Service Plays Sunday 12/8/19

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Colin Cowherd's Blazin' 5 (32-31-2)

Ravens -6
Browns -7.5
Broncos +8.5
Chiefs +3.5
Cardinals +2.5

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Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 8 2019 1:00PM
145 MIA / 146 NYJ OVER 45.0 Southpointdouble-dime bet

Analysis: Here are my INITIAL notes on the Sunday Card, all games.............I will update these by Sun 7am PST.......

… Balt -5.5 BUF
LIKE BUF
Power RATING PLAY: I only make the game Balt -3.5
Question: What would this line have been if Buf had won VS. NE?
Buf lost 10-16, but won the stats by 150 yards
If they had won, BOTH teams would be 10-2, and would this line be below 3??



Baltimore 8-0 SU Run… 5-1 ATS Runs
Overvalued now in Marketplace?
Off an EPIC 5 game run where they went 5-0 SU/ATS
And covered by 25.5 per game
One 3 point win (fail to cover by 2.5) not likely to stop the public from betting them….
Under the Radar Coach:
Buf coach Sean McDermott quietly gets the most out of his team
Lead Buf to an ultra rare playoff run his 1st year in 2017
And Buf should return this year…..
… Wash/GB -13
Lean WASH
GB: OVERATED
Outgained by over 60 yards/gm last 6 weeks
Vs. Nyg -13 yards
Vs. SF -141 in yards
Vs. Car +13 in yards
Vs. LA -258 in yards
Vs. KC +37 yards
Vs. Oak -3 yards
Packers D has regressed:
1st 3 weeks: Held EVERY opponent to 16 or less
Since: EVERY opponent but 2 has gotten 22 points
Rodgers: An average QB this year….. in the stats
Just a lean: Wash BAD SPOT
Won as a double digit DOG LAST week
Now, dd dog AGAIN on road……
Wash win NOT due to QB (Haskins was average only)
Haskins 16.5 QBR (3rd straight game below 17), 13/25 147 5.9 0/0
But rather due to the ground game
… Den Hou-9.5
PASS
Den: Phony Win vs. Chargers
Outgained 359-218
Drew Lock 18/28 134 4.8 2/1 QBR 56
But played much worse in 2nd half……..surprised LA early
Hou: Hangover after beating SB champs NE?
NE has owned Hou in recent years……..
Will Hou look past Den after the win?
Note, Hou CRUSHED Ne
Lead 28-9
Played Prevent D and “let” NE get 2 scores late….








… Sf/N Orl -2.5
SF STAYING IN FLA ALL WEEK
2nd time they have done this this year……

Brees: Playing Well:
Last 3 games: 72% completion rate, 7TD/ 1 int (vs. @ATl, car, @TB)
AND had 4 receivers make key drops in 8 point win vs. ATl last week….. his stats could have been MUCH Better last week
Brees now ranked no 9 in QBR (61)
Saints Offense UNDERVALUED based on Teddy Bridgewater games?
6 games he played, QBR 48 only ………….(no23 in league)
Saints Offense: UNDERVALUED based on Kamara injury:
Missed almost 3 full games……..10/20- 11/10(only 4 carries 1st game back)

However, SF key injury advantages
SF getting MUCH healthier
Dee Ford, etc……..


… Cin/CLEV-8.5
LIKE CIN+8.5
Cin: Much better with Dalton, (4 point upgrade)
Dalton: 22/37 243 6.6 1/0 QBR 51 vs. Jets
Cin: More motivated: Clear sign to team they are trying to win
Cin D: Dominated Jets
Jets did not enter Red Zone ALL GAME LONG
Clev: Questionable motivation
5-7, they now know playoffs are not realistic (2.7% chance only)
Dreams crushed in Pitt
Clev: Mayfield Health?
He banged his hand, missed a few snaps, but returned
Team says he is fine………..but a free roll chance he is not……
Prop bet: Mixon UNDER 60 Rush Yards:
19 carries 44 yards vs. jets (in a blowout win)
WE would expect Cin to be trailing
With Dalton back, expect Dalton to THROW in that situation



… Car/ATL-3 PASS
Puzzling line move:
Carolina fires Rivera, line moves UP? Line has gone from -2 to -3……
I expected money to come ON Carolina.
Is this a sign Rivera was popular and team is down?
Puzzling line! This line is saying Atl is the better team!
Atl HFA only 2.5
Can this really be the case?
I have Car rated ½ point better YPP stats equal
Atl: Schedule edge, Atl played Thursday, 10 days to prepare……
… Det/MIN -13
LEAN DET
Min: Major Injury Concerns on a short week:
Thielen: Very likely to play, but will he be 100%
Diggs: Left Sea game briefly in 3rdQuarter, will he be 100%
Cook: Shoulder injury, he will play, but will play in pain.
Det: Blough, caught Bears by surprise in 1Q going deep
22/38 280 58%, 7.4 2/1 QBR 53
Stats good, but it was driven by 14 points in 1Q throwing Deep
… Mia/Jets-5
LEAN JETS
Revenge for Jets
Lost at Mia 18-26 Mia 1st win of year…..
Jets Undervalued:
3 games with luke Faulk
And Darnold rushed back with Mono?
Oct QBRs: 70, 1, 17’
Nov QBRs: 72 70 83, 19
Just a lean: Fitz Magic is Real
Fitz now no8 QB in QBR at 64.1!
Despite disastrous start to season……








... Indy/TB-3
Indy is 1-7 SU/ATS without TY HILTON and he is OUT
TB: Wise guys backing this team:
Money has flowed on them NUMEROUS weeks
Back to back impressive wins on Rd (@Atl, @JAx)
Finally limited turnovers
“Only” 3 last 2 weeks…..
Injuries: Ty Hilton still not practicing…. RB Marlon Mack practiced today, likely to return
… Chargers-3/Jax
LEAN Chargers:
Chargers underrated, 4-7 but +6 in point differential
Last 2 losses
Lost to KC by 7, won yardage by over 100
Lost to Oak by 2, won yardage by 40
Lost to Den by 3, Won yardage by over 10
D healthier!
S’s Derwyn James, Phillips returned last week……
Just a lean:
Concerns about Rivers:
Now 25th in QBR, QBR 46, His arm strength looks questionable…
Jax: Energy bump by going to Minshew:
I now have Minshew and Foles equal
But Minshew may rally the team
Foles QBR YTD 34.3, 1.1 in last game
Minshew QBR 43 (however he had been slumping)


… KC/NE
LEAN KC
KC Underrated:
KC UNDERATED: 3 Games without Mahomes
3 Losses with Mahomes not 100% Indy, Hou, @ Titans
So offensive stats are depressed.
Despite that, KC is 3rd in NFL at 6.3 yards/play
And KC D should continue to improve with new DC Spagnaola
However, NE off a loss: Bad spot to fade them
And NE covers 60% of their games
IF you fade them, you simply have to do so in their bad spots
NE OLINE Update:
Had gotten heathier with Wynn Returning
But C Karras went down last game, Questionable with Knee……..





… Pit/AZ
LIKE AZ: +3-120
LIKE AZ teaser ALSO
OVERREACTION to last week’s Results
Pit (Revenge game huge spot) beats CLev
Az gets crushed by Rams
Pit is still a below average team traveling across the Country with a 3rd string QB!
With Juju likely sidelined again
And James Conneor Questionable and not 100%
Pit still overrated based on Def Score TDS that won 1 score games
Vs. Chargers, Rams, Colts









… Ten-3/Oak
LIKE OAK +3
Oak has played VERY well at home, getting surprising crowd support
4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS
Ten: Overrated: Phony 14 point win @Indy
Game was 17-17 with 5 min left, Indy kicking a fg…….
LIKE UNDER 47 (but not a big bet)
WEATHER!
90% chance of rain, 20 mph winds!
Not a big bet:
Oak: High scoring team
Ten: Much better on Offense with Tannehill!







… Sea/Rams
LIKE RAMS +1
Sea: OVERRATED:
9-1 in close games decided by 8 or less…….
Fortunate in last 2 games:
Sea: Beat Philly largely due to Eagles decimated with Offensive Injuries:
Sea: Beat Min with bad start time for Min, AND Min key injuries
Thielen, Diggs, Dalvin Cook…….
Revenge Game for Rams:
43 yard Greg Zuelein missed fg cost them the game in Sea last meeting………

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FOOTBALL JESUS LATER bet is RAIDERS +pts

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POINTWISE PHONES

4- Cincinnati
3- Baltimore, Atlanta
2- Philadelphia, NY Jets

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Warren Sharp
0.5U seattle 1H over 23
0.5U Seattle 47

bengals +8.5 0.75U

49ers +3 1U

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Westgate Superbook Contest Top 5 Consensus
Rams
Bengals
San Francisco
KC
New Orleans

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Micah Roberts

NEW ORLEANS -2
SAN FRANCISCO @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/08 | 1:00 PM EST
11:34 AM
This is a huge game in the NFC for No. 1 seeding in the playoffs, and while the Saints have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games, those are the only non-covers in their last 10 games overall. Those last two spreads at home were -10 and -14. New Orleans at home laying less than a field goal against anyone should be attractive. I’m on the Saints.

7-2 IN LAST 9 NO ATS PICKS | +481

2-1-1 IN LAST 4 SF ATS PICKS | +90

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update to sharp sports


Jack Doyle over 40.5 receiving yards to win 0.75 units
Tyler Higbee over 37.5 receiving yards to win 0.5 units
A.J. Brown over 50.5 receiving yards to win 0.75 units
Seattle Seahawks Over *SPLIT* 23 first half and 47 full game (0.5 units each)
Tennessee Titans Over *SPLIT* 23 first half and 47 full game (0.5 units each)

[golden contender]

GC: NFL

Sunday card has the 28-0 NFL Non conference Play of the Year, the Executive LEVEL TIER 1 Play and the NFC West Game of the Month on NBC Tonight. In hoops we have a red Circle Rare NCAAB Side and a perfect System NBA Side. NFL Comp play below

The NFL Comp Play is on Denver plus the 9 point at 1:00 eastern. Denver played well with Rookie Qb Lock at the helm and today they catch Houston off a big win over the Patriots. There are 2 systems playing against Houston here one is pertaining to home favorite of 6 or more in a 3rd straight home games if the total is 46 or less. The other plays against home favorites of 7 or more off a home dog win and spread win of 24 or less vs a losing team which has cashed 21 of 26 times. Look for Denver to hang in tonight. On Sunday the 28-0 NFL Non conference Game of the Year Headlines along with our Executive Level TIER 1 Play, the NFC Wet Game of the Month tonight, a 6* Rare NCAAB Side and a Double Perfect NBA Banger System. Sunday NFL on a 10-2 run. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NFL Comp play. Play on Denver plus the 9-10 points. RV- GC Sports

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Top Rank Sports


Marquee Picks For 12/08/19

5★ New Orleans -2 over San Francisco (NFL)

3★ DePaul -9 over Buffalo (NCAAB)

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Virgobbi Sports

Week 14:

BUF +6 (+104)
DEN +9.5 (-110)
CAR +3.5 (-105)
JAX +3 (+105)
KC-NE u49.5 (-105)

[Dmoney221]

Pgf- San Fran +3 2%, ML 1%
he got smoked today

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4for4 sports (NFL 23-22-1 Overall)

NFL
Ravens -6
49ers +3
Chiefs +3

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Totals 4 You

NFL Football Selections for Early Sunday, Dec 8th

2019 NFC Powerhouses Showdown Total of the Year!!!!!
San Francisco/New Orleans over 44


Early NFL Football Bonus Winners
Denver/Houston under 42 1/2
Detroit/Minnesota over 43
Miami/NY Jets under 46

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Jeff Ma

saints
patriots
redskins