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HOUSTON -5.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
10:40 AM
James Harden should be fresh after sitting out the fourth quarter of Houston's blowout of Atlanta. The Spurs have lost 13 of 16. Even though they're getting LaMarcus Aldridge back in the lineup, I'll back the Rockets to improve to 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
15-6-1 IN LAST 22 NBA ATS PICKS | +846
8-1 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS | +690
5-3 IN LAST 8 SA ATS PICKS | +171
DALLAS -4
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
10:35 AM
The Mavs are 7-2 straight-up on the road and I like them to cover this modest number against the 6-14 Pelicans, who have lost five in a row. When Dallas visited New Orleans in late October, the Mavs won by seven. Lay it.
15-6-1 IN LAST 22 NBA ATS PICKS | +846
41-24 IN LAST 65 NO ATS PICKS | +1493
Mike is a respected NBA Fantasy expert, both season-long and DFS, who was just nominated for Basketball Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated and on Yahoo, RotoWire and KFFL. He's also been featured on ESPN Radio. The day-in, day-out NBA grind is the fun part for Mike. He digs deep into the data, examining team trends and projecting game outcomes, while watching as many games as possible to gain an edge. With his unmatched analysis and 24-7 dedication, Mike spots opportunities against the spread as well as on totals.
Dec NBA 1-1
DALLAS -4
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
1:35 PM
The Mavericks have played well on the road this season, posting a 7-2 mark ATS. That includes an impressive 14-point win over the Lakers on Sunday in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Pelicans have lost five straight and were already defeated at home by the Mavericks earlier this season by seven points. I’ll take the Mavericks to keep things rolling with a win, while covering along the way.
17-4 IN LAST 21 NBA ATS PICKS | +1258
4-1-1 IN LAST 6 NO ATS PICKS | +289
9-6 IN LAST 15 DAL ATS PICKS | +237
HOUSTON -5.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
12:35 PM
This is a mismatch. The Spurs have been a disappointment this season and are coming off of a 34-point loss at the hands of the Pistons. They are just 2-9 ATS at home and LaMarcus Aldridge (thigh) could potentially miss his second straight game. Meanwhile, the Rockets just beat the Heat and Hawks despite being without Clint Capela, who is expected to return for this matchup. Even if Aldridge does take the floor, I like the Rockets to cover. If he sits, this could be a blowout.
17-4 IN LAST 21 NBA ATS PICKS | +1258
11-7-1 IN LAST 19 SA ATS PICKS | +330
Bill Marzano takes a basic approach to handicapping: He follows each sport daily, analyzing stats and trends, injuries and personnel. He homes in on refs and umps to get an edge. And he uses all the resources he's compiled over the years. Marzano believes in patience and doesn’t play games every day or just because he’s up or down or on a streak. He likes run lines, puck lines and isn’t afraid of a two- or three-game parlay. Marzano excels in every major sport and absolutely dominates the NHL. Over the past four years, he's returned a documented profit of $10,091 to $100 NHL players.
Dec NHL 3-0 NBA 1-1
BOSTON -153
CAROLINA @ BOSTON | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
1:47 PM
The Bruins are the only team in the NHL without a loss at home in regulation, 11-0-4 and riding a seven-game winning streak. The Bruins have a huge edge in net with Tuuka Rask going against the Hurricanes' Petr Mrazek, who has lost three of his last four starts. Rask is undefeated at home this year. The Hurricanes have dropped the last five overall meetings and six straight in Boston.
19-15-1 IN LAST 35 NHL PICKS | +364
TORONTO -4.5
MIAMI @ TORONTO | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
1:43 PM
The Raptors are 9-0 at home SU and 8-1 ATS, while the Heat are 8-0 at home SU and ATS however, the Heat are just 6-5 on the road and allow three more points per game on the road than they do at home. The Heat also average five points less per game offensively on the road than at home. The Raptors are riding a seven-game winning streak overall and have won four straight in this series and five of the last six meetings.
10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +345
5-1 IN LAST 6 MIA ATS PICKS | +391
HOUSTON -6.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
1:41 PM
James Harden is on fire offensively and the Rockets have won three straight meetings in this series. The Spurs have dropped 13 of their last 16 overall and were just crushed by the Pistons. The Spurs have been less than effective defensively and look for the Rockets to simply outscore them. The Spurs are just 5-6 SU at home and 2-9 ATS.
10-6 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +345
2-1 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +91
A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. Mike does not consider himself a pet lover. But he likes 'dogs, preferring to evaluate each game from the underdog's point of view. Mike used that philosophy to post a sparkling 63-46 ATS mark for the entire 2018 NFL season. Over the past three seasons, Mike is 197-162 in the NFL, returning over $1,800 to $100 players.
DUKE +6.5
DUKE @ MICHIGAN ST. | 12/03 | 9:30 PM EST
12:33 PM
When is the last time mighty Duke was spotted a half-dozen points? Given the youth on both sides, this matchup is fraught with the unpredictable, so siding with Coach K, who is 11-2 straight-up against Tom Izzo at Michigan State, is preferable even with freshman G Cassius Stanley (hamstring) out. The Blue Devils induce turnovers - their average of 18.8 ranks fourth in the nation - and will harass Spartans PG Cassius Winston.
2-1 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +90
MICHIGAN +5.5
MICHIGAN @ LOUISVILLE | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
12:22 PM
Uneasy rests the head that wears the crown of No. 1 in college basketball. It changes hands (or heads) almost weekly. Louisville is wearing it now and hosts a team that could make a case for being No. 1. The Wolverines recently plowed over a pair of top-10 teams in North Carolina and Gonzaga. Previous victims were Creighton and Iowa State as coach Juwan Howard has weathered a challenging schedule in his first season. Michigan shoots nearly 53 percent, No. 2 in the nation, and defends the 3-pointer 16 percentage points better than Louisville.
1:48 PM
OVER 153.5
ARIZONA ST. @ SAN FRAN. | 12/03 | 11:00 PM EST
Arizona State has stayed Under the total in its last five games, but that was more about its opponents either not being very good or, as was the case with Virginia and Princeton, slowing the pace way down. San Francisco comes off its first loss of the season, but new coach Todd Golden has this team playing at a faster pace. All seven of the team's totals have gone Over. Over is the top play.
John Bollman combines MLB front-office experience with a deep statistical background. Last season Bollman, who has a master's degree in biostatistics, worked in the Toronto Blue Jays' analytics department, focusing on high-performance sports science and player development. In addition to his elite baseball mind, John’s expertise encompasses the NHL and NFL. He is known for his ability to quantify the unquantifiable.
WINNIPEG -106
DALLAS @ WINNIPEG | 12/03 | 8:00 PM EST
10:06 AM
The Jets are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games and they finally return home after a long road trip. The Stars are 7-2-1 in the last 10 games but they are just 6-6-2 on the road. The Stars will have their backup goalie in while the Jets will start Connor Hellebuyck. Take the value in the Jets at home.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +606
2-1 IN LAST 3 WPG ML PICKS | +129
TAMPA BAY -105
TAMPA BAY @ NASHVILLE | 12/03 | 8:00 PM EST
10:05 AM
The Predators are just 7-5-3 at home this season and 3-5-2 in their last 10 games. The Lightning are 6-5-2 on the road this season and 5-4-1 in their last 10 games. Both these teams have been under performing and are kinda tough to predict right now. But I like how the Lightning have been playing despite their record. Take the value in the Lightning.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +606
2-1 IN LAST 3 NSH ML PICKS | +136
FLORIDA -133
MINNESOTA @ FLORIDA | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
10:04 AM
The Panthers are 7-3-2 at home this season, and they are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games. The Wild are good at home but just 5-10-2 on the road. The Wild own the Panthers at home having won seven straight, but on the road the Wild have lost three of the last four games. It looks like both backup goalies will be starting tonight, I like the value in the Panthers at home.
7-1 IN LAST 8 NHL ML PICKS | +606
4-1 IN LAST 5 MIN ML PICKS | +300
Don’t let his age fool you, 24-year-old Michael Rusk is no stranger to the industry. He built his name by exploiting flaws in public betting. With his economics and statistics background, Michael uses multiple algorithms pooling with recency bias to produce profitable picks. Sharp action, regression, fading the public and closing line value are all things he considers before finalizing his very selective card.
NEW ORLEANS +4
DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
12:47 PM
Dallas is the hot commodity coming off a scorching November. Luka Madness is taking over the league, but that doesn’t take away from the fact that this team is very overvalued. After handling the Lakers rather easily on Sunday night, the Mavs will regress a little against the Pelicans. New Orleans is on a five-game skid, and their last three contests have been decided by five points or fewer. A very gritty young Pelicans team with Lonzo Ball back makes me feel comfortable taking this home underdog.
13-10-2 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +204
2-1 IN LAST 3 NO ATS PICKS | +90
CLEVELAND +3
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
12:39 PM
Taking the Cavaliers may be cringe-worthy, but it’s important to trust the process. Home underdogs are money makers virtually across-the-board in sports, and this is a prime example. Just 33 percent of bettors are taking the Cavaliers mainly because they have lost nine of their last 10. In the last matchup between these teams, Detroit came into Cleveland as a seven-point favorite and lost by seven. The Pistons are constantly overvalued in this contest. Take the Cavaliers to edge it out in a close contest.
13-10-2 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +204
SAN ANTONIO +5.5
HOUSTON @ SAN ANTONIO | 12/03 | 8:30 PM EST
12:33 PM
When it opened, the line wasn’t favorable for the Spurs, who have been miserable straight up and against the spread this season. Now, the line is favorable even though the Spurs have covered just five of 21 games ATS this season. On Tuesday they are healthy underdogs at home against the Rockets, who are coming off a 47-point victory against the Hawks. With only 27 percent of bets on the home underdog, I like the Spurs to keep this game extremely tight throughout. Take the points.
13-10-2 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +204
2-1 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +98
OVER 128
OAKLAND @ W. MICHIGAN | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
9:46 AM
Oakland has been on an absolute Under tear this season. In fact, it hasn’t cashed an Over thus far. Last season, this matchup finished at 162 after being set at 149. In the last eight showdowns, the total score has averaged over 160 points. There is a major cushion on Tuesday. Hitting 130 shouldn’t be a problem.
2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS | +90
UNDER 145
IOWA @ SYRACUSE | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
9:40 AM
Simply way too many points for this matchup at one of the most Under venues in the country. Year in and year out, visitors struggle to score at the Carrier Dome. I like Syracuse to dominate the pace and set the tone early with their zone. Under is the play.
A Las Vegas handicapper who's never afraid to buck conventional wisdom, Zack excels in multiple sports. All-time at SportsLine, Zack is 173-142-5 on college basketball picks, returning $1,837 to $100 players. He's even better in MLB, where he entered the 2019 season up $3,067 on a record of 263-218-2.
NORTHWESTERN +3.5
NORTHWESTERN @ BOSTON COLLEGE | 12/03 | 7:00 PM EST
1:19 PM
The Eagles are in the midst of a three-game losing streak that featured a season-low 44-point performance on Saturday. Northwestern has suffered embarrassing losses against Radford and Merrimack. Even though this is their first road game of the season, look for value on the Wildcats as Boston College's struggles continue.
6-1 IN LAST 7 BC ATS PICKS | +486
INDIANA -1.5
FLORIDA ST. @ INDIANA | 12/03 | 9:00 PM EST
1:13 PM
A young Indiana team will have its hands full against the Seminoles, who climbed in the polls thanks to an impressive week that featured wins over Tennessee and Purdue. But Florida State is missing one more scorer that was vital to its Tournament runs in recent years. Look for the unbeaten Hoosiers to notch another win.
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +90
PORTLAND +9
PORTLAND @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 12/03 | 10:00 PM EST
1:08 PM
Offensively, the Trail Blazers have seen a spark since acquiring F Carmelo Anthony. Where they still are lacking is on defense, and that could be troublesome against a Clippers team that prides itself on two-way play. Look for Portland to have a few offensive surges to offset the big number
7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NBA ATS PICKS | +257
6-1 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +493
6-3 IN LAST 9 LAC ATS PICKS | +268
MIAMI +4.5
MIAMI @ TORONTO | 12/03 | 7:30 PM EST
12:59 PM
Miami’s win in Brooklyn on Sunday boosted its road record to 6-5. Meanwhile, the Raptors have been undeniable at home, going 9-0. They’ve been able to avoid a championship hangover thanks to a deep roster of talent. But look for the Heat to match Toronto's intensity and come within the number.
7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NBA ATS PICKS | +257
15-10 IN LAST 25 TOR ATS PICKS | +387
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