Sunday 12-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:31 AM

Betting Recap - Week 12
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 12 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 10-3
Against the Spread 5-7-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 10-3
Against the Spread 7-5-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 4-9

National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 111-60-1
Against the Spread 74-93-5

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 95-76-1
Against the Spread 74-93-5

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 84-87-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Redskins (+4, ML +170) vs. Lions, 19-16
Buccaneers (+3.5, ML +165) at Falcons, 35-22
Jets (+3.5, ML +160) vs. Raiders, 34-3

The largest favorite to cover
Browns (-10.5) vs. Dolphins, 41-24
Titans (-4.5) vs. Jaguars, 42-20
Bills (-4) vs. Broncos, 20-3

How About Dem Cowboys?

-- The Dallas Cowboys (+5.5) were able to grab the cover on the road against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Mass. in a chilly, mist and fog. While, yes, the Cowboys were able to grab a cover, they fell against a winning team yet again. The Cowboys have beaten the New York Giants (twice), the Washington Redskins, the Miami Dolphins, the Philadelphia Eagles and Detroit Lions. The combined records of the teams Dallas has beaten is 16-49-1, and they haven't recorded a win over a team with a record over .500. The best record of anyone they have beaten is Philadelphia at 5-6. Someone has to win the NFC East, as the Cowboys (6-5) are the only team over .500. They don't seem like to go very far, however.

While they're all well and good, they're still covering. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS across the past five outings, and 7-4 ATS overall. That includes a 4-2 ATS mark on the road, and they're 3-0 ATS across the past three away from home. Sunday's game in Foxboro marked the first time they were an underdog, and they covered at most shops.

Total Recall

-- The two highest totals on the board Sunday were the Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons (51.5) and Green Bay Packers-San Francisco 49ers (48). The Buccaneers certainly did their part, throwing up 35 points, incuding 19 points in the first-half. The teams combined for 29 points to hit the first-half 'over' in this one, too. In the SNF game, over bettors weren't as fortunate, which is part for the course for primetime games this season. The first-half under narrowly cashed thanks mostly to a goose egg for the Pack, as San Francisco hoisted up 23 points in the first 30 minutes.

The next highest totals on the board were the Thursday night battle between the Indianapolis Colts-Houston Texans (46.5) and Sunday's NFC South tilt under the roof between the Carolina Panthers-New Orleans (46.5). The TNF game was a low-scoring 20-17 battle in favor of the home team, while the home side also won by three in the NFC South battle in NOLA, but this game hit the over rather easily. In fact, we had 10 or more combined points in each quarter, and 32 total points on the board at halftime to cover a first-half 'over'.

There were three totals on the board under 40, the Denver Broncos-Buffalo Bills (37), Pittsburgh Steelers-Cincinnati Bengals (37) and Detroit Lions-Washington Redskins (39) each hit the 'under'. The Broncos-Bills game saw a total of just 23 points, the Steelers-Bengals game saw just 26 point sand the Lions-Redskins tilt was the 'highest' scoring of the trio, totaling 35 points. Still, defense reigned supreme, which is never good for a betting public which tends to lean 'over' more often than not.

The 'under' made a clean sweep in the Week 11 primetime battles, and so far the 'under' is 2-0 under the lights with the Baltimore Ravens-Los angeles Rams (47) game still pending. The 'over' is just 12-24 (33.3%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Eagles QB Carson Wentz (hand) will have tests on his right hand after suffering an injury in Sunday's game vs. the Seahawks.

Looking Ahead - Divisional Battles

-- We have two divisional battles out of the three Thanksgiving games. The Bears and Lions kick off the festivities at 12:30 p.m. ET at Ford Field. The Lions, coming off a disappointing 19-16 loss in Washington, has dropped four in a row while failing to cover six in a row after a 4-1 ATS start. The four-game losing streak including a 20-13 loss on Nov. 10 in Chicago, a game which hit the 'under'. Chicago heads into this game with a 9-1 ATS mark in their past 10 divisional games, while Detroit is 2-6 ATS in their past eight at home and 2-6 ATS in the past eight inside the division. The Bears are an impressive 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven in this series, with the favorite 4-0-1 ATS in the past five battles and the under 6-2 in the previous eight meetings.

-- The other divisional battle on Turkey Day is a rematch between the Saints and Falcons in Atlanta. The Falcons stunned the Saints by a 26-9 score in Week 10, winning outright as 13.5-point underdogs. It served as a wake-up call for the Saints, who have scored 34 points in each of the past two outings, both wins and 'over' results. New Orleans has cashed in 24 of the past 32 road games, while Atlanta is still just 6-13 ATS in the past 19 games overall. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings in this series, and the under has hit in four of the past five meetings, and seven of the past 10 in Atlanta.

-- The Browns and Steelers will renew acquaintances at Heinz Field just 18 days after 'Helmetgate', or whatever you want to call the brawl which saw DE Myles Garrett suspended for the remainder of the field for swinging QB Mason Rudolph's helmet at the signal caller. After a 2-6 SU start the Browns have rattled off three straight wins, including a 21-7 victory over the Steelers on Nov. 14. Of course, all three of those victories came at FirstEnergy Stadium. The Browns are 2-3 SU/ATS in their five games away from home. Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, but the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetngs, too, with the 'over' 4-1 in the past five meetings in Pittsburgh.

-- The Titans and Colts will square off in Indy. Tennessee is 15-33-3 ATS in the past 51 AFC South battles, and they're 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. Indy has covered in seven straight divisional games, and they're 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 against winning teams. In this series, the Titans are a dismal 3-13 ATS in the past 16 meetings, with Tennessee 1-7 ATS in the past eight trips to Lucas Oil Stadium.

-- The Rams travel to meet the Cardinals, looking to stay hot on the road. L.A. is 6-1 ATS in the past seven on the road. The Rams have dominated this series, too, covering four in a row overall, and four straight in Arizona. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine meetings, too.

-- The Chargers and Broncos square off in Denver. The Bolts have been strong on the road, going 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 on the road, including 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven on the road against a team with a losing home record. On the flip side, the Broncos have a dismal 1-4 ATS record in the past five insisde the division. The Chargers have an odd 9-2-5 ATS mark in their past 16 trips to Denver, and the road team is 15-5-2 ATS in the past 22 meetings in this series.

-- The Raiders and Chiefs get together, with Kansas City already a double-digit favorite in this one. Oakland has managed a 3-9 ATS mark in the past 12 on the road, while the Chiefs are 19-7 ATS in the past 26 inside the AFC West. The Raiders have failed to cover in five of their past six trips to Arrowhead, while going 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings overall. The favorite has connected in 10 of the past 14 meetings in this series. The under is 17-5 in the past 22 meetings in Kansas City, too.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:32 AM

NFL Week 13 opening odds and early action: Bills draw sharp play for Thanksgiving battle vs Cowboys
Patrick Everson

Frank Gore has helped Buffalo post an 8-3 SU mark (7-3-1 ATS) heading into a Thanksgiving Day game at Dallas. The Bills opened as 7.5-point underdogs and drew early cash, moving the line to +7.

Week 13 of the NFL season includes a Thanksgiving Day feast of three games, along with an intriguing Sunday/Monday menu. We check in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5)

Somewhat under the radar, Buffalo heads into this Turkey Day contest with an 8-3 SU mark and a more-than-respectable 7-3-1 ATS record, as well. The Bills had little trouble with Denver in Week 12, winning 20-3 as 3.5-point home favorites.

Meanwhile, Dallas dropped two of its last three games, though it still leads a very weak NFC East at 6-5 SU (7-4 ATS). In Week 12, the Cowboys faced a stern test in the rain at New England, losing 13-9 but cashing as 5.5-point underdogs.

“We opened Cowboys -7.5 and took some respected money on the Bills, and lowered it to -7,” Murray said. “I see a lot of Cowboys-to-Saints parlays in our future.”

The Saints-Falcons game is the Thanksgiving nightcap, following the Bills-Cowboys clash.

San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)

Baltimore still has Week 12 work to do, playing Monday night at the Los Angeles Rams, but John Harbaugh’s squad is arguably the hottest in the league. The Ravens (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) are on runs of 6-0 SU and 4-0 ATS, including a 41-7 bashing of Houston as 4-point faves in Week 11.

San Francisco continues to impress, tied with New England for the best record in the NFL at 10-1 SU (6-4-1 ATS). On Sunday night, the 49ers hosted a Green Bay squad that was a very public ‘dog, but San Fran rumbled to a 37-8 victory laying 3 points at home.

“We opened Ravens -4.5, but took it off the board when the Packers-49ers game kicked off,” Murray said as the Sunday night game was in progress. “No betting action to report here, but we could see an adjustment in this number depending on how the Sunday and Monday night games turn out.”

The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure is to take the following week’s game off the board when a team is in the Sunday or Monday nighter. That means this line will go back up Monday morning, then come down again Monday night during the Ravens-Rams tilt.

New England Patriots at Houston Texans (+3.5)

Following its lone loss of the season, at Baltimore, New England scored a combined 30 points in its next two games – and won them both. In Week 12 at home against Dallas, the Patriots (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) mustered just one touchdown and two field goals in a 13-9 victory giving 5.5 points.

Houston won three of its last four SU – while going 1-3 ATS – and is atop the AFC South at 7-4 SU (5-6 ATS). The Texans took sole possession of first with a 20-17 home win over Indianapolis giving 3.5 points in the Week 12 Thursday nighter.

“The public will come in heavy on the Patriots in this spot, and the books will need Houston huge by kickoff,” Murray said. “New England’s offense is really struggling the last few weeks, to put it nicely.”

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

Oakland saw its three-game winning streak end in embarrassing fashion in Week 12. The Raiders (6-5 SU and ATS) went off as 3.5-point favorites at the New York Jets and got boatraced 34-3, with Oakland’s lone score coming on the first possession of the game.

Meanwhile, Kansas City is coming off its bye week, giving Patrick Mahomes some time to better heal up from a nagging ankle injury. In Week 11, Mahomes and the Chiefs (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) held off the Los Angeles Chargers 24-17 as 5.5-point road favorites.

“This number bumped up a point-and-a-half off our look-ahead number, due to the Raiders’ loss on the road against the Jets,” Murray said. “The Chiefs are a team to keep an eye down the stretch, if they can get healthy.”

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:33 AM

Hot & Not Report - Week 13
Matt Blunt

Week of November 25th

Last week's piece focused on two NFC divisions and the results they've had in non-division games the past few weeks, and in Week 12 action there were some mixed results.

NFC West teams continued to dominate non-division foes, as both Seattle and San Francisco were able to cover short numbers with relative ease. Seattle continued to shoot themselves in the foot to allow the Eagles to hang around, but thankfully for Seattle backers/fans, Philly has Dorian Gray at QB, and after Sunday's awful performance from Wentz, more and more people are starting to see all the ugliness Wentz has in his game that I touched on weeks ago in that piece.

San Francisco rolled over the Packers on SNF as it was a beat down from start to finish for the 49ers. Jimmy Garoppolo could be in the midst of his “lightning in a bottle” season like the only other past FCS QB's to be drafted in the last 10+ years have experienced (Wentz in 2017, Joe Flacco in January 2013), but it's this San Francisco defense that's the key to the 49ers success. When you've got the type of game wreckers they do in the front seven, most opponents are going to buckle when the 49ers are on their game.

We've got the Rams still pending in this scenario tonight as they host a red hot Baltimore team, and based on early action reports – Baltimore's getting bet at about a 70% clip currently – the oddsmakers would prefer to see LA get across the finish line as well.

Over on the “Not” side of things from last week, the NFC East teams in non-division action this past week ended up going 3-1 ATS, with everyone but the aforementioned Philadelphia Eagles getting an ATS win. Only the Washington Redskins were lucky enough to get a SU win though, as both Dallas and the NY Giants kept things close enough in low-scoring road defeats.

This week we've got a continuation of last week's angle of sorts, as we begin with teams from an AFC division and their recent non-division results, as well as a different take that's been going well. You put the two of them together for Week 13 and the entire betting board in the NFL is basically covered, so I'll even lay out all the teams you should be looking at for Week 13 and we can come back a week from now and see if these runs hold up.

Who's Hot

AFC East teams are 14-6-1 ATS in non-division games since October 1st

This trend wasn't stellar in Week 12 as it was a 2-2 ATS record for the likes of New England, Buffalo, NY Jets, and Miami, but overall, when these teams venture outside of the division, you generally want to be looking their way. All four of them have winning ATS records in non-division play since the beginning of October – New England are 4-2 ATS, Buffalo are 3-1-1 ATS, the NY Jets are 4-2 ATS, and Miami are 3-1 ATS – and about a handful of those ATS victories for the three teams not named “New England” have come as outright wins as underdogs as well.

I mean, look at this Jets team right now who have put up 34 points in three straight weeks, winning all three of those games by double digits, and closing as an underdog in all of them. QB Sam Darnold is probably feeling like himself again after his Mono issue earlier this year, as this offense that had many new faces show up this year is starting to play like a cohesive unit. Three straight SU and ATS wins as underdogs will start to bring attention in the betting market, and with a trip to Cincinnati on deck for the Jets this week, this run of New York catching points will end. We will have to see if the Jets – laying 3.5 points vs Cincinnati - can continue their strong play as favorites now, a role New York is 0-2 SU and ATS in this year, although both of those did come within AFC East division play.

The rest of this division is out playing non-conference foes in Week 13 as well, as early numbers have Buffalo (+7) in Dallas on Thanksgiving, Miami (+8.5) hosting Philadelphia, and New England (-3.5) at Houston on SNF. All three of these games have some interesting dynamics to them and you should find more support for any plays you do make, but Buffalo and Miami catching those points against Dallas and Philadelphia do look awfully attractive.

New England's got to deal with a Texans team that's had extended rest and hasn't had to travel, which makes backing the Patriots a little trickier, especially when the chances are they'll be a side the oddsmakers would prefer to see lose again.

But put all four plays in as early leans right now – NY Jets (-3.5), Buffalo (+7), Miami (+8.5) and New England (-3.5) and let's go on to build out the rest of this card with...

Who's Not

Fading teams that put up 30 or more points in their last outing – 5-12 ATS last three weeks, and 2-9 ATS past two weeks

I'll start with the pending game as that is tonight's MNF game between the Ravens and Rams. It's the Ravens who are coming off a 30+ point performance in their last outing, and that's going directly up against that run for NFC West teams in non-division play, so that's why it's so important to find further support for what side you decide to back. Tonight's game is a pass for me (at least with the side) as those conflicting runs suggest it will be a close game that could easily land on either side of the current number (Baltimore -3.5).

But a 9-2 ATS record for teams coming off a 30-point effort suggests that the offenses that achieve that production really go out and have a great week of practice afterwards, and build upon that momentum. These teams are 8-3 SU in those 11 games, so taking the points where you can may be better option. And going into Week 13 there are plenty of teams that qualify in this role.

Astute readers will know that the NY Jets (-3.5) fit both of these Hot/Not scenarios, and laying points with them against Cincinnati is something that does seem easy to get behind. So that's another piece of supporting evidence for Jets backers this week, although they've still got that nasty hook lying there. The number won't go down so buying off that hook may be the best option now, or just bypass the spread all together and take NY on the ML and go from there.

The list of the other teams you should be playing on in Week 13 based on them putting up 30+ in their last effort are: Tampa Bay (+1) at Jacksonville, Cleveland (-1) at Pittsburgh, New Orleans (-6.5) at Atlanta on Thursday, Carolina (-10) vs Washington, Tennessee (+3) at Indianapolis, and San Francisco (+4.5) at Baltimore – pending Baltimore doesn't land here themselves with 30+ on MNF.

That's already a lot of the board covered, but the majority of the teams listed here are on the road. That isn't exactly ideal, but it's how it goes and if your own handicapping throughout the week has you landing on a few of these teams, it's probably a good decision to fire.

In the end, these two situations have most of the Week 13 NFL board covered, with none of them conflicting. And as I said at the top, we can see how these plays end up in the coming week. They are:

Buffalo (+7)
New Orleans (-6.5)
Miami (+8.5)
NY Jets (-3.5)
Tennessee (+3)
Cleveland (-1)
Carolina (-10)
San Francisco (+4.5) – pending Baltimore's result
Tampa Bay (+1)
New England (-3.5)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:34 AM

451GREEN BAY -452 NY GIANTS
NY GIANTS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games in the last 2 seasons.

451GREEN BAY -452 NY GIANTS
Pat Shurmur is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in home games in games played on turf (Coach of NY GIANTS)

453WASHINGTON -454 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

455SAN FRANCISCO -456 BALTIMORE
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game since 1992.

457TENNESSEE -458 INDIANAPOLIS
INDIANAPOLIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

457TENNESSEE -458 INDIANAPOLIS
Frank Reich is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. winning teams (Coach of INDIANAPOLIS)

459PHILADELPHIA -460 MIAMI
PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season since 1992.

461OAKLAND -462 KANSAS CITY
OAKLAND is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

463TAMPA BAY -464 JACKSONVILLE
TAMPA BAY is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after 2 straight overs in the last 2 seasons.

465NY JETS -466 CINCINNATI
NY JETS are 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

467LA RAMS -468 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

469LA CHARGERS -470 DENVER
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

471CLEVELAND -472 PITTSBURGH
CLEVELAND is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

473NEW ENGLAND -474 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:35 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Sunday, December 1

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GREEN BAY (8 - 3) at NY GIANTS (2 - 9) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 114-84 ATS (+21.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (2 - 9) at CAROLINA (5 - 6) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 1) at BALTIMORE (8 - 2) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (6 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 5) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 120-157 ATS (-52.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 6) at MIAMI (2 - 9) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MIAMI is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (6 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 4) - 12/1/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 37-63 ATS (-32.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 7) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (4 - 7) at CINCINNATI (0 - 11) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (6 - 4) at ARIZONA (3 - 7 - 1) - 12/1/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 92-123 ATS (-43.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 144-191 ATS (-66.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 4-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (4 - 7) at DENVER (3 - 8) - 12/1/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
DENVER is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 64-89 ATS (-33.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (5 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 5) - 12/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 1) at HOUSTON (7 - 4) - 12/1/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-96 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-96 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 206-149 ATS (+42.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 198-150 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-90 ATS (+30.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-57 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:36 AM

NFL

Week 13

Trend Report

Sunday, December 1

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Indianapolis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games at home
Indianapolis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 14 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tennessee's last 14 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Cincinnati is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games
NY Jets is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games on the road
NY Jets is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Jets is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Jets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Carolina is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Washington is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Baltimore

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
Jacksonville is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Jacksonville is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 10 games at home
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-12-3 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games
NY Giants is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
NY Giants is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
NY Giants is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
NY Giants is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 25 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing NY Giants
Green Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 20-4-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
Arizona is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing LA Rams
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
LA Rams is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 9 games on the road
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Rams's last 15 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Kansas City's last 19 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games
Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 20 games
Denver is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Denver is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games at home
Denver is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Denver is 3-9-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games
LA Chargers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
LA Chargers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
LA Chargers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Chargers is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
LA Chargers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
LA Chargers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
LA Chargers is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Denver
LA Chargers is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
LA Chargers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

Houston Texans
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing New England
New England Patriots
New England is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
New England is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 11 games when playing Houston

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:38 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Sunday, December 1

Tampa Bay @ Jacksonville

Game 463-464
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
131.496
Jacksonville
123,546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 8
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 1 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+1 1/2); Over

Washington @ Carolina

Game 453-454
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.317
Carolina
127.274
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 6
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 10
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+10); Under

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Game 471-472
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
135.409
Pittsburgh
129.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
31
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 1
40
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-1); Under

San Francisco @ Baltimore

Game 455-456
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
144.233
Baltimore
147.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+6); Under

NY Jets @ Cincinnati

Game 465-466
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
129.243
Cincinnati
121.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 8
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 3 1/2
41
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-3 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 459-460
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
132.612
Miami
120.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 12
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-8 1/2); Over

Green Bay @ NY Giants

Game 451-452
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
128.715
NY Giants
124.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 4
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+6 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Indianapolis

Game 457-458
December 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
131.329
Indianapolis
136.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(-2 1/2); Over

LA Rams @ Arizona

Game 467-468
December 1, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
131.973
Arizona
125.884
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 6
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-3); Under

LA Chargers @ Denver

Game 469-470
December 1, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
132.859
Denver
127.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 5 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 2 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-2 1/2); Under

Oakland @ Kansas City

Game 461-462
December 1, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
127.242
Kansas City
134.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 7
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 10
51
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+10); Over

New England @ Houston

Game 473-474
December 1, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
137.224
Houston
138.648
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+3 1/2); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:39 AM

Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 13 odds: It's time to take the Titans
Jason Logan

If you’re sold on the Titans and their sudden offensive surge, you may want to get down on Tennessee +3 before a move under the field goal. The Titans have posted an average of more than 29 points over their last five games.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window – or your mobile – to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it’s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best “Bet Now/Bet Later” games on the NFL Week 13 board.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: TENNESSEE TITANS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-3, 43.5)

The Titans opened as 3.5-point underdogs on the road in Indianapolis for Week 13 and money on Tennessee has cut that half point hook off the visitor. And it may not stop there. The juice on Colts -3 has been discounted, as books are panning for action on the home side.

If you’re sold on the Titans and their sudden offensive surge, you may want to get down on Tennessee +3 before a move under the field goal. The Titans have posted an average of more than 29 points over their last five games and have totaled 77 points in the last two games. To put that turnaround into perspective, Tennessee totalled only 98 points in the first six weeks of the schedule (43 of those coming in Week 1).

Indianapolis has a mini bye to prep for this AFC South showdown but is coming off a crushing loss to Houston last Thursday – a defeat that could spoil their postseason chances at the end of the year. The Colts offense has struggled to produce this month and faces a Titans defense ranked 10th in points against at 19.7 points per outing.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT MIAMI DOLPHINS (+8.5, 46)

It didn’t take long for the betting public to sour on the Dolphins’ sudden success. Miami was one of the hottest bets in football entering Week 11, covering the spread in five straight before losing SU and ATS to Buffalo. Even with that blip, the public was still playing the points with the Fins in Sunday’s date in Cleveland.

The Browns destroyed Miami and that set the table for this spread, which opened at Eagles -8 and has jumped as high as -9. If you’re seeking for value on the Dolphins at home in Week 13, push pause on your betting and see if this one sneaks to +9.5 or even +10 by kickoff.

Philadelphia is desperate for a victory after losing at home to Seattle. If the Eagles are to catch the Cowboys in the NFC East, that climb begins this Sunday. Philly, however, has sputtered with the football, scoring just 13.7 points per game over its last three outings and asking this offense to cover this large a spread may be too much.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 46 GREEN BAY PACKERS AT NEW YORK GIANTS

The Packers come to East Rutherford licking their wounds after a rough outing in San Francisco Sunday night, scoring only eight points in a one-sided loss to the Niners. Green Bay hasn’t looked sharp with the football the past three games, averaging just over two touchdowns per contest in that span. The Cheeseheads will focus on stopping the football heading into Week 13 after this defense was rolled for 37 points by San Francisco.

New York isn’t exactly setting the scoreboard on fire either, managing only 14 points in Chicago this past weekend. The Giants defense is also lacking but gets to come home after two straight road games, and the extended forecast for East Rutherford is calling for cold and rain which could make moving the football a little more challenging for both teams.

This Over/Under opened 46.5 and has dropped to 46. If you like the Under in this matchup, it may be best to play it now before action on a lower-scoring finish drives this number down further.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 44.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT HOUSTON TEXANS

If the Patriots are going to win this one, it will be on the shoulders of their stop unit. The New England defense is tops in the NFL and – outside of getting crushed by Baltimore with 37 points – has checked each of its last four opponents to less than two touchdowns against.

The Patriots offense continues to get stuck in the mud and may not be able to keep up if this game turns into a shootout versus a high-powered Houston passing attack. With the public expected to be playing the Pats, I see this total ticking downward a touch before the weekend.

If you like the Over in this game, wait it out and see if this goes to 44 or 43.5. As mentioned, the Texans have a high-flying attack and this game will be played on the clean indoor track inside NRG Stadium. This is the first time Brady & Co. will play inside all season, so they could find another gear in Houston Sunday night.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:39 AM

Best spot bets for the NFL Week 13 odds: Jets could hit 'letdown' turbulence in Cincy
Jason Logan

New York is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS as a visitor this season and going back to 2015, Gang Green is a dismal 12-21-3 ATS on the road. The Jets are 3.5-point road chalk at Cincinnati in Week 13.

As the schedule shrinks, the pressure mounts for those teams playing for the postseason. On the flip side, Thanksgiving can be the tipping point for those on the outside looking in and motivation – or lack thereof - is a factor in the final weeks.

That makes squeezing every bit of edge you can get from the schedule that much more important. We’re talking about situational handicapping: lookaheads, letdowns and tough schedule spots.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan digs into the Week 13 slate and gives his favorite spot bets.

LETDOWN SPOT: NEW YORK JETS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (+3.5, 41)

The J-E-T-S are soaring on a three-game winning streak after an upset over Oakland at home in Week 12. New York last won three in a row back in 2017 (Weeks 3-5) and while these recent victories include cupcakes like the Giants and Redskins, Sunday’s 34-3 squash of the Raiders has hopes sky high in the Big Apple.

But what goes up, must come down. And it’s tough to stay that high when you’re facing a winless Cincinnati Bengals team on the road during Thanksgiving Week. The Bengals are bad but haven’t been “that” bad the past two games, covering in a 17-10 loss at Oakland and – depending on where you got Cincy +6.5 to +5.5 – keeping competitive in a 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh Sunday.

The Jets offense, which has hung a trio of 34-point scores on the board during this streak, averages only 17.4 points per road stop. New York is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS as a visitor this season and going back to 2015, Gang Green is a dismal 12-21-3 ATS on the road.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: OAKLAND RAIDERS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10, 51.5)

Sunday’s divisional dance with the Raiders is an important game to the Chiefs, who are trying to fend off Oakland in the AFC West. But, as the 10-point spread indicates, it should be an easier win for Kansas City this Sunday.

Well, that’s if the Chiefs avoid looking ahead to a big-time battle with the New England Patriots in Week 14. That’s easier said than done. Kansas City is shipping up to Boston next weekend for a revenge game against Tom Brady and the Pats, who knocked off K.C. in the AFC Championship Game with a thrilling 37-31 overtime victory at Arrowhead last January.

And while the Raiders may have been pantsed (full butt cheeks) by the Jets in Week 12, this team was riding a three-game win streak before that tough schedule spot (which we highlighted in this article last week). Sunday's spread flirted with Chiefs -9.5 before Oakland ruled out emerging WR Hunter Renfrow with a bad rib/lung injury.

SCHEDULE SPOT: GREEN BAY PACKERS AT NEW YORK GIANTS (+6.5, 45.5)

I’ll be honest: it was slim pickings for a schedule spot this week. The Thanksgiving Thursday games are always tough on teams due to the quick turnaround and distractions that come with playing on the holiday (away from family, getting tickets for everyone, postgame plans and travel).

So, we turn to the Packers, who are playing their second straight road game in Week 13 after travelling all the way to the Bay Area just to have their asses waxed by the 49ers on Sunday Night Football in Week 12. They’re now giving a near touchdown to the Giants this weekend.

Green Bay benefited from a very home-friendly slate to open the schedule – playing on the road only twice in the first seven weeks. But the Cheeseheads have hit the highway hard in the past month or so, with Sunday’s stop in East Rutherford marking their fourth road tilt in the past five outings (with a Week 11 bye thrown in there).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:40 AM

NFL Betting Stats heading into Wk 13:

Road Teams: 98-74-4 ATS
Home Teams: 74-98-4 ATS

Favorites: 76-96-4 ATS
Underdogs: 96-76-4 ATS

Home Faves: 45-67-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 29-31 ATS

Road Faves: 31-29 ATS
Road Dogs: 67-45-4 ATS

O/U: 84-92

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-27-2019, 08:41 AM

Tech Trends - Week 13
Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Dec. 1

GREEN BAY at N.Y. GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men just 1-7 vs. spread last 7 at MetLife. Giants “over” 8-5 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Pack and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

WASHINGTON at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Skins 4-7 vs. line TY, 6-11 last 17 since late 2018. Panthers 6-3 last nine vs. line TY. Skins 8-4 “under” since late LY.
Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Panthers, based on “totals” and team trends..

SAN FRANCISCO at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens had won last 7 SU and covered last 5 afterMonday vs. Rams. Though Balt had covered last 2 at home, Ravens only 3-7-1 last 11 vs. spread at M&T Bank Stadium. Niners 3-0 as dog TY, also “over” 4-1 last 5.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to 49ers, based on “totals” and team trends.

TENNESSEE at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Titans 1-3 vs. line last four away, home team has covered last six Tenn games. Colts have won and covered last three meetings.
Tech Edge: Colts, based on series trends.

PHILADELPHIA at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds only 10-19-1 vs. points in reg season since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Slight to Dolphins, based on team trends.

CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Brownies have covered 5 of last 6 in series, though Cleve 4-6-1 vs. line TY. Steel “under” 9-3 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Browns, based on “totals” and series trends.

TAMPA BAY at JACKSONVILLE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bucs “over” 10-2 since late 2018. Jags “over” 7-4 in 2019.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

N.Y. JETS at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
J-Men won and covered 3 in a row TY, Cincy 0-4-1 vs. line at home TY, 1-9-1 last 11 vs. spread at Paul Brown, Bengals “under” 10-4-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Jets and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Cards 5-2 vs. line last 7 TY but that includes L on fluke last play TD by Niners on Nov. 17. Cards “over” 8-4 last 12 since late 2018. Rams have won and covered last 4 meetings (two shutouts vs. pre-Kingsbury Cards). Rams 9-4 vs. line last 13 reg seas after Ravens loss.
Tech Edge: Rams, based on series and “totals” trends.

OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Chiefs 9-1 SU last 10 in series and have won six straight vs. Raiders at Arrowhead. Also covered 4 of last 6 hosting Oak. Though KC just 2-7 vs. spread last 9 at home in reg season. Gruden 5-1 as dog TY. “Unders” 6-2 last 8 meetings.
Tech Edge: Slight to Chiefs and "under," based on series and "totals" trends.

L.A. CHARGERS at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Road team has won and covered last three meetings. Broncos “under” 16-4 since mid 2018. Bolts “under” 9-3 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Broncos, based on “totals” and team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at HOUSTON (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Belichick 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line against Texans last four seasons. Houston 1-4 vs. line at home TY, 2-6 last 8 since late 2018, and “under” 9-4 since late LY. Belichick 8-3 vs. line L11 as visitor. Belichick also “under” 16-4 last 20 reg season.
Tech Edge: Patriots and “under,” based on Belichick and “totals” trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2019, 07:55 AM

by: Josh Inglis

THE PACKER SLAYER

Tell me if you’ve heard this one: the Giants’ receivers are questionable. This week, Golden Tate has been added to the list with a concussion as he joins TE Evan Engram with questionable tag. Sterling Shepard did dress last week but never did anything big with a long gain of six yards. The one player who has taken advantage of all the extra reps has been WR Darius Slayton.

Slayton has gone from 45 percent of the snaps early in the year to 90 percent over the Giants' last six games and is Daniel Jones’ main deep threat. Slayton has seen 21 targets over the last two weeks and has averaged nearly 15 yards per reception.

Green Bay allows the seventh-most passing yards on the road and showed in San Francisco last week that they’re susceptible to the big play. We’re banging the Over on Slayton’s receiving yard total on any number below 73 yards as the markets are waiting to see what happens with Tate and Engram before they open.

FOURNETTE FEATURES

Since Nick Foles has “taken back over” the starting QB job two weeks ago, Jacksonville Jaguars running back Leonard Fournette has amassed 19 targets for 16 grabs and 96 yards receiving. He also toted the rock 24 times for 97 yards against a tough Titans defense last week. The Jags will have one of the best offensive matchups a team can have as they take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this Sunday.

The Bucs are giving up 380 yards of total offense on the road this year (24th most) and with Foles looking short constantly (6.2 yards per pass attempt), Fournette could take advantage in the passing game. Tampa Bay actually has the league’s best DVOA rush defense, so we will shy away from any Fournette rushing props.

We are taking the Over 37.5 Fournette receiving yards as similar dual-threat running backs have had success against Tampa Bay in the air.

TD TV

The biggest game of the week will see the San Francisco 49ers travel to the Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore is putting up over 450 yards of offense a game over its last three while San Francisco is putting up 380 yards this year. Both sit No.1 and No.2 in touchdowns scored a game and average drive length.

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have been steamrolling the opposition in their last five games, winning by an average score of 40-12. In those five games, the offense is averaging over four TDs a game while the defense has scored five TDs of its own. San Francisco has been impressive as well as it have scored at least four TDs in four of its last five games.

These two defenses can shut it down as they rank Top-4 in Wtd DVOA defense at FootballOutsiders. But these defenses compliment their electric offenses as each unit can force the three-and-out early in drives and get great field position as a result. The 49ers have the second-best starting field position while the Ravens have the ninth-best.

We are playing the Over 5.5 total TDs for plus money (+120)

CHRISTIAN CARRIES CAROLINA

The Washington Redskins are giving up the second-most rushing attempts per game this year at 32.3. Over their last three games, that number has ballooned to 35 and on the road that number is a league-worst 33.2. Sometimes it is safer to bet on volume than results.

No running back in the league is having a better season than Carolina's Christian McCaffrey. He’s second in rushing attempts, first in rushing yards, has the third-longest run by a running back, and has the most rushing TDs. He also has more receiving yards than Juju Smith-Schuster and – the cherry on top of it all - is a 99 rating in Madden.

There’s no reason that the Panthers don’t give CMC enough carries to eclipse his total of 20.5 rushes especially with Carolina expected to play with the lead.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2019, 07:55 AM

NFL Week 13 betting cheat sheet: Impact injuries, weather, Pros vs Joes and more
Patrick Everson

Julian Edelman isn't among New England's flu-bitten players, but he's questionable to play at Houston due to a shoulder issue. The SuperBook estimates Edelman is worth a half-point to the line.

NFL Week 13 apparently finds a boatload of Patriots dealing with the flu as the team prepares to face the Texans. We check in on everything from injury updates to weather to Pros vs. Joes clashes and more, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Injury Impact

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: During Thanksgiving week, someone apparently gave thanks by spreading the flu around the Patriots’ locker room, with several players taken ill. Osterman said that didn’t impact the line at his shop, but wideout Julian Edelman (shoulder) – listed as questionable Friday – would make a difference. “Edelman would be a big loss for the Patriots. He’s worth a half-point,” Osterman said. On Friday night, New England was at -3 (-120), with a total of 45.5, for the Sunday night game at Houston.

BALTIMORE RAVENS: Center Matt Skura’s season ended with a knee injury last week in a road rout of the Los Angeles Rams. That made undrafted rookie Patrick Mekari the new starter, in what may or may not become an issue. “Skura being out doesn’t necessarily affect this week, but we will be evaluating the offensive line without him to see if there may be some drop-off going forward.” The Ravens are 5.5-point home favorites against the 49ers.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: Wideout Dante Pettis (knee) is out at Baltimore, while kicker Robbie Gould (quadriceps) returns after missing three weeks. However, The SuperBook didn’t adjust off either update, with the Niners a 5.5-point underdog.

ARIZONA CARDINALS: Rookie quarterback Kyler Murray (hamstring) is questionable at home against the Rams. “We didn’t move off the Murray news. We’ve had some sharp action on the Cardinals. I would expect him to go.” On Friday night, Arizona was +2.5, with a total of 47.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS: T.Y. Hilton, who missed three games before returning last week at Houston, has a calf injury and will sit out at home against the Titans. “Hilton is worth a half-point to a full point. We took some sharp action Thursday night on Tennessee, right before the news broke. The line has since gone down even more.” The Colts were at -2.5 Thursday morning and dropped to pick by Friday morning, before going back to -1. Running back Marlon Mack (hand) is also out, but Osterman said that half-point was built into the original line of Colts -3.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS: A combination of injuries and an undrafted rookie starting at quarterback this week created plenty of movement in the Browns-Steelers line. Pittsburgh won’t have wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion/knee), and running James Conner (shoulder) is doubtful. Mason Rudolph was pulled at QB, making way for Devlin Hodges. “All of those things contribute to the big line move in this game,” Osterman said of a line flipping from Steelers -1.5 to Browns -2. “That’s mostly due to the quarterback. Connor and Smith-Schuster would account for a half-point combined.”

CINCINNATI BENGALS: It’s not an injury, but Andy Dalton returns to the starting role at home against the Jets, after Bengals coach Zac Taylor ended the Ryan Finley experiment. “Dalton is worth 1 point to the spread. We went from +4 to +3 on that when he was announced the starter.”

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Tight end Zach Ertz (hamstring) and running back Jordan Howard (shoulder) are both questionable at Miami, but that didn’t influence The SuperBook’s oddsmaking team. “No move on Howard and Ertz.” In fact, Philly – which opened -7.5 – moved from -9.5 to -10 Friday.

Weather Watch

SAN FRANCISCO AT BALTIMORE: Rain is all but guaranteed Sunday, but Osterman said that hasn’t made an impact yet. In fact: “We’ve even been getting some play on the Over.” The total opened 46.5, dipped to 45.5 Tuesday, then returned to 46.5 before ticking to 46 Friday afternoon.

NEW YORK JETS AT CINCINNATI: Rain and wind in the mid-teens is expected in the afternoon/evening in Cincinnati. “I think we would have seen some movement on the total, but when Andy Dalton got announced as the Bengals’ starter, things got balanced out.” The total was at a high point of 41.5 Friday, after opening 41 and going as low as 39.

GREEN BAY AT NEW YORK GIANTS: Sunday brings with it a 100 percent chance of snow-to-rain precipitation. “We have seen the total come down, from 46.5 to 44.5.”

CLEVELAND AT PITTSBURGH: Rain is fully expected at Heinz Field. “The total has come down, some due to the weather and some due to Devlin Hodges being named the starter” at quarterback for the Steelers. The total opened 40.5 and has been at 38.5 since Wednesday.

OAKLAND AT KANSAS CITY: It’ll be cloudy, cold and windy at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. “The total has come down a lot, from 54.5 to 51.”
Pros vs. Joes

SAN FRANCISCO AT BALTIMORE: “The only one that really stands out” as Pros vs. Joes, Osterman said. “The public seems to be fully on the Ravens bandwagon, but the line has slowly moved toward the 49ers. Almost all of the market was at Ravens -6 early in the week, and now there are even some -5s starting to show up. We have been at Ravens -5.5 since Wednesday morning, and we’ve seen a steady flow of Ravens parlay money all week.”
Reverse Line Moves

CLEVELAND AT PITTSBURGH: “We’re seeing money on the Steelers, even though the Browns are favored now. I guess there are some people willing to back the Steelers, even with Devlin Hodges at quarterback.” It’s a rematch of the Week 11 Thursday night game that ended with a brawl. Pittsburgh is a 2-point underdog, after opening as 1.5-point chalk.

SAN FRANCISCO AT BALTIMORE: As Osterman alluded to in Pros vs. Joes, the Ravens are drawing the bulk of the cash, but the line is starting to trend toward the underdog 49ers. Baltimore peaked at -6.5 early in the week and has sat at -5.5 since Wednesday.

Pros vs. Joes

SAN FRANCISCO AT BALTIMORE: “The only one that really stands out” as Pros vs. Joes, Osterman said. “The public seems to be fully on the Ravens bandwagon, but the line has slowly moved toward the 49ers. Almost all of the market was at Ravens -6 early in the week, and now there are even some -5s starting to show up. We have been at Ravens -5.5 since Wednesday morning, and we’ve seen a steady flow of Ravens parlay money all week.”

Reverse Line Moves

CLEVELAND AT PITTSBURGH: “We’re seeing money on the Steelers, even though the Browns are favored now. I guess there are some people willing to back the Steelers, even with Devlin Hodges at quarterback.” It’s a rematch of the Week 11 Thursday night game that ended with a brawl. Pittsburgh is a 2-point underdog, after opening as 1.5-point chalk.

SAN FRANCISCO AT BALTIMORE: As Osterman alluded to in Pros vs. Joes, the Ravens are drawing the bulk of the cash, but the line is starting to trend toward the underdog 49ers. Baltimore peaked at -6.5 early in the week and has sat at -5.5 since Wednesday.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2019, 07:55 AM

Total Talk - Week 13
Joe Williams

It's Week 13 of the National Football League regular-season schedule, as we've hit the holidays and are heading for the home stretch. The 'under' got off to a 2-1 start this week with our three Thanksgiving Day features, as the lowest total on the board went 'over' while the primetime battle between the New Orleans Saints-Atlanta Falcons saw the 'under' cash tickets yet again in a game under the lights..

2019 Total Results - Game & Halves
Over/Under Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Week 12 5-9 5-9 5-8-1

Over/Under Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Year-to-Date 84-91-1 81-94-1 77-94-5

The totals went 9-5 in favor of the 'under' last week, or in other words, in favor of the books. The public generally stays away from the risky proposition which is the 'under' and tends to gravitate toward the cushy, safe and relaxed feeling of an 'over.' As I always say, once it is over, it's over, but the under you have to sweat out until there are all zeroes on the clock. Under betting isn't for the faint of heart.

The 'under' theme was common in both the first-half (9-5) and second-half (8-5-1) in Week 12 as well. On the season, the low side has trended ahead in both the first-half (81-94-1) and second-half (77-94-5).

Division Bell

In the five divisional battles in Week 12, the slight edge went to the 'over' - including NFC South battle between the New Orleans Saints-Carolina Panthers in Charlotte which coasted well 'over' the number. The under is now 32-27 (54.2%) in divisional games this season, which includes this past Thursday's results in Week 13 between the Bears and Lions, as well as the Saints and Falcons.

Divisional Game Results Week 12
Indianapolis at Houston Under (46.5) Houston 20, Indianapolis 17
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Under (37) Pittsburgh 16, Cincinnati 10
Carolina at New Orleans Over (46.5) New Orleans 34, Carolina 31
Tampa Bay at Atlanta Over (51.5) Tampa Bay 35, Atlanta 22
Tennessee at Jacksonville Over (42) Tennessee 42, Jacksonville 20

Line Moves and Public Leans

Listed below are the largest line moves for Week 13 based off our VI Odds as of Saturday morning.

Oakland at Kansas City: 54 ½ to 51
Green Bay at N.Y. Giants: 47 to 45
Cleveland at Pittsburgh: 40 ½ to 39
New England at Houston: 44 ½ to 46
Philadelphia at Miami: 46 ½ to 45
Tennessee at Indianapolis: 42 to 43 ½
Washington at Carolina: 41 to 39 ½

Listed below are the five largest leans for Week 13 per the betting trend percentages on the VI Matchup index as of Saturday morning.

Oakland at Kansas City: Under 93%
N.Y. Jets at Cincinnati: Over 87%
Philadelphia at Miami: Under 84%
New England at Houston: Over 76%
L.A. Chargers at Denver: Under 73%
Tennessee at Indianapolis: Over 73%

There is also a heavy lean on for the 'under' (69 percent) in the Washington at Carolina matchup, and heavy lean on the 'under' in Cleveland at Pittsburgh (61 percent) contest.
Handicapping Week 13

Week 12 Total Results
Matchups Over/Under Year to Date
Divisional 3-2 26-30
NFC vs. NFC 0-4 18-21
AFC vs. AFC 1-2 16-16-1
AFC vs. NFC 1-1 25-23

Week 13 Action

Green Bay at N.Y. Giants: The public has been jumping all over the Packers, driving the line up significantly over the Giants. But what about the total? Well, the over is 20-9 in Green Bay's past 29 games on the road. The good news is that this is not in the state of California, a place which has been their kryptonite. The Packers are 0-2 both straight up and against the spread in the Golden State, and the under also 2-0 in their two roadies in Cali, and the 'over' is 2-1 in the other three road games. The over is also 2-0 in Green Bay's previous two this season against NFC East foes. For the G-Men, this will do it against the NFC Central. The 'under is 2-1 in their previous three, hitting the under in their only game at Met Life Stadium vs. Central. The under is 4-1 for the Giants at home this season, as they have scored 14, 24, 10, 21 and 18.

San Francisco at Baltimore: The 49ers head east to battle quarterback Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in a highly-anticipated matchup of defense vs. offense. It is the fourth and final foray into the Eastern Time Zone for the 49ers this season, and they're 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS with the 'under' going 2-1. As far as Baltimore is concerned, it's all over all the time. The over is 3-1 in the past four games overall, but the under is 3-2 in their five games at M&T Bank Stadium this season. While everyone is talking about the quarterback and offense, which has totals of 30, 37, 49, 41 and 45 in the past five weeks, look what the defense has done. They've allowed 26 total points - or 8.7 PPG - across the past three outings.

Tennessee at Indianapolis: Ever since making the change from QB Marcus Mariota to QB Ryan Tannehill, the Titans offense has been on fire. They scored 17, 7, 24, 7 and 0 in Mariota's final five starts, averaging 11 PPG of offense in his final five outings. In the five games since Tannehill has taken the reins of the offense, the offense has posted 23, 27, 20, 35 and 42. That's the 'over' hitting in five straight with Tannehill, and the offense appears to be getting better each week. The good news for total bettors, in particular those who love the 'over', the defense has yielded 20 or more points in each of the past five, too. This is a rematch of the Week 2 game in Nashville which saw the Colts win 19-17, an 'under' result. Again, Mariota was at the helm in that one, so not much to glean here. The under is 11-3 in the past 14 battles in Indianapolis, too, but again, most of those games featured Mariota or QB Andrew Luck, neither of whom will be starting Sunday. Looking to more recent trends, the over is 5-0 in Tennesse's past five, the over is 4-1 in their past five against winning teams and the over is 5-2 in Indy's past seven at home.

Tampa Bay at Jacksonville: The Jags were tuned up in Nashville by the aforementioned Titans, falling 42-20 as the 'over' hit. The Jags defense has gone south over the past three outings, all divisional games, yielding 26, 33 and 42. The Bucs have an offense capable of moving the ball early and often, while also yielding plenty of points along the way. In fact, the 'over' is a perfect 9-0 in the past nine outings, with the last 'under' for the Bucs in Week 2 in Carolina. The Bucs defense has allowed 22 or more points in nine straight games, so perhaps QB Nick Foles and the Jacksonvile offense finally gets untracked in this one.

N.Y. Jets at Cincinnati: The QB Ryan Finley experiment is over, as head coach Zac Taylor announced the Bengals are going back to veteran QB Andy Dalton as their starter for this one. The Bengals averaged just 7.7 PPG in three games under Finley, while posting 18 PPG in eight starts under Dalton, at least looking like a semi-functional offense at times. The under is 5-2-1 in Dalton's eight starts, although the over is 2-0-1 in his three starts at home. The under was 2-1 in Finley's three on-the-job training spots. The Jets held the Raiders to three points last week, slapping the brakes on a 4-0 'over' run. In five games on the road this season, New York has posted a 4-1 over mark, and they have score exactly 34 points in each of their past three outings.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh: It's a rematch of two weeks ago, as the Browns and Steelers square off at Heinz Field in a super-important game in the AFC wild-card picture. The Steelers can deal the Browns a disastrous blow with a win, while the Browns can grab a head-to-head advantage over the Steelers with a win. The last time these teams met, we all know about the Myles Garrett situation. However, the guy he tried to bludgeon with a helmet is carrying a clipboard this week. QB Mason Rudolph has been benched in favor of undrafted rookie free-agent QB Devlin Hodges. He led the Steelers to a win in place of an injured Rudolph on the road against the Chargers back on Oct. 13, a 24-17 win and 'under' result. He came off the bench and led a charge in Cincinnati, also a 16-10 win and 'under'.

L.A. Rams at Arizona: The Rams offense continued to flounder in their 45-6 loss on Monday night against Jackson and the Ravens, as L.A. is averaging just 11.7 PPG across the past three outings. The 'under' is 5-1 in the past six, too. This is the first of two meetings in the next five weeks between these two. The under has connected in five of the past seven meetings in this series, although none of those games included the dynamic rookie QB Kyler Murray, who continues to improve. The under is 5-1 in L.A.'s past six overall, and 7-2 in the past nine road games. The under is also 4-0 in Arizona's past four following a bye week, too.

L.A. Chargers at Denver: The Broncos have reportedly been doing everything to prepare rookie QB Drew Lock for his first NFL start, although, officially, the starting signal caller is undecided for head coach Vic Fangio as of Saturday morning. It appears the QB Brandon Allen experience might be over, however. He started for three games, helping the team register 15.7 PPG over the past three outings. The Broncos won the first meeting in L.A. by a 20-13 score, but that was QB Philip Rivers vs. Joe Flacco, not Rivers vs. Lock. It will be interesting to see what the rookie from Missouri can do, but total bettors might want to shy away from this one until we get a little more information on him.

Heavy Expectations

There are three games listed with a spread of double-digit points for Week 13, with the home team listed as favorites in two of them. The totals range from 39 to 51 and cashing a total could come down to whether or not the favorite lays off the gas in the second-half.

Washington at Carolina (1:00 p.m. ET): The Redskins continue to tick off 'under' results fairly regularly, and it hasn't mattered who is under center. The team scored 19 points last week in a win, and believe it or not that was the highest total since Week 2 vs. Dallas. Their season high of 27 points came in the regular-season opener and it's been all downhill from there. Since Sept. 29 the Redskins have scored 3, 7, 17, 0, 9, 9, 17 and 19, or an average of 11.6 PPG. It's no surprise the 'under' is 7-1 during the span. As far as the Panthers are concerned, they're a rather erratic team. In nine starts with QB Kyle Allen under center, the 'over' is 6-3. However, the offense has mustered just 16.7 PPG across the past three outings. The Redskins have hit the under in each of their past four instances as a double-digit underdogs, however, and that knowledge by bettors is likely what's driving the line down.

Philadelphia at Miami (1:00 p.m. ET): The Dolphins are double-digit 'dogs at home for the third time this season. The under hit in each of the first two instances, and the under is 5-2 in the first seven time the Dolphins have been underdogs by 10 or more points. For Philly, they've lost their way on offense, mainly due to a bevy of injuries, while the defense has been locking it down. As such, the under is 3-0 across their past three outings. During that span the offense is averaging just 13.7 PPG while allowing 12.7 PPG.

Oakland at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET): The Raiders and Chiefs met in the Black Hole back in Week 2, with Kansas City posting a 28-10 and 'under' result. The under is 2-1 in Oakland's first three AFC West Division battles. As a road underdog the over is 3-1 for the Raiders, however, while the Chiefs have hit the over in four of their five games at Arrowhead, even when QB Patrick Mahomes was on the shelf. As a home favorite the 'over' is 2-1 for the Chiefs, and the offense is averaging 23.3 PPG with the defense yielding 26.0 PPG. The under is 20-7 in Oakland's past 27 inside the division, however, while going a perfect 4-0 in Kansas City's past four against AFC West foes. In this series the under is hitting to the tune of 17-5 in the past 22 at Arrowhead, and 21-8 in the past 29 meetings overall.

Under the Lights

New England at Houston (8:20 p.m. ET - Sun.): The Texans are back under the lights in a great measuring stick game against the Patriots on Sunday Night Football. The Texans have actually hit the 'under' in four straight, and they're scoring just 20.0 PPG during the span while allowing 21.3 PPG, 14.7 PPG if you take out a 41-point outburst by the Ravens in Week 11 which skewed things slightly. The under is actually 8-1 for Houston's past nine at NRG Stadium in Houston, and 20-7 in the past 27 against AFC foes. For the Patriots, they're a friend of the under bettor because of their sturdy defense, especially on the road. The under is 4-1 in the past five overall, 10-2 in the past 12 in December and 25-10 in the past 35 on the road.

Minnesota at Seattle (8:15 p.m. ET - Mon.): The 'over' has cashed for Minnesota in each of the past three, with the offense posting 26 PPG and the defense yielding 24.3 PPG. In fact, the over is 5-1 across the past six overall for the Vikings. For the Seahawks, as a home favorite of less than a touchdown this season, the over is 3-1. However, the trends for both of these teams on Monday nights points to the under. The under is 6-1 in Minnesota's past seven appearances on MNF, while the under is 7-3 in the past 10 for Seattle on Monday.

Sunday 12-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 12-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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