Saturday 11-30-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter

Nov 30 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Oregon State vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon State +19½ -105 at YouWager

*3 Star Free Play* Oregon losing last week had to hurt quite a bit. The Ducks had a chance at the playoffs this year, and this was a team with very high expectations. Oregon State came just short of winning at Washington State last week. They need one more win to be bowl eligible. The Beavers aren't likely to win this game, but Jonathan Smith has this team playing much better football this year. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Oregon is a better team than Oregon State, but the gap isn't nearly as big as it has been the last few seasons. I realize there is some risk here if Oregon is firing on all cylinders they could win handily, but I like this spot more for the road team playing with a chance for the postseason and a chance to upset their rivals.I'll grab the points with Oregon State here. Take Oregon State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Nov 30 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | UAB vs North Texas
Play on: UNDER 50½ -110

FREE PLAY on UAB/North Texas under 50½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Nov 30 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs SMU
Play on: Tulane +3½ -105 at Bovada

1* on Tulane +3½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond

Nov 30 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs New Mexico
Play on: New Mexico +11 -110 at sportsbook

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Nov 30 '19, 5:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Nuggets vs Kings
Play on: UNDER 207 -107

MIKE LUNDIN'S NUGGETS @ KINGS FREE PICK
The Denver Nuggets are one of the true elite teams in the NBA this season, and that despite several rather mediocre offensive displays. They rank just outside the bottom 10 for offensive efficiency, but on the flip side, only two teams beat them for defensive efficiency.
As for the Sacramento Kings, they can't compete with the top teams in the NBA and have been held to 102 points at Boston and 91 at Philadelphia in their last two games. Seven of their last eight have gone under the total and under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 overall.
Free pick on UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Nov 30 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Iowa State vs Kansas State
Play on: Kansas State +5½ -110 at Mirage

Play – Kansas State (Game 350).
Edges – Wildcats: 6-2 SUATS as a dog in Last Home Games, including 5-1 ATS when coming off a win … Cyclones: 1-13 SU last fourteen games at Kansas State … We recommend a 1* play on Kansas State. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 30 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Iowa State vs Kansas State
Play on: Kansas State +5½ -110 at Mirage

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Kansas State +5.5
The Iowa State Cyclones should not be favored on the road at Kansas State. The Wildcats own them, going 22-5 SU in the last 27 meetings, including 12-1 SU in the last 13 meetings in Manhattan. The Cyclones haven’t won at Kansas State since 2004.
You can bet Kansas State is going to want revenge on Iowa State after blowing a 38-21 lead over the Cyclones in the 4th quarter last year in Ames. Iowa State scored the final 21 points of the game, all in the final 10 minutes, to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat by a final of 42-38. The Wildcats have not forgotten, and they’ll be looking forward to getting their revenge Saturday.
Iowa State found itself trailing lowly Kansas at home last week late in the fourth quarter again. They tacked on two touchdowns late to beat Kansas 41-31 as 26.5-point favorites. That’s the same Kansas team that K-State beat 38-10 on the road. The Wildcats held the Jayhawks to just 241 total yards, while the Cyclones gave up 493 total yards to Kansas.
Iowa State has been fortunate to play seven home games compared to just four road games this season. They are overrated due to having a home-heavy schedule. Kansas State has handled its business at home, going 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS while outscoring opponents by 13.0 points per game. That includes their upset win over Oklahoma.
The Cyclones are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a win. Iowa State is 1-5 ATS in its last six November games. Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games following a win. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Kansas State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games. The Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet Kansas State Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Nov 30 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Houston
Play on: Navy -8 -112 at BMaker

My free play is on Navy at 7:00 ET.It's been quite a year for the American Athletic Conference in 2019, as in both the Nov 3 and Nov 10 AP polls, the league had FOUR schools represented in the top-25. Three of those schools remain in the most recent AP poll (Nov 124) entering the Thanksgiving weekend. No. 17 Memphis will host No. 18 Cincinnati (both are 10-1) and if Memphis wins, it will host Cincinnati Dec 7 in the AAC championship game. However, if Memphis loses (Friday game), then No. 24 Navy can win the West with a victory over Houston, which would then have the Midshipmen travel to Cincinnati for that title game.
Ken Niumatalolo took over at Navy when Paul Johnson moved on to Ga Tech and he led the Midshipmen to NINE bowls in his first 10 seasons. The Middies "fell apart" in 2018, going 3-10. Actually, the team's 'fall' began in 2017, when Navy lost SIX of its last seven regular season games, after opening 5-0. I expected a bounce-back season for Navy in 2019 and it has "backed me up" by going 8-2. Notre Dame was too much for Navy on Nov 17 (lost 52-20) but Navy kept its hopes alive for the AAC West title by beating SMU 35-28 last Saturday. QB Malcolm Perry was the star against the Mustangs, accounting for 357 yards. He topped 100 yards rushing for the SEVENTH straight game, rushing for 195 yards and two TDs (70-yard TD run was the game-winner!). He also had one of his best games as a passer, completing 9 of 15 for 162 yards and a TD. He leads the nation's top-rushing team with 1,354 yards on 6.2 YPA and 18 TDs. (352.5 YPG). However, he's NOT alone. Two FBs, Nelson Smith and Jamale Carothers, have combined for 978 yards on 5.9 YPA and 15 TDs. The Navy D, despite allowing 52 points at Notre Dame, checks in allowing just 22.5 PPG (35th) on 324.1 YPG (24th). SMU was "held' to 28 points last Saturday, two TDs below its average on the season (43.5 PPG).
Houston came into the 2019 season off SIX consecutive bowl seasons but when QB King got injured early on, the Cougars season quickly went 'south.' King threw for 2,982 yards and 36 TDs (just six INTs) in 2018, while rushing for 674 yards and 14 more TDs. Clayton Tune stepped in and he's been a poor replacement (1,140 passing yards with 7 TDs and five INTs, plus just 183 yards rushing). Here's the bottom line.Navy will take the field already knowing if a win here will mean 'something." That said, either way, I will lay the points with Navy (may go higher is Memphis loses on Friday ) but consider this. Navy (currently No. 24 in the latest AP pol) is the SIXTH ranked team the Cougars have faced in 2019. They are 0-5 SU, allowing 39.4 PPG. 'Lay away' with Navy!
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico

Nov 30 '19, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma vs Oklahoma State
Play on: Oklahoma State +13½ -104 at pinnacle

My college football plays are RED HOT, riding a 20-5-2 run. This Saturday I take it up a notch as I have my coveted, NCAAF 15-2 SKY'S THE LIMIT, 43-15 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, CUSA WEST GAME OF THE YEAR. I am a perfect 100% with my GOY's in 2019.
Get on my HOT STREAK and get paid.
Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Oklahoma State.
Game 408.
5:00 pm pst.
Seventh ranked Oklahoma has ninth ranked Baylor up next on December 7th for the Big 12 Championship. This is a perfect "look ahead" situation. Therefore prompting me to take nearly two TD's with an Oklahoma State team that has won four in a row SU (3-0-1 ATS) and owns a 4-1, both SU and ATS mark in Boone Pickens Stadium in 2019. Last year's matchup was a 48-47 barnburner giving the Sooners the victory and the Cowboys the ATS cover as a 21.5-pt underdog. Oklahoma State running back, Chuba Hubbard (1,832 yards rushing, 20 TD's) will keep the Oklahoma defense honest while controlling the clock. The Sooners are 0-4 ATS the L4 on the road, 0-6-1 ATS the L7 in November, and 0-4 ATS the L4 overall. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS the L8 at home, 4-1-1 ATS the L6 in November, and 9-1 ATS the L10 vs. winners. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Nov 30 '19, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Hornets vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -13 -110 at 5Dimes

The Hornets came through for me with 110 points yesterday, helping me to cash an 'over' ticket in their game against Detroit. They're likely to have a lot more trouble scoring here though. The Bucks held Atlanta to 102 last game and in their previous home game against an Eastern Conf. opponent, they limited the Pistons to just 90. The last time the Hornets played on the road, after playing the previous day, they scored only 102. On the other side, the Bucks will put up a big number - they always do. They average 121 ppg and they scored 131 last time they hosted the Hornets, a 17-point win as 12-point favorites. Consider laying the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Nov 30 '19, 9:05 PM in 11h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Avalanche
Play on: Avalanche -135 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Avalanche -135
The Blackhawks (10-10-5, 25 points) and Avalanche (15-8-2, 32 points) are set for a rematch of yesterday’s game that ended 5-2 in favor of the Avalanche. This one will take place in Colorado.
Chicago only has one win out of its last five contests. In all but one of those losses, the Blackhawks allowed four goals or more. Chicago could only score two goals or fewer in each of those four losses.
On average, the Blackhawks are scoring 2.84 goals per game (21st) while allowing 2.84 goals per game (10th).
Patrick Kane leads Chicago with 13 goals, 19 assists, and 32 points. Nobody else is even close, as Alex DeBrincat is next on the list with only 19 points on the season.
With a win, the Avalanche could return to second place within the Central division. They have a great chance to do so against a team they’ve just beaten, especially considering they’re 7-3-1 at home this year. Colorado has won two in a row whilst scoring nine total goals.
On average, the Avalanche are scoring 3.60 goals per game (3rd) while allowing 2.88 goals per game (12th).
Colorado enjoys consistent offensive production. Of the three Avalanche players who’ve racked up 21 points or more, Nathan MacKinnon leads the way with 16 goals and 23 assists for 39 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Nov 30 '19, 9:05 PM in 11h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Avalanche
Play on: Avalanche -135 at GTBets

1* Free Pick on Avalanche -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 10	$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $1 Super High 5
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 106 • Purse: $52,000 • Post: 4:33P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TIZAMAGICIAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. MEDIA BLITZ: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. K P ALL SYSTEMS GO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CHAMPERS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the h ighest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
13	TIZAMAGICIAN	5/1	5/1
12	MEDIA BLITZ	8/1	6/1
4	K P ALL SYSTEMS GO	9/2	6/1
9	CHAMPERS	6/1	9/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	ONE FAST BRO	10	15/1	Front-runner	88	82	85.7	80.5	69.5
3	IMPOSSIBLE TASK	3	4/1	Front-runner	93	84	79.8	79.8	64.8
9	CHAMPERS	8	6/1	Stalker	87	77	90.8	89.9	75.9
13	TIZAMAGICIAN	12	5/1	Stalker	96	97	89.4	93.2	85.7
12	MEDIA BLITZ	11	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	88	89.9	87.9	84.4
5	FOREVER POE	5	7/2	Trailer	86	85	80.6	80.6	72.1
4	K P ALL SYSTEMS GO	4	9/2	Trailer	92	89	70.2	85.5	80.0
2	EDDY FOREVER	2	8/1	Trailer	94	79	59.1	79.3	69.3
6	FREDERICKTOWN	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	87.2	72.0	55.0
14	EKKLESIA	13	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	67.3	67.3	50.8

Unknown Running Style: DUDE'S DREAM (20/1) [Jockey: Bejarano Rafael - Trainer: Hess Jr Robert B], COSMO (8/1) [Jockey: Prat Flavien - Trainer: Drysdale Neil D], LANDAA (20/1) [Jockey: Pereira Tiago Josue - Trainer: Papaprodromou George].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 2	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Pick Three
Claiming $4,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 6:28P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $3,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TIZ INDY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIZ INDY: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TOWARDS THE LIGHT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Clas s Rating at the distance/surface.
6	TIZ INDY	9/2	3/1
1	TOWARDS THE LIGHT	5/2	6/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	TIZ INDY	6	9/2	Front-runner	88	79	116.2	85.2	82.7
5	CASH ENCOUNTER	5	3/1	Front-runner	87	79	75.7	65.2	54.2
1	TOWARDS THE LIGHT	1	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	88	90	82.5	77.2	70.7
3	HOLLYWOOD SKY	3	4/1	Stalker	88	86	73.7	78.2	72.2
4	SWISS CHEESE	4	4/1	Stalker	88	82	72.0	74.4	67.4
2	REIGN ON (GB)	2	8/1	Trailer	88	83	50.3	75.6	67.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $32000 Class Rating: 85

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $25,000 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 KING OF RANCH 6/1
# 6 HE'S SUPER LUCKY 3/1
# 8 BLAZING DESIRE 4/1

KING OF RANCH is my choice. Make a note that this one runs with second time Lasix today. HE'S SUPER LUCKY - Has to be given consideration for this event if only for the respectable speed rating earned in the last race. BLAZING DESIRE - His 69 average has this gelding with among the most favorable speed figures for this event. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This one ranks at the top in this bunch.