Saturday 12-14-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358485

    #31
    29BUFFALO -30 NY ISLANDERS
    NY ISLANDERS are 14-2 ATS (13.2 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

    31COLUMBUS -32 OTTAWA
    OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (7.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

    33CAROLINA -34 CALGARY
    CALGARY is 27-35 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the last 3 seasons.

    35NY RANGERS -36 ANAHEIM
    ANAHEIM is 2-8 ATS (-8.7 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

    37DALLAS -38 NASHVILLE
    NASHVILLE is 9-14 ATS (-12 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

    39LOS ANGELES -40 PITTSBURGH
    PITTSBURGH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

    41PHILADELPHIA -42 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 22-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

    43TORONTO -44 EDMONTON
    EDMONTON is 11-16 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

    45BOSTON -46 FLORIDA
    BOSTON is 37-40 ATS (-18.5 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

    47WASHINGTON -48 TAMPA BAY
    WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (7 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

    49DETROIT -50 MONTREAL
    DETROIT is 0-14 ATS (-14.2 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the current season.

    51CHICAGO -52 ST LOUIS
    ST LOUIS are 69-46 ATS (19.4 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

    JERSEY -54 ARIZONA
    NEW JERSEY is 22-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

    55VANCOUVER -56 SAN JOSE
    VANCOUVER is 232-230 ATS (-90.4 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game since 1996.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358485

      #32
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

      Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8
      $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Late Double
      Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 95 • Purse: $13,100 • Post: 9:16P
      QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DECEIVER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. YOFFI: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation an d no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. SPLENDID CAUSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ESTELLINE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ANAS IMAGE: Horse's average winning distance i s within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
      4
      DECEIVER
      5/2
      5/1
      6
      YOFFI
      6/1
      6/1
      2
      SPLENDID CAUSE
      3/1
      8/1
      1
      ESTELLINE
      7/2
      8/1
      3
      ANAS IMAGE
      15/1
      9/1

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      1
      ESTELLINE
      1
      7/2
      Average
      97
      89
      4.2
      0.0
      0.0
      2
      SPLENDID CAUSE
      2
      3/1
      Average
      98
      88
      4.9
      0.0
      0.0
      3
      ANAS IMAGE
      3
      15/1
      Average/Trouble-prone
      96
      91
      5.4
      0.0
      0.0
      4
      DECEIVER
      4
      5/2
      Fast
      102
      92
      3.0
      0.0
      0.0
      5
      JUST WALK BY
      5
      10/1
      Average
      95
      88
      5.0
      0.0
      0.0
      6
      YOFFI
      6
      6/1
      Fast
      94
      94
      3.1
      0.0
      0.0
      7
      REMEMBER THE ROSE
      7
      4/1
      Slow/Trouble-prone
      94
      88
      6.5
      0.0
      0.0
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358485

        #33
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



        Remington Park - Race 4
        Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 Cent Minimum) Sooner 6ix (Races 4-9) (.20 Cent Minimum)
        Claiming $15,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 81 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 8:31P
        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ALWAYS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf ) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. LITTLE AVENGER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BARRY LEE: Horse has the h ighest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). NACOGDOCHES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or f ourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
        4
        ALWAYS
        7/2
        9/2
        7
        LITTLE AVENGER
        4/1
        5/1
        5
        BARRY LEE
        8/1
        6/1
        10
        NACOGDOCHES
        5/2
        10/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        7
        LITTLE AVENGER
        7
        4/1
        Front-runner
        88
        84
        76.3
        76.7
        73.7
        5
        BARRY LEE
        5
        8/1
        Alternator/Front-runner
        106
        92
        70.2
        69.4
        56.9
        3
        MAJOR BROWN
        3
        8/1
        Alternator/Front-runner
        83
        75
        68.7
        62.9
        49.4
        8
        RAY'S ANGEL
        8
        12/1
        Stalker
        81
        72
        62.8
        72.2
        59.2
        11
        CRIMINAL
        11
        15/1
        Stalker
        75
        74
        61.0
        70.2
        55.2
        6
        CALCULATING KING
        6
        10/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        83
        74
        52.4
        63.4
        45.4
        4
        ALWAYS
        4
        7/2
        Alternator/Stalker
        81
        92
        50.9
        78.2
        71.7
        9
        GAME DAY DECISION
        9
        15/1
        Trailer
        90
        69
        61.6
        67.0
        56.0
        10
        NACOGDOCHES
        10
        5/2
        Trailer
        83
        85
        44.0
        76.2
        66.7
        12
        NATIONS HOPE
        12
        20/1
        Trailer
        78
        68
        34.8
        50.1
        32.1
        2
        GRAND ROYALE
        2
        20/1
        Trailer
        73
        79
        31.0
        67.8
        56.3
        1
        UPTOWN BLING
        1
        50/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        64
        49
        33.4
        43.0
        19.5
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358485

          #34
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 5 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $125000 Class Rating: 103

          FTBOA MARION COUNTY FLORIDA SIRE S. - FOR COLTS AND GELDINGS, THREE-YEARS-OLD, THAT ARE FTBOA REGISTERED FLORIDA-BREDS, SIRED BY AN FTBOA REGISTERED FLORIDA STALLION, HAVING PAID ALL FLORIDA SIRE STAKES ELIGIBILITY FEES. FREE NOMINATION. $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $500 ADDITIONAL TO START: WITH $125,000 GUARANTEED: 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 3 R MERCEDES BOY 9/2
          # 4 GUMP 7/2
          # 6 JACKSON 2/1
          R MERCEDES BOY appears to be the bet in here. Baxter has shown excellent profits (+29 ROI ) with horses in dirt sprint events. Will probably go to the front end and might never look back. Must be given consideration based on the formidable speed rating recorded in the last race. GUMP - When this jockey and handler team up, players often make money. Earning some good dough in dirt sprint races. JACKSON - Recent figures for the jockey - 17 win percent - make this colt stand out in this group.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358485

            #35
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.




            Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 51

            FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS. A CLASIFICADOS EN $4,000 Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 1 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 3 RUN BLACK RUN 2/1
            # 5 CARIBBEAN STORMY 5/2
            # 2 GUADIANA QUEEN 10/1
            RUN BLACK RUN looks like the bet in here. Have to wager on this colt with the strong earnings per start in dirt sprint races. With Diaz aboard him, this colt will probably be able to break out early for this event. Has decent Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. CARIBBEAN STORMY - Must be given consideration given the class of races run as of late. Recent numbers for the jockey - 37 win percent - make this colt stand out in this group. GUADIANA QUEEN - Could go off at a decent number and has some positives going for her. Must be considered given the class of races run lately.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358485

              #36
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 12:52pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 79

              Rating:

              #2 CAT GIUMARELLO (ML=5/1)
              #8 PLAY ME A MEMORY (ML=4/1)
              #5 CLARE'S DOWERY (ML=9/2)


              CAT GIUMARELLO - When this jock and handler team up you have to take a look. Milan and Catalano have been fabulous together. That 73 fig this mare garnered in her last contest tells me she's a chief player this time out. PLAY ME A MEMORY - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier group than last time around the track at Aqueduct. I like this mare. Has the top earnings per start (EPS) in today's contest. CLARE'S DOWERY - A horse coming back this quickly after a good race is a good omen.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #1A WOWWHATABRAT (ML=5/2), #1 MOON VIRGINIA (ML=5/2), #7 HOLA PRINCESS (ML=6/1),

              WOWWHATABRAT - I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the assignment executed occasionally. Will be hard for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list. MOON VIRGINIA - This racer hasn't been close to the winner at the finish line lately. The chalk horse is vulnerable here with the lack of drills. This vulnerable equine ran a mediocre speed figure last time around the track. She shouldn't run better and will probably suffer defeat in today's event running that figure. HOLA PRINCESS - Hard to put your dough on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as often as this horse does. Garnered a run-of-the-mill fig last time out in a $7,500 Claiming race on November 2nd. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #2 CAT GIUMARELLO to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5,8]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [2,5,8] Total Cost: $6
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358485

                #37
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 12:53pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 73

                Rating:

                #3 MY FRIENDS BEER (ML=7/2)
                #5 TAPPING THE GLASS (ML=5/1)


                MY FRIENDS BEER - The jock and handler combination have a beneficial return on investment when they team up. Russell is right back for another event today after racing atop this horse for the first time on November 14th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a strong contest within the last 30 days. TAPPING THE GLASS - Was in a Maiden Special race at Laurel last time around the track. That race had an Equibase class figure of 78 and he is moving down right here. A certain strong challenger.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MONTAUK TRAFFIC (ML=3/1), #8 PARADISE PRIDE (ML=7/2), #6 FED FUNDS (ML=6/1),

                MONTAUK TRAFFIC - In all probability won't make much of a mark today. PARADISE PRIDE - Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 7 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race recently. FED FUNDS - Don't believe this horse is worth 6/1 in this event.

                GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - MY FRIENDS BEER - Analysis shows this colt's last speed number of 74 is as good as any. Don't overlook this colt in your betting.





                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #3 MY FRIENDS BEER on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,5]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                [3,5] with [3,5] with [1,2,4,6,9] Total Cost: $10
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,5] with [3,5] with [2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6,9] Total Cost: $24

                SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                [3,5] with [3,5] with [1,2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6] Total Cost: $48
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358485

                  #38
                  Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                  12/14/19, GP, Race 4, 1.30 ET
                  1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $38,000.
                  Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLDWHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000
                  $1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
                  Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                  100.0000 3 Sue's Monster Baby 9/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Navarro Jorge TFC
                  097.9139 4 Filly Jean King 2-1 Maragh R Alvarado Juan SEW
                  097.6135 1 We Miss Susie 7/2 Lopez P Cibelli Jane J
                  096.2283 5 Shyza 6-1 Ortiz J L Servis John C. L
                  095.5774 7 Addison 6-1 Saez L Romans Dale L.
                  094.1255 8 Blossom Bow 5-1 Maragh T Miller Herbert
                  094.0921 6 Joplin 20-1 Torres C A Mongeon Kathy P.
                  092.4399 2 Dream Marie 20-1 Mitchell R Williams Matthew J.
                  After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                  Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.
                  3 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  4 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  1 33.80 18.40 1.16 36.19 38 105 *Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m
                  5 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  7 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  8 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  6 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  2 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                  Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.78, Win% 31.25
                  * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358485

                    #39
                    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct



                    12/14/19, AQU, Race 6, 2.50 ET
                    1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000.
                    (UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING
                    Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
                    Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                    100.0000 6 Hizaam 4-1 Alvarado J Rice Linda FEW
                    098.0683 9 Super Silver 7/2 Carmouche K Levine Bruce N. SL
                    097.2806 5 Kumar 9/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R.
                    097.1305 7 Traveling 4-1 Gutierrez R Rodriguez Rudy R.
                    097.1118 8 Scoreswhenhewants 9/2 Lezcano J Cox Brad H. JT
                    096.7929 4 Jerome Avenue 10-1 Davis D Brown Bruce R.
                    093.1920 2 The Honest Toun 15-1 Cancel E Donk David G. C
                    092.8170 3 Bye Bye Man 15-1 Rodriguez Castro L A Schettino Domenick L.
                    092.7232 1 Beach Access 12-1 Martinez J R Gyarmati Leah
                    After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                    Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.
                    6 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                    9 21.70 40.00 1.03 33.02 105 318 Last Race Is Same Track As Today
                    5 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                    7 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                    8 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                    4 21.70 40.00 1.03 33.02 105 318 Last Race Is Same Track As Today
                    2 21.70 40.00 1.03 33.02 105 318 Last Race Is Same Track As Today
                    3 44.20 40.00 1.20 29.09 32 110 5f Workout Since Last Race
                    1 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                    Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.76, Win% 27.83
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358485

                      #40
                      Brian Bitler

                      Brian’s 10* CBB Absolute Cover

                      Oregon vs. Michigan, 12/14/2019 12:00 EDT

                      Point Spread: +3½/-109 Oregon

                      Sportsbook:
                      PinnacleSports

                      Michigan has cooled off since their meteoric rise early in the college basketball season when they looked great out of confer but this Oregon team is one that can hang with any team in the land having lost to North Carolina and Gonzaga this Ducks team needs a quality road win and they would have that if they can take out Michigan. Michigan’s losses to Illinois and Louisville gave the Ducks the blueprint. Look for this game to be tied and the team with the ball last will take this game I will take any points.


                      Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

                      Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.


                      Invest 10 units on Oregon rotation #685
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358485

                        #41
                        Doc's Sports

                        Free Play from Doc's Sports

                        Army vs. Navy, 12/14/2019 15:00 EDT

                        Total: -108/+40½ Over

                        Sportsbook:
                        Bookmaker

                        Take 'Over' 40.5 Army vs. Navy (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 14)

                        This game is going to be a bit higher scoring than people think. Don't be surprised at all to see Navy hit 30 points by themselves in this one. Navy can be beaten in the air, and we know that Army struggles to do that, but they will hit some big plays just running their regular offense. This game has a 31-17 type feel to it and will cash the 'over' quite easily. Navy averaged 41 points per game throughout the month of November. And although we don't see them getting quite that high, the 'over' won't be a problem.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358485

                          #42
                          Tony Brown

                          Tony's *10 Star NCAA free play

                          Army vs. Navy, 12/14/2019 15:00 EDT

                          Total: -115/+41 Under

                          Sportsbook:
                          Bodog


                          Fp: Meeting number 120 between these two programs army navy one of the biggest rivalries in all sports definitely college football . Between army’s triple option and navy’s solid run game I expect the block to run and run before we see 41 points making the under my NCAA free play !
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358485

                            #43
                            Chip Chirimbes

                            Chip's FREE NCAA Winner

                            Memphis vs. Tennessee, 12/14/2019 15:00 EDT

                            Point Spread: +7/-110 Memphis

                            Sportsbook:
                            TopBet


                            Chip's FREE NCAA Winner
                            Memphis at Tennessee 3:00 ET
                            Tigers (+) over Volunteers- A pair of ranked teams from Tennessee will go at it as both are tied at No. 17 in the coaches poll. Memphis enters 8-1 and have won six in a row losing only to ranked Oregon while Tennessee (7-1) losing to ranked Florida State. These two come to play when facing each other as the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and that plays right into the trend that the Vols being just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take MEMPHIS!
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358485

                              #44
                              Stephen DeAngelo

                              For Saturday’s freebie, we’ll head to Philadelphia and laying the chalk with Navy in the annual Army-Navy classic.



                              First off, this is a triple-revenge spot for the Midshipmen, who have lost three straight close games to Army (21-17, 14-13 and 17-10) after dominating this rivalry for more than a decade, winning 14 consecutive meetings from 2002-15.



                              It doesn’t take a telescope to see who the better squad is this year: Navy rolls in with a 9-2 record (8-3 ATS), the lone losses coming against 14th-ranked Notre Dame and 15th-ranked Memphis, and the 21st-ranked Middies are headed to the Liberty Bowl to face Kansas State. On the other hand, Army is 5-7 SU and ATS, and that sub-.500 record means the Black Knights will end their season today after going bowling each of the past three seasons.



                              And while Navy has several marquee victories on its ledger this season (Air Force, SMU, Houston), you have to look long and hard to find a signature win for the Black Knights: They beat Rice, Texas-San Antonio and Morgan State on their way to a 3-1 start to the season, then posted consecutive wins last month over god-awful UMass and Virginia Military Institute (VMI). In fact, Army’s best performance of the season had to be its 24-21 overtime loss at Michigan back on Sept. 7.



                              Besides the teams’ records, all the important stats also favor Navy in a big way. The Middies’ triple-option attack is averaging 361 rushing ypg (6 yards per rush); Army’s ground attack averages 311.7 rushing ypg (5.4 per carry). Defensively, Navy yields a scant 110 rushing ypg (3.4 per carry), while the Black Knights surrender 144 rushing ypg (4.2 per carry).



                              Yes, this is a big number to lay in what is arguably the most spirited rivalry in college football (if not all of sports). But keep in mind that Navy has scored 34 points or more in nine games (each of its victories), and six of its victories were by double digits (plus a 9-point win over Air Force). Conversely, Army is coming off a 52-31 loss at Hawaii two weeks ago, and if you eliminate explosive offensive performances in their four wins against horrendous competition—47 vs. VMI, 63 vs. UMass, 52 vs. Morgan State, 31 at UTSA—the Black Knights averaged just 21.3 ppg.



                              Also, during their 14-game winning streak over Army, the Middies posted 10 double-digit routs, with those blowouts occurring in seasons in which Navy was the vastly superior squad—just like they are once again today.

                              5* NAVY
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358485

                                #45
                                Bob Valentino

                                Death, taxes and the Army-Navy game Under the total. Those are your three certainties in life!

                                My free play winner for this Saturday card is the annual Army-Navy game from a wet and rainy Lincoln Financial Field to hold Under the posted total.

                                Last season the Black Knights of Army scored on their opening possession and it looked for a little glimmer of time that we may actually see some points scored in this military matchup, but alas the game ended up with a total of 27 points in a 17-10 Army win that pushed the Under streak in this rivalry to an amazing 13 in a row LOW!

                                That's right, 13 straight series meetings have held Under the total, as the most points these rivals have combined for over the last 7 meetings is a grand total of 38 points.

                                With rain expected to be falling throughout this contest, and with both teams primarily known for their land-locked attacks that both know how to defense oh-so-well, unless this game features a rash of turnovers that lead to points, I do not feel we are going Over the total.

                                True, Navy has been primarily an Over team this year - 7 of 11 so far over the total - while Army stands at 5-5-1 in the Over/Under department for the season, but like I said these rivals know each other too well for me to think there are any surprises that will be pulled today.

                                Make it 14 in a row Under in the Army-Navy series today.

                                5* ARMY-NAVY UNDER
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