Sunday 12-15-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA

    ZIA - Race 4
    Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta/ 3rd Leg Pick Four/ 2nd Leg Pick Three 1st Half $1 Mid-Daily Double
    Maiden • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 83 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 1:06P
    QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * PRINCE OF BO DASH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. PILOTPOINTDASHING: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Pow er Rating.
    10
    PRINCE OF BO DASH
    5/2
    3/1
    3
    PILOTPOINTDASHING
    3/1
    3/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    ANOTHER JESS WINNER
    1
    12/1
    Slow
    68
    52
    6.1
    0.0
    0.0
    2
    COASTAL CONFESSIONS
    2
    8/1
    Average
    70
    66
    5.2
    0.0
    0.0
    3
    PILOTPOINTDASHING
    3
    3/1
    Average
    82
    80
    3.8
    0.0
    0.0
    5
    JESS A CHICKS HEART
    5
    20/1
    Slow/Trouble-prone
    0
    0
    8.6
    0.0
    0.0
    6
    WHEN THE FURR FLIES
    6
    8/1
    Fast
    67
    61
    2.8
    0.0
    0.0
    7
    DONT GET NO BETTA
    7
    8/1
    Average
    74
    62
    5.9
    0.0
    0.0
    8
    FIRST DOWN EYES
    8
    5/1
    Slow
    69
    66
    6.5
    0.0
    0.0
    9
    DASHING EAGLE SPIRIT
    9
    15/1
    Average
    76
    62
    5.3
    0.0
    0.0
    10
    PRINCE OF BO DASH
    10
    5/2
    Slow
    88
    85
    6.5
    0.0
    0.0
    11
    LAYNIS STAR
    11
    20/1
    Average
    0
    0
    5.6
    0.0
    0.0
    12
    MARIPOSA LUNA BELLA
    12
    15/1
    Slow/Trouble-prone
    66
    62
    6.4
    0.0
    0.0
    Unknown Running Style: VITAL SHOK (20/1) [Jockey: Quiroz Bonifacio - Trainer: Hernandez Jorge Luis].
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #17
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



      Remington Park - Race 10
      Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 10-11-12) (.50 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 10-11-12-13) (.50 Cent Minimum) ($100,000 Guaranteed)
      Stakes • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 92 • Purse: $70,000 • Post: 7:21P
      USEEIT S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS FILLIES. ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA FOALS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $350 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. STARTERS TO PAY $350 ADDITIONAL WITH $50,000 GUARANTEED BY REMINGTON PARK AND AN ADDITIONAL $20,000 INCLUDED FROM THE OKLAHOMA BRED FUND. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY USUAL TIME OF ENTRY. WEIGHTS: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $18,000 TWICE IN 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS., $18,000 ONCE IN 2019, 4 LBS., $15,000 IN 2019, 6 LBS.(MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES.) HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED, THEN PREFERENCE TO HIGHEST LIFETIME EARNINGS OF HORSES WITH EQUAL WEIGHTS. LIFETIME EARNINGS WILL BE DETERMINED ACCORDING TO STATISTICS PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE. THIS RACE WILL BE LIMITED TO TWELVE (12) STARTERS. THE GUARANTEED MONEY AND OBF FUNDS TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. A SUITABLE AWARD WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * LADY ORCHID: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equiba se Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ALTERNATIVE SLEW: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHE'S SHINEY: Horse ranks in the top t hree in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      3
      LADY ORCHID
      6/5
      4/1
      9
      ALTERNATIVE SLEW
      3/1
      6/1
      5
      SHE'S SHINEY
      8/1
      8/1

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      5
      SHE'S SHINEY
      5
      8/1
      Front-runner
      89
      84
      86.8
      74.6
      68.6
      3
      LADY ORCHID
      3
      6/5
      Front-runner
      89
      92
      76.8
      86.3
      81.8
      6
      STORMIEIS BLUE
      6
      20/1
      Front-runner
      87
      85
      71.1
      41.3
      31.8
      8
      RUNAROUND ROSEY
      8
      30/1
      Front-runner
      82
      74
      67.4
      67.4
      52.4
      12
      MISS ORIENTA
      12
      30/1
      Front-runner
      66
      71
      54.0
      45.5
      24.0
      1
      OUR MUSICAL MOMENT
      1
      15/1
      Stalker
      84
      83
      77.5
      63.5
      51.5
      9
      ALTERNATIVE SLEW
      9
      3/1
      Stalker
      88
      85
      61.0
      75.4
      70.9
      7
      DICEY
      7
      15/1
      Alternator/Stalker
      88
      90
      64.6
      68.4
      58.9
      2
      SHOBIZ SUPERSTAR
      2
      50/1
      Alternator/Stalker
      77
      67
      55.0
      62.4
      42.4
      4
      COUNTRY DAISY
      4
      4/1
      Trailer
      84
      79
      75.4
      75.4
      61.9
      10
      EUTYCHIA
      10
      30/1
      Trailer
      73
      68
      58.2
      61.6
      43.1
      11
      NORTHERN DYNASTY
      11
      30/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      69
      67
      67.9
      53.9
      33.4
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Laurel - Race #3 - Post: 1:22pm - SO - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 85

        Rating:

        #2 ZIGGY MON (ML=6/1)
        #1 MYSTIC TIMES (ML=6/1)
        #4 READY TO RUN (ML=12/1)


        ZIGGY MON - Believe in this horse. No other viable early speed gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. Last race was at Charles Town in a race with a class figure of 94. Dropping considerably in class figure this time out puts him in a solid position in today's race. MYSTIC TIMES - When this rider and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Peltroche and Corrales have been terrific together. A campaigner coming back this soon after a good race is a good sign. This gelding is obviously on the improve with speed ratings of 61, 68, 76 last three out. READY TO RUN - Dropping in class rating points from his November 29th race at Charles Town. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the advantage. This gelding is clearly on the improve with speed ratings of 56, 71, 74 last three out.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CASPER SLEW (ML=3/1), #7 THE MAGICAL ONE (ML=7/2), #6 MARANATHA (ML=4/1),

        CASPER SLEW - Difficult to bet on any entrant in a sprint race at 3/1 when he hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple months. This gelding gave a less than rousing performance last time out of the box. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced contender. THE MAGICAL ONE - The addition of front wraps in the last race is usually a sign of declining form. When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to register a better speed figure than last time around the track to vie in this dirt sprint. A thoroughbred that breaks his maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next time. MARANATHA - Doesn't look to be in a cozy spot this time out.

        GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - READY TO RUN - Has been racing regularly since a layoff. By my calculations, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this thoroughbred in this race.





        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 ZIGGY MON to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: 2 with [1,4]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [1,2,4] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,4] with [1,2,4] with [1,2,3,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] Total Cost: $36

        SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
        [1,2,4] with [1,2,4] with [1,2,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5,8] with [1,2,3,4,5,8] Total Cost: $72
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 58

          FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 7 VUELVE YERIKA 7/2
          # 3 COSMETICA 2/1
          # 1 MANGIARELA 5/1
          I lean toward VUELVE YERIKA here. Recent figures for the jockey - 33 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group. Boasts solid speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses in this race. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 9 for 30 in her races lately. COSMETICA - Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong speed figures (52 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Had one of the most respectable speed figs of this group in her last contest. MANGIARELA - Looks to have a very strong class edge based on the latest company kept. Is worth a close look and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figures (53 average) at today's distance and surface recently.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358413

            #20
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.




            Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 68

            FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 4 SPEEDING RUNING 8/5
            # 1 TIZ EMMA 7/2
            # 7 GROUP SERMON 10/1
            SPEEDING RUNING is the strongest wager in this race. His 55 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in this competition. Earning some good dough in dirt route races. Looks competitive for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt route races as of late. TIZ EMMA - He looks solid in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Ran a strong last race.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358413

              #21
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 2:34pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,600 Class Rating: 69

              Rating:

              #10 BARTMAN (ML=6/1)
              #14 SOUL N' SPIRIT (ML=15/1)


              BARTMAN - This thoroughbred coming off a solid effort in the last month is a win candidate in my humble opinion. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough outings since the layoff and should be fit. SOUL N' SPIRIT - That last contest must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #12 KEEP MARCHING (ML=5/2), #2 VICTOR'S DESTINY (ML=7/2), #3 SECOND ENCORE (ML=8/1),

              KEEP MARCHING - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint contests in order to wager on him. This probable favorite probably needs at least one race to get back into shape. Pass on him today. VICTOR'S DESTINY - This horse likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually finish first. Forget the top spot. SECOND ENCORE - Difficult to bet on any entrant to turn things around if there is no value to taking the shot. Difficult to put any cash on this gelding on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #10 BARTMAN on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [10,14]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Pass
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358413

                #22
                Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                12/15/19, GP, Race 7, 3.00 ET
                1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000.
                Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
                $1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 7-8-9-10-11)
                Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                100.0000 1 Fast One 5-1 Lopez P Becker Scott JSF
                096.5939 3 Took a Cab 4-1 Torres C A Braddy J. David EWL
                094.4760 11 Castagno 6-1 Henry W Ward Wesley A. TC
                094.0611 12 Global Currency 12-1 Juarez N Trombetta Michael J.
                093.4498 6 Consilium 7/2 Burgos A Sano Antonio
                092.9694 10 At the Beach 8-1 Martinez G A Rodriguez Hector F.
                092.1834 2 Bip Bip Full Power 10-1 Nunez E O Sano Antonio
                092.1616 7 Prized Warrior 30-1 Gonzalez S Medina Angel M.
                091.8777 4 Prospect Project 15-1 Alvarez J L Arias Juan D.
                091.5939 9 Biff(b+) 12-1 Meneses M Gonzalez Oscar M.
                089.0175 5 Macho d'Oro 20-1 Gudiel V Pita Daniel
                088.4934 8 Silent Mischief 30-1 Gomez D F Negrete Javier
                After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.
                1 15.00 20.60 1.04 35.00 70 200 Race Distance Route
                3 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                11 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                12 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                6 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                10 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                2 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                7 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                4 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                9 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                5 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                8 63.20 21.00 1.30 37.14 39 105 *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
                Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.78, Win% 31.25
                * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358413

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct


                  12/15/19, AQU, Race 2, 12.58 ET
                  1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 CLAIMING. Purse $31,000.
                  Claiming Price $16,000 (1. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
                  Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
                  Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                  100.0000 4 Factoring 5-1 Franco M Nevin Michelle JSEW
                  099.3333 1 Ma Meatloaf 4-1 Davis D Contessa Gary C. F
                  099.1458 2 Kickin Kimberly 5-1 Carroll D Rodriguez Rudy R. L
                  098.2083 7 Floss Dancer 7/2 Diaz. Jr. H R Tannuzzo Michael
                  096.8125 8 Theodosia 5-1 Silvera R DiPrima Gregory
                  096.3750 5 Grand Banks 6-1 Correa J Bond H. James
                  095.0208 3 Whyisshesoolucky 8-1 Gutierrez R Maymo Alejandro
                  094.7708 6 Intersect 8-1 Vargas. Jr. J A Englehart Chris J. TC
                  After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                  Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.
                  4 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                  1 44.20 40.00 1.20 29.09 32 110 5f Workout Since Last Race
                  2 44.20 40.00 1.20 29.09 32 110 5f Workout Since Last Race
                  7 71.90 21.60 1.30 40.00 48 120 Second Race After 45 Days Off
                  8 21.70 40.00 1.03 33.02 105 318 Last Race Is Same Track As Today
                  5 16.10 30.40 1.05 33.93 57 168 Last Race Distance Is Equal To Today
                  3 39.10 30.40 1.78 36.00 9 25 Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
                  6 14.70 30.40 1.04 33.69 63 187 Race Distance Route
                  Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.76, Win% 27.83
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