Friday 12-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359649

    Friday 12-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359649

    #2
    Championship Notes

    Week 15 of the 2019 College Football season will be highlighted with 10 championship games.

    The action starts Friday with the Pac-12 title game before finishing on Saturday with nine more championships.

    Check out the matchups, odds and betting notes on all of the title games below.

    (SU - Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread)

    Opening Odds per Circa Las Vegas


    Pac 12 Championship

    Utah (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) vs. Oregon (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS)
    Date: Friday, Dec. 6 (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
    Venue: Levi's Stadium
    Location: Santa Clara, California
    Opening Odds: Utah -6.5, Total 50.5

    Betting Notes and Trends


    -- Oregon and Utah didn’t meet in this year’s regular season, which was rare.

    -- In the previous six consecutive years, Oregon has gone 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS against Utah.

    -- However, the Utes captured a 32-25 win over the Ducks in the 2018 campaign. The ‘over’ has gone 5-1 during this span.

    -- Utah has posted a 4-1 record both SU and ATS on the road, with the lone loss coming to USC (30-23) back in Week 4. Since that win, the Utes closed the season with eight straight wins and covers. -- Oregon went 3-2 both SU and ATS on the road, both losses coming by a combined nine points.

    -- The Pac-12 North has gone 7-1 in the first eight Pac-12 title games, which includes Utah losing 10-3 to Washington last season. This was the only conference championship appearance for the Utes.

    -- Oregon has earned two trips to the Pac-12 title game, the last visit in 2014. The Ducks have gone 2-0 both SU and ATS in those games and the offense scored 51 and 49 points.

    -- The ‘over/under’ has gone 4-4 in the last eight title games but we haven’t seen back-to-back ‘under’ tickets and last year’s combined 13 points between the Utes and Huskies was an easy low side winner.

    Preseason Future Odds to win the Pac-12

    Utah 7/4
    Oregon 13/4
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359649

      #3
      Tech Trends - Week 15
      Bruce Marshall

      Friday, Dec. 6

      Matchup Skinny
      Edge

      UTAH vs. OREGON (Pac-12 title game at Levi;s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA)...Utes soaring, with eight straight wins and covers dating to Sept. 28 win over Washington State. Utah also ”under” 8-3-1 this season. Teams split last six meetings vs. spread. Ducks only 5-11 last 16 vs. spread away from Eugene, 2-8 vs. spread last ten as dog.
      Utah, based on team trends.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359649

        #4
        103OREGON -104 UTAH
        OREGON is 44-14 ATS (28.6 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359649

          #5
          NCAAF
          Long Sheet


          Friday, December 6

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OREGON (10 - 2) vs. UTAH (11 - 1) - 12/6/2019, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
          UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          UTAH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
          UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          UTAH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          UTAH is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
          UTAH is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          UTAH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
          UTAH is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
          OREGON is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH is 1-1 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359649

            #6
            NCAAF

            Week 15


            Trend Report

            Friday, December 6

            Oregon Ducks
            Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oregon's last 15 games
            Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon's last 7 games when playing Utah
            Utah Utes
            Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oregon
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Oregon
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359649

              #7
              NCAAF
              Dunkel

              Week 15



              Friday, December 6

              Oregon @ Utah


              Game 103-104
              December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Oregon
              102.327
              Utah
              112.022
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Utah
              by 9 1/2
              50
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Utah
              by 6 1/2
              45 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Utah
              (-6 1/2); Over
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359649

                #8
                NCAAF

                Week 15


                Friday’s game

                Pac-12, Santa Clara, CA

                Oregon won seven of last ten games with Utah, losing 32-25 in SLC LY, when Utah blew 19-7 halftime lead, then scored GW TD with 6:48 left. Utes (+5) lost Pac-12 title game 10-3 to Washington LY; they won their last eight games since a 30-23 loss at USC in September. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Oregon won 10 of its last 11 games, losing last road game 31-28 at ASU; Ducks are in Pac-12 title game for first time since their 51-13 (-14) win over Arizona five years ago. Under Cristobal, Oregon is 1-4 ATS as an underdog, 0-1 TY. Four of their last six games went over
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359649

                  #9
                  College football Week 15 opening odds and early action: Bettors pound Ohio State for clash vs Wisconsin
                  Patrick Everson

                  J.K. Dobbins and Ohio State face Wisconsin in the Big Ten title game Saturday in Indianapolis. PointsBet USA opened the Buckeyes -12.5, and the line shot to -16.5 before dialing back to -15.5.

                  College football Week 15 features conference championship games, led by the Power 5 matchups that will determine the College Football Playoff participants. Covers checks in on the opening odds and early action, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA in New Jersey.

                  Big Ten

                  No. 12 Wisconsin Badgers vs. No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (-12.5)


                  Ohio State has been a battering ram practically all season, winning by 24 points or more in all but one game, Week 13 against Penn State. In the Week 14 regular-season finale, the Buckeyes (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS) boatraced archrival Michigan 56-27 as 9-point road favorites.

                  Wisconsin hit a two-week speed bump in October, stunningly losing at Illinois, followed by a 38-7 road beatdown catching 14.5 points at Ohio State. But the Badgers (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS) won their last four, claiming the Big Ten West with Saturday’s 38-17 victory as 3-point faves at Minnesota.

                  PointsBet USA took a stand by posting lines on the Power 5 title games Saturday night, and this number subsequently saw huge movement, rocketing to Buckeyes -16.5.

                  “Ohio State went off as two-touchdown favorites when these teams met in Columbus five weeks ago, so we ticked that down slightly for the neutral-field rematch,” Chaprales said. “We got hit hard and fast with Buckeyes money, though, so we had to react aggressively.”

                  The move to 16.5 seemed to get the attention of Badgers backers, as the number dialed down to 15.5 Monday for a Saturday meeting at Lucas Oil Field in Indianapolis.

                  Southeastern Conference

                  No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 2 Louisiana State Tigers (-5.5)

                  Louisiana State also ran the table this season, including an impressive Week 11 road victory over Alabama. The Tigers (12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS) capped the regular season with a 50-7 trashing of Texas A&M laying 18 points in Week 14.

                  Georgia had just one slip-up this season, and oddly enough, it didn’t come against the top teams on its schedule – Notre Dame, Florida or Auburn – but rather at home to South Carolina in Week 7. The Bulldogs (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) won their next six, finishing with a 52-7 nonconference rout of Georgia Tech giving 28.5 points.

                  The Tigers went from -5.5 to -7 for this contest at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

                  “This game means a lot more to Georgia – LSU’s resume is already pretty much unassailable – but it’s nonetheless been all Tigers action so far, resulting in a series of moves,” Chaprales said. “It will be interesting to see if 7 marks a resistance point.”

                  Apparently, 7 wasn’t that point, as the number went to Tigers -7.5 on Monday.

                  Pac-12

                  No. 14 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 6 Utah Utes (-6.5)

                  Utah could be the biggest beneficiary of No. 5 Alabama’s loss at Auburn, as that could help Kyle Whittingham’s squad earn a CFP berth – if it wins this Friday night battle. The Utes (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) are on a torrid 8-0 SU and ATS streak, including Saturday’s 45-15 victory over Colorado laying 27.5 points at home.

                  Oregon can’t get into the CFP, but a New Year’s Six bowl bid would surely await if it wins this tilt at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. The Ducks (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) were in the CFP hunt until Week 13, when they went to Arizona State as 13-point road favorites and lost outright 31-28. Oregon then notched a lackluster 24-10 home win over Oregon State giving 20.5 points.

                  “Oregon’s loss definitely hurt the Pac 12’s hopes for a playoff bid, and it’s the reason this line is pushing 7 as opposed to closer to a field goal,” Chaprales said. “Utah has also been a covering machine, and early action has backed the Utes.”

                  Indeed, after an initial drop to -5.5 late Saturday, Utah was bet back up to the opener of -6.5.

                  Big 12

                  No. 9 Baylor Bears vs. No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)

                  Much like Georgia, Oklahoma’s lone loss this year was a stunning one, at Kansas State as 23.5-point chalk, and Lincoln Riley’s troops followed by winning their next three by a combined total of 8 points. However, the Sooners (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) finished strong with a 34-16 victory over Oklahoma State as 14-point favorites Saturday.

                  Baylor, meanwhile, gets the opportunity to avenge its only loss this season and perhaps land a CFP bid. In Week 12, the Bears (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) had Oklahoma on the ropes with a 28-3 second-quarter lead, but stalled from there in a 34-31 home loss catching 11 points. Baylor capped the regular season with a 61-6 drubbing of Kansas as 14-point home faves.

                  “The Sooners haven’t exactly been world beaters lately,” Chaprales said. “But their huge comeback a few weeks ago is certainly fresh in bettors’ minds, which has fueled interest on the Oklahoma side.”

                  After a downward move to Oklahoma -6.5 late Saturday, PointsBet moved to Sooners -9 by Monday for a Saturday tilt at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys.

                  Atlantic Coast

                  Virginia Cavaliers vs. No. 3 Clemson Tigers (-21.5)

                  Clemson is a regular CFP participant, winning the championship last season and in the 2016-17 campaign while qualifying each of the past four years. The Tigers (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS) had only one win closer than 14 points all season, and it was razor-close, a 21-20 victory at North Carolina as hefty 27.5-point favorites. Dabo Swinney’s squad closed the regular season with a 38-3 rout laying 27.5 points at South Carolina.

                  Virginia won four in a row and five of its last six to land a spot in this Saturday game in Charlotte, N.C. The Cavaliers completed the run with a 39-30 victory over Virginia Tech as 1.5-point home underdogs Saturday.

                  This line also made a huge move off the opening number, running all the way to Clemson -28.5.

                  “A pitfall of being first to post a huge game is that the market will quickly let you know if you’ve hung a bad number,” Chaprales said. “Case in point here, hence the significant adjustment.”
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359649

                    #10
                    Bob Valentino

                    Orlando can even their season record to 11-11 if they can come up with the road win tonight at Cleveland, but with just a 2-7 straight up mark on the road thus far this season, it could be easier said then done.

                    Still, prefer to lay a couple of points on the road with the Magic in this spot, as Orlando has already beaten Cleveland twice in as many meetings this season and has now won 5 of the last 6 overall season series meetings against the Cavaliers.

                    The Magic come in a 4-3 straight up since losing center Nikola Vucevic to an ankle injury, and the All-Star is expected to be out a few more week, so the new-look Magic lineup needs to keep doing what they have been doing and with Cleveland standing just 2-7 straight up on their home court so far this year, I like Orlando's chances to continue their winning.

                    This is the last of 6 straight at Quicken Loans Arena for new coach John Beilein's team. It has not bee a very productive homestand, as the Cavs did open with a 110-104 win over Portland, but have tasted defeat in each of their last 4. Cleveland has allowed nearly 115 points per game through the first 5 on this homestand, while they are averaging just under 105 points in their previous 5.

                    With Orlando finding a rhythm on offense in their last pair - 128 and 127 points - and riding 3 straight wins, no issue laying a couple of points here on the road tonight because after this contest Orlando will face Milwaukee, the Lakers and Houston over their next 3 games! I don't see a win in that trio that is for sure, but I do see a win tonight against the defensively-porous Cavaliers on Friday.

                    Magic the call.

                    2* ORLANDO
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359649

                      #11
                      Mitchell Newman

                      Friday's comp play will be Brooklyn and Charlotte to post enough points on the scoreboard to take this Friday night meeting Over the posted price.

                      The Nets are riding a little offensive run as they head into the Bee Hive for this showdown, as they come in to this game on a 3-0-1 Over run their last 4 games.

                      The Hornets have played their last pair of games Under the posted total, but Charlotte has indeed gone Over the total in 5 of their last 8 games overall.

                      These teams did hold Under the total in the first season series meeting back in November, but 3 of the last 5 games overall in this series have landed Over the total.

                      With Kyrie Irving still nursing his injured shoulder, the backcourt of Spencer Dinwiddie and Garrett Temple have picked up the slack and have provided much offensive punch for Coach Atkinson's club.

                      I see this one heading north of the posted total as Brooklyn makes it a 4-0-1 run Over in their last 5 games.

                      4* BROOKLYN-CHARLOTTE OVER
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359649

                        #12
                        615IOWA -616 MICHIGAN
                        MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.

                        615IOWA -616 MICHIGAN
                        IOWA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

                        617TENN-MARTIN -618 C MICHIGAN
                        C MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

                        619PROVIDENCE -620 RHODE ISLAND
                        PROVIDENCE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

                        621DUKE -622 VIRGINIA TECH
                        DUKE is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better in the last 3 seasons.

                        623DARTMOUTH -624 S FLORIDA
                        DARTMOUTH is 18-3 ATS (14.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

                        625CHICAGO ST -626 TENNESSEE ST
                        TENNESSEE ST is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

                        627PITTSBURGH -628 LOUISVILLE
                        LOUISVILLE is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

                        629IDAHO ST -630 PEPPERDINE
                        Lorenzo Romar is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game (Coach of PEPPERDINE)

                        629IDAHO ST -630 PEPPERDINE
                        PEPPERDINE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                        631USC -632 TCU
                        USC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) over the last 2 seasons.

                        633N DAKOTA -634 MONTANA
                        N DAKOTA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games since 1997.

                        635CS-NORTHRIDGE -636 PORTLAND ST
                        CS-NORTHRIDGE is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

                        635CS-NORTHRIDGE -636 PORTLAND ST
                        Mark Gottfried is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game (Coach of CS-NORTHRIDGE)

                        1145COLUMBIA -1146 BRYANT
                        COLUMBIA is 31-13 ATS (16.7 Units) in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.

                        1147SF AUSTIN ST -1148 ALABAMA
                        SF AUSTIN ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

                        1149MISS VALLEY ST -1150 MISSOURI ST
                        Dana Ford is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season (Coach of MISSOURI ST)

                        1149MISS VALLEY ST -1150 MISSOURI ST
                        MISSOURI ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359649

                          #13
                          NCAAB
                          Dunkel

                          Friday, December 6



                          Chicago State @ Tennessee St

                          Game 625-626
                          December 6, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Chicago State
                          28.349
                          Tennessee St
                          52.771
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Tennessee St
                          by 24 1/2
                          143
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Tennessee St
                          by 20
                          149 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Tennessee St
                          (-20); Under

                          Iowa @ Michigan


                          Game 615-616
                          December 6, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Iowa
                          65.801
                          Michigan
                          76.294
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Michigan
                          by 10 1/2
                          147
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Michigan
                          by 8
                          143 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Michigan
                          (-8); Over

                          Providence @ Rhode Island


                          Game 619-620
                          December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Providence
                          60.047
                          Rhode Island
                          58.144
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Providence
                          by 2
                          140
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Rhode Island
                          by 3
                          142 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Providence
                          (+3); Under

                          Duke @ Virginia Tech


                          Game 621-622
                          December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Duke
                          71.175
                          Virginia Tech
                          67.746
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Duke
                          by 3 1/2
                          138
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Duke
                          by 6 1/2
                          141 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Virginia Tech
                          (+6 1/2); Under

                          Columbia @ Bryant


                          Game 1145-1146
                          December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Columbia
                          49.562
                          Bryant
                          47.666
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Columbia
                          by 2
                          147
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Bryant
                          by 1 1/2
                          142
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Columbia
                          (+1 1/2); Over

                          UT-Martin @ Central Michigan


                          Game 617-618
                          December 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          UT-Martin
                          43.289
                          Central Michigan
                          57.950
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Central Michigan
                          by 14 1/2
                          173
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Central Michigan
                          by 11 1/2
                          167
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Central Michigan
                          (-11 1/2); Over

                          Miss Valley St @ Missouri State


                          Game 1149-1150
                          December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Miss Valley St
                          27.558
                          Missouri State
                          52.544
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Missouri State
                          by 25
                          146
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Missouri State
                          by 28 1/2
                          139
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Miss Valley St
                          (+28 1/2); Over

                          Stephen F Austin @ Alabama


                          Game 1147-1148
                          December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Stephen F Austin
                          56.341
                          Alabama
                          60.822
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Alabama
                          by 4 1/2
                          167
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Alabama
                          by 12
                          161
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Stephen F Austin
                          (+12); Over

                          Dartmouth @ South Florida


                          Game 623-624
                          December 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Dartmouth
                          48.499
                          South Florida
                          59.662
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          South Florida
                          by 11
                          116
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          South Florida
                          by 7 1/2
                          119
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          South Florida
                          (-7 1/2); Under

                          USC @ TCU


                          Game 631-632
                          December 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          USC
                          60.842
                          TCU
                          67.888
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          TCU
                          by 7
                          130
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          TCU
                          by 4
                          137
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          TCU
                          (-4); Under

                          Pittsburgh @ Louisville


                          Game 627-628
                          December 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Pittsburgh
                          63.074
                          Louisville
                          72.771
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Louisville
                          by 9 1/2
                          130
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Louisville
                          by 15
                          124 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Pittsburgh
                          (+15); Over

                          Idaho State @ Pepperdine


                          Game 629-630
                          December 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Idaho State
                          44.114
                          Pepperdine
                          54.177
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Pepperdine
                          by 10
                          158
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Pepperdine
                          by 14
                          147 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Idaho State
                          (+14); Over

                          North Dakota @ Montana


                          Game 633-634
                          December 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          North Dakota
                          47.274
                          Montana
                          57.519
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Montana
                          by 10
                          128
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Montana
                          by 7 1/2
                          131 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Montana
                          (-7 1/2); Under

                          Northridge @ Portland St


                          Game 635-636
                          December 6, 2019 @ 10:35 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Northridge
                          48.187
                          Portland St
                          48.825
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Portland St
                          by 1
                          167
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Portland St
                          by 6
                          159
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Northridge
                          (+6); Over
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359649

                            #14
                            NCAAB
                            Long Sheet

                            Friday, December 6


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            IOWA (6 - 2) at MICHIGAN (7 - 1) - 12/6/2019, 6:30 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            IOWA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                            IOWA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                            MICHIGAN is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                            MICHIGAN is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                            MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
                            MICHIGAN is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                            MICHIGAN is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
                            MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            TENN-MARTIN (3 - 4) at C MICHIGAN (6 - 2) - 12/6/2019, 7:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            TENN-MARTIN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                            TENN-MARTIN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                            TENN-MARTIN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                            TENN-MARTIN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                            TENN-MARTIN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                            TENN-MARTIN is 87-125 ATS (-50.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                            C MICHIGAN is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                            C MICHIGAN is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                            C MICHIGAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            PROVIDENCE (5 - 4) at RHODE ISLAND (5 - 3) - 12/6/2019, 7:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            PROVIDENCE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            RHODE ISLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
                            RHODE ISLAND is 1-1 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
                            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DUKE (8 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 2) - 12/6/2019, 7:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DUKE is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
                            VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
                            VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                            DUKE is 229-175 ATS (+36.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
                            VIRGINIA TECH is 2-2 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DARTMOUTH (5 - 3) at S FLORIDA (4 - 4) - 12/6/2019, 8:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            S FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                            S FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            DARTMOUTH is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CHICAGO ST (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE ST (5 - 3) - 12/6/2019, 8:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            TENNESSEE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
                            TENNESSEE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
                            TENNESSEE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            PITTSBURGH (7 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (8 - 0) - 12/6/2019, 9:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                            PITTSBURGH is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
                            LOUISVILLE is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                            LOUISVILLE is 3-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            IDAHO ST (3 - 3) at PEPPERDINE (3 - 6) - 12/6/2019, 9:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            PEPPERDINE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            IDAHO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 2 seasons.
                            IDAHO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
                            PEPPERDINE is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            PEPPERDINE is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
                            PEPPERDINE is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
                            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            USC (7 - 2) at TCU (6 - 1) - 12/6/2019, 9:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            USC is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                            USC is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
                            TCU is 121-162 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
                            TCU is 121-162 ATS (-57.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
                            TCU is 195-246 ATS (-75.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            TCU is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
                            TCU is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
                            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            N DAKOTA (3 - 5) at MONTANA (3 - 5) - 12/6/2019, 9:00 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MONTANA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            N DAKOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus MONTANA over the last 3 seasons
                            MONTANA is 3-0 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CS-NORTHRIDGE (2 - 7) at PORTLAND ST (3 - 5) - 12/6/2019, 10:30 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            CS-NORTHRIDGE is 84-116 ATS (-43.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
                            CS-NORTHRIDGE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            CS-NORTHRIDGE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            COLUMBIA (3 - 6) at BRYANT (5 - 4) - 12/6/2019, 7:00 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            COLUMBIA is 1-0 against the spread versus BRYANT over the last 3 seasons
                            COLUMBIA is 1-0 straight up against BRYANT over the last 3 seasons
                            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            SF AUSTIN ST (7 - 1) at ALABAMA (3 - 4) - 12/6/2019, 8:00 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus SF AUSTIN ST over the last 3 seasons
                            ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against SF AUSTIN ST over the last 3 seasons
                            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MISS VALLEY ST (0 - 7) at MISSOURI ST (4 - 5) - 12/6/2019, 8:00 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359649

                              #15
                              NCAAB

                              Friday, December 6


                              Michigan won four of its last five games with Iowa, which lost six of its last eight visits to Ann Arbor. Michigan lost by 15 at Louisville Tuesday after a 7-0 start; Wolverines are shooting 39.7% on arc (#19), getting 36.3% of their points (#66) on the arc- they’re experience team #126 that has played schedule #30, with wins over UNC/Gonzaga. Iowa is 6-2 vs schedule #152, with top 60 losses to DePaul/San Diego State; Hawkeyes won their first true road game by 14 at Syracuse Tuesday. Iowa is experience team #236 that is getting 21.3% of its points (#74) on foul line.

                              Central Michigan is 3-2 vs schedule #226, with three non-D-I wins; Chippewas are experience team #3 (starting four seniors, one junior) that is playing 4th-fastest tempo in country- they’re 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 56-16 points. Tenn-Martin 2-4 vs schedule #94- they’ve been worst defensive team in country so far, with an eFG% defense of .647- opponents are shooting 46.5% on arc against them. Skyhawks won two of three games vs teams ranked outside top 100, with lone loss by 17 to Gardner Webb on a neutral floor.

                              Providence won eight of last nine games with in-state rival Rhode Island, losing last visit here 75-68 two years ago. Friars lost three of last four games, are 5-4 vs schedule #295- disappointing for experience team #22 that has forced turnovers 26.2% of time (#9)- they start four seniors and a soph. URI is 5-3 vs schedule #78, losing three of four top 100 games, with only win by 14 over Alabama. Rams allowed average of 85 ppg in their losses; they’re continuity team #7 that doesn’t sub a lot (bench minutes #325)- they lost last game 86-81 at West Virginia.

                              Home side won last five Duke-Virginia Tech games; Blue Devils lost last three visits to Blacksburg, by 14-1-5 points. Duke won by 12 at Michigan State Tuesday; they’re 8-1 vs schedule #126, losing at home to SF Austin. Duke is experience team #339 that subs a lot (bench minutes #51); they force turnovers 23.7% of time (#30). Hokies lost last two games on Maui after upsetting Michigan State; Tech is 6-2 vs schedule #218- they’re experience team #349 that is making 43.3% of its 3’s (#3) and getting 47.7% of its points one arc (#1).

                              South Florida is 4-4 vs schedule #258, splitting pair of games vs teams ranked outside top 200. Bulls are continuity team #24 that is turning ball over 24.3% of time (#335)- they’re also forcing turnovers 25.8% of time (#13) while playing pace #291. USF is one of better rebounding teams in country so far. Dartmouth lost its last two games by total of 10 points after a 5-1 start; they’re 1-2 vs top 200 teams, with best win by 5 at Buffalo. Dartmouth is experience team #59 that has turned ball over 21% of time (#251)- they get 41.2% of their points behind arc (#12).

                              Louisville won 13 of its last 14 games with Pittsburgh; Panthers lost their last nine visits here, losing last two by 26-15 points. Pitt won its last five games, is 7-2 vs schedule #178, winning four of five top 100 games, with lone loss by 15 to West Virginia- they’re forcing turnovers 23.5% of time (#37). Louisville is 8-0 vs schedule #234 with one top 70 win, by 15 over Michigan; they’re experience team #26 that has #7 eFG% defense without forcing many turnovers. Cardinals are shooting 38.6% on arc (#34); they’ve got #13 eFG% in country.

                              Pepperdine beat Idaho State 97-87 at home LY; they lost their last five games TY after a 3-1 start, but three of those losses were to teams in top 60. Waves are #55 continuity team whose eFG% defense is #326- they split to home games, and split two games vs teams ranked outside top 200. Idaho State are 1-3 in D-I games; this is their first D-I game in two weeks. Bengals are continuity team #263 that is turning ball over 25.3% of time (#346)- they haven’t won a D-I game since beating Air Force Nov 7- they do have two non-D-I wins.

                              TCU made 12-30 on arc, hammered USC 96-61 at Staples Center LY; Horned Frogs are 5-11 TY vs schedule #296, with lone loss in OT to Clemson in Las Vegas, also their only top 100 game so far. TCU is experience team #194 that is shooting 35.7% on arc- they’re getting 42.2% of their points on arc (#10). USC split its last four games after a 5-0 start (vs schedule #185); Trojans are experience team #245 that won two of three games in Orlando tourney LW- they’re playing #44 pace in country. USC’s bench is playing #79 minutes, so they have decent depth.

                              Montana is 2-4 vs schedule #24, plus a loss to an NAIA team, with all four losses to a top 100 team; Griz won both their games vs teams outside top 100, by 7-12 points. Montana is #259 experience team that isn’t deep (bench minutes #319); they’ve been shaky on offense (eFG% #245). North Dakota is 2-5 vs schedule #77; they’re 1-3 vs top 200 teams, with only win by 12 over #131 Georgia Southern. Hawks are #319 in forcing turnovers, #315 in committing them; they lost four of five road games, with only win at #312 Florida Gulf Coast.

                              Portland State is 2-5 vs schedule #140, but this is their first D-I home game; they’re experience team #39 that won two of three games vs teams ranked outside top 200- they don’t have any wins (0-5) over a top 300 team. Vikings’ eFG% defense is #322. Cal-Northridge won its last two games by total of 7 points, after an 0-7 start (vs schedule #28); Matadors are experience team #305 hose defensive eFG% is very bad (#335). Northridge is making 36.7%% of their 3’s (#63) and getting getting 36.4% of points on the arc (#65).
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