COLIMAN (ML=9/2)
            #3 REFRACTOMETER (ML=2/1)


            REY COLIMAN - You have to like that last race rating, 82, which is the best recent race figure of this bunch. Faced tougher last out at Golden Gate Fields. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of contenders. This thoroughbred earns a lot of money per start. I believe he will boost that bankroll in this race. REFRACTOMETER - I like to bet on this angle, a horse coming back off a sharp race within the last 30 days.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DECKLOAD (ML=5/2), #1 CARTERS BLUE (ML=6/1), #2 FORT YORK (ML=8/1),

            DECKLOAD - Awfully difficult to bet on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late. CARTERS BLUE - Not likely that this animal will finish better than he did last time when ending up sixth. FORT YORK - Hard to take this racer at this price after the finish (eighth) in the last event.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 REY COLIMAN is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,6]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

            SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
            Pass
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #51
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



              11/24/19, CD, Race 10, 5.36 ET
              6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $36,000.
              Claiming Price $20,000, For Each $2,000 To $16,000 1 lb. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
              Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Super Hi-5
              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              100.0000 11 Sultry Samurai 5-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. F
              098.8885 5 Victory Element 7/2 Lanerie C J Hartman Chris A. E
              096.8350 9 Town Champ 5-1 Garcia M D'Amato Philip S
              096.4393 13 Atmos 5-1 Lanerie C J Romans Dale L.
              096.4205 7 Korczak 6-1 Canchari A L Stall. Jr. Albert M.
              095.5916 4 Afleet Roger 15-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Baker James E.
              095.5162 15 Mjolnir 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Quartarolo Anthony T.
              095.1017 2 Reelfoot 10-1 Gaffalione T Diodoro Robertino T
              095.0075 10 Mr Abernathy 10-1 De La Cruz F Miller Darrin
              094.9699 1 Dry Lake 5-1 Leparoux J R Wilkes Ian R.
              092.1063 8 Big Island 15-1 Mena M Londono Genevieve C
              091.7671 14 Superado 15-1 Court J K Petalino Joseph
              090.6368 12 Money On My Mind 12-1 Court J K Morse Randy L. W
              090.5049 6 Bourbon Bryce 30-1 Burke J Herrera Arturo F.
              089.9774 16 Mr Opportunity 20-1 Diaz C A Macias Adolfo L
              088.8659 3 Brand New Key 30-1 Aragon R Roggenkamp III Edward
              After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
              Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to CD.
              11 44.00 22.80 1.25 34.83 31 89 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
              5 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              9 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              13 32.00 22.80 1.12 32.59 44 135 No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
              7 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              4 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              15 32.00 22.80 1.12 32.59 44 135 No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
              2 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              10 32.00 22.80 1.12 32.59 44 135 No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
              1 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              8 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              14 44.00 22.80 1.25 34.83 31 89 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
              12 32.00 22.80 1.12 32.59 44 135 No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
              6 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              16 32.00 22.80 1.12 32.59 44 135 No 5f Workouts Since Last Race
              3 135.40 46.20 1.38 29.05 52 179 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f or 6 1/2f
              * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #52
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,600 Class Rating: 70

                Rating:

                #2 CHARLIE'S GAME (ML=5/1)
                #8 MAXIMUM SENTENCE (ML=4/1)


                CHARLIE'S GAME - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the class ability to make his presence felt. MAXIMUM SENTENCE - Finished seventh at Woodbine last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 4/1 right here, he looks like a possible contender. Good winning percent this jockey and handler tandem have been putting together. Look at this pattern of improvement. 48/62/64 are the last three speed figs.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #5 STASH THE CASH (ML=5/2), #12 WALKINAROUNDMONEY (ML=8/1), #4 SECOND ENCORE (ML=8/1),

                STASH THE CASH - You always think this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he falls short most every time. Hasn't been winning recently when made the morning-line choice. Take a look at his record. This entrant has no victories at Woodbine. WALKINAROUNDMONEY - Just don't believe he is priced right at the morning line odds. SECOND ENCORE - Last raced on November 17th at Woodbine, finishing seventh. Not likely to move up off of that try in today's event. This gelding registered a rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event.


                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 CHARLIE'S GAME to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,8]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Pass
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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